NFL DFS Week 9 Leverage Lane | DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy

Yep. Chris Rodriguez, you were on – you did, I told everybody all week, like you circled back on that, obviously getting Braylon Allen and opportunity cost at the position. Funny enough, he still had a good game. I mean, I know the ladders for the two and three touchdowns. We were all licking our chops when he got his first touchdown so early and the blowout was already happening.

We're like, oh, man, this could be a very – big day if he gets these touchdowns I know for me it would have been five figures just on the two and three touchdowns if they added up so would have liked to see that but we didn't get there um you know other than that I think you know the game stacksGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack people were talking last week is tough let's let's single stack and let's you know maybe we'll run some naked josh allens I think you and I were very adamant that we want to be stacking game stacking ended up being the cincy Tennessee game shout out to my boy rio again hebrew cheetah taking down the Milly Maker Last week, the twenty dollar Milly Maker.

Congrats again to him. If anybody missed it, we interviewed him on Monday talking about his sweat and his story. You can go back on the website, ShipItNation.com, go to the shows, find the showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown shippers from Monday and the first twenty minutes to half hours is Rio talking about his sweat and everything that he does going into his game. But Alex, what do you think of last week, man?

I think it was a pretty good call out on a couple of different things we had and we'll hope to do the same for this week. Yeah, I felt like we had a really nice read on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate last week.

I had, it's funny, like, as much as I walked back that Chris Rodriguez take, if I had stuck with it, you know, even though he got outperformed by so much at the running back position, there was a lineup that I came off of that, uh, would have had a chance to win everything. And, uh, I guess I'll just kind of go through it for a second, but it was, it was the borough double stack.

And then it used to Ridley as the bring backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back. And so that was the piece that like would have still probably kept it from winning everything. But a lot of my contests certainly would have won. Um, But what the double punt running back would have given me with Coleman and Chris Rodriguez isn't on top of that Burrow double. I would have been able to get both Bowers and Michael Wilson. So it was a real bummer to not end up with that lineup.

The idea behind Ridley, by the way, was like dead on that. Hey, what if it's a big play guy other than IO manner? It just, it was DK, not Ridley who, who got there. And so I'm actually a little bit bummed that I didn't think young guy instead of old washed guy pivot, especially because, you know, those $3,000 or the seven hundred dollars in savings probably would have gone a long way.

But man, like I, At the beginning of the year, maybe even week three, week four, we talked about how I haven't played main slates as well as NFL showdown slates and PGA main slates over the last few years. I feel like it's been a run of four or five main slates in a row now where I've been really, really pleased with the way I played, how close I was to landing on things that had a real chance.

Hopefully, all of that comes to fruition with a big hit this week. Yeah, if you're doing any self-talk stuff out there, last week, you know, it was week eight is great. I know for others, it was pure hate. But this week, week nine, let's make it mine. That's the one. Week nine, make it divine, whatever you want to use. But, you know, you want to get after it and always feel good.

But it's nice to see optimism coming in, like things you were close on, good call-outs, things you sort of, you know, just got – Close, but not quite all the way there, but you were sort of in the right vicinity. That's always a key. By the way, old man, thirty one year old man, Calvin Ridley. I know it's old in football years, but it's funny how we just hop on and say like this old dude. And it's like, yeah, you're right, though.

Shamir DK was the guy there last week. I did like your call out, though, even just moving on. Like you called it perfectly because it was like the. The week before, it was the Hurst to Tez Johnson you had, and you basically prepared it as it's exactly this for Tennessee. The one thing I want to bring to you last week, I thought it was a really good talking point that not enough people do, and it's important.

Maybe it doesn't segue directly into this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, but I think in general how we talk about slates and for those that are playing less lineups and things that you can actually use to your advantage to bring across on any given week. And I always talk about like aha moments or oh, yeah.

Moments the aha is like catching on to oh that makes a ton of sense I never thought of it that way I think a lot of people struggled with the gunner helm play last week like well of course it's lucky he got fourteen points or fifteen points like how they like they landed on him and whatever at all if he makes this work I guess but you kind of need the perfect elk etc etc we always need that by the way to get to the top and win a milli maker you need the perfect outcome but Not necessarily the perfect lineupOptimal LineupAn optimal lineup is a legal roster that maximizes fantasy points under the salary cap and roster rules. After games, it uses actual scores; before games, a projected optimal uses estimated scores and any lineup restrictions you set.When reviewing an optimal, replace its most surprising scorer with a realistic pregame alternative. Check whether the remaining construction still offered a credible path to winning your contest.Read the full definition of Optimal Lineup in NFL.

We can have quite the delta there, but typically you need to be perfect in almost every spot, it feels like. So just to let you know, I thought what was interesting, Alex, was like everyone knew Robinson and Aya Manor were popular in the wide receiver, cheap wide receivers. Your GBP scores, way down on them. Our optimal leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage way down on them.

They work differently, but the idea is like, okay, if you're using them probably better in a game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack, just to hope that you actually get ceilings out of them versus like a one-offOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off where the, you know, Robinson gets me the twelve points. And that's not usually good enough as a one-off in a twenty dollar Milly Maker or something like that. And it could work in the single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry stuff we talk about, but there's different ways you could go.

That guy that won all the rest of the money last week, M Noob, had, you know, I think it was Pollard and Robinson, but it was in the double stack of Burrow Chase Higgins. But all that to say, back to your Chris Rodriguez, I'm just tying it all together, is if you were moving off those cheap wide receivers but still wanted a run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back, Pollard was probably fine, right? The thing about Pollard was people felt like they were chasing. We say this all the time.

Yeah, you're not getting thirty nine Pollard points again, but maybe twenty to twenty five will happen. And that could do not like Cincinnati was a crazy matchup or anything. So that could work. But there was pretty crazy opportunity cost at running back. We had ten to twelve running backs we loved last week.

So if you went the other way, and this is where people just say like lucky gun or helm, it's like, but that's the, but there was, we weren't chasing down ten tight ends or five tight ends last week. There was tons of tight ends on the slate, but I'm saying not many that we were considering like the running back position.

So when you go to helm, not only is he cheap, is a run back and allows you to afford everything, but it's like, that's a onesie position. If you're going to play a $3,000 aisle man, or why not play a $2,500 tight end? Get rid of the position. You're not getting to McBride or whatever else if you're not doing that. And funny enough, if you do that, you're the best at talking about this stuff.

But if you do that, well, you're not going with popular McBride. So you might want to account for that in your other wide receiver position. Guess who's there? Michael Wilson. Guess who had a great game instead of McBride? Michael Wilson. So talk through that a little bit because I think that's important to remember when people are building it. You can apply that to any slate, but that just made a ton of sense to me seeing it after the fact last slate.

Yeah, I mean, that's what I loved about the McBride-Wilson pairing is like, you know, you're taking care of two things at once where if it's Michael Wilson who has the big game, if he's the one who's the target hogTarget ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share, well, that's probably going to keep McBride in check. And if McBride is kept in check, that means that Bowers has an even better chance than usual to really separate at the position.

And that's where I'll kind of take it from there, which is like in a very weird way, playing Bowers last week and playing gunner helm last week was kind of the same idea and the reason I say that is because in both instances you're going to an extreme in the pricing of the position where if if the cheap tight end

Chalk like the $3,000 to $4,000 tight end chalk and off the top of my head I can't remember exactly who that was last week but basically like every week we have we have a group down there that that's really popular if they do their job if they get fifteen to twenty you can't get a ton out of the Bowers play, and you're probably not going to get a ton out of the Gunnar Helm play.

But what you're asking for is like, well, okay, what if fifteen is the high score from that group? And most of those guys have six to twelve, and they really just don't do much of anything. Now Bowers has the chance to really separate, but also Gunnar Helm has the chance to equal what everyone else is doing and give you a free $2,000 worth to go separate with from everybody else from there.

So Like both Bowers and Gunnar Helm are a bet against that entire collection of cheap to mid-tier tight end chalk. And I think that's why I say in a really weird way, they're the same bet. It's that that group fails and you just create this really nice positional advantage at a onesie spot. And so... It's very weird to think about, right? Because a Bowers lineup and a Gunner Helm lineup are going to look extremely different because of how different their prices are.

But I think that's kind of a cool way to look at things. And that is something that I think if you understand that concept, it can apply to absolutely any slate because you're still just asking the same thing. It's like, okay, well, what happens if this collection of chalk at this position in this price range fails? And that's relevant for NFL. It's relevant for PGA. Like it's relevant for literally every single DFS sport and every single DFS league.

Yeah, people just don't often put together, like you have conditional ownership, so you talk about that a lot, but like how many, a lot more lineups said Iowa Manor and then that allowed them to pay upSpending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up for McBride than people paid down for Gunnar Helm and went to Michael Wilson. It was almost the same difference. I mean, it might even have given you a little bit more money actually because Michael Wilson less than McBride.

It did actually because Iowa Manor was slightly five hundred bucks more than Gunnar Helm. The other flip I saw a lot of was how many people had Chase Brown at running back with cheap wide receiver for Tennessee and the flip was obviously you needed the whole game stack eventually, but the flip was Tony Pollard and Higgins.

And not just because Higgins had the biggest game of the two, but if you got Ja'Marr Chase, I always talk about this, I typically want the two, three touchdown game that we know he can get, and that goes with Burrow.

So if you were in a non-Burrow lineup but still wanted to account for something, a lot of people were just going right to Chase Brown and picking one of Robinson or Isle Manor, when in reality you could also go to Pollard with Higgins, get that mid range build more. We're on like a stars and scrubsStars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs last week. You could have the mid tier build, but still be able to cover the exact same game in just a flip of the game.

And that was kind of the same way we just talked about with Wilson Helm versus Robin or Robinson Isle Manor and McBride. And it actually got you even more money to get different elsewhere. So. Hopefully, that's good just to break it down a little bit from that perspective. And then again, you can apply that to pretty much any given slate. I think people oftentimes just look for the pivot, right?

Or who's the one guy there that I can skip out and they always want to just fadeFadeTo fade a player is to leave him out of your lineups on purpose, usually because you expect him to be popular or you think he is a poor play.Fade with a reason, not a feeling. If you can't say why a popular player will disappoint, you're probably just giving away points.Read the full definition of Fade the chalk. Sometimes when instead of fading the chalk, people go to fade the spot. And it's like, no, no, no, you can stay. We know the spot is good. You're just trying to figure out how to play it in a different way. And you want to do it against what you're doing with the rest of your build.

This show is typically focused on people that play less lineups, even down to single entry.

So you just got to think about if you're already on Cousins and Bowers and instead of most people have something else and like you know um and have McBride there and you're going to the Bowers thing and because you're going to Bowers you're going to Kirk Cousins you might not have to put in the Pollard and Higgins thing to get another thing and another lever and another you got to think about your whole lineup but that's just a way to think about it in general and you could have got to a bit of a more balanced buildBalanced BuildA balanced build spreads salary fairly evenly across a lineup, using mostly mid-priced players instead of a few stars and several minimum-salary players.Go balanced when the slate lacks trustworthy cheap plays. Forcing stars and scrubs without real value just fills your lineup with players who have no role.Read the full definition of Balanced Build that way and got away with it so I think it could have been good.

Anything else from last week you want to talk about? The other thing I thought was crazy, and this is what Rio did in his player poolPlayer PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool, we looked at it on Monday to go on and ship the Mills, is he just boosted all the expensive Ds, right? He had like eight to ten percent delta on all those and was like, forget these cheap ones, which is interesting because... They were in the best spots last week. It was my leverage lane.

We talked about like all those Ds were in phenomenal spots. Sometimes the pay up D is just the pay up D. And you're like, eh, but do I really want that? And last week they were all in really good spots and the Jags came through and a couple others. But just to note it, it was like what that does to the rest of your build. Now he got almost fifty percent to tight end builds.

And there was some of those guys that came through and McBride busted. So it really worked for like those balance builds with that. It was a, it was really interesting to see how it all shook out from like one move, how it pushed everything else into a different direction.

And you talk about that quite a bit with maybe it's the balance construction that people aren't going to this week or whatever, and some on any given week, but anything to add besides that on, or that on that topic or last week in general.

Yeah, the one thing I want to add about last week is like, I think it's worth just keeping in mind how unpredictable the end of slates can be and how, or even the end of games can be and how impactful to each slate is.

The way each game ends can be because like I, so my, the lineup, I played two lineups last week, went off of the, the, the chase double, uh, and ended up playing a, uh, a Josh Allen stack with, with flowers to bring back. And that lineup obviously stunk, but the second lineup I played was a Las Vegas and New York stack that was doing really, really well. I needed, uh, I needed it to be Garrett Wilson instead of Adonai Mitchell having the big game.

