NFL DFS Week 6 Sunday Shippers | Main Slate DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Process

The three afternoon games of the ten definitely have a ton of opportunities within them, right? You got the Rams at home versus the Cardinals. Thirty two and a half point team totalTeam TotalIn NFL DFS, a team total estimates one team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It includes scoring by the whole team, not just offensive touchdowns or fantasy production.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total for the Rams. Don't see that very often. How you handle that game is critical. You got the Chiefs at home versus the Chargers. The Chargers have been horrible. But if you want to see a spot where you could go back and forth, that's something. And if you have late swapLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap opportunities.

That could be a place you go. But then the other big game hoop is the Raiders at the Bills. So a lot of games on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate that have importance, three of them in the afternoon, give us your grand scheme overview with some of that in mind. So, yeah, you know, when I do these kind of just go through the positions and talk through the landscape of the position, how it correlates to roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction. Quarterback, you know, same as usual. I mean, nothing too crazy.

I mean, I think the most popular will probably end up being Matthews Stafford. But at the quarterback position, we talk about it all the time. It gets spread out. People want to play stacks. They want to correlateCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation their team. So that just spreads out ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership at quarterback. Yeah. I always say it like, if you like a quarterback, don't fadeFadeTo fade a player is to leave him out of your lineups on purpose, usually because you expect him to be popular or you think he is a poor play.Fade with a reason, not a feeling. If you can't say why a popular player will disappoint, you're probably just giving away points.Read the full definition of Fade them because of ownership. Rarely. I mean, usually never, you never want to do that.

Uh, highest zones, probably Stafford, uh, and easy to get overweight and easy to play him in different ways. He has two studs as a cheap tight end now and guys on the other side and, We'll talk about it when we get to that game, because I think it is an important aspect. One little thing I noticed last Week in the game with the Lions in regards to the Cardinals.

So I'll throw that little teaser out there so you guys stay for the entire show to hear. But something I picked up on in that game that I think can be applicable to how you play.

The Cardinals and Rams today so that's one thing I want to touch on when we get there running back seems like it's been very similar for almost the entire season like we have the the stud up top in bijan we have other guys Jonathan Taylor we have a lot of $6,000 guys that are in the mix uh but strong plays at the position for sure I mean very very strong plays at the position so a lot of different ways to go there uh the one Bit of news, it looked like Ramondre Stevenson could have been a standout play today, but I guess Henderson playing.

I mean, they made it sound like the guy was dying five days ago. Now he's playing today. So I think that's an interesting aspect. But I think the position that's most important today is wide receiver. And we don't have the studs on the slate. We have a stud. We have some studs, but we don't have all the studs. No JSN. No Justin Jefferson. The Dallas guys are off the slate. Nico Collins. Parker Washington off the slate. My guy Rashee Rice is injured.

That's big. He's not a stud. He's not there. I was laughing on mute. Don't worry. A lot of the main guys are...

Off the slate so we got puka but then there's a lot of you know mid-tier options but I think the one thing that's really stands out here is without the studs you'd think we'd have a lot of valueValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value at the position we really don't there's a couple value plays but they're not like all the way down in the $3,000 range I think this is what makes roster construction relatively difficult today not having those super cheap wide receivers so uh

Wide receiver I think the most important position like what you do with it how you build with it how it affects your roster construction so you know a lot of these games I think we're gonna have to hit on the wide receivers and talk about uh talk about that uh position specifically and then uh tight end we do have some value Isaiah Likely Dallas Goedert but we have some spends I mean Brock Bowers We've talked about it a lot on the show.

You know, wide receiver one. I mean, he's right there in terms of production, JSN, guys like that. Like he's right there. Now the price has kind of caught up, $7,500 on DK. But, you know, this is a spot where people are going to come for value. You're going to see a lot of double tight end today.

Haven't really seen it the last couple of weeks, but double tight end is going to be big, big today just because we need the value here. And there's there's a lot of it. So, yeah, it's kind of kind of where we're at looking at the positions. And then we'll hit on the games and kind of talk through it all and see what we can find at the end of the day here. Yeah, we'll have you guys all covered.

If you want to go over to ShipItNation.com, you guys can always grab a package there. We do have ShipIt Games in full effect right now, up to $50,000 for the prize pool. It's a community contest if you guys don't know about it. So if you enter, if you're a member of any kind over at Ship It Nation, all access or NFL only, you're automatically entered and be enabled to play into ShipIt Games.

This Week, the Golden Shipper up to four hundred ninety nine people in that contest. We've had fifteen Golden ShipIt ticket winners already.

There'll be three more rewarded this Week and getting right up to lock into that tournament this Week and the top three will get a Golden ship a ticket it's basically an online final I know everybody likes the live finals the fifty Golden ship a ticket winners will play off in Week seventeen the top ten will move on and Week one of the playoffs we skip Week eighteen with some of the people sitting and all that stuff but Week one of the playoffs still has more than enough games it's a fun slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate those ten winners from Week seventeen will play off first place will win $12,000 cash and a year of Ship It Nation with SaberSim ultimate $6,000 in the same $3,000 in the same the top

Ten will all receive at least twelve hundred bucks cash so go to Ship It Nation.com and check that out title I want to ask you, Hoop said two things there that stood out to me. He said a lot of things and they're all good. And that's why we get him for the grand scheme overview. But two things that stood out to me.

One, when the pricing tightens up, I think just a quick memory refresher for myself and for others out there is I think we want to correlateCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation more. Right. It's like, yeah, you could just play this one offOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off receiver because everyone says he's the best value on the slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate.

But for a hundred bucks more, you could play the guy that fits the game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack that if you actually hit the ceiling in it, you would get full ceiling out of it possibly and be able to get your get your way up there at a much lower owned guy to separate. So I think of a correlation a lot more. And then give me your thoughts before you take us into the first game, which is Bears at Falcons, a fun one.

But give me your quick thoughts on the double tight end, because I think there is something to that with like Likely at $4,800, just as the one example that's popular. If you use him, sometimes people will feel more comfortable than like a Damian Pierce at $5,100 or a. Braylon Allen at $5,700 on the road in New England. Like, how are you thinking about double tight end in tournaments today?

And then take us into the Bears Falcons after that. Anything else you want to add to the grand scheme overview is good as well. Yeah, nothing more to add. Grand scheme did a great job. I definitely with how many like the studs we have on the slate. Josh Allen, B. John, Jonathan Taylor, Puka. That leads you to the double tight ends. Wide receiver is really dust today. Like that's why Puka is getting so much ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership.

And then if you really are spending anything. Any sort of salary at that position. That's kind of flipping the bill than being contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian. As far as the tight end position, like give me Isaiah Likely over Damian Pierce all day. And these tight ends are on the field.

I mean, we saw Likely has gotten peppered a ton, but just looking – at the tight end position Brock Bowers seven five you compare him to other people that are seven five I know you talk about this a lot like Brock Bowers is going to look great um but that is going to be not contrarian by any means but it's mainly going to be mid-tier and then where you want to save Kincaid jawan Johnson fryer muth I'll even add Loveland in there Because it's been a short Sample this year.

Fannin, Goedert, Hunter Henry. These are options one, options two on the team. Playing eighty percent plus the snaps. And DraftKings is just underpriced tight end pretty much forever. I've been playing double tight end probably overweight to the field almost every single Week. So far this year, this probably is the Week it's the most owned. But I still probably think it's under-owned when it's all said and done. Like, I want these big guys.

If Puka's going for forty, or You don't need to need forty thirty five and Bijan and JT and a lot of whatever these guys are doing. If they're getting thirty five something plus, that is when a four came a key getting fifteen and a Goedert getting fourteen or eighteen could be enough. So that's the main thing. It's what the studs do. And then if they absolutely go off, you need salary relief. And tight end looks like the best position to do that.

Yeah, before you go in, I'll say quick, Sully said it was nice to see me part of it. That tells you how much I'm running this through my mind and trying to work on stuff. I was definitely up late last night trying to figure some of this stuff out, like Hoops said off the top. Hopefully get to better clarity of where I'm at once we get through these ten games. But, Title, I'm going to let you kick it off. I mentioned it.

It is the Bears at the Falcons. The Bichon London. At least those two guys being talked about, but I think the Caleb stacks are picking up steam and so on and so forth. So give us your thoughts on the Bears of the Falcons here to kick things off. Yeah, I was a little worried about the steam in this game as well because it feels like, all right, once you don't go Stafford, where are people going to go on this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate? And it's pretty difficult.

You're going to go to the big boy total, which I mean, yeah, I play Bijan pretty much every single Week. There's no doubt he's in a great spot again this Week. There's always something. Again, I don't believe in this stuff. When he's chalk, he busts. When he's low on, he goes off. Let's hope Brian Robinson Jr. doesn't have three touchdowns and all that. But I think his ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership has to stay in check to an extent.

We have it at twenty two percent, which is in check. Again, that's because you're sacrificing Puka or you're sacrificing other things. You can't play everything, which shout out to DraftKings. I like slates like this more than when you can just jam them all in. Drake London showing more ownership at twenty eight percent. And I want to get away, but the problem is it's really hard for me. I think he's one of the best plays on the slate, even at chalk.

Because even when they hardly throw the football, it's just all the Drake London. So, I mean, DraftKings monster, full-point PPR, the bonus. And then if they do need to throw more, if they do get any sort of trailing game scriptGame ScriptGame script is how a game's score and time remaining influence its pace, play choices and player opportunities. In football, teams protecting a lead often run more, while teams chasing a deficit often pass more.Before locking a lineup, ask who keeps playing if your expected script reverses. Check passing-down roles and backup rotations instead of assuming a team's leading rusher handles every situation.Read the full definition of Game Script or want to open it up a bit, his ceiling can even get higher. So, $7,000, like, sooner than later, he might be seven point $8,000 or something. So, I'm going to play it. And the nice thing about...

How I can play it is – because I am going to play Caleb Williams stuff, and I am worried that it steams. But I'm going to play him with Loveland, who's single digits. I'll play him with Rome. I can double stack. Burden is the one that probably is my least favorite just because I think he pulls the most ownership with Caleb. Obviously, the receiver position and then – We still think he's wide receiver one for this team.

Five hundred dollar difference from Luther Burden to Dunes. I think two. It's not wide enough yet. Again, it's a lot of speculation. Who knows? But coming into the year, Burden was like a fifth round pick, fourth round pick in fantasy. Dunes was a good bit later. So because I think most of the Caleb stuff does go to Luther Burden, my favorite ways to do it is Colson Lovin, really, at that onesie tight end position.

But I want to play two of them and just hope everyone's out of out on them. I mean, everyone was out on Drake May just a couple weeks ago, and he wins slates. So, yeah, I'm in on this game. Penix's side a little harder. I just – man, it's – he's $5,000. So, like, there's not too many bad things to say. If I play him, it's with Drake London and or Bijan. You definitely can play him with them.

But it's like even when those guys go off, like Penix just hasn't shown the ability to really – really do something in fantasy. So a little hesitant there. But, yeah, it's going to get some ownership in this game, at least like Loveland. If you want to double stack the Caleb stuff, I'm not too worried about that hamstring personally.

And then I'll let you guys talk about Swift, another running back that's very much in play, coming off somewhat of a stinker but in a blowout last Week. Yeah, that's crazy, right? Like last Week, his seventeen point seven or whatever he got is just terrible because this way the slate shook out. But it's like he actually could have done more. It is what it is.

