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Commanders vs 49ers NFL DFS Showdown | MNF Week 6 Showdown Shippers | Picks, Plays & Process

Aired Mon Oct 19, 2026 Runtime 1:16:39 Chapters 15 Views 4,176

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Monday, October 19 NFL slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

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The Short Version

Toe Taggin Tambo, Hoop and Title break down Washington at San Francisco with receiver news still unsettled. Rachaad White ($6,600) offers receiving work and captain savings without Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and his FanDuel price is especially cheap. Jayden Daniels brings rushing upside even in a loss. Purdy, Kittle and McCaffrey all have captain paths, but McCaffrey's managed workload creates a clear split over how much to play.

Mike Evans ($9,600) offers touchdown leverage off McCaffrey, with his injury tag potentially suppressing ownership. Chig Okonkwo ($4,600) gets an optimal-lineup call and stands out on FanDuel too. Antonio Williams leads the cheap Washington receivers, while Christian Kirk's status affects Brandin Cooks and Jacob Cowing. Wait for inactives, build flex combinations around the captain's game script and leave salary when appropriate; the abundance of cheap options creates opportunities for less duplicated lineups.

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
CAPTAIN Strong form and San Francisco's scoring outlook make him a captain option, though the appeal depends on spreading touchdowns among several receivers. 19:54
CAPTAIN A major captain option if active, with strong target involvement and a questionable tag that could keep ownership down. 20:23
CAPTAIN Rushing upside supports captain builds across game scripts, including one Washington pass catcher alongside four 49ers. 25:45
CAPTAIN At $9,900 in the captain slot, his receiving role and touchdown opportunity provide savings without requiring Washington to lead. 26:07
CAPTAIN Receiving and touchdown upside support captain exposure, but opinions are split because his workload has stayed around twenty touches or fewer. 26:58
CAPTAIN A strong tight-end matchup and San Francisco's receiver injuries support captain exposure at $12,300. 29:21
CAPTAIN A contrarian captain possibility at projected three-to-five-percent ownership, though there is disagreement about whether his ceiling is sufficient. 37:28
CORE High upside and strong optimal rates support getting substantial flex exposure. 44:30
CORE Rushing production keeps him a major flex priority, including as the only Commander in five-49ers builds. 46:03
VALUE A $200 DraftKings punt only if called up and active, with a small rotational role potentially enough to help fit expensive players. 47:47
VALUE Affordable receiving work makes him playable alongside White when Washington trails and takes dump-offs. 48:18
VALUE Fits San Francisco blowout builds and can share a lineup with McCaffrey, but needs a touchdown and is more appealing at his FanDuel price. 49:22
VALUE The favorite cheap Washington receiver at $4,200, providing salary relief around expensive captains and a larger opportunity if Diggs sits. 57:36
The least appealing Washington receiver at his salary, with limited use in otherwise chalky Daniels-captain builds rather than an outright fade. 57:36
VALUE Single-digit ownership and salary relief make him useful even if Diggs plays, with a substantial opportunity boost if Diggs is out. 57:58
VALUE A cheap receiver to mix into lineups at single-digit ownership even if Diggs is active. 57:58
More appealing than Diggs and cheaper on FanDuel, but the discussion includes an underweight stance and doubts about his captain ceiling. 58:21
LEVERAGE Offers direct touchdown leverage off McCaffrey, with his price and questionable tag potentially holding down ownership. 59:03
VALUE A preferred cheap San Francisco receiver, but Kirk's return could reduce his slot work and makes pairing them difficult. 59:03
VALUE A preferred DraftKings salary saver ahead of Watkins, while his $7,600 FanDuel price is much less appealing. 59:03
VALUE Worth some exposure at $3,000 if active, though he could be eased in and competes with Cooks for slot work. 59:27
A little exposure is acceptable, but Cowing appears ahead of him and Kirk returning would reduce interest further. 59:27
CORE Wanted in both captain and flex without a strong underweight stand, although the simulations caution against treating him as automatic. 1:04:03
A low-owned blocking tight end considered only for larger portfolios, where a few points or a red-zone touchdown could support a stars-and-scrubs build. 1:05:14
Playable for his floor despite limited excitement, with a long field goal potentially separating him from other flex options. 1:10:18
Solid recent production and a relatively high floor make him a playable kicker option. 1:10:18
Commanders DST The least interesting defense on the slate, but no unconditional exclusion was stated. 1:10:49
49ers DST LEVERAGE Projected ownership around fifteen percent is appealing relative to the defense's projection, making it an alternative to similarly priced flex plays. 1:11:16
VALUE Too cheap for his expected receiving role on DraftKings and especially mispriced at $5,600 on FanDuel. 1:13:04
VALUE An affordable flex option with touchdown upside, an explicit optimal-lineup prediction and particular appeal at $3,600 on FanDuel. 1:13:04

DFS Terms Used on This Show

Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown▶ Said at 0:04 Roster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction▶ Said at 2:27 Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News▶ Said at 3:31 SatelliteA satellite, also called a qualifier, is a contest whose prizes are tickets into a more expensive contest or a live final instead of cash. Tickets are free entries into that bigger event.Before building, compare the number of seats to the size of the field. The share of entries that win a ticket tells you whether to build like a cash game or a tournament.Read the full definition of Satellite▶ Said at 7:09 SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate▶ Said at 12:08 ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections▶ Said at 14:11 Multi-EntryMulti-entry means entering more than one lineup into the same contest. A contest's entry limit, such as 3, 20 or 150, sets how many lineups one user can submit.Set your total spend for the slate first, then divide it into entries. Multi-entry should spread a fixed budget across more outcomes, not raise how much you put at risk.Read the full definition of Multi-Entry▶ Said at 19:26 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership▶ Said at 19:54 Game ScriptGame script is how a game's score and time remaining influence its pace, play choices and player opportunities. In football, teams protecting a lead often run more, while teams chasing a deficit often pass more.Before locking a lineup, ask who keeps playing if your expected script reverses. Check passing-down roles and backup rotations instead of assuming a team's leading rusher handles every situation.Read the full definition of Game Script▶ Said at 25:45 ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian▶ Said at 26:07 LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage▶ Said at 28:45 Late SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap▶ Said at 34:32 Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry▶ Said at 35:50 Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back▶ Said at 49:46 UnderweightYou are underweight in DFS when a player, team stack or lineup combination appears in a smaller percentage of your entries than in the contest field's entries.Compare the same contest, format and roster slot. Use projected ownership before lock, then check actual ownership afterward to see whether your intended underweight stance held.Read the full definition of Underweight▶ Said at 50:54 OptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer▶ Said at 54:49 Target ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share▶ Said at 1:04:03 Stars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs▶ Said at 1:05:14

Full Transcript

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0:04

Systems go. Clear for lift off. What's up, everyone? Tyler Jambaline here, a.k.a. Toe Taggin Tambo, back for another edition of Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown Shippers, Monday Night Football edition here on the Ship It Nation YouTube station. Make sure to smash that thumbs up, subscribe to the channel. Got Hoop, got Title here with me as usual. I'm going to be breaking down all things Commanders at the FortyNiners. And before everyone says this game... It's horrible, and there's no way this team can beat this team, and et cetera, et cetera.

0:59

I don't want to hear it. We just watched the Arizona Cardinals beat the Rams yesterday. We've seen the Bucs beat the Dallas Cowboys when that couldn't happen. We've seen the Broncos beat the Seahawks when that couldn't happen. I could go on, but the Rams won hoop has to be the craziest. I'll bring you in, my friend. We still got one more game with week six. Ready to go.

1:16

Yeah, I mean, there's been a lot of that this year where it looks like Team A has no chance against Team B, and then it happens. And there's two of them yesterday, even the Colts and the Titans. But, yeah, the Rams and Cardinals definitely take the cake. I'm definitely not a conspiracy theorist, but, man, it sure looked like the Rams were, like, trying to lose that football game. Like, they didn't do anything wrong. That made sense.

1:42

If they're trying to win the game, it was like almost everything was completely ass backwards. They did not look like the same Rams team. Like it was really, really bad. I liked horrible. Crushed a lot of people for showdown, or not for showdown, for Survivor Contest, number one, and then crushed a lot of people that were sitting on a nice afternoon stack.

2:06

Had a lot of teams looking good in the afternoon game, or in the morning games, and then the afternoon hits, and you're like, all right, I'm sitting on a Rams deck, got some Cardinals bringbacks, and Nothing really happened ever. So it was pretty disappointing from that perspective. But you got a pretty good one here tonight for sure. Yeah, a lot to talk about with this one.

2:27

And we're going to do it as usual when we get to it before I bring title in. We are going to talk about, you know, the captain position. We're going to go down to Roster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction, the composition for those lineups. We'll go position by position, little FanDuel at the end. But title, you're no stranger to big upsets. We saw what a minus $3,000 in MMA recently or something like that go down.

2:44

So stuff happens in these sports that we watch in these crazy games that we play. How you doing, my friend? What's going on? Yeah, I mean, you couldn't have said it better. We talked about it with the Buccaneers-Cowboys game, and toward the end, of course it happened, but I was like, yeah, you look at the odds, NFL's efficient, it was eighty-twenty. You see twenty percent. What the Rams was, they were minus eight-fifty, eighty-nine percent.