And it was a Kirk Cousins stack, and I also had the Trey Tucker zero. So there were things about that lineup that obviously did not work. I also took a three-point-four or whatever it was from Parker Washington. Despite those three things going not anywhere near as well as it could have, that lineup still did very well. It cashed very easily because a lot of the pieces around it were good. That also had the Bowers and Michael Wilson pairing in it.

But I bring this up because late in the third quarter, The score of the Las Vegas and New York game was thirty to twenty eight. And Tennessee Cincinnati was like two, two and a half scores behind that. Then in the fourth quarter, it's the Tennessee offense continuing to score and push. And then, you know, Cincinnati matching in that game turns into the absolute nuts. And the Las Vegas and New York game kind of fails. And.

It's just so hard to predict ahead of time which game is going to be super competitive late and have the back-to-back, back-and-forth scoring that really pushes a game to the next level. Who amongst us would have said, yeah, you know which offense I think is going to really do that this week to push the other team? Tennessee without Carnell Tate. No one's guessing that Tennessee puts anywhere close to that many points on the board.

And the whole point here is, Number one, the most important thing we can do is we can find the offenses that have a chance to create a game like that. And then number two is we just want enough stacking, enough correlationCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation, so that when we happen to get lucky enough to have a game fall that way, play out that way, we're in position to really benefit from it.

Because there were many stacks of that game last week that ended up getting passed by all of the... Burrow doubles with two bring backs or Burrow double with just one bring backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back in, in Tony Pollard. But people who were like, well, I don't, I don't really love the game environment as a whole. So I'm just going to play T Higgins. Like that was a great play. He did incredibly well. You didn't win anything because people who played the whole game one instead.

Yeah. That's always important to remember. And again, we got a lot of games this week. I talked about it earlier that it was tough yesterday going through and trying to find these total builds. I think we're going to be able to find a pretty good version of the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk build this week. There will be a lot of conversation to be had though. So is there anything else from last week you want to recap beyond that? If not, I think we get into this week.

There's definitely conversation to be had around cheap quarterbacks, like the $4,000 Drew Lock, you know, how we can leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage this chalk bill where some of the game stacksGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack might be. And, you know, consistently it's been the case too, where again, like last week I said, a lot of people want to talk about, Hey, maybe I'll just single stack or maybe I'll just do Josh Allen naked and all of this. And we're just constantly pushing back on that.

It just reminds me the same thing again, this week, especially when the price pricing tightens up, it's, it's usually again, not always, but that's when you can see these doubles and triple stacks, even again, be more advantageous because like, if it gets all the way there, you that's where like one guy might not come through, but it's, it's so hard to get all the pieces correct that, you know, sometimes that is the case.

If you have a really big outlier with the wide receiver too, that even though you put in a triple stack and the other guy only gets nine, it's kind of like you could, the other guy's thirty eight. You just take those eight, move it over and say it's your thirty and seventeen or something like that is still a pretty solid outcome or you can split them and equal and be like, okay, now it's actually really good.

So it's not the same as what people think. I thought you said you got to be perfect at every position. It feels like it. And especially in the million maker you do, but it's like that you can still split scores, right? You can still move scores around. I always use the Raiders week when it was Gino Smith with Tucker and Myers at the time and Bowers and Myers was the wide receiver one consideration wise for people.

He had nine Bowers was the tight end one big boy price he had nine and then it was like oh yeah but trey Tucker has or whatever it's well call it twenty twenty so whatever you want to do it's like call it twenty twenty twenty plus a big game for um gino smith thirty ish that's where you're like okay well then you still got all the points you just spread them down the line but when you have a team like that that makes sense like yeah we'll talk about the lock single stack people I've already seen this being pushed a ton yep I think the smaller the field, the more possible.

I think it's interesting from when we get to a conditional ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership percentage, like you obviously know how high JSN is going to be. There's JSN's ownership, but then there's JSN's ownership with Locke. And it's like, okay, that's getting out of control. Like, that's up there, right? It's not saying get it out of control. It makes the most sense. Obviously, we saw the big game they had together earlier this season against the exact same team.

But the noteworthy piece being that obviously the bigger the field, the harder for all that stuff. Anything can happen. Look in ShowdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown the other night. I think it was a one-five. I always call it that it's different for everybody, but I'm like whoever the captain was. It's a five one technically still because the underdog, the the favorite. But I'm saying the captain was from one team, the Ravens, Justice Hill. The other five in the flexFlex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL were from the other team.

You're like, oh, man, that's the second time this year. That's one. There was a Mackay Lemon one, too. It doesn't make it. I mean, it's not even against the Person. Congrats to them. Happy they won the money. That's awesome. I'm saying it's just how rare is that in the large field stuff? For a one five to beat even a two four that's sitting there so many times that it gets beat by.

That's why when the numbers were ran, I think it was like one percent ever that you see these teams win the full out lottery. But you see guys use it in the ten mans all the time. Like, why try and figure the rest out? Let me just get a top end guy. And usually it's with like a running back and then five guys with the quarterback and some pass catchers the other way. So same type of thing for a main slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate here, but we'll look at it.

Let's go to. Ship It Nation. If you guys want to check it out, we did put up the new promo, rest of season. I'll just do that quickly here so you guys can see it. You go to the site. There's no code needed. You click join. It takes you down. You click NFL only. It's already set to this mode. So you either want content only, one forty nine the rest of the season. That is right through Super Bowl. So What is that?

December, January? I mean, over three months. It's less than fifty bucks a month. And then if you want it with Saversim, it's one ninety nine. So you guys can check that out. But let's go here. We are going to go to sports. Oh, I think I'm already in it here. Actually, I'm going to share the tab. We're in the Stone 2.0 point. Oh, I was messing around with it offline before we hopped on.

But let's let's talk about this and where you think the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk build is starting this week. Or do you want to start with some conversation just around the positions first? Well, I think it's kind of the same conversation in terms of where people are starting, which is someone on San Francisco, because I've got the highest on player on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate as Christian McCaffrey, forty six percent single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry, forty eight percent high stakes. Second highest, I've got it.

George Kittle, thirty nine percent in single entry, forty percent in high stakes. Everybody knows how bad this Las Vegas defense has been. Everybody knows how concentrated the San Francisco offense is without offense. All their guys. And so I think there's just going to be an absolutely massive amount of McCaffrey and Kittle. And that's kind of the first decision that a lot of people are making. Some are going to play them both. Some are going to pick their favorite of the two and go from there.

You know what else is interesting too is it's a late game and Bowers is a hundred bucks less than McCaffrey. So for the afternoon stuff, everyone's going to be sitting on McCaffrey and then how many people stay with him versus going to Bowers and hope that it's the other way. Because the interesting factor is, is I think there will be a lot of lineups that have McCaffrey in the flexFlex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL and have Kittle in tight end.

And it's just a slate dynamic thing of, of, people will still feel very comfortable swapping, right? In the end, they'll be like, you know what? Why be on McCaffrey? Like everyone, I can just go to Bowers here. And then you'll see when you turn the cards over, a lot of people made the same swap because it's a hundred bucks less. You won't know there's eight grand left in their lineup. So you'll be able to see it and be like, are they going to do this?

Aren't they going to do this? I wonder, but I think a lot of people will be playing these two together to start. It's funny you bring that up because I was trying to figure this out last night when I was doing the ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership update. I do think that Bowers is going to come in over his projected ownership simply because there are going to be a bunch of lineups that have McCaffrey in the flex that feel like they need to late swapLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap to Bowers.

But do I want to... I'm largely creating ownership projections to then properly build field lineups in the contest, Sim. Do I want to build those lineups suboptimally where like, okay... Bowers is in here because he's going to be the one who ends up in the lineup, or do I want it to be McCaffrey because everyone playing that lineup intends it on being McCaffrey, and then I'm just knowingly like five percent too high on McCaffrey and five percent too low on Bowers, whatever.

So I think I'm doing ownership as though people aren't making that late swap because most of the people making the late swap, they're not the lineups that you're competing with for first place anymore. So that's the way I'm going to do it. But yeah, from a pure like...

Numerical standpoint, I do think I will probably end up being slightly high on McCaffrey's ownership, slightly low on Bauer's ownership, knowing that the error is purely coming from late swap and not what people actually intend to do. Yeah, and I was trying to see too, the other thing that's interesting is Trey McBride, like no ownership, and he's just two hundred bucks less than Bowers, three hundred bucks less than McCaffrey. And you can also swap to him as well. Yeah.

So that's, you know, another guy that's sitting there that you could move to. Watson is $7,500. I mean, we're only talking about this because it's just a fact. Right. In the afternoon, this is there. I know people are going to be worried about Gonzalez and whatever going on in New England. But if you're behind, you're behind. And it's like, can Watson. Yeah. Watson can literally get injured, go to the hospital, puke blood, go to the hospital, come back and play and make a catch.

So I think you can do anything if you're thinking about Watson. But I just think when it's the auto pivot in the afternoon that people just like, well, I could just go to Bowers for a hundred bucks less. I think more people than not are going to do that. And it's again, not saying you can't, it's just more of thinking about other options that are right there. And there's definitely other guys you could go to.

Let's have a quick Drew Locke conversation. I will say this. Shadur Sanders, Locke, both $4,000. You're you know more about the Eagles than most. We've got Joe Milton, the third for $4,100. Some have said I've seen Gardner Minshew before. We've seen him play. I'm speaking of Philips, Philly Eagles, you know, Gardner Minshew as well. And then Daniels Jones, $4,700 McCarthy, forty eight.

I mean, there's a lot of guys in this $5,000 and below range for Justin Herbert, man, right down to the $5,000 range now. But Yeah. What's yours? I mean, Malik Willis and down, I think it's kind of where people are mostly considering. I don't see very many people on like Cousins, Nick's young, really maybe some Tyler shock, but not enough. And then even like Jayden Daniels feels light considering people want Puka and Williams.

So we'll, we'll talk about that later, but on this, just, Low end for starters. How do you want to talk about this first? I think it's pretty obvious that it's Drew Locke that goes into most lineups because of stacking and JSN and et cetera, et cetera, or just playing them by himself. But what do you think about with these cheap quarterbacks?

Well, that's the really interesting thing about this this week, I think, is that, like, in the past when we have seen min-price quarterbacks, a lot of the time what people do is they play that min-price quarterback naked and then they just build, like, you know, they build through an expensive stack elsewhere. So, like, let's say, you know, we had the Cincinnati stack last week.

You know, what some people would have done is they would have gone naked Drew Locke and then they would have played Chase and Higgins together and they said, okay, like, I'm hoping that, you know, these guys get there because they both get one hundred fifty yards and hit that way. But Burrow only throws three touchdowns and I can just save all that money. And now it's, you know, it's McCaffrey versus Jonah Coleman.

And I, you know, I get the McCaffrey side because I use Drew Locke instead. So that's the kind of lineup we've seen in the past when we have these four quarterbacks. But this time They're going to be stacked. I think both Drew Locke and Shador Sanders are both going to be popular. I actually kind of think that Shador is going to end up the more popular. Where do I have them in relation to each other right now?

So, yeah, I have Locke slightly ahead for the moment. But that might change because... What we know for sure with Drew Locke is that people are going into skinny stack with JSN. I just checked the conditional ownership. I've got JSN in like eighty percent of Drew Locke lineups and I have Drew Locke in like seventy percent of JSN labs. That second one is probably even more telling than the first, I think. Whereas When people go to Shador, like Concepcion, there's interest.

Fannin, I think, is going to come in higher owned than what the field is expecting. Denzel Boston is an intriguing option. There's an obvious bring back this week in Chris Olave, who I think is in a really good spot. People will also use Judkins here. So I think this game as a whole has more intrigue, and I think that that will probably pull Sanders up higher than what a lot of people are expecting.

I think I will probably pull him up higher than where I'm currently projecting. Uh, if, if I don't pull him up, then I will be interested in some Shador stuff, but, uh, more on that, uh, kind of later, uh, I have a very specific leverage lane this week and it's, uh, it's, it's not player specific. It's roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction specific, but there are a number of different options who kind of fit that bill. And spoiler alert, like Shador doesn't in a way.

So we'll talk through that. But yeah, I think it's a really, really interesting puzzle this week from a quarterback position because it's one of the only times that I can remember where not only do we have these really cheap quarterbacks, but we have really cheap quarterbacks who are genuinely stackable. And I think that that's really going to bring their ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership up above what we have seen in the past. And yet there are multiple of them.

