← College Football DFS Shows

Shows / CFB/ Saturday, August 29, 2026

CFB DFS – WEEK 0 | August 29, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Aired Sat Aug 29, 2026 Hosts Bill Runtime 1:03:11 Chapters 13 Views 2,206

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Saturday, August 29 CFB slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

Latest CFB show →

The Short Version

Bill, Kenny and Ian approach the seven-game Week 0 slate by prioritizing volume, quarterback usage in superflex and late injury news. Ja’Kaii Middlebrook ($6,000) and Micah Ford ($6,000) stand out as affordable backs with potential workhorse workloads. USC’s huge implied total demands attention, but uncertain receiver rotations favor pairing the popular freshmen with Jayden Maiava. Blowout risk does not eliminate the offense, though it complicates projecting individual ceilings and playing time.

Deuce Robinson is the leading receiver play, with Makai Danzy another strong Florida State option and Sam Singleton a tournament alternative if Tre Wisner is limited. Eastern Michigan-Sacramento State draws strong game-stack interest, while Memphis-UNLV offers a late scoring environment with unresolved roles. Terrell Timmons supplies cheap exposure there. Hawaii’s passing game depends on Pofele Ashlock’s availability; preserve salary flexibility and monitor the late games before committing to uncertain starters.

FadesTre Wisner, Davis Warren, Jacksonville State running backs, UNLV pass catchers

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
VALUE At $3,800, he is a limited 150-max bring-back option whose potential reception volume provides cheap access to San Jose State. 14:27
Uncertain health and the split with King Miller complicate assigning USC's rushing production. 15:18
Jayden Maiava with USC receivers IN PLAY Pair the popular freshman receivers with Maiava and spread combinations around rather than relying on them as isolated chalk pieces. 16:55
CJ Bailey with NC State receivers IN PLAY Spread exposure across Bailey's inexpensive receivers in tournament stacks, with Will Wilson's rushing touchdowns limiting cash-game confidence. 19:59
VALUE An expected popular salary-saving receiver who is preferably used within Bailey stacks rather than treated as a secure cash option. 19:59
A workhorse role is possible, but Davion Gause's presence and Wilson's touchdown usage leave workload and ceiling concerns. 20:42
Beau Pribula with Ja’Quan Gibson and Trell Harris replacement options Virginia receiver combinations are discussed, but the transcript specifically names Gibson and a receiver transcribed as Coleman whose identity remains unresolved. 22:31
CORE At $6,000, a potential 20-plus-touch role makes him a leading cash-game running back if his control of the starting job translates into workhorse usage. 23:20
VALUE The returning tight end is worth considering at $3,600 within Virginia's inexpensive receiving group. 23:42
Jacksonville State running backs FADE An unreliable depth chart, uncertain carry distribution and respect for North Dakota State's defense make the backfield a pass. 26:31
ONE-OFF A volatile standalone receiver who can deliver a big touchdown game without requiring a pairing with Creel. 28:39
ONE-OFF His rushing production is the main attraction, and he does not need to be paired with a Jacksonville State receiver. 29:14
Nathan Hayes with Jackson Williams or Mekhi Collins IN PLAY Hayes stacks with Williams or Collins are planned, although North Dakota State's potentially slow pace creates a volume concern. 31:57
CORE North Dakota State's lead back stands out for cash and single-entry builds because his workload is more dependable than the surrounding offensive roles. 33:08
VALUE His returning receiving production makes him an attractive option below $5,000 in Eastern Michigan's offense. 39:32
ONE-OFF A strong standalone quarterback option whose rushing touchdown role also complements several possible receiver pairings. 40:52
Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State TOP STACK Build overweight tournament game stacks around affordable players and a competitive scoring environment, using pieces from both offenses. 41:28
Florida State with TK King IN PLAY King is considered specifically as a tournament bring-back with Florida State exposure rather than a cash-game play. 43:22
The confirmed starter is $500 cheaper than Maiava and offers rushing upside, but his playing time in a potential blowout remains uncertain. 44:17
Expected to start for Florida State, with his opportunity dependent in part on Wisner's health and availability. 45:07
CORE The preferred receiver on the slate has enough explosiveness to produce even if Florida State's starters play only a half. 47:18
ONE-OFF Planned overweight tournament exposure targets his explosiveness while Robinson exposure stays closer to the field. 47:18
LEVERAGE At $5,100, he offers low-owned tournament appeal if Wisner is limited or out, although confirmed absence could increase ownership. 47:48
FADE The plan is to avoid him this week because his health and potential workload remain uncertain. 47:48
Lineups are being built as though he will miss the game despite conflicting reports suggesting possible limited availability. 50:26
Micah Alejado with Hawaii receivers IN PLAY Alejado's expected passing volume supports receiver stacks, with cheaper options gaining appeal if Ashlock is out. 51:22
Opinions differ, with receiving involvement and Ashlock's possible absence creating interest but the Hawaii backfield otherwise drawing limited enthusiasm. 51:47
FADE Passed over on DraftKings with limited confidence in his passing upside and Stanford's unsettled receiver rotation. 54:03
CORE At $6,000, projected rushing, receiving and goal-line volume makes him a strong foundational play as a short home favorite. 54:57
Memphis vs UNLV TOP STACK The late game is a priority stacking environment, with receiver flexibility important because several roles remain unsettled. 57:14
VALUE At $3,000, he is a planned overweight tournament play in the appealing Memphis-UNLV game. 57:46
ONE-OFF A tournament piece worth taking shots on in the late Memphis game despite remaining uncertainty about offensive roles. 57:46
Jackson Arnold with Memphis bring-backs IN PLAY Use some Arnold lineups with Memphis opponents while retaining enough salary to pivot if the quarterback situation changes. 58:12
UNLV pass catchers FADE The receivers are avoided while Arnold exposure is instead correlated with Memphis bring-backs. 58:12
Keep the more expensive Arnold in initial late-game builds so a subsequent switch to Orji remains affordable. 58:31
ONE-OFF A strong conditional option for FanDuel or DraftKings Showdown if Jordan Dwyer is unable to play. 59:57
A reported walking boot requires monitoring, but a healthy appearance could bring substantial target volume in TCU's offense. 59:57

DFS Terms Used on This Show

GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 6:52 ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 7:25 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 7:46 LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 7:46 Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 8:07 Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 8:07 CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 16:55 Bring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 40:42

Full Transcript

11,674 words 56 min read 13 sections
Spot a mistake? Highlight it to suggest a fix.
0:04

All systems go. Clear for liftoff. What is going on, everybody? The smell of college football is in the air. We are here for week zero, first show of the year for Ship It Nation. I'm Dollar Bill. Next to me, you see Ham Hock on our college football team at Ship It Nation. Ham, what's going on? Oh, not much. Just ready to swing the bat at another college football season. It's nice that we get a good selection of games for week zero.

1:00

They get bigger and bigger. Week zero gets bigger and bigger every year. Yeah, that's one thing we talked about throughout the week is just that, you know, typically we see four to five game slates this week. We have seven even without the Ireland game. And it's awesome. We already got the chat going. We have Hart, Supple. Yeah, Sac State EMU, we'll be talking about that in a bit.

1:20

Week zero, Eve is finally here, Oracle in the house, ready to kick off this football season, Beatle. And then we have Smarty in the room, also on our college football team. And you know what? He's right. Smash the like Button on the way in. We really appreciate that. Obviously, these free shows on YouTube, it gives us an opportunity to continue to grow and continue to provide this. But we'll jump into it. All right.

