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NFL Week 2 – Sunday Shippers | Main Slate | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Aired Sun Sep 20, 2026 Hosts Mike Petta, Tyler Tamboline & Zach Trivett Runtime 1:33:38 Chapters 16 Views 6,558

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Sunday, September 20 NFL slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

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The Short Version

Mike Petta, Tyler Tamboline, and Zach Trivett approach Week 2 with strong running back chalk and several ways to differentiate through stacks. Bijan Robinson ($8,200) and Derrick Henry ($7,200) lead the expensive options, while Schultz, Mayer, and Aaron Jones supply value. Dallas is the preferred popular offense, with Dak, Javonte, Lamb, and Pickens forming the main combinations. Lower-owned Bears, Packers, Ravens, and 49ers stacks can support those popular individual plays.

Caleb Douglas ($3,700) stands out as inexpensive exposure opposite San Francisco, whose passing attack gets strong support alongside differing views on McCaffrey. Bucky, Barkley, Chuba, and Tuten offer alternative running back constructions, often paired with their defenses. Chase, Smith-Njigba, and McBride provide expensive pivots from running back-heavy builds. Monitor McConkey's status and preserve late-swap options: disappointing early results may require moving away from popular Dallas-Washington combinations toward other afternoon games.

FadesTitans offenseMichael Wilson

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
VALUE Strongly supported at $3,200 with Collins out and a substantial target expectation, while emphasizing differentiation elsewhere around the popular value. 12:21
Little exposure planned after his three-touchdown opener because Marks still received work and the slate offers many competing running backs. 13:18
LEVERAGE A reduced-ownership ceiling play after a poor opener, with the difficult matchup and competing spend-ups expected to discourage the field. 15:41
Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST Strong support against Watson, especially paired with Bucky, but expected popularity makes alternative defenses worth considering. 16:45
VALUE Limited exposure is supported at $4,100 and low ownership because receiving and rushing opportunities offer explosive upside. 17:10
Passing stacks were supported mainly for 150-entry portfolios, while Bucky and Tampa defense were preferred in smaller sets. 18:42
LEVERAGE A strong running back alternative with ownership expected to stay near 10%, particularly paired with Tampa Bay defense. 19:09
ONE-OFF An acceptable standalone receiver at $6,400 for target volume without needing to pair him with his quarterback. 21:02
ONE-OFF An acceptable $6,000 standalone receiver and an easy Green Bay bring-back because of his central receiving role. 21:02
ONE-OFF The clear preferred Pittsburgh option with Pittman out and Rodgers intent on feeding him, although the game itself is not a stacking priority. 22:06
Jordan Love + Matthew Golden or Tucker Kraft + Garrett Wilson LEVERAGE A lower-owned way to surround popular running backs, though views differed between stacking the game and using only individual pieces. 29:37
VALUE Preferred among Green Bay receivers at $4,700 after heavy opening-game involvement, with the salary discount placing him ahead of Watson. 30:30
CORE A central play at $8,200 because of expected rushing volume and checkdowns against Carolina, with different stacks or defense pairings used around his ownership. 32:22
Preferred over Coker in one ranking as a low-owned Carolina receiver to pair with Bijan, while Coker also retained support. 33:17
Carolina Panthers DST Preferred over Atlanta defense in one view, with a Hubbard pairing suggested for lineups opposing Bijan's popular game script. 36:32
A lower-owned alternative with a clear lead role and two-touchdown potential, especially paired with Panthers defense, though salary and competing backs limit enthusiasm. 36:32
LEVERAGE A low-owned $7,000 alternative to Henry, especially with Eagles defense, although concerns remained about the game and backup work in a comfortable lead. 40:30
Philadelphia Eagles DST Strongly supported alongside Barkley as an overlooked alternative to popular expensive defenses against Tennessee's low-scoring offense. 41:05
Titans offense FADE Explicitly excluded because of the very low expected scoring output and lack of appealing offensive options. 41:05
VALUE Flowers and Lane being out put him in position to lead Baltimore's receiving group, with the $5,200 FanDuel salary especially attractive. 44:52
CORE One of the strongest plays regardless of ownership, with Baltimore's depleted receiving group supporting another heavy workload and possible additional catches. 46:05
VALUE The preferred cheaper Saints bring-back at $4,200 when Baltimore stacks need savings, supported by his recent receiving performance. 47:35
Lamar Jackson + Mark Andrews or Rashod Bateman LEVERAGE Cheap receiving partners create a low-owned alternative to relying on Henry, with Olave or Vele available as optional bring-backs. 49:44
Caleb Williams + Luther Burden III, Rome Odunze or Colston Loveland TOP STACK A strongly endorsed low-owned game-stack opportunity, using Minnesota bring-backs despite weather concerns and a difficult defensive matchup. 53:24
VALUE The preferred piece of the Minnesota-Chicago game for value, with Mason out and an expectation of at least 15 touches against a weak defense. 56:46
His $4,600 salary makes Jefferson or Addison pairings viable ways to afford expensive players against Chicago's defense. 57:10
Trevor Lawrence + Parker Washington IN PLAY The preferred Jacksonville pairing, with Washington still appealing at $5,900 despite the tougher matchup and uncertainty about Denver. 1:01:03
In consideration with Harvey out and limited backfield competition, viewed as a better fit on FanDuel and a possible alternative to Jones. 1:01:29
Jacksonville Jaguars DST Discussed as an attractive cheap defense against Nix, including a Tuten pairing for large-field differentiation. 1:05:02
LEVERAGE Endorsed for large-field tournaments at minimal ownership, particularly with Jaguars defense as an alternative running back-defense construction. 1:05:19
VALUE A preferred tight-end value with Bowers out, viewed as a leading receiving option whose previous game did not require sustained passing. 1:09:16
Considered playable at restrained ownership, though the tougher road matchup kept him behind the slate's strongest running back options. 1:09:37
Justin Herbert + Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston or Tre Harris IN PLAY An afternoon pivot whose pairing depends on McConkey's status, with disagreement over whether his playing would support or undermine the stack. 1:10:01
Floated at $3,000 as a pivot from Schultz because of his usage and potential upside even if McConkey plays. 1:10:49
CORE A main piece of the favored Dallas offense because of his extensive playing time and the expectation that scoring will concentrate among its leading options. 1:12:02
LEVERAGE A $3,800 way to differentiate Dallas exposure from Lamb and Pickens, with enough three-receiver usage to make the pivot viable. 1:12:23
Dak Prescott + CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens TOP STACK The preferred popular passing attack in a home rebound spot, with Javonte also available and no requirement to force a Washington bring-back. 1:15:36
Jayden Daniels + Terry McLaurin + Stefon Diggs LEVERAGE A double stack with a Dallas bring-back was suggested as a less common way to use the popular game, though views differed on Washington's appeal. 1:17:15
Views differed between excluding him from the primary Dallas pool and using him at $3,800 as a stack component or standalone tight-end alternative. 1:17:39
Suggested as a standalone tight-end alternative when avoiding Jones or the Minnesota passing stack, hoping he supplies the position's separating score. 1:18:02
FADE Passed over in favor of waiting for a better spot, with Arizona interest concentrated on McBride. 1:18:46
LEVERAGE A high-ceiling alternative to spending at running back, with support as both an initial tournament selection and a late swap from McCaffrey. 1:19:30
A $5,500 option for 150-entry portfolios or afternoon pivots after an encouraging debut, with exposure still being debated. 1:20:28
Seattle Seahawks DST Supported at $3,500 for defensive strength against Arizona and additional return-touchdown upside from Shaheed. 1:22:33
LEVERAGE Paying up at tight end offers separation from popular cheap options, often alongside another inexpensive tight end to preserve salary. 1:23:46
Brock Purdy + Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel or George Kittle TOP STACK Strong support for multiple passing-stack combinations, including McCaffrey, because uncertainty over the receiving partners should discourage ownership. 1:26:15
CORE Overweight exposure was explicitly planned, although opinions differed because Black's involvement created workload concerns and the passing stack was preferred elsewhere. 1:28:42
VALUE A strongly supported $3,700 bring-back against San Francisco, with expected trailing-game targets and continued playing time even if Miami falls well behind. 1:29:27

DFS Terms Used on This Show

ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 3:30 Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 3:58 LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 3:58 ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 4:15 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 6:16 GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 20:36 Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 25:35 Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 30:55 CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 33:17 RakeRake is the share of entry fees the site keeps as its fee instead of paying it out as prizes. It is the gap between total entry fees and the total prize pool.Compare rake between contests you would enter anyway. A slightly higher rake can be worth it in a softer field, but when the fields look similar, take the contest that keeps less.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 42:08

Full Transcript

20,176 words 96 min read 16 sections
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0:05

All systems go. Clear for lift off.

0:36

What's up everyone Tyler Tamboline here aka ToeTagginTambo back for another edition of Sunday shippers here on the shipment Nation YouTube station we got week two NFL DFS title hoop here with me as always I'm gonna break down all things for the DraftKings FanDuel classic slate there's thirteen games some good early only and PM only slates as well so you know some of the things might apply to that but hoop bring you in first man we're coming back off a solid week one another another week ahead of us week two's here Yeah, solid week one for sure.

1:07

Excited to dive into it. I mean, a ton of interesting spots today, a ton of spots that could definitely pop off for DFS in terms of the start to the week. I mean, I think we did a pretty good job of laying out what we expected in that Lions-Bills game and just kind of looking back at what we talked about, I think it was pretty, pretty spot on.

1:29

I mean, with the Bills, just being able to score whenever they wanted and then, Hey, could the Lions do something to keep it relatively close? And they did just enough to keep it close and had this offensive explosion. So for my fandom, not great with the Lions, but you know, it's all about life's all about expectations. I'm not a quote guy. But you know, one quote that has always stuck with me, never expect anything. And you will not be disappointed.

1:56

So you got to set those expectations, uh, in place and then, you know, disappointment doesn't, uh, doesn't really follow behind. So, um, yeah, I didn't really expect the Lions to win, but man, the Bills are going to be a tough out. I think this year with, with head team, I mean, man, Josh Allen looked phenomenal. The coaching changes are going to be, uh, I think going to be great for them, but in terms of this slate, man, there's a lot of different ways to go.

2:21

Loaded at basically all positions. Talk about tight end. We have a lot of cheap options. So I'll hit on all that when I kind of do the little overview. But excited to be here and talking football with you guys again. It's not little. It's going to be a grand scheme overview. So it's the grand plan. And Nades comes in with another one. Who thought Hoop was dropping quotes on Sunday mornings? I don't know. But title just fresh off the tables, right?

2:44

You must have just got back. Did you? How was the night? No the four days in a row though and sat Friday to Saturday I got home at five a.m uh so yeah I'm I was running on two and a half hours of sleep yesterday I'm tired but and I lost so that wasn't great but hey I'm ready to get it ready to get it back today there's no better time you can be stuck However much, pretty much.

3:05

And you can get it back with millions of dollars on both sites. But yeah, I'm excited for this one. Starting week four, we're going to start seeing the early Sunday game. So the slates definitely shrink. Like you said, thirteen games. We don't get these very much all year and then by weeks and all that good stuff. So yeah, So many options. There's concentrated chalk to an extent.

3:23

I think it's similar to last week where pricing's really soft, which is going to kind of allow you to jam in the studs.

3:30

Just on my quick cash countdown that I did on Friday, it seemed like when I applied it to tournaments that there's like a bucket of running backs that I thought, are like strong plays and pivots and then anything after that seems really tough um but it seems like receiver you can pretty much play anybody um because there's so many mispriced ones and I think that's going to lead me to some lower owned stacks to jam some more of the chalky running back tight end seems pretty strong at ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ but yeah I'm excited for this That's how I like that.

3:58

The Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Full explanation ↗ countdown really gives you the idea. That's how I'd use for my tournament builds is like to think from that angle. Okay, if people are doing this, how can we use them in a different way? Or what would the LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ points be? Things like that. We talked through that yesterday on Leverage Lane with Alex and myself. We're here now. And then just so you guys know, right after this, we will have at eleven thirty a.m.

4:15

Eastern after the inactives come out, we'll have Ham and Belman. Breaking down another free show ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ constructions help you find your way to those million dollar top prizes and then later in the day at six p.m eastern we will have nades and ham breaking down the uh the Sunday night show for Sunday shippers so it's Sunday sweat down we're calling it there's gonna be a little bit of a sweat hopefully we got a sweat going on.

