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NBA DFS Process | November 11, 2026 | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown

Aired Wed Nov 11, 2026 Hosts NBA DFS Process, November 11 MAIN Slate: Rio Turner & Zach Trivett Runtime 1:01:43 Chapters 12 Views 2,293

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Wednesday, November 11 NBA slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

The Short Version

Rio Turner and Zach Trivett break down seven games with two lock windows an hour apart. Kel'el Ware ($4,800) is the single-entry starting point with Myles Turner out, provided he starts; a bench role creates minutes concerns. Karl-Anthony Towns' status is the biggest news: his absence would elevate Andre Drummond at $4,200 and increase Jalen Brunson's scoring role. Jamal Shead becomes a strong value if Immanuel Quickley sits.

Jamal Murray gets the strongest mid-to-upper-tier endorsement against Memphis' vulnerable pick-and-roll defense. Jayson Tatum is a preferred spend with Paul George out, especially if Collin Murray-Boyles also misses. Day'Ron Sharpe's increased offensive involvement supports his ceiling, while Jakob Poeltl becomes more appealing without Murray-Boyles. Cheap centers create opportunity cost for Nikola Jokic. Blowout concerns temper the Lakers and Spurs, with a maximum of one Laker preferred.

FadesJames HardenJericho Sims

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
UNDERWEIGHT Near-fade against Andrew Nembhard and Indiana's strong pick-and-roll defense, although the assist upside remains. 7:19
Interesting below $9,000 as a bet on talent after returning from injury, although Indiana's improved interior defense keeps this from being a smash matchup. 7:43
ONE-OFF The favorite Washington play at $6,500, with an appealing off-ball matchup and potential secondary playmaking while Trae Young faces Andrew Nembhard. 8:04
UNDERWEIGHT At-field to underweight near $8,000 because the matchup is neutral and the salary is near the maximum they want to pay. 8:51
ONE-OFF The matchup against Trae Young is appealing, especially if T.J. McConnell sits, but the salary requires a ceiling game. 8:51
VALUE At $6,100, Washington's weak rebounding offers substantial upside if he is close to fully recovered from his early-season injury. 9:19
CHALK Expected to be relatively popular, with his salary fitting builds. 10:54
Strong historical production at Madison Square Garden provides an angle, but New York's defense against lead handlers prevents a major bump. 14:09
FADE No need to play him until the production improves, with poor shooting and fewer free throws making the salary difficult to justify. 14:09
An expected matchup against OG Anunoby makes this an unappealing spot. 14:28
Limited and matchup-dependent minutes undermine his appeal despite productive stretches. 15:14
ONE-OFF Already has a favorable matchup against Cleveland's lead-handler defense, with a larger scoring role if Karl-Anthony Towns misses. 16:29
VALUE At $4,200, becomes a leading center value if Karl-Anthony Towns sits and he starts, given his strong production per minute. 17:09
PAY UP One of the best spends with Paul George out, with even more confidence if Collin Murray-Boyles also misses. 22:07
UNDERWEIGHT Mitchell Robinson playing reduces the appeal, and a starting Andre Drummond would push him mostly out of consideration. 22:33
UNDERWEIGHT Would mostly fall out of consideration if Andre Drummond starts, with only a $100 salary difference between them. 22:33
UNDERWEIGHT Would probably be fully avoided if Immanuel Quickley plays and still approached below the field if Quickley sits and ownership rises, given Boston's rim defense. 23:43
VALUE One of the slate's better values if Immanuel Quickley misses, with secure ball handling and dual guard eligibility. 24:09
VALUE At $5,200, becomes particularly appealing if Collin Murray-Boyles misses, with recent minutes and production supporting a ceiling despite the difficult matchup. 24:39
ONE-OFF A scoring-upside piece against Boston's off-ball funnel, with Immanuel Quickley needing to be out. 25:26
UNDERWEIGHT Cautious at projected ownership around 20% because a return from a hamstring injury could limit minutes, although he could still fit as a final lineup piece. 26:48
Opinions differed on the $11,500 salary, with one view calling it too cheap and the other reluctant to prioritize him over cheaper centers. 31:01
ONE-OFF The favorite mid-to-upper-tier play against Memphis' vulnerable pick-and-roll defense, with the projected ownership considered justified. 31:01
VALUE A cheaper pivot from Aaron Nesmith with similar upside, stable recent minutes and an emphasis on increasing his offensive opportunities. 31:37
PAY UP Can justify an $8,000 salary through peripheral production and a favorable matchup, with Aaron Gordon dealing with injuries. 33:15
Not an appealing target against Nikola Jokic with minutes being monitored, although he was not completely excluded. 34:05
The matchup is excellent, but a blowout could leave him short of the minutes needed to justify his salary. 37:40
Preferred somewhat to Luka Doncic because the lower salary is easier to repay, although the blowout risk discourages an overweight stance. 37:40
Milwaukee's interior defense provides a strong matchup, but the mid-$7,000 salary could require close to 50 fantasy points. 38:42
The hosts were split between an underprojected role without Quentin Grimes and concern that playing alongside Luka Doncic or Austin Reaves would suppress usage. 40:18
CORE A single-entry starting point with Myles Turner out if he starts, but a bench role would weaken the minutes outlook; $4,100 on FanDuel offers more flexibility. 41:37
FADE Explicitly rejected as a play because the frontcourt rotation would also include Dieng. 43:30
UNDERWEIGHT The matchup is favorable, but an uncertain ceiling and poor team offense support exposure slightly below projected ownership. 48:08
UNDERWEIGHT Preferred to Julius Randle but still around to slightly below projected ownership because the ceiling has not been consistently impressive. 49:14
ONE-OFF Strong interest because increased frontcourt touches and passing opportunities improve his ceiling against New Orleans, provided the minutes hold up. 49:14
ONE-OFF The preferred Pelicans option with Trey Murphy unavailable, offering more appealing upside than paying for Dejounte Murray. 52:12
The injury absences create usage opportunity, but an expected minutes restriction makes $5,000 difficult to justify. 53:36
VALUE At $4,500, deserves some exposure if starting and playing more than 30 minutes, although center-only eligibility complicates construction. 54:03
ONE-OFF Preferred to De'Aaron Fox, with a potential longer leash if the game becomes a blowout. 56:53
ONE-OFF Preferred to De'Aaron Fox because of his broader statistical contributions and the favorable matchup. 57:18
ONE-OFF In play regardless of the injury news because he can remain in the rotation longer during a blowout. 57:18
Worth considering if active and Caleb Wilson sits because his usage and scoring increase, despite the difficult matchup. 57:39

DFS Terms Used on This Show

SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate▶ Said at 0:58 Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points▶ Said at 2:47 Player PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool▶ Said at 3:54 ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections▶ Said at 4:42 Late SwapLate swap lets you change unlocked players in an entered DFS lineup after the contest starts. Both the players you remove and their replacements must remain eligible for editing under the contest's lock rules.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap▶ Said at 4:42 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership▶ Said at 4:42 OptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer▶ Said at 5:54 Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News▶ Said at 6:18 CeilingCeiling is the high end of a player's or lineup's realistic range of fantasy scores. It describes a big performance that could happen when things go well, not the expected score or an absolute maximum.Describe what must happen for each player to have a huge game. Then check whether those conditions help or hurt the other players in your lineup.Read the full definition of Ceiling▶ Said at 9:54 PivotA pivot in DFS is an alternative player or lineup combination you choose instead of another option. Tournament pivots usually seek comparable scoring upside at lower ownership, meaning fewer competing lineups use them.Before swapping, check what the replacement changes around it: your remaining salary, teammates, opposing players and available later-starting options.Read the full definition of Pivot▶ Said at 9:54 Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate▶ Said at 10:28 Double-DoubleA double-double is when a basketball player records at least 10 in two of five statistical categories in one game: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. Points with rebounds or assists are the most common combinations, so centers and power forwards reach them most often through rebounds, and point guards through assists.Check whether your fantasy-point projection already includes milestone bonuses before adding anything yourself. An average of 10 rebounds does not mean a player reaches 10 every game.Read the full definition of Double-Double▶ Said at 16:29 Fantasy Scoring RulesNBA DFS scoring rewards points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks, with deductions for turnovers. FanDuel awards 3 points per steal or block versus DraftKings' 2; DraftKings also awards bonuses for made threes, double-doubles and triple-doubles.Before entering a new format, calculate one sample stat line yourself, including bonuses and deductions. Check that your result matches the site's scoring table.Read the full definition of Fantasy Scoring Rules▶ Said at 18:26 Flex and UTILAn NBA UTIL slot accepts any eligible basketball position, including center. Guard and forward slots are narrower: you must follow the specific position eligibility displayed for each player and slot.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL▶ Said at 18:26 Triple-Double BonusThe triple-double bonus is extra fantasy scoring for recording at least 10 in three categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. In DraftKings NBA Classic, it adds 3 points on top of the player's statistical scoring and double-double bonus.Check how often a player reaches all three thresholds in the same game under a similar role. Separate averages for points, rebounds and assists can overstate the likelihood.Read the full definition of Triple-Double Bonus▶ Said at 21:55 Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up▶ Said at 22:07 FadeTo fade a player is to leave him out of your lineups on purpose, usually because you expect him to be popular or you think he is a poor play.Fade with a reason, not a feeling. If you can't say why a popular player will disappoint, you're probably just giving away points.Read the full definition of Fade▶ Said at 23:23 ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value▶ Said at 24:39 Fantasy Points Per Minute (FPPM)Fantasy points per minute (FPPM) measures a player's fantasy production per minute played. Calculate it by dividing total fantasy points by total minutes over the same games, using one site's scoring system.Separate competitive rotation minutes from minutes played after a game is effectively decided. A rate built against reserves may not represent the matchup and role you expect tonight.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points Per Minute▶ Said at 25:01 Bring-BackA bring-back, also called a run-back, is a player from the opposing team added to a stack, so your lineup benefits if the other side answers with scoring of its own.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back▶ Said at 26:27 Points Per DollarPoints per dollar measures projected or actual fantasy points relative to a player's salary, usually expressed as points per $1,000. A $5,000 player scoring 25 points returns 5x value, or five points per $1,000.Check whether a displayed ratio uses projected points or points already scored. A strong projection shows expected efficiency, not a guaranteed return.Read the full definition of Points Per Dollar▶ Said at 26:48 ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian▶ Said at 34:05 Minutes ProjectionA minutes projection estimates how much playing time a player will receive in a game. You use it to estimate opportunities for fantasy production, not as a guarantee of playing time or points.Ask what would make the player lose minutes. If your lineup only works when he gets the most optimistic playing time estimate, reconsider the pick.Read the full definition of Minutes Projection▶ Said at 41:37 Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry▶ Said at 41:37

