Ravens vs Falcons – SNF Sunday Sweatdown | NFL Week 5 | DFS Picks, Plays & Process

Uh, but looking at some of these, uh, the, the mega million here. Um, I mean, Utica just absolutely just stone nut crusher. Um, James Winston, James millions, right? Uh, well, what's your thoughts here? Uh, here ham on, uh, On the roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Full explanation ↗ here in this game, obviously this is a six hundred Person field, four, four, four, four entry million dollars up top. Absolutely. Obviously, all the best players in the world in here. But talk about this.

I mean, there's no way there's no way you can't just go in and full game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ Detroit and Arizona in and not lose the million dollars. Right. There's no way. But what's your thoughts here? My first thought is, oh, man, Malik Nabers is going to win somebody a million bucks. And then I go through his lineup and Malik's nowhere to be found. Malik's nowhere to be found. I mean, yeah, you see it. Like, obviously you have James with the tight end that blew up.

You got a run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ that's cheap. So that fits. Then you got the Bears, Packers. And then, yeah, Jalen Warren, I mean, yeah. And then Gibbs, who can do no wrong. So, man, there's obviously a lot of games left, and if this Arizona game gets into a shootout, I'd imagine he could lose it. But if he wins it, I mean, hats off to him. Not something that I would get to, but that's why he's UTA, and I'm not because he's the man.

Yeah, our guy Bobby Gomes here, my fellow friend Bobby Gomes here, has a nice team up there as well. He's kind of relying on Trey Harris like the rest of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Full explanation ↗ is. He's in the locker room. Yeah, so I know Tambo was in here as well. Tambo, Kyler Murray team thrown in there. Chris Olave got missed deep for a deep one there, I saw that. Pretty hard when Hawkins gets hit in the head first play and goes out.

He made the catch at least, but got hit in the head, right? Went out of there. So Tambo, unfortunately, unfortunately holding Trey Harris in both lineups as well, but hopefully he can hold on to a couple of min caches here. I know he gets typically min caches, right? You're not looking for min caches overall, but when you get in on tickets like Tambo did playing baseball this week, Always nice to secure fourteen grand plus in in some ticket entries there.

But anyone in the in the chat have some contest that they got a nice lineup. They want us to pull up here and kind of take through as the game of the century is in the halftime here with with the Cardinals in Detroit. What about this? Yeah, go ahead. What about those two catches today that Watson had one and Ja'Marr Chase had the other? Those were two phenomenal catches. And then what a bunch of boneheads in that Giants game. Like Cam Scadaboo won.

And then what was Jayden Daniels doing at the end? Yeah. I just don't understand. Yeah, I don't know what Jayden Daniels was doing, but more so I don't know what the fuck these coaches are doing. I mean, my gosh, like the coaches are just absolutely insane. Like even Ben Johnson today, like I don't know what the hell is going on. Like Ben Johnson today running an end around from the fucking red zone.

Like I swear, like he's obviously insane, insane play caller, just obviously really good coach in general, right? No shocker there. Everyone would agree, but – Some of the moves that Ben Johnson made today were just kind of like head scratching. It's almost like he's trying to be too too flashy and outsmart everybody, including himself in the red zone. When I mean, just fucking turn around and hand the ball off to DeAndre Swift fucking four times in the red zone. Right.

But no, he's in shotgun with fucking Tyson Badgett running end arounds and bullshit like that. I mean. Roshan Johnson is getting lion's share of the carries like just it was pretty, pretty head scratching in general. But I mean, if there's one lesson to be learned so far in the NFL is, man, these NFL coaches are something else. What's your thoughts on that? Yeah, there's something else that I've got to pick. Oh, it's Pia. Yeah, they're insane.

And I'm twenty five million dollars poor, Nades. I had the Cowboys on Thursday night, those jabronis with forty percent of the field. I think they're down to $3,000 people. So I'm out of this. I'm out of the circle, which stinks. But I mean, Todd Bowles, go up seventeen or go for it. Like, I mean, I mean, whatever. It's just head scratching that they make these plays or make these calls. But any given Sunday, I guess, Nades. Yeah. Yeah, I saw this too, right?

Like Packers just go out there. I mean, Matt LaFleur is too fucking stupid anyways to do that. I know Ben Johnson right runs his mouth and all of that. As shitty as Matt LaFleur, at least he keeps his mouth shut for the most part. But, yeah, I mean, Packers just continue to get injured. I saw Hargrave tore his Achilles, so another Achilles injury for the Packers defense. And just injuries in general just continue to – to warp the NFL here. I mean, just continue.

There's more and more guys going down again. Obviously, Hockenson went out early. Some defensive guys went out, just injury. Aaron Jones went to the tent, came back and did the undertaker gift, right, and said, hold on, let me get back and score some points here. But yeah, that's I mean, that's one thing for sure. These injuries, I mean, I just I don't know what the I don't know what the solution is here, Ham, on these injuries. We see it week in and week out.

All these injuries coming to play here. Too many injuries. Yeah. You hate to see it, especially to the, the, the superstars or anybody, but the superstars, what makes the game not as good. And yeah. Who else? I feel like someone else is, Got hurt today, but I can't think of it off the top of my head. I didn't know that Hargrave. But the Packers, Nades, the Packers, the season's over. No Parsons. Hey, they're tied with the Bears, three and two. Who would have thought it?

The mighty Bears and the Packers both have the same record, better than the Lions. Obviously, Trell and the Vikings, who haven't lost yet, they can catch them. So, yeah, looking forward to see what the Packers can do. Yeah, I mean, I didn't have high expectations because I knew our offensive line was going to be bullshit. But what did they do? First time ever in the history of, I think, Green Bay, went out and actually signed some dudes instantly to try and make a switch, right?