But I think that's somewhat interesting to this slate from just a game theory perspective in this game, because you still know my nun guy. You know, I get it. Caleb is back now. Maybe that helps keep this game a little tighter and closer and gives him more opportunities in that sense. But if you were going to do it different and not go the Bichon side, I think you could go like Penix, London, Pitts.

And use Swift and or somebody else over there. It's definitely a more aggressive approach, but it's just a way to get different. If you guys have the stone over at Ship It Nation, so for members, we do have a simulation-driven data process that says what the optimal rates are on each player and how often they're ending up in those lineups. And Hoop, I thought this was interesting.

You don't, I mean, we knew Bijan would be high, but you don't often see the wide receiver on the same team of a running back with that high of a score. Like you see Gibbs at twenty five percent optimal and Aminra at like sixteen or seventeen. It's flipped here. We have Bijan at a big boy number and Drake London at an even bigger number. So what's your thoughts on this Bears Falcons game and how you're handling it? Yeah, I mean, it's a very on the Falcons side.

I mean, the reason for that just very consolidated offense. It almost reminds me of back in the day, Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown. Like they just did everything for that offense. And that's what the Falcons are kind of turning into. It's like they're doing absolutely everything. Bijan and Drake London.

Sometimes there's a little bit of pits but for the most part it's just those two and they're projected to score some points today so you're gonna see that and I guess the one thing for sure like the Bijan thing one of you guys touched on it's like ownership could come down on him like it's it's probably going to be that gibbs situation from a couple weeks ago where he was gibbs was the clear top wide receiver and then comes in at what was it like twenty some percent and you know everyone thought it was going to be much higher it could happen again today because you start building out rosters and you start making lineups it gets uncomfortable and

You're going to see a lot of double tight ends so if there's a lot of double tight end what does that mean like it's going to pull from some of that running back ownership for sure because a lot of people like playing the three running backs and they're probably not going to be able to do it today so I think a lot of these running backs could come back a little bit in ownership because we see a lot of the double tight ends so In one fifty, I want to be way over on Bijan Robinson today, like way over.

And it's going to be easy to do so because I think it's it's going to come back and you can't project for it. You can't project for it to come back. We're showing I mean, I guess, yeah, we're showing twenty three. So that's already a pretty damn low number. So if it comes any lower than that, I mean, that's a gift today to get Bijan at that low number. So loving that. So I guess let me go back and just talk about the game as a whole.

The Bears side love the Bears side. And the reason I love it, there's so many different ways to go about doing it. Right. Like you guys kind of touched on it already. And this is one of those games that I love talking about using this example. If you come into this game and you say, OK, I'm going to play Caleb Williams, I'm going to play Luther Bird and I'm going to run it back with B. John Robinson.

Worst thing you can do if you're hand building like just don't do that because if people are coming here that's what a majority of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Read the full definition of The Field is going to do or they're going to go caleb Burden and run it back with like Drake London do something different double stack caleb many options here roma dunzey uh khalif Raymond fine with cleve Raymond someone in the chat asked about him I mean he's out there ben Johnson loves the guy Colston Loveland has to be just a phenomenal play on the slate.

Just has to be with those other tight ends. This guy came in big time expectations. He's done nothing this year. I think he's a phenomenal play. Play Caleb with DeAndre Swift. I'm fine with that. Like he'll dump off to DeAndre. So do something different on the bear side. And there's like so many different ways to do it on the Falcons side, though.

It is difficult for those numbers that, that Tambo read off, like the optimal rate on Bijan and Drake London is, Very high. And like if you are using a run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back or something on the Falcons side, like it's tough to say, all right, I'm just going to play Tyler Pitts like it's just difficult. So if you do want to do the Falcons side a little bit different, I would definitely include the Michael Penix stuff, like play Penix, which I'm fine with today.

I do want to be on Penix. And if you're not playing Bijan, like Penix, Drake London, and then something on the Bears side is a quick way to get a little bit different in this game. And it's cheaper. You're going the cheaper route. Quarterbacks only $5,000 and Penix are still projected to score twenty six. So it's a really good game. I'm going to be all over it.

But, you know, the one thing for sure is, you know, make sure you're doing something a little bit different if you're coming here. Yeah, the one thing that really stood out to me there that you said is just how different, I guess that, you know, makes me more excited about this spot than maybe I was originally of like, even if it steams, is that you said how much different you can get, sorry, on the bear side, right?

You mentioned it with like Caleb and Swift together, Caleb Swift, Odunze Loveland. If this look at almost a twenty seven point total on the road for the Bears going into Atlanta inside like this, this could be a spot. They open it up and you get this offense going and then you've got London popping like he is. I think one really interesting thing that you just made me think of right now and it ties the whole slate together, but it would be.

Stack the caleb side push Burden to the side add London in because we just keep him and sit on kenneth walker in the in the late slate for two hundred bucks less than bijan you end up getting that right that game right bijan bus and you got the automatic pivot sitting right there on a Chiefs team scheduled to score almost four touchdowns this afternoon. And that guy's been on the field a ton. So it could be Jonathan Taylor and you'd be in the same games in the morning.

I'm just saying, imagine you get Caleb, Odunze, Loveland, and London, for example, right? And you're just sitting there and then you've got, you know, in the Bijan spot, you've got Kenneth Walker in the afternoon and Bijan busts and the game goes the right way for you. That's going to feel pretty good.

Not saying it's going to happen, just noting that's how I want to think about this slate when I'm building just to be a I do think the Loveland call was really solid. I'm with title less excited about Burden than I am like a guy like Odunze. I know it's only five hundred bucks, but I just feel better about going to some of those different guys. Caleb and Raymond were a thing before Caleb's injury and stuff like that. So there's other ways to go.

And then, like you said, stacking with Swift. If I'm going Bijan more often than not, it's it's either going to be in like full game stacksGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack or probably just hoping that Bijan becomes the Gibbs stack. Of Detroit's game last Week where it's like, yeah, you needed a couple other pieces. You could make cases that you needed more than just Gibbs, but in the end, kind of just Gibbs had the big boy game and that's how it went.

So I think that's my final thoughts here on this one. All right. This was the late night Discord discussion title. I'll go to you. Browns at home versus the Ravens. And you've got Watson, Boston, Concepcion, Fannin. The other side, you got Derrick Henry. It is no Lamar, right? But you've got Zay Flowers. You've got Derrick Henry, Mark Andrews. What's your thoughts on this game here? The Browns at home versus the Ravens. Yeah. Like one side a little bit, and that is the Brown side.

Two injuries that we're going to have to monitor on this slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. Quinshawn Judkins, which, Hoop, I don't know if he cares about that news at all. But, A, I think it does two things. Jaleel McLaughlin's .四ty-nine hundred, which, is it fun to roster . Fourty-nine hundred McLaughlin as Not really. I mean, is it fun to roster Tyler Algier or Damian Pierce? Not really, but people are talking about it. So that'd be another really cheap running back that'd be in play.

But I think more importantly, I actually would like Deshaun Watson more because I don't think they trust dropping back and giving it to Julio McLaughlin twenty times. I think more would have to be on the shoulders. Of Deshaun. He can run. He's $4,900. He has clear targets and conception at $4,200 fanning at $4,100. Not even that Denzel Boston, he's expensive, but $5,500 showing five percent ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership.

If we want to jam some chalkier games, some higher priced guys, this stack is really, really cheap. And playing a really cheap quarterback that can run and has ran is somewhat appealing to me. Do I love the matchup? No. Do I love the total No, but on a slate where it's very low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage, it's very cheap, and I can jam a lot of other stuff around it, I'm in on it. So, yeah, I like Concepcion back. He's shown the most ownership. I like Fannin.

And then Boston I'll take some shots on. Again, it only is a bump for me if Judkins is out. I wouldn't just go away from it if he's in, but it would be a little bit of a hit. Curious to hear what your guys take. Mainly yours, Tammo. I think I know Hoops. Angelil McLaughlin. Hoops probably not going to play him. On the other side, Yeah, I'm out on the on the Ravens stuff. I mean, $8,200 Henry. Sure. Like he's always fine.

But give me Walker. Give me JT. Give me Bijan. And again, ownership reflects that. I still I can't play everyone or he's going to be very small in my pool. Zay Flowers kind of same thing. Like this Browns defense has been solid going into the dog pound. You always talk about gives the Ravens problems. Yeah, I mean, if you're playing Zay, probably play Tyler Huntley.

Like, if Zay does fully nuke this slate, or Huntley at .四ty-seven hundred, Zay's going to carry him almost individually, and then he only has more rushing upside on top. It's tough for me. It's probably going to be a really slow-paced game, but Browns stuff is okay. I'd be lying if I love it, but someone just asked me in chat, like, do I have another Drake Mayne? Not yet right now. I mean, it's pretty tough.

It's hard on the slate after you went to make cases and feel really good about them at cheap quarterback. And then, yeah, any expensive quarterback, Stafford or Josh Allen, pretty much. Speaking of that, you made fun of my rap last Week and ended up being the Milly Maker winner. So I didn't make fun. I just I thought you were preparing to yourself because it came off so smooth. No, just randomness. But yeah, this is good.

I got one for later when we get to the Eagles game to not a rap, but just another one that we came up with last night in the chat. But the I said I was practicing my lines. I tease them in the Discord. But I guess like Zay at $7,100 just quickly back to this tough click right at a hundred bucks more than Drake London. You play them both. But I'm just that's like a hard one to get to.

I also wonder, we'll see what the Judkins news is. Nothing to do with that. I'm not high on McLaughlin. Like again, I'd probably play Likely over that and just figure it out somewhere else in the flex. You know, I know you can play two running backs and somebody else in the flex would say, I would just try and move around that and take my chances elsewhere. I also think about it. If, they don't have anything like that that they can do.

Yeah. I think Watson has to scramble some more, but that could also lead to some more picks or some, you know, I do like both defenses. That's a good call. I didn't say that. I think the Ravens D especially, and it's not even a Homer take. I just think if it somehow Judkins was out now, I like the Browns just as much on the other side at $2,500.

I'm just going to stick to the defenses here and then kick it to hoop because you said what I say usually. And you said like the I talk about the dog pound thing. That's even with Lamar going in there. Now we've got Tyler Huntley going in there. So it's, it's my point. I don't think they're the same D as before, obviously the last miles Garrett over the off season, things like that.

But I'm just saying, it still ain't an easy place to go in and play. So I think this could just be, you know, a back and forth that way a little bit on a slug. And then you see how it goes.

But if you want to pick off a piece here and there, it, there is, you know, the conceptions of the Boston one-offsOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off it's been that way, by the way, too, that's some of the chat in the Discord last night, hoop, the, The Ravens have given it up to like one guy. They're not giving up like slate breaking performances. They're like lamb got them. It was like seven for one, eighteen. So whoever else they just played, I forget, got them for like seven and one eleven.

Like one guy will get them. And that could be Boston or Concepcion here. And then that might be all you need, though. Nothing says you need to go crazy with everything else. That could just be a nice five. Like like title said, Boston. Does $5,500 feel great for him? No, but he does. Does five percent make it a little bit better when you're plugging it in as a one off that could just get you twenty five or twenty four points or something?

Yeah, that would feel a little better. So I'm thinking about it that way. And then the defense is who what do you got here with this one? Yeah, I mean, not going to spend a ton of time on this one. I mean, I agree with you guys. Like, these Browns pass catchers is one awesome find. Concepcion, Boston, Fannin. You know, Fannin pretty – I like Fannin quite a bit. I mean, again, if you're doing those double tight end lineups, like, he fits that perfect.