Full Transcript

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0:04

All systems go. Clear for lift off. What's going on, everybody? Happy Wednesday. Hope you're having a great day. We are back. Rio and I talking some hoops. Seven games on DraftKings. You can see it all locks within one hour window and not even any seven thirty games. So you got three games at five, four games at six. Again, that is mountain time. So seven and then eight. And then that's all you got to worry about. So nice and easy.

0:58

If you want to enjoy your night, do whatever that is you want to do. Rio, how are you doing today? What are your thoughts on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate?

1:04

Doing good um slate looks pretty straightforward I don't think there's anything too crazy going on here one hour lock window pretty nice get an hour in between games so get a little uh food in your belly and then lock in for these late night games I think there's how many games are on the actual on are in the NBA tonight three more after the uh APM lock window let's see one two three up okay Yeah, it looks pretty straightforward.

1:32

I know I said last time I was going to be watching the Sixers and Celtics game, but I actually did not watch a single minute of it. I saw the highlights, but I was watching the Jazz and the Heat game. It's pretty exciting coming down the stretch. Darren Peterson looked really good, and the Ace looked really good as well. But the Jazz offense overall is just all over the place, very discombobulated. I did not like what I saw. Rio, you know it is twenty twenty six.

1:57

You can watch more than one game. I don't know. I don't like doing the multi-screen thing. It's not as clean as it is on YouTube TV on Prime, so I don't like to do it. How about this? You got an extra million in your pocket. Buy one or two more TVs, and then you can have a setup where you got three or you mount one, two underneath. What about something like that? Yeah, that's an idea. I'll think about it. All right.

2:22

How are we doing today, Sean, Jordan, Michael, Little Neck, Coach Sav, pair by Jordan, Michael, talking about how bad the Bucs are. Yeah, I mean, absolutely pathetic. Big dogs again, heroes questionable, but a decent amount of cue tags. Again, though, we only have two lock windows. So these first three and then four after that. Is there anything with the cue tags in the afternoon that you're going to like try and backload or wait for these first couple of games?

2:47

You're just going to play it pretty straight up. I think I'll end up playing it pretty straight up. I suppose the biggest team with a lot of changing news would be the Bulls, but you're talking about a sixteen-point spread. Are these guys even going to score enough Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points for them to be viable? I doubt it.

3:06

I guess the hero news is pretty big, but Barry's is already looking like a decent value again, and then we already got the Miles Turner news. Everything else, like we're waiting for Cat, CMB, and Emmanuel quickly in the first lock window. I feel like those situations are much more important than the Milwaukee and Chicago ones. Agree. Before we do get into it... I was going to mention two things. Let's first head on over to our Ship It Nation homepage.

3:34

And I do want to show off just a nice little update that we have. Shout out to the team behind the scenes. If you go to sports, you go to NBA. So if you click the stone, you will see a new pop-up up here that you were able to sort per game. So if you click Denver, Memphis, boom, takes you right there. You want to go back, it takes you Boston, Toronto, boom. So nice and easy for you.

3:54

You can also find a player if you just want to search Ship It. Mikel Bridges. Click it and it'll take you right to Bridges and highlight it. So shout out to the team there. Also the Stone. When you're building, just say it is the Bulls. You're like, yeah, the Bulls absolutely stink. I do not want anyone on the Bulls. You just completely exclude them and then no Bulls will pop up in your Player PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool right here.

4:17

So if you want to just exclude a couple teams and then hit optimize lineup, that will include the highest projected lineup without those teams that you did specify. So Nice little update that we have here. Include all, exclude all. A lot of different things you can do. So shout out to the team. And again, if you do want to join us, just click in Ship It Nation, see plans and pricing. The longer you're with us, the cheaper it gets.

4:42

Core one hundred allows you to build one hundred teams. I think starter, though, you were able to get SaberSim's ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections and OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership from with the starter pack, not core one hundred. You get contest flashback, Late SwapLate swap lets you change unlocked players in an entered DFS lineup after the contest starts. Both the players you remove and their replacements must remain eligible for editing under the contest's lock rules.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap, portfolio diversification. Being able to build four hundred more teams, you do get so much when it comes to the starter deal. So I think that's best for most people. Again, only gets cheaper when you go to annual.

5:04

And also, if you do just want single sport, if you just play NBA less than a dollar a day, you can get in both monthly and annual. And then an additional add-on if you do want SaberSim as well. But yeah, I think if you know you're going to be around with us or right now, just the monthly package in general, if you're playing multiple sports, so many going on besides MLB, every single sport going on right now, no better time to join.

5:27

And what a fun time it is being here. A DFS player. That's what I was going to say. Who was the name that shipped the flagship yesterday? The Ship It Nation logo is there. I can't. I'm blanking on the name. It is AJKDRFC. Shout out, AJKDRFC, whatever. I might have missed one or two. But, hey, he got an extra hundred stacks in his pocket. Awesome, awesome stuff.

5:54

And, yeah, that does qualify you for the Winner's Circle with Sabresim as well if you do have one of the two – or one of our two Ship It Nation logos there. So shout out to you. It's an awesome, awesome accomplishment. All right, let's head back on over. To our partner OptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer Ed SaberSim, and let's talk about the first game of the night. That is the Washington Wizards and the Indiana Pacers.

6:18

We got the Pacers three and a half point favorites, two twenty eight and a half total in this one on the Washington side. No injuries to talk about as far as the Pacers. T.J. McConnell is questionable, so not too much in terms of waiting for Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News. But what do you see in this first game? I think it's a fairly interesting game with a competitive spread to middle of the pack defenses. Indiana continue to play pretty fast-paced basketball this season.

6:43

But the one issue that they have defensively, which has kind of been different from what we've seen from this team over the years, their three-point defense is a lot worse this year. And their rear protection has actually been a bit better. You know, having a guy like Zubac down low definitely helps there. But overall, the... Defense has shifted a bit. Washington not really improved much defensively, even with the addition of Anthony Davis, and there's still a below average pick and roll defense.

7:07

On the Washington side, don't like the spot at all for Trey Young. He's going to see Andrew Nembhard on defense, and that's always been a pretty tough matchup for him. He does still have the assist upside to get there, but I would not expect a big scoring night for him.

7:19

In previous years, this defense would really just leave Andrew Nembhard on an island and let the pick and roll numbers kind of pile up, but that's not really been the case this year. They're the best, I believe, pick and roll defense in the league this season. One of the best teams against lead handlers. So I'm pretty lukewarm to like near fading Trey Young for the matchup alone. I think that Anthony Davis is much more interesting at a sub $9,000 salary.

7:43

Wouldn't say that he's necessarily a smash play because of how Indiana has been better with their protection and being better against opposing bigs. But we just saw AD return from the, ankle injury a few games ago and then last game, forty four points in thirty four minutes against a really tough Detroit front court. So it's more of a bet on talent type of thing than it is a matchup play.

8:04

I would say that the matchup, though, for DeBansa and Keyshawn George looks really good with Indiana now becoming more of an off-ball funnel. They've got a high-volume spot-up and catch-and-shoot scoring. So I think there's going to be some more scoring opportunities for both those guys in that sense. And I think Keyshawn George, probably my favorite play on Washington overall. I think that he might get some secondary handling and playmaking with Trey Young dealing with the Andrew Nembhard assignment.

