Shows / NBA/ Tuesday, November 10, 2026
From the archive. This breakdown is for the Tuesday, November 10 NBA slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.
Latest NBA show →Rio Turner and Zach Trivett break down a five-game slate with Utah supplying the key value. Giannis Antetokounmpo is the priority spend-up against a defense lacking an answer at the rim. Isaiah Collier becomes a near-lock value if starting, while Darryn Peterson gets a much larger offensive role with Lauri Markkanen and Keyonte George out. Ace Bailey ($6,700) offers a lower-owned alternative to popular forwards, with better shooting numbers alongside Collier.
Clippers-Suns stands out as the overlooked game environment, with Devin Booker preferred over Darius Garland and Rui Hachimura offering a pivot from OG Anunoby. Franz Wagner justifies $9,000 against Sacramento, while Anthony Black gets the nod over Desmond Bane. Jamal Cain benefits most if Tristan da Silva sits, but preserving a Malik Monk pivot matters. Milwaukee's value depends on Tyler Herro, and the Knicks carry substantial blowout risk.
| Play | Call | The Take | At |
|---|---|---|---|
| ONE-OFF | Milwaukee's weak rim defense and rebounding support his floor and ceiling, although another blowout could cost him the entire fourth quarter. | 6:55 | |
| ONE-OFF | Milwaukee's poor pick-and-roll defense makes the matchup appealing, but blowout risk limits enthusiasm and pairing him with Towns is less appealing in single entry. | 7:32 | |
| The young, turnover-prone Bucks offer upside, but cheaper options later in the slate look better per dollar. | 8:23 | ||
| VALUE | Already an exceptional value, with a much larger role and a projection approaching lock territory if Tyler Herro sits. | 8:42 | |
| Cheap with substantial minutes and improved recent play, but his wide range of outcomes and damaging floor make safer value preferable. | 9:25 | ||
| The matchup is unappealing despite New York allowing three-point opportunities. | 9:51 | ||
| New York allows three-point shooting, but his recent production has been extremely poor. | 9:51 | ||
| Even if starting at $3,900, his limited production outside three-pointers makes him less appealing than other cheap guards. | 10:42 | ||
| Opinions were split at $5,800, with little initial interest even without Herro countered by his ability to contribute across categories. | 11:03 | ||
| VALUE | Herro's absence would improve his scoring and assist opportunities, and he remains viable even if he comes off the bench. | 11:26 |
Systems go. Clear for lift off. What is going on, everybody? Happy Tuesday. Hope everybody's having a great day. We are back talking some hoops, me and the man himself, Ibruchita. What's up, Michael, Sean, Sully, Jordan. IO, Scooter, Philly Phantom, Ryan. Yeah, talking about Kirk back to the Vikings. Rio and I just briefly were talking a little pre-show about a crazy NFL trade deadline. So Josh Downs of the Chiefs. What's up, Shocks? Congrats on your big day on Sunday, like a hundred thousand dollars.
I saw two $50,000's. On two different contests. So congrats to you, always in the streets grinding. Great to see everybody in chat. Hope everyone's having, again, a good day. All we ask is a like button and subscribe button. Helps us out a ton, and we are talking five games. Two big spreads, relatively, especially the Knicks, fifteen and a half point favorites, the Jazz, nine-and-a-half-point underdogs.
With that being said, it does look like a SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate where if I had to pick one team that's getting the most OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, I do think it's the Jazz. So I'm excited to talk through that. Rio, how are we doing today? What are your thoughts on the slate? Doing good. Yeah, so it's pretty good. I think there's some pretty solid game environments. We got the – well, it's not the return to Boston, but Jalen Brown against his former team tonight.
I think that's kind of where a lot of people's eyes and TVs will be tonight, so I'm excited to watch that. But overall, kind of your straightforward slate, a lot of ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value plays, some Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up that look like they're in pretty good spots here. So I think overall, pretty solid slate. Yeah, definitely looking forward to breaking it down with you. Absolutely. What's up, Mark? Flip-flop, Wardo, AX, Juice. Again, great to see everybody. I say we get right into it.
Do you have any broadside or anything you want to mention? We'll hit some marketing throughout the show, but anything before we just started off right away. My initial, I guess, is you can see, seven-third Eastern start, then an eight Eastern, two games at nine Eastern, one game at ten. So only one or two of the five games start at the exact same time. So Late SwapLate swap lets you change unlocked players in an entered DFS lineup after the contest starts. Both the players you remove and their replacements must remain eligible for editing under the contest's lock rules.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap is always important for NBA, but anything besides that?
No, I would say that I think DraftKings is doing a pretty good job with the contests tonight and the playing. We have all the games minus that. I think you said there's an APM game tonight? Yeah, we have, well, ten Eastern, we have Sacramento and Orlando, but there's also, it's an eleven Eastern game, OKC and Portland that they did leave off. Both sides did. Yeah, I don't know if that would have changed much.
Having one on the slate would have been cool to have it, but that's a late one for all the East Coast people, so I understand it, but Overall, I think the tournaments are really good on DraftKings tonight. We have the fifteen dollar back $100,000 to first. Haven't seen that one all season, I don't think. And then a couple of the bigger ones, the $3,000 contest looks pretty good over there.
I haven't checked FanDuel, but I assume that there's a decent as well. Yeah, shout out to FanDuel actually has been putting up pretty solid flagship contests for the NBA streets. If you want to play on another site than just DraftKings, whatever it may be. But yeah, good prizes on both. Usually you will get that on non NFL days. So while I wish it was seven or eight games, if you're drafting, you definitely had to leave off the eleven Eastern game.
I mean, late swap, not really fair to everyone out there. So I like how they did it. Do we like the Kirk trade? I like it for both teams. I mean, I like it. I think it's Mendoza's time, and Kirk did everything he had to do. He taught the young buck. I think it's time you throw him in there and get him some reps.
And then for the Vikings, yeah, I said in chat, it's hard to get excited in twenty twenty six about Kirk Cousins. But if you're a Vikings fan, how are you not excited? Look, looking at all the disaster from Kyler, from Wentz, McCarthy last year, you're clearly in win now with. Jefferson with that great defense. So, I mean, anything's an upgrade from what you've seen. So, I got it as a win from both teams. What about you? Yeah, absolutely. I agree.
Kirk's been playing pretty damn good this year. Definitely the best he's played in a couple seasons from my memory. And, I mean, the return that they got, I feel like it's pretty good for a guy that's on the tail end of his career. So, shout out to the Raiders.