Derrick Henry at low ownership. Yeah, for sure. Like, I want some. He's going to be in the pool. Not going to be a huge part of what I do today. Both these defenses and move on. Yeah, so just to note on Jerry's question here, Jerry Matt, it's Matt actually, I know him quite well, but it says, morning macro question, is there a scenario whereby runbacks on stacks doesn't work today and better build is over stack of two to three exploding offenses against the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Read the full definition of The Field?

Talking about like, let me put three Rams, three, whatever, and three, whatever. Like you can do that always. But when I sit off the top and this is just my point. So weeks one through six, usually for me, I always tease that like Week six is where I finally figure it out, but it feels like this year it's Week six. So I'm excited from that angle. I don't know what's going on, but I feel good about how we have to build today.

I set it off the top, Matt. I think I want to be correlating more because I want to be trying to unlock that ceiling. An example would be like later, just quickly, um, But if you get to like that, the spot where you've got $4,700 left and you're already in on the Buffalo and Raiders game and you don't have Tucker in their projectionsProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections might say to throw in Xavier Worthy for $4,600 because he projects like four points better than Tucker.

But if you're already mixing in that game, I want the guy like in Tucker. Oh, but he sucks. He never has big, it's fine. But if he does have the big game, I want him to unlock everything else going on in my lineup. So just things like that, I think are where I'm thinking about it, that I would rather have that pushed in there.

Versus trying to just to make these one-offsOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off work versus in the beginning of the season when you do have so much value. Sometimes it's like we talked about that San Francisco game a few weeks back against Miami. Why do I have to figure out if it's Douglas, Bell, Washington, whoever, Ollie Gordon, whatever it might be, when I could just play Rashad Bateman as a wide receiver one or actually funny enough, it was Trey Tucker.

That Week, that was a Bowers Week out when that happened. It's like, I'm just going to play a wide receiver one for value somewhere else. This Week, we don't have a lot of that. So I would be looking to stack it up if I could. Hoop, go back to you. This was the second part of the debate, by the way. So I'll ask you quickly. We did pick a lane yesterday with myself and Blickle. Hoop, you may not be playing either of these.

I would understand why, but just you got to pick one. Deshaun Watson, Denzel Boston, Concepcion, and Derrick Henry.

Three one stack or Cam Ward Carnell Tate wandale first first option first option wow as soon as you say as soon as you said as soon as you said Cam Ward and I'm taking the other side no matter what forever like it so it doesn't matter who who you put in that first slot I'm taking the first slot all right I'm gonna go back to you to actually take on the game but I want to get titles quick pick a lane first what what side would you be on in that one if you have to pick one You said it was Tate, Cam.

John Watson, Boston Concepcion with Henry. Like Henry speeds the game up. That stack comes back with it. Or you go into the game with the Colts at home and you've got Jonathan Taylor speeding it up in the Derrick Henry spot. And then you've got Ward, Tate, Robinson coming back the other way. I would definitely go the Watson side, but it's a lot less owned. JT is going to be double two and a half times.

Derek Henry, Ward and Watson are relatively going to be higher. Yeah. The ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership for sure. Sully loves you. So this was the argument. I'm on the other side of this. And I think the part you're saying to validate it is the exact reason why I think it matters. So I was explaining in the chat about slateSlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate dynamics. Like, People are actually on Taylor. People are actually on Tate, but nobody's on Ward and Robinson is like five percent and everything.

So all Cam Ward's will be with Tate for sure. But it's like my JT is the run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back. Like they're all going to be played the same way. All four percent. Right. Four percent. But they're. Yeah, I think I think it matters way more than people think of like knowing that stuff versus if you get the other one right, great. But it's also like, you know, you still have to get everything else right to go with it.

And it's like I use the Sean Tucker example, the Week he scored thirty five and everyone's like, oh, shit, I'm dead to Sean Tucker. It's like, no, nobody has Sean Tucker. And those lineups are also probably dead in other places. So. To me, it's just like, I'm thinking about how I'm building up and building around the slate. I'm concerned. I care more about those ones that can hurt me.

And I think there's way more like Jonathan Taylor one-offsOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off or mini stacksMini-StackIn NFL DFS, a mini-stack usually pairs two players from the same game without either team's quarterback. Often a secondary group beside your main quarterback stack, it can pair a running back with an opposing receiver.Before locking a pair, describe how both players reach big scores together. Then ask whether that outcome would make an omitted quarterback or teammate difficult to beat.Read the full definition of Mini-Stack and things like that, then actually over stacking that game. And we're talking about it now. So I'll kick it back to hoop. And, um, the Daniels Jones side is interesting. You got downs in a good spot, explosive, uh, So Warren looks like he's going to play, even though he's questionable coming in. But I think there's a lot of ways that you can attack this game as like a more unique spot.

The Colts are scheduled to put up or slated for almost twenty six points at home here. So how does that happen? I think we got to see a back and forth. But who about kick it to you? I think the cold spot is very appealing for a few reasons. We just talked about the running back position and how we think some of these guys could come down in ownership.

If Bijan's coming down in ownership, I can tell you another guy that's going to come down, and that's Jonathan Taylor. Because if you're spending, people are just going to Bijan. And Jonathan Taylor, we're showing at, you know, Thirteen, fourteen, fifteen. And if that's the case, this is like the Jonathan Taylor spot at home against a shitty team favored by a touchdown. Like that's Jonathan Taylor right there. That's his whole career, like what he's made his career off of. So it's a really good spot for him.

I want to take an overweight stance on Jonathan Taylor. But I also like this passing attack because of the ownership. And they're projected to score twenty five points here. Right. And this is obviously you can do this like hand building. I'm fine playing the Colts passing game when one fifty. I want to be overweight. I mean, Daniels Jones, very, very cheap at $5,200. You have. Four guys, four different options to pair them with.

Josh Downs, who's not getting much ownership, Keenan Allen, Treadwell for cheap at $3,300, and then Tyler Warren as well. Um, this offense is underperformed. So the prices are much lower, uh, than they would be otherwise. And it does pain me to say this, but you have run backs. Like they're finally, you know, Cam Ward is complete trash butt cheeks. Uh, my son, his new, they, they, they use the term buns, which I like.

I mean, just anything you want to say about Cam Ward, he's horrible, but he's finally starting to get the ball to his best playmaker and Tate, but he is going to come owned a little bit. Wandale Robinson. I don't mind getting to him either. So, um, I love everything on the Colts side for sure. You don't have to run it back, I don't think, in this spot.

But I do agree with Tambo's overall sentiment where even more times than not, I mean, I know you applied it to this Week specifically, but more times than not, like if you're going for those big top prizes, like you probably want runbacks when it makes sense. Like to me, like I'll always try to get a runback in there, but I don't want to force it. Like if I'm playing a spot I like and I just don't like anything on the other side, like don't.

Force it in there if you don't feel comfortable with it. So I'm fine either way in this one, either run it back or don't run it back. But a lot of different ways to play the Colts at really, really low ownership. And I think Jonathan Taylor is going to come down. All these expensive running backs are going to come down in ownership just because of the dynamic of the slate.

And we know, I can tell you right now, double tight end is going to be very popular today. So when double tight end is very popular, we're going to get some surprises at the running back position in terms of ownership. So I love Taylor today. Our guy Hamhawk says, who's worse at football? Judkins. This has got to be directed at Hoop, though, so we've got to get your take, Hoop. Oh, man. Title's going to like this one. I'll say Cam Ward.

I'll say Cam Ward. All right. But he said my son uses the term buns. I'm crying. Yeah. What did I text him the other day? And his response was maybe it was like, oh, I think it was with Bryce Underwood. I texted him. I was like, man, Bryce Underwood is horrible. And his response is he buns. I played him in cash yesterday. He is buns for sure. Buns is a good word. Straight buns too. Like buddy straight buns. He's just horrible.

That's been around. I like that. Yeah. Yeah. That's what the kids are. The kids have resorted back to buns now. Where did I see it here? This one though, hoop. How confident are you? Cause Jason brings back the old school. I may love that. You know, we know Jason's been here a while with us. We appreciate your support. It says, does Danny dimes transform back to Danny dollars today or is it Danny? Yeah, he's going, he's, he's yes. Yes. There's going to be some zeros.

We're not, we're not doing, we're not doing the dimes. We're, we're, we're in the dollar range today for, for Mr. Jones. Man, I wonder, too, now you got me thinking about this one. And, Tyler, I'll go to you. Maybe I'll think some more. But, man, I brought this one up last Week because we talked about the Antonio Williams, just chalk, whatever, valueValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value play. And it was like that wasn't really about Antonio Williams. It was like that's what got you to Nabers and Likely and James.

And you're like, well, that guy only had six points. He did.

But those that used him to build a stack around him, I think there's some – sentiment there a little bit this Week at least around Carnell Tate it's like or like some people have mentioned um Robinson around the industry and it's like well that guy's some would say buns for these like he's going to get some catches some targets was Cam Ward is his quarterback but it might not be about them it might be about getting to Danny dimes, Josh Downs.

I actually think Tyler Warren is a good play. I get that he got downgraded and whatever, but it doesn't seem like he's going to miss or like it was that serious. So I kind of like this Colts stack and bringing it back with Tate and then still having a bunch of money. Now that hoop just talked, talked about it a little bit. What are your thoughts here? Yeah, I'll help you guys out. I'll call them Danny Pennies, Dusty Danny, Danny Buns, whatever you want to call it.

I mean, this dude's been the definition of all those words. They've had a tough schedule to start the year. They've had a tough schedule. That injury. That injury, I think, set him back a couple of years. Maybe there was a spot to get right. It's at home. Applied for twenty six points. I think it's going to be on the back of Jonathan Taylor. I think definitely one of the best plays on the slate. And I'll be riding him heavy.

Yeah, man, I'm a little more worried about the Tyler Warren in the sense of like just the. The downgrades late in the Week, like on Friday, I love Tyler Warren on both sites. He's been involved. He got his rushing touchdown last Week. If you do think he's a hundred percent full go, won't have any limitations, will actually look good out there. I mean, I guess that makes Daniels Jones a little more appealing.

I guess that's definitely why I'm not on the Jones stuff is because now that I'm a little more skeptical on Warren and then it's all right. Like I think Keenan Allen's a solid play at $4,300, but he's even getting a little ownership. And then, yeah, Cardinals Tate, a wide receiver on the Titans is going to be fifteen percent. And I wouldn't be surprised if it even got a little more steam.

It's like, man, do I want to eat chalk Titans wide receiver with Cam Ward?

Not really so and again chalk that's not the right word for him but he's not low ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage by any means he will be clicked in the $5,000 range I think Tony Pollard's an interesting way to play this game to just blow everything up tate bust um yeah wando's getting a little bit if you don't play jt maybe the Titans can control the ball on the ground a little bit and slow it down so I don't hate that we have to did we get uh tajay Spears news I just had it up here.

Let me double check again. Returns to practice, questionable. Yeah, okay. I'm still seeing questionable because that would be, again, some people already build their teams and don't do anything after that. So, $5,400, I'd be a little interested, especially if Spears is gone. More so one-offs for me in this game, though. Keenan, I love JT. Yeah, Tate, Wandale, when you played in the right way for skinny stacks, but I don't love the quarterbacks as much.

Yeah, nothing there yet, and I just checked for other stuff as well, and there was nothing that came up in the interim there. So, yeah, I think it's interesting. I definitely think it's one of those games that could go either way, but I will say this. We talked back and forth about the Watson stuff versus Ward because of the Discord jokes. But I do feel a lot better getting the pieces out of the Colts and Titans games, regardless of how I get there.

You know, if it's just JT, if it's a Daniels Jones stack, if it's, you know, if Warren, if we think he's banged up, you could play Jones downs, Allen or Treadwell Treadwell pick two, and then bring Tate on the other side and just fill up the running backs there. Like I could see that too.