8:27

So I think that he's a pretty strong play at six point $5,000. I've already seen him paint off that tag a few times this season. Pacers side, Siakam coming off of a really good game against Dallas. Twenty-nine points, nine rebounds, eight assists. Matchup here is neutral, but I generally don't really love paying $8,000 or anywhere near the $8,000 range for Siakam. I think that's kind of his max price I'd prefer to pay for him.

8:51

I think he's more of like an at-field or underweight play tonight. Nothing about the matchup really standing out there. I do think the matchup is good for Andrew Nembhard, though, especially if TJ McConnell sits. We'll just get more ball handling responsibilities for him. And he might see a lot of Trey Young on defense. The issue is that the price probably need forty-two plus Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points for him to be a tournament viable option. And he's only topped that number twice this season.

9:13

Could definitely do it here if it is Trey on him. I'd love that matchup, but don't have a ton of confidence in that.

9:19

Zubac at six point $1,000 I think is good Washington is bottom six in rebounding and now that zubac's getting a little bit further away from the injury that plagued him early on this season if he's close to full here I think that he's actually a really high upside option at the center position that looks like a lot of people will be paying down on so I think that he's pretty good um Washington has really struggled against biggs of ibiza box archetypes I think that's a pretty good spot for him And then lastly, there are some cheap Pacers that are getting some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership here.

9:49

Neesmith, Toppin, even Kelly Oubre and Quinn Jackson a little bit.

9:54

That all these guys are fine nismith and obi probably fit a lot of builds but nothing about their matchup really stands out in a big way Washington's kind of middle of the road in terms of allowing three-point shooters to put up points against them I would say jackson is an interesting PivotA pivot in DFS is an alternative player or lineup combination you choose instead of another option. Tournament pivots usually seek comparable scoring upside at lower ownership, meaning fewer competing lineups use them.Before swapping, check what the replacement changes around it: your remaining salary, teammates, opposing players and available later-starting options.Read the full definition of Pivot off of nismith because he's seven hundred cheaper same positional eligibility and honestly similar if not better fantasy CeilingCeiling is the high end of a player's or lineup's realistic range of fantasy scores. It describes a big performance that could happen when things go well, not the expected score or an absolute maximum.Describe what must happen for each player to have a huge game. Then check whether those conditions help or hurt the other players in your lineup.Read the full definition of Ceiling the minutes floor is not as secure but I don't think that there's really that much of a difference in their upside So overall, this game, Keyshawn George looks really strong and then Nembhard and Zubach on the Pacers side, but don't really want to get too aggressive in the ownership here.

10:28

I am looking at our new, let me see, our new tool over here with the Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate. What am I... Well, I was trying to look at it. I don't know why it's just showing me. Oh, duh. I have to click on the other side. So T.J. McConnell, if he were to be ruled out, you see a pretty big bump from Quinton Jackson and Andrew Nembhard and Braden Smith.

10:54

Not sure Braden Smith is in play on a SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate like this, but Jackson Nembhard, the biggest bumps. I already think Neesmith will be relatively popular in this game. You mentioned Obi fits some builds. Like two Pacers, you think? I mean, there's seven games on this slate. I'm not trying to go completely overboard on this game, but Pacers do look like a solid spot. Is that kind of what you're thinking, two of them?

11:15

Yeah, I think two sounds good, at least to save yourself some spots later tonight. Yeah, and then for the Wizards, I guess maybe two as well, if it's one of Demansa, George, and then you're fine with AD. Yeah, that's good. Two max, I'm thinking, in this game, but most builds you probably land on one, if anybody.

11:35

But it's a solid game environment, relatively close, totals fine, only can get a little better without TJ, but you don't want to go overboard is what I see. Yep. Cool. All right, let's keep it rolling. Next game on the slate, Cleveland Cavaliers and the New York Knicks. Knicks, three net point favorites, two twenty one and a half total in this one on the Cleveland side. No, Sam Merrill. Jalen Tyson is questionable on the Knicks side. Cat is questionable. Is this a maintenance thing?

12:03

I didn't watch the end of yesterday's game, but I mean, they blew out the box. They didn't play at the end of the fourth quarter, but he was in there pretty deep into that game, had another good game himself. So what is that tag? Is it a true Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News? Did he get hurt yesterday? Injury maintenance? And then, I mean, this game doesn't look good for DFS, assuming he's in. Yeah, I don't know.

12:24

I know he had a wrist injury a few games ago, so I'm not too sure about the calf thing. Maybe it's more of a injury maintenance thing, but... You would think that they'd want him to go here against Cleveland. Obviously, we'll get that news early on, and a lot of guys are going to benefit from that, but I didn't really see too much of him getting injured mid-game or anything like that.

12:42

It seemed like he came out unscathed, and this is just a maintenance thing for him. Yeah, so Cleveland coming off of a really embarrassing loss. Honestly, one of the worst losses I can remember for a team like that going against a really shorthanded Charlotte team, a team that has playoff and I don't really think that they're going to factor much in the race down the road. But either way, this team still technically are pretty competitive.

13:13

I just don't think that they can match up that well with the Knicks, though. The Knicks have looked really good this season, fifth defensive rating, ninth offense, sixth in net rating. Cavs are kind of all over the place. There's really only one area of weakness for this Knicks team, and that is them being the second biggest three-point funnel in basketball. But outside of that, they've been really good defensively.

13:31

Cavs' biggest weakness has been the rebounding and transition defense, so that bodes pretty well for some of the guys in the Knicks that we'll talk about. But starting on the Cleveland side, Donovan Mitchell doesn't have the most appealing individual matchup. He does have really good...

13:45

Historical stats against the Knicks, though, especially at Madison Square Garden, averaging just under forty five Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points per game at the Garden and his most recent game there, which was, I believe, Christmas game last year, put up thirty four, seven, six and four steals, sixty one DK points. A couple of games ago, he went for I believe it's like thirty seven against the same team. But overall, the Knicks are really good at slowing down these lead ball handlers.

14:09

So I'm Not going to give him like a crazy bump, but there's a little bit of a narrative street there for Don Mitchell going back home to New York where he's from. Outside of that, man, I just don't see any need to play any of these guys until they show it to me. Harden's been terrible. Definitely seems like his age has caught up to him. He's not shooting the ball well. He's not getting to the free throw line.

14:28

And when you're not doing those things, it's going to be really tough for him to pay off this price tag. Mobley. One way or another, he's going to draw a pretty difficult matchup. Sounds like it'll be O.J. Ananobi on him, one of the better wing defenders in the league, so I'm not super excited about that. I don't really know if it's worth talking about Jared Allen. He's just not playing enough minutes.

14:47

I guess I could see Peyton Watson because they'll need him for a lot of minutes on Jalen Brunson. Maybe Brunson guards him the other way, too. So that's kind of appealing. But overall, don't like a ton on the Cleveland side here outside of Donovan Mitchell. I do think that they should be getting Lake Thomas more minutes on a nightly basis. He looks like he's a hooper. And this is the type of matchup where he could really shine.

15:09

Do you agree with Jared Allen, like what the Cavs are doing with Jared Allen?

15:14

Just like limiting his minutes yeah I mean just complete like his role is completely opposite what it's been for I mean his whole time here and even with the Nets and stuff I mean he's playing what $19,700 twenty eight twenty four twenty eight twenty four two games he got to the thirties but I mean it seems very matchup dependent I guess yeah I don't think that kenny atkinson's the sharpest coach there was a time when A lot of times this season, I feel like Jared Allen's been posting positive box score numbers, and then he'll just sit out the fourth quarter.

15:46

Yeah. This team is just never going to work out. There's just too many conflicting skill sets on this team. I just don't really like the makeup of it. I don't really seem like I'm shitting on our guy Belman's team, but they kind of really screwed up. He'd probably shit on his own team. Yeah, they just kind of screwed it up. They had a really deep roster a few years ago and let too many guys walk, and it's really hurt them.

16:07

And now they're paying a lot of guys a lot of money, and they just aren't as talented as they were when they were paying guys less money. Yeah. What about the other side, the Knicks, again, with Cat? Assuming he's in, not showing much OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership at all on this side. Yeah, I'd be fine going back to Cat assuming he's in and everything's clear for him to play full minutes.

16:29

A really big issue for Cleveland this season has been the rebounding, and he's done well against Mobley in the past, so I don't really have any issues there. Kind of provides one of the best floor-ceiling combos at his position, so I'm pestling him in for another Double-DoubleA double-double is when a basketball player records at least 10 in two of five statistical categories in one game: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. Points with rebounds or assists are the most common combinations, so centers and power forwards reach them most often through rebounds, and point guards through assists.Check whether your fantasy-point projection already includes milestone bonuses before adding anything yourself. An average of 10 rebounds does not mean a player reaches 10 every game.Read the full definition of Double-Double, assuming that he does play. But if he's out, I already like the matchup for Brunson here. Cleveland is just not a good defense against these lead handlers.