3:09

Eighty-nine percent means eleven percent on the other side, and yeah, that happens sometimes. Yeah. Conspiracy, Ray, who knows? We'll never know. But upsets happen. These are grown men at the highest level playing against each other. And yeah. So today, whether you think Commanders have no chance, well, they're a lot less favorites than the Ram just were yesterday. Let's see. Minus three ninety five is.

3:31

Uh well um seventy nine point eight percent literally what we just had it's Cowboys buck so twenty percent of the time you will see the Commanders win if you believe these odds are efficient so yeah I'm excited for this one um some Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News to talk about no crossy merits and obviously everyone's going to load up on san fran so yeah excited to talk one this one through me too one of the craziest plays from that Rams game too it just popped in my head and I wanted to bring it up was what were they third and one or fourth and one and they got all the weapons in the world you got uh you know Kyron you got Blake Corum you got Puka you have Devante Adams

4:06

They handed off to their third string tight end and he gets absolutely stuffed like that that's when I knew that game was done like all right this is this this is never gonna get going this game is dead on arrival Remember, I posted it too. Even the app tried to speed it up after that bad first quarter. It said halftime on ESPN and scored. They tried to speed this thing up.

4:30

But the Davis Allen one, I forget who the commentary was, when they said, you know, so-and-so, that sounds like a good idea on a Wednesday practice in the afternoon. But then when you're in a game and you go run it out there, he's like, Davis Allen's like, yeah, I could do that. Then it gets game time. No, I can't do that. That's not very good. That was bad execution. And Sixberg says, your eyes ain't lying.

4:51

I'm just putting in an accent on this guy, Hoop. These games are far from organic these days. So you never know. Parabay, NBA streets are coming back. We appreciate you. Said the Rams were minus a thousand when he got it. So minus three took them. And that's the only thing that sunk his parlay. Yeah. So. Wild stuff happening in the streets. Title said it. There's already some injuries with this game. We are waiting on some news and we'll get to that.

5:13

We'll bring it all up here in just a moment, but want to bring it up quickly from yesterday. We had a huge day for the Ship It Nation community and it impacts the upcoming week for Ship It Games and for the Golden Shipper and for anybody who's a member at Ship It Nation. If you're not, you can still get in at any time and become part of this fun. But first off, Max, the soda, you guys can rebuttal it in a second.

5:33

We talked about a little lot, takedown breakdown, just a crazy sweat. The cool part is though, he still came away with a fifty $2,000 that he won off tickets. And then I love this attitude and discipline this morning, right back in the Discord saying, Hey, loaded up my contest for next week, hundred and sixty bucks.

5:48

Right back at it after winning fifty $2,000 said, you know, I'll figure it out when I want to treat myself, but I'm going to play normal even after winning fifty $2,000. And that's how you stay in the game. So shout out to Mariota. I know the Tucker beat was bad there, but it's part of the game. It is what it is. Rick Ten. Awesome story here. Won $75,000 yesterday.

6:07

He's going to donate a fifteen hundred dollar ticket on November first, the week eight midseason main event with one point five million up top. We'll talk about that in a second. Tom Brady is great. I only seen his $50,000 score in the $555 face mask. We found him on the takedown breakdown, had another hundred and $50,000 more for $200,000 plus in the luxury box, came second and fourth in that tournament. And T. Jones won the stiff arm.

6:32

A lot of shippers. We don't always see that. First, first, first. Obviously, it was close for Max DeSoto, but a great week. But back to Rick Ten really quickly. The big deal here is in shipping games where we're giving away $50,000 plus in cash and prizes, you have to win your way in. And the Golden shipper rewards a Golden shipping ticket to first, second and third place out of the four ninety nine that play in it. Then the top fifty get in.

6:56

Of the top fifty, the top ten play in an online final where the winner will ultimately get at least $12,000 cash and prizes. But this week, just going back to Rick's message here, he said.

7:09

Would like to donate a SatelliteA satellite, also called a qualifier, is a contest whose prizes are tickets into a more expensive contest or a live final instead of cash. Tickets are free entries into that bigger event.Before building, compare the number of seats to the size of the field. The share of entries that win a ticket tells you whether to build like a cash game or a tournament.Read the full definition of Satellite fifteen hundred dollar on November first so anybody who's a Ship It Nation member anybody who gets in this week tonight you can get in today and get into this stuff but the Golden shipper this week not only will the top three get a Golden shipping ticket but first place will win

7:26

A fifteen hundred dollar ticket on behalf of rick to play in the week eight mid-season main event with one point five million up top and the prizes are crazy after that it's like I think it's a mil or five hundred four hundred three hundred two fifty two fifty like it's a lot of really big boy scores on the site over there so check it out thanks to rick we appreciate you man I think it's gonna be an awesome uh event this week and that's what the community is all about boys any thoughts there on the week that uh was Ship It Nation the billy sweat anything else Man, I almost take a little blame.

7:56

Literally six seconds before that Tucker touchdown, I pull up the contest online, pull up the $555 scrolling a bit. And I say out loud to my boys, the only thing he's fading is a Trey Tucker bomb. Literally.

8:10

Seconds before that play snapped and of course you knew when the ball was in the air that it was trey Tucker he's the only one that's down there and my heart all of our hearts just sunk for him another one of my friends I played poker with and made him $50,000 on FanDuel it I mean that's the game we play I won our member so that's obviously I'm cheering for really really sad there but then A couple minutes later, I can't help but think how happy I am for whoever that was on the other side of that.

8:35

That's the game we play. I was stone dust all day, so I wasn't cheering for much besides him up top. But phenomenal attitude, like you said. I mean, that takes discipline. Yeah, I mean, you took it probably better than mine, and mine was a lot less in week two just for a couple days. So, yeah, props to you. So, yeah, I felt really bad, though. For sure. Whoop. Did you see that? Were you following along with any of this stuff yesterday too?

8:59

It was pretty crazy. Yeah. That team was up there for forever. I mean, I was in the contest. I think I had, I don't know, I was in contention, but you know, so I was popping in and out and it was up there, uh, for a while. And I didn't know exactly what, what the fade was or anything like that. But, uh, Yeah, I saw in Discord the tone changed after that touchdown. It's unfortunate. It's a game we play.

9:24

It's all been there, and you've got to put yourself in position to win that sort of money and hope it goes your way because so many things can happen. Just continue building strong lineups and getting yourself to that spot to potentially win is all you can do, putting yourself in those positions as often as possible. Hopefully he closes something out one day big like that. But a good attitude after, you know, a lot of people would have taken it way worse.

9:53

And when you think about it more, or sorry, when you just think about it more like, because it's all into like how the things go. Like what if that Steelers game was in the afternoon and then it went to OT and then he got Bernard there. Like you have to run so good to get up to that. And again, it's hard for the human brain because you're like how the timing goes in your segments.

10:12

That's one thing I always think of in these scenarios. It's all sequential and when things happen. Like if Trey Tucker, if they were in the Eastern game, it does that.

10:23

You know and he's the one trailing and then you need bernard to you know get to fifth for $50,000 like you feel way different the human brain that's the dirty part about the game once you get to the top and you're sitting there and you see I'm winning that million dollars it changes but it's like yeah you flip everything and then you never really are in the driver's seat in that uh in that position it's it's tough to think about it like that mentally but you know I always kind of try to it's true it's Yeah.

10:51

Title said it's about human nature. I know people say, don't count your chickens till they hatch that type of thing. And it's, and you shouldn't, and you try not to, but when you're sitting up top with a million dollars and it's like, damn, you don't think about anything about the people behind you. You just think about yourself. And then you only think about what can hurt you. Tucker hurts you.

11:07

But on the flip side of it, you don't, when you win, You also don't be like, oh, sucks for that guy in second. If he only had got that touchdown from this guy, he would have got – you're like, screw that. I won. But when you're the Person up there, you got to remember too. I said this on the takedown breakdown this morning. It's like he had Rodgers and Jermey in that lineup, Jermey Bernard. And it's like you needed the – like Belman pointed out, you needed the .

11:30

Which is fine, but Boswell missed another one. So you get that. Then you get to OT. What if they don't get the ball and don't go down and score? And don't tell me like, who knows? Like they get the ball. I guess like, what if they don't score? My point being, you still need a lot of things to go your way to what title said. And so great run at it. Phenomenal job. And there he is. YouTube account. Shout out to Hoopster.

11:53

Yeah, that was another thing I said, too. Like, when you see that ball in the air and you just know it's Tucker, and he did his Tucker thing, too, by the way, which is like the little slide and run catch where you're like, is that good? So we're hoping it's not. But then what if Metcalf got the touchdown instead of Bernard at the end?

12:08

He's sitting up there and probably stays up there because everybody had bernard in front of him and nobody had Metcalf so either way congrats on his son's YouTube love that that's awesome but that's the that's you know prime example right there people see how bernard's the the go-to popular play on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate I don't want to play him I want to find somebody else like you got to dig deeper into these things and we talked about it on the show like you aaron Rogers been in the NFL for what twenty some years I mean and what's the one thing he always finds these little gadgety guys and he'll just go to them and go to him and go to him.