I thought that was a pretty – pretty smart move by them and then we get to see fernando mendoza I think somebody in the fantasy world posted that mendoza might be like one of the favorites to win offense rookie of the year now so which is kind of crazy he hasn't really played much at all yet but obviously number one overall pick he's got a ton of talent I think he'll be pretty good right off the bat and hopefully you know maintain the value of guys like brock bowers and I guess it's really just bowers I just hope that he's still fine because I've been playing him a ton every time he's on the MAIN slate I'm going to still think he's fine.
I don't look at this. I'm a, I think Mendoza is a good quarterback and I think, um, saving them until week time was definitely the right move for his career and learning. So I'm not going to downgrade the Raiders offense from that. You got to upgrade Vikings offense. Wow. Yeah. Plus one hundred plus three seventy five. That is, that is crazy for sure. Who else? I'm trying to think what, what other offense a rookie is, is up there. I was trying to think.
Yeah. He's been good. Um, There's been no running back that I can think of. Yeah, because Love, he's been missing basically every game this season. It's definitely – it's up for grabs right now for sure. Let me just look at – Oh, Cardinal Tate. Yeah, he's been doing good. Mendoza now plus . Three hundred. Boston plus . Five hundred. Jonah Coleman, okay, plus . Six hundred if he gets the run at the end. And then Tate, . Six hundred. Concepcion, . Six fifty.
So, yeah, Boston, Concepcion, Tate, Coleman, Mendoza is the favorite though. Carson Beck, I mean, man, he has a rough road ahead of him this week. Micah Wilson out for the year, too. Yeah, Carson Beck's not in a place to succeed. Let's just say that. All right, I got nothing else. I say we go and talk some hoops, which people are here for, have enough filed in. So let's get it going with Wardo's New York Knicks.
Taking on my Milwaukee Bucs, fifteen and a half point underdogs of the Bucs. Tough, tough to see. Two twenty two and a half total for the Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News on the Bucs. Important stuff. Tyler Hero and Kahlil Ware. Both questionable going over to the Knicks. Josh Hart is doubtful. Thankfully, we will get this news Lineup LockLineup lock is the deadline after which you cannot change your selected players. Without late swap, your entire lineup locks together; with late swap, which allows edits after the contest begins, players lock at their games' listed deadlines.After saving an edit, reopen your entered lineups and confirm the change reached every intended entry. Check the site's displayed lock times and time zone instead of relying on the television schedule.Read the full definition of Lineup Lock. Still a hundred and three points. Only the bucks are implied for, and it's supposed to get blown out, but I mean, it's a five game SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate.
And if you take away hero and color, where two guys, especially hero that do mean a lot for this team.
So yeah, yeah regardless of them being big dogs you see barry's getting a lot burry's getting a lot of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership kuzma getting a good amount and it can only get more appealing for this team if hero and where we're out so what do you see yeah really good matchup for the Knicks here double digit favorites at home uh bucks have been one of the worst teams in basketball their bottom four in both offense and defensive rating and they're particularly very vulnerable with their rim defense their rebounding has been bad the pick and roll defense has been really bad so it's a very very good matchup for guys like jalen brunson carl anthony towns in particular um cats has a Double-DoubleA double-double is when a basketball player records at least 10 in two of five statistical categories in one game: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. Points with rebounds or assists are the most common combinations, so centers and power forwards reach them most often through rebounds, and point guards through assists.Check whether your fantasy-point projection already includes milestone bonuses before adding anything yourself. An average of 10 rebounds does not mean a player reaches 10 every game.Read the full definition of Double-Double in basically
Every game this season so he has a really strong FloorIn daily fantasy sports (DFS), a player's floor is an estimate of the low end of their realistic fantasy scoring range. It describes downside, not a guaranteed minimum or their average projected score.Before trusting a floor estimate, check what could change the player's role today: a returning teammate, a minutes restriction, a lineup change or a different game script.Read the full definition of Floor ceiling combination and then for brunson it's a really good matchup just with the way that the bucks are giving up a ton of the on-ball stuff pick and roll defense one of the worst in basketball but just the MAIN concern for them is blowout because we could see the minutes really come down in a big way we've seen a couple times with cat where he's basically sitting the entire fourth quarter and I would say the negative for brunson I personally like playing brunson in games that he's kind of has to get up for those competitive game environments against um playoff level teams and that's
Definitely not the bucks here I don't think he's gonna take the night off by any means because it's really good matchup but I prefer to see him in a close game in the fourth quarter where you see him take over for the last six minutes and put up double digit shot attempts But that being said, though, I think they're both fine here. Don't want to go too overboard with my exposure. The Josh Hart doubtful tag definitely helps some of these guys.
But I think that with the strength of value in the later games, probably don't really want to get to like the shamans and Mikael Bridges of the world. I think I'd rather just concentrate my exposure on Brunson and Cat if choosing anything. I think OG is viable for sure because he does have upside, especially against a young and turnover prone team like the Bucks.
But again, he's not super cheap so I think that we can get some better Points Per DollarPoints per dollar measures projected or actual fantasy points relative to a player's salary, usually expressed as points per $1,000. A $5,000 player scoring 25 points returns 5x value, or five points per $1,000.Check whether a displayed ratio uses projected points or points already scored. A strong projection shows expected efficiency, not a guaranteed return.Read the full definition of Points Per Dollar options later in the slate and then like you said for the bucks it really kind of revolves around the availability of tyler hero you already mentioned braden berries I think that he's an exceptional value already but it becomes I don't know if I would say a lock value type of play, but he's got to be pretty close.
I think he'd project really, really well and would have a pretty big role on his hands. I would also be interested in what the starting lineup would look like without Hero, but Ryan Rollins would be a guy that I do think would come into consideration, assuming that he starts and assuming that Tyler Hero is out. The numbers look pretty good for him usage-wise and just scoring and assist-wise with Hero off the court this season.
And then Kuzma, never too excited about playing him, but he has been playing – better as of late he's very cheap gonna play a good amount of minutes so I get to play I probably won't go there though I don't know it's just his the range of outcomes for him is a little bit too wide and he really has a floor that could absolutely bury you for playing him so I'd probably look somewhere else where I get a little bit more safety for value um That's about it, though.
I mean, I don't really want to go to Hawkins here in this bad matchup. Miles Turner, I mean, he has three more points than I do over the last two games. The guy is just playing terrible right now. I mean, you really could. It is an exploitable matchup for teams against the Knicks where they give up a ton of three-point shooting. But Hero is the guy there. There's nobody else that's like a...