4:36

If you guys want to join the nation, still can get in. If you want to just get the monthly, you can go down here to the single sport and get in on NFL only. There's a plan with SaberSim and without. And then got to congrats those from Ship It Games from last week. We had the first three winners. It's a big deal because Shane, Jacobs, and Bill are will be participating in Sharp-A-Ship this week.

4:55

That will be posted out in the Discord at lock when I wish everybody good luck for the slate, but that lineup will be posted out and they'll have a chance to share up to a hundred thousand dollars split three ways. If we were to take down the $555 milli, you can still get in ship at games. Anytime you just have to be an all access or NFL only member giving away over $45,000 cash and prizes to our community.

5:18

Basically, we take all of our marketing budget as a smaller company in the space and we just apply it to NFL and say, hey, let's give back to the community and not squeeze every dollar out of every Person. So hopefully you guys appreciate that. Let's jump into this slate, guys. Let's talk about it. We'll go back here. We do have thirteen games hoop, as I said, the classic grand scheme overview. And funny enough, it's we're doing the grand scheme overview.

5:39

But the first game will include your favorite guy in the world, Dalton Schultz, when we get to Cincinnati at Houston. So everyone's fired up for that with you. But talk to us about this thirteen game slate and how you see it. I think there's some focus games and focus spots. So there probably will be some games that we breeze through a little bit here.

5:55

Yeah, I mean, there's definitely some spots that could go off and we'll kind of talk about those as we go through the game by game breakdown. But just like the overview of the slate, you know, we talk about it a lot on these shows. If you've tuned in for years, you kind of know our opinion at quarterback. It typically gets really spread out. And, you know, yet again, we're kind of seeing that, especially when you have more games, too. We have all these games.

6:16

So if you like a quarterback. Play the quarterback and you know if it's a guy that is getting a little bit of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ there's other things that you can do to maybe make your lineup look a little bit different so quarterback you know do as you please running backs absolutely loaded um got some studs at the top obviously uh bijan mcafree Derrick Henry we have some cheap plays Aaron Jones is gonna be pretty popular today with Jordan Mason out. So that's a talking point.

6:44

But then I think there's a big group of guys that have slate breaking upside that probably aren't going to get much ownership get overlooked. So we'll kind of identify some of those as we go throughout the show. Got some big name wide receivers on the slate. Ja'Marr Chase, JSN, Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb. So a lot of studs and could expect that, obviously, with more games on the slate. And I guess the one thing that kind of stands out with those guys is.

7:13

Not a ton of ownership there. I mean, there's ownership, obviously, because it's easy to play. But I think a lot of people are going to go to the expensive running backs over the expensive wide receivers. So maybe there's some opportunities there. Looking at guys like JSN, who could be under ten percent or right around ten percent. And even like the, you know, Justin Jefferson Jamar chases a lot of times, no matter what, if they're on a slate, they're probably getting to mid twenties.

7:38

And that's not necessarily the case today. I think a lot of people just go with the expensive running backs over some of these expensive wide receivers. So that's a big talking point.

7:47

Then you go to tight end and you're going to just, a lot of cheap options with uh Nico Collins out my guy Dalton Schultz back in the back in the uh world like I didn't like shit on him last week but I didn't say I wasn't you shit on him did I he's not your guy did it okay all right yeah I didn't know how hard I went all right if you guys say that but I think I had eight targets last week, so I got sucked right back in.

8:08

You know, I'm in on that. Then you got Mayer again with Bowers out and then Nosey Flowers. Mark Andrews is going to kind of go to the top of the list. So if there is an expensive tight end like Trey McBride, I think is an interesting talking point today. Colson Loveland. Another interesting talking point today on the slate because we know everyone's going cheap. I don't think a lot of people are going to go to tight ends.

8:30

So that just leads me to believe these guys are going to be pretty low on the expensive tight end. So a loaded up slate, a lot of different ways to go and excited to kind of break down the game by game stuff and see what we can find here. Yeah, we'll get to it here in a second title. Anything you want to add there?

8:46

I guess one of the perspectives Alex and I looked at yesterday and then hoop just hinted at it is like last week, two tight end for everybody this week, three running back for everybody. Why? Well, it worked in week one and they saw, and again, look at the pool of running backs. Like you said, you do have a lot of options there.

8:59

So it definitely feels, I think Alex's numbers yesterday had, um, you know, three running backs, something like And some will still use the two tight ends because there is guys like Schultz. Mayer didn't go up too much in price and he did his median result last week, all those factors, but anything else to add on the slate or any thoughts on the flex from that perspective? Yeah, it makes a lot of sense too. And I'm thinking about it.

9:24

It's like, okay, everyone's when everyone's zigzy zag. So if you go tight on this week and double tight end, most of those builds, the appealing ones are the really cheap tight ends and allows you then to get on the same roster allows that's probably the wrong word, but It kind of feeds you into the same roster construction because there's only so many spend ups you have on this slate. So I'm not even sure how much I love it.

9:46

But yeah, again, with that being said, like point per dollar wise, Schultz, Mayer, Andrews, like they all look really good. And then Loveland not very expensive. Juwan Johnson, Hawkins, these guys have upside. At the tight end position. I just would be a little cautious when you are playing like a Mayer, Schultz, or something. What does your different roster look like? The only other thing I got, we talked a little bit about a pre-show, but weather. We talked weather.

10:11

It means a little bit, but you don't want to turn on a game, see a downpour, and say these three clowns didn't mention anything about it. It looks like Vikings, Bears, and Steelers, Patriots are the biggest concerns. Again, it's all baked into the total and projections and all of that, so I'm not sure. How big of an impact? But it does seem like those two are the worst games today.

10:31

On a thirteen game slate, if you always just want to veer away from possible shaky spots, it's not hard to do on this slate. But I just want to mention that. No, certainly. And I think some of you are still, again, keeping an eye on Green Bay, the Jets as well. Anyone who's out there in the chat wants to post anything they know about the weather locally. It always helps us and helps others. We usually bring it up from the comments.

10:50

That's why we like doing these shows live as opposed to recorded. But let's hop into the first game hoop. And the chat's already talking about it. Says, you know, Sully says Schultz broke up the bromance.

11:00

With hoop so we'll start with that game we got Bengals at the Texans you mentioned a little bit about Ja'Marr Chase not going to see the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ he saw last week for certain and then you've got Schultz as one of the most popular him and Andrews I think are the most popular on the slate at tight end other guys could fit in there but they're most certainly going to be popular but Davis Montgomery your former boy from the Detroit Lions three touchdowns last week this Bengals team I mean Bucky was doing anything he wanted against them last week with Tampa so I don't know maybe there's a spot to go back here what do you think about this game uh yeah so I mean the one thing

11:33

That definitely stands out here is no Nico Collins and that immediately shifts how we need to to look at the Texans pass catchers and I guess yeah we'll just start with Dalton Schultz I mean um you're gonna make mistakes in life you're gonna say things that you probably shouldn't have said but the you know the the main thing is realizing that you made the mistake and correcting it and going to be a quick turnaround for me because I'm back with my boy Schultz.

11:58

Last week, I fucked up, made a statement I shouldn't have made. I apologize for that, and I hope he welcomes me back because I've been a Schultz guy for a long time and back with him. Eight targets last week with Nico Collins. I mean, really, look at it. He's probably going to be the most trusted pass catcher for Stroud today. I mean, we could see Ten. They got not eight last week. We could see ten if they're playing from behind or in a battle.

12:21

So I'm right back with Schultz. $3,200 is going to be popular. It's not like when I recommended Schultz in the past when no one's playing them. He's obviously going to be popular today. Fine with that. $3,200. You can do a lot. And then booty for K. Hutchinson, thirty five. One of those guys is going to have to do something. We do have some other cheap options on the slate at wide receiver.

12:44

So it's not like all in slam dunk plays, but definitely for tournaments. Both those guys, Montgomery coming off the big game, you know, I didn't another another guy might have missed on like a little bit last week. I wasn't very high on them. I thought Woods Marks would get some work and he did. I mean, Woods Marks got nine carries, but Montgomery just found the end zone three times.

13:05

So I still kind of stick to it where I think Woods Marks is going to get a decent bit of work. Montgomery, you know, the touchdown stuff last week was, you know, you're not going to predict someone to score the three touchdowns like that. So, yeah.

13:18

Won't really have much of him today and if he if he gets me gets me on the bengal side I mean people are going to view the matchup with with Texans as a difficult one and you know their defense is probably good but I mean the one thing in the NFL like the good offenses will always beat the good defenses that's just the way things are shaping up and we saw it last week with the Bills they kind of did whatever they wanted against this Texans defense because they're a really good offense and Yeah, the Texans probably do have a good defense.

13:45

But again, the best offenses will, in my eyes, always beat the best defenses. Bengals, I think, have a good enough offense to do damage. Ownership is going to be low because outside of Ja'Marr Chase, because people view this as a tough matchup. You know, Chase Brown at like no ownership, probably somewhat interesting for one fifty. Don't necessarily love it. Ja'Marr Chase, lower ownership than we've seen. I think he's a really good play in the slate.

14:09

T. Higgins, really good wide receiver play in the slate. Probably won't play much Burrow. There's some injury stuff with him this week going to play, but won't have much of him. But yeah, there's options here. But in terms of like, you know, going in on this game, I'd probably be lighter on this game outside of Dalton Schultz. Yeah, I think the biggest thing, title, just the slate at hand, right? So many other games.

14:33

If you're playing early only, could be great because then you don't have to contend with all the other stuff going on in the afternoon with the Purdy stuff and the Washington-Dallas game and all these different factors. It's not to say this can't beat it. I'm just saying that's the setup I think most are looking at. Montgomery priced at $6,500 again, even if he doesn't need three touchdowns, by the way, to get to that number again.

14:53

It's just noting that it's going to be hard for people to get to him when you've got you know, Javonte Williams, Gentee, all these different running backs on top of the big ones that we haven't even got to like Bijan, Henry, CMC, et cetera, et cetera. You know, Barkley, there's just so many names out there. So anything for you to add on this game or is, you know, Houston D your thoughts on Dalton Schultz outside of cash, anything else to add on this one?

15:17

Yeah, it's really Dalton Schultz, Ja'Marr Chase, and then I guess Xavier Hutchinson and Booth are fine. That's like the Booth Hutchinson stuff. When you punt receiver will be a lot lower own and more different roster construction since it's so easy to punt tight end. So I don't hate it. But man, like, do I really want to fire up Xavier Hutchinson on a thirteen game main slate? Booty feels like probably has a little more interest.

15:41

Even though Hutchinson a little safer, but yeah, Schultz and Ja'Marr Chase ran really for Ja'Marr Chase. It's almost a LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ play. Everyone wants to, like, I think his ownership could even moonwalk back a bit from what we're seeing right now. And that's because it's hard to click. JSN's up there, CD lamb, the running backs. He's coming off a absolute stinker. Now he plays Houston. So I don't even in a vacuum, love it.

16:03

It's, I think he's a little lower on than even projected right now. And he always has the potential to nuke. And, yeah, they're going to force-feed him the ball to try and get him back on track. Dalton Schultz is the other one, . I don't really have too much to say. I mean, he's the ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ tight end when I play him. Just kind of think about how you play them.

16:23

I don't think you should be going Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Bijan, Dalton Schultz, Mayer, and then do it from there. I think your roster has to tell a story and then has to have some sort of an ownership cap, I think, to get different when playing him. So I like him. He should have a lot of safe targets, seven for seventy or something. And he has the potential when he gets in the in the box that he can absolutely break the slate.

16:45

So that's chalk I'm eating. But I don't really like this game at all. Yeah. Any more interest in the second game? Let's keep it moving. We'll go Browns at the bucks. There's a, you know, a couple of different thoughts here, but anything you've got on this one, start us off. Bucky and Buccaneers defense. I mean, Deshaun Watson yeah. Not, not good. So I think you can play defense against them every single time and pair up a somewhat pivot running back in Bucky.