12:41

We talked about on the show. What did he do yesterday? He just went to him and he went to him and he kept going to him. And he had this massive game. So it's like, man, like you got to dig into all these little situations and see what's right and wrong. It's a hell of a game. Yeah. Fun game we play. I like this one from two tunes in the Olympics.

13:01

The silver medalist is often more discounted than the bronze medalist because silver thinks how close they were to gold. But bronze just thinks like I made the podium. Thank God. Like I've got something out of this.

13:11

Right it's crazy the difference that I mean I do I'm sure there's some bronze medal winners out there that are still thinking about that one thing that happened that could have went their way and they get to the top but certainly a good point for sure so yeah all right give us your grand scheme overview for this one we got the Commanders at the I will have um I'll bring it up on dfsos.com just so we can have the news if you guys want to check it out go to dfsos.com use code ship it But we will get the latest news on pretty much everyone, but you can start it off.

13:40

We've got Evans, right, who we're expecting to play. Schefter was just on an interview recently and said that. Who else are we waiting on? Diggs? I think we're good there. Evans and Diggs are definitely the big one. I expect Evans to play. Diggs seems more... Yeah, more questionable, but everyone kind of has him projected in. So, you know, probably at this point, you know, assume that they're both in. And then if anything changes, we make the adjustments.

14:03

But no, Krosby, Krosby, is it Krosby Merritt? Bill, we'll just call him Bill.

14:11

Is out uh so that opens up some opportunity obviously for Rashad White and Austin Eckler is back in our lives not the same Austin Eckler as years ago but he is uh he's playing tonight and he'll have a role and he has a legitimate uh ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate so I guess you know just looking at it's two like past catching backs are the primary guys uh for the Commanders tonight which is definitely interesting uh the look like what probably the best team in the NFL.

14:40

I mean, there's some other ones there. The Chiefs are up there, but the And it's their, you know, main core of guys. You know, you got McCaffrey, Purdy, Evans, Kittle. It just adds, it just seems like a very stable situation, the forty-Niners offense. So, you know, in terms of DFS, like I think it's, I think it's a good one. A lot of different ways to go. And the one thing that, you know, has me excited is the two pass catching backs.

15:07

You know, the primary running back is going to be Rashad White for uh, the Commanders and, you know, he's primarily a pass catching guy. So, uh, I think that is a interesting dynamic for the slate, not only for him, but for Jayden Daniels, you know, you got, you have Jayden Daniels, that quarterback who came back, he's got the elbow thing, ran the ball nine times. I know that was an overtime game against the Giants, but to see him out running is good.

15:32

And then, um, you know, it really doesn't have like a, a running back that he can hand it off to twenty times. So I think, you know, boost Jayden Daniels as well. Overall in terms of what we can expect from him tonight. He's got a pass catch, a couple pass catching running backs. He ran it nine times. He's a guy that could have a big game. He had his best game in probably two seasons last time out.

15:54

Again, it was overtime, but I think he was there before overtime anyway. I don't think really. The overtime situation boosted them all that much. I think we have a pretty interesting game. The forty Niners down a lot of wide receivers. You have to imagine it's going to be a lot of McCaffrey, a lot of Evans, a lot of Kittle. And who did they bring in? Yeah, Brandon Cooks back for a flat. So it's a dynamic slate. It's an interesting one.

16:21

Another piece of news that's still not even fully out and updated yet, but it just came out that I saw on the Google News or whatever you look it up. They do have Christian Kirk Likely to play now. So before I wasn't thinking that was going to be the case, he's still an IR tag on DraftKings at $3,000. But I think a lot of people are hoping for Brandon Cooks night or Cowing or whoever they're cheering for. This could be the case as well.

16:43

So we'll wait and see. But. But yeah, we'll know probably till lock to see if he's activated anyway or till inactives come out or whatever to see what happens with that. But he's been on the off the twenty one day list or whatever since Thursday. And now it sounds like they could need him tonight. So we'll have to wait and see. But title, what do you want to add there to any of this stuff before we hop into the captains?

17:04

Yeah, I definitely would not build teams right now. Like Jeremy McNichols, stone minimum, probably going to be up to the active roster behind Eckler and Rashad White probably gets a couple snaps. Yeah, like you said with Christian Kirk. I mean, right now on DraftKings for receiving yards, all they have on the forty niner side is Kittle, Evans and McCaffrey. No one else because they don't really know what's going to go on right now. So.

17:27

See who's active, if there's any more coach speak that comes about it. The nice thing is on the forty Niners side outside of Evans, like all those wide receivers are really cheap. So if you have a lean there, use check will also be back today for the forty Niners. Yeah, I think it's a slate. You can leave a decent amount of money, though. You obviously have Jayden Daniels and Christian McCaffrey Purdy.

17:48

But like Mike Evans, Terry McLaurin, can Antonio Williams outscore them in a vacuum? Maybe. George Kittle also up there. But I think there's enough value with guys that are going to be on the field mixing around that you can't leave a little bit of money. And then, yeah, Keelan Black. Like in closer games, McCaffrey's got a bulk of the work. If it's seven, fourteen, twenty-one that the Niners are up, I do expect to see a little more Black there. So I think that's interesting as well.

18:14

A lot of different options at running back today on both sides. Great slate. If you want to try and win all the money, just, you might need a lot of different lineups and outs to be able to get there. But man, it's like, this is, this is wild. By the way, where did you, um, did you meet Eckler when we were in Vegas? No, I didn't. You guys did right before. What's that? You guys did it right before I got there.

18:33

You sent the picture. I didn't see him, but I know big Marley did. Yeah, Big Marley got a picture with him. Our buddy... Stat. Stat got a picture with him as well. It came off the elevator, and Buddy was just right there. So from the booth to the backfield, he's back in the mix. We got Eckler rolling through. Yeah, like you said, McNichols is something else to think about when we get there, but... Hoop, I'll start with you on the captains.

18:54

I guess like title said, when you think about this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate and when you're going to build, we got to wait in actives. But I think the captain conversation can still be had in a pretty solid way here because it's also like being declared George Kittle day. I've seen a couple of different times, whether Evans plays or doesn't, that probably just would push them up even more. Didn't we have a slate like this last year?

19:13

Where Kittle was $8,000 and everyone's like, Oh, he's too cheap. It's way too cheap for George Kittle. And he just got boosted to some massive Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown and then didn't play well at all. So anything could happen. It's totally new slate, but give us your thoughts at captain hoop.

19:26

Uh yeah so for me when I when I look at this you know their slates were all really consolidated condense it only pick a few guys probably a slate and again a lot of this could change like title was saying depending on what we get with the the news but as of now I plan to spread it out quite a bit like I'm open to a lot of these guys up top like If you're building Multi-EntryMulti-entry means entering more than one lineup into the same contest. A contest's entry limit, such as 3, 20 or 150, sets how many lineups one user can submit.Set your total spend for the slate first, then divide it into entries. Multi-entry should spread a fixed budget across more outcomes, not raise how much you put at risk.Read the full definition of Multi-Entry, I would want exposure to all the main Sam Fran guys.

19:54

They all have the ability to just absolutely go off and be the guy you need up top. Purdy, McCaffrey, Evans, Kittle. Good with all of them. Know personally I think I like purdy the best and he's gonna get some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership but he's looked so damn good this year like so so so good um and their team has looked good their projectors score a lot of points so You know, he's probably my favorite right now. I do agree with the Kittle stuff.

20:23

I love Kittle here, especially with them banged up at wide receiver. And, you know, Kittle looked great. And, you know, it seems like a big primetime guy gets up for these primetime games. I'm good with him. I think Evans with the Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News has a chance to maybe come down a little bit in ownership, which would be good because when he plays, I mean, he typically – as long as he stays healthy during the game because he hasn't been known to leave games.

20:47

Like – He's still got it, and that's been very evident this season. And then Christian McCaffrey, if he's going to be the most popular, he's probably the one I'm least excited about just because they're doing the right thing with him and not always giving him this full, massive workload. I mean, the workload has been – So smart. I mean, honestly, like I respect the hell out of the forty Niners for doing this because it's got to be hard to do.

21:14

But last week, Eleven carries three receptions, fifteen for three the week before, fifteen for four. It appears that the limit for him is like twenty touches a game. And the reason he has been so valuable in fantasy over the last few years is the volume. Like they would give him like thirty touches. Well, if he's going to get one year below, definitely less appealing for sure.

21:39

So if he's going to be the most popular, he's probably my least favorite of the main forty niner guys. Like of the Purdy's, the Mike Evans, and the Kittle of the world. On the Washington side, definitely want some Jayden Daniels. Like I talked about, not having a true running back that he can hand it off to twenty times. Both the main running backs are going to be pass-catching primary running backs. So factor that with the nine rush attempts last time out.

22:10

Uh I really like daniel's up top I'd be fine getting some scary terry up there uh so I like all the main guys uh again you know just kind of going through and seeing if there's any cheaper guys I don't necessarily think I love the cheap guys I'd be fine with rashad white um we're showing what sort of we're showing like eight percent ownership for rashad white but If he finds the box, if he scores a touchdown, he's a guy that could definitely pick up four or five catches and go along with it.