So it's If, let's say, Shador was the only min-price quarterback on this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate who was worth a damn, he would have a chance to get to thirty percent. But because he has to split with some of these other guys, and you've got Malik Willis, very stackable in a great matchup of $5,100, it's like, okay, it's probably going to be held in check to some degree.

Yeah, the interesting thing is the Malik Willis stuff just puts you on the most obvious lineup ever. If you've done any practice builds or looked at that, it's like, yes, it looks good on paper. I'm waiting to see how those lineups are going to sim out just because the idea of... It's like there's Douglas, Washington, Bell, pick two. Dolchich, I should add into that, I should say, so you could do that.

And then you've got the runbacks on the other side where it's like so affordable for Gibbs now. And you could go to Amon Roth, he plays, assuming he does, and Jamo and different guys. There's ways to get around it, but it kind of just fits you into all the best stuff. I threw this one up. Look, there's Coleman versus Woods Marks. And by the way, that's not much of a difference because there's also a few moves you can make here. But I think we're both...

In big trouble if this is the lineup that hits because this is, it's just everything, right? Drew Locke on his own. I know it'll be more Likely with JSN as a whole, but I still think people are fine with this and just playing Puka. But look at this lineup. You can get Locke, McCaffrey, Ramondre, Antonio Williams, Puka, Mitchell, Kittle, Marks, and the Giants.

The very obvious, if people just want to stack it, is like I said, you just take this, you make it Jonah Coleman, you take this, you make it Jackson Smith and Jigba, and you go here and it's what, $2,700? Let's just say people play the Eagles and leave the two hundred bucks.

I really care projects the exact same it's a three v three one is stacked one is not I don't think that's what matters I think it's the the overall construction of it it sounds like you're gonna save some of that for later for leverage lane but my big takeaway from like when we talk about the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk build is we do have a clear cut version of some case here, whether, you know, you change it up a little bit, go ahead. Oh, you're off on this guy.

Or I think it's going to be, it's one or two guys, man. Like you can't really argue too much else. The biggest thing for me is like double San Francisco, no Purdy. You don't need them just noting it. It's you've got, um, who else here? Adonai Mitchell. Well, Gino Smith would probably come along with that. And he's not even that much more expensive than he's sub $5,000 still. If you You've got Antonio Williams. I talked about it. They're already missing pieces.

You've got other options. You can go there. Jayden Daniels is $6,000. I know that's $6,000 versus you're saying $4,000, but we're talking about a quarterback that we would usually see up there. And when he's fully healthy, look at us thinking what we were thinking back week. Three before the injury or whatever, whatever week it was, he played Dallas and I think he missed week four, came back for five, but it's like, we were definitely interested in those spots.

And, and I mean, nobody's really adding those guys to the mix here. You know what I mean? So what are your first thoughts here on chalk build? How close we are? What, what, anything else you see? And then secondly, like, how are we going to start leveraging this? Because I see a few different ways. Yeah. So one thing really stands out to me. I think you did a really good job of building this truck build because it perfectly illustrates this point.

Look at the range at each position in salary, both running back and wide receiver. You have cheap guys as chalk and you have extremely expensive guys as chalk. There are also going to be iterations of this where instead of going Kittle-McCaffrey, it'll be like Kittle and Jameer Gibbs, and then they'll save more money elsewhere in some other spot. Point being, this is not a week where we can say, oh, flip the bill.

Instead of paying down at running back and up at wide receiver, I'll pay upSpending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up at wide receiver. I'll pay up at running back and down at wide receiver. There isn't a way to flip the build because the build incorporates all price ranges in all positions. And so that makes it a tough week to leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage from a roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction perspective.

There are still some levers we can pull there like – One is like, okay, if the chalk build is that everyone's getting a mix at running back and a mix at wide receiver, maybe I'll just go all in on expensive running backs and all in on cheap wide receivers or all in on expensive wide receivers and all in on cheap running backs, so on and so forth.

So it's not like there's nothing we can do, but ultimately I think this is a hard week to get really different from a construction perspective because there's a wider range of constructions that our competition is going to be playing than usual. Yeah, I agree.

I do think, though, one other thing to note is just like this running back, well quintuplet if you will or like whatever that you this is of like mcafree Coleman Stevenson marks and I don't know like again I know gibbs will have ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership and it's not like everyone said like well isn't marks a little lower own than those other guys yes but it's just it's it's how the lineups end up getting put together I've done a lot of these practice builds and it's more what you see when you're stacking well I'm going to stack this guy you're Do it.

That's what leverage lane is all about. Find your lane. But when you stack that, you'll see that it typically ends up on some version of three of these four running backs.

So I think, like you said, the best way to quote-unquote flip the build, if we want to say that that's even a possibility here, like you said, I mean, technically we're going that way, would be, in my opinion, to figure out how you get those expensive running backs into the build because we're leaving behind. This is what I see this week, right? Mm-hmm. You don't see Gibbs. We'll see if he actually gets to that number. He's $10,000.

But a lot of that number is going to be in Malik Willis stacks. Right. So that's part of it, which probably should be. I'm just noting that's part of the fact the lower I could see Walker being even lower. He's $9,000. We've got him at twelve. I think he's twelve to fifteen is the right range right now. What we actually end up seeing, it's tricky because if Gibbs, I do think Gibbs is more than him.

And I do think McCaffrey is as high as we think and will only come down in the afternoon. The Kansas City game, I believe, is in the morning, correct? Yes. So just so you know that. Go ahead. Real quick, on this practice build, if you took Stevenson out and put in Singletary, is that enough to get people from McCaffrey to Gibbs? Good question. Let's go to $4,600, right? I can't remember.

Another thing I'll say quickly, just because I don't know where you have them at, but I don't believe, and this may be good for some people that want to go this route, but I don't believe we're going to see the ownership on either of Singletary or Algier that some people think we're going to see because of what we just talked about. There's just so many other ways to go.

And then like you said here, yeah, you're only three hundred bucks shy here of getting to Gibbs, which obviously we can find. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, you could go from Eagles to Arizona. Yeah. It's against its own, but I think people would still do something there, yes. Or, yeah, I mean, there are other options down there. But, yeah, I don't think, like, many people who are using Arizona really care there because – True. Locke could throw three interceptions and still work out.

That was the other really weird thing about last week, too, is that Cincinnati game doesn't go off if Joe Burrow doesn't throw three of the most careless interceptions he's ever thrown in his career. So just another reminder of just how weird certain games end up playing out and how the paths to ultimate ceiling are often very, very odd. And so, yeah, just a fun little reminder there. But I... I do think Singletary will be very popular because of what he opens up.

I do not think Algier will be popular whatsoever. Yeah, Algier won't. If there's one for sure, I agree on that too. I just don't... Man, I guess like... Yeah. Single. What do you even think of Singletary? It's not about the picks and the plays. I'm just curious, like how you see that playing out. I guess, you know, obviously we've got the injuries there. It made for that with no stat, like everything we got fell our way. He is only $4,600.

But I just think when you've got the cheap quarterbacks, you've got Mitchell, you've got Williams, you've got Coleman, who's not that much more. You've got all these other options that we kind of got some info on that people feel good about. I just don't see a world. Or I guess too, so what do you see with Singletary for ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, where you see it landing in single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry?

And then also what you think about him versus the other guys around him, like him versus Jonah Coleman, if you had to break it down, for example, like that's an example I think people are wondering about. I have Singletary right now at twenty four percent single entry, twenty one percent high stakes. I think there's a decent chance that comes up, but it's hard to say like that. That won't come up if guys like Raymond Dre and Woods Marks don't come down.

And so that's that's the real question is like, are people going to be happy with those kind of mid tier guys or will they say like, oh, I just don't see that much of a difference between Singletary and Stevenson, so I'll just play the cheaper guy and go get a better wide receiver as a result or something like that. Personally, I think that Singletary is a pretty good play.

This is always something that I can't tell if the way that I approach this is smart or if it's cowardly and stupid. I honestly don't know, but one of the things that intrigues me about the Singletary play is... I can't be wrong about playing Singletary because I'm wrong about which $4,600 running back to play. If someone does well, it's going to be him.

Whereas like if I'm playing Romandre, I could be wrong about playing Romandre because it's I should have played Woods Marks instead or I should have found four hundred dollars to play Hubbard. So I can't tell if that's a smart approach or if that's just. I'm more afraid of being wrong than I should be, and I should just play the guy that looks really good if that's what my numbers are saying.

For example, right now, two of the best GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP scores on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate are Ramondre Stevenson and Chubb Hubbard. Do I want to go make the decision between those guys or play them both? I don't know. That's an interesting thing. Personally, I think that Singletary is a good play. I don't know if the reason I think that is because I'm just afraid to get the others wrong, and I know that there's not really that risk with Singletary.

Well, the other nice thing about it is, is I've got the unders on your numbers for sure, on everyone's numbers. But I mean, we're too light right now. This is initials from yesterday. Obviously, you got the scat news since and all that. But just to note it, I would say that the one thing I like about him is I also don't think the Giants are going to be more owned than the Eagles. I think the Eagles are going to be more owned than the Giants at DSTDefense/Special Teams (DST)Defense/Special Teams (DST) is a roster selection representing one NFL team's combined defense and special teams, rather than an individual player. It earns fantasy points through sacks, takeaways, defensive and return touchdowns, and other plays, with adjustments for points allowed.Compare what a DST upgrade costs elsewhere in your lineup. If paying more forces you off an important offensive role, check whether a cheaper defense offers a credible path through sacks and turnovers.Read the full definition of Defense/Special Teams.

Same game, flip side. It's only three hundred bucks. I just feel like that's where people are going. And so that would also make that less people are Likely to have Singletary, which also makes Singletary could be better because if his ownership comes down, can't get anyone else wrong in that range and then uses him against the Eagles DST where most are on that, that can work. So I like I like that thought, too. Yeah, I agree with that.

I also think that brings up kind of an interesting difference between projecting ownership for something like the Mega versus a lot of small field single entry stuff. Because in small field single entry, people have to make that decision. Am I playing the Eagles? Am I playing Devin Singletary? Or am I playing neither?

Whereas in the Mega, you're going to get a lot of people with multiple lineupsMulti-EntryMulti-entry means entering more than one lineup into the same contest. A contest's entry limit, such as 3, 20 or 150, sets how many lineups one user can submit.Set your total spend for the slate first, then divide it into entries. Multi-entry should spread a fixed budget across more outcomes, not raise how much you put at risk.Read the full definition of Multi-Entry who like the fact that they're playing Singletary and some will make them more intrigued by playing... Philly and others in other lineups because they want that inverse correlationCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation. They want that differentiation kind of between their portfolio. So, yeah, I think that's kind of an interesting point. And someone asked above, I think you brought up on the screen momentarily, a question about doubles and bring backsBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back and something.

I just wanted to real quick mention that this is a really good question. I think it's something that people should be doing more of, whether they're using Sims or optimizersOptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer, where you should be trying to more intentionally determine how many of different types of stacks you're getting. How many doubles are you getting? How many times are you forcing the bring backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back? How many triples are you using? I think being more intentional in that department really makes sense.

And just to give a very quick shout out to the optimizer that I use and that I built on Black Analytics, one of the functions is a construction targets section where you literally put in, there's a matrix. So for example, double stack, one bring back, And there's a box for you to say, I want at least thirty percent of my lineups to be a double stack with a bring back.

I want at least fifty percent or I want at least ten percent on top of that to be a triple stack with a bring back. And I want, you know, less than or equal to ten percent of lineups that are naked quarterback and things of that nature.

And so I just wanted to real quick shout that out, because I think it's one of the ways that people aren't using Sims correctly is like they're not getting enough good lineups to be told which of those lineups they should be playing by the Sims. Yeah, for me, it's going to be all, I mean, because I'm using SaberSim, I think the main thing is for MME, it's like I have the ultimate package.

So I do have Contest Sims and that's where you start to see some of that stuff. They already have correlations and things built in. I'm not going and setting a certain number of rules. I'm definitely not doing the min max exposureExposureExposure is the percentage of your lineups in a contest, or across a slate, that include a particular player, team or stack.Set exposure caps before you build, not after. Decide the most you're willing to have on any one player, then let your lineups fill in around those limits.Read the full definition of Exposure. Like obviously that probably could push them into more, but too many people do that. That's like regular optimizer usage stuff. Like if you, if you're, it's like when you're paying for the contest Sims and you're getting it to say like, let's do this.