So they signed a bunch of veteran players.

Guys out there and Jordan Love actually looked fairly confident back there because he had some bodies that could actually give them more than a half a second to throw the fucking football which was nice so yeah hopefully hopefully that can keep it up but I mean I knew that Bears defense was was pretty pretty Swiss cheese anyways in general I know their rankings would say otherwise since week two they were number one in the league overall team defense and stuff like that but I just don't think that defense is very good in general.

So that's why I was very heavily on the Jordan Love side. I was heavy on that game in general. I had like eighty some percent DeAndre Swift. I had a ton of Luther Burden, Loveland. I was in on that game big time. That was my favorite game on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗ outside of obviously everybody's favorite game. But I was looking for other games, my two favorite games on the slate besides the obvious one.

In Detroit and Arizona was the Green Bay Chicago game, just because, again, I think Green Bay's defense is pretty weak. I think Chicago's defense is pretty weak. Love was at home. Weather was nice. It was easy to kind of stack them up. You know, it's Watson, Golden and Kraft. Really, those three guys kind of lead. So it's pretty condensed target treeTarget ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Full explanation ↗ on the other side as well. And then the Drake May stuff. Right.

I was in on that game pretty heavily, more so on the on the May side of it. But Those were two games that I was really heavily involved in. DeAndre Swift getting seventeen, which doesn't kill you.

But when Jalen Warren goes out there and just nukes the slate at a similar price point and just absolutely drops his ball bag on everyone, pretty hard to kind of go absolutely nuclear in terms of your portfolio when you have eighty percent DeAndre Swift and he gets dwarfed like that. But overall, I thought it was pretty sharp way to play this slate. And Gibbs, Gibbs was the main guy I was in on in that afternoon game because Gibbs can do it in any way.

And we actually saw Gibbs ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ kind of moonwalk back. And the reason being, I think, is because we had all this mid-tier running back stuff open up. Right. DeAndre Swift went with Noma Nungai at $6,200. And so many people wanted to play Wilson and McBride that it was hard to fit in.

Jameer gibbs it really was um the more you kind of started building teams and when this other stuff kind of picked up with injury news and stuff so that's one kind of lesson that I pulled away um now gibbs isn't obviously unownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ but I mean he was projected to be mega mega chalk going into the weekend and he ended up in like most of the stuff sub thirty percent I mean even in high stakes like the high stakes mega here as you see on Utah's um As you see on Yuta's team here, I mean, even in high stakes, a six hundred Person contest or six hundred thirty four entrance.

Right. Thirty percent for Gibbs. I mean, he was projected to be fifty fifty. Right. So that's one thing I saw that I thought shocked me a little bit was Jameer Gibbs kind of getting held in check. And I think it's because so many other running back plays open up. Right. The Jalen Warren the Swift of the world. There's some other guys, Aaron Jones and things that I'm missing in there as well. But any any thoughts on that? Yeah, he had a bunch of running backs.

We talked about it on the show this morning that Matt and I did. Tons of running backs. Gibbs is obviously Gibbs, but he's also $9,800 bucks. So, hey, if you had Trey McBride as the third best tight end on the Cardinals today, tip your cap to you. But I mean, I mean, Ollie Gordon, even Ollie Gordon, somebody like that who no one was playing like he had a good day. So the running back position was was strong today.

But like you said, Swift with no Manunga, Warren with no Dowdle and Braylon Allen, who's basically getting a hundred percent of those targets. You just had a lot of running backs that were going to play a bunch, a bunch of snaps with not a lot, not a lot of competition today. So, yeah. So you had to nail running back in order to kind of be in the, in the running.

Yeah no for sure um just taking a look at some of these other contests the three dollar twenty maxTwenty-MaxA twenty-max contest lets each user enter up to 20 lineups. It sits between small-field formats like three-max and the largest 150-entry tournaments.Plan all 20 lineups before building any of them. Decide your stacks and exposure limits first, so the set works as a portfolio rather than 20 separate guesses.Full explanation ↗ here um just nutted um but like even then I mean you can still get there with swift swift didn't kill you he's not the reason you lost or won money today um it's really what what unlocked it was obviously the Winston stuff right that Giants Washington game overtime obviously helped there and giant scoring late another pick there from uh From the Niners D, shout out to you, right?

Niners D just kind of dunking on these guys over here. Oh, they got another pick? Yeah, they just picked it off. Gosh, you're way ahead of me. Lions just lost another dude on defense here, another injury there. But, yeah, I mean, overall, we're going to see very similar stuff on all kind of the winners here. But let's – Talk a little bit about late swapLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Full explanation ↗. Like late swap to me was tough today.

I mean, but did you do any late swappingLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Full explanation ↗ or did you kind of play it out? So, again, I was kind of under, not under, but I was kind of like field level max with that Cardinals and Detroit game. Outside of Gibbs, I have like sixty five percent Gibbs in my portfolio. I had some McBride, but I had a shit ton of Bowers and some of the other pivots. Obviously, I was so heavily in on the Drake May and Jordan Love stuff.

Those are my two highest ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ quarterbacks on the entire slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗.

Um there just because I play a lot of larger field stuff even my single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ stuff um like I have fifty fifty dollar single entry and twenty seven dollar single entries and all of those are kind of bigger fields in general so I just knew you would have had to be perfect and there's a scenario right we've seen this play out before that there's scenarios where even the Detroit and Arizona game could go nuclear, right, and you still could get away with having a piece or two or three pieces from there and have your quarterback plus two with a runbackBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ or quarterback plus three and two runbacks, something like that, right, can still kind of outdo it is kind of how I approach the slate.