17:10

I mean, he is a pivot, but I do think people will see him in that like pivot bucket kind of. So I, I like him, though, a very easy pairing. And then I think KC Concepcion at .å››ty-one hundred is a good pivot as well from, like, the Schultz-Mayer range at the tight end if they use him in the flex, but Hutchinson, Vele, Douglas, stuff like that. So he had a lot of hype in preseason. They'll give him rushes. Just an electric player is Concepcion.

17:40

He'll have some – He'll have some weeks that he'll spike for. So at two percent, three percent or whatever, $4,100. I'm fine getting a little bit only those three for me. Yeah, I'll kick it over to you, Hoop. One thing about this is it's a spot that... So this was tricky for people last week from how they handle a slate, slate dynamics, et cetera, et cetera.

17:58

Well, remember last week, Trevor Lawrence, we talked about who we'll get to later, and everyone's already talking about Jacksonville versus Denver. But everyone talked about Lawrence, but then they didn't fully get to Washington, Myers. They didn't know who to run it back with. They weren't going to pick between... Uh, Concepcion, Boston, Fannin, they were trying to figure it all out. And so in the end, they just ended up not going there and Lawrence and the Jags just pumped the score up and crushed.

18:22

Baker did not look very good last week with those fumbles, but I mean, it's, well, those really happen again. It's tough to say. So give me your thoughts on this one. Could you see yourself stacking up some, you know, Baker and Buka Godwin, and then running it back? Like, what do you see with this game here? Bucks at home versus the Browns? If you're playing at one fifty, I think you definitely want some of the Baker stuff.

18:42

Like if you're hand building five lineups, you're probably not getting to Baker staff. But in one fifty, I think it makes sense because a lot of people come to this game. They're going to say, OK, give me Bucky. Give me the Burks defense. And, you know, I'm good. Let's move on. I do like that. I do think the Bucky stuff is what we have it at. Twelve percent. Like a team projected to win by about nine at home.

19:09

Projected score, twenty five points, you know, on a different slate. He could be very, very popular. But we have just so many of these elite running backs on the slate where, you know, probably ten percent range, you know, ten, eleven, twelve or so and twelve. I wouldn't be surprised if I do think he is a great play. I do think the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ will be kept in check. And I do like the pairing with the box.

19:31

But if you are playing a lot of lineups, even if you're getting like twenty lineups, I think Bucky with Igbuka is a great pairing, and you just don't really need to worry about anything on the other side running it back unless you want to. You know, Title likes Concepcion or however, I mean, I have no idea how to pronounce that name. We're not getting into the pronunciation stuff here, but sure, if you want to, but you don't have to, I guess is my point.

19:57

But I do like Bucky here at probably around ten percent. Yeah. Somebody talked about it. This yesterday's for leverage lane today. We can talk about narratives, but Mr. Ross Klein says Baker for TDM. Why don't forget, you know, we got a little revenge action here with, with Baker against the Browns, you know, going to see how that goes this week. I think it would be somewhat interesting.

20:16

Like, you know, Baker, you can stack them with Bucky, but like Baker, Bucky and Buka, if you want to throw Godwin in there, that's cheap for three or four guys. And then you just put someone on the other side to make it move. Maybe that's the case, but I also think the bucks could just run it up. So you could have that complete onslaught, get the Buccaneers defense in there as well. But that's the only thing I'm thinking about with this game.

20:36

There's not too much. And it's going to probably continue to be that way for a little while of the Brown side being interesting. Like, are they going to win a Milly Maker on a. Thirteen game slate and be the stack that you need, or is it going to be the other side of that game?

20:49

In this case, I think it would be with the Baker stuff, but definitely just like Bucky by himself, Bucky with the defense, you want to play at Bucca and, Someone asked earlier, let me pull this one up quickly. So would you rather Ibuka or Garrett Wilson?

21:02

It's not, I don't really have a preference, but I think if you are just landing on one-offs on this slate, that either of those are fine as just guys that can rack up targets, get enough to be valuable and not need their quarterback necessarily to go with them based on the pricing being $6,400 on Ibuka and $6,000 on the Jets. All right, Hoop. Going to stay with you, man. We got the Steelers going into New England against the Patriots.

21:25

You talked about it a little bit earlier. Going to see about some weather there, but there's also, there's no Pittman for the Steelers. You got Henderson back for the Patriots. So it's a bit of a different scenario here. How are you thinking about this game? This will be kind of a quick one here.

21:39

I mean, low total, forty one and a half range weather here that again, I don't think it's like weather that you actually have to avoid if you like this spot. But I just don't see a trade on Henderson back. So that's definitely a hit to remand Ray. I don't know. I don't really see it on the no AJ Brown. I think it's definitely a downgrade to the passing offense here. I mean, it already looked pretty rough, rough in week one.

22:06

So don't really like anything on the Patriots side. Steeler side. No Pittman. Definitely give me some DK Metcalf. I think he's a great option. And then. If you need another cheapie, I mean, these are one fifty plays. Jeremy Bernard was pretty good in the preseason, the guy that got a lot of snaps and then Rowan Wilson. But those are very thin Milly Maker sort of plays. But DK Metcalf my favorite here. Yeah. Uh, tight. I'll go over to you on this one.

22:35

Like Metcalf is a guy I think on this slate that we'll see. I think, um, you know, he's getting pushed a little bit in the Sims and stuff. I know that. So it's popping up some, but it's the product of the slate and how do you get there? And do you just throw them in as a one-off? Like some people aren't as comfortable doing that.

22:55

He is only, you know, a thousand bucks, twelve hundred bucks more than some of these value plays that people are using as runbacks in stacks. So if you if you could find it via defense or tight end or somewhere where you can just pay down a little bit to get up to him, would you be interested in that? Or what's your thoughts on Metcalf and then the rest of the guys in this game? Yeah, really just Metcalf. I have a little interest.

23:14

I mean, no Michael Pittman can't hurt him. We talked about it last week. And Rodgers said it last week, said it this week. He wants to get DK Metcalf the ball. It is very clear when you look at their offense and his weapons. It's kind of like when they had Davante Adams and nobody else. And I think that's how Rodgers is going to use it. Anytime he finds one-on-one coverage, he's taking the shot. DK had a bad drop last week.

23:35

The box score could have been a lot, lot different. So, yeah, I think he's kind of going to get force fed. It's probably fifty eight and a half. Devante Smith is fifty nine and a half. So there's something to look at right there. It's pretty solid in the range if he does get a touchdown. And I think he will have some opportunities there. That's about it, though. Again, a little weather in this game. We got Travion Henderson coming back.

23:55

Pittsburgh's not even implied to score twenty points, though, so it's not a game I want to load up on much. Getting the Patriots right, I think, is still going to be pretty tough this year with how much Drake may can spread it out, how much Drake may can run with two running backs back there. I'll find better spots. Yobi Trice back in the building said, sup, Zach, and then said, I see you have a nice cup in front of you.

24:17

Did you raise the cup for him to see it? Oh, yeah, there you go. I guess, yeah. You must have seen it somehow, man, or he's spying on you. He got a clip from your camera. It's good to see you, Yobi. Good luck this week. Run it back like you did last week. Yeah, this was horrible for sure. Tyler mentions this. That was the great clip this week from Aaron Rodgers. We talk about it all the time.

24:37

He said, I don't give a shit about the target list. Again, he's looking for whoever's open out there. It is interesting, I will say, on FanDuel.

24:44

Um DK Metcalf $7,000 on

24:47

FanDuel Roman Wilson is $4,700 and again there's this there's a delta on DraftKings too it's $5,200 versus thirty two but it's like you don't you might not need the difference you can just get to the guy that projects way better there but on the other side on FanDuel it might be interesting from that perspective not too much else besides the defenses which uh you know it was talked about a little bit in the chat I think both defenses could be in play if the sealers can't move the ball or do anything or if you know the the sealers can go in there and get after drake may with you know what they're trying to put out there it could be a spot there also but

25:19

I don't have too much else to add in this one hoop I'll go back to you we'll go to the Packers at the Jets Give us your thoughts here. Seems like this is one that people are talking about a little bit, but again, not sure they're fully clicking all the way in. So there's some Watson talk. There's some Golden talk. Okay.

25:35

Other side, there's some Garrett Wilson stuff, but are people actually going to be clicking on this Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ or stacking it up from either side? I'm not sure. What are your thoughts? Yeah, I don't think so. I don't think a lot of people are going all in. I think people are going to take bits and pieces of it and roll with it, and that's kind of my game plan. I don't see myself stacking it up. This is one of the weather games.

25:56

Again, not avoiding it because of weather, but it is supposed to rain, I think, basically the duration of the game. On and off all throughout the game. If you like it, don't let it be the reason that you're getting off of it. But for me, it's going to be individual pieces. I mean, when you look at the Packers stuff, the main issue the last few years have been the fact that they're like rotating in five wide receivers.

26:19

And it was very difficult to pinpoint who it was going to be. Well, last week we finally started to see some consolidation for the passing tree, and Christian Watson and Golden got a ton. I mean, Nades, I mean, he must have been so ecstatic to finally see his boy. Twelve targets, I believe, last week. Like, that's what he was waiting for all last season, and it finally came true week one.

26:44

If he's going to be out there and getting that sort of attention at a cheap price tag, like, we have to consider him. So, for me, it's like, you know, Watson – Actually, I'd prefer Golden, I would say, just because of the price discount. So Golden is definitely my favorite option on the Packers side. The Jets side, it's just like Brees Hall. He's going to be one of those LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ players.

27:05

Running backs and we saw it last week he can get basically all the work in this offense which is which is huge and found the end zone last week and paid off the price tag uh let's see he had yeah twenty two carries and and two targets so mid-twenties in terms of touches that's what you want from a running back and should be held in check today in terms of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ we're showing eight eight percent so if you like him it's a low-owned option then Garrett Wilson I think is fine seven targets, seven catches.

27:36

But it's going to be just individual pieces for me. No priority plays really for me in this game. I'm going to do it some, and it's probably just going to be wrong still, no matter how I try and figure it out. But I do like stacking the love side a little bit. If you want to find a way to make – all the projections and everything will always like Watson and Wilson. You'll find it. You'll see it. Ours do too.

27:56

When you see that, sometimes the best way to do it is to say, okay, if everyone sees that, what can we stack on top of that or do to make that work differently? And so for me, Title, I think if you wanted to go – Love Watson, Golden Wilson, and just round it out and then just start filling in from there. Tucker Kraft is another option as well. It's like, that's how I'm going to look at it.

28:15

It's the problem is then Jayden Reed comes in and does it. If he's not in some of those stacks or it's in the, in the Jayden Reed's one, it's Golden in the Golden ones. It's Jayden Reed. It's like, you don't always have it put together. Cause you kind of got to commit to it a little bit more. So yeah, I'm fine with it, but that's my thoughts on this one.

28:30

I think the Jets D, if you're not playing any of the Packers side, you could be able to go to the Jets D here at $2,400. Maybe the Jags are a little bit better at the same price later. And before I let you take over this game with your Packers squad there. I do want to bring up earlier, someone brought a, man, we always shit on this guy and he never really does much, but it is going overlooked this week.

28:49

And I think it was like week three last year. So, you know, week removed from we're in week two right now, but I think it was against Pittsburgh. He played against them last year and had like eight catches, ninety yards, two touchdowns. Last year means nothing with this year. Just to the Person's point, they said Checkmate IV added. He always has a couple of spike weeks a year. One of them last year was against Pittsburgh.

29:09

Pittsburgh but uh yeah that that's a guy at $4,000 in the previous game with no aj brown that you you might want to think about in your pool because he's going to differentiate you at tight end he's right underneath uh Andrews and he's above all the other guys at the $3,000 $3,200 $3,500 range so just a thought I'm going back to you title Packers at the Jets your thoughts here I'm glad, yeah, I went last and you went before me, so these people tuning in, especially if it's the first time, are going to be like, yeah, of course this Packers fan likes the Packers.

29:37

But, man, it's the ownership. I can go both sides with what you said. I'll start with the bull case for the Packers. I said at pre-show I like a lot of chalk. When I'm playing a Schultz, Bijan, whatever it may be, I need some lower-owned stacks, and the Packers are one that stood out. What I love – A couple things I really like. A, I don't think the Packers defense is good, so I think the Jets will be able to put up some points.