I'm not saying don't do anything. We talked last week, like Rio adjusted his, um, he did the min max for defenses, but then let the rest of it sort of fall its way. So you can do it for some stuff. It's like when people, we talk about IKB, I know better, or some say I know ball. That's like the one spin you're putting on, but that's a DFS take. He didn't say all these defenses are good and better.

And I know the defensive player on everyone and they're going to get sacks and hits and INTs and all this. He's saying, I see how the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate looks. Let me therefore make a change at something that's a onesie high varianceVarianceIn NFL DFS, touchdowns can create large scoring swings without much change in touches or targets. With each team usually playing once per week, you also get relatively few games to judge a player's results within one season.Track results by contest type and slate, and review opportunity separately from touchdowns or other rare scoring events. Entering the same lineup in ten contests does not give you ten independent performance samples. If you build with an optimizer, its randomness setting nudges projections up or down on each build, so your lineups spread across different players instead of repeating the same top projections.Read the full definition of Variance position to get a reshape on my portfolio on what that's going to look like. So I'm not setting up anything that's going to need it to get more. And for the most case, you're getting those already.

If you only have a plan for like a standard optimizer or that saber score will help you some for those out there using SaberSim but you'd still want to always look at it and I'm a you know the highest proponent of this everybody that just reviews after I review before and after I'm looking at my lineups

Before I press submit and so many people just you know pass in the test and then wait for the grade on Sunday night you're allowed to check your work before you pass it in if you I mean a lot of people are you know some are great students some are horrible students But in general, the idea is you probably should have checked your work over because especially in this case, you're putting real hard-earned money on your work.

So I would definitely be looking at what you're getting beforehand just to make sure. So, all right. What else? What else? What else? Go back. Should we take a look at what a Shador lineup looks like, how it's different? Yes, but also I think this is where, like, I would say from what you mentioned earlier, let's just go to it for a second here.

I don't think, sure, you could just take the Drew Locke one we just had and plug him in, but that's not how I think it works.

So I think the interesting part about the Shadur lineups, in my opinion, at least, is that I think we start getting to leveraging a little bit in the sense of like, yes, you can fit some of the same values in, but I think once you go the Shadur route, whether it's Fannin, Concepcion, whatever you end up doing here with even Olave. Olave is not garnering like the craziest ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. He'll be heavily owned in Shadur and shock stacks.

But in reality of like, if people are going to, and I don't know what you see right now, but like in that range, I still think there is Puka, Mitchell, we'll get to Lamb. I don't know about Pickens and that, but Williams. Caleb, I mean, the Miami guys for sure. He's there, but I'm just saying, it's like, this is one that I could see that people could get to. Um, if you're thinking about this perspective, go ahead though.

Yeah, so I think people would also probably throw Fannin in there, and then if you throw Fannin in there, the next obvious click is Christian McCaffrey to start the running back poolPlayer PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool. I think the biggest thing that I just want to bring up here is, number one, immediately you see that people are stacking this game more than what they're stacking yesterday. Uh, when it's Drew Lock as the min price quarterback.

And then the second thing is because there's no JSN in this lineup, you have more money to spend elsewhere. And so I think in this type of lineup, you know, you'd be less Likely to see someone go down a single Terry. You'd be more Likely to see a double stud running back type of lineup, things of that nature.

So, um, it's a different look, but it, it, I think it's also important to show like, again, From a chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk build perspective, the range of roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction types that we're going to see this week is just a lot higher than what we've seen in the past few, where you kind of know the general structure of what people are going to be playing, and then it's just, okay, do I differentiate through players, or do I differentiate through roster construction as a whole?

Obviously, a lot of the time it's both. But this time around, it's like... We can't possibly get super different from the field through structure alone because the field is playing so many different types of things. Yeah, do you think we will... Man, yeah, that's the only other thing I was thinking. But this is what I said, though. It's so tough, but it feels like people still end up here. I don't know how they get to the...

When you say double stud running back this week, the obvious seems like Gibbs, but he's just... He's $10,000. So, like, where else? Because... If you put Gibbs in, what's remaining? Not much. What is that, forty-four? Yeah, so what can you get? Yeah, I mean, I think people will do this. So, like, that could be, you know, that could be Jonah Coleman and a tight end. That could be Singletary and a tight end.

It could be Adonai Mitchell and a tight end. Like, there are lots of options. Mitchell, I mean, you can do Mitchell and Williams, just to say the most obvious values. Yeah, so, yeah, I mean, like, this is going to be played. This is a lineup that's going to be used. Yeah. I don't know if I love it, but yeah, it definitely works for sure. Yeah, it doesn't get that far off the beaten path, I guess, for me.

And another thing, I actually want to talk about this topic quick. I mean, we'll stay with this. I'm using it as my topic here. But the other thing is this week, the Dallas Indie Games. Looks decent. I know there's other games and it's, you know, people saw it last week where there's other stuff and you know, you don't always have to have, you're not gonna be able to get to every game. I had this conversation with somebody yesterday, just going through it all.

But like on this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, do you care about that game? If you have nothing in that game at all, are you good? I don't know yet. Like the Dallas defense is so bad. So the Dallas defense isn't quite as bad as Las Vegas, but from a fantasy perspective, they might be every bit as good of a matchup because the Dallas offense is always going to push teams.

Now, they started, you know, for the last couple weeks, they have gone a little bit more defensively. Slow tempo, a lot of runs. It didn't work for them last week. So are they immediately just going to go back to, yeah, let's let Dak be Dak and really take advantage of Lamb and Pickens? I very well could see that. I think it was a reasonable idea for them to say, hey, our defense is terrible.

Let's see if our offense can just stay on the field by running the ball more. That obviously didn't work. They still got gashed defensively. The chat's all over the fact that even Algier, who... I bet Algier under seven and a half longest rush last week because he wasn't getting explosives. He was the third running back in line. I still maintain that I was very unlucky to lose that bet because he needed two guys ahead of him to get injured.

But my God, he was breaking off explosives left and right after that. And so JT has a chance to have a two hundred fifty yard game. It's within his range of outcomes. It's also possible that. The Indy offense just stinks and that everyone on the team, like there's just, you know, no juice. None of those guys even know if they're going to be a Colt after next week. I think it's a mistake the way they're treating this.

You know, we, we've seen, you know, we saw like Arizona held out MHJ the week before they knew they were trading him. Uh, it's really weird that they're just saying, yeah, we might still trade all you guys, but go play. It's just a weird spot for that offense to be in. I can't imagine that psychologically that doesn't affect things.

And it also means that are these guys who are Likely to be traded away, are they going to be treated with kid gloves and only play... You know, a small fraction of their usual snaps to make sure they don't get hurt. I just have no idea. So there's a lot of uncertainty that makes me uncomfortable about that game. But there's also no doubt that the field as a whole shares that discomfort in it.

And it's an offense that was great last year up against a terrible defense. The biggest... Kind of thing that's holding me back from like playing a Daniels Jones stack. Cause, uh, Daniels Jones and some of the, the Colts wide receivers actually really pop again, the GBP scores. And they're telling me maybe I should be stacking them is without Alec Pierce. I don't see the explosive play potential from them that, uh, you really kind of need to go win tournaments.

Maybe they can get it purely because Dallas will forget to cover somebody downfield, and you get someone who typically doesn't get explosives, gets an explosive just because no one covered him. But that's the thing that's holding me back. As one-offsOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off, I think Keenan Allen's a good play. I think Tyler Warren a good play. I think Josh Jones is a fine play. I think JT is a worthwhile risk because the upside is absolutely enormous.

And then on the other side of things, it does seem like a pretty good spot for CD lamb. It's a good spot for Javonte. Uh, so I, I don't think I have any issue playing any one from this game, but like your question was specifically, if I don't have anybody, am I worried about that? I don't think so. I think I'd be fine as long as I felt good about the lineup I had.

Yeah, one thing I was going to say is I'm like in or out on this game, meaning what you said and all the stuff you said is true, but also why I would rather attack it for the full Monty. Like I will use Keenan Allen as a one-off for sure. I'll use Tyler Warren as a one-off or double tight end or whatever, fine. But, and Lamb is whatever, and I'll have Dak stacks and bring one of those guys as a run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back, right?

I can go Dak with Lamb, Flournoy, we'll see what the Ferguson news is. You can get Keenan Allen or Downs. The other thing too is I think, yeah, Pierce was the explosive guy. There's definitely traits. Everyone's talking about the JT trade stuff, the downs wanting to, there's a difference between a team should trade a guy and is probably going to trade a guy. And as you know, it's possible versus somebody asking for it. It's like, we pay you, buddy, go out and do your job.

Here's your, here's what you signed up for. You were fine with it when it happened. I understand what you would like, but for right now, you're going to do what we would like. And the play is called to you. And that's that. Sometimes people always go the negative way. It's all built in on Josh down. So I actually think it's interesting to, in, in that game. I kind of want, I loved what you said. Indie offense might just suck. Probably does.

But if it's going to actually go off, I want all that game and I want it mixed together. So I would actually have more interest in that because it's being held in check. And if I'm right, I can get paid off. And this was similar passion. That I had last week for the Kirk Cousins stuff. Everyone was on the Sunday show. If Bowers actually has a game, it's going to be a big game, man. We need it to be Kirk Cousins.

And if you really like Braylon Allen so much and you like Wilson so much and you like the Trey Tucker, he's zero or twenty five. Yeah, but he can get a zero. Correct. But the three other games when he doesn't get seven points or zero points, he gets twenty five, twenty six, twenty seven. So it's like, I'll take that risk all day. That's what I'm thinking about.

If I'm going to that game, if I'm not on that game as much, I think the most interesting piece is not actually lamb as much as it is Javonte because everybody wanted Javonte last week. I don't even know how it's possible. I forget the numbers right now. Mayo and I looked at, I think, did he have twenty five carries for seven fantasy pointsFantasy PointsFantasy points are the score a DFS contest assigns to a player or team defense by converting real sports statistics and results through its scoring rules. Your lineup's total determines your contest ranking.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points or something like that? Yeah, it was nuts. Insane. So again, he's in the no man's land. There's just no way.

I know it shows like ten or eleven. Fine, we'll see where it lands. But I don't see any world where he becomes the guy when you've got McCaffrey for just seven hundred more. You've got all those guys just below him. You add in the Singletaries, etc. Of the world. There are just so many ways that you can go in that game. And I think it's a possibility to use to your advantage when most people seem to be ignoring it.

Usually, we'd want to be targeting Dallas and the back and forth potential. All of that. It's, you know, we're not playing it. You always say it best, but we're, we're playing for the ceilingCeilingCeiling is the high end of a player's or lineup's realistic range of fantasy scores. It describes a big performance that could happen when things go well, not the expected score or an absolute maximum.Describe what must happen for each player to have a huge game. Then check whether those conditions help or hurt the other players in your lineup.Read the full definition of Ceiling outcome. Like if it doesn't work out, the lineup was garbage anyway, and there is other places you can go, but I think it is interesting for this slate. Definitely.

Um, one thing that we brought up at, this is kind of an interesting conditional ownership note, but, uh, we had Gibbs in, in that Shador lineup. Um, One of the other cheap quarterbacks that's going to be popular this week is Malik Willis. Do you want to take a guess at where I have Gibbs conditional ownership inside of Malik Willis lineups? Seventy. That's pretty darn good. It's seventy point nine percent. Wow. Oh, baby. Shout out to RIP to my boy, Bob Barker.

Close without going over. That's a good guess. But it has to be because it's one of the easiest ways to fit him on this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate is to do it that way. And I told you earlier, like everyone's got this. Anyone who has, I know people build early. Anyone who has a Malik Willis lineup, I like doing this game now. I can see your whole lineup. I can see it.

I know you got Washington and you've got Dulcich and you might even be triple stacking and putting one of Bell or Douglas in there. Don't think I didn't see that too. And then you got, I think, I think Douglas has a chance to, to really steam and end up being like way more popular than people realize.

Cause no one's like, even people who are playing Malik Willis, no one's, excited about playing Malik Washington they might do it because they think oh this projects well and it's fine but no one's like super excited to play Malik Washington people are excited to play Caleb Douglas he looks like a really fun talent like look at this shit man you can just do this where's it at here let's go Coleman puka I was thinking about it, but I'm thinking about maybe...

I want to see the CMC version since they don't have... Oh, yeah, yeah. Good call, good call. You know what I mean? When you don't have What's-His-Name, you want to see what it looks like, and I want to see if you still... It's $3,000 flat. So it is it is capable. It's not quite where people go, but that's what I'm saying. Maybe it's lamb and then something else. Or maybe it's I don't know what else it would be like. It's tough to say.