Big three-point threat for the Bucs like essentially or hypothetically it is Miles Turner but he's not doing anything right now Hawkins is like the next best guy but definitely not known for being a knockdown three-point shooter so I don't have a ton of interest in the Bucs especially with hero and I think you're going to be looking to Rollins and Barry's just looking to the two guards I think that they'd be really solid values with hero out you're talking threes is probably as thin but AJ Green $3,900 if you were to start I don't know.
Probably something to rather just ladder up his threes, if anything. Like, what even is a good game for him? He went four for eight two games ago and only put up sixteen points. He doesn't really contribute enough in the other categories to be that much of a viable option when we have other cheap guard ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value plays tonight. And then Jaquez, even if here was out, still no interest. $5,800.
Have to see what the ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections looks like there I don't really see it but he is a guy that can do a little bit of everything so I I understand it like there are games we've seen he probably has a couple Triple-Double BonusThe triple-double bonus is extra fantasy scoring for recording at least 10 in three categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. In DraftKings NBA Classic, it adds 3 points on top of the player's statistical scoring and double-double bonus.Check how often a player reaches all three thresholds in the same game under a similar role. Separate averages for points, rebounds and assists can overstate the likelihood.Read the full definition of Triple-Double Bonus under his belt but he definitely has double double upside for sure so that could be useful at his five point $8,000 price tag Yeah, just trying to take Kahlil Ware and Hawkins out. Projection goes up a little bit.
By no means the biggest beneficiary, but yeah, Ryan Rollins looks like the biggest one, especially if Hero does miss. Even if he came off the bench, I still think Ryan Rollins would be fine. Barry's already looking at Burry's already looking at probably the highest own on the slate. And, yeah, if Hero's out, you're going to see a crazy, crazy number on him. Another thing to note, Nick's side, I will say, too, Sabresim right now has actually both of us, too.
I don't know why we have Josh Hart with a projection. So this is all going to change. Like, you can double, maybe even over double Kat's ownership right here. OG's probably a little higher own. They're going to look a lot better than four point eight value, four point eight six value. One Josh Hart is out. So I do expect Cat to get a good amount of ownership on both sites. He does have power for eligibility on DraftKings. And then FanDuel, I wanted to mention.
Mikkel Bridges, as it's been all year, $4,600 on DK and on FanDuel is $4,600. DK is $5,000. So you do get a better price on FanDuel as well. Probably leads to more ownership. So you can FadeTo fade a player is to leave him out of your lineups on purpose, usually because you expect him to be popular or you think he is a poor play.Fade with a reason, not a feeling. If you can't say why a popular player will disappoint, you're probably just giving away points.Read the full definition of Fade that if you like as well. Not a Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate guy, but always if you see someone cheaper on FanDuel than DraftKings, usually it's better there.
Power forward shaman is that what he said oh point is he's point forward no he's a power forward on DraftKings why what are they doing I don't know they had a champagne julian champagne as a shooting guard only last night yeah I don't come on come on DraftKings get better than that not a game I think you want to go overboard they go though again fifteen and a half point favorites uh last thing I guess uh would you max one brunson and cat on this like Don't know if I would do that tonight with it being smaller.
I don't think that if I was building anything in Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry, I'd have both. But I think in MME, it's at least viable. I wouldn't want to be crazy overboard that pairing, though. Yep, makes some sense. All right, let's keep it rolling. Next game on the slate, the one Rio hinted at. Boston won that point favorites over the Seventy Sixers. Two seventeen and a half total, which is the lowest on the slate, but not by a ton.
There's no total, excuse me, over like two twenty eight and a half today. So. All relatively similar on the Philly side. No injuries to talk about and no injuries to talk about on Boston either. So two healthy teams. Usually two healthy teams means not as much OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership for DFS. And you can see all of the ownership in this game that is getting any is going to the Boston side. But one of, if not the lowest, own game on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. What do you think?
Don't love it from a DFS standpoint, but obviously I'll be watching it for sure from start to finish. These are two of the better overall teams in the league with two of the top six defenses. Boston does have the offensive advantage, though. They're third in offensive rating, second in net rating. Sixers are, I think, like, twenty-first in offensive rating. So kind of skating by with their defense.
And I still think it's kind of a lot of smoke and mirrors with their defense. They play a lot of good team defense, but they don't really have – Great individual defenses. I guess you could throw Jalen Brown into that bucket, but some ex-NBA players would probably disagree that he's a good defender. Probably wrong by saying that he's like an elite lockdown defender by any means. But either way, the biggest matchup trend here for Boston is their three-point defense.
They allow the highest three-point frequency in basketball this season while ranking fourth in rim defense. So that's the most clear funnel. I think Miami is like right up there too with them in terms of just funneling off-ball scoring.
But the issue here is that Philly is twenty-fifth in three-point frequency themselves, so not really getting up a ton of volume there so I don't know if that's a matchup they can necessarily exploit uh but yeah tatum looks really good at ten point $1,000 just solid role this season Philly has struggled against higher usage guys like tatum and his ability to contribute across
Every statistical category I think gives him a really good combination of floor ceiling that we've seen multiple times this season I think giannis is a little
Bit better as a spender tonight but I have no issues with tatum don't really care too much about the matchup at all I would say in that same bucket paul george is a higher usage guy he's second on the team in usage so he should have a good matchup but the price is starting to creep up there in a really big way seven point $4,000 is a real price set for him to pay off so not sure I'm gonna be taking a big stand there I can't get there on derrick white or paying for each right now these guys do have upside but I don't see it I think we're gonna get better pumped options cheaper than them And then the front court guys have to be in consideration.
It is a good matchup, even with Embiid drawing a lot of fouls. I think one of Keita or Mitchell Robinson could put up a score that pays off their price tag. I'm not sure which one it will be because they are splitting the minutes pretty evenly. But I think the three point $9,000 for Mitchell Robinson, $1,000 cheaper than Keita might go a long way on this type of slate.
So I'll probably just lean him, but it's a max one of those guys for sure. Philly side, it doesn't look great. I think Jalen Brown is going to get played a lot just because of the narrative. I guess the matchup's okay. He is a decent catch-and-shoot guy.
I think I'd probably have the most interest in him, not because of the narrative, but just because the matchup probably leans positive for him more so than Maxine and Bede because the Celtics do draw up a pretty good game plan. Against these star players like Embiid and Maxie, who are higher usage guys. I think it's going to be tough for both of them to get there.