So from a late swap perspective, I didn't have a ton of late swapping that I did personally myself. The Trey Harris was with the Ladd-McConkie news that came out. I thought about that, but then I was like, I think, if anything, that's just going to hold Trey Harris ownership in check. Hindsight, well, it didn't really do anything. It really didn't do anything. Holy run. Kamani Vidal? What? That was a big boy run there. Kamani Vidal. He just ran through the whole line.

But anyways. Wow. Gary Sanders Jr.? Hey, Bo Nix is terrible, Nades. That guy stinks. Yeah, I mean, everyone crowned Bo Nix fucking MVP for the future last season before he obviously broke his ankle there in the playoffs. But, yeah, going back to the late swap here, Trey Harris would have been the piece that I would have kind of contemplated late swapping.

Overall, it's just where I had exposure to the Detroit-Arizona stuff, I was already in a good enough position to kind of hold that because I was so heavy on Jordan Love and Drake May and those other games that where I was heavy in on the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ games, I was already differentiated enough. So that's where late swap didn't really play a big factor into my portfolio on this weekend.

But late swap, I think, was just overall pretty tough on the slate in general just because – of only having three afternoon games and the pricing right the way the pricing shook up um it would have if anything I would have swapped off of more McBride and some Michael Wilson and stuff like that but I was already under on them to start so that's kind of how I approached late swap there um how'd you kind of approach it yeah honestly I didn't do much I mean I didn't do a whole lot.

Uh, it was tough because to me, there wasn't much outside of, you know, the one game, the, the Cardinals game you had, you know, JSN, CMC, and then, you know, Trey Harrison, the folks like that. But I kinda, I kinda liked a lot of this stuff early. Like I had, uh, You know, if you looked at my core over at Ship It Nation, I mean, I was on May. I was on Gibbs, obviously, like you said.

I was on Bowers, Jalen Warren, and then Michael Wilson. So I had a pretty good morning with May, Warren, and Bowers. And then I had Gibbs and Wilson in the afternoon, who I was pretty confident in as well. So there wasn't much late swapping for me to do. I'm up there in a lot of these tournaments, need Michael Wilson to pick it up to cash in and win one. But for me, there wasn't much late swap that I did in my teams.

Yeah. Yeah, that's kind of how I saw it too, and it's just sometimes I mean sometimes late swap plays a bigger role when we have kind of a couple games in the afternoon where there goes Gibbs. That dude is just so good, man. Like, I swear the Lions could just give Gibbs the ball every single time and it'd probably do them just fine. You know, just scheme Gibbs every time. And they obviously do that. But yeah, I mean, he's just he's just a freak.

But yeah, I mean, late swap is obviously a great conversation. But this particular slate, the way the morning shook up when, again, everybody knew going into the slate, right? Detroit, Arizona is the game of the week. You can't miss spot. The plays look great. Everybody was preloaded with with Wilson, McBride, Burnett with either Amonra, Gibbs, LaPorta, J-Mo on the runback are two of them, guys. Humble. Drake May, speaking of Amonra, there goes the – There goes his fumble.

But they were just so heavy on that game that so many people missed out on the Drake May ceiling, the Jordan Love, the James Winston stuff from the morning games that I just don't think people had enough room to really late swap around. Outside of maybe a Jameer Gibbs, that's probably why you saw Wilson and McBride's ownership stay and even probably Steem. More so than Jameer Gibbs and Gibbs kind of moonwalking back because more people probably adjusted down from Gibbs.

And then when I went to kind of some of those other other plays there, but especially when you're kind of chasing the Jalen Warren game. Right. So that's kind of what I take is there. But let's go ahead and jump into the Sunday night game here. We have the initial projectionsProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Full explanation ↗ loaded, our initial stone, as you see here up on the screen, Ham. Actually, let's go ahead. Let me go ahead and share the stone. Two point oh here. Actually, now that we have it.

What's your initial broad slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗ overview for the Sunday night football game here as we as we had low times to. Wow. The GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ special of the day. Jamison Williams. Let's go, baby. Yeah, Jamo. You know, it was a matter of time before him. But in terms of this game here, Ham, let's jump in, start talking Sunday night football. We got about forty minutes or so until inactives will hit thirty, thirty, forty minutes, something like that. We'll stick around. There is some news to wait around.

Right. We do obviously know Lamar Jackson is out, but we have Zay Flowers questionable. Outside of that, you've got Marlon Humphrey, who's questionable, which doesn't matter a ton, but it does matter for guys like Drake London, who obviously a bunch of the field wants to play here in terms of that. But what's your overall thought here, Atlanta? Three-point favorites on this one, forty-three and a half point total overall here. And obviously, right, we know Tyler Huntley is making the start here.

What's your broad slate overview? Yeah, my Boston overview is that we saw the Falcons in the first two weeks. They looked like they couldn't beat anybody. They were very bad. Then they go Thursday night to Green Bay. They get their quarterback, and all of a sudden they look very good. Looked very good on Thursday night. Looked very good on Monday night. Running the ball, the Robinson brothers, Bijan and Bryant just absolutely cutting up.

Then they're going to mix in some Drake London as well. Michael Penance hadn't turned the ball over, been very good. Offenses looked very good. And what happens when the offense starts humming, the defense all of a sudden naturally gets better. So Falcons rolling. We saw them in back-to-back primetime games. Now they're on a third straight primetime game. Going up against a Lamar Jackson-less Ravens teams, as you alluded to. So they're going to be popular again tonight, right?

