NFL DFS Picks Week 10: 9 DraftKings Plays for Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026

The trade deadline did some of our homework this week. Indianapolis traded away its top two receivers, the Rams will be without Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, and both moves push targets toward tight ends who cost $4,400 or less. That is where our NFL DFS picks for Week 10 start, and we build up from there with nine DraftKings plays for Sunday’s 10-game main slate: three core plays, three mid-tier plays and three valueValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup. picks. All information is as of 5:30 p.m. ET on Friday, Nov. 13, 2026.

Seven games kick off at 1 p.m. ET. Rams-Cardinals and Seahawks-Raiders start at 4:05, and 49ers-Cowboys closes the slate at 4:25. Patriots-Lions in Munich and the two night games are not part of the main slate. Weather should not move much. Six games are indoors or under a roof, and the windiest outdoor forecast is Bills-Jets, with about 12 mph of wind and early gusts in the low 20s.

Salaries, projections, ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that., spreads and team totalsTeam TotalA team total is a betting-market estimate of how many points, runs or goals one team will score. In DFS, it usually means an implied team total calculated from betting odds, rather than a projection of fantasy points.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost. all come from our NFL Stone 2.0, and the matchup ranks come from our NFL defense vs. position rankings. Some of the angles here come from Rio Turner’s Week 10 value report, which members can find in our NFL DFS tools.

What are our favorite NFL DFS picks for Week 10?

Core plays are $7,500 and up, mid-tier plays run $5,000 to $7,499, and value picks are anything under $5,000.

A DraftKings NFL lineup has nine spots under a $50,000 cap: a quarterback, two running backs, three receivers, a tight end, a flex and a defense. All nine of our picks together cost $55,700, so treat this as a player pool rather than one lineup. The three core plays cost $25,300 combined, which leaves an average of $4,117 for the other six spots.

Which games matter on the main slate?

49ers-Cowboys has the highest total on the slate by five points, and San Francisco’s 30-point team total is the biggest number on the board. Buffalo (29.5) and Jacksonville (28.5) are next, and the Jaguars are the biggest favorite on the slate at 10.5 points. Our picks come from seven of the 10 games.

When we cite a defense vs. positionDefense vs Position (DvP)Defense vs Position (DvP) measures how much fantasy production a defense allows to players at a particular position. You use its stats or rankings to compare matchups, with scoring rules and adjustment methods varying by source.Before comparing ranks, check which end means the easiest matchup and whether the table reports totals, points per game or production per opportunity. rank, 32nd means that defense gives up the most DraftKings pointsFantasy PointsFantasy points are the score a DFS contest assigns to a player or team defense by converting real sports statistics and results through its scoring rules. Your lineup's total determines your contest ranking.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games. in the league to the position.

Which core plays are worth paying up for?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA)

DraftKings: $9,300 | Projection: 22.88 | Ceiling: 32.64 | Projected ownership: 7.9%

Smith-Njigba has 71 catches for 1,036 yards and nine touchdowns in nine games, and he has topped 100 yards in seven of them. He is averaging 10.4 targets a game, and no other Seattle receiver is close to that kind of volume.

Sam Darnold is still out, and Drew Lock is starting again. Lock has thrown five touchdowns with no interceptions in three games this season. Las Vegas ranks 21st against receivers, so the matchup is fine rather than great. The ownership is the draw: at 7.9%, he is the least popular of the five players priced at $8,000 or more.

Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF)

DraftKings: $8,500 | Projection: 23.86 | Ceiling: 41.06 | Projected ownership: 16.9%

McCaffrey has the highest projection and the highest ceiling of anyone on the main slate, and he costs $800 less than Smith-Njigba. He has nine rushing touchdowns this season, and he caught his first touchdown pass of the year last week against the Raiders.

San Francisco has the biggest team total on the slate at 30, and Dallas ranks 27th against running backs. The only thing on his injury report this week was a scheduled rest day on Wednesday, and he practiced in full Thursday. DraftKings NFL scoring adds a 3-point bonus at 100 rushing yards, and a back with this many goal-line chances does not need the bonus to pay off his salary.

Josh Allen (QB, BUF)

DraftKings: $7,500 | Projection: 23.45 | Ceiling: 38.84 | Projected ownership: 9.7%

Allen is the top-projected quarterback on the slate, and his legs are the reason. He has thrown for 2,027 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions, and he has added 285 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns. Those nine scores are worth 54 DraftKings points on their own.

Buffalo has a 29.5-point team total and is an 8.5-point favorite against a 2-7 Jets team. New York ranks 14th against quarterbacks, so this is more of a volume and touchdown bet than a matchup play. Wind is the one concern, with gusts above 20 mph possible early at MetLife Stadium. At 9.7% ownership, he is less popular than Shough, who costs $1,900 less.

Which mid-tier plays fit best?

Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)

DraftKings: $7,200 | Projection: 19.37 | Ceiling: 35.02 | Projected ownership: 20.6%

Hubbard has the best matchup of any running back on the slate. New Orleans ranks 32nd against the position, and the Saints are allowing 133.9 rushing yards a game.