Seventy seven. You kind of again, you got to finagle it more or maybe this is where actually let's take this down. Let's do what we said earlier. You go to the Cardinals because nobody's you're not on Drew Locke or what's his name here now. And then you go to Puka and you got that same thirty five. So you kind of like Efton Chisholm is all you only need to find one hundred bucks for Chisholm or whatever it might be.

The point being, this is definitely or or let me just solve this right quick for people. Well, so one thing that you could have done is like when you had $3,000 for the last spot with with Puka in there, like that's a double tight end lineup that, you know, also uses Schultz or something like that. And then, you know, maybe you have to finagle the defense a bit, but it's doable.

People also might just use like span forward there if Ferguson out and and call it a day. Yeah, that's what I was trying to figure out. Maybe it's Coleman out of there for a second. I think I want to still try and get CMC into it more than I want to get Puka. I agree, yes. See what that looks like. And I liked your Douglas call. I definitely agree with it. He's the one that I see steaming at forty-two versus the $4,700.

I think Dulcich fits, but what you said is like, let's say Spanford becomes a real value. It doesn't quite get you all the way there, but now it gets you to a weird price range.

So maybe it's like trying to think what else it would be here maybe it's like a Keenan Allen and then you go to the defense or you can get higher than that I guess who's who's in like the fifty four downs I don't know it's an interesting spot to land and again maybe it's more lamb that somebody goes to and feels good about having lamb and yeah and mcafree and gibbs like you have a lot in this lineup right and we know that like I said earlier I think you could go to the Cardinals in this one no problem so let's go That leaves you sixty four.

What does that get us? Pickens rice Coke. You do kind of, I mean, that's another thing. The mid range is just going completely overlooked for, for wide receivers again, right? You're not going to see people landing there. So there's some version of this though has to be it. I just don't know what it is, but you're, you're kind of in the same vicinity somewhere in this range. Yep.

And, and once again, like, you know, you're, you're, it's another type of build that gets a wide range of salary in both the running back and a wide receiver position. Yeah. So I think again, fine, build it out. There's, there's plenty of ways to go with that one, but somebody did mention it.

The other game too, I want to talk about, did you, the afternoon game, the Patriots Packers, obviously there is late swapLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap opportunity when you look at, if you're on like, you know, if you have lock and JSN and something else and you missed in the morning, well then sure. Like I'd start looking into the Drake May or, you know, love stuff even or whatever it might be. But I think more people will be on, Think about it. You've got Locke. What do you got in the afternoon?

Let's just use the latest three games. You've got Locke. You got JSN. You got Ramondre Stevenson. You got potentially the Cardinals D, potentially the other Ds that are there. And then you've got Purdy, Kittle, and we'll call it a day. I mean, there's other guys for sure. I'm just like where the majority of the field is. So there is ways to late swap. Do you have any interest in that Green Bay, New England game, stackingGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack that up? I don't really have interest in it.

I see what people are looking at, but I also see two offenses that, number one, are not Likely to have a great game, and two offenses that, even if you knew ahead of time that they will have a great game, you don't have that great of a chance to get the right combination of guys. And so it's not just that I think they're a low-probability team, in terms of the entire offense hitting, it's also a low probability that you get the right combination of guys if it does.

And so I'm not really into it, but I also think the field really isn't into it. It's a popular game, I think, for people to say, hey, this has a much better chance to go off than where people are actually going to play it. But I think a lot of people who even are saying that, they're not going to end up on lineups that play it. Yeah. What other ones do you want to talk about?

The other ones I'm thinking about are, I think everyone's on Antonio Williams and Puka, but no one's on Jaden, right? Go to the Stafford side if you want to. And we got more, you know, unfortunate for Ferguson there. He just got back from an ankle. I think now it's a hamstring. So there's all kinds of stuff going on on that side.

But if you just had like Jaden, you've got, pivots or leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage options as well to Williams either you can use Williams and keep going with the stack or you can go to digs which mid-range nobody really on you can go to chig who's definitely I mean he had forty yards in the first quarter one week or something thirty five yards in the first quarter one week with this connection with guys out so if you were comparing would you rather go to the home stack the cover boy or would you rather go to Jayden Daniels and figure out a way to make that work Well, the problem with Jaden is like the guy that I wanted to use him with was trail on Burks and Burks is out.

So, uh, that to me is a big knock on, on, uh, on Jayden Daniels reason for that, by the way, is like, uh, Burks was actually doing a very good job of stepping into the Terry McLaurin role, giving him like a, a very real dynamic downfield option. Um, do they have guys who are capable of running routes downfield and maybe winning from time to time? Sure.

But they don't have anyone now at the caliber of, of Burks, let alone McLaurin in terms of, you know, creating that big playability in the offense. And so that makes it a lot harder to get there. But the projectionProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections obviously also goes up for Antonio Williams. So I don't think that I'm going to Jaden, but I do see the merit to it. And obviously, Jaden is one of the few quarterbacks who is capable of creating separation.

Most of the time when we talk about quarterbacks, it's just... Play the quarterback that lets you play the receivers who get you the separation. Jaden is one of those guys who can actually do it for you. So you have that argument in favor of it.

The problem is like, you know, I was going to do it with Jaden and Burks because I could then, you know, talk myself into like, okay, I'll use, you know, a double bring back of Corum and Puka or something like that. Now it's like, okay, there just aren't enough guys in this game that I'm interested in now that there's no Traylon Burks. So I don't think that will be for me, but I understand it.

At the same time, the Kansas City ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership is very surprising to me because Kansas City, it's the same conversation. We're talking so much about explosive plays in these stacks because explosive plays are crucial. I've done this study, which basically is like, if you can't project explosive plays for an offense, they are not going to hit their ceiling anywhere near as often as you need. Explosive plays are kind of the, the key to being good at picking stacks.

And like, when was the last time Kansas City got a lot of explosives in the passing game outside of a dump down to Emma Johnson or Kenneth Walker. So if you're playing my home stuff, are you doing it through a running back? It's just a really weird dynamic there. And so I understand the New York ownership and, what I would say is like, if I'm going to go to this game, I'm not going to play my homes.

I'm going to play Gino and I'll double stack him with Cooper and Adonai Mitchell. And now I can use rice or Walker freely as a bring backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back or use them both as a bring back because like, it's much easier for either of those guys to hit.

I think then for my homes to hit in a big way, especially when you actually need my homes to not just do pretty well, but you need him to do well enough at his price where it's worth using him instead of one of these men price quarterbacks.

Like, It's weird that of all the slates for Mahomes to finally get played again after all these years, it's on a slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate where I think he has one of the lowest probabilities to separate and give you the kind of performance that you actually need from him to make the stack worthwhile. So this feels like a mistake from the field to me, and maybe that means that I should be really pulling his ownership down because the field doesn't usually make mistakes like this.

Yes. Uh, all indications are like, people are actively interested in playing the homes this week. People are actively interested in talking about it. So where we differ, and I think you will end up giving you the ownership guru. You'll fix it and get to it when you get there. I think by Sunday, um, I don't see it. Like what were she rice sub-ten, um, Kelley sub-ten, uh, no conditional ownership.

Different, but we're talking about a triple stack or a double stack as a way to get Adonai Mitchell or somebody else you want, Omar Cooper, something unique there and different. But just noting it, I don't see Worthy getting ownership. I don't see Rice.

And the thing I think that's interesting, and I never get hyped for Mahomes, people know my Never Mahomes, but why I brought up both Mahomes and JD in Jayden Daniels, They're both getting talked about, but because the way pricing sets up at quarterback, the way the rest of the slate sets up, we looked at it. Almost all those lineups were stars and scrubsStars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs. It's like those both force a balance built.

Once you go Mahomes, Rice, Kelley, even with Mitchell as the run back, you might have to move. Maybe you have Kittle as a second tight end and keep a really balanced line.

Build across not many people have that but you'll still be covering all the bases you can still get to your remandres or your DeMario Douglas's or whatever you want to use to cover off each squad and the same thing goes for jd because no like you said I wanted burks too I said this to mayo yesterday I was like that's what I would prefer hopefully you know he's in but then he wasn't he was ruled out after the show so gigs not exciting um you know but people want to play Williams well you'd I kind of wanted to get him in that stack or fadeFadeTo fade a player is to leave him out of your lineups on purpose, usually because you expect him to be popular or you think he is a poor play.Fade with a reason, not a feeling. If you can't say why a popular player will disappoint, you're probably just giving away points.Read the full definition of Fade him out of that stack and go like JD, Diggs, Chig.

Chig is a pivotPivotA pivot in DFS is an alternative player or lineup combination you choose instead of another option. Tournament pivots usually seek comparable scoring upside at lower ownership, meaning fewer competing lineups use them.Before swapping, check what the replacement changes around it: your remaining salary, teammates, opposing players and available later-starting options.Read the full definition of Pivot off of Dulcich at, you know, a hundred bucks more or something, but he's at least in his stack now. He's also, I think, a pivot off of Spanford and you could fit Javonte or someone like that and you can move the pieces around. So I think it's really interesting for those two. But I guess... We'll see where I end up. Maybe it's just got to be my leverage lane this week because it's more of a theory piece than it is.

So I won't go into it yet. I'll just save it. But yeah, these guys set up well for what I'm looking at doing this week. And I never like Mahomes, but the joke has always been like, you know, main slates, never Mahomes. I did do a maybe Mahomes earlier this season. I did play him. It did not work out. I always got to go with it though. You know, when you got to bet with your brain, not with your heart.

In this case, it may be a spot that I go to again this week just because I don't believe in the ownership or any of that. And I do believe they're somehow putting those points. The one thing though, that you might've sold me on that I do love, which makes my life easy. If I don't have to go that route is the Geno side, because we've seen so many times where, what if this Mahomes stuff actually does get steamed up?

I, again, I don't see it, but let's say it just did, or the Sims are pushing it or whatever it might be by Sunday. If you flip it, you go from like Mahomes, mid-range, mid-range, you know, mid-range, kind of everything, whether it's like Rice, Worthy, Kelley, they're all mid-range, and you keep the Adni Mitchell chalk, which is fine. It's playing it in a different way.

But then you also could say the other side is like Geno – with cooper with Mitchell with whatever else you decide if you want to go further but then you can use walker on the other side and and have a $9,000 guy that's kind of going overlooked and even then if the rest of the build kind of falls in line it's not as common as one might think so I think that's interesting as well as just another way to play it different here but um yeah I think that's kind of it for me for these game stacksGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack do you have any other game stacks that you wanted to talk about Yeah, I'm going to talk through several for my leverage lane, so I don't feel like I need to go through a ton.

Are there any that you think are especially worth hitting on? I'm going to look... Throw it in the chat. If you guys have more, we we've got time. I'm just trying to look through it here. Like, so we talked about shooter. We talked about the Dallas indie game. Didn't talk about Denver, Carolina, Detroit, Miami went as more than Willis side. We just talked about JD. We talked about Drew Lock. I know the chats mentioning like JJ McCarthy stuff.

I think you can obviously go to Nabers full go. You've got Likely in that spot. You'd have a way that you could use some other guys there, but I think in reality, you'd be going against the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk D is one thing as well. The only one that we didn't talk about, I guess, is Houston and the Chargers. Yeah, I don't feel the need to talk about that game. Daniels is going up in the booth this week to call the plays.

Things are going to change and be different. Maybe. You know what? I'd be okay being late to that party. It is so weird still that... The Chargers offense, it doesn't make sense to me how they can look this inept because before Ladd got hurt in week one, they looked really good. And Ladd looked like he was going to be one of the best picks of the entire year. He was going to carry best ball teams, so on and so forth.

Like how did everything get derailed because he got hurt in week one? It just, it doesn't make sense to me, but, uh, but I digress. Uh, one, one thing, um, go collect, put in the chat. Like he doesn't know if he wants to attack Kansas City, uh, with, with the jet stuff. This is actually a pretty good matchup for, for the Jets passing offense.

And, you know, as good as they have been on the ground, they've had easy matchup after easy matchup rushing wise. This is a difficult one. So I think the Jets can actually surprise some people with the amount of pass volume they have. However, they don't have a great coaching staff, in my opinion.

So if what we see from the Jets this week is like a stubbornness to try to continue to run the ball with the effectiveness that they have the last few weeks, like that could end up being a really bad outcome for this offense. But if they recognize the matchup, they recognize that like, hey, Kansas City's twentieth in past DVOA, seventh in rush DVOA. Maybe this is a week where we should let Geno be Geno.