Are you going to play Brian Robinson Jr. again? Bijan's definitely getting played, but are you playing Brian Robinson Jr. again? A little bit different of an animal with the Ravens defense. We know what Tyler Hamilton and those guys can do. You got Derrick Henry on the other side. Me personally, I'm kind of staying away from this Ravens passing game. We've seen this movie before, Nades, with Snoop Huntley at quarterback. Reminds me of Malik Willis, two point. Oh, he's going to run it.

He's going to pass it about one hundred twenty five yards and they're going to rely on Derrick Henry. The problem there, though, is that the Ravens offensive line is beat up their center. One of them is in Las Vegas. One of them's on the shelf. So what they do, they move the rookie tackle over to the center position. We saw what happened last week against against the mighty Titans. They couldn't get the hand rolling under sixty yards rushing. So to me.

The Falcons are going to win this game. I'm going to heavily build my teams favoring that way, but also the field, I believe, is going to do that as well. So that's kind of my broad slate overview. I'm big on the Falcons, not so big on the Ravens tonight. Yeah, that's not a shock by any means, right? That's kind of how everyone is going to see it.

Four, two heavy Falcons is going to kind of lead the slate with five, one Falcons kind of going to be probably around fifteen, fifteen percent or so of lineups, fifteen to twenty percent, something like that. I do think you kind of see an increase in Bijan and Brian Robinson Jr. together, especially with how we've seen these showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Full explanation ↗ slates have gone right. This is our third Atlanta showdown slate in a row. On it. So I kind of see it as more of a competitive game.

I kind of think it plays similar. I think Baltimore will be able to score overall. I just, I think they're going to be able to get it done and at least move the ball and score enough that I don't really like five ones very much. And I'm kind of giving more credit to some of the Baltimore plays here, but in terms of captains, let's jump right in here.

And yeah, talk about captains obviously um in terms of the dry run right I run dry run projectionsProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Full explanation ↗ wise it's obviously bees on number one no no surprise there um I get about seventy percent vision captain um just with one unique projected score no shock and then Drake London is number two um so anyone really outside of Drake London and bijan you're going to be contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ in the captain positionShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Full explanation ↗ how are you going to approach those two guys in particular bijan being $17,700 Drake London being $14,700 And then really, I mean, from a skill position standpoint, nobody's going to Derrick Henry.

Nobody's going to Zay Flowers. Nobody's going to play any of these. I mean, if anybody plays a skill position guy from the Ravens up top, I think it's going to be Snoop Huntley at thirteen point $2,000 in the captain position here, just with his rushing upside. I mean, from the props perspective, he's got a hundred and seventy four and a half passing yard, pretty heavy juice to the over there. But in terms of his rushing yards, right?

I mean, I don't see his rushing prop off the top of my head here, but you have to assume, yeah, I mean, he's got a five and a half rushing prop in terms of rushing attempts juiced down the over. So he's got some floor built in on the rushing. We've seen some of these other guys like a Case Keenum get up there in a kind of similar situation, right? Backup quarterback. How do you see the captain position overall?

Yeah, with the lack of a lot of cheap plays, you're going to have to find some salary somewhere. So I'll start with Snoop Huntley. I don't like him as an NFL quarterback. Hold on one second, one second, one second. Michael Wilson just made a catch. All right, continue. You scared me. I thought something happened. I don't like Snoop Huntley as a quarterback, but when I'm trying to find salary at thirteen to, you know, they price these guys with Lamar Jackson in.

So you're getting a starting quarterback with rushing upside. You know, like I said, I think he rushes for about fifty throws for about buck fifty. Can he get two in there? So I don't hate I don't hate Snoop Huntley if you're going down from a quarterback position. I actually like him a little bit better than Phoenix because you're getting you're getting rushing upside with him and you're also getting a little bit of discount.

But for me, it's B. John Robinson, seven, seven or seventeen, seven. To lead the way. I mean, in a dome at home, he can catch it. Uh, he can obviously run it. Uh, so Bijan would be my number one. And then the only other captain like skill position was, is, is Drake London nades. Um, With the two games that he's played with Michael Penix, it's a hundred and ninety-four yards and ninety-six yards. Fourteen total targets in those two games. So, Drake London can get it done.

If it is a lower contest, like a seventeen, fourteen, and Drake just goes off, I think Drake London a great spot. But it's Bijan and Drake, my top two Falcons. And then Huntley is going to be my – Huntley is my favorite Ravens, a little bit more than Dee Hinn and then a little bit more than Zay Flowers. Let me say one thing about Zay Flowers real quick is Zay Flowers had like a hundred and twenty yards in the first half with Lamar.

They slowed down. I totally get it. But he didn't have any catches in the second half last week against the vaunted Titans secondary. And that was with Snoop back there. Yeah, no, for sure. I kind of like that breakdown. Bijan, I'm going to probably play Bijan around the field about thirty percent or so. He seems really well, obviously. Don't need me to really talk about Bijan. As much Bijan as you can get is great, obviously.

But I do like Derrick Henry quite a bit. He's probably my second favorite captain on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗. The reason being is, number one, it flips the script. Number two, Snoop's offense, I think, relies heavily on Derrick Henry here. You look at his rushing prop, eighty and a half rush yards on his prop. I think the game is going to be competitive here. I think Snoop or I think Derrick Henry and they can start running. They can run some.

Run pass options, things like that with Henry. Everyone sees Atlanta's rush defense, right? This is week five, right? I just, I mean, I don't care what the DVP says at this point of the season. I think Derrick Henry can do it on anyone. He's going to be sub-ten percent ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ on a one-game Sample when everybody else is playing the Bijan and Drake London on the other side, so...