1:44

This is, this is something that this is in production. See if I can figure this out. There we go. Look at that. I did it. That was pretty quick too. A little bit painless. Uh, but just want to talk about, we have, uh, with football season starting, we have, uh, uh, some deals at Ship It Nation.com. Um, NFL only package for three forty nine for the entire season. Uh, it's, it gives you everything. We have the stone. There's a Stone 2.0 point.

2:08

No, I'll touch on briefly later in the show as well.

2:13

If you just click join the nation it's super simple you can get all access if you're only a football player you can do NFL and you can get college football but if you're playing sports beyond that this all access really makes sense best value in the industry best community in the industry in my opinion I might be a little bit biased but I I've thought that for a long time you know even before when I was just a community member so head to shipitnation.com and if you saw at the top We're bringing back the Ship It Games this year.

2:43

That was a lot of fun. It was quite a wild ride last year. These prizes get bigger and bigger throughout the season. A lot of opportunity with those Ship It Games, and it's a lot of fun for the community. But we're going to start diving into college football. To kick things off, an ode to the big guy, James Degenerate, seventy five. He had his college football commandments that he built. And speaking of he would be so jacked today. This is this is huge.

3:11

Not only his Sooners are looking to be pretty good again this year, but former Stoner Jackson Arnold's on the week zero slate. I'm sure he would have had a few words about that guy. Absolutely. Yeah, we'll go through the CFB commandments. This is mostly for people who are new to college football. Maybe you played NFL in the past, but you're just jonesing for some football. So you're going to dig into these first couple of weeks before NFL starts.

3:36

But the first thing, the biggest difference between NFL and college on the face is the super flex position. I know DraftKings has dabbled with super flex in the past, but it's not on their main slates. Typically, especially in cash, you're looking at quarterback in the super flex because they have opportunity to put up the most points, especially if you get a dual threat. But Kenny, there are times in those bigger contests that maybe a wide receiver or running back makes sense in the super flex.

4:03

Or if the slate is super small, do you want to dig into that?

4:07

Um you know and it's I guess once in a while that like you'll get projections where you have like a really good set of running backs and really poor quarterbacks in some weeks it does make sense um very rarely am I doing it but yeah once in a while sneak some four rb in there um you know sometimes like those midweek slates can get so gross like even in like November and October we'll see these uh group group team group five teams uh rotating quarterbacks and that just makes them less viable in a super flex and they'll get a spot where you get these workhorse Mac running backs and can sneak them in a super flex.

4:44

But generally, ninety-nine percent of the time quarterback goes in super flex. Yeah. And Oracle says matching comes to mind. Those are the gross midweek slates. We're going to get some Conference USA during the midweek with two to three game slates. And I think the Sunbelt might even be getting involved in those slates as well. Alright, so Ian from our college football team is entered. Let me see. This is going to be my second test on the production side. Can I do this correctly?

5:14

Alright, looks good. Look at that. There he is. How's it going in? Oh good, so we're doing so happy for college football. Be back here. Yeah. Yeah. We were just talking about how the big guy would have been ecstatic today. That's why we're bringing up his commandments, talking about the structure of college football. We just got through the super flex position. Number two news is the name of the game.

5:41

College football has, I mean, it's, I don't know that it's quite to the NBA status in terms of last minute news, but there's a ton of news that happens. Injury reports coming out within an hour of the slate stuff happening. There's going to be game time decisions that we won't know until five minutes before our you know, those gross midweek slates, sometimes five minutes after kickoff.

6:02

So being a part of Ship It Nation or any community is clutch when it comes to following news, because we have sweaty try-hards, grease balls, digging into the deepest parts of Twitter to find some of these options. Yeah, it's been a little bit easier now than when we first started doing this so many years ago because we get the availability reports that charts a little bit better, but that really doesn't mean anything.

6:29

We've seen plenty of times even the news that breaks is not really the news that we need. Yeah, so I would just say get yourself in a community. It's a lot easier to have a hundred people looking for this news and ship it's great at that too. It's not just us on the college football team. It's the entire community helping out, sending things that they see.

6:52

We have boots on the ground quite a bit throughout the season, too, because there's just a ton of different fans from different teams. Cash versus GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗. I mean, it's not terribly dissimilar. To other sports where you're looking for a safer floor versus the high upside. But this is kind of perfect, because Ian, you play cash, Hamwich, you play GPP a little bit more often. Kind of dig into what your strategy is going into these.

7:25

Yeah, from a cash perspective, It's just kind of more, you want to like kind of isolate what you're playing with. You know, we got the ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ here, guys. Sometimes they're chalk for a reason. You're just picking from a larger pool of players. You know, following the commandments of Q being super flex is probably the most standard thing. We want to look at volume touches.

7:46

You know, you're just going to have a lot more OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ and you get LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ in a few spots here or there, but you got to be okay to like eat. Sometimes you're going to have like a fifty percent owned guy and that just happens just because of the nature of college football. The talent is so far spread out. And then just looking at contest selection, just making sure that you know, there's a lot of great cash contests out there.

8:07

And you're just thinking about, you know, one or two single lineups as opposed to a whole slate individually, like just the idea of playing quarterbacks naked or dual threat quarterbacks or, you know, Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ doesn't come as much into play as much as who are the guys who are going to touch the ball the most from a cash or Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ perspective. Right. Right. Yeah.

8:29

And I guess, um, yeah like GPP like I would say generally compared to NFL I think the biggest thing is like the chalk is better in college football usually it's like an injury and there's like a ton of volume for a guy that's underpriced um like a guy that's thirty five percent should probably be like sixty percent owned in college football where in NFL if you get a thirty five percent running back usually that's like pretty gross regardless of the situation I feel like I mean that's the biggest thing for me um Other than that, I guess it's just kind of like GBP and any other sports, trying to find the right combination of chalk and low in place.

9:07

Yeah, and the one thing Ian touched on for cash that I'll piggyback is that you're not looking at stacks necessarily. You're just looking for the highest possible floor score you can get. You're looking for the highest projected. It doesn't matter how spread out your lineups are in terms of what teams guys play for. But that kind of leads into what makes those decisions. Volume and game flow is king. In college football, we have, while they're fewer and farther between now, we have workhorse running backs.

9:35

We have target hogs. Danny Scudero for San Jose State comes to mind. I think he averaged like twelve, thirteen targets a game last year. That is something that you want to look at heavily. Where is the usage going? We see so often in college football targets and carries funnel to one or two guys. So Week zero, week one, week two even, we're going to start to get a feel for that. So it's a little bit different in the beginning of the season.

10:06

Some stuff we know a little bit better than others. But Kenny, do you have anything to add on volume and game flow? Nice. I mean, I think you kind of nailed it. Yeah, just like, you know, volume in a bad matchup, you can kind of make work. And, you know, a guy that's like deeper on the depth chart, you can kind of make it a game flow. Type thing, but yeah, you pretty much covered it. Yeah, Nick Nash a few years ago as well.

10:30

Was it Xavier Hutchinson at Iowa State was a guy that comes to mind. There's been plenty of guys. Taj Brooks at running back was stellar at Texas Tech.

10:42

Speaking of running backs and wide receivers, do you approach which one you put in the flex in cash typically I like to look at running backs first if we have three workhorses because they don't have to catch the ball to take a hand off like their touches are especially especially if they're pass catchers too so um typically but like a guy like skedaro or nash in the past um could easily fit into that flex where do you where do you sit when you're making decisions between running back and wide receiver in the flex spot I think it's all slate and salary dependent.

11:16

You know, sometimes the pricing is soft and you got a backup running back, a couple of them. And it's just easy to kind of decide it's a three running back. We usually try to go to the three running back because of the volume. But sometimes, you know, you got a guy like Scudero or some of those volume hogs that you mentioned that are on the slate and just like too good to pass up.