30:00

The Packers can't run the ball at all. MarShawn Lloyd, Chris Brooks, they don't trust them, so they have to drop Jordan Love back. What I don't like is the Packers offensive line is completely garbage. So I do think this Jets defense, everyone thinks Jets and terrible. And yeah, it's probably going to be the case. But Davis Bailey, their second pick is an absolute stud. And they're going to get off the edge and they're going to beat these Packers.

30:21

So Jordan Love's going to have to get the ball out fast, which Golden, Reed, Tucker Kraft is another one that's staring me in the face. Four percent, $4,900.

30:30

He's had massive weeks in the past so because it's Watson it was Watson last week I still think he's solid but Golden my preferred play at $4,700 craft at a loaded tight end position is one of my favorites and I will mix in some reading Watson so I do like love I like the low ownership You can get Love right and the Packers put up thirty five. And like you said, you still aren't at the top because they can do it in different ways.

30:55

I'm fine taking that shot, though, and playing chalk around it. And then, yeah, the easiest Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ is Garrett Wilson. You don't need a run back. But man, he is. I couldn't have said it any better than our man Newins. He's an absolute stud in the Packers secondary. He's not good. So look at what Jefferson just did to him last week. So, yeah, I really like this game as a low owner.

31:14

I guess I shouldn't say really, really like it, but no one's getting ownership on a thirteen game slate. Jordan Love can throw four touchdowns. So I'm going to definitely play some Packers. Yeah, it's again, like I said, I like committing to it because it's hard to find them. It's, you know, Mahomes-esque in a sense of how they move it around. You know, it ended up being Love, Reed, Tucker, Kraft, and Adonai Mitchell or something is what the stack that you need is.

31:36

And you're like, well, I was all over that, but I still never got to that combo somehow. But that's the only tricky part about it. Otherwise, I don't disagree. And if you thought like Geno, Garrett Wilson, Mitchell... And Watson or Golden from the other side fits in the running backs that you want. That's like Title said earlier. If you get different with these stacks, then you can play a guy like B. John Robinson at X ownership, whatever it ends up actually being.

31:59

But it's going to be up there. And that's a segue into the next game. Hoop, I'll go back to you. We've got the Falcons at home versus the Panthers. We saw what Chicago was able to do between just Swift and Monangai. We saw what the ten targets look like with Rush at the helm, and he's back at the helm again this week. So all that leads to a big ownership on Bijan this week at $8,200 on DraftKings.

32:22

Thoughts on Bijan and the rest of this game, Hoop? Yeah, going to be very popular. They're at home here in the dome. Yeah, just slam dunk play at age. We have a lot of solid running backs. But, I mean, Bijan, what did you say it was, ten targets? Yeah, ten targets, twenty-one. I mean, so you got thirty touches. I don't know, man. I don't know how some of these running backs are going to last through the season.

32:47

Him, Gibbs, like Jameer Gibbs getting into the thirties. Like, it's... Man, I guess they just give these guys the short-term contracts, and if something happens, something happens. It's wild. I mean, that's a lot of action for these running backs. But take advantage of it while it lasts. I mean, just a phenomenal play, and all you really need to worry about on the Falcons offense. I mean, there's nothing else to really play here. On the Panthers side, Jalen Coker coming off the big game.

33:17

Figured he'd get like way more OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ but not a ton so in one fifty good going back there I prefer Tet though I mean McMillan is their number one Coker had the big game last week I think you could kind of go right back to Tet here at pretty low ownership so in this game if you're looking for like a little like mini if you are playing Bijan you want some CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗ I think Tet's my preferred play over Coker but that's really it for me in this one Bijan uh tat and then coker would be how I rank those three yeah you'll be asked

33:50

Is uh is Douglas the guy he changed his picture now he's got you that pic this is crazy oh my gosh it's getting too far you'll be changed that it's getting too far it's amazing I don't even know where is that one even coming from that's like he must have custom cut that I don't even think that's the uh the website about page version so that was way back in the day yeah So we'll get to the Miami guys, but he wants to ask you that later, so don't let us forget that.

34:17

I think yes, though. I do think Caleb Douglas is the real deal and definitely their guy. All right. So let's go back to this then. Someone talked about it earlier. I'm thrown off by that one. That's really good. So we got Drake London at $6,000 is another thing I want to bring up here. So I was trying to get on track. I was going to say Falcons D that's what I'm gonna say. A way to cut into Bijan.

34:37

The slice of dice is in full effect this week. If you're, if you're not interested in much on the Carolina side, anyway, you can go to Bijan with his defense and, Might be a little more popular on FanDuel, the way pricing shakes out over there. But on DraftKings, the defenses that everybody wants are either $2,400 or and or going up to the top at like $3,500 and above. So you find the Falcons right there in the middle at twenty nine.

35:00

I also think if you want to move off the Bijan running back chalk in some lineups, Drake London at $6,000. Is still a very fair price that you can get to. I know it's Cooper Rush. We get all that, but it's like $6,000 and no, no real action on them at all for ownership. So $6,000 for him is pretty fair. Go to you on this one title. What are you going to you can jump in and add whatever.

35:20

Really, Bijan for me, I mean, yeah, the amount of checkdowns he's going to get again this week, even an easier matchup, $8,200. We've seen that Gibbs already played Josh Allen, like a lot of studs already played. It's really easy to fit. So I like it a lot. But there is opportunity cost at running back. Bijan could score nineteen and still be nowhere near the winner when it's all said and done. Outside of that.

35:44

I mean, yeah, the Coke man, Jalen Coker, I'm going to keep playing him at $5,100. He's he's just good. And it's gone back into last year, like our man Philly said. And that helps that, too. If you want to play Tet, like the defense can't just only focus on one guy anymore. The last guy, too. So it's Bijan and then it's just really all Panthers. Chuba at $5,800. It's tough to get there. Again, the opportunity costs at running back.

36:08

He has somewhat of a real price tag at $5,800. Was definitely very efficient in his first game. Only like thirteen touches, ten rushing attempts. They get a touchdown, can catch the balls out of the backfield. But he looked good and it was really clear the Panthers. It's Chubb over Jonathan Brooks, at least for now. And why should anyone be surprised? I mean, what Rico was rushing for two hundred yards plus every time last year that Chubb was out.

36:32

Chuba came back and they gave Chubb the work. Right away. So I don't think anyone should be surprised there. Talking running backs, trying to find sub-ten percent running backs I could see scoring two touchdowns or breaking the slate. I do think Chubb is one. And I actually like Panthers defense more than Falcons because I'll pick on Cooper Rush any day long. So Chubb, Panthers as a way maybe to fade Bijan is an interesting way just to get out of this game.

36:56

Yeah, I like that as another angle to take it. If you're going to already go there, you might as well pair it up with the D. And as we saw what Cooper Rush looked like against the defense last week, I know it's a different one, but it doesn't really matter in this case, I don't think. I will say this, too. We like to have some fun on this show. If somebody finds this, Ross, you could even do it.

37:13

You just got an orange R on the screen, like nothing. But if you find this and make it your avatar... If you're not a member, free month. If you are a member, we'll just add the Stripe credit. You'll get the value of a free month. But if you go get or we'll do like the ninety nine dollar plans, one hundred dollars. If you go back and I don't even know where it is.

37:31

So it might take weeks for somebody to come back here with title in a crop top avatar. Man, that is going to be something. Please. What was that bet, though? What was what was that paying off? Fucking Judkins, Buckins shit. It's Jalen Warren. You love Buckins last year. I liked him one week against the Dolphins. You love him. That was your boy. He said he might even have it in his camera roll. So there's another way to get to it. Man, people are saving that stuff.

38:00

That tells you that. What about this? That's a classic. That's my LinkedIn picture still to this day. That's a classic. LinkedIn, man. Let's go.

38:10

Title dropped off you were rolling with the uh senior picture one for uh for a while too yeah I was yeah that was a good one that's another yeah I was I was never out in the business world or taking professional pictures very much so it was a struggle to find which one to put on but he just throws this up and says professional gambler on linkedin it's like still going strong like that's his new thing so Yeah, we know, but we always do keep the receipts for sure.

38:33

People will be saving them. I don't have that one, but that was a fun show, and all these shows are fun. We appreciate you guys. So I like that title. I like the Chubb call. The guys won me a lot of money, so I think that's an interesting way to swing it. And, like, I think him getting two touchdowns is very, like, you know, very possible versus is Montgomery going to come through and get three of them, et cetera. Oh, man.

38:55

Immediately out the gate, this guy comes through with the reverse. Oh, the backside. The backside? Hmm. I might turn that five into fifty for you. We need the full-on crop. This is a title with no shirt on, I think. No, that's a crop top. That is. You can tell. There's a strap in the back there. That was when my mom was going to pull it down for me or take it off because I couldn't. You know what gets bonus points though?

39:20

Someone gets not only the full frontal, but with the fan in it. Cause that's the famous fan as well up there with the dust on it. So if you can get the frontal plus the dust, but Avery reach out, just screenshot your YouTube, reach out to info at shipitnation.com. And who knows, Jordan, you know what we do new ones day one. Like we, we, we, you know what we're doing here. We're just having fun. Let's go to the next game.

39:45

Eagles at the Titans who I'm going to kick it over to you. So Saquon looks to be going extremely overlooked here just because of the pricing on the slate.

39:53

So again, not saying he's going to crush or go off, but from a guy that has the ability to do so, when you've got Derek Henry, who we'll get to in the next game right there, all the other options above and below, Javonte, Aaron Jones Sr., CMC, Bijan, all of that, you just, you can't play them all. Like you said, you say it all the time.

40:11

So talk to me about this game, Eagles at the Titans, and you got Hurts, Barkley, Javonte, Goedert and then anything you want to do, but maybe it's just Eagles defense. Who knows? Go ahead. Yeah, I think Eagles defense is fine. And I do like, I do like Saquon. I mean, we're showing under ten percent. They're seven point favorites.

40:30

There's no chance he gets, you know, steamed up or gets any amount of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ the price is fair at $7,000 um you know derek henry is only $7,200 and if people are deciding between those two they're going henry over saquon uh for sure and then those the other studs Bijan at eighty two mcafree at $8,000 so there's no way saquon gets a lot here seven point favorites the Titans freaking suck like sign me up sign me up for the defense but that's about it like and I don't want anything to do with this titan's offense I mean They're at home projected to score sixteen, like two touchdowns.

41:05

So I'm fully out on the Titans and probably will be for the remainder of the season. But definitely give me some Saquon and the Eagles. I think it's a great combination, too, because I don't think anyone's really going to be on Eagles D. Like if someone's paying up for defense, they're just going to be going directly to the Buccaneers because it's a really good spot. We saw it go off last week. So, yeah, Saquon, Eagles D, and that's it.

41:27

Eagles D stands out for that reason because they're right in between every they're where everybody else is going to all the different spots there. They're the one that's kind of going overlooked as as is Barkley. And it might even be pretty close. It's I think it's it's almost it's not quite two V two.

41:42

Of Derrick Henry and the Ravens for Barkley and the Eagles right it's very close within a hundred two hundred dollars or something so title I'll kick it over to you on this one um our man go collect said it too he said really if you think about it well first of all he said full derail which it was we got it back on track we're back on the tracks here but he said this whole eagle side is going under owned so give me your thoughts on the Eagles here and then anything at all on the Titans that you'd want to get mixed in with Love my mango collect.

42:08

Yeah, I mean, under-owned, LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗, they kind of are different. If you like the game, then it's under-owned. I don't really like it, so I'm just going to say low-owned. Hope it pays the RakeRake is the share of entry fees the site keeps as its fee instead of paying it out as prizes. It is the gap between total entry fees and the total prize pool.Compare rake between contests you would enter anyway. A slightly higher rake can be worth it in a softer field, but when the fields look similar, take the contest that keeps less.Full explanation ↗. I'm in total agreement with Hoop. Like, it's Saquon, it's Eagles defense, and I'll add in DeVonta Smith and a very ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ lineup to be ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ just for catching two touchdowns. But no other thesis really behind that. I don't like this game too much, though. Again, Saquon's good pivot.

42:35

You're giving up projection in the loaded range. It can get out of hand a little bit. Like I am worried when they're up two touchdowns this year, something that Tank Bixby is going to get a good amount of work and to take some tread off Saquon's tires, especially early in the year. So he can break anything, but I don't like this game. Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised. I think it's actually really interesting. I think I would be accounting for other factors, though.