I actually like the two captains sandwiched between Bijan and Drake London in Derrick Henry and Zay Flowers quite a bit. I think Zay Flowers is a spend upSpending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Full explanation ↗ to be contrarian. I think everybody sees exactly what you saw last week, Ham. No way Dave Flowers can do it. He didn't get really any looks in the second half with Snoop Huntley in there. I mean, that's a mid game, mid game kind of adjustment on the fly. Obviously, we know Zay is Lamar's guy.

Now Snoop probably had taken a bunch more snaps this week in practice and stuff like that with the banged up Lamar Jackson. So I think Zay Flowers is kind of interesting up there. The one guy I'm selling on in the captain position here, I think overall is going to be Drake London at $14,700. I think he's just over owned in this spot in general for me. So he's the guy that I think I'm going to be under our weight on.

I think he's over-owned for what I'm looking at and seeing his optimal be here overall. So that's one guy that I'm selling on. But really, my captain pool is going to be heavily condensed around Bijan, Derrick Henry, and then Zay Flowers are kind of the guy And then Tyler Huntley would be the fourth guy that I think is interesting just with the rushing floor here. And I mean, I like these road underdog kind of spots, right?

We just saw the same kind of things shake up with Bucky Irving on Thursday night, obviously a much different game.

In general the spread is much different all things but there's no way Bucky Irving could have a good game right it's a nine and a half point dog and this and that I mean wild happens in NFL I'm just playing the game that at hand and at ownership in these large field tournamentsGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ I I just think henry flowers and the the Baltimore side is going to be on their own um overall so my favorite captain bijan um Bijan, Henry, Zay Flowers, Tyler Huntley are kind of the four main guys that I'm looking at overall.

Any thoughts on like a value Mark Andrews at ninety six $9,600 here? No, not for me. He doesn't have much tread left on the tires. Yeah. I mean, to me, there's not much you can get to. I mean, someone put it in the chat and I one hundred percent agree. The Ravens are not the Packers. They're not the Saints.

But, you know, what if they just played smash mouth again and Brian Robinson Jr. got eight and two touchdowns again like I'm talking large field. I think he's viable. But, I mean, unless you're going to get cued and do like a kicker or defense, like to me it's tough to get down there that you can't find a whole ton of value.

I mean, I think Zedary Smith being out helps a little bit too for – For the pass rushing, it makes it a little bit easier on Tyler Huntley. Smith has looked pretty good for Atlanta so far as well. So I don't know. I'm just playing this. I think Baltimore keeps it closer than what it seems like projections in the field is given credit for. So that's kind of what I see there.

But, yeah, I mean, Mark Andrews, I think, $9,600 feels kind of expensive for him on this slate with Snoop Huntley there. But again, you could see Mark Andrews rack up like eight for sixty. And if he gets he finds his way into the box, I mean, you could see him be kind of the optimal guy. I mean, you look at his props, three and a half reception prop. Thirty and a half yards, which isn't great.

But if he gets that and kind of beats those crops and scores a touchdown and what that does for for the roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Full explanation ↗ being sub $10,000 up top, when you look at the value on the slate and it's pretty weak in general, I mean, Austin Hooper is the favorite value play for everyone. And Justice Hill. Right. So I just think. If he does that, I don't think he's the worst play up top buying in there.

But yeah, I think we talked about the captain position enough. It's pretty cut and dry from a captain position overall here. But jumping over to the flex, talking to these quarterbacks, Tyler Huntley, $8,800. Michael Penix, $9,400 in the flex here. Have to assume Huntley is going to be higher owned than Penix. Just number one, better projection. Number two, people are so heavily invested in Bijan and Drake London right there. Drake London, four hundred dollars more.

I think more people click that name and they're more invested. They're just going to click Tyler Huntley, I think, more so than Paddock. But how do you see those two in terms of the flex overall? Yeah, Nades, the way I see this game is a ball control, slow down game. I don't see a whole lot of points in this contest personally, so – I think you're fine with fading one of these quarterbacks, however you want to tell the story. Potentially fading both.

I think that's kind of risky. But I guess you could if you're going to build for a low-scoring game. So, I mean, I like Penix. I like Huntley. Penix has not shown the ability to run so far this year. Coming off, I think, two, possibly three ACL tears. So – He hasn't been running, which lowers his upside, in my opinion, especially at $9,400. He's going to throw it to Drake London. He's not going to throw it to many other people.

They're going to run about ten different wide receiver tight end combos out there. So I don't love Penix. And then I don't love Huntley, but I love the $8,800. And I love his rushing upside and like two hundred total yards. If he could somehow sneak one or two into the end zone. Via his legs or the arm, I would like that. But I'm going to build the teams that I build to be lower scoring than more of a shootout type.

Yeah, no, for sure. I think in a lower scoring type script, you can definitely get away with playing both quarterbacks here. You're going to get better leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗, like I said, on Penix than Tyler Huntley. I think they're both good. You can play both of them for sure easily in this spot. Jumping over to the running back position here, I think it gets a little more interesting.

Obviously, not much really to say about Bijan here, but Bijan, I probably prefer him more so up top when he's $11,800 in the flex in general. Henry's also eleven K in the flex, which is pretty expensive price point to play overall. But I mean, you look at Henry's props, eighty nine and a half rush plus receiving B. John, excuse me, sitting at one nineteen and a half rushing and receiving. But really, the talk is more on these RB twos.

Justice Hill, I think, is going to pick up a decent amount of ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ just because I think so many people are so heavy on the Atlanta focused builds. Right. The four to five one Atlanta side of this game with. With Tyler Huntley being under center instead of Lamar Jackson, that that's just naturally going to make people sell on Derrick Henry and buy on Justice Hill at $3,200 where he's more of the pass down guy. So how do you see that?