16:49

They've I just don't think that they have enough guys that can slow him down, and then you take away Cat. I was looking at some of the on-off stuff for him. Brunson goes from a thirty-six-ish percent Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate up to forty-three percent Cat off. The scoring is the thing that really sees a big uptick, goes from like twenty-six point four points per thirty-six minutes to thirty and a half.

17:09

Assist and rebound numbers don't move too much, but can have a much, much bigger role if Cat does miss. And then if Kat does miss and we get Andre Drummond starting, I mean, he's only $4,200 added to the list of really strong center plays on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate tonight. I definitely have a lot of interest there. Don't know if there's enough upside on the guys like O.G. And definitely not bridges, probably not even hard coming off of an illness and a ankle injury.

17:39

Look at what is O.G.? Yeah, he's kind of gets worse with Kat off the court of the season. So, yeah, Probably would look elsewhere. It's a small sample, but still the usage looks pretty bad for him, and he's not cheap. So I'm really looking to Brunson and Drummond, assuming Cat misses, and then Cat and Brunson, assuming Cat is in. Yeah, you talked about how good center is, and it most definitely is.

18:01

But, I mean, Drummond would have to go to number one, right? Anytime he gets the start, you know you get minutes. He's just a complete point-per-minute monster. Yeah. Yeah. But again, yeah, center like De'Ron Sharp, Jokic, Jakob Hurdle. There's definitely a lot of bills. We'll have two centers today. So I, to be honest, I almost hope, I don't know, cat at low ownership would be good and you can play my power forward. So for that reason, I want them to play, but.

18:26

Being able to – or Drummond getting thrown in the mix would really complicate things. And for FanDuel, you can play, what, like three centers now? Maybe four. Yeah, some of them if you have that power forward because the new Flex and UTILAn NBA UTIL slot accepts any eligible basketball position, including center. Guard and forward slots are narrower: you must follow the specific position eligibility displayed for each player and slot.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL spot and stuff. And Fantasy Scoring RulesNBA DFS scoring rewards points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks, with deductions for turnovers. FanDuel awards 3 points per steal or block versus DraftKings' 2; DraftKings also awards bonuses for made threes, double-doubles and triple-doubles.Before entering a new format, calculate one sample stat line yourself, including bonuses and deductions. Check that your result matches the site's scoring table.Read the full definition of Fantasy Scoring Rules only fits these guys more. So a lot of bigs would be in your lineup, as kind of most builds are now on FanDuel.

18:46

I haven't played on FanDuel yet, but I assume that pretty much most winning rosters are just loading up on center. Yeah, I haven't completely back-tested. I've played a decent amount – I'd have to really go back and look at. But I know I'm playing a decent amount of bigs for sure with the stocks, the steals and blocks being worth one more. Threes not included on FanDuel, three-point bonus. So definitely fits the bigs over there more. All right, we'll keep it rolling.

19:12

Next game on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors. We are looking at five-and-a-half-point favorites for the Celtics and a two-fifteen-and-a-half total, which is the lowest on the slate. Actually, no, the second lowest, the Magic. And the Jazz, which aren't even on the slate. So it is the lowest on the slate. Injuries, no Paul George. He's out with an illness. This is a back-to-back. I don't know if that's a true illness. If so, what a flu game he had yesterday.

19:40

On the Toronto side, no Scottie Barnes. Then Colin Murray-Boyles and Emmanuel Quigley. Both questionable, but it was Quigley-Barnes that didn't play last game. Murray-Boyles did play, and now he's questionable. Still no Scottie. Seems like a real cue tag for Quigley. Seems like a real cute take from Murray Boyles. Do you see it that way? Again, we won't have to guess. But this is the first game or the first lock window.

20:04

But any thoughts for the show, what they're going to do quickly and Murray Boyles? No, but just to correct really quick, I believe Murray Boyles missed the last game as well. Oh, really? All right. Yeah, it was that game against Memphis that he missed, and then he played against the Bucs. But, yeah, he missed the game from Monday night. Okay. Yeah, as for their status, don't really know.

20:27

I don't really think that we have to guess too much, though, because it is the first game on the slate, so I don't want to give out any false information because I haven't really seen anything. They just kind of say these guys are questionable. I'll check one more time to see if anything... Yeah, there hasn't been anything yet, so... Talk about both scenarios in this one. But yeah, this is a, I mean, definitely value opening up a little bit on both sides here.

20:49

Boston favored by five and a half on the road against a very short-handed Toronto team. Raptors being without Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard, as we've seen for the last couple games, still waiting on quickly in CMB, back-to-back for Boston. I'm surprised that Mitchell Robinson is playing in these back-to-backs. A lot of people and all these lineup makers kind of start with him out, but he's playing. He's playing, and I think this is the second back-to-back that they've had for sure this season.

21:17

He's played in both. Health looks good there. From a matchup standpoint, Toronto's really falling off in a big way defensively after a strong start to the season. That's going to happen losing Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard, but they're thirteenth in defensive rating now, allowing high volume and efficiency at the rim and turning the ball over at the highest rate in basketball. Pick and roll defense hasn't been that great either. And then Boston remaining an elite defensive team, fourth overall there.

21:42

Funneling production to off-ball three-point shooters, as we talked about a lot with Boston. With Paul George out, I think that Tatum looks really solid here. Usage jumps up to...

21:55

From thirty six to forty percent and then still contributing across the board with the assist and rebound so definitely has Triple-Double BonusThe triple-double bonus is extra fantasy scoring for recording at least 10 in three categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. In DraftKings NBA Classic, it adds 3 points on top of the player's statistical scoring and double-double bonus.Check how often a player reaches all three thresholds in the same game under a similar role. Separate averages for points, rebounds and assists can overstate the likelihood.Read the full definition of Triple-Double Bonus upside here I believe he's around like one point four one point three fancy points per minute in the sample size

22:07

With paul george off the court this season and you don't really have to worry about too much defensively on the other hand especially if calamari boils were to miss I think you fire up tatum with a lot of uh a lot of confidence I think he's one of the best Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up especially if cnb were to miss Originally, I wanted to get to a lot of Nemeus Keita, but that was assuming that Mitch Robinson's out, but with him in, kind of going back to him just being a fine play and not somebody that you must have.

22:33

I love the matchup against Birdle. He's really struggling to protect the rim and the defensive glass right now. So there's a chance one of these guys puts up a big enough score to pay off their price tag. But if we get Andre Drummond, I can't spend a hundred dollars less for Mitchell Robinson or nine hundred, eight hundred more for Kata. So they would come really mostly out of play for me. What do you need from him? Thirty? I would think more like thirty five.

22:58

Yeah, that's that's tough. Yeah. Definitely doable if Mitch Robinson was out, but he's not out, so it doesn't really matter. As for Derek White and Pritchard, I don't know. They do have positive schematic matchups against a team that has been struggling against guards, but the problem is that neither is really consistently producing at a high enough rate where you feel confident that they can pay off these price tags.

23:23

So I think that they're fine at OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, not somebody I'm really going crazy overboard on with my exposure, especially in such a low game total here. Raptor stuff is difficult to break down without the full Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News, but if Quigley does play, RJ Barrett becomes a – I mean, I would probably full FadeTo fade a player is to leave him out of your lineups on purpose, usually because you expect him to be popular or you think he is a poor play.Fade with a reason, not a feeling. If you can't say why a popular player will disappoint, you're probably just giving away points.Read the full definition of Fade him if Quigley is in.

23:43

I just think it's a really tough spot for him to pay off an $1,000 price tag, especially as a guy that's reliant on room scoring, going against one of the best room defenses in the league. So not really thrilled about the matchup here. Yeah, I'd be looking to get underway even if Quigley were to be out. If he's going to project really well and ownership starts flooding his way, I think that's a pretty easy fade, kind of similar to Trey Young for me.

24:09

Uh quickly himself has a pretty solid matchup similar to the guards on the other end he's a really solid three-point shooter but the MAIN concern is what are the minutes gonna look like if he does return from a hamstring injury so tough for him to justify a six point $1,000 price tag I would love to get into jamal shed if quickly does miss I mean he's just a good basketball player plays winning basketball really good at being a connector and running the true point guard role and he has dual point guard shooting guard eligibility which makes him really easy to get to So I would love him if quickly does miss.

24:39

He's had averaging forty five Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points in his two starts without quickly this season. So he would be one of the more appealing ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value plays in the slate. And then if CMB were to miss, Jakob Perlick, five point $2,000. I understand the matchup is terrible and I do kind of crap on him a lot, but he's playing a lot of minutes, thirty one minutes in each of the last two games. Top thirty nine DK points in both of those games.

25:01

So that's a guy with real ceiling at a cheap price. Center price tag, five point $2,000. He's around one point three Fantasy Points Per Minute (FPPM)Fantasy points per minute (FPPM) measures a player's fantasy production per minute played. Calculate it by dividing total fantasy points by total minutes over the same games, using one site's scoring system.Separate competitive rotation minutes from minutes played after a game is effectively decided. A rate built against reserves may not represent the matchup and role you expect tonight.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points Per Minute with the current injury situation. So really solid numbers for him, even in a terrible matchup. And then Jacoby Walter would be a guy probably want to get to a little bit just because he does have pretty high scoring upside, was kind of yo-yoing back and forth with Elijah Martin a bit as Martin played better two games ago.