22:41

If he gets a touchdown, five catches, you're already sitting at eleven fantasy points for a guy that's sixty, six hundred, fifty yards. Now you're almost at sixteen, seventeen range. I think White is a guy to consider as well. Probably stick him with all those main guys. I'll Likely get exposure to everyone, but like I said, the one I'm least excited about is definitely Christian McCaffrey just because of the limited workload, which is smart. They're five and oh, they're rolling right now.

23:10

I have to imagine that continues on and I don't see any reason to change it. So it's kind of my initial thoughts, but it'll be more of a spread it out sort of night for me opposed to nailing down a few guys. A couple good ones here. We've got the dad crew, so a good dad joke. Brock been pretty good over here. We'll see. Yeah, that's a good one, Ross.

23:28

We've got to say, actually, his title, now that you are officially a father, are you more into the dad jokes or still just too quick? My kids still can't even talk, so I've got to wait until they can. Yeah, but it's just the fact that you are a father, you start to – It just happens as soon as you're a father. It doesn't matter. It hasn't happened yet, I guess. You know what, though?

23:50

You can't even really read the cursive on that hat, so it says the Dad Club Collective. Yeah. Yeah. Got good eyes. You guys got to know that's where I'm getting this from. It's you. I don't, I can't come up with that in the shower title. That one, that one, you can't, I don't know what hat you're going to wear. So that one, you can't, we got the dag club here. Yeah. You got that. Okay. We got it. Another one is CMC sneaky right now.

24:13

He's showing us the top captain. So, We'll see. Now, look, people are a little gun shy right now, even though I think everyone expects Evans to play. And I think he does. I still think that's like capping his ownership just a little bit where people it may not be correct.

24:25

Meaning once it's clear and he's good to go, as everyone expects, everyone just wants that leeway to say, oh, now I'm good to go, even though I feel like you're good right now anyway. So we'll see. It is Mike Evans. He also could come back on the field and go right back off again the way he does stuff some games. But title, I'll kick it over to you.

24:41

I want to talk about Captain, because when you have a slate like this, with so many guys we said, and whoever it ends up being. Okay. Somebody says it, Brandon cooks night. We don't know if Christian Kirk plays. I mean, he should be the slot guy for Debo, but if Christian Kirk plays, maybe they use him more and it cuts into cooks, but it still could be cooked.

24:59

So my point would be these guys we're talking about are Cowing, twenty, two hundred $3,000 for Kirk, $4,000 for cooks on the other side, Antonio Williams, forty, two hundred Burks, thirty two, like waiting on digs news, all this stuff. You are going to have to get captain, right? I know that sounds so obvious. I'm just saying, but you got to be thinking about that when you're building it. It's not like there's such a massive gap.

25:21

We don't have a B genre at Gibbs or some high price up top and ownership. It's going to be spread out once we get to lock and you can kind of play whatever you want. You need that best captain on the slate. Yeah, and that's why I think right now I'm kind of more condensed. I think it's mainly five guys for me. The two on Washington is Jayden Daniels and then Rashad White. Jayden Daniels looked great last week.

25:45

Man, he still has that burst and willingness to run. In any Game ScriptGame script is how a game's score and time remaining influence its pace, play choices and player opportunities. In football, teams protecting a lead often run more, while teams chasing a deficit often pass more.Before locking a lineup, ask who keeps playing if your expected script reverses. Check passing-down roles and backup rotations instead of assuming a team's leading rusher handles every situation.Read the full definition of Game Script, they could be down fourteen, they could be down twenty. He can be up at captain, you can play him in so many different ways, which is appealing. A part of him. You can play Jayden Daniels captain with just one pass catcher and then four San Fran people, two, four, and he can rush two touchdowns that way.

26:07

Rashad White, mainly just because he's the cheapest of the ones, like when I get to the Niners, Purdy, CMC, Mike Evans, Kittle, like I'm not getting really ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian there. So he's $6,600 at flex, $9,900 captain. That's a good discount from the other guys that I'm playing, which is the main appeal for him, but also kind of game script It doesn't matter. If they're down fourteen, he's going to be on the field. He can catch passes out of the backfield.

26:31

His touchdown prop is... Let's see. Plus one, ten, which is the best on the Commanders. Terry, plus two, fifteen. Jaden, plus two, twenty-five. It's just too cheap for his role, I think, or at least his expected role. I don't know how much they're going to roll out Austin Eckler more than last week, but still has to be capped. And then McNichols. So I think Rashad White finally gets a great role, can catch the ball, can get a touchdown. Great price.

26:58

So I'm going to play some of him at captain. And then, yeah, for the Niners stuff, CMC is just a monster. He can get it done in so many ways. Seven net point favorites looks really good for him. His receiving yards, over forty like he's favored to have. They're just going to dump it and check it down to him a lot. Minus two seventy to score in a tier of his own. I'm definitely playing a bunch of him. Kittle, Mike Evans.

27:20

I do think Mike Evans probably goes back in ownership due to the game time decision, the scare and all that. He was banged up. I mean, he's always banged up, but last week he had twenty nine DraftKings points. They just continued to pepper Mike Evans, even if he's not a hundred percent, if he's out there, Purdy loves him. And I'm definitely have interest at $9,600. I don't like that. Nine percent we have could be like seven percent or something.

27:45

Kittle, I think, is a monster as well. Purdy is the one where like if he's captain, it feels like what he throws one to McCaffrey, throws one to Kittle or Evans and then like a random and he definitely can spread it out. But If it was last week, it's Mike Evans on the winner. McCaffrey on his days, it's McCaffrey on the winner.

28:03

I'm curious to hear your guys' take on the Purdy stuff because he's played great and I like him, but then it's like, man, That's a, I prefer CMC. I don't fully believe it just yet. And I don't know if I fully agree on the big Mike stuff yet either. You could be very well, very well be right. I just think like, man, the Q tag always holds people off until it doesn't.

28:23

And when, when people start hearing about Kittle steaming and by the time we get to lock, they're like, you know what? Why would I play Kittle for $12,300? And I can just move some of those shares to big Mike. He had thirty points last week almost or something. I just, but then that pulls from Purdy. It's all interconnected. I'm just saying, I think you're, You're right. Where do you think it goes? You think Purdy goes back? Mike goes up? I think Purdy comes back for sure.

28:45

I could see McCaffrey going up a little bit. I mean, he is a level eight. It is the big price. People like to click it. I'm just thinking about the sentiment right now, even in chat, like people already asking like, would Purdy be good LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage or sorry, would CMC be good leverage? Could I, could CMC be sneaky? Like, I don't know if people are following it to say he's actually going to be owned.

29:03

So it's really, really tricky to get it right on the ownership percentages tonight without knowing all this stuff. But I'm just trying to think about like human psychology and sentiment around that. I think we're hearing all I'm hearing at least and seeing on X and posted and all this stuff is kiddle, kiddle, kiddle, kiddle, like everything about kiddle.

29:21

Because he gets even better if somehow big Mike was out and he's already in a great matchup and Washington gives it up to tight ends and he's only $12,300 up top and gets you everything you want. So I do feel like he's coming up some.

29:33

It could be at the expense of big Mike, but it could be both of them at the expense, a little bit of pretty first and then potentially just McCaffrey stays where he is because he still projects well and he's going to be up there no matter what I think.

29:46

Go ahead go ahead let's say one other name I wanted to throw in the mix uh was a chig if if digs is out I mean six targets uh last game like he's got multiple touchdown upside he could get six for and a touchdown and he is I mean what's the the price is very very cheap he is $4,600 up top yeah sixty nine up top like He could be, you know, wide receiver to him and Antonio Williams.

30:16

So like if Diggs is out, I would expand it a little bit to some of those cheap Commanders guys, maybe playing from behind as well. Go ahead, Title. What did you have? I was just going to ask, and I have no clue what the answer is. Those people that you see on Twitter that are talking, it feels like so many of those are best ball people or people that just like to just make their names known.

30:37

How many one-fifty matchers and stuff do you think care at all? How many people one-fifty match? Not very many. Yeah. Good point there.

30:45

I think, though, the critical piece of that, though, is – nobody and that's like I said that from the human psychology perspective nobody likes um confirmation bias more than like somebody just like they're looking for it from anywhere so it doesn't matter that it's actually a best ball conversation or a I talk about it but I don't actually ever play one thing you want to ever have a problem with at shiva nation we all play the game we talk about but just other places are not like that but I'm saying I I do think the thought process around that is just there's a bit more safety factor to Kittle tonight because he's in a great spot no matter what and affordable at $12,300.

31:20

He's not $14,400 like Mike or sixteen seventeen like Purdy and those guys. Fifteen like Daniels. He's only $12,300. But then what if somehow there's more like the GTD just goes on and on and on all day and we don't get anything until inactives, then people probably stay down on Big Mike. That's that's the difference. Yeah, I do agree. I do think Pig Mike stays, or if anything, goes back a little bit. After that, it's tough.

31:44

Speaking of the lineups last night, we had two people split the prize up top, and the one-v-one in the everybody-that-finished-third lineup was Pickens for Dak. And by the way, that's a Lamb captain. So it was Lamb captain... It was Pickens, Flournoy, and then it was Love, Golden, and Pierce Strong. Was it Golden the captain? No. Lamb was captain on the optimal yesterday? Crazy, man. Wow. Yeah, we checked it earlier. I was thinking the same. Forget the news of that.