Like there's there's a path to some real upside there. That I'm intrigued by. The only thing is I wish Adonai Mitchell wasn't so popular. I wish that Garrett Wilson was healthy and I could do a double of Wilson and Adonai Mitchell with both of them at low ownership and not playing into the really chalky Adonai piece. Now it's the only way that I can really separate from this.

Instead of being able to get either wide receiver as a separator, it has to be Omar Cooper and it has to be Gino Smith. So that is the only thing that's kind of holding me back. But the matchup is absolutely not something that holds that's holding me back here. I really like it from an upside perspective. Yeah.

The other thing, like I keep saying, but with Kenneth Walker, if he was, I think it'd be a totally different world this week if he was $8,400 and people be talking about him a ton. He's a hundred bucks more than CMC. And I'm going to make this pivot like you just know what people would be saying if he was a hundred bucks more, a hundred bucks less. Yeah. Than CMC. They go, well, I can play Kittle here. I'll just play Walker in this spot.

It's good. He's $9,000, but nothing changes. That's just a price on your page. We showed you a ton of different ways you can find money. By the way, it'll be probably moving off more what could be terrible GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP scores or low optimal leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage and things like that, where you, when you're finding that money to just go to the receiver and down from that.

If you were making this move still, if you had to go to not, not just that you can play them both together, you can play CMC and Kenneth Walker. I think even in a Gino Smith lineup, if you wanted to go that route and that far, but the thing is this week, man, and you can bring up the conditional ownership. We'll swap screens for a sec. Cause Jordan wants to look at, he's going to give some examples, but Um, everyone's got their way here.

I'm not, there's no way there's none. That's what leverage lane is. Play your lane. If you want Herbert and those guys, you think it's going to be good. Somebody said, I'm going with Kirk Cousins, Trey Tucker Bowers. That could be interesting. And you could play your CMC in a different way to play CMC this week. Not on Kittle. Cause you're on Bowers. Maybe you got both. I don't know if you got a full game stack this week. You know, what about golf stacks?

Yeah, if everyone's on the Malik Willis side and you think that's going to lead to... We saw it, seventy point nine percent conditional ownership on Gibbs in those lineups. Yeah. Well, now you could go to...

The you know what would it be like goff jamo LaPorta and if you want to use amon raw for sure too yeah to me it'd be use both receivers that that's the way we've seen um you know these Detroit sacks really really take off over the years is when both we could get a Garrett Wilson situation because we still don't technically know on amon ron where they're talking about uh jamo and tesla what would that be your then what do you do Oh, that's true.

I haven't even really thought through what happens if Amon Ross St. Brown misses the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. I was going to ask you about what happens if Hunter Henry misses the slate. How much interest would you have in Raridon? What do you think it does for the receivers? I think the sneaky thing there is I think people would go a lot to Raridon. I think for me, the guy I'd be most interested in boosting is DeMario Douglas just because...

He pretty much exclusively plays in the slot. They like using twelve personnel a lot. I think Douglas would get like a, you know, a twenty twenty five percentage point bump in route participation if if there's no Hunter Henry. So I think he's the one that I'd be the most interested in. And and that's also at a position that I'm more interested in, you know, really trying to find something sneaky and, you know, something that can help me separate. And I think Pop Douglas does that.

It does a great job because it's going to be, this is like the inverse of last week when we talked about the Tennessee stuff a little bit. It's squeezed between the Ramondre stuff and the Raridon stuff. And it's also not Adonai Mitchell. It's not Williams. It's not those other guys in that range. And he's just $4,800. And we talked about the balance and how no one's kind of landing there. So I think Pop Douglas is a good play no matter what.

And I think people ought to assume that you need to put them. With Drake may, but if you just had him in there, it's it's to me, it's fine. Like it could just be a point day and it doesn't mean Drake may crush the slate. And plus there's so many quarterbacks that it's like, you you'll need all of it to be all the way. Right. But yeah, may is popping right now in the Sims a little bit as well too.

I think one thing that I would do if there's no Amun-Ra is I'd pretty much guaranteed play Jamison Williams because I think you would then get a guy who is built on the explosive play who's also going to get a really nice volume floor in a pretty good matchup. That's not something I want to pass up on at six to one hundred dollars.

And I would give a lot of consideration to Malik Willis single stacks with the double bring back of both Gibbs and Jameson Williams. There wouldn't be anything super contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian about it, but I would just feel so good about that combination that I think I'd run with it. But that probably wouldn't follow my leverage lane, so maybe it's something that I wouldn't do, and it's something that I would just recommend that people who are playing single entries this week lean more into.

Yeah. And I think he plays like he was still he was limited on Friday, still listed as questionable. They kept it that way on the Saturday designation or whatever. But I think that the key would be we've seen a member of the game like it was this year, I think, when he was supposed to be ruled out, then he still played. So it's like he's he's got to tough it through his dad's what, Mr. Universe.

I mean, that's what I think, too, which is why I haven't really given any consideration to what happens if he misses. But it's worth talking through. And then somebody mentioned earlier, but the last stuff, any thoughts on anything to do with the Arizona side? Flip of the build. Like it doesn't seem like no one's really on that stuff. I know Seattle is down a lot of their defense this week, right? Some of the three runs, three guys up front on the deer down.

And then people are looking at Minshew Magic and all this different stuff they're talking about. But I just... I think the only thing I think is kind of interesting is if you are down and it's not going to be to probably win you the money, it's going to be to min cashMin-CashA min-cash is the smallest prize in a contest, earned by finishing just inside the paid places. In tournaments it is usually a small multiple of the entry fee.Do not judge a tournament slate by how many lineups min-cashed. Track your top finishes, since that is where tournament profit actually comes from.Read the full definition of Min-Cash you. But when most people are going to go from McCaffrey to Bowers, you could go one step further and go to McBride and hope that he just racks up a ton of catches.

But that doesn't necessarily mean anything for Minshew. It could literally be nine catches for one hundred and ten. And that just does a lot better than the other two at that spot. You need to make up points. But I don't know. Yeah, I mean, that's pretty much how I would frame it. You shouldn't be going into any lineup with the intention of playing a Cardinals. If you end up playing a Cardinals, it's because something went horribly, horribly wrong early on. I've got no interest.

I think Algiers is a bad play. I think all Arizona guys here are just a bad spot. The Seattle defense is tremendous. The Arizona offense stinks. Yeah. If you're new to the show, Big Mooney, if I knew the good plays, man, I would just win a million dollars every week. I'd put all nine of them exactly in the spot they go and I'd put them in and we'd play it. It's like nobody knows a good play.

What we know how to do is play DFS. And that's what we're trying to focus on here is the process, putting it all together, looking at it as a puzzle, breaking it all down. The thing that nobody else really does, especially from like a single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry perspective, we're thinking about what the field's doing. We all have the same puzzle pieces, the same chessboard, whatever you want to look at. All the pieces exist the same.

But some people are better at it than others. And we're trying to learn together part of the journey, just going after it and getting better every single week, trying to apply these theories and concepts. So anything else you want to touch on, Alex? If not, I'll let you go to your leverage lane first because you're solidified on it. I think I am too, but it's different. But also you said it's going to break into some conversation, which is nice as well.

Yeah, I'll go. I want to bring up one more thing before we get to Leverage Lane. Mr. R. Klein put in the chat, like, he doesn't mind going to LaPorta, the field flocks to Dulcich. This is another one this week where, like, I think industry ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership is wrong. I think LaPorta is going to be a lot higher than what people are expecting. I think LaPorta, Fannin, Mahomes-Sacks, like, I think there are more. Maybe Kelley, yeah.

I think there are more spots this week that the industry ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership projections, like the average ownership that people are looking at around the industry, are just way more off than what we are accustomed to seeing. Even as someone who I think at this point it's somewhat well established. Even as someone who's doing a better job in the industry of projecting ownership on a week-to-week basis, I can still give the industry credit. The industry is doing a good job with ownership from one slate to the next.

I think this is a slate where there are potentially some really big misses. Maybe I won't project it that way come tonight for the second last update. I'd do another one tomorrow morning. But man, if LaPorte is fifteen, twenty percent, I'm not going to be surprised. If Fannin fifteen, twenty percent, I'm not going to be surprised. If Mahomes is five percent instead of fifteen percent, I'm not going to be surprised.

So there's a lot that could really, really kind of mislead people this week, I think, in ownership around the industry. Yeah, I'm good with that. And we'll wait. That's why we wait. And I think, like I said, there actually is news to wait on this week. I think a lot of people are building lineups last night, today, tonight. And I get that from a, you know, family perspective and you got to, you know, you want to just have it.

It's nothing bad with having something in there. And I'm not, I think people take it the wrong way when like, you know, they think like, oh, I don't want to tinker on Sunday morning. It's technically not really like by definition, you could call it like you tinkered from one thing to another, but But a tinker to me is more like when you've got it solidified after all the news, all the ownership, all the decisions have been made.

And then you just randomly are like, oh, I heard this at last second on a show. I want to go tinker and make a change. It's like you were already solidified with all the information that could possibly be at hand. That added piece is new information to you, but it's probably just somebody else's opinion. Nothing really made it. That you should go swap this right away or make this change. So if you are building now, I think it's a bit too early.

I've got hundreds of lineups and they're not built. So I would just wait until you can get all the final news and see what that looks like. It's going to be important. So anything else you wanted to cover here? No, leverage lane time. Yeah, go ahead. Leverage lane. Actually, I want to ask you this first. Did you see this? We were sweating with this the other night. I wanted to show it to you. But did you see the sweat station?

I know there's some other people out there doing some sweat stuff. And we know that's a conversation for a different day and different conversations on X. But this is really cool over at our partnership at DFSOS.com. But I love it because I like looking this shit up. And you and I have been around for a long time. You know, cut sweats with Nelson. I always love that because I get it's only after a round, but at least give me an idea.

I want to kind of know where I sit. Do I have a chance to win any money? What's it look like? But this is pretty advanced, I think, for what you're looking at. You can look as yourself and bring yourself up. You can sweat as a certain user. You can pick any username and sweat as them. But what I like too is it shows you right away how many dupes you have for each live. How's your portfolio looking?

And then throughout the night, it's updating. He's going to have this live for Sunday with a bunch more tournaments. But if you go to dfsos.com, use code SHIPIT, you get fifty percent off the all access. If I just go back here, I don't know if it's updated yet, but if I go to Sweat Station, it looks like he's going to have all these different contests. They're all pre-locked, but you're going to be able to sweat on. Where's it at on Sunday?

Am I just under showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown maybe?

Upcoming classic early only it right now the mega Milly is the only thing I see in there but I'm assuming there'll be there'll be more by the time we get there the main Milly Maker he had last week when he was doing it rio was following along like seventy percent after the third quarter eighty six percent as we go went into the fourth quarter and we're just like man hopefully again anything can happen but the cool part is is you can actually see brought up a good point for like main slate and you've been there definitely in like a satellite or something where you're like man kind of going really good.

And I think I'm doing awesome in this tournament. I can see the PMR and like only you look at the couple of guys behind you, but in these other tournaments, somebody could have the game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack in seventh place. And you're like, Oh shit, this is going to radar that for you right away. Cause on the, on the side that shows what you, I'm not gonna bring it back up. It shows like what could hurt you.

You We're like, how the hell can Malik Washington hurt this guy? And then you go see it was in a lineup in like fifty seventh or something. And then he gets that catch or whatever the touchdown he got last week. And all of a sudden he vaulted up to like fourth place. He was still quite far out on Rio's lineup. But it was I think was twenty points. But it was like still you don't you didn't even know this guy was coming.

And now all of a sudden there's a guy right behind you and he's there. So it's like this is the idea of. Just new technology and using it. You and I did the AI cohort that we went through with everybody on how you can use to build tools and curate stuff and bring it together.

I thought that was really cool just to be able to have that, the sweat station where you can go and actually watch what you're up to or follow other people along. It's a really cool thing. Personally, I don't want to use it. I either don't want to know or I enjoy the process of looking one lineup at a time to see how I'm doing and what I'm rooting for and against and so on and so forth.

Yeah I I don't usually like looking at anything by the way until like it's later in the slate I care way less when it's like the first quarter you know and it's awesome I do always appreciate the support but like when people are tagging me in the third quarter of a showdown game like you're at first I'm like I've been in first with like thirty seconds left and watch it tumble down so it's like it means nothing in the third quarter but I do kind of like to know especially for classic slateClassic ContestsNFL Classic contests use players from multiple games. On DraftKings, you fill nine spots within $50,000: one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, one flex and one team defense/special teams.Check the included games before building. A Classic contest can cover a small afternoon slate rather than the full day, changing your available players and lineup options.Read the full definition of Classic Contests I'm excited for like when you can like late swapLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap opportunities and that's what I was going to say yeah it's like you know it can be very helpful like not just from

An entertainer's entertainment standpoint but it can be helpful to you know make it easier to make quick late swap decisions Yeah, like Gokalek said, for Rio, the anti-sweat was crazy because he was sitting in first after the morning slate and then had to hold it all day long with the Patriots defense and it ended up working out. So congrats again to our guy Rio. But yeah, let's get to our leverage lane, man.