I think he's a fine salary saver there. I just be cognizant of how I'm playing him, how I'm using him, use him in a script that you say Atlanta smashes. So maybe maybe if you play Justice Hill, I think Maybe you play a Bijan up top. You play a Brian Robinson Jr.. You just say, hey, Atlanta's going to do what they have done the last couple games, smash them all football. They're just going to run the ball as much as they can.

That's what they want to do anyways in this offense. And if that's the case, well, it's probably Justice Hill, right? Justice Hill being much more involved. So I think he's a fine play. But how are you going to handle these? I'll call them four running backs on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗. Obviously, Henry and Bijan are the two leads. But I think there's a big talking point to be had on the slate with a $3,200 Justice Hill.

And then Brian Robinson Jr. is starting to get priced up $5,800 on the slate feels pretty expensive. He's more expensive than kickers. He's more expensive than both the defenses. Jahan Dotson, Justice Hill. I mean, he has a real price point on the slate. And again, you alluded to this is a different game. It is a different matchup. So how do you see Brian Robinson Jr. now getting priced up almost at $6,000 in the flex here?

Yeah, I learned from you, he almost has to do something at $6,000, right? Like he has to get twelve plus points at minimum. And that's a lot. That's asking a lot from Brian Robinson Jr. in this game. So I'll probably be a little bit lower. But B. John, yeah, I'm firing a B. John captain. I like him in the flex. I like him in all. It's risky. Nades, it really is, because I've seen I've seen it time and time again. The king in prime time.

He loves prime time. He loves prime time. He threw Josh Norman three states one time in prime time when he was playing for the Titans. He loves playing in prime time. But I'm rolling the dice, and I'm fading Derrick Henry in single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ and three maxThree-MaxA three-max contest lets each user enter up to three lineups. It is a small step up from single-entry.Give each of your three lineups a clear role. Make sure they differ in at least one major decision, like the main stack or the most expensive player.Full explanation ↗, and I'm just doing it. No offensive line. Snoop Huntley back there. It's risky, but I'm doing it. And I'm not getting crazy with Muhammad Ali or Justice Hill back there. I'm not playing either one of those guys.

Yeah, no, for sure. I do think – I mean – You're going to see an unknown Brian Robinson Jr. on the slate because of the price increase and just the way that the slate shakes up right with the kickers being cheaper. Pits, Jahan Dotson, Justice Hill, right? So just it's really just a spend upSpending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Full explanation ↗ to be contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ type play. He does have a ten and a half rush prop, though, thirty five and a half yards. So he does have legitimate potential.

Out there and they trot him out in the red zone quite a bit as well. So I mean, if he goes out there and scores, depending on the way that slakes up, I mean, if he gets you, let's just say he matches his props, right? Thirty five and a half yards in a touchdown. That's probably enough to beat the kickers. Right. And that's really what you're putting him up against.

So don't think it's the craziest play, but I'm definitely my favorite is definitely Bijan and Henry. Then he'll then be Rob. It is kind of how I am. How I see it I just think I don't know I don't think this is the same kind of setup as we've seen the last couple uh showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Full explanation ↗ slates here for the Falcons wide receiver position Drake London obviously leads this room here I personally think Drake London is over owned um personally, myself here on this slate.

But talk about London and Flowers. Obviously, Flowers is still questionable here, but we do kind of expect him to play. Rashad Bateman at $6,200. He looks like a terrible play just from a price projectionProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Full explanation ↗ standpoint. But ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗, he's going to be sub ten percent owned and nobody really knows what's going to happen, what this offense is going to look like, right? We're all kind of just guessing.

Obviously, we've seen Snoop Huntley in the past, but that doesn't mean that that's exactly what's going to happen again here. Again, we're talking on half a football from this season that we've seen Snoop Huntley with the current setup of the Ravens. So how do you see these wide receivers? Talk about what you're going to do with London. Talk about what you're going to do with Zay Flowers up there at $10,000 in the flex.

Because again, these guys were all priced like, Lamar Jackson was in. So when you just look at their price points, they're all overpriced for the role. But again, I mean, this is how you get contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗, I think, is buying into these Ravens skill position guys that are overpriced for the slate at hand. Yeah, you're definitely going to be different getting these pass catchers.

I mean, Rashad Bateman, forty nine percent of the route participation last week at $6,200. No, thank you there. Drake London, I've talked about him at $9,800. Yes, I'm in on that. Give me some Drake London. Zay Flowers left week one early after cutting up and then basically left after after. Halftime last week with no stoop. To me, it's a hard sell to pay $10,000 for a guy with a backup quarterback that I just haven't seen do it.

If I'm playing anybody for the Ravens, I'm going all the way down to Davante Adams Walker. Sixty six percent of the routes last week. He's dirt cheap at $3,000. Give me some Davante Adams Walker. I like him tonight as my Ravens pass catcher to play with my Falcons. Where's Davante Adams coming in as far as ownership goes, Nades? Yeah, I mean, Walker, Chris Moore, Zaccheaus. Zaccheaus is the one I think that's over on for the punt guys.

So yeah, Chris Moore and Walker I think are both fine. I think they're fine leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗, kind of take a shot on cheap wide receiver play. So I don't hate that. I think they check out pretty nice, those two guys. Um, overall, but yeah, I mean, nothing, nothing crazy to, to worry about. I mean, really anything, any skill position guys on the Ravens side of the ball besides Tyler Huntley, um, are, are going to be under owned. Um, Mark Andrews is really the guy.

I think that outside of Huntley, people want to click, um, because of his price point at $6,400 and just a big tight end in general in his projection. But yeah, the cheap wide receiver guys for Baltimore, not really going to get on that much. I mean, they'll have some, but you're talking like five percent on those guys. OK, flowers made of glass is what Davis says, and he's a heck of a receiver.