42:55

Like if you're if you're doing that, let's say you're going Saquon over Derrick Henry. Then what's where are you getting your Ravens points from? Because we're getting to that game in a second and they've got twenty eight at home. And it's like I think that's going to be exceeded as well. So we'll see how that one shakes out. But I would definitely be thinking about it to title's point when you're taking that projection hit.

43:17

Okay, but what am I getting for like, if you're saying the Ravens are not going to do anything or it's going to be too spread out, like what are you actually saying? So I'd be looking to build in some upside elsewhere in that game if you're doing that. So just think about how your builds are working out there. The other thing, uh, what was it in the chat? Somebody said, um, Oh man, there was something else I was thinking of, but yeah.

43:39

Oh, last week, Dontavion Wicks, a hundred bucks more than Trey Tucker. Smash like that. That was nice. So, you know, he's back in there too at $4,300. If you were stacking some some stuff up in this game, but Goedert people mentioned also like you have Goedert, Kraft and Loveland from $4,800 to $5,000. And then obviously you've got McBride up above, but most people are on those cheaper tight ends.

44:01

Goedert was the one to do it last week.

44:04

Doesn't need to even replicate the same result as last week to still be in the mix this week at that price so if you are looking for a tight end one off from this game or something just to get a piece of this Philly action that could be a spot that you go to as well but I'm mostly in agreeance with what these guys already said all right the next game up we got the Ravens at the Saints Hoop, Lamar, you know, we got the Zay Flowers news already, so we're not going to have Zay.

44:28

It sounds like as of this morning and overnight that Olave is going to be good to go. So I know that they brought up some guys, but just in case. But give us your thoughts here and then how you see this Ravens offense going with no Zay Flowers. Just thoughts on this game as a whole. Yeah, I mean, so the Ravens pretty depleted or very depleted. They were already sent at wide receiver and then they flowers out. They had high hopes for Lane.

44:52

He's out. So now it kind of leaves Mark Andrews as wide receiver one. I would say on this team in the Mars number one option. He's going to be more popular on FanDuel. The price is better. He's like $5,200 on FanDuel. Same price as all those other cheapies on DK. He's a little more expensive at forty four. So should be held in check, but still going to get some some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ here.

45:14

I mean, this team is projected to score twenty seven. And like you said, I mean, based on the way they looked last week, it wouldn't be surprising if they just coast right past that twenty seven number and put up a big number. To me, Derrick Henry is the best. Man, it's tough to say I'm going to project him higher than Bijan, but to me, Derrick Henry is just the number one running back on the slate.

45:38

I mean, they have nobody on this team at the wide receiver position. We just saw him torch Indy for three touchdowns last week. Like if they have the ability to just lean on him again today and get one hundred and sixty yards and three touchdowns, they're going to do it. I think there is a little more upside for some past past catching stuff here, maybe a screen or two with none of these wide receivers.

46:05

I think Derrick Henry is just a phenomenal, phenomenal play. I don't care about ownership or any of that crap. Like I think Thirty five fantasy points here. You know, you're not going to project somebody that high, but just very, very realistic. Lamar Jackson at five percent owned like he probably runs a little bit more today, too, which is what you want. I'd be fine playing him naked on the slate, too.

46:27

So those two Mark Andrews and I don't know, I'm sure one of these wide receivers will do something, but it's not a comfortable feeling.

46:35

So I'll just focus on the three Lamar, Derrick Henry and Mark Andrews and then on the other side a lot of it looked great last week um gonna play I mean if you have faith that he's anywhere close to a hundred percent I think he's a great Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ I mean we saw it last week he got all his stuff uh in mostly garbage time I mean they're playing from they're down three to uh it was like twenty one nothing and they just kept chucking it to him and he made the plays uh so I think a lot of it's fine uh valet I think is a fine option uh if if you are looking for I don't think you need anything on this side if you don't want to.

47:11

But, you know, Bailey looked really good. He made some difficult catches. So, you know, I think he would be my preferred option on the Saints if you're doing like a Lamar. Let's say you build a team, and I'd be fine with this sort of team. Lamar, Derrick Henry, Mark Andrews, right? And you just hope they smash. You hope they score thirty-eight points or something today, thirty-seven points. And those three do everything, which I think is very realistic. And you want something on the other side.

47:35

I think Bailey would probably be my preferred route. You probably need it. You probably need the savings. $4,200. He looked legit last week. He looked good last last season at the end of the year as well. So I think he's a legitimate wide receiver. So he'd be my preferred option if you're looking for something on the same side. So this is the thing here, title. And this is, look, the Ravens offense is not the Atlanta offense. I posted this out yesterday.

47:58

I talked about it yesterday. And then we've talked about it before. But if anyone remembers last season when the Drake London late, it was a late scratch. Not that Zay Flowers is an early out injury result, but I'm saying it was, it was really just that game where everyone loaded up on Bijan. And then all of a sudden the other side just said, all right, no Bijan today. Make your other guys do it.

48:18

Now, the problem with that is you are playing the Ravens. It is still Lamar Jackson. He can definitely do it. And that's the problem with containing them when they're healthy, not healthy, doesn't really matter. But when it's Bateman, Tez Walker, Wester, Surratt, you know, Mark Andrews, you know, now it's like, you know, what, what if they do just stack that up? So I said it yesterday.

48:38

Like I have some of those lines where if I am going to go to the Saquon instead of Henry, it might not just be that I play Andrews that everybody else is playing at tight end. I might try like Bateman or Walker and then pick up that ceiling somewhere else in my lineup and just see if I can cover it that way. But any thoughts on them just stacking the box here and trying their hardest to keep this guy out of it?

48:57

He has not shown. I mean, I think he got one target and caught it last week, but Derek Henry just never gets that opportunity or Likely never does. So, you know, that's what I'm thinking about here. Just a couple of different things. Yeah, the problem with stacking the box, like if you truly do that and want to play just cover zero behind, is these guys are still NFL players. And one mistake and one step, I mean, they're a seven-yard touchdown.

49:21

And then also the problem is, A, then you've got a QB spy Lamar. He can still outrun the spy. And then if you're playing man your backs to them, you can just get a six-yard scamper any time. So it's a lot easier said than done. To just stack the box against the Lamar Jackson team. And, yeah, these guys are Davante Adams Walker, LeJonte Wester, some sick names. Elijah Surratt was good on Indiana.

49:44

But these guys, yeah, if you're in the NFL and playing on Sunday, even the most known name can separate from man-to-man coverage occasionally. Yeah, Derrick Henry's a smash in every way that you look at it. But Lamar, showing really low ownership. It is tough to pair, but when you do play Lamar with Andrews or with Bateman or those guys, Lamar's a little expensive, I would say, still underpriced.

50:07

But the other guys are so cheap, and it's going to be low-owned stack, and LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ is off of Derrick Henry, so then you can eat a lot of chalk in other spots. Yeah, this Ravens team is... They're good. This offense is really good. They're going to move the football regardless of what jabronis are throwing out on the outside. So I like it quite a bit.

50:25

And then, yeah, on the other side, Chris Olave, he might be in the medical tent nine times. Maybe he's a coin flip to finish the game, but I'll be playing him until he's out. He's not playing because he's a beast. Vele's a beast. Schalke maybe started figuring stuff out in the second half. Clearly he did. The Lions are bad, though. Hopefully he can parlay that into this week. And they have Jawan Johnson, a very low-owned tight end, too.

50:47

I think you can get different at the tight end position. There are strong plays in Schultz and Mayer, but I think there's a lot of viable tight ends across the league this week that could easily have two touchdowns. What about the props? You got the props there for Henry right now? Yeah, you want, oh, let's see, rushing, just rushing? Rushing and touchdown. All right, rushing is, let's see, I had it, it's, oh my. Well, you're looking it up. I mean, just speaking of sure things.

51:16

Ninety-five and a half. Holy moly. It's up there, yeah. I didn't check Bijan either just to compare. Minus two-sixty to score plus two-oh-five for two touchdowns. Two touchdowns, yeah. The big favorite, man, I think Marley posted it out last night. We were talking pre-show, obviously, in the MMA streets. He said, imagine being a minus-three-thousand favorite in the evening. Crazy. That was absolutely wild. How often do you see that? No. No. Um, the chat did talk about it too. Like, uh, and I think hoop even mentioned it.

51:46

It's, uh, you know, Lamar naked as well, a possibility here where you can say, um, just play him. Like someone said, I don't want to figure out who it is. If you find a lineup like that, that you want to roll out, I'd be fine with it here too. It just, yeah. Then you got to do other stuff within the lineup to make it all make sense.

52:01

But yeah, the, the thought process there is if you're, you're taking Henry out of it, it still could be Lamar. You could play them both like hoop said, but I don't have too much else to add on this one. I think the Ravens D are still getting a little bit of love. I think Andrews is getting a ton of ownership.

52:14

So yeah, don't know I feel much better I will say this I feel much better personally about derek henry than Andrews at their similar ownerships at different positions like I would still just be in on the henry stuff more than the Andrews stuff so moving on I'll go to you hoop we got Vikings at the Bears I think title is uh he's you're segmenting yourself from him on these these uh these washroom breaks The gap is widening. Zero for Hoops so far.

52:40

I don't know. I do feel the urge, though. It might happen today. I might have to cave. We'll see. We'll see. A lot of games to get through. That's why. One, two, three, four, five. It's crazy. I feel like we're going through pretty quickly, and there's still so many games to get to. We've got Bears at home versus the Vikings up next. After last week, I just assumed that the Bears would be very popular. I mean, they scored fifty nine points.

53:04

And I think the problem was it didn't go to any of their main guys. So people like don't know like what to do with the Bears today because like none of the past catchers had the big game. Caleb Williams did, but nothing went along with it. So people are kind of staying away from it. I think it's a massive mistake. I mean, there is some weather here, but I don't think it's going to be terrible.

53:24

There's no way Caleb Williams has these big games and Luther Burden doesn't do something. Roman Dunzey doesn't. Colson Levis. I just think it was a random situation last week that kind of led to that. So I want to go right back to this Bears team. They're talking about wanting to break records offensively. Scored fifty nine freaking points. We have Caleb Williams at. Four percent OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗? That's insane to me. So I love this spot, especially in tournaments, for sure. You have options.

53:54

You can double Caleb Williams if you want. You can single it. You know, Burden, Loveland, Dunes, they all great place. You have runbacks on the other side. You got the cheap running back in Aaron Jones with no Jordan Mason. You have Justin Jefferson, who is going to benefit from Carlson Wentz back there. You have Hawkins. You have runbacks here. So this is... A game that I love. And I like the full-on Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗.

54:19

Just hope we get some of the back and forth. Drawback is the weather, but it's not going to stop me. I think that is also contributing to the lower ownership. But this is a spot when the slate opened up, I was like, oh, damn, Bears are going to be popular because they scored fifty-nine. And it's not the case. So this is a legitimate spot here. Absolutely love it. Yeah, I'll bring it back to title in a second.

54:39

I will say last week we looked on DFSOS.com. We looked at the perfect lineup on takedown breakdown. And there wasn't a lot. It's funny because you said it like the Bears scored fifty. Why aren't people interested in this? It's well, it was only Swift and Coker that kind of ended up. And what's funny is usually in week one, when you see like all these types of options, they're really popular in the next week. Well, no one's on.

55:01

Again, it's Bryce Young and I get it, but you know, it's not as many people are on Coker as they were last week. Olave had the medical tent spots and he's $7,200. So not as many going there. Watson is getting a little love. People are definitely going back to Derrick Henry, but we just talked about it. Not many on Goedert. The Gibbs, it just carries over. I would call Gibbs Bijan this week.

55:20

So it's like Henry and the equivalent of Bijan is basically the only thing people are really excited about going back to the well on this week. And Title, I'll go to you because in this Chicago Bears game, or sorry, in the Minnesota Bears game, people are going to the Minnesota side, right? Like it's just, it's way easier just to say, let me get Jefferson. He's back. We got Addison. We got Hawkins. We got Aaron Jones senior.