32:22

Nobody played a quarterback in, and obviously that's why two people shipped it as opposed to... I mean, Golden could add ninety five points. Holy moly. That was he was my my best guy last night that didn't come through in the end for what we needed. But it needs a Nades pep talk to get him going. You need something. And then Christian Watson, too. I mean, I know that was deflected a bit, but...

32:44

I know, totally, but people ask this because, like, again, it goes back to the theory, and we're talking about captains right now and the way it can all work. Like, look at the points Golden scored last night, but when you have Flournoy and Strong, it's like conditional OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership that Blickle and I will talk about sometimes.

32:58

Like, once you put those two cheapies into the lineup together and they both do enough on that late Flournoy touchdown or whatever, well, that boosts... Well, those lineups just more Likely have Lamb in the captain that he did just enough, but... Forty eight point $4,000 with a lamb captain and pickings in the flex as opposed to $50,000 flat with lamb captain and Prescott in the flex. All the rest the same. So when you win, how much do you win?

33:24

That's what we talk about. Crazy, right? That's what people are talking about. It was actually funny to side note. But just if you guys saw it, did you see the twenty dollar million maker when yesterday had Penix naked? Yeah. Naked. Yeah. So I never – this is the fun in takedown breakdown and going through it all. But the lineup everyone thinks he should have is with James, right? Because you've already got Nabers and Likely in there.

33:45

Like, why would you not just have James and you have Penix? And so everyone says that and talks about it. Again, like you said, Ty, a lot of people talk about it, but they ain't about it. They don't actually play, so they're just commenting on shit. You go look in his portfolio.

33:57

He only played seven team lineups, and his second best lineup was the flip-flop from pedics and Chiefs D which one of all the money to Winston and Patriots D, which was the perfect one V one a hundred bucks up a hundred bucks down. He played the line of everyone's bitching at that. He should have played, could have played. He couldn't have got Chiefs D into it. But because they only see the winner up top with Penn State.

34:20

I just love how people are so critical of winning lineups and like, oh, well, you played an early guy in the flex. Well, guess what? The guy doesn't give a fuck because he won a million dollars, all right? How about that?

34:32

Like I was all about that you know all about that yeah I used to never do that shit now I do it because I don't care I'm not gonna go I'm usually not Late SwapIn NFL contests with late swap, you can change unlocked afternoon or evening players after earlier games begin. Only games included in that contest's player pool are available.Before the first games lock, identify affordable backup combinations for your later players. Check that each combination fits the open positions, then confirm your saved changes in every affected entry.Read the full definition of Late Swap I just build teams and let them roll for the most you know about winning a milli too and people critiquing your lineup it's fine yeah it's yeah I played too many guys in one game well guess what they scored ninety fucking points in the game of course I of course you needed all those dudes I what was hoops criticism though the three four Yeah, just play too many in one game.

35:00

Play four from one side and not their quarterback, but three from the other. By the way, I don't know titles. You know this guy's name is Dave Alpha. So he's a poker pro. I think his ex account says he has like ten bracelets and one ring. His hand in mob is like two milli. He's up there. Who knows what ones he won and whatnot. But anyway, it's his username. So I'm not really outing him. It's his damn name on there.

35:22

But he won the $555 milli with two entries. He played Jeremy Bernard versus the Burks D. And then in the other lineup, he hand-built, it looks like a hand-build, his second one, he played Kendrick Bourne for Jeremy Bernard. Which the reason that's interesting is like he played the same lineup and just swapped to one V one. He ended up winning the Mills, but he jams this lineup. He picks one of them and he jams it in the luxury box.

35:50

The a hundred dollar Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry plays one in the five max with power sweep. It's a five max plays one for $100,000 up top. Doesn't even play them both in everything else. Just plays them everywhere. Wins one point six million. And a live final seat on top of the one point six million total. And the lineup he chose of the two was the one with Jeremy versus his defense, as opposed to born not thinking who gives a shit. My point, especially on a guy like Jeremy.

36:14

But think about when you are picking one to go everywhere. You only have two. You'd think they'd pick the other one. It was the difference in an additional $600,000 and a live final seat. Just a hell of a day. So, so cool. He's got to be waking up feeling like the king. I mean, in Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown, the guy that would one of those two chops, he also shipped the three thirty three solo for $100,000 to two hundred PGM.

36:35

Right. I think so. Yeah. With the same exact lineup. He's been around forever, crushing all different sports, but very. I mean, no wonder why somebody lost money because a couple of people want all the cheese. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, the math is pretty easy to figure out after that. Yeah, waking up and, yeah, you feel like the freaking man. You are the man. Good for them. Nobody wants shiz. Yeah, well, because I want all of it. That's why. Definitely.

37:05

Yeah, there's crazy stuff happens down the stretch, but we'll keep it moving.

37:08

I'll say just quickly here, like one thing I like who brought it up earlier and I just saw something with it now was if you are going to go with this other team can do stuff like look, title won one hundred and $17,000 on the Super Bowl a couple of years ago with a Worthy two for Worthy captain, another chief in the flex and then for Eagles when the Eagles blew him out so we can still play in a blow.

37:28

We saw Lamb be the captain last night when Golden already had tons of points that could have had even more I think Terry McLaurin with or without digs tonight is still interesting. And what I love most, I just found it when I was naming off those captain prices and saying like why people like Kittle. He's three hundred bucks less than Kittle. So and you can still have Kittle in the flex, but it's like he's there's no way that's that's a number I feel accurate about.

37:50

If he comes in at three to five percent, there's just no chance really. And we might even get digs out. So we'll see on that one. But I think that is somewhat interesting as just a differentiator. I actually don't have a lot of interest in too much on that side. Maybe, you know, McLaurin, Daniels, just because he's got legs and can move, look at the stone. He can be a captain optimal.

38:12

Maybe his number stays around what it is, but in a game where the Commanders are in it, it's just, it's not as Likely based on look at the spread, the total, all the stuff on the other side. But I do like... All the regulars. I don't have too much different, to be honest, on the forty Niners.

38:26

And I think like title said, I'll end up being a little tighter at captain tonight and just hoping to have more combinations of what is most Likely to be the right captain. If you don't know who's most Likely to be the right captain, you can use the stone. It tells you over $10,000 simulations. Who pops up the most. And when you're like, well, but it could be Malik Turner night. He shows a point one. Well, we don't even know he's two hundred bucks.

38:48

And my point being, it's just I'm going to play the guys that we actually think it can be. So the forty Niners have like four of those guys, maybe a fifth. If you want to plug in one of these randoms, the other side has one or two guys that we think. And that's where I'm going to stick to tonight. So looks like a good SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate just to try and stick to that and see what happens after a title. Anything else you want to add?

39:07

Nope. This guy been in here today asking about this too, man. I don't know. But if it's George Kittle day, you should be in good shape. If you got George Kittle and need thirteen points, hopefully it works out. Right. A lot of people in DFS tonight are going to be hoping that as well. So whoop. Anything else you want to add at the captain?

39:24

If not, you know, Daniels in the flex party and the flex is going to be very popular because the captains were pairing up top are really going with them outside of maybe McCaffrey. And then maybe maybe it'll be a little lighter tonight because everyone saw people win without Dak. Last night, they try and get cute, but the one thing I will say is it was posted out earlier.

39:43

Since $2,000 and twenty, there's only been one point two nine percent of the time of all the Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown winners ever that have had a lineup like that was last night with no with no. Not just no quarterback in the flex. That's happened. It's about with the alpha wide receiver with two more wide receivers in the flex and get there. It just doesn't happen very often. So like title says, not how often you win. It's what you win when you are.

40:08

It's not what you win. It's not how often you win. It's what you win when you are right. And that's the main thing is that's what happened last night. How pathetic are the Cowboys? I know we've done a lot of... Side talk, but just want to throw it out there. Just so pathetic. You have the absolute direct path to winning your division. You've got a dead quarterback. I shouldn't joke about it, but a very ill quarterback that's out for the season and hurts.

40:31

You have the Giants lost their starting quarterback, and you have the Commanders. And you got the Cowboys basically fully healthy and just get their ass kicked. Like just such a shitty organization. Like it's, it's, it's fun. I mean, we could talk about just for a split second, how the Eagles let a guy on thirty six hours of staying up.

40:50

I mean, I if I ever stay up for that long, I mean, I'm seeing different things to go out there and play an NFL game is absolutely insane. So.

40:58

It's more that is crazy yeah like to me it's more like uh the doctors are telling you don't go to sleep because you got to make sure nothing happens we're going to stick with you or even like whatever the ruling is or what they're saying but then they're like clear good to go today You're like hallucinating. I mean, what are you doing? You get a concussion or you stand up and you're a little wobbly. All right, done for two weeks. You have blood clots in your lungs.

41:26

Stay awake for as long as you can and then go play in an NFL game. In London when the time zones are already, like, oh my gosh. Whoever made that decision should be absolutely canned. They tried to tell him it's only a time change.