So I think there's a lot of ways that you could go in this game and hopefully some of them at least make a little bit of a difference here, but hoop, I'll go back to you Patriots at home versus the Jets Patriots. Got the Henderson news this morning is Likely to play. Got the A.J. Brown cleared and good to go. So we'll see how this one shakes out. But what's your thoughts here on the Patriots at home versus the Jets?

Yeah, I was going to play some A.J. Brown. And then there was what was the quote just kind of came out expected to play a good amount today. That scares me a little bit. Expected to play a good amount, whatever. Yeah, whatever that means. So I don't know. Like, yeah. After last Week, I think I want some Drake May. It worked out quite well. Unfortunately, that team I had was – who was it? It was Doubs in there. Was that last Week?

Yeah, it was Doubs. And, yeah, that part didn't work out so well. But tenth in the Mills, I'm going to place it May for just that reason. Hunter Henry, Romeo Doubs. Maybe it's better for Doubs. A.J. Brownback opened some stuff up. Maybe he's the guy. But it is a – It remains a very difficult team to stack up, or you just trust that A.J. Brown is full go. But I'll have May in my one fifty.

And I think this is a spot, though, if I am playing him, I do want runbacks. And, you know, Braylon Allen, Garrett Wilson, I think, is a good play today. A lot of people are going to probably struggle to get there, like ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership on. Garrett Wilson is right around ten, eleven percent. That's low. He has the ability to kind of nuke the slate.

So, yeah, I'm in on this a little bit, but it's going to be more one fifty and just kind of whatever I get, I get like I don't think I'd be hand building a Patriots stack. So in on it for my one fifty. I'll kick it over to you. Same spot. I think the, you know, Romandre was going to be a lot more popular. I can tell you that before, you know, Henderson company, high ankle sprain.

I don't think a lot of people had high hopes for him, but he was always, they didn't call anybody up. That was the first sign. And then now they, you know, got him back in there as of this morning. So. What's your thoughts here on Ramondre Stevenson, even with Henderson back, and then the rest of this game as a whole? Braylon Allen, too.

Other side, by the way, still no Brees Hall, no Adonai Mitchell on that side, but Gonzalez back in the secondary for the Patriots as well. More news there. Sorry, just to add on real quick because I didn't touch a ton on the Braylon Allen stuff. He's getting all the work and that goes a long way. Like he is getting everything, which is what you want in a running back. So yeah, I definitely like him. Matchup, not ideal, seven point underdogs, blah, blah, blah.

He's getting everything. So there's certainly value there. Yeah, I mean, his rushing attempt prop, sixteen and a half, like B. John's eighteen and a half. James Cooks eighteen and a half. Kyron's fourteen and a half. Like, there's no doubt about that. The problem is there's seven point dogs on the road. And yeah, I mean, it really took him last Week because he got so many opportunities last Week. If he didn't break off that twenty two yard touchdown. Yeah, he busts.

He got the bonus in the touchdown in one and it took the punter the snap going over the punter's head. So I'm worried about. Man, I'm worried about efficiency in this one. And he's a dog to score at plus-one-thirty-five, but you almost need him to score. And then you look, and wow, he's sixteen percent owned. I'm a little worried about this Jets stuff. Patriots? Ramondre is definitely my favorite play, and I think Ramondre is a really good play. Price tag's good on both sides.

Travion's coming back for sure, but yeah, the ankle sprain, I'm... I mean, half the times anyway, if Stevenson is playing okay and doesn't fumble, like, he's just the guy. Like, he's very trusted. So, I mean, why would they go back and do sixty-forty or something? Ramondre is the only one favored to score in this game at minus one-twenty. Seven-point favorite, $6,000, can catch a pass out of the backfield, showing thirteen percent. I think he's an elite, elite play.

Drake Maceoff's really tough for me because he very well could just go out and dominate. But, all right, now that A.J. Brown's back, it's even harder. Are you going to play Doubs? Are you going to play Pop? Are you going to play A.J. Brown? Are you going to play Hunter Henry? And you can say, I like that because the ownership will be low. Absolutely. Just get it right and then you win all the money.

The second you get one piece wrong and the Brown has a three or Doubs has two or whatever you're drawing dead for first place. So I, to be honest, I think Drake may is probably best in smaller field, like real small field and just run them naked. Cause he throws four touchdowns of four different guys. He can run. He's already going to be low on that way. And you just don't have to play the guessing game.

Cause in smaller field stuff, you don't have to be perfect. And he's right in between, uh, well closer to Stafford, but Stafford and Allen, if you're spending upSpending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up at quarterback, you're playing those two. So, uh, Harder for me in Milly stuff. I should say that. I guess it's really, really large field because then you just need to beat a million people and then get it right. Or really, really small field and then don't play Drake May.

I would stack May in the really, really large field stuff. But I think they do well and they could put their foot on the gas. It's just good luck getting the right one. But yeah, Ramondre and then Wilson in garbage time, six, eight hundred. His ownership has to stay in check. If I do think they get down two scores, which I do, he's going to be peppered. So, yeah, give me a remandre, though, in this game. Curious to hear your take.

It definitely made me laugh, and you didn't even say it. You say something, and we think about it differently. It's like Ramondre got them files on them, man. Even when Henderson fully healthy, he can fumble. He'll be right back. If any other time we need this to happen, we're like, oh, that guy's not coming back. We'll talk about next game, Cam Scadavu, four fumbles already. It sounds like it's Najee Harris time, but we'll get there. But just noting it, Ramondre will fumble.

We'll be like, shit, we're on Ramondre, and he just fumbled. There's no way he brings him back out. Nope. Very next drive, but he trots right back out there. You're like, oh my God, this is amazing. So he got them special files, man, on Vrabel. I think that's the setup, but... You got Ramondre there. One thing I wanted to ask you before I kick it back there over to the next game, but Patriots and Jets defense.

One thing I would say about Allen is I don't mind playing Allen if I'm playing him with the Jets D. I think it needs to be a close game because you said it too. The other thing that made me laugh, it's like he has a sixteen and a half carry. It's similar to some of these other running backs. The problem is those other running backs might go for five a carry plus. He might go for . Five a carry.

And then if he doesn't get the one that busts off, it's like Oh, but I thought he was going to get all these carries. He did. He just didn't do shit with them. And that's a problem. Do you have any thoughts on the defenses at all or how you'd mix those in? Yeah, I mean, the Jets are $2,200. People are going to want to save at defense. I don't defense is always so tricky for me, to be honest.

I'm thinking like, all right, I'm just going to spend up at defense or spend more mid tier. But then it's like, well, then you're sacrificing these skill position players at a very high varianceVarianceIn NFL DFS, touchdowns can create large scoring swings without much change in touches or targets. With each team usually playing once per week, you also get relatively few games to judge a player's results within one season.Track results by contest type and slate, and review opportunity separately from touchdowns or other rare scoring events. Entering the same lineup in ten contests does not give you ten independent performance samples.Read the full definition of Variance position. So, yeah, I'm getting a decent amount of Jets, which is kind of scary. I mean, Davis Bailey is a beast like they can get after Jets.

The quarterback and drake may again three weeks ago like Jets would be twenty percent right now drake may was broken now drake may is the man I mean it's such a Week-to-Week league don't hate the Jets Pats are expensive but yeah the more you look at it they leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage off of some allen stuff garrett's getting a little ownership but if it is twenty one nothing or fourteen and they gino has to drop back in this game and it's clear passing situations he's in for a long long night so maybe I should boost them a little bit That's what I'm thinking.

That's the one that I came around to a little bit today there. Hoop, do you want to add anything more after all the conversation? If not, we've got the next game, Giants at home versus Saints. I'm good with the defense there. I'm getting Jets D as well. Yeah, good game here. Saints, Giants, one of the bigger totals, forty six and a half, forty seven range. Chris Lave was questionable, but is going to play, which is definitely good for this game.

On the Giants side, Isaiah Likely is going to be pretty popular. I mean, thirteen targets, twelve targets last two weeks. It's basically him and him and Nabers really. Just saw a report that Najee Harris is going to take some of the work from Cam Skattebo, so that's definitely not great. Don't need to really worry about that situation. Can kind of X them both out and move on. But with James back there, it's turned into a pretty consolidated offense. Malik Nabers, Isaiah Likely.

And then if you want to play it, you can run it back with Olave. Or a valet I mean we keep talking about valet I mean he's a legit wide receiver too uh you know kind of out of nowhere people didn't project it but the targets continue to be there nine seven six nine six um these Giants games with jamis at quarterback have they have a chance to kind of score a lot of points. He's willing to chuck it.

It's kind of what you want for fantasy purposes. You could even throw Juwan Johnson in the mix as well. I mean, at tight end has to be low on with, A lot of these other guys, I almost just prefer if I'm playing the James stuff just to double stack it. Just give me everything and hope they score a shit ton and it goes to James or James goes to Nabers and Likely a lot of people do just like single stacking. That's one thing I've noticed.

They'll just take one of them and move on. Like give me the double and run it back with a lave or valet. I think it's a really strong. Stack on the slate. Jameis, pretty much no ownership. Nabers will have some. Likely he's going to have a lot. Alave, Vele, not much ownership on the other side. Overall, that pairing combination I think will be relatively low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. I like it quite a bit today. Yes. Where are you at on this one title with the Najee Harris news and Skattebo?

And then obviously you got Likely popular Nabers, popular. We know that there'll be more popular in those stacks, but like Hoop said, maybe more single stacks. Olave at least kept the Q tag all Week, I guess is something, but you know, he's still probably going to be something and he'll be big in these stacks, whether they're single or double. So how are you thinking about this game yourself?

Yeah, I was going to ask, do you really think Olave stays at ten percent? I mean, I... Wait, you think it's going to be lower? Five. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. No, I think lower. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I agree with you. Yeah. I'm saying – I think that that's true, yes. But I'm saying the thing is, like, he's the one – in these stacks, it's going to be – I just think it's kind of hard still to go – I mean, Nabers and Likely in Olave.

Yeah, maybe. You're definitely right. People still don't – I don't think they force runbacks as much as – As much as we might think. And right, wrong, I don't know. I mean, if you look at the Sims, you can go both ways with that. He had that Q tag all Week. He has an expensive price. Roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction is difficult. I think it's closer to five than ten. Yeah, I agree. Yeah. So, I mean, for that reason alone, Chris Olave can blow up any slates.

Like, I'm looking at the same stuff. I mean, to start the year, like I said, it's such a Week-to-Week game. Shuck and these guys were absolutely dominating. And I know it was the second half in the Lions. They've been bad. At times with Chuck can run Chris alive. He's been a monster. Vele has been a great wide receiver too. Now he's priced in that like right next to Cardinals Tate and he's priced like a wide receiver one for some of these teams.

But I mean, he's a great pivot in my opinion at a third, a fourth of the ownership. And then Jawan Johnson at $4,500. No one wants to play him now at tight end. Right. And a pivot from Isaiah Likely both these teams are implied for about twenty three points. You're flipping a chalk Nabers, a chalk Likely to all these guys I think are going to be single digits on the same side. Don't also mind playing Saints defense. We know James.

I mean, he can make plenty of mistakes and really bad ones. And again, that leverages off some of the Likely and Nabers ownership. Now talking about those two, though, I mean, yeah, it's sad. Like we loved I loved Likely last Week. And when you like something and it goes well, but you don't I mean, you need other stuff to go right in DFS. It's kind of tilting because then the next Week. All right. He's double, triple the ownership. And it's like, now what do I do?