So I'm definitely going to be playing a max one of those two, or setting a rule of max one of those two. Maxie will see Derek White defensively. It's a pretty tough sell for a guy priced at $9,000. And then I do think that the front court guys for Boston are two of the better defenders at guarding a guy like Embiid. So I'm not super excited there.
As for LeBron, Big game, I can see him getting up for it, but nothing about the match really stands out for him either. You just got to hope that he fills up the stat sheet because he's still taking a pretty big step back on offense. So yeah, all in all, in this game, don't love it by any means, but I do think that Jalen Brown and Tatum are two of the better plays in this game. And it's not because of the narrative.
I just think that the matchups are good for these guys. What do you think the boost, though, to ownership? You mentioned it a little briefly, but we have five percent Jalen Brown. Let's just say that is what he normally would be at at a random game. Do you think it doubles because of the narrative? I mean, the Slate SizeSlate size is the number of games or matchups included in a DFS contest's schedule. In sports built around one event, it can instead describe the number of eligible competitors; it does not mean the number of contest entries.Before building, count the credible alternatives at each position. A slate with plenty of games can still leave you with very few appealing choices at one position.Read the full definition of Slate Size only can increase his ownership due to narrative than like a ten game or eight game where it's easier to get lost. Do you see a reaction like that?
Yeah, I think he'll be double digit on tonight. Yeah, that scares me a bit when just someone naturally – and again, basketball is the one sport where you get up – you can control what you do a lot more. With that being said, it's harder on a Philly team when you're playing with Maxie and B, LeBron. You definitely want to win B, J. You only can G-ball and do stuff so much, so – It's tough for me to get to these Sixers. I definitely do prefer Tatum.
Obviously, I know the price is higher, but I prefer Jason Tatum if picking one, and I do think Carl Anthony Towns and probably Giannis is a little higher on, but I do think you're going to see a lot of more mid-tier builds and stuff as well with a front or something. I'm definitely in on Paul George, Caden, or Mitch Robb. Definitely not both, but I do like the shout-out on that. Both are cheap at center. PG, I'm fine with.
It's tough for me to get to this Philly stuff. Probably max one is where I'm at there. All right, let's keep it rolling. One hour later, we got the Phoenix Suns taking on the Los Angeles Clippers. Three and a half point favorites are the Suns. Two twenty four and a half total in this one on the Clipper side. No injuries to worry about on Phoenix. No injuries to worry about. So. Pretty clean in terms of that.
Right now the biggest news is here, which we will get right away. And in terms of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, it is Brooke Lopez and then really not much on the Clippers side. And we have four players on the Sun showing for double-digit ownership. Not sure that holds, but possible. You don't see the Suns as three net point favorites every day. What do you think in this game? I have a lot of interest in this game, actually.
I think it's a pretty decent game environment. Phoenix is on the second night of a back-to-back, but their starters didn't play a lot of minutes last night. But, yeah, the Suns, I mean, they're just giving up a ton of points right now. Second-worst defense in basketball, the worst rebounding team in the league. And the Clippers, as a blade, they've been involved in some pretty high-scoring affairs. And then with the competitive spread, I think that this has a sneaky high-upside environment here.
For the Clippers, though, the frontcourt guys do stand out. Like I mentioned, the rebounding is just a huge, huge issue for the Suns right now. Definitely going to be a max one to Brook Lopez and Isaiah Jackson. They're priced pretty similar together, and I believe Brook Lopez is now the starter, right? I have to double-check that, but I believe he's been starting as of late. Yep.
But, yeah, it's just a really good matchup against a team that struggles to defend the rim, a team that is struggling with rebounding. And Brook Lopez, looking at the numbers, was actually – he's actually rebounded the ball a lot more as a play. I was just thinking back, like, when he was on the Bucs playing with Giannis and on the Clippers with, like, the Harden and Paul George Clippers, he was really just boxing guys out and letting everybody else get the rebounds.
But now he's actually going after them with there not really being another guy that could grab. It's like him and Rui in the first, you know, the only guys that could really grab rebounds. So I think that he's pretty interesting at, at $5,000 has the block and steals upside as well. For Garland, it is a slightly positive matchup, but I'm struggling with the salary.
Just, I mean, he's got the role of a guy that should be above $8,000, but the fancy production really hasn't followed yet. So I'm not super excited about clicking his name at a point $3,000 Rui though. I do like him a decent bit.
I was pretty high on him heading into the season, just with all the coach speak about him and, and, want him to kind of be a bigger part of the offense and rebound the ball more but at $6,000 he looks like a pretty solid PivotA pivot in DFS is an alternative player or lineup combination you choose instead of another option. Tournament pivots usually seek comparable scoring upside at lower ownership, meaning fewer competing lineups use them.Before swapping, check what the replacement changes around it: your remaining salary, teammates, opposing players and available later-starting options.Read the full definition of Pivot off of ojianobi who I would expect to be pretty high owned um I think she's shown upside at the salary before and It's the minutes haven't been great, but there's been like a lot of blowouts and kind of like soft blowouts where he's not playing the last five minutes.
So I see his Minutes ProjectionA minutes projection estimates how much playing time a player will receive in a game. You use it to estimate opportunities for fantasy production, not as a guarantee of playing time or points.Ask what would make the player lose minutes. If your lineup only works when he gets the most optimistic playing time estimate, reconsider the pick.Read the full definition of Minutes Projection kind of around the thirty minute mark. I'd probably run him closer like thirty four in what should be a close game and has a chance to be high scoring. So for me on the Clippers side, Brooke Lopez won, Rui too. That's probably it. I think all these other guys are just kind of leftover, last-minute type of players, but it's definitely keeping Derek Jones Jr., Chris Dunn, Garland, even Isaiah Jackson to keep those guys in the pool.
Before you get to the other side, how much Brooke versus Jackson split do you see yourself having? Because we're showing .O-one percent Isaiah Jackson.
Let's just say it's one or two percent, whereas Brooke Lopez is – twelve times that or something I do kind of think it stays true that way so is that a spot you're looking maybe probably not just because the price is hard for jackson to pay off but I won't x him out maybe I'll run him a couple points ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections higher than he is right now just to get like three percent or I'll just set a minimum to get some of him but yeah not not definitely not something like running out of my way to play if the price was cheaper if he was like $4,200 or $4,000 then I would probably be over the field I wish there was more foul trouble risk in this matchup for Brooke as well.