25:26

And then it kind of flipped back in Walter's favor. But you need off all scoring against a team like Boston. So he's Kind of a flowchart play for me. And then if CMB sits, then we also got to consider guys like Jameson Battle. Even Tyler Anderson, I think, would come to play a little bit just because their frontcourt would be so thin. Jacoby Walter, just if Quickly's out, right? Or you're fine taking a flyer even if Quickly plays? Probably need Quickly to be out.

25:52

If he's out, yeah, I think Shed becomes one of the better plays on the slate. Definitely. I mean, he's one of my favorite rosters when you know the minutes and usage will be there. Still agree with you. If Quickly's out and R.J. Barrett gets ownership, that is not something that I want to really play into at $1,000 on a slate like this. I mean, we have so many spends on this slate. I didn't even mention, like you were talking about Tatum.

26:13

The opportunity cost, you've got to get these spends right. Luka, Jokic, Wemby, AD, Tatum, Cat, Brunson, like there is big boys on this slate. That you're going to have to get right. So don't mind, I mean, Tatum's going to be low on, so don't mind that.

26:27

I think when I do that, especially if quickly is out, I probably would want to Bring-BackA bring-back, also called a run-back, is a player from the opposing team added to a stack, so your lineup benefits if the other side answers with scoring of its own.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back on Toronto and the run easy run back is shed, but you just, someone needs to keep this game close for a back-to-back for, I think Tatum to fully get there. Definitely like Yaka Pirtle. I mean, his, if he's playing in the past couple of games. So I like him quite a bit.

26:48

The one, if quickly plays it sounded like you didn't like him much and I am I do think his like ownership would probably be in like the twenty percent range because if you project him for normal minutes he's what is he a one point says it right here one point oh three fancy point per minute guy if you get him for thirty three minutes yeah he's sitting at roughly thirty five DK points thirty six which would be fine and project solid for Points Per DollarPoints per dollar measures projected or actual fantasy points relative to a player's salary, usually expressed as points per $1,000. A $5,000 player scoring 25 points returns 5x value, or five points per $1,000.Check whether a displayed ratio uses projected points or points already scored. A strong projection shows expected efficiency, not a guaranteed return.Read the full definition of Points Per Dollar so I do think like the sims or people would get there I take it that's an underweight approach for you if that happens Yeah, but I also haven't built teams.

27:21

So if he makes sense as the last man in, or if he just makes sense at the price tag in a position, then I wouldn't go against it. But I just don't think that there was really a tournament winning upside for him at a nearly $7,000 price tag coming off multi-game absence with a hamstring injury. Like there's no shot that he's playing four minutes, I'd imagine. Yeah, so I definitely would be cautious there. Not sure ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections will pick that up.

27:44

Our man Chuck said, looking at two Macs from every team, I would think so unless you get both Quickly and Murray Boyles out. Then I could see a Walter, Shed, Jakob, we didn't love RJ Bear, but RJ, Shed, Jakob, something like that. Do you agree with that? Sorry, what was the question? Right now, I think if Quigley's in, I think it is probably a max two of these first six teams the first three games.

28:08

But I could see if Quigley and especially Quigley and Murley Boyles. But for sure, if Quigley's out, I think you could do like a shed Walter Yaka Purtle or something and be fine with the R.J. Barrett still would look fine. But if he's in, I think it's max two of these first three games. Yeah, I think if both those guys miss, you can open Toronto up to three. Cool. Same page right there. All right, we're going to move to the next game.

28:31

Again, appreciate everyone hanging out. Hope everyone's day is going well. All we ask is a like button and subscribe button. It helps us out a ton. Heading into a pretty good DFS and real life game. The Nuggets four and a half point favorites over the Grizzlies. Two thirty and a half total in this one on the Memphis side. Isaiah Stewart is questionable for Denver. No injuries to talk about.

28:52

You see some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership in this game and almost all of it is coming from the Denver side. Jokic will definitely get a – I'm not sure. I'm not convinced he's only going to be twelve percent owned. Center is loaded, but eleven point $5,000 is definitely too cheap for Jokic. So not sure I necessarily believe that ownership, but you will be seeing ownership go to this game regardless. Not too much on the Memphis side, but I don't know.

29:15

Maybe I maybe I have a funny feeling that you might be interested in a two percent Boozer, probably more Boozer than Jerome at this price. But take it away, Nuggets and the Grizz. Yeah, I do think that this game has – A pretty solid appealing game environment. Two thirty total is fair for this episode. I think the other games that are higher are the Spurs favored by fifteen and a half and then Lakers by fourteen and a half. So.

29:42

You can definitely poke holes in those guys in terms of them losing minutes to blow out. This game should be close all the way through. Memphis has been one of the most surprising teams in the NBA this season. Seventh offensively, eighth defensively, ninth in net rating. Denver, on the other hand, has not been quite as impressive. They're eleventh in offense and twentieth in defense. I think the biggest matchup trend here we're seeing from Memphis, they're really good everywhere else minus their pick and roll defense.

30:07

And you could kind of pinpoint it like these types of bigs like Zach Eadie, like Joel Embiid, where they're just such, they're drop heavy bigs, point guards, pick and roll heavy guards are going to have chances to put up big scoring nights against them. And we have that here with Jamal Murray, the two men game for Yoko Chamuri has been one of the best weapons in NBA since they've been a duo.

30:29

Grizzlies on the other side, they are, sorry, Denver, they're pretty solid at limiting their pick and roll production. They're one of the, I don't know, top five-ish around there, but overall just not that great of an individual defense. So nothing stands out in a huge way for Memphis, but I still think that it's a pretty attackable team. Starting with Jokic, though, nothing about this matchup really standing out in a major way.

30:50

Good news is that he's being aggressive right now, shooting the ball a ton, putting up the peripheral numbers that we need to see from him. The issue is the salary. Kind of almost need a Triple-Double BonusThe triple-double bonus is extra fantasy scoring for recording at least 10 in three categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. In DraftKings NBA Classic, it adds 3 points on top of the player's statistical scoring and double-double bonus.Check how often a player reaches all three thresholds in the same game under a similar role. Separate averages for points, rebounds and assists can overstate the likelihood.Read the full definition of Triple-Double Bonus for him to justify the price tag.

31:01

And I guess with the lack of cheap value that's not centered currently or that we're not projecting to be centered later with the drum and stuff and potentially Jaco Perdo and other guys that we've talked about, tough to see me prioritizing him I could say that something different about Jamal Murray though just because I really really do love the matchup for him I think he's our cover boy on this YouTube show too but one of the biggest on ball scoring funnels in basketball is the Memphis Grizzlies Jamal Murray one of the better pick and roll guys in the NBA he's getting ownership but I do agree with it I think he's probably my favorite like mid to upper tier play on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate

31:37

Behind him Gordon, Braun, and Cam Johnson getting a little bit of ownership. I would side with Cam Johnson here. Minutes have been solid since returning from injury, and they just keep talking about needing to get him more opportunity on offense. Doesn't really provide much of the peripheral stats, so we're kind of relying on a big scoring night. But somebody that is a PivotA pivot in DFS is an alternative player or lineup combination you choose instead of another option. Tournament pivots usually seek comparable scoring upside at lower ownership, meaning fewer competing lineups use them.Before swapping, check what the replacement changes around it: your remaining salary, teammates, opposing players and available later-starting options.Read the full definition of Pivot off of Aaron Neesmith, similar. I think they're the same position eligibility. He's a little bit cheaper. I think that the upside is pretty similar.

32:05

I don't know if the ownership is going to be that different, though, because Sabre has him here at thirty percent. But I think that he's fine as a ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value play tonight. Memphis side of things, not particularly interested in Ty Jerome here. Denver's been really good at limiting off-ball production, and this is not necessarily the matchup I really want to target with him.

32:23

I think that if he lands into some lineups, I'm fine with it because we know that he does have upside, but there's nothing here about his matchup really that stands out.

32:31

Would say that such a coward and jalen wells are guys that stand out from match perspective but you're really asking for a lot for either of these guys to pay off in a big way I think coward is a guy that can get there because we've seen it from him before but the minutes are just all over the place right now so not a ton of confidence there but I do agree with you uh on boozer being a slightly better option than jerome here he hasn't really found his rhythm yet offensively which is crazy to say because he's still putting up some really good numbers but just hasn't been the most efficient scorer

33:01

The Nuggets are giving him a lot of catch-and-shoot and just spot-up shooting, so that could be an area that he exploits a little bit. But I do like that he provides all the peripheral stats. We've seen him get a triple-double already in his young career. So I think that he's a pretty solid option here.