You know this, but man, he just he just leaves a lot to be desired. Yeah, no, I think the guy I'm going to buy on, at least in the flex, because I think if I'm playing Flowers, I'd rather just play him up top and just say he gets his two touchdowns, something like that. Maybe racks you up just like ten catches, something like that.

And even if he goes like ten-eighty and two, something like that, I'd rather just play that up top than in the flex, the way I kind of see the game going. In the flex overall, though, the guy that I think is pretty interesting in general is Bateman. He's on the field more than Zay Flowers is. If Zay Flowers gets injured again, re-aggravates some, I think he's going to benefit even more.

Again, we don't really know what Huntley going to do, but from a routes standpoint, Bateman leads his team, obviously. From a target shareTarget ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Full explanation ↗ perspective, he's up there. In general, he's third on the team of targets. I mean, I just think this is a spot when nobody wants Rashad Bateman in this offense. I mean, and especially with with Zay Flowers expected to be out there. I think that takes all the focus away from him.

And I do think they're going to sell out to stop Derrick Henry, right? Any smart defense would sell out to stop Derrick Henry in this spot with Snoop Huntley under center. Not much of a threat compared to Lamar Jackson back there. You could see more one-on-one style stuff with guys like Bateman and Andrews across the middle, something like that, where those linebackers and stuff kind of sneak in to really stop the run there.

So that's why I like Andrews and Bateman there. I guess you could put Dave Flowers in there, but at $10,000 feels pretty expensive to me. So I guess I say all that to say my favorite flex wide receiver is going to be my boy Rashad Bateman. And then I like what you said about Davante Adams Walker. Forty-four routes this season so far for his price. That's really good. Jonte Wester is running a decent amount of routes. Him and Chris Moore as well.

So, I mean... In the flex overall, I think taking a shot on these cheaper guys, Walker, uh, I'm with you there, Chris Moore. Um, but don't forget about, uh, Lejonte Wester at $1,000 flat down there as well. Um, that dude's going to be unowned and he's out there running routes on this field. And again, we don't know what, what it's going to look like. I expect them to kind of load the box, like, like the chat was saying, stop Derek Henry.

So you could see one-on-one type coverage and it just relies on can, uh, can Stu Puntley throw the ball and find the hands of these guys. But, uh, Outside of that, I mean, the only other guy I'll mention here, Ham, is Zachariah Branch. Just a buy low spot on this rookie for Atlanta. Nobody's going to play him because he hasn't done shit. But these are kind of the spots, right, where you want to take a shot on these unproven guys.

Because once he proves it, you're not going to get him as kind of a diamond in the rough anymore. Yeah. Any thoughts on these ancillary other guys? Personally, myself, I'm going to be underweight on Drake London. So I'm looking at other guys like Jahan Dotson, Branch, Zaccheaus, these other guys, these value guys from Atlanta. Yeah, it's tough. Like I said earlier, they just rotate these guys in and out. I do like your Zachariah Branch.

He had two catches in the first half Monday night, but he's only playing twenty percent of the snaps. Zakiya, same thing. Jahan Dotson. I mean, he got there super late last time. I mean, you're you're just it's a crap shoot with those guys. You don't know what you're getting, which is kind of what you want, actually, in a GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ large field. But for me, I'm going to play. I'm going to play Walker at basically the same price.

And out there three times more than Zachariah Branch is. So it's tough for me to get to any of these Falcons, like Dotson, Zaccheaus, and Branch, Hooper of the world. Hooper caught the first pass of the game the other night in AIDS on Monday night and then didn't see another ball all night. So, man, it's tough. It's tough to get those pass catchers if your name and number aren't number five for the Atlanta Falcons. Yeah, no, one hundred percent. I agree.

That's why you see the ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ there. But again, one game Sample. It's just what happens tonight. That's why I think taking a shot on guys like a Zachariah Branch where you could expect you. I mean, at least the field expects Atlanta to kind of be able to do whatever they want here. I mean, I think Branch is pretty interesting there. So, yeah, not much more to say from the wide receiver position.

Jumping over to the tight ends here, Mark Andrews looks like a really good play to me overall. I know people call him Dusty and this and that, but he's, again, in that $6,000 range that, again, I just don't think anybody really clicks. When it comes to fruition, Mark Andrews and Bateman in kind of that six, $6,000 range. So I like Andrews a decent amount. Tyler Pitts is the guy that nobody, everyone gave up on. $4,800 for him.

I'm actually going to have some of Tyler Pitts here. Again, I'm kind of taking an underweight stance on. Drake London. So Pitts, I think is under owned on this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗, two and a half receiving prop, twenty four and a half yards, which is not good. But that's why you see his projectionProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Full explanation ↗, what it is. That's also going to keep his ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ in check, which, again, I think he makes a pretty interesting play in general.

The cheap guys, I don't really love these guys, but again, I mean, I think you can spread them around. They have shown their way into the kind of optimal winning on like fifty percent of these slates so far. We've seen this season. If you had to pick one, who would you look at? It probably just be jumping down to a guy like Charlie Wagner. For me, it's six hundred bucks just because he's out there.

And if people want to pick Austin Hooper, just give me the extra thousand dollars and give me Charlie Wagner over him. So the way I rank them, it's Mark Andrews, Pitts, Wagner is kind of how I see it. I don't really want to mess with these, the Hibner, the Cuevas of the world. But how do you see these guys? Yeah, you nailed it. To me, it's like Tyler Pitts. It's like Tyler Pitts. Like if Tyler Pitts was playing – wear nades.