Like you said, you've got some spots to talk through and it's more of a concept here, which I like typically more than my display. So let's talk about it. Yeah, it's a concept we've talked about before. So this will be somewhat repeated for some, but there are obviously a lot of listeners, so this will be the first time they hear something like this. But this is a week where I've got a ticket to theSatelliteA satellite, also called a qualifier, is a contest whose prizes are tickets into a more expensive contest or a live final instead of cash. Tickets are free entries into that bigger event.Before building, compare the number of seats to the size of the field. The share of entries that win a ticket tells you whether to build like a cash game or a tournament.Read the full definition of Satellite Mega Milly. So I've got one single bullet.

I'm going up against a lot of people who have multiple lineupsMulti-EntryMulti-entry means entering more than one lineup into the same contest. A contest's entry limit, such as 3, 20 or 150, sets how many lineups one user can submit.Set your total spend for the slate first, then divide it into entries. Multi-entry should spread a fixed budget across more outcomes, not raise how much you put at risk.Read the full definition of Multi-Entry. So let's for a moment pretend that this was a showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown slate and not a main slate. And let's use the Jacksonville-Baltimore game from just a couple days ago. Imagine a really simplified contest where it's not a mega Milly. It's just me versus one other guy, but he has five lineups. I have one.

And now let's imagine a scenario where he says like, Hey, I'm so confident in Jacksonville here that I'm going to play five different five, one Jacksonville lineups. How does that affect what I should do? If I say I also am really confident in a Jacksonville, you know, onslaught here, I'm also going to play a Jacksonville five one. I essentially have a one in six chance of having the best Jacksonville lineup.

That's also like not, you know, even acknowledging the, you know, the potential risk that I dupe with one of his lineups. And now it's like I have a one sixth chance of tying and he guarantees that he at least wins half the price, but which like, again, that would mean that I'm doing something really, really stupid.

What I can do instead is I can say, all right, I'm going to avoid the, I'm going to avoid building something that is just a version of all of the different iterations that he has. And I'll go like, you know, I'll use all of Zay Flowers, Derrick Henry and Funiano, whatever his name is. And, And now I know that if Flowers and Derrick Henry are both necessary, I will beat him, right? And so now my chance of winning is just the probability of that happening.

And so maybe I improve from one out of six to one out of three or one out of four, something like that, right? That's obviously preferred. We can...

Take that same thought expand it out to a big giant main slate expand it out to uh the mega milli where there are so many other people and it's not just one Person and we can still say all right what do I need to do to keep from having a disadvantage over the people who have so many different lineups well the thing I want to do is I want to avoid building something that fits into someone else's portfolio where they have multiple iterations of the same lineup that I've just built.

That is when I get into a bad position. I need to avoid that. You can think about it this way. Imagine there are a handful of guys who have this contest maxed. Some of them are going to do something like, all right, I'll have five Shador lineups, five Locke lineups, three Willis lineups, so on and so forth. There are also going to be some guys who say, I've got... Fifteen lineups this week. I want to build fifteen different Shador stacks, right?

And it's like, so now, you know, some are going to be doubles with Concepcion and Fanon. Some are going to be doubles with Boston and Concepcion. Some are going to be the other doubles. Some are going to be singles. And I'm also going to mix and match like which bring back I use or whether I use a bring back.

And so I don't want to be going up against those lives where they have so many more chances of getting the perfect iteration of my own lineup. I instead want to build something that's super unique, where if the general thought behind my lineup comes to fruition, I am alone at the top and not competing with so many other versions of my own lineup.

So with that in mind, My leverage lane, which is specific to the contest that I'm playing this week, is to find a stack that's totally unique. It's contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian enough where I'm not fighting with other people who have the same stack as mine if it hits. So a couple of things that I'm thinking through. I did have the Jets on the list as Adonai has become more and more popular.

I think I have to take that off the list because I think I won't be the only one who has that thought. But the two that are dominating my mind right now are party stacks without either of McCaffrey and Kittle. So like maybe Demarcus Robinson and Watkins or something like that. Or, yeah, it's really... If that hits, that's crazy. It's crazy, but it's also really cheap. Demarcus Robinson has had a real role. Demarcus hitting, I don't think, is crazy at all.

The second receiver also hitting, that's the harder part, but maybe it's just one explosive play. One forty-yard touchdown. If those guys both have success, then it's like, what are the chances that McCaffrey and Kittle give Put up like they're probably not going to fail. But what are the chances they put up a score that I need to have had? Probably not as high, right?

Like if if Kittle then gets eighteen and McCaffrey gets twenty two, like I can find twenty from a tight end and thirty from a running back instead. That's not super difficult. So that can be really done. Who's the other guy you're saying in that stack? Not to cut you off, but you're saying... Probably Watkins. I need to do more research on which guy it should be. What is it? Robinson, Watkins, Cowing? Yeah.

And I think Watkins is certainly going to be the guy that projects better, but maybe Cowing the guy who's more Likely to have the four-yard touchdown, which is why I don't want to commit to one right now because I need to actually... Oh, for sure. I just read not who you're on, so I thought who you were considering in that stack. That's what I was trying to think, what you had to actually have to get there, but that makes sense. Okay, go ahead, sir.

And then the second one...

Is joe Milton and this one like I definitely not double stacking joe Milton but what I might do is I might use a double bring back and and so I think this would be like uh Milton lemon um and then Singletary and Nabers bring back or Singletary and Likely bring back and now I have you know plenty of money at tight end to spend I think this one works really well because I like the fact that it's going up against a lot of similar structures that are Shador Sanders or Drew Locke.

And I kind of think that from a pure projectionProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections standpoint, and especially from a pure ceiling standpoint, even though I'm going to much lower ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, I don't really know that I'm going to a worse spot. I might even be going to a better spot if Milton is who I... Hope he can be now. The thing here is like, I'm not in any way, shape or form projecting success for Joe Milton, which isn't even about Joe Milton.

It's about the fact that like, there's no Devante Smith, the offensive scheme, like Nick Foles just called it, like not even a college offense. And I think he's right about that. I get it. The type of offense and the type of scheme that I think Joe Milton could be really effective in is like, think of the way that LaFleur used Malik Willis and kind of built the offense around Willis last year whenever he had to step in.

The Eagles don't have any of that going on. This has to be purely on the talent of Joe Milton, but he is really talented. And The last, like, real full game that he played, I think, was, uh, twenty, twenty-four, and he was, like, twenty-two of twenty-seven, had good numbers. Uh, Keyshawn Booth, this was with New England, it was, you know, just a throwaway final week where Buffalo was resting starters, so don't take too much into this game, but...

Keishon Booth had seven for one hundred seventeen and a touchdown or something like that. He's capable of supporting a ceilingCeilingCeiling is the high end of a player's or lineup's realistic range of fantasy scores. It describes a big performance that could happen when things go well, not the expected score or an absolute maximum.Describe what must happen for each player to have a huge game. Then check whether those conditions help or hurt the other players in your lineup.Read the full definition of Ceiling outcome from a wide receiver, provided that that production is coming in a really concentrated way. The thing I don't love about it and what might keep me off of this is like I want a receiver with Milton who is more similar to the archetype of Keishon Booth, you know, like downfield sideline type throws, explosive plays that way.

And you're not really getting any of that from lemon, but he's also the only wide receiver on Philly that I could like actually see really dominating target shareTarget ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share in a way that booty did in that game. So that's the tricky part about this and why I might not go to it.

Um, I, I'm trying to come up with like another offense on the fly that I might go to, um, To fill this, but the one that I was most intrigued by, the one that I really, really wanted coming into the week was Jayden Daniels' Trail on Burks double bring back from Los Angeles. And obviously that's out the window now. And so I have to kind of readjust, but the thought process behind what I do is the same.

And whether I go to Philly, whether I go to...

Uh you know uh that the really contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian San Francisco build whether I go to something that I haven't talked about yet like maybe it's you know maybe it's Daniel Jones maybe it's a Daniel Jones double I won uh fifty grand in the in the week one mega milli last year with the Daniel Jones double stack with Tyler Warren and uh and michael Pittman so maybe I maybe I should go back to Daniel Jones since he has the Dallas match up here I don't know what I'm going to yet, but I thought it was just a really great opportunity to talk through a strategy aspect.

This is not a super difficult concept to understand. Hopefully, I've done a good enough job of explaining this where now that everyone who has heard this goes, man, that's a valuable thing to think through.

Every one of us, even if you don't have a ticket to theSatelliteA satellite, also called a qualifier, is a contest whose prizes are tickets into a more expensive contest or a live final instead of cash. Tickets are free entries into that bigger event.Before building, compare the number of seats to the size of the field. The share of entries that win a ticket tells you whether to build like a cash game or a tournament.Read the full definition of Satellite Mega Milly, even if you don't try and win tickets into the Mega, All of us, no matter what our skill level and no matter what kind of bankrollBankroll ManagementBankroll management is how you size your DFS spending relative to the money you have set aside to play, called your bankroll, so normal losing streaks do not wipe you out.Write down your per-slate limit before the season starts. Spending rules are much easier to keep when you set them before a losing streak, not during one.Read the full definition of Bankroll Management we have funding our DFS, we're playing in contests where we might have a single bullet and other people that we're playing against have many different lineups.

Now, it's a little bit different in lower stakes because I think a lot of the people who are maxing low stake contests, they're not differentiating their own lineups. As well as the best players in the Mega Milly are. And so you're not giving up as much of a disadvantage to those people in the lower stakes as I would be in the Mega Milly if I'm not thinking this through. But it's still a valuable thing to think through.

And it's one of those things that I think for a lot of people, once you hear it, you realize, oh, I get it now, and it makes a lot of sense. So I wanted to talk through it and kind of relate it to how I'm approaching this specific slate. Yeah, I'll definitely add on. I think some great points there. And the other thing too, the chat, you already got them so excited about Darius Cooper.

It's not even thinking about Omar Cooper Jr. On the Jets. Go to Darius Cooper. Downfield Darius. Darius Cooper an interesting one. And he's also one of them I'm thinking through. I think one of the things here is...

There's an outcome where the joe Milton play works really really well because Milton has a nice russian game and Nabers is the is the wide receiver that you need on the slate and like a ten point performance from lemon is fine I can still win a million dollars with a ten point lineman performance The thing that's holding me back on Darius Cooper is like zero is really, really in his range of outcomes.

And is it worth a maybe like five point better ceiling for a significantly larger likelihood that he just totally tanks me? I don't know. And so it's another part of this that I need to think through. But I love that the chat went immediately there because Darius Cooper is absolutely more of the like Keishon booty style wide receiver that I was looking for.

The problem with Cooper, and you always want to be careful with names with double O's in them because those can very quickly be X posts with zeros in them and be like Darius Cooper and those zero points. You hate to see it, but it's definitely possible. And if that was the play, I think then you could do a couple of different things. Like say you could have Singletary Likely, Singletary Nabers, Just Nabers, Just Singletary, and then fill out a round.

I'd actually feel better about something like that and stacking things up. Than I would about just playing the Drew Locke naked, like people keep talking about and like whatever, or just Drew Locke, JSN and stack it up. It's like, I'd kind of want something like that that could also separate me and really make it so that those in the afternoon are like, well, shit, now I actually need Drew Locke to have a really good game.

Plus the Giants D is going to be popular with the Eagles D. So like anything in that game where you're stacking anything is going to be a way to get different. So I would want to, I would also want to include Singletary in it personally, just because You get a double whammy of all of it. It's the quarterback against the somewhat popular Giants D at twenty eight. You get the running back against the summer, but you'll be different that way, too.

And it just all there's there's layers of separation in there. Yeah. Well, not only that, but the other reason to include it is because you want the Giants to put a point so that the Eagles have to abandon the, you know, the cowardly. Offensive strategy that they would prefer to take and make Milton push the ball downfield. I think that's a necessary part of it. The last thing I want to say here is this is specific to what I'm doing.

You can still use either of these stacks, I think, in a single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry this week just because I do think it's a week where there isn't a dominant stack. There aren't even great stack opportunities, I would say, where every aspect of it is high probability. I don't think you're sacrificing as much just you know, projection equity, I would say, as normal to do this.