Cause I mean, I love when Jackson gets the minutes, he is a great Points Per DollarPoints per dollar measures projected or actual fantasy points relative to a player's salary, usually expressed as points per $1,000. A $5,000 player scoring 25 points returns 5x value, or five points per $1,000.Check whether a displayed ratio uses projected points or points already scored. A strong projection shows expected efficiency, not a guaranteed return.Read the full definition of Points Per Dollar guy. I definitely love Rui though. Anyone that's watched me talk about NBA for years knows I'm a big Rui guy. So I definitely liked that price and ownership. I don't know if I've ever told this story on here or to you, but I had a, not a, not a run in with Rui, but I was sitting courtside one time at a Lakers game. God, I didn't pay for the tickets.
I got them for free. Um, Yeah, and I was kind of, I wasn't like, I wasn't talking shit to Rui at all. Every time he'd grab the ball in the corner, I'd tell him to shoot it. And he finally did. And then like gave me the dirtiest look afterwards. Did he miss it? No, he made it. He actually had a great game. It was, I remember that game was against the Blazers. I played the Showdown (Captain and MVP)Showdown is a single-game DFS format where you build a lineup under a salary cap. In Captain or MVP formats, you assign one player to a special roster slot that multiplies their fantasy points and can increase their salary.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown and I think LeBron and Anthony Davis were out.
So it was like Rui and Austin Reeves. And I forget who else was on the team then. It was like three or four years ago. And he had a really good game. Yeah, Ruiz definitely has his games when he has opportunity. Yep.
Um all right yeah so on the Phoenix side of things I'm liking what I've been seeing from booker lately he has early on the season was not as aggressive as we've
Seen from him but I think now with the Suns just being so non-competitive as late he's kind of taking a step forward from a usage standpoint just being like I need to put the team on my back you see a really big increase in his field goal attempts over the last four games usage has been above thirty two percent in each of those games I think the matchup is pretty solid and if you're looking at him or daris garland like give me devin booker all day he's starting to play really good basketball right now and the price is not caught up yet so I'm in on booker I would not play him with jalen green because with the booker usage and field
Goal attempts increasing it's kind of been the opposite for jalen green seen a decently big decline in his usage So I probably max one of those two guys and Jalen Green is getting a good amount of ownership as well based off the numbers right now. So a little bit of LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage being under on Green and over on Booker or just being a max one of that pairing I think could get you different enough.
Miles Bridges has been putting up some big numbers, not playing a ton. He had a five consecutive game streak of forty plus Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points that got broken last night with the blowout. Minutes are just really not ideal, but I think a close game could help him from a minute standpoint.
So you could run him at thirty four, thirty five versus the thirty one that he's been getting lately just to get a little bit more of him, because I do think that he does have the upside at his price tag to pay off. I really have nothing else to say. Dylan Brooks, always fine to keep in the pool. I guess Gillespie is getting a little bit of ownership, but now we don't really need it because we have the Jazz stuff.
So it's really just Booker and Bridges for me on the Sun side. But I think overall this game environment is a little bit better than the ownership would suggest. I like it. Yeah. Competitive game when we do have a fifteen and a half point spread and nine and a half in the next game. And then two twenty four and a half total. The second on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. Yeah, I can. Ownership's not crazy either. So I like it. One of Bridges.
I like probably Dylan Brooks a little more than you do. I just I always Dylan Brooks definitely has a ceiling and $6,100 also in a range.
Next to OG where he won't be played he made a lot of good points on Booker and then yeah this side it's mainly just Rui and Brooke Lopez for me I guess you can always throw in a little streus with some three-point upside on a Slate SizeSlate size is the number of games or matchups included in a DFS contest's schedule. In sports built around one event, it can instead describe the number of eligible competitors; it does not mean the number of contest entries.Before building, count the credible alternatives at each position. A slate with plenty of games can still leave you with very few appealing choices at one position.Read the full definition of Slate Size that'll be very low on but more so interest on the Phoenix side for me will be a relatively sneaky game on this slate though All right, we got two games left. Before we do, head on over to the last two games.
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Two twenty seven and a half total, the biggest on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. No Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News on Miami. Definitely not the same for Utah, though. No Lori Marketing, no Keontae George. And yeah, that is why I mentioned Utah being the chalkiest team on the slate. If having to choose, you see Collier, Darren Peterson getting a good amount of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. I also think. Yeah, I guess that's mainly the ones. I do think Ace Bailey gets a little bit.
I think Sensabaugh gets a lot more ownership than we're showing right here, but who am I to be talking about the Utah Jazz when it's Rio's team? Again, the Heat, pretty concentrated, I guess, for DFS, but we are showing five with double-digit ownership. Not sure you agree on that, but take it away. Yeah, for sure, the game of the night for DFS purposes with all the value and upside on each side of these teams.
I guess the macro stuff doesn't really matter as much with the defensive units kind of changing up a little bit. But I will say that Milwaukee has been really bad on defense to start the year when that was supposed to be their strong suit. You said Utah? You said Milwaukee. Sorry. Or Miami. Did I say Utah or Miami? You said either. You said Milwaukee. Okay, sorry. I meant Miami. Yeah, yeah. Okay. I mean, damn, Milwaukee just must be that bad. They're still on my mind.
Yeah, they are. No doubt about that. But yeah, that was supposed to be their strength. I mean, this season hasn't really been the case doing the typical Spolstra defensive stuff where they're giving up no points at the rim and a lot of three pointers. Jazz, that was one of their weak points last year.
They're going to have a ton of three pointers, but this year it's changed a lot, mainly a lot due to personnel, but their pick and roll defense has been really bad. Shouldn't have to worry about that here because Miami is still not running any pick and rolls. So I think that they'll be fine there. But I still think that Miami's going to put up a ton of points here. And it all starts with Giannis.
Utah has nobody capable of slowing him down. The rim defense has been bad. They've been one of the, I think they're actually the worst team against these Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate type of players like Giannis. The spread is competitive enough where I'm hoping that we get full minutes. And if we do, I think this is probably the spot where he has his highest scoring game on the season. He had seventy-five a couple games ago.
I think that he could surpass that here if he gets thirty-four, thirty-five minutes. So I love Giannis' Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up, definitely core play for me. I would say that Bam is firmly in play here as well. Matchup is great, but the usage still has not looked good playing alongside Giannis. There have been times this season where he's flashed upside at the salary, but I think I'm a lot more interested in Giannis here. He's going to be the priority spend-up for me on the slate.