33:15

You're going to see Aaron Gordon, who is a strong individual defender, but he's dealing with a ton of injuries right now and is not the same player that he was years prior. So I think that Boozer gets a pretty solid matchup here at A.K. I think he can definitely pay off the price tag. Definitely agree, and we're showing really low ownership there. I wouldn't worry about if I'm playing Jokic or if I'm playing Jamal that I need to play Boucher, though.

33:39

And you feel the same, right? Yeah. Now let me flip that. If you were playing Boucher, would you feel the need to play a Jamal or Jokic? No, I don't think so. I agree because they can eat into each other. Jokic can still have sixty five and still not be needed at center and Jamal can have forty and still not be needed. So I don't think there's any rules there. But I know people will ask Zach Edie love Sean saying, I mean, center's loaded.

34:05

He definitely will be mega ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian in that range. But do you have any interest there? Not necessarily. I mean, you don't really like picking on Jokic with opposing centers just because he's such a good rebounder. So probably not the type of play for me, but I wouldn't fully exit out. I mean, the minutes aren't really there for him. They're going to monitor his minutes the whole season. Yeah, that's what I was seeing. SaberSim hasn't ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections like twenty two minutes.

34:30

I think I need more than that at a loaded center position today. That only could get better if Cat were to miss. All right, we'll keep it rolling. Three games left, Los Angeles Lakers and the Milwaukee Bucs. Fourteen at-point favorites are the Lakers. Two-twenty-nine and a half total in this one on the Lakers' side. No Quinton Grimes. For the Bucs, no Miles Turner. Tyler Hero is questionable, you will see, even though the Bucs, oh, I thought we were going to see.

34:56

I'm not really sure where Khalil Ware is, why he's four percent. Let's see if... No, it'll update. He's going to be way higher. Yeah, I was trying to – oh, that's – so if we go SaberSim, SaberSim. Let's see if that updates. I don't think they've updated just yet for that. But, yeah, I mean, Coyle Ware without Myles Turner is going to be one of the chalkier plays. We'll just put him at . Thirty-five. I don't know if that's a little hot or not.

35:26

Everything will be updated. We're still a couple hours out from – From Locke. But Tyler Hero, questionable news is definitely big. I mean, the Bucs completely disappointed yesterday. Rollins did fine, I guess, but Burries, Kuzma, all of them. But it's a time to fire the Bucs right back up as four team at point dogs because of injuries. I think Ware looks really good, but everyone's going to know that.

35:48

Kuzma still is not very fun click but with tyler hero if he were to be out rollins buries hakez maybe I don't know on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate it feels a little thin laker side's tough for me just in the sense of like yeah luca probably dominates in three quarters but if he doesn't play that fourth there's a lot of competition up top today so harder for me to get to the Lakers stuff because of how bad the books are Yeah, you said it.

36:11

That's kind of the MAIN concern for Luka and Bambi tonight because obviously these matchups are so, so good. The Milwaukee Bucks continues to be one of the worst teams in basketball, and now they're going up against the best offense in the NBA and the best duo, Luka Doncic and Austin Reeves, just been... Playing lights out this season. Bucs coming off of another blowout loss. I've been terrible on both ends of the court.

36:32

The one positive, I would say, which I mentioned yesterday versus the Knicks. Lakers are another team that's a really big three-point funnel. One of, I believe, the biggest in the NBA this season. And Miami is actually third in offensive three-point frequency this season, so there's at least a theoretical path to offensive production. But the problem is that they don't really have the personnel, especially if Tyler Carroll were to sit.

36:53

I will say that taking Myles Turner out for Kahlil Ware is an upgrade offensively for sure. I would say it's a pretty even move defensively because they're kind of similar in the sense that neither is a true rim-protecting big, but they can block shots at times.

37:12

Yeah major offensive upgrade uh because miles Turner after last night's game is now up to two points per game more than me over his last three games so he had three more points than me yesterday but now it's up to two per game over the last three crazy um yeah so starting on the Lakers side of things obviously luca great great play tonight I just don't see anybody capable of slowing him down I think him and reeves have Amazing matchups.

37:40

The Bucs have not been able to stop these Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate players. And the salary is getting way up there for Luka. And if you're not getting full thirty-six minutes out of him, it's going to be tough for me to say that he's going to be the guy you needed tonight. Unless more really, really cheap value opens up, I probably see myself getting on a little bit more Austin Reed just because $1,000 is a little bit easier for him to pay off.

38:03

Even then, though, I don't know if I want to be, like, overweight these guys in particular just because I think there's a lot of opportunity cost paying these prices at these positions. I would say Walker Kessler is another player that I do really like from the matchup standpoint. I don't necessarily know if it's better with Ware.

38:19

I actually have to take a look after I talk about the Lakers, if you want to talk for a second, just to see how it is with Ware on and Turner off, but... Milwaukee is allowing the fourth highest room frequency, fourth highest offensive rebounding percentage, and the most drafting points per game to opposing centers. Lakers are not great offensive rebounding themselves, but this does set up as a really, really solid spot for Walker Kessel here.

38:42

The issue is that he's kind of in that awkward mid-$7,000 range at center, where we're probably going to need, honestly, close to fifty from him to feel good about the play. But the good news is that he's going to be right around the basket. He has two guys that can get him the ball right around the rim. And, yeah, I just don't think that the Bucs defense is going to be very good, even with or without Turner.

39:03

I'm going to give it to you for a second so I can just go check the numbers real quick. Yeah, I was looking at someone that definitely seems under-projected right now for SaberSim in terms of minutes and ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections. It's Collin Sexton. Without Grimes, he definitely gets a decent fit bump. I mean, twenty-six minutes, twenty-four minutes, last two games, twenty-five, twenty-six percent usage.

39:24

Definitely the definition of broomer bust, but plenty of games, like twenty-five, twenty-six usage, then fifteen, then twenty-nine, fourteen, twenty-six, eighteen, thirty, forty-six, twenty-eight. Again, this is his usage, but... He comes off the bench and he chucks it. He's one of their MAIN scorers in the second unit. Minutes a little staggered from Luka at times. So, I mean, everything, projection, OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership is minutes. All of that is under-projected in terms of SaberSim. Kirsten, where do you think he's going to go in terms of ownership?

39:55

Honestly, like there's like fifteen, twenty percent, maybe. I did want to call it out, though, because it's that we're light everywhere or they are. I kind of zoned out for a second, but I assume that you're talking about Collin Sexton? Yep, yep. Yeah, I don't know. Those two games, two good games that he's had, one of Luka or Reeves missed each one of them, so I'm not really... Crazy about going to him.

40:18

It's just hard when you're – it's easier for him to put up good games when one of those guys misses because basically all of his minutes or most of his minutes are staggered away from one of Luca Reeves. But with those guys back, he's playing with one of them basically all the time. So I'm not too crazy about that because I just don't think that the usage is going to be there for Sexton in those minutes. All right.

40:40

What did you find with – Yeah, so the offensive rating, not much better with Ware on the court. Defensive rating is bad as well. Yeah, well, a little bit better. I think it's one twenty one with Turner on Ware off one oh six offensive rating versus one oh four offensive rating one nineteen. So it's basically the same. They're the same player. Max one Lakers feels pretty safe. Yeah, I think that is good tonight. Yeah. That's where I'm at. If one of them fully gets there, sure.

41:15

More than likely at the prices, though. The three most appealing look to be Luka, Reeves, Walker, and they all have real price tags. And it's a slate with seven games and a lot of studs that you're probably going to need six X to seven X to really get there today. Buck side? Yeah. Interesting side, which is crazy. Yeah. Second night in a row that they're interesting. Yeah.

41:37

But, yeah, I mean, obviously I think Ware is probably the starting point for a Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry build tonight, a guy that you want to have a lot of because even though he's not the best player for winning, he does have a really solid ceiling and has been a really good permanent producer in the past. The issue is that I don't necessarily think that this coaching staff likes him, so there might be a little bit more fragility around his Minutes ProjectionA minutes projection estimates how much playing time a player will receive in a game. You use it to estimate opportunities for fantasy production, not as a guarantee of playing time or points.Ask what would make the player lose minutes. If your lineup only works when he gets the most optimistic playing time estimate, reconsider the pick.Read the full definition of Minutes Projection. Especially if he's not starting.

42:05

I think that they're going to start him. I'm fairly confident they will, but I wouldn't be surprised also if they go to Jericho Sims. They probably won't go with Jang, but they could definitely pull out Jericho Sims there, which would be really bad and make where a worse play. I would still play some of him because he's probably going to play mid to low twenties and could still get it done there.

42:25

But yeah, definitely want him to be starting tonight if he does starting a lot of teams with him. I think actually Hero would be a fine play if he's in. It's a contusion, so not really something that needs to be managed as more so just kind of like a pain tolerance thing. So if he's in and he's playing full minutes, this is a decent matchup for him. If he's out, then fine going right back to Rollins and Berries.

42:49

I would actually probably prefer Rollins because now that the prices are only four hundred apart, Rollins has a much better role. He was on ball a lot more than Berries was. But if heroes and then obviously Berries is going to be a much better play just because his role won't really change too much. And Rollins will. What a. Like, man, you just got me thinking, like, if Kahlil Ware didn't start, because, I mean, you wouldn't know it for these first games.