55:42

Like there's a bunch of different ways you can stack it up. So give me your thoughts here on this game and how you see it playing out. Yeah, I'm kind of in agreement with you guys. I don't like picking on the Vikings. It's not something I'm going to be actively looking to do all year. Caleb Williams is the man. Ben Johnson is the man. These guys want to put a point in bunches. They're going to have to because their defense is absolutely atrocious.

56:06

Which sets up great for the Bears all year. I mean, does this ownership get steamed at all? Do you guys think, and it doesn't matter. I mean, we're looking at three, five, this and that, but like, is it really going to be this low on like Loveland still cheap. Burden's really cheap. Yeah, hoop shaking his head yes. You have easy runbacks in Jefferson.

56:23

Well, I think it's a perfect storm because if you look at it, it's like, all right, you're going to want to play him with Loveland. Well, there's three super cheap tight ends that are getting a ton of ownership, and people aren't playing double tight end lineups with the pass catchers. It's like an uncomfortable price tag because a lot of people, they want to go up or way down. They're kind of right there in the middle. So I think it just has to hold.

56:46

Yeah, I like it. My favorite play is Aaron Jones in this game, though. Again, this Bears defense is terrible. Now no Jordan Mason. Aaron Jones is just like Chris Olave. When it's daily fantasy, when we can know he's healthy going into the game, I like to play him when I know and I think he's going to get fifteen plus touches, could catch the ball out of the backfield. Yeah, he'll probably get dinged up during the game, though. Can always play Jefferson.

57:10

Again, the secondary is terrible. Don't mind Carlson Wentz just to Jefferson or Carlson Wentz to Addison if you want to get a little different. $4,600 is really cheap, allows you to pay up for a bunch of studs. And again, I'll keep saying it, but this Bears defense is terrible. Yeah, this is an interesting one. Like, again, I think the the Jones senior stuff is kind of just stayed in check. Like I thought it would get completely out of hand.

57:33

It hasn't because there is so many other options and ways to go on the slate, but it's still up there. And at $5,100, I get why why people are rolling there. But it's also the Jefferson thing. One thing I think that's really interesting if, you know, building lineups for this and especially, you know, full stacking would be to flip.

57:50

The little bit of steam, like you said, that's on like the Wentz Jefferson stuff and do it over to what Hoop was talking about. Like if you went Caleb, Burden, Odunze, Loveland, and then did something like used Addison, you could LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ up the, you know, you're not on Jones senior. So you keep your running back spots and your flex open. It's still pretty affordable. $6,800 $5,700 fifty five $5,000.

58:12

And then you use Addison at fifty one, who's the same price, but at a different position. And we'll talk about it later in the Washington Dallas game. But I think Addison is the guy that would make this game pick up speed quickly. Jefferson obviously can. It's just he gets expensive. He's almost $8,000. And you're probably going to want that for the running back position in this spot. So stack it how you like it.

58:31

I'm sure there's some two V twos there where you could go to like Raymond instead of Burden and go to up to Jefferson instead of Addison. My point being, if you think this game does move like it could look at Bears, twenty seven points at home favorite. They just put up fifty plus. What if they continue down that path in week two? Usually people chase that. It doesn't seem like they're doing that here.

58:53

So if you want to over stack this and get involved with it that way, I think that's a way that you can sort of leverage up against that. People are using Aaron Jones senior, and then also get involved with a team that we just saw put up fifty. That's not. That crazy to get after again. So I think that would be another interesting way here. Shout out to Nika in the chat. Also Tiger Bowl. That's the man behind DFSOS. He got another MMA seat last night.

59:15

He said that might've been the end of Stevenson MMA career. Humiliated. Yeah. I don't follow it as much as you guys do, but that was a pretty good, My man, Kenny Z is out here in the streets. Just a lot of good people joining us on a Sunday. So we appreciate you guys. Make sure to hit that thumbs up and subscribe. All of our shows are free. Eleven thirty. We got ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ Constructions with Ham and Belman.

59:36

Find your way to the top of those million dollar top heavy tournaments out there. And then later today we will have Nades and Ham for the Sunday sweat down. Hopefully we've got some nice sweats down the stretch and maybe some more stuff on that in the future coming as well for tools and things that we can do there. We did mention this quick at the top about the weather, though. Yeah. There is some weather to monitor for sure. Yeah.

1:00:00

I don't know who cracked the code in golf on this, but you could kind of bring it across. You've also brought it up a ton in football hoop where it's like, that's just a, it's just a talking point a lot of the times, right? It's like, it feels good to say it's like, it's a, it's a, sometimes it's a, you went out for somebody to be like, well, yeah, but I told you there also could be weather.

1:00:17

It's like the end of the day, like it also could just be a bunch of points again. And when Vegas isn't moving things too much, then I think it's still something to just keep in mind for yourself when you're out there building your lineups. You're building for an if-then scenario. If it happens, then great. If it hurts you, then bad. So it's like you're just building it accordingly. And if it wasn't meant to be, then it's not going to work out anyway.

1:00:38

You just hopefully have something else in your portfolio that's there for you. Title, I'm going to stay with you. We're going to the Broncos at home versus the Jags. You know, there was some chatter earlier about the Jags side and Trevor Lawrence going to do it again, but not as much love for Parker Washington. You know, again, still he's getting a little bit, but nobody in this game really getting talked about much. I'll keep playing Parker Washington. This dude is the freaking man.

1:01:03

So I'll play Trevor Lawrence of Parker Washington. Again, a lot better defense. This Jake seems going to move the football, though. Trevor Lawrence has the rushing ability to get there. Parker Washington is still too cheap at five point $9,000. That is my favorite way to play it, though. You can add Jacobs. You can add Strange. You can add Brian Thomas. They're all lower owned, but I think just stacking Parker and Trevor Lawrence is LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ enough. Don't man a mind really low on Strange.

1:01:29

On the other side for Denver, no RJ Harley. That's pretty interesting. Man, is it the slate to play a Dobbins at $5,000 though? It's a pivot from Aaron Jones. I think you can go about it that way. I don't think it's not a great matchup by any means. But without any competition, I think you can do worse. Probably a better FanDuel play due to the PPR. He is a $6,200 over there. I don't hate it.

1:01:54

But yeah, I don't like I'm Bo Nix Waddle. I'm passing on this Broncos offense right now for the most part. Man, somebody gave me the good one though. It could be your new boy, Parker Mossington. He got your avatar up there too. But Parker Mossington, that could definitely be one. He actually is one I would say for sure. Like just look at how good he looks out there. I think that's a spot you can go back to.

1:02:16

And I think if you are playing like Lawrence, Washington, you know, Myers, whatever you want to do here in this spot, and then get the Waddle flop leg that our man go collect brought up that that can be the way to just handle it all quickly here and just take up all your wide receiver spots and hope that Waddle does something. I mean, DraftKings must think he's going to do something, putting them to $6,500. So, you know, it wasn't the best first game.

1:02:38

The other thing, Hoop, as I kick it over to you, was that the Jags D was brought up a lot this week is like one of the cheaper D's. They just Score points. Somehow, someway, they just always seem to get you points. And Bo Picks was alive and well last week. If that was going to be the case again here, we could see the Jags in a pretty good spot. What's your thoughts on this one?

1:02:56

Yeah, I don't have the strongest read on this game. I mean, I guess the one thing, it's like, it can't be that bad for the Broncos. That was...

1:03:03

Horrible and I think the Chiefs are good I know a lot of people like shitting on the Chiefs but they're they're legit and man that that looked so bad for Bo Nix for the offense for the defense like everything just looked horrible I wish they had like a layup game today I wish they were playing like the Raiders or something like that or I don't know the Titans or just playing a shitty team to get back on track now they're They've got to bounce back against, I think, a very legitimate team.

1:03:33

The Jaguars offense has been great. Defense has been great. I think it's just another tough spot. I mean, it would just purely be an ownership play for going to the Broncos because you talked about the Waddle, a six-to-five-hundred-dollar thing. No one's going to want to make that click. I think, you know, Milly Maker-type stuff there with Waddle. On the Jaguars side, yeah, I want to continue on playing Parker, Washington, I'm fine with Trevor Lawrence stuff.

1:04:01

You're banking on the Broncos defense not being as good as they were last year. They looked horrible in week one against the Chiefs. Chiefs did whatever they wanted. Kenneth Walker ran all over them. Mahomes had success. It was just a very easy matchup for them. I'm fine going to Trevor Lawrence here. I do think Dobbins is definitely in play. They're at home. They're favored by three. It's not a huge number, but I think he's in the conversation.

1:04:31

Multiple touchdown upside if they get things going without Harley. I do agree. They'll probably better play on FanDuel opposed to DK. The price on FanDuel is where does that go? Sixty-two, so he is a little bit more expensive over there, but just the way his game is fits better. I really just don't have a super strong read on this game. Yeah, I was going to say, too, somebody mentioned it in there, so giving away a freebie there from our man Rio's value report.

1:05:02

Again, these are the reminders that people just don't take into consideration and think about, but I'll just give the first line of it. He's got Tootin' in the value report and the Jags D, so it's like you could combo that up. I think it's almost the same price as Hubbard and Carolina, but most people probably have Bijan. So that's a way to spin it and flip it as well.

1:05:19

But just to think, he said, Tootin is getting zero ownership this week, even after we all just watched Kenneth Walker torch the Broncos for one hundred and seventy three rush yards on Monday night. I get it. It's not the easiest click because there's, you know, a dozen running backs you could pick instead. But for your tournaments, this is the type of play where you'll look back and be like, yeah, didn't even think to go there.

1:05:40

And if you're not on everything else and you're not thinking about it, that's something to consider. And people are talking about the Jags D. So like, how would that work? Well, it's I think the last week, how it could work when the Bengals D were what was required and Chase Brown paired pretty nicely with that. So maybe you could see something like that here. So for, for your GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗, definitely love that call from our man, Rio Hebrew cheetah over at Ship It Nation.

1:06:02

You can get all that. If you're a member in the value report. So anything else we missed here? Do you guys, do you want to add anything else? Hoof title? Good. I'm good. All right. We'll go to the Raiders at the Chargers hoop, and I'm going to go to you. You know, a few different names here. Go back to the well on Mayer.

1:06:19

You got Jeanty, who looks pretty good at kind of his ownership being held in check due to all the running back options. Sounds like Ladd. The overnight, it like finally came out what it was. I think they said it's a cracked rib and they, he's going to, if he's, if he goes, he's still questionable. It could be like a Nabers from last week's situation where it's right up to game time and then just decides he's good to go and he'll play through it.

1:06:39

But it sounds like he'll be wearing a vest. He did take that shot last week, later in the game. So it turned out to be a little bit more serious than some might've thought, but if he can come right back out and roll, can't be as bad as some might think. So what's your thoughts on the Chargers at the rate or Chargers at home versus the Raiders? Yeah, it makes it tough. I mean, For DFS, if he's in, it kind of just...

1:07:00

Ruins a lot of what you want to do with the Chargers stuff and and Justin Herbert like if he's out I love you know Quinton Johnson probably like Trey Harris better to be honest with you I think Trey Harris at uh $4,000 would be a phenomenal play uh but if he's in it's like is he playing a hundred percent is he only in there for key situations it just kind of ruins the stacks and I just I'd probably be off of it at that that point and you know we we'd have to look to pivot so if you are playing the Justin Herbert stuff like with Quinton or Trey Harris.

1:07:33

Be ready to switch. I mean, it sounds like he's going to play, so I wouldn't even really be banking on him being out at this point. So it kind of takes me off of the Chargers. Hampton, yeah, I think it's a fine option. Don't necessarily love it on the Raiders side. Jenty and Michael Mayer. And I will say, you know, for Survivor, I think Chargers are a great play for Survivor.

1:07:55

I mean, the ownership is going to be massive on the forty Niners, massive on the Buccaneers. Chargers laid a dud last week. Don't have a ton of future value. I think they are the pivot off of those two very popular picks this week in Survivor. So I wanted to throw that nugget out there as well. Yeah, the other point that was brought up, it's that our mango collects come through with all the good ones today.

1:08:17

My coined late swap opportunity, this is definitely a spot for that, as many will be. If your stuff is done in the morning, let's say you have Bijan and Henry with the Washington-Dallas Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ we're about to get to. Well, if that...