Sometimes I just get so like narrowed in like Michael Wilson. I'm still going to play him. Well, I don't know. Results oriented right or wrong. Who knows? But like that one better for sure. Yeah, I love Michael Wilson this Week, but I do every single Week. But yeah, it's more fun to play those guys when they're low owned at five percent than when they're twenty five percent. Do I like Likely? Yes. I mean, the target shareTarget ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share has been great. He's way too cheap.

The tight end position. I'm playing double tight end. I do like it. Do I like Nabers? Yes. Same thing. I still think he's underpriced. But it's going to be so highly owned. So I kind of like going to the sane side and stacking it and then picking one of them. So at least you're eating some chalk and a good play. And then you're playing the single digit stuff. Again, I still like some of them. Winston might get a little steam. I mean, hoop said it earlier.

What'd he say? Drake may have got me tent in the Mills. So I'm playing them this Week. The, People that won with James Winston last Week, easy stacking targets. Let's throw in James Winston. He's cheap. So I don't know. I think St. Steve's interesting and DFS wise, seeing all the single digits. I'm going to be a little overweight on the St. Stuff. Yeah, you can do that.

Somebody just said in the chat later on, we'll get to it, but said, I got a Taylor Swift and a Kelley Taylor Swift, Kelley today with the Deandre Swift in the early slate. So our earlier part of the day, but Isaiah Likely, you know, that's his name, but it's Isaiah lovely for people today over, you know, big time ownership over there on that side.

Like you said, people are going to use them in the two tight end lineups as a one-offOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off people are going to stack them up with Winston. There's a ton of action going there. And there's cheap tight ends that you can correlateCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation with your lineups. There's also, you know, the Brock Bowers of the slate, the Trey McBrides, those guys later on too. So we'll talk about more options when we get there.

If Olave does that, I mean, I guess the Olave part, you guys are, I think, nailing it with that. I don't know if that, you know, gets everybody more excited about him knowing that he's going to be five versus ten percent. But I do think there's ways that you can build one thing that is a little bit overlooked with like the Skattebo Harris news, all that stuff. And even we talk about on the stone because people bring up these report cards.

We usually don't even bring them out till Week seven with looking at it. But I think it was you that brought it up last Week just as we round things out in this game. Everyone just says the Saints can't stop the run. They've played Jameer Gibbs, Derrick Henry, Bijan Robinson. That's the setup there. And I think it was Aaron Jones last Week. What did he end up getting him? Like, twenty points? DraftKings points? Something like that? Yeah, Jones did good again.

It was good. A lot of opportunity. It was fine. But yeah, that's my thing. And so trying to figure this situation out. But if you were looking for a leverage play today, it would definitely be scat at $5,800. He's a thousand more than Likely. He's at a different position. There's a bunch of cheap running backs that people are playing. It's a Braylon Allen. Hundred bucks more. You go to scat like that sort of thing.

But did you have anything more to add on that hoop? Just because also people are playing Winston Nabers or Likely or some mix of them. Not many people are playing scat. Now you get the owner beware news of this Najee Harris stuff. You didn't used to say Najee Harris had bricks for feet? Yeah, he's horrible. Is this guy really coming in and getting her done? I don't know. So, so, so, so bad. Is the question, am I playing Skattebo? Do you have any?

No chance Hoop is playing Skattebo. No, no, no. I'm not. I can't. No, I can't do that. No, no. Yeah. It was you. It was you, I believe, that brought up with the Saints playing the best running backs when we were talking about Aaron. You got to dig in sometimes. I mean, if you got definitely got to take it into context and, you know, dig a little deeper.

Sully the Giants fan too so this is his home team you watch a lot not I agree I think you'll see that as well so it's it's messy yeah all right

Hoop I'll stay with you let's go to the next one we've got the Eagles at home versus the Panthers and the one from last night was is is it Tanner McKee to unlocking the slate is he the key that we need to go with over here he's only $4,000 bucks and you could stack them you could play them by himself but if you put someone like McKee and Goedert or anything that you really want to do in this game him with anyone except maybe um and I'm not saying don't play him with Smith I'm saying I think people are more Likely to try and fit everything in by going McKee Pierce McKee naked McKee Goedert um I'll

Talk more on it when we get there but what's your thoughts on this eagle spot at home versus the Panthers Yeah, I mean, it's the one path that unlocks everything that you want to do. We already talked about roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction being a little bit more difficult. So if you play a $4,000 quarterback and a cheap tight end, you can get everything else on the slate.

Now, the one thing for sure is if you do that, you're going to have the same sort of team that everyone has in these McKee stacks. Like if anyone playing McKee with Goedert, They're playing Bijan. They're playing Puka. They're just plugging in in the studs. So I would be a little careful when doing that. Now, if you're building a hundred and fifty, maybe it just kind of happens like that. So I'll probably have some teams like that.

But if I was hand building, I would look for a secondary correlationCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation in my lineup. So if you're playing McKee with Goedert, which I think is the route that most people are going to do, make sure you have a secondary strong correlation in there.

Of another game maybe a two and a one or something like that or even over stack another game so that's one thing I will say I am playing the key I am playing Goedert um and I'm gonna play like DeVonta smith like listen like there's no way mckee is that much worse at throwing the football than Jalen Hurts has been this season. Like there's just no way it hurts has been absolute fucking bonds, right? We're going to bonds. We're using bonds with kids like bonds.

He's been bonds throwing the football hurts. There's no way this McKee guy can be all that much worse than what Jalen Hurts has done this year. So, um, if playing McKee, and you're building a bunch of teams, I would definitely make sure to get DeVonta Smith in there. Low, low ownership on Smith. We're showing, I don't have it up. It'll be nothing. Yeah. It'll, it'll be two because it's the same price as London. Right.

Basically for me, like I want to make sure I'm getting some DeVonta Smith with, with Tanner McKee. Cause I know a lot of people are just going to go the cheap route, but, And, you know, also another thing I don't think many people are going to do is I don't think many people have run backs on the other side when they're playing McKee, but you have options here. You got Hubbard. Really good play. You have Tett, who's way overpriced.

Like you look at Tett at seventy, not overpriced, but like expensive. And people are going to look at that. And then you got Coker, too. So or Waller. Waller is another cheap option. So a couple of things to do if you're playing Tanner McKee stuff include DeVonta Smith, include a secondary stackMini-StackIn NFL DFS, a mini-stack usually pairs two players from the same game without either team's quarterback. Often a secondary group beside your main quarterback stack, it can pair a running back with an opposing receiver.Before locking a pair, describe how both players reach big scores together. Then ask whether that outcome would make an omitted quarterback or teammate difficult to beat.Read the full definition of Mini-Stack or even something on the other side. Run it back to some other side. I don't think many people are going to do it.

I'm with you on all that stuff, and I'm going to talk about it. But I got to go on mute. Title just making me laugh and shit when he's posting in the chat. But I will say, this is my take. I want to get both of you guys' thoughts on this quick. And the chat too. When someone does this, it's like a pet peeve of mine.

I know like Puka makes a huge catch, and it's like a fantastic catch for forty yards. It's not people like, Puka!

It's it's a touchdown don't do that if it's not a touchdown that's my takeaway is like when you say something like that they I hope they score it I don't care about a damn what we play fantasy and we want the points I don't care like a nice catch like we can unless it's an ob obj one hander or something touchdown though right or I forget was it at the one yeah it's got to be for me if you're doing that it's got to be the minimum equivalent of a touchdown.

So if it's a running back, it's got to be like a sixty yard run. If it's a this was this, I think it was like a fifty yard catch. So you got your six points. Forty two. So it doesn't count. Oh, there you go. Who's locked in? Forty two is locked in. Doesn't count. What I'm trying to say is that's why we have discords. Like we have a wonderful Discord over the ship and age community. We can chat.

I mean, Tyler, I was just like, damn, that was a sick catch or Ja'Marr Chase human. Like that's nuts on the sideline, et cetera. But when you blast someone's name out there with multiple vowels or anything, multiple comments, that's what it is. Yeah. You got me. That's what made me laugh. That's what, when you said it the same way, it's like, I had that almost in my head being like, damn, I know I got Nico captain lineupsShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown. Like that should be solid.

Maybe he still gets there, but yeah. Um, okay. Now I want to go back to the game Eagles at the Panthers and say, I love what Hoop said about the McKee Goedert stuff. It's like, okay, put Pijon, put Puka, put all the, it's not, look, I honestly don't think you'll fully do completely. It's not like showdown where you do that stuff and it gets all the way there, but you are going to be close enough.

So I'm thinking about things like Hoop said, I kind of want to see this game go off if it's happening. And I've seen this work in the past. And funny enough, it was with What's that dude's name, man? Gardner Minshew back in the day for the Eagles coming in and everyone just played him and maybe it was Ertz at the time, but it was like you actually needed the full game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack because of it and it has nothing to do with today.

I'm just saying you got to think about it differently. I think Coker is back and healthy and in a good spot. We know what Tet just did his last game before the bye. Chuba Hubbard, okay, Trevor Etienne is back, but Chubb Hubbard is still capable and gets a ton of carries and goal line stuff and all of that. So what I'm thinking about is twofold. One, stacking a little bit further than most would go instead of just getting all the pieces.

Higher dollar or smaller field stuff. I understand just like trying to plug it all in because you probably, you know, while you'll have a similar McKee line with someone else, it won't be as popular as what the rest of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Read the full definition of The Field is doing. But one thing I'll say is you got to think about also what you're doing. I know Bijan will be in a lot of the Tanner McKee Goedert lineups. So maybe I don't play Bijan and Puka.

But I also know that when I played Davante Adams Smith instead of London, where do those London points go? Well, they're probably going to Bijan. So I would say if you have Bijan, but no London and no Puka in your McKee lineup because you played Davante Adams Smith, then I think that's interesting, right? If you're taking up two wide receiver positions with Smith and Coker, you're in a different place already. And then you've got that game stack or whatever you're doing. So there is ways to get different here.

Not sure if this guy is going to be any good, but when there's a $4,000 quarterback on the slate, I'm trying to figure that out. Some at least title. I'll kick it over to you. Yeah, no, I think you made a lot of really good points about like because, yeah, I mean, when people play McKee, it more than Likely will be Goedert. But then, like you said, with the Bijan and the London, that's that's how you should think of DFS.

And especially when the single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry, when you're hand building, like I'll admit, like I play so many teams, hundreds and hundreds and hundreds. I don't hand build nearly as much. So it's harder for me to do that individually. But I think you can have a leg up on people like myself. Who doesn't have the time to just go through all that because you're thinking about levels and what makes sense in the game theory.

So I think that was a really sharp point by you. I'll never say no to a $4,000 quarterback on a slate. That's tight in pricing that allows you to jam studs. So I'm not here to talk anyone out of Tanner McKee. He only has a two hundred one and a half passing prop. If someone like and there's enough quarterbacks on the slate or I think someone separates to an extent. So it's not really for me.

If I did do it, I would eat the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk and just go him to God or like, man, that DeVonta Smith price tag is up there and really has to do something. But again, it's going to be low ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. Damian Pierce, I think, is one of the worst plays on the slate. So I'm ready to eat those words. The dude. I mean, they couldn't run the ball with Saquon. Now Damian Pierce in twenty twenty six is going to do something. Yeah.

Good luck. I mean, Damian Pierce lovers out there. The Coke man, though. Oh, yeah. Jalen Coker day. I'm struggling to get different on a slate like this. Seven point six percent. I see. Yeah, maybe that's accurate. Still in single digits at $5,900 for a grown man that can explode at any time. So I think Coker is an elite play. And not only is he a good play because he's by himself, Chubb Hubbard is going to get some ownership in this game as well.