43:15

De'Ron Sharpe's right there at center for .五百多, like, you're doing everything you can, and more than likely you're having multiple roster spots open, that you're just doing that and figuring out the rest. But I'm trying to find other pivots. Like, if you like Zach Eadie, he's only .二百多, I guess.

43:30

Otherwise, if you already have like a Luka in your lineup or a Jokic or something, I guess Jokic doesn't, Bouger, any of these Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up top, Wembes, then you can just flip it and then pay – like go yeah go to sharp go to ed or go to walker kessler or something for some savings and then spend the money at a guard or something because if he does come off the bench I I'm with you I think it sounds like you're like you you're a little worried like he's no by no means a slam dunk play at four point $8,000 because I'm still worried about what the minutes cap would be yeah uh and then you wouldn't play jericho sims would you no we're not doing that yeah Because they're going to mix in Dieng.

44:11

I guess I wouldn't be shocked if Dieng, like, feels like they like him more than the other two. I've called for Sims for, like, two years now. When he's out there, he plays well. He plays his role. But, yeah, I don't know what this Jake and staff really likes nowadays. I don't either. I don't know if there's necessarily much outside of Barry's that is, like, guaranteed to be on this team in a couple years. Yeah, they definitely like him. They're in trouble.

44:39

Assuming he plays, assuming Hero plays, Burry's Hero where? Are you fine with three bucks? Yeah, I think that's okay. I probably wouldn't. I don't think I would limit that, but I don't necessarily love the idea of doing that. Makes sense. Anything else in this game? Any group of ways you find playing Rollins and Burry's together, assuming Hero's out? Kuzma, you're fine with? You don't love, I take it? Anything?

45:09

No, it would for sure be a max, probably a max one of Jacques Michonis and Rawlins. I'd have to double check that, but I don't think that they're overlapping much, if at all. I don't think that he's really much in play, even if Hero does miss. Kind of confused why they don't play him more, because he's actually a pretty solid player. But yeah, max one of those two guys. Yeah, that's a great point.

45:33

FanDuel is even way cheaper, just center eligible, but $4,100. On FanDuel. That's a price tag where even if he does come off the bench that you can still get away with it, I think fits the scoring over there better as well. All right, I got nothing more. We spent a lot of time on the big favorites, but, yeah, the Bucs, of course, another day where they're pretty important for this slate, and Tyler Heron is definitely important. Two games left.

45:58

Again, appreciate everyone hanging out. All we ask is a like button and subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. Brooklyn Nets, three-and-a-half point underdogs to the New Orleans Pelicans, two-twenty-eight-and-a-half total in this one. Looking at the injury reports on the Brooklyn side, we got Drury is questionable. Mikkel Brown is out going over to the Pelican side. Let's see. Trey Murphy, doubtful. Matherin out. Trennan Wofford out. So some Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News in this game.

46:29

But again, we do have most of what we're already looking at. Sorting by OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, you're seeing a little bit going to the Nets. I think De'Ron Sharp might even be a little higher on than this. Maybe not. Again, because Klaue is center. Jokic is center. Jakob Pertl is center. Center is loaded. Sharp's ownership would only go up if Klaue did end up coming off the bench.

46:48

Would go down if drummond is uh if cat's out and then drummond becomes a center but regardless daron sharp looks like another great middling center play mpj and randall are still below $1,000 this looks like a pretty competitive game a solid total so do you have interest in either of those two For sure.

47:07

I think this is one of the more interesting games in the sense that there's a lot of ownership funneling here, which can be a little bit scary because we're dealing with two really bad offenses. But fortunately for both these teams, two very bad defenses as well. So kind of similar to what we saw last night with Orlando and Sacramento facing off. Both teams dealing with injuries as well. So there's creating more value than usual for these guys.

47:30

From a matchup standpoint, neither giving up a ton of room attempts, but both are allowing or I guess below average field goal percentage at the rim, so they're not stopping a lot of people from scoring when they do get down low. But the biggest takeaway is that both teams are allowing a good amount of three-point volume. Brooklyn is third in three-point frequency allowed, third in catch-and-shoot and spot-up defense, and one of the best pick-and-roll defenses.

47:54

They're going to continue to double-team guys a lot. New Orleans is not that far behind. They're fifth in three-point frequency allowed. I do like the matchup for these Brooklyn guys. I like it for Randall, but I do have some concerns about his actual ceiling.

48:08

New Orleans has struggled against guys like him, the prototypical on-ball paint scorers, so the matchup does make a ton of sense, and he's not too expensive where you're really – uh spending a lot of money to get upside from him but I mean I don't know what the ceiling really looks like for randall these days the opening night he had Fantasy PointsNBA fantasy points convert a player's box score into a DFS score, including points scored, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and turnovers. His basketball point total is only one part of his fantasy production.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points and we were on him in a pretty big way that that SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate but he hasn't topped DK points since then I think it projected ownership it's probably more of an underweight maybe slightly below his uh his ownership I just don't know if the ceiling is really there for these guys anymore with how bad their offense has been Do you believe that ownership?

48:51

Yeah, I do. Okay. It'll be for sure. So MPJ, MPJ over Randall. Well, even then, I think there's kind of some question marks around MPJ. I'm a little bit more fine with him because he's got a better matchup, I think, with the Nets allowing a lot of off-ball scoring. He's a little bit cheaper, which helps, but the ceiling hasn't really been that impressive for him either.

49:14

I think he's gone over a fifty a couple times, so has a better hit rate than Randall, but I'll probably end up around to slightly below on both these guys I'm not super crazy about playing Nets on any slate in particular I do think that sharp is a much different story though I really like him tonight assuming that the minutes hold up he's only played more than thirty minutes twice a season but the thing that's changed is that they're starting to run more offense through him he's seen an uptick in front court touches I believe more than randall has over the past couple games had a Triple-Double BonusThe triple-double bonus is extra fantasy scoring for recording at least 10 in three categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals or blocks. In DraftKings NBA Classic, it adds 3 points on top of the player's statistical scoring and double-double bonus.Check how often a player reaches all three thresholds in the same game under a similar role. Separate averages for points, rebounds and assists can overstate the likelihood.Read the full definition of Triple-Double Bonus two two games ago and at least six assists in the other two games so the role has improved a lot

49:50

For him and the matchup is really really good New Orleans is uh the fourth best matchup for biggs of daron sharp's archetype so there's legitimate ceiling for a guy like they're on sharp here him or yakup hurdle yeah I mean I'm assuming that you mean with like cmb and quickly out straight up it would be sharp for me right now even at yeah ownership included assuming day runs double two and a half times um but yeah I guess with no cmb does this quickly mean that much for yaka fertile um not really but I mean it is another higher usage guy so it doesn't it doesn't hurt him that have a guy like that out yeah Yeah, I would say with CMB out, it does get a little bit closer.

50:37

I think that you're looking at more minutes for Purgle and similar permanent production, so I'd probably go there, especially if the ownership is lower. But with that being said, I do really like Shrub tonight, straight up. And then, yeah, I don't believe, like, I think MPJ might be, like, closer to thirty percent. So that's another thing to keep in mind. I do think the gap is a decent bit wider from MPJ to Randall.

51:00

I mean, you can just see right here, slightly higher. We have MPJ projected and he's two hundred less. So, yeah, take that with how you want it. Let's go to the Pelican side. First of all, did you see the Derrick Queen thing the other night? I did not. Yeah, they're down by Forty or something. I think they're playing the Warriors. I just want to double-check the box score.

51:24

Yeah, they're playing the Warriors, and he just got up in the middle of the game and walked to the other side of the court along the sideline and then sat in the stands. It was the oddest thing I've ever seen. Man, what a fall-off for Derrick Queen. He had his time. He had his games. I knew it wasn't going to be good when you had him and Jeremiah Fierce sitting out in the summer league their rookie year.

51:44

Like, how are you guys not trying to get more reps? Yeah, that's a terrible look. Anyways. Troy out. Okay. That changes things. We can circle back to that in a second. We do have to kind of hurry up, though. Yeah, looking at expanded opportunities for guys like Fears, Bay, and Queen with Trey Murphy out. I think Fears is probably the guy you're looking to. Just haven't seen it from Zion. The usage is just really, really down this season.

52:12

He does have upside in this matchup in particular. I mean, honestly, he might be a better overall play than Randall just because the ceiling is pretty similar, but he's coming with less ownership. So probably prefer Zion over Julius Randall in that sense. Murray is losing playmaking opportunity and ball handling to Fierce. I'm struggling seeing a world where I Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up for him. I think I'd much prefer Fierce to have shown upside even at this price tag.

52:37

And then Bay, Queen, a little bit too expensive right now for these roles. Both guys coming off the bench. I would really like to match it for Queen, but yeah, just a lot of weird stuff going on there. Do you want to circle back to Brooklyn with Troy? I'm looking right now at our Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate tool over here, and again, I don't want to give everything away since it is a premium piece of content, but it's definitely something you should check out.