41:45

He tried to convince him of something totally fake but I don't know that's that's definitely wild to me it's unfortunate for Jalen Hurts obviously just the the key to that team and everything that they do and just I was like fun to watch when he's at his you know at his highest level it's just that's something you can't be messing around with yeah I wouldn't be surprised if they had some inclination that there's something going on for you know longer than this because they made those moves the dude retired and then they traded the other offense like in my

42:13

Eyes they had to have known that there was something going on here prior to that game because they made those moves out of nowhere like to me that's the only thing that makes sense but who knows if we'll ever find out I mean so many uh situations today hoop that I got I know right you gotta get that tinfoil hat did you hear about the uh the Andy Dalton denied them and said I'm just gonna stick he must have knew about those doctors over there and he said no no I messed with that I'll play for the Falcons instead of the Eagles forget this I'll go over there starting to it's all starting to make sense now last one though title

42:46

Maybe you saw this time hoop you probably saw it too but you guys both being in the survivor streets the grandissimo Oh, my gosh. The hundred day entry buy in fee that was down. The value had to be five thirty three or something. Five hundred something. Now, the only say it's not really fair or still right. I'm just saying the note like it's.

43:10

But he said he was he did come on before the game starter, like as the game started saying he's taking the Rams. I wonder if he's taking legal action. I wonder how it, he might've got the nuts and error. He might've been bounce if the proxy did it right. And I was still win a lawsuit. I don't know how, how it's all going to go down, but something, he won't even say though. That's pretty crazy. Like why not?

43:29

Well, that's probably because he's the, probably things are going, I mean, five hundred thirty $5,000 that's, that's not, that's, there's things going on right there. And that's the tough part about that is what does someone in that contest pays that proxy? $20,000 to not put in the pick.

43:44

Like I mean you know what I'm saying I mean that's yeah you never know what's going on so when it's five hundred something thousand these people are smart if you're entering or they got money I don't know there's probably things going on behind the scenes right now that that no one knows it's pretty wild that was like when the they were doing the $100,000 circa draft and uh everyone saw the board and was like someone loaned me $100,000 so I can get in this next year look terrible yeah From all players across the board, you can critique like they don't care.

44:12

They're there for the what the lady tell me in title and Marley. She's like, yeah, one night, buddy ordered two of these and it was like one hundred and $50,000. Whatever. Remember the menu at Circus Swim? And it was like the big it was like like ten bottles of Dom and a bunch of other random shit wasn't even that good. It was like nothing. Yeah. But they charge one hundred and $50,000 for it or something.

44:30

And they're like, yeah, one night, buddy just rented the place out and bought two of these. Again, that's got more money than brains, most Likely, but is what it is. Enjoy your life. All right. Back to it. Hoop, anything else you want to talk about at the quarterback position? Purdy, Daniels, any of this stuff? Not too much for me. Both obviously good plays, high upside. In the flex, you're going to want as much as you can get. Again, you can look at the optimal rates.

44:56

The optimal rates are going to have these guys at a fairly high number. Nothing more to really add. Yeah, Nick was with us. It was $100,000, but you have to get it sprayed on you. That's the deal. So not only do you got to overpay for all this shit, you have to let them douse you in it and just burn your eyes out and all this stuff. But this was another one, more tinfoil in that game yesterday. Who? Kyron got benched.

45:19

What about Corum? Coram, did you see that? This is total tin ball. I'm not this guy. I don't even care. And I had, I actually had a bunch of stuff on Corum because I talked about on leverage lane, but he got stopped at eight carries and forty two yards with five minutes and fifty six seconds left in the third quarter. Never played again. The rest of that game just cruising along and his numbers were eight and a half and forty two and a half.

45:41

That's crazy it's random there's something I don't know there's something so weird about that game just right from the beginning it just it it was off it just seemed very very Strange Commanders will win is right yeah see yeah if you're if you're going full conspiracy theory this week build teams build teams for the commander's win right could happen Yeah. Title, I'll take it over to you. Just any, any thoughts?

46:03

I mean, with the, the guys up top, Evans, Kittle, et cetera, Purdy's in the flex. I guess the bigger question for me is on Daniels. Like let's say you're running a five, one Kittle lineup. Do you want to, you can afford Daniels. Do you want them? Or are you thinking like, Hey, I'd rather drop down and get a pass catcher. You know, how are you handling the quarterback position in the flex from that type of perspective? Yeah, I still want a lot of Jayden Daniels.

46:25

There's so many outcomes where no, like their offense struggles right on twenty one, nothing at half or whatever. And then he breaks off a forty yard run or gets a QB sneak and he doesn't carry anyone with them because it's spread out like they're mixing receivers, different running backs in. But twelve was enough on the Washington side, even at that price. Probably not the most Likely outcome. If I knew he had twelve, I'd have zero.

46:47

But I still am good with Jayden Daniels and five ones and anything due to his his legs. Yeah. And I think also too, there's something to be said just for, you know, my two cents to finalize the quarterback stuff is that without, I mean, you can call whoever you want over there, a running back, but he could also be like the running back, the quarterback and everything all in one and just doing everything.

47:06

So him in the flex, leaving money, whatever you got to do, like even in a five, one, something like that, I'm more than fine with it for this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate specifically. So. All right, let's go to running back title. I'll kick it to you. We had a little bit of a conversation around McCaffrey. You mentioned Kalen Black. Well, you know, we got Eckler on the other side. Talk about Jeremy McNichols will wait on at the Stoneman.

47:25

Like we do have a bunch of running backs on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, much like wide receiver. Yeah, I'll start with the Washington side because are they going to call out Jeremy McNichols? It's a pretty big question. Two hundred dollars. Man, I was tilted yesterday. Savion had way so much Savion and it was such a good play. And then Pierce Strong outscores them. But he was stone man. Now we have another stone man play.

47:47

Player that's gonna if he is called up he's gonna rotate in a little bit um even if he gets two three points is that enough I don't know I do like rashad white quite a bit I think the price is too cheap for his role uh and then Austin eckler as well and I mean we saw it last what was it Monday or one of those last dates we were talking about can you play these two running backs together they were in the winning lineup who was it Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown uh was it um Denver Yeah, Dobbins and Harvey, both in the flex.

48:18

We're both there, which was another, whoever won first, they won a good amount of money. It wasn't chopped too much. I do think Rashad White and Austin Eckler could be ones that you play in the flex as well. Again, if they're trailing dump offs, if the forty Niners get a lot of pressure, Both of these guys can get there at that price tag. So I think both are interesting.

48:36

And then if Jeremy McNichols play, I like these Washington running backs quite a bit at their price, which then when we go to receivers, I think you're going to see I don't like the price tags as much at wide receivers. So especially because I am wanting so many of these San Fran studs, it's a little harder to play Terry and Diggs and all of that.

48:55

And um I can go any terry digs team and just play rashad white and you see our ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections for white $11,800 for terry nine two for digs so you're saving thousands of dollars and getting a better projection obviously their OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership will be higher because of it but I have more flexibility to get different on the san fran side it's just two guys it's mcafree and black you can also play them together Again, McCaffrey dominates early. They get out to a big lead.

49:22

Black comes in later. But I do want a decent amount of Kalen Black. Again, Hoops talked about it. Like the first two games, it was really not really close, but it was relatively close in terms of snap share. The last three weeks, McCaffrey's separated a little bit. I do think because that overseas game week one played a role. But if they get out fourteen or they have a comfortable enough lead, you are going to see Black. Play a decent bit.

49:46

So I think that's a good price at $3,800. See what is TD prop is not as good as I thought. Plus four hundred. But again, when you build those teams, I think it should tell more of a story that they're leading the game. So, yeah, that's all I got to Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back.

50:02

Yeah, like Sixberg says this, just twenty-five yards allowed, and then LSU Knicks said, you darn old Knicks, Brissett, Willis, and Stafford, the quarterbacks, who brought this up a lot in the past couple of weeks, looking at this type of stuff, and it's, you know, who would have thought that the Rams would lose the game without giving up a touchdown. Like what happened before any other time or all this other crazy stuff, like just other stuff can happen.

50:25

It's, it's a guy that can run and can get loose. And like you said, like Nick said, he hadn't really played a lot of guys in that spot. So who about kick it over to you running back. Anything else you want to add there? Yeah, nothing really to, to add really like the Washington guys really like Rashad white and Austin Eckler. And, you know, on the, on the Sam Fran side, like, I guess maybe I'm just a little down on McCaffrey because of the workload.

50:54

It is tough, but man, I could see myself being a little UnderweightYou are underweight in DFS when a player, team stack or lineup combination appears in a smaller percentage of your entries than in the contest field's entries.Compare the same contest, format and roster slot. Use projected ownership before lock, then check actual ownership afterward to see whether your intended underweight stance held.Read the full definition of Underweight on McCaffrey tonight. But with Black, he's in there and he's getting carries, but he's got to find the end zone really to pay it off. He really hasn't had a big game yet this season.

51:13

It obviously could happen at any point, but fantasy points the last four weeks two point five one point seven one point three one point six it's pretty much touchdown or bust for him and I don't think he scored a touchdown this year was it did he score the first week um he did not score a touchdown in week one so he's no touchdowns this year he'd need to me like he needs a touchdown so let me just I'll just rank these guys Considering salary and ownership, White, Eckler, McCaffrey, then Black on those four.