And Panthers defense. So if Coker goes off, maybe he speeds it up. Gives the Eagles the ball a little more. He's my favorite. Probably run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back. I like Chubb, but he's getting ownership. I don't have like a strong take to the field. I do like Ramondre more for three hundred less. And then Panthers defense. I always struggle with this stuff. Like, yeah, if I just run my stuff and don't do anything, I'm going to get a lot of Panthers defense. They're chalky, though.

High ball, high varianceVarianceIn NFL DFS, touchdowns can create large scoring swings without much change in touches or targets. With each team usually playing once per week, you also get relatively few games to judge a player's results within one season.Track results by contest type and slate, and review opportunity separately from touchdowns or other rare scoring events. Entering the same lineup in ten contests does not give you ten independent performance samples.Read the full definition of Variance position defense. I don't know. I don't love eating Choc-D most weeks. It makes some sense. Another reason you like McKee. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So you talk about what you what you guys are going to do about Panthers defense, if you could. What are we projecting them? Seventeen percent. Let me let me say you're coming in at twenty four percent. What would you do?

Yeah, I'd be like I'll probably be slightly underweight just because I spread it out a bit more. But they obviously project well and they're in a spot again. I think that's more of like I like to do this. I know it's not required, but I'm saying if I'm doing that and they're actually keeping them in the game, I probably want somebody going with it for sure.

Yeah, the one thing I do is if I'm building a hundred and fifty which I am and there's a popular defense like that I'm making sure I get exposure to some of the spends like some of the more expensive defenses to kind of offset it but I don't know like defense really hasn't been a. It's not ever really a huge factor, even with like the, the chalk. I mean, you wanted Jets last Week.

And then what was it like two weeks ago? There was. Remember the Bengals, like a couple of years ago, either last year or the year before. Of course. I remember. Yeah. It was crazy. And that was the talk around town. And that was shot. I saw sharp people on both sides though. So that kind of just proves like, it's, it's not a solved game by any means. Some sharp people are like your sand. Exactly. Yeah. This one, I am not even pulling it up.

That was a good one. I didn't fully catch that in real time, but man, that's crazy. He's a grown man. He can't explode. So there you go. Probably in a lot of ways. A grown man can't explode at any time. I caught that. I just let it slide though. What was the thing I was just going to say too? There was something else you just reminded me of. Do you guys play Damian Pierce?

I mean, obviously you're playing in a lot of Linus, but like, do you like, if you were playing five teams, do you like, I actually think I have zero. Oh, wow. Yeah. I think again, it's just a more of a play against that Panthers D that's the thing. Is it so, you know, the side that I'm standing or all year, like let's talk like cheap running backs. We'll get to him later. I don't love him unless he's in the game stack.

I want that game to actually be tight and going back and forth more than playing a twelve and a half point dog just because he's the starter or whatever. You know what I mean? At $4,800. He's he's. Let's just let's just say Spears is out. And let's say Jenkins out again. Both might not be. But McLaughlin and. Tony Pollard. Do you have any takes on how you rank those? I'd be on the Pollard side for sure. Yeah, Pollard. Ownership probably would too.

I know what I was going to say now because what I got caught up in when you guys were there, that catch is called doing your job, by the way. Nico Collins literally just caught a ball like a normal human. He jumped and caught it. Oh my God. He's a wide receiver. One, one of the best in the NFL. That ain't nothing. Don't ever put Nico in the chat for that shit. Forty yard catch. Congrats to doing your job.

It's like if, you know, an NBA player dunked a ball. Wow. Speaking of NBA, a couple more days. A couple more days. You know where we're going with that one. Exactly. Excited for that. All right. We'll go to the back. We're almost to the afternoon here now. We've got four games left to go to cover. We've got the first one up here, Hoop. I'll stay with you. Steelers at the Buccaneers. Oh, gosh. Man. Yeah, definitely get us to the afternoon games.

Not too much. You can run through it quickly if you want. Yeah. The one I do really like, and let me check on the ownership here because I don't want it to be super popular. It's high. Yeah, it's high. I mean, but these are the guys that Aaron Rodgers loves, so I'm not. I'm going to be on him. The Bernard guy at $4,000, like he loves these little dudes.

Bernard had nine targets last Week, like nine targets earned the trust from Aaron Rogers. Like there's not a ton of value at wide receiver. That's why the ownership is going to be a little bit inflated, but I just, I don't care. I'm playing Bernard at $4,000 and Kate Otton cheap, Tight ends, low total, . . . Just not much interest here. But I'm in on Bernard, despite some ownership. How do we answer this one? Shot at the can't-get-right.

Still thinking he can't get it right, because he's asking. But three-wide receiver league. It's season-long, says Purdy. Brown, Scadaboo, London, St. Brown, Higgins, Toot, and Kittle. Four and one, I'm assuming, is his record. Should I make any moves? The tricky part is, it doesn't look like you gave us any . . .

Moves so what what do you ask don't put any more money please we appreciate it but don't worry about it just put what you're considering like what let us know it's easier to let us know what you want or don't want out of that and we can definitely tell you where we'd be at based on our data and just our mindset for the slate so appreciate you let us know okay here's your question title because I'm kicking it to you on this game sully says how much germy is too much Thirty five percent.

He's he's the he's the value wide receiver chalk guy that if I had to eat one, like we'll get to Worthy later and stuff like I feel most comfortable with Bernard, which might feel weird. But, yeah, I mean, watching Rodgers for all these years when he has a good rapport with someone, when he trusts someone, he just gets the ball out pretty fast for the most part. Good, like good decision making. But Bernard was, yeah, forty seventh pick.

In the draft this past year I drafted a ton in best ball he actually is a good player and when Jaylen Warren is Jaylen Warren he's been so good when DK's on the field like you just the defense cannot worry about jeremy bernard so when he has the right matchup Rogers is going to go to him at this price tag so yeah I mean I think thirty five percent what do we have projected in ownership thirteen I mean I think that might be like eighteen twenty I'm I've had nervous there is steam um But, yeah, I plan on being over the field for sure on him.

To be honest, multiple of these Steelers I'm going to be playing today. Jalen Warren. No, I thought you were done. Sorry, man. Go ahead. It's like the Buccaneers have been a pass funnel forever with Todd Bowles. So Warren, while on the ground, is a little worrisome. I know Rico's back. That's why the ownership's really low. Anyone that's watched the Steelers this year knows Jalen Warren has been one of the best running backs in football.

Mike McCarthy, I guess I'm going to trust him, which is really bad to say, but he's like it's going to be Warren for the most part. He is just so good at football. Rodgers loves him. You need him on the field if you want to win, which they want to do. $7,000 it's single digit ownership is someone that I want to play in tournaments.

And then yeah, DK Metcalf and Darnell Washington Friday with one, it was another late addition to the injury reportInjury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News. It looks like he's going to play, but $2,900 Darnell Washington. Like again, if we wanted stars and scrubsStars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs or you want to play these guys, I like him more than Charlie Kohler at $2,500 when we get to later. Like this is a grown man that, gets a lot of red zone targets.

So he's going to be someone at very low ownership. I'm playing. And then DK again, he's eight percent. We're showing maybe a little lower. Who knows? But it's that $5,000 range, kind of like Coker, single digits. He hasn't done it yet, but he can explode at any single Week. And I'm going to play chalk stuff. So I'm looking at ways to get different when I am playing chalk. I think Washington DK is one. I'll let you guys talk about Rogers.

If I like all these guys, naturally, I should like Aaron Rogers. But It's kind of tough. I don't know. I don't like the box side. Feels like the Rogers thing could be the one you talked about earlier where you like something one Week, you don't play it the next Week, and then it happens. I just don't know if I – on this slate, I know it's only ten games, but with all the other stuff going on, feels trickier to get to. I was bringing this up.

Sorry to cut you off, but this was when Kid Lightning said Raymond would be – so this is my example from earlier. Not going to project anywhere close to Jeremy. Fine if you're running some Caleb stacks and you've got Jeremy in there as the one-offOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off, I get it. But as the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk one-off versus a way to get different within a popular game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack for a hundred bucks less with Raymond, I would honestly take my shots. It's double whammy to your build. It's triple whammy, really.

It can give you the Raymond points, which then give you more Caleb points, which then knock down the Jeremy point. Again, Jeremy can still hit up the points, but Yeah, breaking news. That's my point for points here, but breaking news. Did we just get it? The first hoop break of the season? I think we did. Is it the first or second? Man, I think it's the first.

It's the first bathroom break maybe because I think the first one he had to go do something quick or something and he said it wasn't bathroom break. Yeah, something. I was going to say. So the counter will at least go up one. But you have to get it in before the afternoon games. Mind you, you were going to ask him about the Rodgers stuff here too. Yeah, what's your thought?

I mean, again, if I'm – if Jeremy's – like we said earlier at the pre-show, you want to stack. Like if these guys fully go off, their quarterback probably goes along. He's $5,500, which is a little couple hundred more overpriced. But he's one percent owned. If DK goes eight for one fifty and two, I mean, you're not going to be mad having Rodgers on a slate like this. There's no rushing upside. But, I mean, they sling the ball.

Rodgers loves getting his throwing touchdowns. It doesn't matter where on the field. Darnell, DK, like, he has four touchdowns upside. It is number two, right? Number two, yeah. Second P-break. I didn't go number two. It's number two. Oh.

Yeah man the chat's waiting on the first poop twenty four ten that's over that hasn't happened yet but uh hoop your your thoughts here we were talking about the stealers at the bucks yeah just like I said bernard otten uh I I don't think I can get there with aaron Rogers I don't think I can get all the way there I mean thirty darnell your boy Oh, yeah, in on him. I'll take that back. I'm in on him.

Friermuth expected to play, but Washington, it's one play, man. Just like he can run dudes over for forty yards. So, I'm in on Washington. Yeah, I'm in on that, too. Yeah, at least when Washington does something for forty yards, it's much better than the Nico thing. Like you said, he might just punch somebody in the chest and keep running, and it's insane how good he is there. But, yeah, I don't have too much else to add on this one.

I guess, like, the Steelers D is not getting talked about because everyone's either going high or low. That would be something. I think even, I guess my other takeaway is if you're not going to be on the Rogers stuff, the way he's slinging it. And if Jeremy's popular and all of that, you could just be on the bucks D for $2,600 here at home. It's it could definitely be a spot.

I just don't love any of the bucks or want to try and figure it out too much here. So I Yeah, really just to move on. They're super on FanDuel. Bucks use like $3,200. So they will be pretty popular over there, but not so much on DK. That's right, too. Yeah, good. Should bring that up last Week. I think it was the Commanders got to, I want to say, sixty percent in the juggernaut over there.

I know it's a $3,000 by and it's a smaller field, but I'm just saying it got up there versus even the projected number was, you know, twenty five, twenty eight or something for big boy stuff. No, sixty percent. So people just click it in and roll it. So that'll be the bucks. This Week. All right. You got to the afternoon. We've got Randy Moss Jr. To kick things off. And I'm not talking about Puka Nacua.

I'm talking about Michael Wilson over there title. So I'll let you start with this one. You talked about earlier, a lot of people going to Stafford. You do the cash gameCash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game countdown every Friday. I mean, somebody, when this show ends, if you want to watch the cash game countdown, get an idea there for, you know, ten minutes. You can basically be through it pretty much and check that out.