Our guy jordan newham's mentioned davion mitchell I do like him a good bit here price tags on way up there but for sure warranted he's playing a ton of minutes been playing really well um and yeah the jazz have a lot of young guys out there so they could be a little bit more turnover prone the jazz are allowing the third most points per game to opposing point guards and more more than three seals per game to the point guard position So even at elevated price tag, I do have a lot of interest in Davey on here still.
Then it kind of falls off for me to see Pelly Larson and Clay getting ownership. I'm definitely out on Clay here. If this was the same match like a year or two ago, I would be playing him. But the Jazz are really making it a point of emphasis to run guys off the three-point line. That's really what you need from Klay to get hot from three. You need a lot of open looks and a lot of catch-shoot opportunities, which he just shouldn't have here.
So I'm not going to be banking on him going for seven threes again. And if he does, then I'll play tomorrow and just hope that I can get my money back. But I'm not going to be playing a lot of Klay tonight. I won't be playing a lot of Pelly Larson, although that one I'm a little bit more comfortable with just because he doesn't need scoring to provide fantasy ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value.
But yeah, I think a lot of my ownership or exposure in this game on the Miami side will come from Giannis and Davion and then a tier down to Bam. And then the Jazz side, like you mentioned off top, no Laurie, no Keontae, no Jaron Jackson. A lot of opportunity for these young guys to play a lot of minutes and have much bigger roles.
I think Derrick Peterson becomes one of my favorite players on the entire slate, coming off of a career-high, twenty-six points against Minnesota. And that's an elite defense with elite on-ball defenders. And then just with Utah missing so much offensive production, going to have the ball in his hands a ton here. Miami is dead last in Defense vs Position (DvP)In NBA DFS, DvP groups production allowed by positions such as point guard or center. Players can fill multiple roles, so a source's position labels may not match their actual offensive role or defensive matchup.Before comparing ranks, check which end means the easiest matchup and whether the table reports totals, points per game or production per opportunity.Read the full definition of Defense vs Position versus point guards.
Maybe more of a shooting guard but still a matchup should still be really good for him I think this is a really really solid opportunity for darren peterson to have a to build off of one of his best games as a pro ace has been shooting the ball terribly this season but all the numbers suggest that he should be a lot better with lori and keontae off the court and with collier on the court I was looking at some of the numbers for all the jazz with collier on the court and he's more of your prototypical point guard Whereas having guys like Darren Peterson and Keontae, they're kind of similar in the sense that more so looking to score, Collier is looking to set up guys.
So basically, everybody on the team has a better true shooting and better three-point percentage with Collier. I would expect Ace to have a much better game than we've seen from him as of late, and I'm hoping that the ownership remains intact. I don't think it'll be single digits. I would imagine low teens, but he's definitely a guy I'm very, very interested in and gets you off some of the other powerful plays that we're getting ownership like OG.
I just think that there's a little bit better overall upside for here for Ace with Miami really struggling on defense and really giving up a ton of threes. So him and Darren Peterson, one A, one B for me. And then Collier starting is going to become, I mean, near, I don't know if I want to say a lock, but I mean, we've seen from him in the past been extremely viable as a fantasy option.
Last year he was averaging, I just pulled these numbers up a second ago, basically thirty five Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points per game as a starter. And that's only on less than thirty one minutes per game. I mean, he's a good partner and producer. He's not going to score a ton of points, but the assist will be there for sure. He's going to run the offense and can score if he needs to. So I'm very in on those three guys.
I guess I got to rethink my Bryce Sensible thing. I wasn't really in on him, but I see him projecting decently. I don't know. We'll see how that one looks out. I don't think that these ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections are up to date yet, but he's probably going to project pretty good at three point $5,000. I'll give you a second to talk real quick, but I do think him and Svi are viable.
I'd imagine Senspa has a much better role, but I'm going to look at the, I just want to look at the rotation last game. If you can give me a second. Yeah. Yeah. The Ace Bailey stuff.
I mean, this, this new jazz team this year, I feel like Ace has taken the biggest hit in terms of usage, but now without Keontae and Lori, like, and then Collier in the, uh starting lineup I think yeah you can see more of what we saw from aids last year and a twenty five percent usage which will look very good at $6,700 on the Miami side what I was going to mention is these minutes are clearly under projected they're running their starters like davion thirty four I mean he's playing like thirty seven thirty eight minutes almost every game so I'd bump him up about four minutes the honest thirty two minutes if it's a competitive game you're getting thirty six from him
Same thing with bam so I do think the minutes On Miami, they're under-projected, so I'd boost up their projections a little bit, mostly the starters. Collier is going to be the most ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk on the slate. When you start with him, then you go Burries. That's how a lot of people are going to go, but that does open up the room to spend for Giannis, Cat, whatever it may be if you want that.
I got two questions for you after, but bring up what you were going to say on the Utah side. Yeah, it's tough to see exactly what they would have done. But just looking at when Keontae got injured in the fourth quarter, Sensabaugh played the entire fourth. And what was it? Collier played like the last two minutes and blew out.
So I would probably say, I don't know if I want to be super strict on this, but it seems like a max two of Peterson, Collier, Sensabaugh would make the most sense. That's probably what I'll be doing. I just don't know if I see all three of them getting there. But yeah, what were the questions you had? You're on mute. My bad. Just doing the max two of those three will get you different to an extent.
Those three will be played together a good bit because, I mean, the prices are good on all of them, good value. The first was just Bam Giannis, max one. I forget who asked. Coach Saab in here? Yeah, probably. And then who gets the – is Davion going to be on Darren Peterson? I take it he gets that assignment. Yeah. I'd expect that, yeah. I don't think they'll put him on call here. Yeah. Doesn't really change much for you, individual basketball matchups? No, not really.
I just think that the role could look really, really good for Peterson tonight. I mean, he just went up against Jada McDaniels, so. Yeah. If three, would you want to Bring-BackA bring-back, also called a run-back, is a player from the opposing team added to a stack, so your lineup benefits if the other side answers with scoring of its own.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back from Miami? If you're playing three, Jazz, are you forcing a Miami run back? My guess is probably not just because Giannis gets you a fifty nine and it's just not enough relative to others. But it's not like the secondary pieces are great.