1:08:31

If either of those running backs do poorly in the morning, it's probably time to figure out a swap because you're going to be on very similar stuff to people in the afternoon, so you would want to look for other options. Nice, then. That was the senior picture that Hooper saw. There it is, man. That's a classic. I mean, clearly it's in your picture, so I kind of scrubbed it. The thing is, people will be saving you in their camera roll, so it might not be the internet anymore.

1:08:57

They're putting you right in their roll. That's the difference. I don't scrubbed anything. I'll let you take this one title Raiders at the Chargers. Anything you want to add there off of what hoop had mentioned? Yeah, obviously the lab McConkie stuff is huge. I, I don't know. I almost want him to play. And if he plays, I think I want to play him like another guy that might be like a lava.

1:09:16

I mean, he's so small out there against grown men, but he is so good and he's always open. And you could tell that he had good rapport, really good rapport with, uh, with, Justin Herbert, when he was healthy in that game. So that's big news. Again, you have to monitor it for late swap. I think Mayer's a very good play. I mean, he got off to such a quick start last game. They just didn't need him against the Dolphins. Defense played well.

1:09:37

They scored points early, and they didn't have to throw it as much. But he's the number one weapon for good old Kirk. Jenty, fine with, was very efficient last week. A little tougher spot this week is pretty big road dogs, though. Hampton... Oh man, I just, he has to catch more balls. He was rotating a little more than I wanted. The price is high. Like there's so much opportunity cost there.

1:10:01

Yeah, it's really, I think the Herbert with, if Ladson, I like playing him with Lad, otherwise with QJ, with Trey Harris, Mayer's my main play. I don't like this game as much as the field. Yeah, I think a couple of things. One I'll note is McConkie, a hundred dollars less than George Pickens. So in your afternoon stuff, you know, Pickens has picked up a ton of steam as the week has went on. So keep that in mind. He's right there in that same price range.

1:10:25

Quinton Johnston is just under McLaurin and Diggs. You look at, you know, some of the swaps with like Daniels, three hundred bucks more than Herbert, but Quinton John. So I think it's a two V two like Jayden Daniels, Stefan Diggs. Is you can be like Herbert and Johnston or something like that, or move it around that way. So there's a lot of different moves that you could make going into the afternoon. I think Gentee is still interesting here.

1:10:49

He just, again, he's not getting clicked enough for the price point. I think he's fine. Alex Blickle, my man yesterday on Leverage Lane, he talked a little bit about Njoku. Being out there. And even if Ladd plays, they were still moving him around a lot. He's $3,000. He would be one of the pivots off of Schultz and could get some upside out of that spot. So there is some ways to go here in this game.

1:11:08

And I think late swap and afternoon only will be where you see this game used a lot more in the, in the main slate. Not many are going to start there, but some may end up there. So I think that's a good thing to think about as well. All right, Title, we finally lost Hoop to it. He'll say he was checking the temperature or something so that he doesn't actually get hit for the points.

1:11:27

But because we don't know and we don't want to know, the automatic points say you went to the washroom. So, sorry, Hoop. He did. He already forecasted it. I can hear you guys. Even when I'm stepping away, I have my AirPod in. He said he was – My washroom is like right there. I think Hoops is pretty close in his house from being there before. It's a, it's a setup there. It's all in one spot.

1:11:46

So I'll go to you first though, while we wait for him. And this is the big game of the slate, the Commanders at the Cowboys. How do you see this working out for people? And then how are you hoping it works out? And then if you are hoping it works out for you, how are you playing it? I think I'm hoping that it works.

1:12:02

I mean, we'll know based on how our noon games went, like regardless of where you are in the field, do you have good teams with this game? Clearly the ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ game. I mean, man, how do the Cowboys not put up thirty plus here is how I'm looking at it. And it's really concentrated. It's Javonte. And it was, doesn't come off the field. And then it's CD lamb and pickings. Like I'm not even messing with Ferg.

1:12:23

I guess Flournoy at three point $8,000 is the pivot of all pivots down in that low $4,000 range is a fine. They ran a good amount of water, three receivers. He's leveraging off of like a CD or a pickings if you don't play that. So I should add Flournoy, um, in the picture as well, but I think it's Javonte CD pickings, Dak Flournoy. Just hope you get the right combination.

1:12:44

I do not see, uh, how this team gets held in check by this Washington defense after a really tough week one for them now get to come home yeah it just it's a get right spot on the Washington side I'm a little worried that Washington might catch a little steam just because it's like okay how do I get different go to the opposite of the chalk game they still got good names and digs and Terry good prices Jayden Daniels is still cheap and he can run and I don't argue with any of that but It's just if it does get a little steam, I like Cowboys Spot way more.

1:13:17

I'm already eating plenty of other chalk. I just don't think it's where I plan on getting overweight on. The Rashad White JCM switch makes it a little tough at running back. Antonio Williams, Deami Brown are in the mix at wide receiver three.

1:13:33

I just think it's a little too open, and I think it gets steam or a little – not open it's not it's not like a really tight core I think there's more players that get involved is what I'm trying to say and I think it gets steamed a bit so I think I'm underweight Washington overweight Dallas stuff and I'm not even forcing a Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ I do think that if the Cowboys can even if they're up by in the third quarter I think they're gonna try and uh figure something out with their offense because of last week so yeah I think Cowboys roll They're saying it still might not be a piss.

1:14:02

They might poop. Twenty four. Ten. Was it a number two is what the people want to know. That's the question. Now I had to run upstairs and man, it's like I wasn't going to go on the way back. But I was like, man, I'm just going to I'm just going to go. I was already stepped away, had to do something upstairs, came back down and took the piss. I'm not going to grab your back jersey. I know. Well, it's perfect timing.

1:14:28

I had the AirPods, and I heard what we were talking about. I was like, man, that would have been nice to show off. I could have faked the P, grabbed the DAC jersey, or actually gone P, grabbed the DAC jersey, and said I went up to get the DAC jersey and didn't go to the bathroom. That would have been the play. But not going to lie to the people. If you heard us, we said, doesn't matter what his story is. When he gets back, he's already losing.

1:14:49

He's dead. He's one. It's two, one now, two, one, one title to me. One hoop one. We're track. Now we'll get it. We'll get a tracker, but go ahead. Talk to us about this. Speaking of tracker, how about a Dicker? We got Dak Prescott over on that side.

1:15:02

And we were talking about how, you know, lamb pickings, Javonte all getting mixed into the bunch here, but you know, maybe there's a little steam on the Washington side now as well for people making it work there.

1:15:11

How do we get different though, in this, popular game and I don't I don't see the steam I heard you guys talking the whole way I just don't think people are going to be going to that it's just not an appealing side to go to I mean it's Terry McLaurin like people really want to play Stefan Diggs they have no tight end like I just I don't think it's going to get uh steamed up I love the Dallas side though I mean you know it I think title said get right spot.

1:15:36

And it is, it's like perfect. You know, after losing the Giants coming home in the dome, like, I think it's a perfect spot for this offense. It's very, it's going to be a very concentrated offense. I mean, it's like Javonte Williams, CD lamb Pickens, you know, maybe some Ferguson, but man, if you get some combination of Dak Javonte Williams, CD lamb, George Pickens, and they score, uh, upper thirties in points. Like it's very Likely it's coming from some combination of that trio.

1:16:07

Look on the, the, the commander side, like, man, like Terry McLaurin just has to do something with this offense. There's like nothing else. So if they are playing from behind, like, man, he should have, he should have a great opportunity today indoors. So I do like him ownership on him. Again, he's in that a lot of these guys in the $5,000 ish range are just going to get overlooked. We have it at like ten percent. So nothing to really worry about there.

1:16:32

I think he's a good play. But I love I mean, it's no no surprise to anyone. But I love the Cowboys today. I love Dak. Love all the main guys, Javonte, C.D. Lamb and then Pickens as well. And Pickens, the DK price tag at $6,300 is is just too low. Yeah, that's the thing.

1:16:53

So this is, you know, I talked about a point this week a little bit for some just on the Williams role from last week, but McLaurin was kind of just marked off last week. Like they had him covered and that's what we're thinking won't be the case here. So the other thing, and Blickle talked about this yesterday, but like Daniels lineups, when people do go there to title's point, I do think there is some steam kicking over to this side a little bit.

1:17:15

It's that I don't think people will double stack as much. They're not going to love McLaurin. They might go Daniels, Diggs, and then Williams, or Daniels, Diggs, and Lamb, or Pickens, or whatever. But it's if you go Daniels, McLaurin, Diggs, and then pick somebody from that Dallas side, that could be a way to get four spots used up and differently. Title also mentioned Ferguson and Flournoy. Those are guys that you can mix into stacks with Dak.

1:17:39

Or you could also have Ferguson as a one-off here where it's just like he's the guy. I think it was – wasn't it Philly last week? Yeah, wasn't it Goedert that got it going against these guys last week? So maybe Ferguson finds his way in and he's .三八百. He's right in between. Andrews and Schultz on the price tier as well. So I think there's something there that you could think about. Also, um, you know, we didn't talk about it fully earlier.

1:18:02

We both, we all mentioned it, but like, um, title talked about his upside to a guy like Hawkins who could be a similar example of that. He's And if you're not playing Jones senior and you're not in on the went side, or you can't figure out the Chicago side, you could just play a guy like Hawkins and hope he's the tight end that's needed. So there's just so many running backs and so many wide receivers.

1:18:25

The tight end pool is still big enough, but I'm saying it's also, you don't usually get slate breaking scores or there's only one or two. And so it's like, you kind of do have to just find that. And any of these guys could be the one and it's out of a smaller pool versus the bigger running back and wide receiver pool. So yeah, I don't have too much else to add here. I'll go to the Seahawks at the Cardinals and kick it over to you, Title.

1:18:46

Talked a bit earlier about McBride. You got JSN. These guys aren't, they're getting like no love. Both those guys probably end up coming in under ten percent when the slate's all said and done. Maybe late swap where they get back up to this like twelve percent number. But Michael Wilson, your boy. So give us give us thoughts on this Cardinals game with the Seahawks here. Yeah, a game that's not getting ownership. Yeah, as much as I love Michael Wilson, I'm going to save it for another day.

1:19:10

A little better spot. Oh, man. Like, JSN, of course. He's showing, like, ten percent. I don't care if it's with Drew Locke. I mean, his explosion in first step on that touchdown last week, just like a curl route or whatever it was, and then just absolutely just shows the levels to speed to – How good these receivers are. And he took it to the house.

1:19:30

So JSN on a slate where people are going to want to pay at running back, where there still is tons of value, where it still is soft. Everything sets up great for him. And the same can be said about Trey McBride on a slate where there's a lot of value. But again, a good amount of value is that tight end.

1:19:45

I think most of my Trey McBride teams probably would be two tight end teams hoping or probably pairing them with the Schultz and a Mayer just because that's where the really good value is. And it's a little easier to spend up there. I mean, Bruce, that moves the ball like this. Michael Wilson and Trey McBride are all you need. For Jacobs Burnett. So I think McBride can have another great game.

1:20:06

If this chalk tight end busts and he's the one that separates, then you're looking to, you can jam a lot of chalk in around it. The one name that I'm still deciding on what to do, and I was going to pull up his rushing prop, Jaden Price. He was plus-one-sixty-five to score a touchdown, which isn't great. And I have a feeling his rushing prop's not going to be Too great either. Sixty and a half, actually a little better than I expected.

1:20:28

I mean, he looked phenomenal in the opening game. He had a clear burst and the offense struggled early. They already said this week that he deserved more touches and he's going to get them. No one's playing him. Absolutely nobody at $5,500. And then you look and they're good, decent favorites in what should be a solid script. So fantastic. I don't know. I'm debating.

1:20:50

I'm going to listen to what you guys say, but I'm debating like I know ball this year and just have a manual min exposure that's over the field. And I think you can separate. So I want you guys to take up Price. Yeah, I think, again, probably way better for afternoon only and late swap. But I definitely think it's possible if you're starting with him. I do like the Seattle defense here and I like McBride. And so, again, there's a couple options in these games.

1:21:12

I know everyone says, like I think it was our guy Sully in the chat said, nobody talking about JSN. If they are though, they're saying what needs to be said. It's like, there's a reason they're not. It's, you know, if you look at, you know, use the stone, his optimal rate, you can see what happens over $10,000 optimal lineups and simulations. Like he's not showing up enough because of the price and the slate at hand. But in the afternoon, he's also a hundred dollars more than CMC.