He has rushed for 619 yards and scored seven total touchdowns in eight games, the 10th-most rushing yards in the league. He also gets better as games go on. ESPN has him averaging 50.9 rushing yards in the second half of games, compared with 26.5 in the first half.

Panthers-Saints has a 48.5-point total with a 1.5-point spread, so the game script should keep him involved all afternoon. He is the second-most popular running back on the slate at 20.6%, behind only Bijan Robinson.

Parker Washington (WR, JAX)

DraftKings: $6,200 | Projection: 15.44 | Ceiling: 24.15 | Projected ownership: 17.5%

Washington leads Jacksonville with 493 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 29 catches in eight games. That is 17 yards a catch, and three of his touchdowns have come in the last four games.

Tennessee is the best matchup on the slate for receivers. The Titans rank 32nd against the position, and they traded safety Amani Hooker this week. Jacksonville has a 28.5-point team total as a 10.5-point favorite. The risk is that the Jaguars build a big lead and stop throwing, which is one reason we like pairing him with the Jaguars DST below.

Tyler Shough (QB, NO)

DraftKings: $5,600 | Projection: 18.51 | Ceiling: 29.48 | Projected ownership: 14.1%

Shough is the most popular quarterback on the slate at 14.1%, and the price explains it. He projects for 3.31 points per $1,000, second among quarterbacks to Drew Lock. He has 14 touchdown passes and six interceptions in eight games and is averaging 248.3 passing yards a game, 13th in the league.

He runs, too. With Kendre Miller released, Shough is now the Saints’ leading rusher with 162 yards. New Orleans has a 25-point team total in the second-highest-total game of the early window. Carolina ranks 12th against quarterbacks, so the matchup is middle of the pack. If you play Shough, Hubbard is a natural bring-back from the other side.

Which value picks free up salary?

Tyler Warren (TE, IND)

DraftKings: $4,400 | Projection: 14.03 | Ceiling: 22.70 | Projected ownership: 17.2%

The trade deadline made Warren the center of the Indianapolis passing game. The Colts traded Keenan Allen and Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce is on injured reserve. That leaves Warren with more catches this season than every receiver left on the roster combined.

He has 38 catches for 275 yards and two touchdowns this season. Miami ranks 29th against tight ends, and the Colts are 2.5-point favorites at home. He projects for 3.19 points per $1,000, and at 17.2% he is the most popular player under $5,000 on the slate. Rio picked Warren as his Value Play of the week in our value report, calling him one of the most underpriced players on the slate.

Jaguars DST (JAX)

DraftKings: $4,000 | Projection: 8.76 | Ceiling: 16.03 | Projected ownership: 5.4%

Jacksonville is the top-projected defense on the slate. The Jaguars rank second in the league in scoring defense, and they lead the NFL with a +108 scoring margin. Tennessee has an 18-point team total, and the Titans have ruled out Carnell Tate, their most productive receiver, along with starting guard Peter Skoronski.

At 5.4% projected ownership, the Jaguars are a contrarian way to pair with Washington. The $4,000 price is the catch, since the Texans ($3,400) project only 0.38 points behind them.

Colby Parkinson (TE, LAR)

DraftKings: $3,000 | Projection: 10.21 | Ceiling: 16.82 | Projected ownership: 13.8%

Parkinson has the best projected points per $1,000 of any non-quarterback on the slate at 3.40. The Rams are without Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, and Terrance Ferguson is out too, so the tight ends are in line to pick up targets the receivers usually draw.

He has 18 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown this season while playing through knee, shoulder and rib injuries. He was limited in practice this week, but he is not on the Rams’ final injury report. Tyler Higbee missed Thursday’s practice with an illness, which could push more work his way.

Los Angeles has a 25-point team total as a 9.5-point favorite in Arizona, and Stone 2.0 ranks the Rams second among DraftKings stacks, with Stafford, Parkinson and Higbee as the trio. At $3,000, he is the salary saver that makes the core plays fit.

What news should you check before lock?

Higbee is the first one to check. If he sits, Parkinson becomes the clear top tight end in Arizona. Garrett Wilson is questionable for the Jets after practicing in full Friday as he works through the concussion protocol. If he clears, he is a $6,500 bring-back for Allen lineups.

In Dallas, George Pickens says he will play after two limited practices with a hamstring injury. If he is inactive, CeeDee Lamb ($8,800) picks up more targets on the other side of the McCaffrey game.

Smith-Njigba, McCaffrey and Parkinson all play in the 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET window, so you can swap any of them if news breaks after the early games kick off. Check the final inactives about 90 minutes before each game.

Want more before Sunday? Our NFL DFS Week 10 Cash Game Countdown is up now, and the rest of our shows are on our Shows page. Our NFL DFS hub has the rest of the tools, and the full Stone 2.0 breakdown comes with a Ship It Nation membership.

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