Yeah, I'm trying to think because if you had call here sensible and ace, like that's not taking up a ton of salary and all three of those guys could get there. It doesn't necessarily need to doesn't mean that the game environment itself is popping off in the way you need a heat environment. I think that naturally I probably will have a lot of those pairings, though, just because I expect to be overweight Giannis. Yeah.
But, yeah, I mean, maybe if you're hand building something Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry, you can do something like that manually. But I don't know. You know, if you're playing 150-MaxA 150-max DFS contest allows you to submit up to 150 entries into that contest, paying the entry fee for each. Max entering means using every allowed entry, whether the contest limit is 150 or a smaller number.Multiply the entry fee by your planned entry count before building. If you cannot justify additional lineups on their own merits, leave the remaining entries unused.Read the full definition of 150-Max, you want to set that strict of a rule. Yeah. Any Mo Bamba, Jackson Hayes? No, I think that there's enough center value, maybe Mo a little bit just because we know the type of permanent upside he can do. But even then, I don't think so. Well, actually, no, I take that back.
Hayes is going to be down low on Giannis. Giannis could get him into foul trouble really quickly, so maybe it's like a twenty-minute game for Mo. He's getting some ownership. Yeah, he's been getting ownership the last couple times we talked about the Jazz, I feel like. Yeah, he's only $3,600. Allows you Stars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs. I mean, good point-per-minute guy. Eighteen minutes, twenty one to half DK points, fourteen, twenty three, seventeen, fourteen. So by no means a sexy click.
But if you are trying to jam Giannis cat or go multiple spends, I don't think he's the worst play at $3,600. Anything else in that game before we move on to the last game? No, I don't think so. All right. Last game of the night for DraftKings and FanDuel. We got Orlando Magic five and a half point favorites over the Sacramento Kings. Two twenty two and a half total in this one on the Orlando side. Tristan Da Silva is questionable.
No other Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News to talk about. And then nothing on the Sacramento side either. I guess I'll just start it off. I do. You have a lean on Tristan Da Silva. It's mainly like that. Sorting my OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, the top five in this game, Tristan De Silva is one of them, is all on the magic side. It's tough to play these kings, man. A-cuff, we'll get to him, A-de-six-hundred. But we said it from the get-go. This is his team. All he's doing is chucking.
Magic getting a good amount of ownership. They fit mid-tier builds pretty heavily. And Tristan Da Silva, these guys can only get better if he's out. I don't know how much of a boost you view. Like the Bain, the Franz, the Blacks, if he's out or if it's a value or a bench guy, that would get an increase. But what are you doing? It's the last game of the night, assuming we don't have injury news. Are you taking him out of your pool?
What are you doing with that? And then, yeah, break down this one. I don't know if there's enough – With Tristan De Silva being out where you need to run and play somebody on the Magic side, I feel like Franz, Juan Acar, Junior Bain, and Black are all pretty much capped out where they should be. So I don't think it's really changing too much. The guy that does benefit a ton there is Jamal Cain.
So if you wanted to save a spot for him and just hope, you know, that a cheap small four power forward guy can get you there and nobody's on him, then I would understand that. But I'm not really adjusting too much on like the higher end guys on the magic side. If De Silva is in or out, I think that they're pretty good where they are. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, these teams are funny.
Orlando is a team that always has high hopes coming into the year, and then they get injured. Then they're kind of middle of the pack to below average. I mean, these teams have been really bad on both ends of the court. Sacramento's bottom three defensively, bottom five offensively. Orlando is not much better. They're bottom seven on defense and bottom six on offense. So this is literally stoppable force meets a movable object. I mean, these guys are just not good teams.
I was going to say left cheek versus right cheek, but I wanted to be a little bit more proper for this show. No, you said one with the left cheek, right cheek. Both were good. Yeah, so Sacramento giving up a ton. Actually, they are the worst pick and roll defense in the NBA right now. That's Franz Wagner's music, a little bit of Desmond Bain, Anthony Black. But this is Franz's team. He's the point guard of this roster right now, doing a lot of everything.
He has five Double-DoubleA double-double is when a basketball player records at least 10 in two of five statistical categories in one game: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. Points with rebounds or assists are the most common combinations, so centers and power forwards reach them most often through rebounds, and point guards through assists.Check whether your fantasy-point projection already includes milestone bonuses before adding anything yourself. An average of 10 rebounds does not mean a player reaches 10 every game.Read the full definition of Double-Double over his last seven games and averaging nearly four to six Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points during that stretch. He's been doing it with assists and rebounds. So if we run into the game where it's both of those stats that he's contributing in, and we get the Triple-Double BonusThe triple-double bonus is extra fantasy scoring for recording at least 10 in three categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. In DraftKings NBA Classic, it adds 3 points on top of the player's statistical scoring and double-double bonus.Check how often a player reaches all three thresholds in the same game under a similar role. Separate averages for points, rebounds and assists can overstate the likelihood.Read the full definition of Triple-Double Bonus, he could be one of the higher scorers on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, if not the highest, depending on what Giannis does. But he's definitely in play in every single format that you're playing.
I think $9,000 is a totally fine price for him in this matchup. I would be prioritizing Anthony Black over Desmond Bain, though. He saw an aggressive price jump, but the minutes have followed as well. He's been playing a ton, returning from the injury. And for Desmond Bain, I mean, he's always kind of the guy that we would expect to do much better, but he just never pays off like seven points who gave her his price at at this price.
You need basically forty three plus fantasy points. He hasn't topped that number once this season. Meanwhile, Anthony Black coming off of an eighteen point eight rebounds, six assists, seven stocks game. I don't think you can project seven stocks again, but Sacramento is a team that is bottom seven in turnover percentage. So this is a very favorable spot for him on Team Black over Bain all day. Wendell Carter Jr., big price for him as well, but this is a really, really strong spot for him.
He's playing a ton of minutes. I think this is like the best or one of the best matchups for pick and roll big men that are rolling to the basket, which he will. And yeah, like I said, just playing a ton of minutes. I like the spot for Wendell Carter Jr. As a turn of play. I mean, all these magic guys look really good. And I already mentioned the Jamal Cain stuff.
If you want to actually don't think you can start with the silver out there's nothing to pivot so you're kind of forced to play him I guess you could pivot onto monk for a hundred dollars cheaper because he will have a role but yeah maybe I'll do that a little bit I do think that kane is is solid off the bench here assuming the sofa is out just because magic are running such a tight rotation I don't think they're going to be spreading out those minutes much I think that kane will get a bulk of those Let me just real quick flip to our Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate page.