11:36

And they're, they're very fairly priced and also depends where the quarterbacks are price. If you need to pay up at that position or not. If you could pay down at that position and then allows you to pay offering back but That's such a week to week thing. It really drives a lot of our weekly son Saturday age conversations. Is it a three three running back week. Is it a receiver.

11:56

We play is it absolute quarterback in the super flex kind of with bpp especially so it is really slate dependent based on injuries volume salary at so many other levels um there's not really a like rule or to say basically you have yeah that's all I was going to say was I don't really I don't really stay in one lane with one of the others just week week to week being pretty much covered yep and Apparently there's a sixth one. Aaron came in ready to fight today.

12:31

Never play a Minnesota offense unless showdown. Nah. Now Drake Lindsey is going to be in the Heisman discussion. He's being mocked in the top five by some, I'm going to call them draft experts. The highest of high experts putting Drake Lindsey in the top five picks. All right. So that's, that's the commandments. Let's get into some football. Now I know there was some college football last night. So if any of you grease balls out there, watch the FCS games. It was pretty awesome.

12:55

They had, Four Davison II teams beat FCS teams last night, so that's like the clear indicator that college football is back. Ohio Dominican beating Morehead State in triple overtime, watching college football at eleven thirty on a Thursday night, like it just gets the juices flowing. For this slate that we have up on the screen now, starting with San Jose State and USC, Huge spread, big blowout potential. USC with an implied team total of fifty points.

13:23

I'm even seeing fifty and a half in some places, but I think part of that is because Lincoln Riley likes running up the score. Three of the previous four seasons, they're averaging more than sixty points in their first game of the season. The one game they did not hit that was when they played LSU the first game of the season. The rest of them have been against G six opponents and San Jose State is own thirteen against their last ranked opponent.

13:48

So everything sets up for the blowout that's on paper. These are the reasons why the spread is the way it is. Let's talk San Jose State first. I think we can get through this pretty quickly. Is there anything you're looking at? I mean, Luke Weaver in from Hawaii. Jabari Bates is probably a guy that we're going to want to know later in the season, but I don't know about this spot.

14:08

But do you take a shot on a guy like an Anthony Ivey at $3,800 just for the reception upside? What are you looking at here, Kenny? Yeah, I think you kind of nailed on the head. You know, I did notice since the last time I looked at the stone, the San Jose State totals moved up from ten and a half to eleven and a half. So big news charged up there.

14:27

Yeah, the only thing I'm really interested in is taking a flyer on these cheap pass catches. We've seen Nick Nash and Danny Scudero get some massive volume in this offense. Granted, this is different quarterback this year, so I don't know if that's necessarily translate perfectly. But you know, in a in a hundred and fifty build, I'll probably. Run some runbacks with like an Anthony Ivey who's transferring down from Penn State.

14:50

But other than that, it's probably the lowest team total and grossest spot on the slate. Yeah, and I don't have his stats from Penn State in front of me. It's nothing earth shattering, but at least you get a guy who's been on the field with some of the power five players, even at practice. So you know that he's got a little bit of experience there. On the USC side, it's an interesting approach for a different reason. How long are these guys going to play?

15:18

Obviously, if they only play a half, it's because they put up a ton of points in the first half, right? So the Production is still going to come with it. Jaden Maiava, the most expensive guy on the slate, but for good reason. You know, looking at Wayman Jordan and King Miller, what's that split going to look like? There's I mean, the thought that Wayman Jordan is not quite one hundred percent yet. So we're looking at that. And then the pass catchers.

15:41

Very interesting situation because we have. Three freshmen. We have Mark Bowman at tight end, Caden Dixon-Wyatt, Trent Mosley, but you can't forget about like Boobie Feaster. Tanook Hines is listed as an or starter. He may not be a hundred percent as well. He's a game time decision. Lincoln Riley said he's close, no question, but they don't, I mean, they can slow play this. They don't play anybody until the end of September. So they can really approach this however they want, let their freshmen get their feet wet.

16:11

How do you approach this when we don't, We don't know a lot other than these freshmen or studs guys might play, might not, regardless of what the depth chart says, especially with a fifty point team total. Yeah, I mean, I'm going to want something from this like group of receivers and group of freshmen.

16:29

It's just it's kind of interesting where the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ shakes out because like obviously you don't need like much for a, you know, $3,000 guy to make value, but Just when we'll get into the slate more and more, I think you're going to need some like ceiling performances. I kind of like just spreading out, spreading out and sticking these, forcing these guys with Jade Maiava and not really playing him as one offs.

16:55

Especially like a chalkier guy like a Bowman or Dixon Wyatt, just CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗ them with Maiava and then the one offs using the lower own guys as more one offs. Gosh, it's just a fifty point total. I don't know how long they're going to play. Last year, this game was sixty three to twenty one. I don't know all the players stats, but I mean, there is some upside, even that fifty implied team total. But I just yeah, I want pieces from all directions.

17:24

I don't know how many USA USC guys I'm comfortable in the lineup with. I mean, definitely three. I don't know if I would get to four. If it was like maybe a four or five game slate, I'd be more interested in four. But I am. Yeah, I don't quite know where I want to plant my flag with the Trojans yet besides Maiava. Yeah, and Aaron's right. That's a really good point. You could just do that and maybe avoid that completely.

17:49

There's a ton of options that are cheap and expensive at wide receiver. So that's a very good point. Yeah, and maybe that's the answer. And you could stack it seven different ways. And like Maiava might still be the only one that gets there. But yeah, there's a lot of points on the table.

18:07

And like I said riley likes to run up the score he's got freshmen that he probably wants to get in mid-season form as quickly as possible san jose state's a good opponent to do that against uh so yeah definitely on the radar a more competitive game coming up next north Carolina state at virginia an actual ACC conference game this season, unlike last year. Was it the same two teams that played each other even though it was not a conference game? Correct.

18:35

Just weird with the way they set it up now. North Carolina, a four-point dog on the road, but competitive, decent total. Looking at C.J. Bailey at $6,600, that was maybe the first thing I noticed when I opened the slate. It just seems so low. One thing to consider, though, is he's got almost an entirely new wide receiver and pass catcher core around him. So that maybe is the reason. But C.J. Bailey, solid. We know he can put up points.

19:06

Duke Scott is back with the Wolf Pack. He was pretty solid when he had to fill in for Smothers last season. And then wide receivers. This is where, like I said, it gets interesting because Kenan Jackson is back for North Carolina State, but now looking at the rest of these guys, they're all transfers in. JoJo Trader was going to be a stud or projected to be a stud at Miami. He went to high school with C.J. Bailey, so they might already have that chemistry.

19:36

And then Davison Dozier in from App State, Victor Snow in from Buffalo. They're cheap. Are we taking shots on these guys in a competitive game regardless of what their status with the team was last year and where they transferred in from? Yeah, I mean, kind of looking at NC State last year, their receiver room was kind of hard to pick the guys. We saw a lot of ceiling games from a lot of different guys.

19:59

So I mean, JoJo Trader is probably going to be one of the chalkier value options on the slate. I don't mind spreading them out if I'm pairing with CJ Bailey.

20:08

But one thing that sucks with cj Bailey is will Wilson he's a six foot six foot one two hundred and thirty pound vulture that loves to score rushing touchdowns he had ten of them last year which really can cap into Bailey and jayden scott's or duke scott's upside that's like just the main concern I have with nc state as far as like that's like that's why they're not like cash plays I feel like it's because like will Wilson's just lurking there um Yeah, I don't know how much I'm really going to have of this team, especially at the wide receiver position.