53:04

I'll say the biggest bumps and by far is Igor Demin. He just came back from injury not too long ago, right? Yeah, I think this is his first game back, if I'm not mistaken. And they're also down... They're also down Mikel Brown, the rookie who, I mean, that dude's fun to watch. There is some usage. So no Troy, no him, or no Brown. Is it enough on this slate for Igor Demin? $5,000. I mean, he's not free by any means.

53:36

Probably not I think he's gonna be pretty limited here but I will say they've been doing something weird with their rotation I believe Danny Wolf is playing a lot of like two guard right now and I think there's a chance that he starts so he's another center he's four point $5,000 and starting and we kind of know what he brings he does a little bit of everything so yeah he played thirty one and thirty six minutes in his last two game not great production but if you're

54:03

Telling me you're getting a guy at four point $5,000 playing thirty plus minutes you almost have to play him a little bit for sure only center eligible which makes it difficult you wouldn't group away him and sharp right obviously they'd both be sharing the court yeah it's uh you said would not group him away or would I didn't think you would but maybe maybe you would Assuming they're both starting.

54:25

Yeah, I think it honestly depends on Cat, because if Cat does play, then I would probably, yeah, exactly. These guys are only center eligible, so it's tough for me to play two centers from the same team, even if they don't really negatively correlate. That makes sense. If Cat's in, though, I think it is more viable. Yeah.

54:45

And then another pivot that you can have for Khalil Ware as well, if you were not to start, but we're going based on that he's going to start. All right, let's get to the last game of the night, San Antonio Spurs and the Chicago Bulls. Fifteen and a half point favorites are the Spurs, two thirty seven and a half total. The biggest on the slate injuries for the Spurs side. Devin Vassell is questionable. Nothing else to note.

55:06

And as far as the Chicago side, Norm Powell, Caleb Wilson, Zach Collins, all questionable. You mentioned it from the top. Like those are very important cue tags for the Bulls. I mean, you can't really get more important cue tags on that side. But with that being said, I mean, they still got to score enough points. They're probably going to get blown out. How does garbage time look? Matas and Jalen Smith just sorting by Points Per DollarPoints per dollar measures projected or actual fantasy points relative to a player's salary, usually expressed as points per $1,000. A $5,000 player scoring 25 points returns 5x value, or five points per $1,000.Check whether a displayed ratio uses projected points or points already scored. A strong projection shows expected efficiency, not a guaranteed return.Read the full definition of Points Per Dollar right now look the best.

55:33

Matas at $5,500. I mean, he would get a big bump. I'm not even looking at the Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate thing, but it's kind of common sense. It's just, man, it's not fun rostering any Bulls. So I'm kind of just hoping they're in. Are you going to do anything before this late to mess with bull stuff? And then, yeah. What do you what do you see yourself doing in this one?

55:51

I'm not, and it's mainly just because I really do expect the Spurs to blow them out in a pretty big way, and we're probably going to get a deep rotation. And I don't know if there's guys off the bench that will be even viable on this type of SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate to put up scores. I'll mention some guys when I talk about the Bulls, but I just think that there's a lot working against the Bulls here against this team.

56:14

Bulls are worst team in basketball right now, worst defense in basketball facing the Spurs that are sixth offensively, second in net rating, dealing with Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News. So they're most important players. So if those guys sit, they might give up like seventy to eighty points at halftime and be down by like twenty five. Would not be surprised if that's the case. But the biggest issue with the Spurs here is not the matchup. It's whether they play enough minutes.

56:34

We've seen Wemby still smash in like twenty five to twenty eight minutes. So I think. If you want to play him, you feel strong about the matchup, which you should, you feel strong about his ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections, then go ahead. I'm not going to talk you off of him, but there was some talk about from Tiago Splitter where they said they're not going to be going to the rim.

56:53

They're going to be shooting a lot of threes and not allow Wemby to impact the game with his blocks and his steals around the basket. I don't know if there's any sort of betting opportunity there, but they're going to take a ton of threes tonight, it sounds like. But, yeah, the Bulls have been getting killed at the rim and being killed against high-usage guys. Bumby's just seen a crazy uptick in usage. Backcourt, probably preferring Harper and Castle over Fox by a pretty decent margin.

57:18

Fox seeing a dip in usage, and maybe Harper gets a little bit of a longer leash if this game gets out of hand. It's kind of the same thing for Castle. I think that Castle just provides a little bit of everything in the matchup so good. I think Kelton is in play regardless because he does tend to play longer in fourth quarter stints when the game is blowout. He'll be in that...

57:39

Rotation when it's like harrison barnes and luke cornett and then there's like three minutes left they'll pull him away so he could have a chance to have a pretty solid role if this game is out of hand and he's going to be in the rotation regardless both side I think it's an interesting injury situation because guys do see a pretty big bump in usage and scoring when these guys do miss but I don't necessarily know if it's enough for me to want to get to these guys I will say though if kate wilson does miss Maybe worth a shout on Norm Powell if he does play because he sees a pretty sizable jump in usage and scoring with Wilson off the court this season.

58:13

It's not a great matchup, obviously. Spurs are really good defensively, but he's going to see a really big role if Caleb Wilson were to miss. And then I agree with you. Bozell is kind of in play regardless. Not really in on Jim Smith with these other center plays that we talked about tonight, but Bozell is at five point $5,000 starting to play a lot better. He's talked about being A slow starter, but he's starting to look a little bit better right now.

58:37

Man, what would you rather have, the Bucs team or the Bulls team in the next five years? I would go with the Bulls just because you got Caleb Wilson. There you go. That makes sense. But I'm also a Homer because I'm a Tar Heels fan. It's rougher, but I mean, yeah, I'd rather Caleb over anything. The Bucs are really cooking up. So I think that's probably the right answer. Yeah, I mean, it's a it's a good slate.

58:58

What you do with I mean, we're going to get like the cat news is by far the biggest. But Tyler Hero News is pretty important, too. If you do have a lean again, our Usage RateUsage rate estimates the percentage of a team's offensive plays a player uses while on the court, based on shot attempts, free throw attempts and turnovers. It does not measure assists or time spent holding the ball.Check who shared the floor in any usage sample. Numbers collected against reserves or with several starters missing may not describe the role you are projecting tonight.Read the full definition of Usage Rate tool over at Shippenation, I'll just show it off real quick. It does help out a ton. So I just right here in the Bulls game when we were talking, no Caleb Wilson and no Norm Powell. You can see what they're projecting now, what roughly the new ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections would be.

59:22

If just one of them missed, the other one plays like Caleb Wilson. You can see all of that as well. So really cool tool and allows you to prepare ahead of time and plan. If this guy's out, then this guy and not just wait to the last second for projections and everything.

59:38

To be updated but of course they are throughout the night I saw we did have someone in chat danny ask any uh deals for Ship It Nation so we know we don't do any deals because we believe that we're already the best uh Points Per DollarPoints per dollar measures projected or actual fantasy points relative to a player's salary, usually expressed as points per $1,000. A $5,000 player scoring 25 points returns 5x value, or five points per $1,000.Check whether a displayed ratio uses projected points or points already scored. A strong projection shows expected efficiency, not a guaranteed return.Read the full definition of Points Per Dollar dollar per value whatever you want to say already in the industry but If you see, it's less than a dollar a day, a lot of our content. This is with SaberSim, with the Discord.

1:00:01

Again, the longer you're with us, the cheaper it gets. But we also do have single sport options as well below. And you can see less than a dollar for the monthly. Only seventeen dollars a month for NBA. And then you can see if you do want SaberSim as well, the add on there. But yeah.

1:00:17

Everything you knew or everything you need we have you covered if you want to find out what you think or what is the best package for you you can click to take the sixty second quiz and get everything uh or get uh your results back and then it'll recommend what is best for you but no deals we do not uh not do it we don't do any deals over here at Ship It Nation Rio any final thoughts besides to be looking out for the Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News uh for tonight no I don't think so um Yeah, I think that's it.

1:00:46

That's all I got. You covered everything else. Cool. We do have the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate plan already up. Cores go up for DraftKings and FanDuel. Some of them already up already. Cash as well. Again, projections, OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership updated throughout. We did show off the stone and the Stone 2.0 point. Oh, a nice little addition to be able to sort by each game. Make it a little more user friendly. Hit that like hit that subscribe on the way out. We appreciate it a lot.

1:01:11

And we'll be back tomorrow talking some NFL and MMA. And then NBA will be back on Friday. That's going to do it for real on Titletown. Good luck. Peace. Peace.

Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 3:27Stone Tool Updates
  3. 4:34Membership Options
  4. 5:35Community Wins
  5. 6:12Wizards vs Pacers
  6. 11:45Cavaliers vs Knicks
  7. 19:12Celtics vs Raptors
  8. 28:38Nuggets vs Grizzlies
  9. 34:38Lakers vs Bucks
  10. 46:04Nets vs Pelicans
  11. 54:52Spurs vs Bulls
  12. 58:56Final Injury Watch and Wrap-Up

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