But Stafford, Puka, you know, Algier, you mentioned hopping in at $4,800. And then there is All the other names that I didn't even mention of, you know, the Burns, the Adams, the Higbys, the McBrides, lots of names in this game. So give me your thoughts on this one. Yeah, the game of the Week again, and it's one-sided this time in terms of the ownership. Rams implied for thirty-two points, thirty-two and a half, by far the most on the slate.

It's like, yeah, I mean, these guys, I mean, especially coming off that Monday loss, like they're going to put their foot down until I think it's, I mean, just like the Lions did last Week until almost the very last possession. Goff and them were out there. They were getting the job done. I think the Rams must win for them today. And what the nice thing is, is it's concentrated to an extent, but then it's not.

Like it is because it's Puka, it's Devante Higbee, but the Kyron Corum situation is tough. I still think ownership is too low on Puka, Kyron, Stafford, maybe Higbee, maybe Davante Adams. All their ceilings are just nuking the slate. You just absolutely need them. So I want to get overweight in all those guys and play a lot of Rams. And that's why I'm talking about these low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage plays, trying to get different in certain stuff because I'm going to jam this game.

How you can get different to an extent is the runbacks. Michael Wilson, yeah, I don't believe really that he's going to be eight percent at $6,700. I think I'll probably be a little lower. A lot will be in game stacksGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack. The king of garbage time. Bursette almost got the bonus last Week from garbage time as well. Like they so good. Even if he duds in the first half, he has outs in the second half. Bourne, I don't hate him as well.

Again, $4,000 everyone's talking about Bernard, all these other cheapies. He's going to be on the field a good amount. I think they're going to be down and having to sling it. He got some garbage time last Week as well. Trey McBride's tough. Like he's going to be in the pool. Seventy two hundreds, a big price tag. But again, same thing. If this game truly explodes in the Ram, the Rams get there like fully, fully.

It's probably McBride helping to keep it close for him. He got there also in garbage time with a great catch. The one thing that I'm really trying to figure out, again, I don't have hot takes. I'm playing all these chalk guys. I like Stafford a lot. Double them, playing with Kyron, triple them with the run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back. All that's viable is Blake Corum. You're going to need to bump him if you get to him.

And I really think I'm going to bump him because it feels like even in close games, Corum's in there. We saw it last Week on Monday. If it does get out of hand. Like why? Like Blake Corum is going to be out there getting more opportunity. And the projectionProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections just feels a little light for how easy the matchup is. And he's $4,800. I think Algiers dust. I think Damian Pierce dust. McLaughlin might be dust.

He's lower on than all of those guys in a pivot in that range. You can use them in three running back builds. He's the same price as Isaiah Likely. I just think there's a lot of outs there, and then you don't play him with Kyron. Then you just leverage off Kyron Chark. So he has outs in close games, and then he has the nut outcome in games that get away.

So I think I'm going to manually bump a backup running back, which feels weird on a ten-game main slate, but I'm all ears for you guys in this one. I, that was my leverage lane yesterday was, was Blake. I think that's important to think about. So in the close games, he's still in the mix by, by the way, like again, people will just box score watch, but I'm talking about good plays. I keep making fun of the Nico one.

Like his play last Week was close to explosive where he almost got loose for the full finish. I know almost doesn't matter, but I'm saying just the elusiveness that he can potentially have the snapshot he's getting in close games, let alone when they get to a blowout. And if that ends up happening here, it could be even bigger.

So yeah, Not saying you got to take a ton of points, but this is kind of where you can take a really good set of projections and just change it slightly. If you want to take the twenty one point six on Williams and change the eight point nine to, you know, two up, two down and just see what it does for your portfolio. I'm fine with something like that. If that's how you truly feel, you can play the game.

I think the other thing who just kicking it over to you here is. Nobody wants McBride and I get it, right? But you know, three hundred bucks more, you can get Bowers, et cetera, et cetera. But he's definitely an option here in this. And then you've got Michael Wilson, $6,700. Well, Drake London only a little bit more. So I'm looking for ways to build differently.

And I think one of the first thoughts I have is like, Stafford, Puka, Adams, Higbee, and then maybe Michael Wilson. But I kind of want to just use up all your wide receiver spots, use four guys from the other side. But the other thing too is I'd probably really or mostly want Algier in the game stack. I don't, I know he's only $4,800 and like blah, blah, blah.

But it's like, like I said, I just if I'm playing a one offOne-OffIn NFL DFS, a one-off is a player you select outside your stacks, commonly a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. An opposing receiver intentionally paired with your stack instead serves as a bring-back.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off from this game or using a one off that way, I would probably just play quorum and give quorum his projection to and just say it's because of the blowout. You end up just needing quorum and the other stuff gets too spread out. But give us your thoughts here with this one who big, big time opportunity for over stack as well.

Yeah, like the blank quorum stuff, I think, you know, makes sense on this sort of slate where we don't where we need salary relief. Roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction is a little bit more difficult and, you know, there could be like when, when roster construction is a little bit more difficult, you can kind of lower what you need out of each position, if that makes sense. So like, like as eight or something from quorum could be enough. So I think it definitely makes sense.

You want some exposure to the Rams clearly, you know, just everything you guys said. And then like, I do really like Higbee at, at three, four hundred at tight end. I think, you know, he's been very involved.

Three straight weeks so I think he's a really strong play the one thing that I kind of talked about in the opening with the Cardinals um they kept their main guys in all the way through and they're getting their ass kicked last Week against the Lions down what three four touchdowns and those guys went all the way to the end trade McBride got the garbage touchdown like why would they change it again today like I think these guys play to the end so like I don't think you absolutely need to have a run back if you're playing some of the Rams of the Matthew Stafford stuff but The case for it, I think, is stronger than people realize.

Like, if you're going to get garbage, like, this is the team you want garbage time with, too. I mean, you got Brissett just willing to sling it to his guys, Wilson, McBride. So one thing to keep in mind if you are hand building or setting up rules in the optimizerOptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer, I do like.

Having a run back here not necessity like not a must but like I I do like it because their guys were in all the way to then Michael Wilson Trey McBride Trey McBride was fully busting until garbage time last Week and then he was like needed you needed him in your lineup so that's just one thing that's a big boost there for Wilson and McBride born look good like and then they stopped playing them so I'm fine you know getting a little bit of him as well and then algier I mean I don't know.

It is what it is like. It's probably a necessity on the slate if you're building a lot of teams like his price tag, but it just does not. It doesn't feel good at all. So I'll probably be like underweightUnderweightYou are underweight in DFS when a player, team stack or lineup combination appears in a smaller percentage of your entries than in the contest field's entries.Compare the same contest, format and roster slot. Use projected ownership before lock, then check actual ownership afterward to see whether your intended underweight stance held.Read the full definition of Underweight on Algier. But all these Rams guys, if you want to do the Ram stuff a little bit differently, like. To me, Devante Adams probably has to be the guy to look to because I think Kyron's going to get a lot of ownership.

Puka's going to get a lot of ownership, and Devante will get a good chunk, but we're showing XIV. It could be lower because I think a lot of people are just going to go straight to Puka, so Devante stands out as a strong option to me. Yeah, I think, you know, this question here, like you can do whatever you want, but if you've got a Stafford three stack, I don't know about playing the defense for a hundred bucks more.

You can play the defense in the next game, Chargers at the Chiefs, if you're not unworthy or something like that. But even then I'd rather be against like one PPR reception guy on my defense than against the whole stack. That's going to... Hopefully, or most, you're telling the story if they're going to stack up points. So that's the whole point. So, you know, it's going to be one pick six, sure, but it's not as Likely as the other stuff to happen.

So, all right. I don't have too much else here with this one. The one, you know, key thing that stood out there, Hoop, that you said is, you know, the way that Cardinals just left everybody in until the very end. That's why, like I said earlier, I'm looking to run it back more than just over stack a, you know, a powerhouse offense here. I think that they're going to put up. The thirty plus as does Vegas thirty two and a half.

You don't see that very often. That could be by halftime. We don't know. We've seen it in the past where the Lions last year had like a thirty one and a half. And we said the same thing. And I think they had thirty eight at the half and they ended up, you know, keep scoring and put up fifty something. So these games do happen sometimes that way. Title mentioned already with his stuff here being involved in this game.

I think, you know, the over stack and playing for it to actually have the back and forth is is the best way to do it. And a lot of people are picking and choosing. If you're not on this game though, I will say I'm still looking at Blake Corum, like I mentioned. I'm looking at Kyron in some of those spots.

I'm looking at Rams D with either of those guys as a way to do it at the highest price on this slate when we've got a way to play it differently. And let's say you're on a McKee stack or a Watson if people love it or the Ward stuff or Danny Jones or anything like that stuff we talked about earlier, you've got the ability to get to the Rams D if you want it to.

So it's just something to be said there for that as well. Second last game of the slate hoop. We got the Chargers at the Chiefs, Xavier Worthy picking up steam, but other than that, not much ownership in this game. Where are you at with this one? Uh, so Xavier Worthy is a guy that's going to get quite a bit of ownership with Rashee Rice out by with it. Don't love it. I think title kind of touched on it. I prefer Bernard over him.

If you're in this range, uh, definitely going to have Worthy. Uh, there's no doubt about it, but, uh, don't feel great about it. Um, after that, I think they're just going to mix in a lot of different guys. So it makes it difficult.

So, you know, we're the Kelsey's fine, but again, like same mindset with Jonathan Taylor, but to even more of a degree is it just seems like Kenneth Walker like a forgotten guy, uh, on, on the slate and the price is uncomfortable. And I don't think people are going to come here just when you factor in the ownership. And I think it's going to be lower than everyone's showing. We have it at fourteen.

I think it could be ten and like to me, like the way I'm going to get exposure to the Chiefs offense is Kenneth Walker. And again, I think it's probably like ten percent ownership and. There's just no way it's a lot like there's no way he gets steamed up or anything. Like it just has to be held in check and lower than what everyone's projecting. Same mindset. Jonathan Taylor doubled.

If you go into optimize or just hit build me teams, you're going to get a shit ton of double tight ends. So that means double tight end is going to be popular today. That also means running back ownership is going to come down. And that also means Kenneth Walker just has to be a phenomenal play today. So love him on the charger side. Ladd maybe, like Ladd McConkie. It sounds like he's full, good to go, super cheap.

I think it was our guy Ham was kind of pumping it up, which I think makes sense. Ham had a pretty good tweet or comment on it. I think it does make some sense today. He could do a little mini, a little Kenneth Walker, Ladd McConkie, low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage, one-one sort of stack. So it's kind of where I'm at in this game, not really going to be on the quarterbacks or anything like that.

Yeah, I mentioned it earlier too, like the Kenneth Walker for Bijan spot in a lot of different lineups where you could do that. I think it is very interesting on this slate because most will have it set up differently. And a lot of those Caleb lineups that we talked about earlier, like the Caleb stack with Bijan makes a ton of sense, obviously, but you'll see a lot of those lineups and then you know who we'll have in there?

They'll have Worthy in there later on because he's the cheap guy that makes it all fit and allows you to still get to Bijan and or London, et cetera. So you can flip that a little bit and make it different that way. So I think there's something to be said for that as well. Title, where are you at with this one here? Chiefs at home versus the Chargers.

Yeah I don't like him much Worthy's fine like I said I prefer bernard he's going to be high owned he'll be in some of my stuff I I would be lying if I loved it at ownership definitely like kenneth walker a lot uh chief's defense when I'm playing kenneth walker it's a way to opt or to maximize your ceiling they're going to be low owned charges have looked as bad as possible and then charlie kohler

I guess because he's $2,500 maybe eight points at $2,500 is enough today to fill everything else out but not a game I like it's a clear pivot of the pivot in the afternoon game if you need a late swapLate SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap hopefully I'm not there oh last thing Kelley better cheaper on FanDuel than DraftKings which is almost unheard of so if you like him you can play him on DraftKings but yeah he's gonna get more ownership on FanDuel as well Yeah, that's another one too, right?