20:42

It's such a guessing game. But yeah, that kind of sums it up for the Wolfpack for me. Yeah, and... The other thing I'm not entirely sure is if they're going to give the workhorse role. I, you would, I would think so. Like I'm playing it that way, but Davian Gauss is not a slouch. He's in from North Carolina. So, uh, maybe, maybe you see, maybe, I don't know.

21:09

It's that's tougher to predict too, but it's what we get a feel for these first couple of weeks on the Virginia side, they have Bo Pribula in from Missouri, um, previously at, uh, Penn State, and then not shown here, but he is on the team, Eli Holstein from Pitt. Fribula is a starter. Maybe we see Holstein. Maybe we don't. I doubt they'd throw two quarterbacks out. I bet they just roll with one.

21:36

Central Michigan is the only team that likes playing two quarterbacks all the time, no matter what.

21:41

Uh jakel middlebrook in from middle Tennessee absolute stud in the mac and kind of surprised me being listed as a starter over peyton lewis and from Tennessee I thought it was going to be lewis's job to lose but middlebrook must have impressed and then we have jaquan gibson talir Coleman cam Courtney guys we're looking at gibson was a stud at umass by umass is like by their standards. One name you don't see on here is Rico Flores.

22:08

Since it's an ACC game, we already have an injury report, and Rico Flores is out, so opens up a lot of room for these cheap guys in a pretty solid game environment. Yeah, I guess as far as the depth chart goes, Rico Flores, I think he was listed as an or with Tyler Coleman. So I guess like with, I mean, if we're going to go off that information, I would assume he would start.

22:31

I mean, he's $3,000 flat and that's, that's one that's not going to get the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ like Dixon Wyatt or Jojo trader. You know, previously you really don't have to pair. He's definitely a guy you can play by himself. But if you wanted to stack like Gibson and Coleman, that's where I'm kind of leaning Gibson. I know I drafted him in a couple of best balls on some previous teams. I know he kind of had some, uh, Couple articles about him throughout camp.

22:58

And then, yeah, Middlebrook, he's just slowly been trending hardcore this last month. Didn't really know between him and Peyton Lewis who was going to get the run. And then last month, all you've seen is Middlebrook running away with the RB one role. I don't know if that's going to quite be Jamari Taylor, but if it's a Jamari Taylor type volume, Kai Middlebrook might be the best running back player on the slate at $6,000.

23:20

I don't know if he's going to quite have that volume week one, but it is a conference game. This game is going to matter late in the season. So these teams have got to bring it. And if Middlebrook's the guy, that's, I mean, twenty plus touches, maybe even twenty five plus if he has a Jamari Taylor type role. So that's that's your cash running back right there, probably. Yeah. And I think the ownership is going to come with it.

23:42

I would be remiss if I didn't mention that. I'd be remiss if I didn't mention Dakota Twitty tight end returning part of this offense last. And he's he's pretty good tight end, too. I mean, he's only $3,600. But don't forget to take a look at him. And then there's guys like Dylan Cope is a name that I saw pop up with Flores out. Maybe they get a true freshman into the rotation early. But that's not necessarily something we're going to take to the bank week zero.

24:08

All right, moving on to a low scoring, but also Pretty competitive looking game, one that people are low-key excited about in terms of real football because we have a new FBS team on the slate. Jacksonville State at North Dakota State, a rematch of the FCS title game in twenty fifteen. Jacksonville State, a seven point dog on the road against a new FBS team. And I'm not surprised North Dakota State has held their own against Jacksonville. Big opponents before.

24:38

They lost to Arizona by three a few years ago. They lost to Colorado by five. They've beaten extreme powerhouses multiple times back in the late two thousands, early twenty tens. They beat the Gophers twice in Minnesota. Like that's not like. So these guys are world beaters for sure. But we're going to start with the Jacksonville stateside. Caden Creel, maybe the one of the more dynamic players on the slate for sure. Super athletic. A ton of upside for DFS.

25:09

It's just a matter of if he can do it on the road in the Fargo Dome against what appears to be a tough defense. A freshman last year, so he's got the experience now. The running back room looks a lot different this year because it was Cam Cook for two hundred and fifty yards and two touchdowns every week last year for Jacksonville State. He's out the door. West Virginia, I believe.

25:28

So now looking at it, I thought it was going to be Christian Lando and Andrews Paul one to Paul is a guy who snipe touchdowns from Cook all the time. But on the depth chart, it's Jalen Likely listed as the starter. And then you have Cedric Kouemi listed as the number two, a true freshman. This is one of those situations I don't know how much trust to put in the depth chart because we've seen it from Lando. We've seen it from Paul.

25:49

Heck, we've even seen it from Justice Savage, and he's not listed on the depth chart either. He was an Indiana commit a few years ago, ended up going to Jacksonville State.

26:01

So we'll get into the wide receivers in a moment but I want to get your thoughts on this running back situation knowing what we know about these guys historically and comparing it to what the depth chart looks like this year yeah it's it kind of sucks because like you'd think I mean Jacksonville State just has a ton of rushing volume and there could be a spot there but I don't know.

26:23

I almost feel like they just took the depth chart and just like listed the running backs for the Jersey number in order from so much. And it's like, it's just such a crap shoot.

26:31

I'm probably not going to mess with it, especially, I mean, I kind of thought, you know, obviously we don't know anything about these teams as a new season, but kind of thought Jacksonville state would be a little bit of a better, a little bit of a tighter spread, a better team total here. So they're definitely respecting the North Dakota state defense, but yeah, as far as the running backs go, it's, It's tough to make a decision there or even play any of them.

26:54

Yeah. And the other thing to factor into is a Cam Cook was such a workhorse last year. People see Jalen likely as a starter. They could instantly think, oh, he's replacing Cam Cook. He's $4,100. And we could see likely his OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ spike because of it.

27:07

And then you got people who watched Jacksonville State last year who know, oh, we're going to be looking at the box score the next day and see that Lando had fifteen carries for one hundred and ten yards and likely only had eight carries. And we're not going to be surprised. So that's some of the things you have to look at with these early season depth charts and honestly some depth charts even throughout the entire season. But we'll get to the wide receivers now.

27:32

Oh, and also factor in that with Creel running the ball, that eats into the running back production too. Wide receivers, DeAndre Johnson, massive, massive, massive human being, six foot eight, two hundred and twenty pounds. So you think he's a matchup nightmare for everybody, but he had some trouble catching the ball. I would not be surprised to see his ownership get a little juiced. But Ronell Johnson in for Missouri State. He was very good at Missouri State. But it's Conference USA.

28:04

So that's, I think, the weakest conference in college football. Darius Canion is the third starting whiteout. He's been talked about the entirety of the spring and summer camp. So I'm not surprised that he's starting. But we could see Frank Barnett, Gabe Grover, Davis Alpers involved. I just don't know in a nineteen, nineteen and a half, twenty point team total how much of this you're really looking at in what appears to be a sloggy game that's going to be run heavy.

28:32

Yeah, it's like a volume issue and a team total issue for the passing game. That being said, DeAndre Johnson...

28:39

Is a really good one-off um you definitely don't have to pair him with creole I think they can be played separate together whatever just don't be like deandre Johnson's probably going to get you like two for a hundred and ten and two or like one for six with three drops like there's just he's super volatile um but definitely excited to see um what he can do um you know really other than that I don't have much interest You know, maybe in GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗, like forcing a couple of Ronells just with Caden Creel and in a North Dakota State stack.

29:14

But yeah, I'm more interested in kind of the Caden Creel's rushing here and some DeAndre Johnson one-offs. Yeah, maybe a game that you look at props a little bit harder than DFS necessarily. So the North Dakota State side is... Their quarterback is in a similar situation as last year. Nathan Hayes is the next man up. And actually, we're gonna try to get Ian in here one more time. See if he found the signal. Hopefully he found the spot, sorry. No, it's, it's good.