1:21:37

So if you've got, if you're leaving CMC in the slot in the afternoon for a late swap, if you're thinking about it, I would also think about leaving a hundred bucks where you could be able to pivot over to JSN and get some upside there that way. That's how I'd be thinking about this, but I don't have too much interest on him going in.

1:21:52

I do think the Seattle D going against the Cardinals, where they are right above the Ravens and below the Buccaneers. And I'll tell you this, I said it from experience of going to that... The Seahawks Patriots Superbowl, the, the, um, the Marshall Lynch one, when they should have ran the ball and they threw it, the interception, the Seattle fans just travel like crazy, man. Like nobody in Arizona. I mean, you're there title. You know what it's like?

1:22:15

Like these people aren't going, they, they, do they have fans? Sure. You will go to the game because it's something to do. But for the most part, it's not like that. And the Seattle fans travel heavily and it's still going up against percent and all these guys. It's possible that you see a bunch of McBride catches and he can be helpful at a tight end position where he separates for you.

1:22:33

But it's also possible that the Seahawks D just shows up and gets the job done at $3,500 this week. They're a pretty good D. And remember, people always forget this, too. I'm not saying to double dip at all because I don't care that much about Shahid. But it's DST that we play in the STs for special teams. When you got a burner like Shahid that can take those things back, he's getting punts, he's getting kicks.

1:22:53

There is upside there for the Seattle defense more than people think because it's DST, not just defense. So kick it back over to you, Hoop. But Seahawks at the Cardinals, anything to add here? I think JSN's ownership could come down even more. Like we're showing... I wouldn't be surprised if it's, like, eight percent or something. Drew Locke throwing him the ball, but that doesn't matter. I mean, he's just, man, a different sort of talent.

1:23:18

So, like him, I think Price, if you're playing a lot of lineups, They're going against the Cardinals like Cardinals look decent early I guess that decent Cardinals look good in week one but was that more than Chargers just being bad and rusty or is it really the Cardinals I'm good with price to and one fifty and then on the Cardinals side it's tough man the Seattle defense is freaking legit I mean it is very very good.

1:23:46

I think McBride at tight end just spend up to be ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ is certainly in play. Another guy where I think the ownership is lower than anyone's really showing. I just don't think anyone's going to pay up at that position. So JSN, McBride, and then Price in one fifty. But man, I don't really want anything else here. Yeah. So I mentioned to the Cardinals D at $2,500. Again, there's a few options there.

1:24:11

I think more people would be going to like Jacksonville or the Jets or different other, you know, whatever you decide there. But if you're not in on anything in this game or you're not on JSN, I wouldn't hate if you landed on the Cardinals and just said, hopefully they get after Drew Locke and make it work. But again, not my my favorite position there to talk about, but just in general. Last game, one I've got a ton of interest in myself, but Hoop, I'll stay with you.

1:24:32

We got forty Niners at home versus the Dolphins. And, you know, talked about it earlier, but it looks like CMC kind of the only real interest that people have in this game. Quarterback spread out pretty a little bit. Sure. But then, you know, between Kittle and. Evans and Samuel and all the way the pricing shakes. So I don't think people are loving this spot. So I'll have to see. And I don't think that overstacks.

1:24:54

And then again, the other thing is it's kind of like the Jacksonville Cleveland situation from last week. People, you know, HN, Caleb Douglas, Malik Washington. Yes, they would make sense, but people don't want to pick that game and try and make it all work. Yeah. I mean, anytime you have someone that's this big of a favorite, like a two touchdown favorite, you know, people aren't going to necessarily like the Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ situation.

1:25:17

Just looking at the forty-nighter side, I think McCaffrey has a chance to come in. I think he will be lower owned than like Derrick Henry and Bijan. I mean, people saw that game and Black played quite a bit. I mean, full drives. Black was out there playing. So that's going to scare people. I think it makes sense, though. Like I know for a DFS perspective, we want our running backs out there nonstop, nonstop, nonstop. Don't come off the field.

1:25:42

But like a guy like McCaffrey, why would you not preserve him a little bit? So I am honestly a little bit worried. Can McCaffrey get it done in limited reps? Absolutely. He can go off. But having Black involved is definitely, if he's going to be involved at the level he was in game one, which I don't see any reason for them not, especially when they're such big favorites.

1:26:06

I do think McCaffrey's ownership will come down a little bit and be lower than what everyone's kind of projecting.

1:26:15

The the pass catchers like the Brock Purdy stuff I think the reason people are hesitant of it is because they don't really know how to do it or or there's not an obvious way to go it's not like you know if you're playing um if you're playing Dallas like you know you're gonna go dac with cd lamb or Pickens or both with uh the forty-Niners it's it's a little more difficult like you know Mike Evans debo Samuel Kittle it doesn't feel super comfortable And I think that's really good for today because I don't think a lot of people are going to do it.

1:26:47

And you can do it in a lot of different ways. You can go Purdy with one of those guys and go Purdy with two of those guys. You can go Purdy and include McCaffrey. McCaffrey has all the research. I really like the Purdy stuff. I think I like it more than playing McCaffrey. If I'm choosing, do I want to play McCaffrey or do I want to play a San Francisco passing Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗, it's definitely the passing game stack.

1:27:09

And then in terms of the run back, man, HN – It was rough last week, and he had a really good team and had him in it, and it would have continued on and done much better. I don't think I can go there again. Caleb Douglas looked solid, Malik Washington, but I think if I am playing someone on Miami, it's going to be Caleb Douglas, and they're Likely playing from behind here and having to pass a ton in the second half, so I think he's a fine option.

1:27:36

Yeah, I think you can't really go wrong there if you want to just plug one of those guys in and push them back. But like somebody said in the chat too, the forty Niners, big, big team total. I think it's the highest team total on the slate at home. The theory or the common theme is that they have to be pushed, but I don't know if they have to.

1:27:50

Like, again, some of these coaches, the Dan Campbell, the Tyler Shanahan's, the Ben Johnson of the world, they just stop. They don't care. And it's not really about that. Now, that could be a thing to say, well, for some we'll say, well, that's why, you know, now that black Kalen black sounds like he's going to be good to go as of this morning. So it's like, well, maybe they'll use more of him, but it might've already been the damage might be done.

1:28:11

CMC might've scored the first two touchdowns. And one of them was a pass from Purdy and he's still got a hundred yards or a hundred all purpose or something. It's still a pretty good day for him at $8,000. So it's just looking at it from that perspective. I do like the passing attack here though, title.

1:28:24

And I think the ways you can flip it, like you can go Purdy Evans Deboe, Um, even Robinson Kittle, like there, you know, you can mix it up, but I do like Evans Debo and Kittle. And then on the other side, you got Washington or Douglas. And so no one's really going to a Chan. I think his ownership comes down from what we even have it at. It's just the pricing and where he's at.

1:28:42

But I think there's a chance here that we just see the forty niner score a bunch and it just that's what it is. Yeah, I think they score a bunch for sure. I love McCaffrey. He's my favorite way in this game. I want to get overweight. Again, maybe I'll be overweight on two tight ends today or Caleb Douglas down here in Valet needing some saving because you can fit Bijan McCaffrey and Derrick Henry if you want to go about that. It sounds fun on paper.

1:29:08

I'm not saying that's the most optimal route, but I think all three of them. It's hard to see him fail, in my opinion. This Miami defense is as bad as it gets. McCaffrey's the freaking man. Everything Hoop said about Black is a legit concern, especially moving forward a bit. He was banged up with a groin injury this week throughout. He's going to play. He's expected to play.

1:29:27

But it makes me at least feel a little better with McCaffrey if the backup, who they do view as somewhat important, was banning a little injury. I'm hoping he doesn't take too much of the work. Yeah. And then on the dolphin side, it's really Caleb Douglas or nothing. But yeah, to Yobi's question earlier, I do think Caleb Douglas is the real deal. I mean, that can mean a lot of things, but I think he's wide receiver one. I think he's going to get peppered.

1:29:51

$3,700 is a great price tag, low ownership, a way to get exposure in this game. If the Niners are rolling, Caleb Douglas isn't coming off the field. Garbage time counts the same. So I do think he's a very good running back. I like Purdy's stuff. You can go with Kittle, with Mike Evans. I like Purdy's stuff, but it is hard to play him, kind of like the Jordan Love situation.

1:30:12

But that will eat into, even though Purdy's showing some ownership at ten percent, who you pair him with. And you can pair him with McCaffrey. I'm not worried about that ownership with so many ways to go. Yeah, they talk about concern of the travel and all that stuff. If anything, to me, I guess I know what you're saying, but like I said, the numbers don't really reflect it.

1:30:30

And two, it's like if anything, that could just make for a better back and forth. And then you would want something from the other side and sort of see that game going that way. And that could be even more fantasy. That game was like a month ago. Yeah. Long week for sure. Yeah. The, um, the art, I mean, that's another thing too.

1:30:48

Like I think people talk about the travel and stuff like that, but what about like, that was what I was going to say earlier too. Another thing about the Seahawks going into Arizona, like probably chomping at the bit, them and the Patriots to play. Like the NFL started on a Wednesday this year. These guys have been rolling since waiting for another game.

1:31:03

So it's like, man, they could just show up hungry and extra healthy, ready to go and just get after some of these teams. So not too much else to add here. Title, any final thoughts from you on the slate before we get out of here? No, not really. Again, the late swap thing, five games in the late swap window. The Chargers are pretty interesting talking points. Jags, Broncos game, not as much, but I think it's a game you can go to if you need pivots.

1:31:27

Niners obviously getting some ownership, but yeah, the Dallas Washington game, that's the ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗. So yeah, if you need to get different, I would probably get off that game for the most part. If you are looking pretty and you have low own pieces that you don't really think you need, you have a clear spot to go for the chalk. So yeah, Man, yeah, thirteen games. Sunday's the best, so good luck, everyone. Yeah, ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ construction in an hour. Like Sully says, use this as your snack break.

1:31:51

I think it was plus $1,000. It might have come down from there, but Evans was plus $1,000 for two touchdowns today. If you're going back and hoping that he's the real deal after what we saw in week one and they continue to use him that way. Hoop, final thoughts from you, man, before we get out of here? No, good luck to everyone. A lot of different ways to go. A lot of options.

1:32:09

It should be a fun one and looking forward to it. And then we'll be back tomorrow. Don't make sure to tune into the show. What? Eleven thirty. What do they start? Eleven thirty Eastern. Yeah. Just under an hour from now. Yeah. And then we'll be back tomorrow for the Monday night showdown. Yep. You bet you guys. And then tonight later on, like we said, with Nades and Ham, we'll be breaking down Sunday night football on the Sunday sweat down with anything else that's going on around.

1:32:32

If you still want to get in to Ship It Nation, any all access member or NFL only member can get in on Ship It Games where there is $45,000 one hundred forty seven dollars currently up for grabs for our community. And the prize payouts are on there. It's like it's like a it's like an online live final. So it's not live, so it's an online final, but it's kind of the same way.

1:32:52

You get into the top fifty, you play down to the top ten, and currently the prizes for the top ten on the season will be $10,000 cash plus an annual Ship It Nation Saversim Ultimate Membership, $5,000 in the same, $2,500 in the same, and then the cash prizes are no less than a thousand dollars currently for the top ten when it finishes out. So it's going to be a good day, guys.

1:33:12

Appreciate everybody for Hoop, for Title, and for myself, Totag, and Tambo. Good luck in your contest in week two. Bip it!

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Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 5:30Week 2 Main Slate Overview
  3. 10:53Bengals at Texans
  4. 16:52Browns at Buccaneers
  5. 21:20Steelers at Patriots
  6. 25:22Packers at Jets
  7. 32:00Panthers at Falcons
  8. 39:44Eagles at Titans
  9. 44:19Ravens at Saints
  10. 52:25Vikings at Bears
  11. 1:00:42Jaguars at Broncos
  12. 1:06:12Raiders at Chargers
  13. 1:11:48Commanders at Cowboys
  14. 1:18:42Seahawks at Cardinals
  15. 1:24:28Dolphins at 49ers
  16. 1:31:12Final Thoughts and Late-Swap Strategy

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