When a lot of people are just immediately talking about Worthy, it's like that can move to the tight end at a onesie position. And if you're already not using one of the big boys and you don't like something with a stack or anything, you could always get different that way as well. So I think that's another, just a quick thought I like there. Chiefs D with them, another expensive D, like I talked with the Rams previously, but could do it.

There's a lot of stuff you can do in the afternoon with the late swap because of that right if you do play one of those more expensive d's you probably also want to have other pieces kicking around it because then you can start to make moves if you even wanted to use the Chargers d in this game that's the other spot I would mention it's not ideal you're going up against my homes and points and walker and all of that but they're just twenty hundred dollars under a pivotPivotA pivot in DFS is an alternative player or lineup combination you choose instead of another option. Tournament pivots usually seek comparable scoring upside at lower ownership, meaning fewer competing lineups use them.Before swapping, check what the replacement changes around it: your remaining salary, teammates, opposing players and available later-starting options.Read the full definition of Pivot off the Jets um that are popular earlier in the slate that we talked about so I don't have too much else here with this one.

Let's go to the final game of the slate. I guess one last thing I was going to say a title to you, but Worthy is you can afford to lose a Worthy slate if he gets you because he's already made so much money. You're captain in the Superbowl for one hundred and $20,000 or whatever it was close to. So you're easy. You know, it's easier for you to say no to Worthy.

But I do feel like a lot of people have the same sentiment there where it's like, look, Um, it also might be, it might honestly be induced by last Week's charger situation, which is in this same game when people played Trey Harris and he was $4,100 slotted in as the one didn't get anything done and then got injured. Well, now it's Worthy being slotted in, but there's like Royals.

I mean, this goes back to my old never my home stuff, but you got Walker. Emmitt Johnson, Royals, Allen. And people are saying, who are these guys? You'll find out when he throws to them today because that is guys that he will still use. So it's crazy, man, how nuts it is there. But other teams are turning into that. You talked about it earlier with May even. Tricky to get right. So final game of the slate. A great one for DFS, I think.

Hoop, we've got the Raiders at home versus the Bills. Yeah, it's a phenomenal game. I mean, you look at it, a big total in this one, you know, mid-fifties, which is kind of what we want. I will say that, like, it is, it's tough to kind of figure this one out because who do you want if you're coming to this game? You want Josh Allen, you want Brock Bowers, right?

And those guys are, expensive so if you are playing that sort of combination you're going to have to make some big sacrifices uh in your lineup and I guess the one piece of news we don't have on the slate is DJ Moore uh which is is pretty big and this is in the four twenty five uh with four twenty five eastern game so it is uh you know we're probably not going to have this news before uh before lockLineup LockLineup lock is the deadline after which you cannot change your selected players. Without late swap, your entire lineup locks together; with late swap, which allows edits after the contest begins, players lock at their games' listed deadlines.After saving an edit, reopen your entered lineups and confirm the change reached every intended entry. Check the site's displayed lock times and time zone instead of relying on the television schedule.Read the full definition of Lineup Lock so you have to be a little uh You have to be open to making some moves here if needed.

I guess the one thing with Josh Allen, you clearly don't need to run it back with anything, as we saw in that primetime game. Just could not get anything going with any of his guys. Shakur had the one big catch. Coleman had the one touchdown. But outside of that, it was all Josh Allen. So, you know, Kirk Cousins is going to be pretty popular, but then it's like, okay, if you do play Kirk Cousins, not popular, but he's going to get some ownership.

Like who do you run it back with? You don't need to run it back with anyone. It's a difficult game to kind of figure out how you want to go about doing it to me. Like if I'm doing this, I'm just going to say, all right, I'm going to take Josh Allen. I'm going to take Brock Bowers. And then I'm going to figure out the rest. I think a lot of people are going to try to do that sort of combination.

And then they're going to run into some issues because you run out of salary pretty, pretty quick. You're going to have to make some sacrifices in your lineups. I don't love gente. I do like the price tag though. $6,500 on DK is pretty darn appealing. He's a little more expensive on FanDuel. Trey Tucker fine. But yeah, it's a pretty difficult one to figure out the path that you want to take to kind of stack it up.

So that looks like Tambo might have hit the bathroom break joining in, but yeah. Don't talk about Jeanty, man. Jenty's in a good spot here. He's a good little leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. Good price. Good price. $6,500. I said that. Yeah. Practices back at that. Yeah. And like you said, we are waiting on the DJ more news. So we'll see that when we get to the afternoon. You know, you talked about Alan with Brock Bowers and that set up a title for me.

One thing I'll say that's interesting about this spot is the you you know it's totally different than the mckee because you're going from the bottom price quarterback all the way up to the top one but most people don't know how to stack Josh Allen nor do they want to and we might actually get the opportunity to have an even tighter tree than usual if DJ Moore is out I also think um Kincaid being in this spot is interesting too so um I I actually like going with something like Josh Allen couple wide receivers, maybe even Kincaid and Bowers, or getting Bowers there on the other side as a way to stack this gameGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack differently and hope to get all the way there.

And funny enough, it's the Raiders, our boy Sheets. You remember when Sheets came second in the Mills? Yeah, Trey Tucker. With Myers, Tucker, and Bowers, and Bowers and Myers at the time. This was last year before everyone got moved all around to the Jets and the Jags and you name it. But They, they had, I think Myers had nine points, Bowers had nine points, but Trey Tucker had forty three.

I'm just saying it's like, you know, Keon Coleman, Josh Palmer, Kincaid, they cost like thirteen, fourteen K for all three of them. And then you just hope Josh throws to them and you over, you know, you jump the cook stuff. You can run it back with Bowers or Tucker or both, like get after this game stack. But this reminds me of like the Chicago Atlanta spot when Hoop said it. We know where people are going in this game.

They're going to Caleb, they're going to Burden, and they're going to one of London or Robinson. Here, a lot of people are just going Cousins, Bowers, and Cook. Or Cousins, Tucker, Bowers, Cook. Because they can't figure out the Allen stuff or don't want to try to.

So I think if I'm going to, when I'm going to play Josh Allen, I'm just trying to figure it and get all the way there with it and hope that everything else hits and they are cheap enough to make it work. Yeah, no, I'm on the same page. I hope DJ Moore is out because Coleman at very low ownership, Kincaid at very low ownership, Shakir at very low ownership. It's tough, but I think I'm fine playing any of them.

I prefer Josh with just skinny stacking with one of them because, again, if he's fully breaking the slate today, it's going to be a lot based on his legs. But yeah, James Cook getting some ownership too. I feel like it's everyone's favorite pivot of the pivot or whatever, which always does garner some ownership. And I'm fine with it as well in non-Josh Allen teams, but Yeah, the pass catchers on the Bills side, no one's shown for above five percent.

It's something I have interest in because it's an easy way to play Josh Allen. I just don't really have as many hot tapes. I think ownership's pretty efficient for this game on the field. I want this game. It has a good total. Gentee in a good spot at a good price. Injury concerns a little bit, but it makes sense. Bowers is the man. Buffalo can't stop anyone. James Cook is a somewhat leverage off of Josh Allen. I know the fumble stuff and all that.

I don't buy it. Are they ever going to play Ty Johnson and Ray Davis and put James Cook on the sideline? I need to see it before I believe it. Michael Mayer. Wasn't good last Week, but he's someone I'm going back to. How do you get different with Kirk Cousins stuff? Not even just necessarily get different. Save money when I'm going to be playing some double tight end to allow jamming in Bijan, Puka, all of that. Mayer's a good tight end.

So yeah, I think there's plenty of Well, Kirk Cousins, single digits, Trey Tucker, single digits, Kincaid, Mayer, Shakir, Coleman, all of those guys I have interest in. So you can play somewhat chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk piece in this game, but still have plenty of ways to get different. So yeah, I like it a lot. It's the afternoon window though. And DJ Moore's questionable. That's the, that's the annoying part, but it'll keep ownership down. I think we got a real tootin' touchdown this time. Adam G got us hooked up there.

But, yeah, I think that's the other thing, too, is, like, the Raiders have almost a twenty-five-point team totalTeam TotalIn NFL DFS, a team total estimates one team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It includes scoring by the whole team, not just offensive touchdowns or fantasy production.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total at home. The Bills have almost a thirty-point team total on the road. Look, there's the easy way to play this game and figure it out with people going to the Cousins, Tucker, Bowers, James Cook stuff, or some version of that. Kirk Cousins, Bowers, James Cook, cut it off. Whatever it might be. But in the afternoon...

Way more people are going to be on the Ram stuff. And, you know, the Pukas of the world, the Karen Williams of the world, all that stuff, Algier, et cetera, et cetera. So I think, you know, having this ability to swap over here looks like a pretty good spot to be able to move to. And others will think about it as well, but there's so many guys, Shakir Coleman Palmer will wait on the DJ more news. Kincaid.

Um, you talked about Michael Meyer, Bowers, Tucker, gente we mentioned so I just think there's a lot of ways that you can go this game in the afternoon I think um other teams have scored quite easily on the Bills just as much as they want to so I think it could be that type of situation and I like having some of these um lineups even to start my day with and just hold steady we're gonna

Wait and see how the morning goes of course but it's like honestly even if my low-owned guys went off in the morning and I could just pivot over to the Rams Cardinals this is actually a spot I might if I like the rest of the lineup and I can hold the fort down with this setup I'd probably just stay because I do like this game for fantasy points and the ability to have it go back and forth so anything else from you title any other final thoughts on the slate No, just waiting on, yeah, Judkins, Taji Spears.

Again, it's not too, too much, but, I mean, on a slate where salary is tough and we're already talking Algier, Damian Pierce, double tight end, all of that, it's not something I'm going to fully ignore with a lot of teams. So, yeah, just waiting on that. Check out the Belman and Hamm show, Nades and Hamm later. We have showdownShowdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown content. Obviously, we've got the London game right now, but showdown tonight. Yeah, Week six. Good luck, everybody. Man, that's crazy too.

Ball don't lie because the crazy hold call on Tootin earlier. And then that's what thirty five yards of good play looks like. You know, the Nico people out there go look at Tootin, catch that ball from the thirty two yard line and maneuver around everybody to get all the way to the house and fall in the box. Got to get one of those in for the day as well. Love to see that hoop.

Final thoughts from you before we get out of here. Now, good luck, everyone. Let's let's have a big day. Yeah, if you guys want to check it out, go over to ShipItNation.com. If you want to get into the mix, get into the Discord. We've got another show coming up in less than an hour, ContrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian Constructions. We'll have Belman and Ham on that. But if you guys want to get in over at ShipItNation, there's the annual, or you can just click join the nation.

You can do content only. You can do single sport for just NFL with or without SaberSim as little as twenty five bucks a month to get in. And if you do get in, you get into Ship It Games. $50,000 cash and prizes. The winner currently can only go up from here possibly. But the winner at the end of the season will take home $12,000 cash. Everybody that makes the top ten will take home at least twelve hundred dollars.

So your content.

Is a contest if you think of it that way right you buy in get set up you get right into Ship It Games join the Discord get all the content over on the site with the tools projectionsProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections ownership data all the showdown stuff and more you can check it out on the site and go from there that's gonna do it for this Week guys it should be a fun one for title for hoop and for myself ToeTagginTambo good luck in your contest let's ship it