NFL DFS Picks Week 10: 9 FanDuel Plays for Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026

Nearly three of every 10 FanDuel lineups this weekend are projected to have Jaxon Smith-Njigba in them, and we are not going to fight it. Some chalk is chalk for a reason. Our FanDuel NFL DFS picks for Week 10 pair him with two other high-priced plays, then go looking for leverage in the middle and at the bottom of the price list, including taking advantage of a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start against Myles Garrett and the Rams. That gives us nine plays for Sunday’s 10-game main slate: three core plays, three mid-tier plays and three valueValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup. picks. All information is as of 6 p.m. ET on Friday, Nov. 13, 2026.

Seven games kick off at 1 p.m. ET. Rams-Cardinals and Seahawks-Raiders start at 4:05, and 49ers-Cowboys closes the slate at 4:25. Patriots-Lions in Munich and the two night games are not part of the main slate. Six games are indoors or under a roof, and the windiest outdoor forecast is Bills-Jets, with about 12 mph of wind and early gusts in the low 20s.

Salaries, projections, ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that., spreads and team totalsTeam TotalA team total is a betting-market estimate of how many points, runs or goals one team will score. In DFS, it usually means an implied team total calculated from betting odds, rather than a projection of fantasy points.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost. all come from our NFL Stone 2.0, and the matchup ranks come from our NFL defense vs. position rankings. Some of the angles here come from Rio Turner’s Week 10 value report, which members can find in our NFL DFS tools.

What are our favorite FanDuel NFL picks for Week 10?

Core plays are $8,500 and up, mid-tier plays run $6,500 to $8,499, and value picks are anything under $6,500.

A FanDuel NFL lineup has nine spots under a $60,000 cap: a quarterback, two running backs, three receivers, a tight end, a flex and a defense. FanDuel scoring pays half a point per catch, 4 points per passing touchdown and minus 1 per interception, with a 3-point bonus at 100 rushing or receiving yards and at 300 passing yards. All nine of our picks together cost $65,000, so treat this as a player pool rather than one lineup. The three core plays cost $28,000 combined, which leaves an average of $5,333 for the other six spots.

Which games matter on the main slate?

49ers-Cowboys has the highest total on the slate by five points, and San Francisco’s 30-point team total is the biggest number on the board. Buffalo (29.5) and Jacksonville (28.5) are next, and the Jaguars are the biggest favorite on the slate at 10.5 points. Arizona has the lowest team total at 15.5, which is why we like the Rams defense.

When we cite a defense vs. position rank, 32nd means that defense gives up the most FanDuel points in the league to the position.

Which core plays are worth paying up for?

Josh Allen (QB, BUF)

FanDuel: $9,500 | Projection: 22.46 | Ceiling: 35.77 | Projected ownership: 9.6%

Allen is the top-projected quarterback on the slate, and the rushing is what separates him. He has thrown for 2,027 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions, and he has added 285 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns. On FanDuel, a rushing touchdown is worth 6 points and a passing touchdown is worth 4, so his scores on the ground carry extra weight here.

Buffalo has a 29.5-point team total and is an 8.5-point favorite against a 2-7 Jets team that ranks 12th against quarterbacks. Wind is the one concern, with gusts above 20 mph possible early at MetLife Stadium. At 9.6% projected ownership, he is a lot less popular than the other two core plays.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA)

FanDuel: $9,500 | Projection: 21.60 | Ceiling: 29.64 | Projected ownership: 29.4%

Smith-Njigba is the most popular player on the slate, and the yardage is why. He has 71 catches for 1,036 yards and nine touchdowns in nine games, and he has topped 100 yards in seven of them. FanDuel only pays half a point per catch, but it adds 3 points every time a receiver gets to 100 yards, and he gets there most weeks.

Sam Darnold is still out, and Drew Lock is starting again. Lock has thrown five touchdowns with no interceptions in three games this season, and Smith-Njigba is averaging 10.4 targets a game. Las Vegas ranks 23rd against receivers. You are not getting leverage here, but you are getting the most reliable receiver on the slate.

Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF)

FanDuel: $9,000 | Projection: 22.70 | Ceiling: 37.88 | Projected ownership: 23.9%

McCaffrey has the highest projection and the highest ceiling of anyone on the main slate, and he is $500 cheaper than Allen and Smith-Njigba. He has nine rushing touchdowns this season, and he caught his first touchdown pass of the year last week against the Raiders. His 2.52 projected points per $1,000 is the best mark among players priced at $8,500 or more.

San Francisco has the biggest team total on the slate at 30, and Dallas ranks 25th against running backs. The only thing on his injury report this week was a scheduled rest day on Wednesday, and he practiced in full Thursday.

Which mid-tier plays fit best?

Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAX)

FanDuel: $7,700 | Projection: 19.10 | Ceiling: 28.40 | Projected ownership: 7.4%

Lawrence is the best quarterback value on the slate at 2.48 projected points per $1,000, and almost nobody is playing him. He has thrown for 1,932 yards with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions in eight games, and those 18 touchdown passes are tied for fourth in the league.