But I would also say, like, if I were playing single entry this week, some of the stacks that I would be giving very real thought to that I'm probably not are the Jet stack, Cleveland stacks. Like, in single entry... It's much easier to go to a spot where people are going to have a lot of different iterations of it where you think that you have the smartest version of it.

So like with Cleveland, for example, I think that Denzel Boston will not be anywhere near as owned with Shador Sanders as he should be. And Fannin and Concepcion might be slightly over-owned within Sanders stacks simply because Boston is so under-owned. So if I were playing single entry, I would probably... I'd certainly be more Likely to do something like that than what I'm going to be doing with my one lineup.

But with only one lineup, I want to avoid the different iterations of what people are building. And a Shador double with Boston falls into the category of like, this is an iteration that other people are going to have ten of, and I only get to have one. Yeah, and I want to bring this up, too, because, you know, all good stuff there. I think people love it.

But, you know, this is something that gets so overworked or, like, you know, underappreciated, I guess. I'm like, oh, well, that's what you're doing in the forty four forty four. He's not saying it a bad way. I know this guy and you do as well. But I'm saying he's saying, like, well, that's so maybe I'll just get cautiously gross in the regular single entry. I just want to showcase this is the beauty. Of DFSOS.com. I went back to the most recent.

And I know you guys know I care about Sample size so much. This is just one event. I'm just saying it's way more common than you would think on a week-to-week basis where people would say, oh, yeah, but that's only six hundred and thirty-four people and blah, blah, blah. True. All right, let's go back and see. Uticao. This was the... He won it and then the next night he won the Mega Milly for ShowdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown back-to-back and...

Two hundred and twenty one points are what took it down. And then you say, oh, well, let me look at the twenty dollar million maker. Oh, yeah. See, Tambo, it's crazy. Two fifty. That's not even close. True. But we're talking about single entry. Let's go down to a hundred dollar single entry that everybody loves to play, whether they got the bankroll for it or not, because it says $100,000 up top. Two twenty one would have been second, almost first to twenty five.

It's not it's not as crazy or as different as you would think from a six hundred thirty four of the sharpest players in the world or people that have done well enough to win these tickets and all these different factors against a thirty. What is this one? Fourth out. Usually it's, I think, $3,700. But this week it was forty four, forty four entries, surprisingly enough, to the forty four, forty four mega. But just to note it.

It's like the score is like so many people will say, Blake, like, they'll be like, Hey, I, I'm going to do that, but I'm gonna do it in the, in the crazy tournament over here. Cause they, they based on like what the money they're putting in. And that's also what's bad about, you know, when people, when they win a satellite ticket, they'll play aggressive because it's five or nine dollars or thirty seven dollars. And they play to win the tournament. They play in a good way.

Like you're talking about, they're thinking outside the box. Um, I think first profit, Mentioned it earlier. We've obviously talked about this for years. Difference between being risky and being dumb. Like, yeah, I'm just going to do this crazy, stupid thing versus I'm going to do this because it's different and also gets me different against the rest of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Read the full definition of The Field. People play that way in a satellite. They win the ticket. And then let's use your showdown example.

They win the ticket to the big tournament on the Jacksonville Baltimore slate the other night. And they say, Fagnano, never even heard of that guy. I'm going five, one Jags. All right. Well, you just did the one in six thing. You talked about in your example of like, you just joined the crowd. It's like, we're not saying to be stupid. We're saying to think about how you can separate.

And then by the way, if you've got Milton with, even if you just had Milton Singletary and Nabers, I don't care. Don't even do it. I would prefer putting a Cooper. I'm just saying, but even if you didn't do that, you are now different enough with a chance to separate. And it's not saying just plug in all the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk. I'd still be thinking through very thoughtfully the rest of what you're doing.

But the idea of that is like, some people don't realize like that can be enough, even in a hundred dollars single entry. And you put it in there that way. It's just so many people don't want to do that. They want to tighten right up and say, well, oh, if this worked last week, I'm going the exact same way this week. So- All that to say, I think those are good concepts and ideas and the way to handle it.

Even though you're talking about one single lineup versus single entry, like you've got one versus nineteen versus et cetera of people that have multiples, lots of them. It's not a single entry, but it's a smaller field and you have one lineup.

You want to play it to give yourself an actual shot at the top so that if you separate it's potentially for all of the money and getting away from the core of the field that's getting pushed down and that gets you a cash with the opportunity to get into a position where you can ship and then hopefully it gets you in a position where you're sweating it down the stretch and really have a chance to win the whole tournament what do you have for yours Yeah, we'll get out of here after this.

I got mine. So mine is very simple. I said it was earlier going to be conceptual. I think with the cheaper quarterbacks, all that, it'd be easy just to say balanced. Like I talked about when I got excited about some of those stacks that leave you balanced, but I'm going to go a step further and I'm just going to say five man game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack. And it could be a triple stack with a run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back. It could be a three-two. It could be a two-three.

It could be, you know, there's tons of different ways to go this week. But I think that the cheaper quarterbacks are leading to the naked singles, the nakeds and singles a lot more. And even in the standard stacks, like if someone goes a... Gino with Adnan. Let's use my other one story from earlier. They're going to go Jayden Daniels, Antonio Williams and Puka. Well, that makes sense because both those guys are popular. I'll just plug in Jaden.

He's $2,000 more than the cheap quarterbacks. I'm good. But then I think a lot of it will still get very popular around that. I think when you go to the game stacks or the three ones, this or sorry, like a four one. So like a triple stack with a run back or a three, two game stack. I think it's unique for this week because I also think we went through almost game by game just ten minutes ago to say, did we not hit on some of these?

There's no way to cover all the games this week. There's so many scenarios in each game. It's not like a slate where we have that one standout game that this is the one you need to be on. We even talked about Dallas and Indy. And you said yourself, like if I didn't have a piece of it, So be it. It just might not be the one to have a piece of. You can work around that in some lineups and you will and probably actually stack.

It could be the game that I end up stacking this way. And that's how I have that game and not some of others. But I do think it's important this week to note that I just don't feel like you're ever going to be able to hit all the spots anyway. And so you can, I mean, you're willing to fade CMC and Kittle, but poor CMC. The passing stack in that game.

So you are accounting for it in certain spots, but in others, you're just not going to be able to account for everything. And I think the game stacks or the triple stack with a run back are the best way to go against it. I like that a lot. And that also reminded me, I do want to talk just for a moment before we get out of here on CMC and Kittle. How do you feel about those guys?

Do you feel like, number one, can you use them together? Number two, do you need at least one of them? What are your thoughts there? It feels like you can definitely use them together. It's just, it's what lineup you're using them in together. It's probably less Likely of what I'm going to do. I think there's just other ways to do it. I think Kittle in two tight end lineups, obviously he's going to be out there quite a bit. You're going to see that often.

So I'd be thinking about it from that perspective, but even just to note, Um, you know, covering the game, I think is important. Like I think the forty Niners do put up points. I know they're missing guys, but I always do think about certain spots. That's the one I'd be more wanting to make sure of. And people always think it's because you're saying like, oh, well, so you're saying the forty Niners are good, but the Dallas Cowboys aren't.

It's like, no, with Dallas, let's say Ferguson could still play even, but then you've got Dak, Seedy, Pickens, Flournoy been in the mix. Ferguson, Spanford, Javonte Williams has been in the mix. The defenses, you got Indy on the other side, then who, like the runbacks, and is Daniels Jones actually going to show up? There's way more factors to consider. But the other thing is only what? Maybe Lamb and maybe Spanford, if Ferguson gets ruled out, ends up with ownership there. But we have massive ownership on Spanford.

Kittle and CMC to account for. So when you're accounting for something, I think people don't realize or it doesn't hit as quickly that it needs to be the slate dynamics that bring it in.

If there's already so many people, and the same when you talk about of like two tight end before when it wasn't, you'd see a week where all these tight ends go off, but you're like, yeah, but this week there was only five percent or seven percent of lineups that were even on two tight ends. So even if they all go off, it's unlikely to see them up there. This is the thing about the San Francisco guys.

If one or both go off, you're very Likely to see them up there because of that. So I'm definitely accounting for them. But I even think it's in like your leverage lane just saying it, but you could go like my idea somewhat of like Purdy, Robinson, and maybe it's still Kittle or maybe it's Purdy, CMC. And Rob, you're already separating enough with putting Purdy and Robinson and then whatever you do on the other side.

Like what if you went, I'm just making this up on the spot, but Purdy, CMC, Robinson, Bowers. It's possible. It's definitely possible. You've already got plenty of separation. You're flipping Kittle to Bowers. You're getting a run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back. You're getting that. And then maybe you put somebody else in there with my leverage lane, but I'm just noting it.

There is examples that you can still do on this slate where you are accounting for it, but in a much different way than the rest of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Read the full definition of The Field. It always goes back to it. We're not playing stupid. We're playing different. That's the big thing.

Yeah, for me, I think I prefer Kittle of the two just because I think we saw a very clear, purposeful role change for McCaffrey in their last game where they know that without Mike Evans on the field and without Debo on the field, they need McCaffrey to play such a big role in the passing game that... They want him to be focused there and not so much on the rushing. Kaelin Black's doing a good job running, by the way.

And I think that's part of it, too, is at this point in McCaffrey's career, he's just not getting explosives on the ground. And so... He adds way, way more to the offense as a pass catcher than what he adds as a rusher in relation to Kalen Black. I have a ladder this week on rushing yards for Kalen Black. I'm expecting Kalen Black to once again have a really nice share of the rushing. And I do think that that kind of caps McCaffrey.

Now, what I don't know is like, is Kalen black going to continue to not necessarily dominate rushing, but is he going to have a similar share of the rushes in the red zone as he has outside of that? So is he really taking touchdown equity from McCaffrey? That's the part that I don't know.

And that's why I think McCaffrey could still be a very good play, but, but man, like there's, I think there's enough risk that black takes enough of his rushing that you're essentially paying like $1,000 for, for McCaffrey to be a receiver who doesn't get explosives. And yeah, on this lane, I would just rather play Kittle as a result. Yeah, another thing about that too, and you've got a couple good one-liners you didn't know about today. McCaffrey, maybe he's capped, like you said, so that's one.

Then you had Singletary. You say Singletary five times fast, it sounds like single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry. Maybe he is the guy to use the single entry this week. But I think that that's another thing. Kubiak talked pretty, we didn't even talk about this, but he talked enough about And when he did that about Cousins last week, saying he represented, you know, like, it's still going to be our guy, all that. Cousins had a pretty big game.

But I think if you go to the passing game and the rush attempts for Jeanty at just $5,900, he's the opposite side. You keep Kittle in, not Bowers. Bowers would lead to Cousins. But we go Purdy and then you drop it down to one of those wide receivers, Robinson, like you talked about, maybe you're Cowing. That gets you really different and you can still afford a lot.

So now you can put whatever you want into that lineup and get like, man, I'm still covering some really nice spots here, but you're not doing it in the most common way that everybody else is. So I really think this is a fun slate. I think there's a ton of ways to get different. You guys got to find your lane. We gave ours. Alex, let the people know where they can find you and anything else you got going on. Yeah. Blick analytics.com.

That's where, that's where all my stuff is. And, uh, you know, conditional ownership continues to play a massive role. And hopefully this is like the fourth straight Sunday where the, the Sunday night football showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown is also a fantastic, fantastic, uh, outcome for us all at Black Analytics. So yeah, get in there. It's a, it's a, it's I think a very good time of year to do that.

This is part of the year where, you know, a lot of people feel like they're, you know, they're setting their ways for the season, but this is still a part of the season that you can absolutely improve your game. And I think Black Analytics will help you do that. Yeah. Agreed. If you guys want to check it out, you can use Tambo or leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage for the code over there and get in to the Discord.

It's, you know, it's almost like you say analytics matter and they matter even more when we get to week nine and beyond, right? We've got more data. We can actually use it to our advantage. So I like that quite a bit. Check it out, guys. Blick analytics.com Ship It Nation.com.

If you guys want to be able to get in for the rest of the season, one fifty includes right through the Super Bowl and works out to less than fifty bucks a month based on what's left. One ninety nine if you want to include it with SaberSim. And then we had our partner up DFS OS dot com. If you want to get it on the sweat station this weekend, you got to be all access code ship.

It gets you it for twenty nine a month instead of fifty nine. So check that out. That's going to do it for this one, guys. For Alex, for myself, ToeTagginTambo. Good luck in your contest this week. Let's ship it.