29:50

It's week zero. Hey, we're, I mean, we're going to see some rust on the field on Saturday. We're all getting our bearings straight, getting our feet wet, whatever cliche you want to use. Uh, but we got Nathan, Nathan Hayes up at QB for, uh, North Dakota state. Don't know a ton about him. He played some last year and.

30:10

He, I think if they throw the ball, he's in a really good spot, but they, I listened to the North Dakota state guys and Cole Payton, who's in the NFL now was in a similar situation last year. They didn't really know what they were going to get. And he ended up being a stud. Um, so the other thing I look at North Dakota state has five quarterbacks in the league. Nathan Hayes is a big body rocket arm.

30:31

Just hasn't had much opportunity to prove it yet. So I think he's in a good spot if they throw kind of in that mid-range, might be overlooked at quarterback if you're looking for LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗. The running back room, DJ Scott's the number one. He was already in the rotation last year as the number two guy. Now they'll probably use two guys, but in all likelihood, I would see, I would predict it's going to be like a two to one carry ratio. So Scott's the guy you're looking at.

30:55

And then the wide receiver room, Jackson Williams. A ton of upside was part of the rotation last year. Makai Collins is another big body guy that contested catches. Isaiah St. Romain is a name you'll hear. Reese Kessel at tight end. But one guy that I would not be surprised to see get a lot of field time is Jeremiah Patterson. If you recognize the name, it's because he played at Arizona and he was on a lot of slates. In years past.

31:21

So coming from a P-IV school down to North Dakota State, I think even though he's not listed as a starter, he's got a lot of opportunity here. But, twenty-seven points is enough points for me to be interested as a favorite at home. How are you guys looking at North Dakota State? Yeah, I'm definitely interested. DJ Scott could kind of get overlooked here. I mean, there's just so many solid running back plays. I think people would click Middlebrook before him, maybe even the USC guys before him.

31:57

So I'm kind of hoping maybe we get a little moonwalk from DJ Scott. As far as the rest of the team goes, I'm interested. I don't know to what level. I'm definitely going to play some Hayes with some Williams and some Collins.

32:12

Um you know beyond that I'm gonna have to definitely look at some jeremiah Patterson some more but uh yeah does and I know obviously we don't have but isn't north dakota state like generally considered kind of a slower slower team if they get the lead gonna control the ball um you know that's kind of some downside with like just this game environment as a whole if north dakota plays some really good defense and can just control the ball run the run the clock um could kind of hurt you know everybody's volume as a whole there yeah definitely

32:47

When we get into the season we'll start seeing some of these grades pop up once we have the data I would not be surprised to see an f or a d next to pace for north dakota state All right, Ian, thoughts on this game? Yeah, it's going to be a competitive game, so you should get volume. There's some unknowns that we have. Camille's obviously a guy that's a known quantity.

33:08

Jacksonville State, these are two really, really good group of six teams, which makes it interesting. A couple of these games have a lot to play for. As far as potential down the road for that group of six bid. So you get volume here. That's what really tells me. Competitive game is you could kind of count on the volume. And the North Florida State running back is probably like the spot that stands out in one of those Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ cash-type plays.

33:32

Because you could probably depend on, you know, twenty, twenty-five touches in this game. Everything else is kind of like maybe, which makes it a little hard. Plus the slower pace and so many unknowns.

33:47

You know it's hard to project volume here besides what we know at the running back and quarterback positions yeah and the the thing you touched on the most is it's one of the competitive games on the slate it's it's one of those games that you might overlook at first because of the low total. And then, you know, one extra touchdown by each team. And all of a sudden we're looking at a thirty four to twenty six game at sixty points. So it doesn't take much.

34:14

Just one, you know, the pendulum swinging one way or the other a little bit more than projected. And we're looking at a higher scoring game. But speaking of competitive G six games. We have a Mac conference game week zero instant. Instant Maction.

34:32

I know that one was one of the things teased on, on X and here we are, uh, nine and a half point spread as it sits right now, but a lot of points on the table, a solid team total for Eastern Michigan, Sacramento state, the other team moving up from FCS to FBS, which they haven't been particularly relevant at the FCS level in three, four or five years.

34:53

I think like five, four or five years ago, they were twelve and one, but since then it's been average, uh, And North Dakota State, I think, is an outlier. But typically, it takes these FCS teams maybe a year to figure it out. We saw it with Kennesaw last year. Delaware and Missouri State were at least competitive in a lot of those games.

35:12

So I'm not going to write this team off completely, especially because they have a quarterback named Carlson Conklin at $6,000 who was at Sacramento State left to go to Fresno for a year. And now he's back at Sacramento State. They didn't throw the ball very much last year, but I think that was a product of who their quarterbacks were. And it got a chuckle when we met earlier this week because those quarterbacks were Cardell Williams and former five-star recruit Jaden Rashada.

35:42

Should be a familiar name to college football fans. Very disappointing arc to his career. But Carlson Conklin is cheap. I think they're going to throw the ball more. When he was at Sac State before, threw for $3,000 yards, had a twenty eight to eight touchdown to interception ratio. So he can throw the ball. And then in the running back room, Jamar Curtis looks to be the guy. Back-to-back thousand-yard rusher at Lafayette.

36:09

Last year, he was hurt with an ankle injury, but he appears to be fully healthy. Now, the biggest concern I would have with him is that the guy you see below him, Elias Brown, is fifty pounds heavier than him. So he might get sniped at the goal line, although Curtis is like a bowling ball. So the concern isn't as great as if you were looking at like a gadgety back getting replaced by a bowling ball.

36:28

It's a bowling ball being replaced by a bigger bowling ball in this case. And then in the wide receiver room ontario smith jr yes son of the wizinator himself former viking ontario smith uh leads the charge he's one of the guys maybe the one guy in the room that played with conklin and already has a relationship built it sounds like they've had a good chemistry right away in the spring and summer as well and then matthew Coleman and jace Wilson our transfers in.

36:55

Coleman from San Jose State, who could have been a number one receiver at the G-Six level, but Danny Scudero was there. And Jace Wilson a big dude from UTSA that I thought would be the starter, but Raden Brown is actually the slot starter. He had a pretty good career up until last year at Idaho State. So more cheap guys. This is a really, really cheap stack if you think Sacramento State's going to throw the ball.

37:20

Yeah, I'm not going to pretend to really know much about any of these guys, but I'm super interested in this game environment, so I think the way I'm going to play this is play Sacramento State guys running back with Eastern Michigan, kind of force that position and my GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ builds to kind of be overweight on that, but I like a lot of different pieces in this game, just stacking it up as a whole, but as far as Knowing who's going to do it, I'm just going to have to guess and check here.

37:52

But yeah, that's all I really have on Sac State. Well, the thing I know for Sacramento State, they were a little bit more competitive last year. They didn't have a coaching change, so they hired Brendan Marion, who was the offensive coordinator, kind of a pretty well-known offensive play caller. He was at UMV. Then he took the head coaching job there. He's got the go-go offense is what they call him.

38:14

He left to take the offensive coordinator job at Colorado, so I think they thought that he was going to be the one leading him in to the FBS, but he's not there anymore. So it's definitely a regime change as far as the go-go offense to not so much. But it's definitely a competitive mat game. The game matters for conference standings, the conference point of view, which is nice to have on win zero. Yeah, for sure.

38:42

We're not used to Maction this early, much less on the Saturday slate. On the EMU side, big favorites, a lot of points on the table. A couple of significant notes, I think. This is the first time in the last twelve years that EMU has had the same starting quarterback to start the season in back-to-back years. His name is Noah Kim. He was initially recruited to Michigan State, ended up at Eastern Michigan, was solid last year.