Like if they were featuring him, like he's, he's a stud. Like, I think he's really good. So I, I wouldn't mind taking a flyer on him at what is he? $4,800. Yeah. $4,800. I don't hate that. He just, he doesn't play a whole lot. So it's semi tough, but he would be my favorite one. I like him better than, than Andrews saving sixteen hundred bucks.

And then, and then, and then I was going to mention it and you had made a great call on Charlie Wagner. Like he stinks and, But, you know, if you fill in the first five dudes on your team, you're left with six hundred bucks. He's out there fifty percent of the time. What if he catches one at the, you know, one at the goal line, catches three for nineteen in the touchdown or something like that? But, I mean, I don't love him.

Pence would be my favorite Nades over Mark Andrews. Yeah, I do like Pitts a decent amount. And, I mean, from a route standpoint, Warner's running – Charlie Warner's running actually his out route. Austin Hooper, obviously the target treeTarget ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Full explanation ↗ is much more shifted in the way of Austin Hooper, but so is ownership. So I think Wagner, again, is kind of interesting overall. But, yeah, not too much more to say from the tight end position here. Jumping over kickers and defenses here, Ham.

They are in that, I mean, kickers, Nick Folk, $5,400, Tyler Luke, two solid kickers. They are going to be heavily owned on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗ because, again, the value guys are pretty weak on the slate. So I think if people can just round out their teams with these kickers, I think, especially in lower total games, you see kicker ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ inflate just because people think lower scoring means more field goals. That's not necessarily the case.

Actually, the studies have shown in higher total games, the kickers tend to have a higher score, which It should be no surprise, but the way ownership shakes out and the way the slates have shaken out these lower total games, kickers, I think, end up being more owned than what I think they should be. But how do you see this special teams range? Kickers, Nick Folk, fifty four loop $5,000 and then Ravens defense being more expensive than a Falcons defense, I think is asinine.

But again, it's any any given any given Sunday, they say. Right. So how do you see this tier? Yeah, definitely playing lower scoring games tonight, so I will have some of these kickers, some of these defense. I don't think we're going to get there in the captain spotShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Full explanation ↗, but what could it be like? Sixteen to ten or something like that, where you got five field goals. You nailed it last week.

I said what the Lions kicker, I was pooping all over him and he goes out and hits like seven fifty yards. It felt it felt like. But I'm in on these kickers tonight. I'm in on these defenses. That Ravens defense is really good. Falcons, like I said, get better as the offense goes and the running game was good. They are at home against a backup quarterback, but I don't think Snoop's going to be back there passing much.

So give me this Ravens defense over that Falcons, and then give me Nick Falk over Tyler Loop as well. But I like both of them. Yeah, I'm also with you. I do like the Ravens over the Falcons defense. I think Falcons defense is one of the most over owned on the slate. I mean, they they probably come in around twenty five percent ownership somewhere in there. Twenty three to twenty five percent projectionProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Full explanation ↗. We got to my right now at about twenty one percent.

But I just think I think. I know I get it. They're $4,000 and the skill positions, but in that range, I would probably rather just play like a justice, Justice Hill, something like that. Um, so yeah, I mean, I think they're fine. I'm probably max one kicker, max one defense. Um, I don't really like playing two of them in the same lineup either.

Um, just from an upside perspective, that's more of a kind of a floor play, which in maybe the single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ three maxThree-MaxA three-max contest lets each user enter up to three lineups. It is a small step up from single-entry.Give each of your three lineups a clear role. Make sure they differ in at least one major decision, like the main stack or the most expensive player.Full explanation ↗ stuff that, that makes more sense there. But In the larger field stuff, I don't really like kind of going in on those guys overall. So I'm with you there. Ravens for me. I probably slightly lean Tyler Loop just because if Derrick Henry does bust off a run, Snoop Huntley somehow gets a pass.

I just can see the Ravens stalling out more so in the red zone than The Falcons went with Bijan, London, Pitts, just from a skill position and a quarterback standpoint there. So, for me, it's Ravens and Loop over Falcons and Folk. But, again, both solid plays in general there. Pam, any additional points you want to break down here with the showdown? No, I think we've made some good points tonight. Like I said, I think it's going to be lower scoring.

I'm going to build my teams that way as well. And, yeah, good luck tonight in those contests. Yeah, for sure. I mean, let's close it here, Ham, with let's do your captain of the day and any flex player or contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ take that you have. Yeah, captain of the day. I mean, I'll just go off the board a little bit. I'll say Snoop Huntley as kind of the one that not a lot of people are going to get.

You're getting a major discount on him, and he does have a little bit of rushing upside for something I think is going to be short. I think I like him tonight. For sure. I'm going to go Derek Henry up top. And then my flex kind of contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ play is Bateman. I like Bateman quite a bit. So Derek Henry and Bateman are two guys that I'm buying on here tonight. The guy I'm selling on is Drake London, which feels scary. But that's just the way I see it.

And I'm going to take my chances there. But that's going to do it here for the Sunday night game. I don't know. Have you seen any surprise inactives? I know we were waiting for – yeah, Zay Flowers is active, so nothing really to worry about there. But any closing remarks before we get out of here? No, no closing remarks. Yeah, good luck. And, yeah, just checking out these inactives. But, yeah, I don't have anything else to add. Awesome. Well, that's going to do it.

Appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit that like button. Hit that subscribe button. It helps us out a ton. All of our showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Full explanation ↗ content will be live on the website. It's already up there. ProjectionsProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Full explanation ↗ and ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ will get updated now with the inactives being final. Hopefully your main slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Full explanation ↗ ends well as these games kind of come to a close.

And Ham and I will be back next Sunday right here, same place, same time, sweating out some of the rest of the contest to start and then talking next week's Sunday Night Football. Uh game so for him I'm nades good luck tonight we'll see you guys next week we're out of here peace