51:50

Yeah. I think another thing, too, that Title brought up, I don't have too much else to add at the running back stuff, but I would say a couple notes. One, not even a running back, but just a two-dollar guy yesterday, Savion Williams, because we're talking about McNichols, and he ends up playing. Did well, still not anywhere. We talk about Flournoy, Pierce Strong, like the other for cheap running backs, like an Eckler or a Kalen Black or anything.

52:13

Even when they have the big game, it's in the flex. So like, I know like a lot of people, I'm just tying together two conversations, our earlier captain one and this. It's like crazy stuff can happen and you still have to still have the proper construction elsewhere. So it's like when people say, Oh, I would just go to that at captain. If I knew Scott was going to have this game, I'll just jam in all the studs. Well then all the studs aren't needed.

52:33

As a matter of fact, the lamb who had a horrible game versus reality and two cheapies got there, but it just ends up being the build that way. So I would still try and build accordingly without trying to get too cute, cute, You can say what you want about it, but taking Dak out and putting in Pickens and hoping that works out, at least you win all the money when you win. But it's not that crazy. Their projection would have been similar.

52:56

It's just not similar to play a captain like Lamb without his quarterback. So that's kind of where you get different. But playing the cheapest guys up top and hoping that you get perfect on all the rest and then still end up somewhere different, in a unique way, it's not very common. So just think about that when you're putting it out there.

53:14

Wait and see if um if nickles is two hundred bucks like yeah that end plays that's definitely something there's been a couple of comments about this about mcafree's workload and it's a clear it's a clear thing that they're going to continue I mean he hasn't had more than twenty touches this season like there's a reason for it like he's had injuries in the past like they are clearly limiting him even in closer sort of games, I think.

53:37

So I would anticipate twenty touches or below for McCaffrey. He's great. He can still get there. But again, the reason he's been like the stud the past few years is because they would give him thirty touches. He would absolutely go off. He had the chance to go off without scoring a touchdown because he'd catch ten passes for ninety yards and then run for another eighty. So I think they're clearly trying to limit him early on in the season. And it makes sense.

54:04

And I was referring – we were talking about Black, not McCaffrey. We're talking about people saying they want to just – because of the McCaffrey limited carries, that we would want to play Black, especially if they get up in the game or whatever it might be, look at the spread, all that.

54:18

Again, those are when you build your lineup – accordingly to how the slate's going to play out peter says it's best here peter porker love that and the spider-man outfit says McCaffrey gets about fifteen to eighteen they're resting him earlier in the season watch as soon as I type that he gets thirty touches that is what ends up happening uh Brock Bowers day yesterday quite disrupted by Michael Mayer day and it's not even halloween yet and what do you have six or ninety seven before brock even had a catch maybe it was crazy I'll say there is a zero percent chance McCaffrey has thirty touches tonight, even in an overtime game.

54:49

Don't ever say zero. Zero. I'm saying zero. Yeah, you're Likely to get thirty, but he's being sarcastic as well. I mean, the point is when people are saying sixteen, twenty, I guess... The big thing is too, I hear this a lot when people are using their OptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer, even our partnership, when they got to say, oh, SaberSim gave me this. Well, if you inputted the projections that have this, and that's what we're seeing, you can use that and go with it, but you're allowed to adjust them.

55:14

If you know better, like they say, IKB, I know better, or some say, I know ball.

55:18

If you want to put your spin on it and drop McCaffrey down from twenty-two fantasy points to seventeen, and you want to give a couple to kalen black and you want to give you know a couple to between Mike Evans and Kittle and cooks or whatever you decide you're allowed to do that and then you will get more unique lineups and it will no longer give you high OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership on mcafree but then you could be mad what was the one last year we'll never live down hoop it was like mbs you're like uh right it's like oh man what's gonna be like forty eight percent of this guy you're like I definitely don't want that yeah No, the truth was you didn't want that much.

55:52

But people are like, damn, I should have just trusted it because then he goes off. It is important, though, to put your – I mean, I think it's always important to put your input, put your touch on it. If you think something's going to happen that the ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections aren't picking up, go for it. The odds of winning are very slim anyway. So, like, you might as well – if you're going down, you might as well go down swinging with your own stuff.

56:14

Yeah, it's certainly really hard to make your own projections that are good and have success and people win millions of dollars with and all this stuff. That's really hard. But when you start with a good set and you've got it already, when you say, listen, I don't care what title says or I don't care what Tambo says, I'm a title. I think Mike Evans is going to go down to six or seven. I'm going to put that.

56:34

And that's going to be what you're running off of now. And I don't care what Hoops says. I think McCaffrey is going to be great tonight. He's going to get twenty five points and I'm going to put that. We'll do that. You're allowed to, right? We want you to find your own process and put it together.

56:45

We're talking about how things can play out in the right way to build and to be able to put yourself in the position to hopefully ship one of these big ones. And if you saw the top of the show, the people from yesterday, it's happening a lot. It's not a, you know, fly by night thing. We've been here for three and a half plus years. Lots of people are finding success using these. Use that to your advantage.

57:02

If you've got a better take on it, add it into the mix before you build and finalize. All right, title. I'm going to kick it over to you at wide receiver. We know what we're waiting on. We know there's possibilities here. Diggs, Evans, Christian Kirk, you know, another thing there. So there's a lot going on at wide receiver tonight too. Yeah, most definitely. Diggs' news is for sure important. If he's out, I mean, Traylon Burks led the receiving room last week in snaps.

57:29

Then it went Antonio Williams, then Scary Terry, then Demi Brown. I'm going to play all of them probably regardless, even if Diggs is in.

57:36

If digs is then he's my least favorite I mean that's a big boy price take he will be LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage when I will play him it'll be in a lot chalkier lineups probably in jaded daniel captain's teams to get different but he's by far my least favorite my favorite antonio Williams for sure at $4,200 The rookie gadget guy, I think as the weeks go, we've seen it with Bernard, Amari Cooper yesterday for the Jets.

57:58

These rookies tend to get better, especially at the receiver position, get more trust from their quarterback. And it's the price tag. Again, I'm going to be playing these studs at captain, so I need to save money. So Antonio Williams, my favorite. And then to be honest, probably Traylon Burks and Demi Brown. They're single digit OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. Even if Diggs plays, they're going to be in a little bit and I need salary relief. So yeah. I like those two a decent bit.

58:21

And then, yeah, I mean, I like Terry more than Diggs, but probably will be underweight. Do prefer Terry and Flex more than the captain. I know you might disagree. I struggle to see his twenty five point outbreak. And I think you probably need something like that, if not more today at captain with how I expect the forty Niners to move the ball and score implied for thirty points on the forty niner side. Again, Mike Evans news is important.

58:45

I'm going to be in on Mike Evans, though. The dude battles injuries his whole career. I battled it last week. And when he's in, he plays, he gets pepper with targets. He's minus one, twenty to score the second best touchdown prop in this game. And they definitely love them down below. Also, I think his Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown can moonwalk back. And I think his flex could as well.

59:03

And I think he's the most leverage from McCaffrey because if McCaffrey is not getting the goal line touchdowns, it's either Kittle or Mike. And now that they have Mike out there, when he's on an island, it's kind of like Devante and stuff. That slant fade route's pretty good. So after that... Give me value. Give me Cooks. Give me Cowing. Those two mainly. Like, I don't know. I'm not really sure how much this Watkins guy is going to get in.

59:27

He played twenty two snaps last week, but it did seem pretty obvious that Cowing was above him. A little Watkins is fine, though. But yeah, Cooks. I like Brandon Cooks a decent bit today. With all that being said now, yeah, the Christian Kirk stuff. Oh, man. I mean, I'm going to have to play some of him at $3,000 too. I, again, I didn't have them initially in before this show. So shoot. Watkins definitely goes way down. Cook's Cowing Kirk. I don't know.

59:56

Do you guys have any, have any takes there? I mean, we saw cooks and Cowing play last week. Maybe they ease, ease Kirk in a little more at $3,000. I could be wrong though. I wish I had props. I'm thinking, but I do think what's critical is like, again, you never want to rule yourself out, but I think he's, he would be eating into cooks in that slot role with out.

1:00:17

So it's like, to me, what's the world where both of those guys get there together and just rack it up over the middle. Like, man, that'd have to be, I don't even know what type of game. I don't love them together. Yeah. It's like, it'd be hard to play them together. So, and at $3,000 $4,000 you can kind of just rotate that in and out. So we'll see, but you'd think that Kirk would be eased in at least a little bit.

1:00:38

He just came off the window Thursday. So we'll see what that looks like. Whoop. You got anything you want to add there? Anything else you got now you can take over wide receiver. Yeah, definitely the most news dependent position on the slave wide receiver. I mean, I do think, you know, Mike Evans does play the Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News and the price tag, I think will will keep his ownership in check in flex and captain. Kind of what, you know, title alluded to.

1:01:06

I think it's so true. And it's somewhat uncomfortable. I mean, he's $9,600 like he's right there with the quarterbacks. He's close with McCaffrey. So I think it has to be held in check for Evans. I think he's phenomenal play on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate up top and in the flex.

1:01:21

Um you know after that for sam fran it's a little dicey especially if kirk comes back but like these are guys that if you're playing a lot of pretty captain teams like these are guys you're going to want exposure to because if you're playing pretty captain you want them to spread it out so you're going to want to play some cooks and cowling and kirk uh as well what's the the Kirk's what, three? Yeah, it's three Ks.