39:06

And one thing I like about him I mean, he's going to throw the ball around a little bit, but it's an RPO offense. And he had six rushing touchdowns last season, which was the most on the team. So they like to run that RPO, specifically the R inside the ten, inside the five. So the touchdown upside is there, both on the ground and through the air. And then... With that, Noah Kim has receivers coming back.

39:32

Josh Long, Nick Devereaux accounted for a hundred and sixteen targets combined last year. Devereaux led the team in yards, receptions, touchdowns, had almost half of all of the passing touchdowns thrown last year. So he is a stellar option at sub $5,000. Harold Mack is their playmaker who like you hear people say it all the time. He's the big play guy. And then aforementioned Joshua Long is a tight end, so it's just a target share for him.

40:00

And then in the running back room, this is going to be a little bit more of an interesting running back room because Amarion Blue is looking like he's going to be the starter, at least get the first carry of the game. But Joey Mattord is going to work in, in all likelihood. And then Braden Bennett is now in Ypsilanti, which is a step down because he was at Coastal and then he was at Virginia Tech.

40:26

I thought he was going to have, you know, a P four career. Now he's back in the G five in the max. So the talent is there and you can even tell the pricing is reverse of what we have it on the stone right now. Because there's, there's just some question marks on exactly what this rotation is going to look like.

40:42

But if we're talking about Sacramento state, we can use them either as a stack or a Bring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ because there's some stacks on this side that I like as well.

40:52

Yeah I love easter michigan on the slate let's not really I don't say that very often I don't know if I've said that ever in my life but I um I I think that they just have a ton of options I think noah cam's an awesome player you can play him by himself um he's got some great pairing partners um I love taking a shot on these running backs I mean blue is obviously probably going to be the highest owned I don't think that he's gonna get much OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ though and I mean really it just takes you know ADRs and a couple touchdowns for one of these guys to possibly get you a GPP win at like sub three percent ownership um I

41:28

Guess blue blue will be over that but the other two should be next to nothing um but yeah like I said I love this game environment I want like I love Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ of this like um so But yeah, I didn't think I'd be as excited about an Eastern Michigan SAC State game, but here we are, week zero. That's the glory of DFS. It's a classic spot, though.

41:50

You know, you strip down the names of the teams, and you just look at the numbers, the point spread, the implied team total, the salaries, the projections, and these guys are ten-point favorites. They got... Three plus point team total. It's a game. It's not a big slate. You know, they got affordable skill players and quarterback. It's just a spot to like if you just look at that without the name brand itself.

42:15

Yeah, and I mean, even if you need a min price option, if you think Eastern Michigan is going to spread the ball out a little bit there, it looks like there's a cozy option at minimum price on the stone. So yeah, Eastern Michigan, great spot.

42:30

Case you guys can't see it says cozy isaac on the screen that's his name that was that was a joke I I'm just gonna I'm gonna lay it all out there no good game environment and if if it if Sacramento state can keep it competitive I don't even mind the over in that game two like they're both bad football teams in the grand scheme of things but bad football can make for good DFS scores now one that's not good

42:55

Football on both sides new mexico state of Florida state lowest team total on the slate now that sac say or san jose state's up to eleven and a half we have new mexico state I don't know how much we need to talk about them the only thing I'd like to touch on is tk king he might be a little bit too expensive for me in this spot though but I think if new mexico state is going to have success he's the dynamic playmaker who's going to be able to do it for them because I think he is a p for talent on New Mexico State.

43:22

He was a stud last year. He came out of the scene mid-season and instantly blew up. I would argue the best player on this offense. Are you guys touching New Mexico State at all? Yeah, TK King, and I'm going to CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗ TK King probably with the Florida State guy, but that is it. Sounds more like a GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ Bring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ option from my point of view as opposed to a city-entry cash kind of play.

43:47

Yeah I yeah I don't even I might just cross off new mexico state in cash they can hang out with san jose state in the corner or hang out with the guy in the back on the Florida state side kind of similar to usc um the biggest difference between usc and Florida state is who their opponents are upcoming usc has a cake schedule for most of September but after this week Florida state plays smu and alabama so how they approach this game their next opponents could have more significant impact.

44:17

What we do know is Ashton Daniels is named the starter. Despite Norvell not releasing a depth chart, he at least gave us that much. Five hundred dollars cheaper than Maiava. Similar spot. Dual threat quarterback. We've seen Daniels run in the past. There's again, same sort of deal. Chancey only plays two to three quarters, but he's a guy who can put up a ton of points in two to three quarters. And he's got One stellar pass catcher that we know in Deuce Robinson.

44:45

Clear number one guy. There's a reason he's as expensive as he is. I imagine he will get more expensive as the season goes on. And then you have Makai Danzy, who's expected to be the number two. Javen Boggs should be involved. Devin Carter is a huge recruit. They flipped from Oregon, who is looking like he's going to be a stud freshman this year. They'll probably get him involved early. Jason Lopez.

45:07

Is another highly guarded recruit and you're going to find his name in two spots on Florida State's website because he is a guard for the basketball team as well what that tells me is he's incredibly athletic so just some notes to like if you want to take some shots on cheap guys don't forget about Devin Carter and Jason Lopez and then the running back room is probably the more interesting thing Usame Nkroma is going to start.

45:35

I'm going to stand on business and say he's going to start this game. Trey Wisner is in from Texas. But Trey Wisner, it might not be healthy. And if he's not healthy, they might like we talked about it. He's a guy that you might just keep on the bench. We thought he was going to be out out. Then Norvell said he was available. He's practicing this week. But you you save him for Alabama and SMU, right?

45:59

Like you don't mess with him against New Mexico State. So that opens up Sam Singleton as the likely backup. And then one other point. And then I'll let you guys take over that Aaron said. Are people going to be afraid to play FSU with the early season duds they've laid? Against New Mexico State, I personally don't think so, especially with – I mean, no, I don't think so.

46:24

I think these guys are still going to – With everything point total, implied point total, point spread, I don't think so. One thing I'll add, so we know that obviously they've got some great receivers. Daniels is who he is. He's been pretty decent for DFS the last few years. Mike Morvell, head coach of Florida State, has taken over play calling duties this year for the first time. It's obviously a very desperate coaching room. They're under a lot of pressure, a lot of fire.

46:49

They have a Labor Day game next week hosting SMU, and they got, they're not close to, like, they got to get the fan base excited about this. And one of the things is he's taking over the play calling duty. So will they want to try to score? Maybe, maybe not. That could be some narratives, but it is a shift and a change in regime or thought process culture from the, from the offensive play caller point of view, being the head coach now.

47:18

Yeah, it'll be interesting to see how early they call off the dogs. Deuce Robinson is still probably the best wider receiver play on the slate. He can easily get there in like a half. He's so explosive. And Danzy's, I mean, Danzy's kind of similar. I almost like GPPs. I'll probably be overweight Danzy and match the fields with Deuce. Even though Danzy's going to carry a fair amount of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗.

47:48

As far as the running backs go, Wisner, I'm just going to take my chances and not even play him this week. But if he's limited, which is how I'm going to play it, or out, I think Sam Singleton is super interesting at $5,100. He shouldn't garner much ownership there. Maybe if we get Wisner a hundred percent out, he might get a little more steam.