Again, this is a new piece of product we have over here at Chippendation. Very important. If you go to sports, NBA, you go all the way to usage bump. So just filtering in what game it is. So this is Orlando and Sacramento. And you can see that little orange dot in the top right if I click him. So this is now showing what happens if Tristan Da Silva is out.
And you can see what the current ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections is when he's in and what the new rough projection would be. When he is out and you can see a big bump for Jamal Cain, which you mentioned the biggest bump relative to like how it would shake out in terms of he's one percent owned and you would want him most. Franz is already going to be pretty heavily owned. Desmond Bain also gets a decent bump, but you can see what Rio's saying. Cain would become a good value.
And with it being the last game of the night, not much to pivot. That's a decision you have to make. Cool. Yeah, I didn't actually even look at the tool, but it's good to see that the research matches what we have over there. Yeah, on the Sacramento side, was hoping and kind of expecting Sabonis to sit, but he got ruled in as the Keegan Murray, so that kind of takes a lot of what I was going to say about the side of the game off the table.
Still think that Acuff is in play, thirty-five and a half percent usage on the floor. So with Sabonis on the floor, it was about forty percent with him off, so I was actually pretty excited about playing him. Now, maybe not as much. I think you have to compete with guys like Brunson and with the Clippers and Suns guards, Maxi, etc. I'll still get to some of them just because he's been chucking it, obviously. But he's also starting to – the assist numbers are climbing up a good bit here.
So still taking twenty-plus shots a game while flirting with double-digit assists. Like the upside is for sure still there. And I think this is a good matchup because Magic are not a good defense, especially with Jalen Suggs off the court. So Acuff, definitely the best play on the Kings side. I think that Malik Monk should probably be in Player PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool. I mean, he's playing better than Zach Levine right now and closed over him last game.
So in a closed game, if he's playing better than him, he's going to close. Twenty-one minutes, thirty-four percent usage rate last game. That actually is not right, but he played twenty-one minutes in that last game. Yeah, so I'm in on Monk, but outside of that, not going to get to too much Kings here. I was excited about this game, assuming Sabonis was out, but we got the news that he's in, so it kind of takes away the interest for me.
Yeah, and again, it's mainly, like you can see, the ownership, no one above ten percent right now for the Kings, but you will have roster spots. You're not really going to have pivots. Like when you play whatever you start with or for this last game, you're probably going to have at least one of Franz, Black, Bain. A lot of teams will have this, but what you do with Tristan Da Silva, I still don't know what I'm going to do yet. Again, $4,300.
Small forward, power forward. And then you do get Malik Monk, who's $4,200. He has forward eligibility as well. So that is definitely the pivot. I would make sure, especially hand building and all that, to not have Monk and not that you would have Jamal Kane and Monk in the same team anyway. But you do need that as the pivot because you'd much rather play. Actually, I'm going to say you'd much rather play Monk than Kane if Silva's in.
But eighteen point two three projection versus sixteen point three. I still would rather Monk, but I guess it's not as big of a gap as I thought. I do think Franz is probably going to be what? I think it's probably going to be Cat, then Franz as the most popular Spence. Do you think that's going to be the case? Yeah, that sounds about right to me. But you think you'll have more Giannis than both of them, or at least relative to the field?
Yeah, definitely. I'll have more than both. Is Kane more of an M.E. Player if you're playing three to five? Again, I think if you're playing five lineups, one of them you can have Kane in and then just go to Monk. And it's a lot easier when you're playing three to five hand building versus OptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer and setting all that up. So I think you're almost it's easier to do so. And then you can you can pivot to Monk.
Yeah, just make sure you do not have Kane at power forward because you'll be screwed if you do. Good call. There's one last person. Sorry, go ahead. I was just going to say, it's the last game on an island. You should have him at forward over power forward. Otherwise, you would have Kane at power forward, Franz at forward probably, and then you could just flip that. But, yeah, for sure.
Yeah, I was going to shout out Keegan Murray a little bit just because he's returning from injury. He played last game. I think if he's closer to full, he's kind of interesting because he – He's got a pretty decent role with this team, especially now with Acuff. He's not deferring, but he's looking to pass a little bit more and get his teammates open. Keegan Murray is hypothetically a decent three-point shooter, so he can get there.
But twenty-three minutes in his first game back, he said that he was a little tired and a little bit rusty. I think that the minutes will steadily increase. So just keep an eye on that one. I think that he's at least worth a sprinkle. All right. That sounds good to me. Definitely will not be getting much ownership, if any at all. I don't get too much more to add in this one. I think it's going to be Jazz and Magic as the two most popular teams.
And then from there, you're going to see Burries get a good amount. Towns get a good amount. OG get a little bit. Boston, Philly is going to go LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. Clippers, Phoenix, for the most part, going to be relatively low-owned. But yeah, you made a case for...
Some in this first game, but it seems like Clippers-Phoenix is the one game that if you had to pick one game versus what the field's going to do in terms of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership versus what you're going to do, that seems like the game that stands out the most. I think a solid SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate.
I mean, five games isn't my favorite, but at least you get a spread out time for Late SwapLate swap lets you change unlocked players in an entered DFS lineup after the contest starts. Both the players you remove and their replacements must remain eligible for editing under the contest's lock rules.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap and ability, like an hour in between, two times the ability to do something in between late swappings. Always more fun than thirty minutes, but Nothing else is going on unless you're an NHL fan. It's NBA and prizes do reflect that. Six dollar. I just checked on Fando. Six dollar. I think $34,000 people are in the contest. $40,000 to first. So, yeah, both sites.
You can get good contests. And if that's what you're doing tonight, which if you're watching this show, I assume you're playing some NBA DFS. So good luck to everybody out there. Any final thoughts, Rio, before we get on out? No, we've got to have a beaver of a slate tomorrow. So. It's nice to get out of here in under an hour. Tomorrow will probably be right on the hour mark.
Yeah, I wish they'd take some games on Wednesday and drop them to Tuesday and make them both nine-game slates or something. But NBA's been doing this for a while. All right, that's going to do it. Again, we'd love for you to get on over to The Nation, shipanation.com, see plans and pricing. Definitely do get in the Discord if you do join. A lot of familiar faces in the YouTube chat, in the Discord as well. Hit the like, hit that subscribe.
Helps us out a ton. And we will be back tomorrow, Rio and I, talking to big NBA slates. Good luck. Be safe. That's going to do it for real. I'm Title Town. Peace.
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