Jacksonville has a 28.5-point team total, and Tennessee ranks 27th against quarterbacks and 32nd against receivers. The blowout risk is real with a 10.5-point spread, so he works best stacked with Washington, which gets you two pieces of the same game script for $14,500.

Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)

FanDuel: $7,200 | Projection: 18.37 | Ceiling: 32.01 | Projected ownership: 16.2%

Hubbard has the best matchup of any running back on the slate. New Orleans ranks 32nd against the position, and the Saints are allowing 133.9 rushing yards a game. At 2.55 projected points per $1,000, he is the best value among running backs.

He has rushed for 619 yards and scored seven total touchdowns in eight games, the 10th-most rushing yards in the league. ESPN has him averaging 50.9 rushing yards in the second half of games, compared with 26.5 in the first half. Panthers-Saints has a 48.5-point total with a 1.5-point spread, so the game script should keep him involved all afternoon. Half-point scoring rewards carries more than catches, and he is a carries back. In his weekly Value Report, our own Rio Turner likes Hubbard as the bring-back in Tyler Shough stacks, and he sees a clear path to a tournament win in that game.

Parker Washington (WR, JAX)

FanDuel: $6,800 | Projection: 14.90 | Ceiling: 22.48 | Projected ownership: 13.2%

Washington leads Jacksonville with 493 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 29 catches in eight games. That is 17 yards a catch, which plays well on a half-point site where yards and touchdowns count for more than receptions.

Tennessee is the best matchup on the slate for receivers, and the Titans traded safety Amani Hooker this week. Stone 2.0 ranks the Jaguars sixth among FanDuel stacks, with Lawrence, Washington and Brenton Strange as the trio.

Which value picks free up salary?

Travis Kelce (TE, KC)

FanDuel: $5,500 | Projection: 13.00 | Ceiling: 20.08 | Projected ownership: 6.8%

Kelce has 33 catches for 482 yards and two touchdowns in eight games. That is 14.6 yards a catch, so most of his FanDuel points come from yardage rather than receptions. He practiced in full this week after dealing with an ankle issue.

Kansas City has a 24.5-point team total as a 3.5-point road favorite, and Stone 2.0 ranks the Chiefs first among FanDuel stacks, with Patrick Mahomes, Kelce and Rashee Rice as the trio. Atlanta ranks 12th against tight ends, so the matchup is neutral. At 6.8% ownership, he is a lot less popular than his name suggests.

Tyler Warren (TE, IND)

FanDuel: $5,300 | Projection: 13.80 | Ceiling: 21.96 | Projected ownership: 7.3%

Warren has the best projected points per $1,000 of anyone on the slate at 2.60. The Colts traded Keenan Allen and Josh Downs, and Alec Pierce is on injured reserve, which leaves Warren with more catches this season than every receiver left on the roster combined.

He has 38 catches for 275 yards and two touchdowns this season. Miami ranks 29th against tight ends, and the Colts are 2.5-point favorites at home. He projects higher than Kelce for $200 less, and you can play both of them with one at flex.

Rams DEF (LAR)

FanDuel: $4,500 | Projection: 7.50 | Ceiling: 14.96 | Projected ownership: 10.1%

Arizona has the lowest team total on the slate at 15.5, and rookie Carson Beck will make his first NFL start after Gardner Minshew suffered a season-ending injury. The Cardinals are without receiver Michael Wilson and could be down to their fourth-string center, and Myles Garrett had three sacks and a forced fumble in his return last week.

FanDuel pays 1 point per sack and 2 points per interception, and a rookie facing this pass rush is a good spot for both. The Rams are 9.5-point favorites and the best value at defense on the slate at 1.67 projected points per $1,000. The Jaguars ($4,900) project 0.4 points higher if you want to stack them with Lawrence and Washington.

What news should you check before lock?

Garrett Wilson is questionable for the Jets after practicing in full Friday as he works through the concussion protocol. If he clears, he is a $7,200 bring-back for Allen lineups. In Dallas, George Pickens says he will play after two limited practices with a hamstring injury. If he is inactive, CeeDee Lamb ($9,000) picks up more targets on the other side of the McCaffrey game.

Carnell Tate has been ruled out for Tennessee, but some projection sets still show him at $5,800, so make sure he is not in your lineup. Tyler Higbee missed Thursday’s practice with an illness, and if he sits, Colby Parkinson ($4,900) becomes the Rams’ clear top tight end.

Smith-Njigba, McCaffrey and the Rams defense all play in the 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET window, so you can swap any of them if news breaks after the early games kick off. Check the final inactives about 90 minutes before each game.

Want more before Sunday? Our NFL DFS Week 10 Cash Game Countdown is up now, and the rest of our shows are on our Shows page. Our NFL DFS hub has the rest of the tools, and the full Stone 2.0 breakdown comes with a Ship It Nation membership.

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