48:11

But this is a later in the day game and people might already kind of have their stuff set but as far as GPPs really the only guys that aren't getting ownership would be like Singleton and boggs the rest of them were getting plenty of plenty ownership and they're all they're all good plays um but yeah I just I don't uh necessarily have a super

48:32

Comfortable lane with how I want to go with them yet yeah certainly another spot like usc where you want to get a piece of that point total there's just a bunch of different ways you can play it in a bunch of different potential outcomes of how they get their points one that back to some competitive games and we're going to run into some late hammers here hawaii at stanford we have hawaii on the road as a four-point dog am I crazy or were they a favorite at one point I think they're favorite but

49:04

They've been it's been one way one-way traffic on stanford money it's gotten out pretty far it's coming back a little bit right now But there's definitely been heavy Spafford movement and then injuries on the Hawaii side, which I know you talked about in a second. That's about the cause, but it has been one way traffic towards Spafford. Yeah, and then, so yeah, we'll get into the players.

49:30

Micah Alohado, reigning Mountain West Freeman of the Year, broke the school and conference records for most touchdowns thrown by freshmen. Eighth in the nation, two hundred and eighty four yards a game. We know the type of offense. Hawaii loves to run and shoot. And that benefits the quarterback a ton. Now in his sophomore season, if he hits his progression. It's like it's sky's the limit for this kid. Could be an absolute stud all year, including this weekend.

49:58

Cam Barfield is returning in a decent spot, especially if the injuries come to fruition and they are without Pofeli Ashlock. His status is up in the air. We have not thought he's going to play. Then there's random rumblings, kind of like Trey Wisner. Oh, he's available. Oh, he's going to suit up. He's going to be on the field book limited. I like just gut feeling. I don't think he plays. So that opens up like Audra Harris and Devin Alves from Virginia Tech.

50:26

And, you know, some of these other guys in the wide receiver room. But I think if Ashlock is out, it might push me to Cam Barfield a little bit more. I'm going to build Hawaii as if Ashlock is out. Reading the quote of what kind of came up that he could play, I can't remember the exact quote, but I think it was interpreted kind of wrong. I think he's out for sure.

50:54

But in that same article, it talked about um gosh tayanoa Carvalho if I'm pronouncing that right probably not I was hoping you'd have to say one of those names I wasn't gonna do it anyways in that article they talk about him as being a slot back and um that's a pretty good position I think that's what ashlock is technically listed as as well um but I kind of like taking some shots on him at $3,000 I don't know how popular he'll get.

51:22

I mean, Hawaii, which wide receivers, like there's going to be some shots taken here, especially since Alahata is a solid play. Harris has the best project, best prop, but I it's, I think it's kind of a crap shoot. As far as the running backs go, I'm honestly, I'm not really interested in Barfield. I'm kind of interested in rice, maybe like sub like two percent.

51:47

I think he was at Kansas state and, But I kind of, I don't know, I might not even play any Hawaii running backs. That's probably the optimal move. But yeah, I definitely don't mind getting a little weird in this wide receiver room with and playing guys of Ashlock is for sure out. Yeah, historically, you're not rushing to play Hawaii running backs in most situations. Barfield was decent last year catching the ball at backfield. He's got that connection with Alejandro.

52:15

Alejandro, you know, he's small, but he's definitely a pocket passer type guy. He's preseason player, conference player of the year. It's Timmy Chang's offense, which is that running shoot that spread him out, throw close to the line. So the slot receivers is always a big deal. That's why Ashlock was so heavy coming in. So Carvelo, if he's the guy stepping in the slot, that is definitely interesting.

52:39

But I would expect them to pass the ball well over thirty times coming from Alejandro. So there's a volume perspective there if you can get that right. For sure. And then on the other side, I mean, there's opportunities for stacks and runbacks to a certain extent. Micah Ford is the biggest name you'll remember from last year with Spafford, a workhorse back, expected to be the same this year. He should get a lot of usage.

53:01

His biggest issue in the past has been health, but it's the first game of the season. He should be healthy. Davis Warren in from Michigan. I did not realize until today that he had leukemia in twenty nineteen and overcame it, beat it before going to Michigan. He did start Summit Michigan a couple of years ago. Wasn't great. Sixty-four percent completion percentage, but there weren't a ton of yards that came with it, and he did have a bit of an interception problem.

53:27

But now at Spafford, against not Big Ten opponents all the time, we could see a different Davis Warren for sure. And then in the wide receiver room, we've had some projected depth charts, but nothing official. Names that we've seen, Blackburn, Hall, Shaw, Nico Brown. The These last two games, getting information for these teams has been tough sledding this week. Yeah, no depth charts, of course, like official depth charts. I mean, I feel pretty confident in Michael Ford having a very solid role.

54:03

Last year, these teams played week zero, and Michael Ford got a ton of volume. So I don't think there's going to be any like, oh, start of the season, we don't want to burn his legs or anything like that. I'm obviously I'm not interested in Davis Warren really at all for DraftKings. Well, if we knew more about the receiver room, I might be interested just because they are playing Hawaii. But this like receiver and Biggie Blackburn is a tight end.

54:32

And I mean, the reason we put them up top is because like that's like maybe the only position that like we kind of know would be a starter. We know Davis Warren can throw the ball that far. Right, yeah, yeah, you're not wrong. But yeah, these other guys, there's some... Go ahead, Ian. No, I'll say look at the volume. You know, if you shoot down the names, you know, it's week zero. We don't look at the names.

54:57

It's a running back who had twenty-plus touches a game last year, catches the ball as a receiver, runs the ball, gets the goal line, carries. They're a short favorite. They're at home. He's projected to touch the ball twenty, twenty-five times again. He's probably underpriced at $6,000. It's just, it's like everything kind of leads to that as being a very, very nice spot for Michael Ford. Just on paper, looking at all those, looking at the numbers. Right. Yeah.

55:31

And another, another game, if it goes slightly over, you could be looking at the highest total on slate. Sweet. So yeah, We don't want to go too quickly. We're getting close to an hour and I don't want to push this and drag it on too long. But this is a game we have to talk about. A late night Hammer. Memphis at UNLV. I don't know if you can see, but Kenny's wearing his Memphis t-shirt for the occasion.

55:57

And this is, it's three hours after the next latest game. That's got to play a factor. We don't have a ton of information about who's going to be starting. That plays a factor. But projected thirty and a half to twenty six point game we know Marcus Stokes is going to be starting for Memphis we think Dallin Hayden is going to be starting at running back Tychon Chapman has followed Huff from Marshall to Southern Miss to now Memphis. So there's something there.

56:26

Timmons is in from Colorado, and we expect his name to be called quite a bit. Kloos is a familiar name. So how do you approach a game like this? I mean, we can just talk about the game overall. It doesn't even need to be the teams. Specifically, because on the other side, we know about the same amount. Jackson Arnold's a starter. We expect Jaden Thomas. Lions and Irvin are back for UNLV. Reddick's in from Oregon State. Troy Stiletto-Heal is still in college.

56:54

But how do you approach a game like this just overall where you know there's going to be meat on the bone, but it's three hours after we don't have information? Yeah, it's a massive game. Yeah. Massive game. I mean, group of six, you know, you got the, the Mount, the mountain West favorite, the American favorite, big implications down the road. Dan Mullen is pretty proven to Marty.

57:14

Now, you don't know if the Jackson Arbel seems like a perfect quarterback candidate for him, for what he wants to do on a team that's really produced fantasy quarterbacks for us in the past few years. It just everywhere in this game is screaming. This is a perfect, Play the Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗, get a couple pieces from, be able to mix and match at the receiver spot. Just really, really good game environment to really look at and try to get some news on between tonight and tomorrow morning.

57:46

Yeah, I mean, there's definitely still some question marks to be answered. I feel confident like Marcus Stokes is going to start tomorrow as long as he doesn't take a video of himself rapping. And like Dallin Hayden, I really like taking some shots on Dallin Hayden, a hometown guy. And then Terrell Timmons from Colorado, a $3,000 flat. I'm definitely going to be overweight on him. Chapman and Tipton are great options as well. Clues I'm not as odd about.

