NBA · Value
What Is Value in DFS?
Last updated October 22, 2026 by Ship It Nation
Value is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive.
Why It Matters
Basketball value often changes quickly when an absence shifts minutes and offensive responsibility. Extra minutes matter, but so does what a player produces during them. A replacement starter who rarely handles the ball may benefit less than a reserve who takes over the missing player's scoring and playmaking work.
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Example
Say a $3,800 backup guard moves from an expected 20 minutes to 34 after the starter is ruled out. If you now project 30 fantasy points, that is about 7.9 points per $1,000. Before treating him as strong value, check whether he also inherits ballhandling duties or simply spends more time alongside the usual scorers.
Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.
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Common Questions
How do you find value plays in DFS?
Compare realistic production estimates with salaries, then investigate the biggest gaps. Injuries, lineup changes, favorable matchups and pricing errors can all create value. Points per $1,000 help you screen players, but you still need to check role security, upside and the alternatives available at that position.
Should you play popular value in tournaments?
Yes, when its production and salary savings justify the roster spot. Popularity alone does not make a value play bad. Consider how reliable the opportunity is, what the savings let you afford and whether a different construction offers enough upside to justify passing on it.
Can an expensive player be a value play?
Yes. A high-priced player can still be underpriced for his expected production and upside. Value is relative to salary, not a synonym for cheap. You should still compare the complete lineups you can build with and without him, because paying for that value limits spending elsewhere.
What is a good value target in DFS?
A common rule of thumb on DraftKings is points per $1,000 of salary: about 3x in NFL cash games and 4x in tournaments, 5x and 6x in NBA, and 2x and 3x in MLB. Treat these as expected value targets, meaning what a player averages across all his likely outcomes, not his best night.