58:12

And then, yeah, the UNLV side, I don't think I'm going to touch these pass catchers, but I did see Jackson Arnold supposed to start, even though these guys are supposed to split. I am going to play some Jackson Arnold with some Memphis runbacks. I, you know, if he just kind of gets a hold of the reins and takes it, that could be a huge spot late in the slate. But yeah, kind of, kind of sums it up.

58:31

I do definitely want some spots here, but there's still some question marks. I guess one thing, and this is something you can take with you, when it's questionable between Arnold and Orgy, just always play the more expensive guy so you have money to swap when it's the last game here. Don't play Orgy in your lineup. Play Arnold. If you end up wanting to play Orgy, then switch to him later. That way you have some salary flexibility.

58:54

But yeah, that kind of sums up what I have to say here. Yeah, that's good advice throughout the season. If you're in a this or that situation, always play the more expensive guys so you have room to pivot regardless of what the rest of your lineup looks like. All right, so that covers the DraftKings slate. We do have TCU in North Carolina and Ireland. Never mind the names on here, since it's FanDuel only. That gets adjusted last. Jack Dalton is not the starter for TCU.

59:21

But just a couple of things to touch on. Bill Belichick likes taking away the number one option for the other team if you're playing showdown or playing on FanDuel. We saw it last year. Even though they got blown out, they kind of stopped Eric McAllister, or at least enough, but that meant Jordan Dwyer had a big game. So maybe you're looking at that for Ed Small on the TCU side.

59:41

But speaking of Jordan Dwyer, Kenny, you had some news on him too that you've seen leading up to the game. Yeah, I guess there's rumors that he's hopeful to play in a walking boot there. So it's just something you're gonna have to monitor. It's obviously the very first game of the day.

59:57

But if you're playing FanDuel or DraftKings Showdown, piece of information I mean if dwyer didn't play like I would love me some Ed Small I know Bill loves Ed Small he's a he's he would be a really good play on FanDuel um but yeah that's I guess yeah one thing about tcu is that I think the oc came from connecticut and skyler bell was just a volume hog there um you know if dwyer does play and is all good to go like he could have a like there is some ceiling there that he could have a role like skyler bell But, yeah, that's the main thing to make sure he plays, I guess.

1:00:36

Just have fun watching this game first thing in the morning. All right, yeah, that covers it. Did you guys have any closing thoughts? I know we're pushing time here, but anything of significance we haven't touched on other than just being excited for college football to be back? It's great. It was tough. I mean, a lot of misinformation, a lot of unknowns. Have fun. A lot of values, though, too. So keep eyes on news.

1:01:04

We've got the best guys in the Discord looking at that. But have fun. Awesome to have college football back. Yep. Rule number one, have fun. That's all I have to say. Yeah. And I do want to touch on quickly, too. It's not ready for college football yet. We're hopeful it will be this afternoon. But if you're at Ship It Nation and a member there, we have the Stone 2.0 point oh now.

1:01:25

This is the golf one, but I can kind of show you a little bit how it works. You can you can filter in college football. It's cash, GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗, high upside in golf. It's pivot sleepers LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ and you can pick favorites. You can add guys to your lineup.

1:01:43

You can optimize lineup so just a couple of things we're adding at Ship It Nation and college football should be ready soon and I do want to say congratulations to all the winners this week uh week zero of college football college football getting started uh I know we love seeing the Ship It Nation logo up there but uh seeing seeing the showdown hoedown logo with a $50,000 win up top I think is apropos of this week uh it's just awesome to see that the big guy will be proud of of where we're at what we built with this college football program and then leads right into what kenny said the big guy's rule number one college football is fun enjoy the sweat enjoy

1:02:20

Building your lineups enjoy the fact that college football is back on tv and we get to enjoy watching it most of all don't take these days for granted the big guy said it over and over again because we don't know which is going to be our last gentleman Excited for college football. Glad to be back here with you. Thanks for joining us on this week zero show. Let's go out and ship one for the big guy.

Join Today

$19 5-Days All-Access (With Discord)

Includes: sabersim

  • Build up to 100 lineups
  • Quick swap
  • All sports
  • Projections / Ownership
  • DFS rankings
  • The Stone 2.0
  • Slate Stations
  • Core Reports
  • Showdown
  • Player pools
  • Education courses
Start for $19
Or see everything CFB →

Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 1:52Ship It Nation Football Packages
  3. 2:57CFB DFS Commandments
  4. 13:12San Jose State at USC
  5. 18:21NC State at Virginia
  6. 24:08Jacksonville State at North Dakota State
  7. 34:23Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan
  8. 42:50New Mexico State at Florida State
  9. 48:46Hawaii at Stanford
  10. 55:47Memphis at UNLV
  11. 59:09TCU vs North Carolina
  12. 1:00:39Closing Thoughts
  13. 1:01:14Stone 2.0 and Week 0 Winners

Most Mentioned

  1. 13North Dakota State
  2. 10Hawaii
  3. 9San Jose State
  4. 9USC
  5. 8Florida State
  6. 8Jacksonville State
  7. 8New Mexico State
  8. 8Sacramento State
  9. 7
  10. 7
  11. 6Eastern Michigan
  12. 6
  1. 6
  2. 6
  3. 5
  4. 5
  5. 5
  6. 5
  7. 5Memphis
  8. 5North Carolina
  9. 5
  10. 4
  11. 4
  12. 4
  13. 4
  14. 4Colorado
  15. 4
  16. 4
  17. 4
  18. 4
  19. 4
  20. 4
  21. 4Michigan
  22. 4
  23. 4
  24. 4TCU
  25. 4
  26. 3
  27. 3
  28. 3
  29. 3
  30. 3
  31. 3
  32. 3
  33. 3
  34. 3Missouri State
  35. 3
  36. 3Penn State
  37. 3
  38. 3
  39. 3SMU
  40. 3UNLV
  41. 2Alabama
  42. 2
  43. 2Arizona
  44. 2
  45. 2
  46. 2
  47. 2
  48. 2
  49. 2
  50. 2
  51. 2
  52. 2
  53. 2
  54. 2
  55. 2
  56. 2
  57. 2
  58. 2Minnesota
  59. 2NC State
  60. 2
  61. 2
  62. 2
  63. 2Stanford
  64. 2
  65. 2UMass
  66. 2Virginia
  67. 2Virginia Tech
  68. 2
  69. 2
  70. 1
  71. 1
  72. 1Buffalo
  73. 1
  74. 1
  75. 1Central Michigan
  76. 1
  77. 1
  78. 1
  79. 1
  80. 1
  81. 1Delaware
  82. 1
  83. 1
  84. 1
  85. 1
  86. 1
  87. 1Idaho State
  88. 1Indiana
  89. 1Iowa State
  90. 1
  91. 1
  92. 1
  93. 1
  94. 1
  95. 1
  96. 1
  97. 1
  98. 1
  99. 1Kansas State
  100. 1
  101. 1
  102. 1
  103. 1Lafayette
  104. 1LSU
  105. 1
  106. 1Marshall
  107. 1Miami
  108. 1Michigan State
  109. 1Middle Tennessee
  110. 1Missouri
  111. 1Morehead State
  112. 1
  113. 1Ohio Dominican
  114. 1Oregon
  115. 1Oregon State
  116. 1
  117. 1
  118. 1
  119. 1Southern Miss
  120. 1
  121. 1
  122. 1Tennessee
  123. 1Texas
  124. 1Texas Tech
  125. 1
  126. 1UTSA
  127. 1
  128. 1West Virginia
  129. 1

Never Miss a Show

Subscribe on YouTube