1:01:48

Not like a full-on punt sort of price tag. On the Washington side, definitely need to see what's going on with Diggs. Everyone has Diggs projected in. If for some reason he's out, you know, Antonio Williams, Traylon Burks, like their ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections numbers coming way, way up. And then it's just a matter of how quickly does the field react to it all. And it's usually slower than they should.

1:02:12

Like the field, whenever we get the not slate changing, but like a big wide receiver two ruled out or wide receiver one ruled out. And then the secondary guys get these big boosts. Like the ownership never gets to that crazy amount because a lot of people build stuff they like and they just stick with it. So I think it'd be a good opportunity on Williams and Traylon Burks, assuming, you know, we don't get the news until right until the hour and a half before.

1:02:38

And then he is out if he's in, you know, nothing really changes there. And I don't like him either. I like, I don't have, he's got a real price tag. You got it. He has to do something big time at, And I wouldn't be all that interested in him. I'd still prefer those other cheap guys. But it is the spot where we need. We're going to need a little more news to hammer it all down.

1:02:59

And like we kind of said, you definitely want to wait to build lineups today because of this. Yeah, Diggs might go. I mean, the latest – I think he probably plays, yeah. He was limited on Friday and then back at practice Saturday, so people are starting to think that he's going to go. So we'll wait and see, but I still like how title broke it down before in your additions. Like, again, Williams, Burks, we kind of know what's going on there. The other side, Cooks versus Kirk.

1:03:24

We'll wait and see if Kirk even goes. He could still be ruled inactive. We'll see once we get closer to Locke. So we won't know that until we get there, but – Um, if he's out, then it opens up even more. I think Evans is in. So it'd be like Evans cooks Cowing at that point, the majority for me, and then move it around from there.

1:03:41

Let's go to a tight end title and we'll, we'll start with the Kittle conversation, but Chig who brought up earlier is on the other side. And then somebody else said, we'll wait for the, uh, Luke Farrell or, or some might say Luke Pharrell. We'll see if he scores a touchdown tonight, but, uh, Kittle is definitely the popular one here. Yeah, I think for a good reason. I don't plan on having too strong. I mean, it's really hard to go really, really overweight.

1:04:03

You're almost like eighty percent plus with them with the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. But I definitely don't want to take a strong underweight stand. I think that's pretty good. I want him in both spots. Chig. Yeah, more of a flex play for me. I was hoping he like he's been on the field quite a bit. Seventy one percent last time and. With Diggs coming back, maybe a little more Target ShareTarget share is the percentage of a team's targets (passes thrown toward an intended receiver) that go to one player. A receiver who sees 8 of his team's 32 targets has a 25 percent target share.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share is gone.

1:04:21

His receiving prop is only like twenty one and a half, though, which was a little disappointing for me. But I'll be playing him. That's a bet. That's a bet. There you go. No, no. He wants to go over receiving yards. Yeah. Chig's a Chig. Twenty one's the number. Yeah, I think so. Oh, I thought that was I thought that was going to be for the first quarter. Let's see. Bookmaker hoop is always good.

1:04:48

The last guy we did this to got hurt, though. Actually, it was the Forty-Niners guy that got hurt right away. Remember? It was a stripling, literally, first game. Yeah, it was. I remember too much. Twenty-five plus is minus one-eleven. That's a little off. That's a lock. That's a lock. There you go. Luke Farrell, though, yeah. I mean, I think he's going to be a couple percent owned. He's on the field sixty percent of the time, more of a blocking guy.

1:05:14

But, you know, when they get to the red zone, random stuff can happen. Maybe four points is enough. There's enough studs on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate that I think it could be a Stars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs build where maybe four is enough there. We haven't seen in a long time, though. But that's really just forty plus teams you're making to get different. Most people here aren't doing that. So you don't have to worry about him. Let me ask you this before I move to hoop on the tight end stuff.

1:05:35

How much do you just start thinking the more we talk through this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate that it's like one of those nice casino lottery pulls on the old slot machine tonight and we're just going to build the best lineups to have the chance at winning and then just be like whatever happens happens because I really think it's just going to come down to the captain. It always does.

1:05:53

I get what people say, but when I say it like that, just so people know, it's not the obvious statement of like, yes, you have to get the right captain. The point is, how did Lamb end up as the winning captain last night in a lineup that still pays out over a hundred and $50,000? That's what I'm thinking about.

1:06:08

So what I'm saying is if you can get after that, how the hell would you know right now if like Luke Farrell jams in instead of Kalen Black or if it's use check instead of it? Like, man, it's just going to be so random at that point. I think you need to set yourself up for success with good builds.

1:06:22

Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown it's a little bit tighter maybe again some might say I'd spread it out for that reason I actually think there's so many flex options here I explained already on this show why uh even when you think like sav Williams or uh you know who's the other guys pierre strong like they're gonna have these big games yeah they are but they're still not going to end up up top very often in matter of fact a guy like Golden doesn't even end up in the top and crushes so it's Weird shit happens.

1:06:45

My point being, if you really know that and people, I'm going to spread it out to a million different captains. It's like, well, then it gets tricky to have the combination even possibly to be in the, in the chamber for yourself. So I think that's what I'm thinking about. But yeah, I don't tell you. Are you thinking the same or what?

1:07:00

Yeah, especially – like, I feel good that it's going to probably be – and again, definitely could be wrong, but I feel good about, like, five captains. And it's kind of obvious captains, but at least they're not, like, Bichon range or something. They're all kind of eating into each other. And then there's a lot of Kellenbergs, Antonio Williams, Rashad White, Eckler, like – I guess Rashad White I shouldn't have threw in there.

1:07:22

But there's enough three, $4,000, just a lot of roulette stuff going on there where I feel good about just mixing and matching those a lot more. And then certain builds. Who's my captain? Jayden Daniels is my captain. All right. The Burks and Antonio Williams makes a little more sense in those builds. So based on what I'm doing at captain, I feel good about that spot. And then I can try and tell a better story in my flex while still leaving.

1:07:46

Usually probably a decent bit of money because I do think there's enough cheap options that are going to be on the field and have the opportunity to do something. That receiver position is really, really tough, but I think it's going to determine the slate. That's what you said too. The popular captains don't matter as much when the flex options are abundant. There's so many of them. And for a regular showdown, it's like people always say, oh, I do better in showdown.

1:08:05

Yeah, there's one game and a much smaller pool to choose from. But tonight is different. It's not like these guys that are all just so obvious and this, that, and the other. You still got to build it accordingly, leave certain money, whatever it might be, to put yourself in that position. I won't delete. I call it delete. I won't X out like the one percent on captains I get. But I'm saying my core five to six captains will be owned in a decent share.

1:08:26

And to title's point, nobody's getting like the forty percent or thirty five percent captain ownership tonight, like a Gibbs slate or a Bichon slate or something. So you'll still be able to get good LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage on all your captains and then spin the wheel for the flex position and make it make sense. But get what you get and roll from there. Hoop tight end for you. Any thoughts here? Oh, I think my thoughts are pretty clear. I really like Kittle.

1:08:51

I know there's obviously going to be some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership and you guys know my thoughts on Chig tonight. I think I like, I hope the ownership holds true too. I mean, we got it at, uh, uh, like, uh, I'm going to make the call that Chig is on the optimal lineup tonight. All right. Okay. That's a bold call. I like that. Yeah. A lot of O's in that name too.

1:09:12

That could be zeros on the posts on X and things like that when it doesn't work out. But yeah, The one interesting thing to me, the last thing, the one with kickers and Ds, I'll stay with you, but just the Kittle stuff, like I said earlier, on the stone, we do all the simulations, use our data that's been pretty solid, and we use that to go figure this stuff out. It doesn't mean it's going to work out or be right or whatever.

1:09:30

I'm just noting the numbers. Kittle is only showing up optimal anywhere on this slate less than half the time. I think a lot of people out there right now are just hand-building lineups and throwing Kittle into them and whatever, whatever, and feeling good about it. He's not even showing... I mean, he's... Forty-five percent of the time, he's on the optimal lineup. So that's pretty interesting when it seems like people are pegging him to be in there like...

1:09:54

You know all kinds of the time at least from what I'm seeing so we'll wait and see how it actually shakes out but first run just thinking about it we obviously got to get more news on this site while the updated version closer to lock but it's it's less than I would have expected to be honest so hoop kickers and d's anything there well let's check out our kickers here we got mr we're watching Pineiro, let's see. What do we got so far?

1:10:18

Eleven, five, eight, six, seven. So it's at five, six, seven, eight, and eleven. He's missed, though. One out of two, one out of two, one out of one, two out of three. Eh, not a ton of excitement there, but we'll play him. And then Stevens. Stevens has been solid. Six. Nine, eleven, seven, eight. So both guys pretty high floor. You know, one fifty sixty yarder at the end of the half could make the difference. Yeah, I like these guys tonight.

1:10:49

And then defense in for some forty Niners defense. Not a ton of interest in the Commanders. Title, your thoughts here. Yeah, I think commander's defense, definitely the one I have least interest in. But I think I'll be playing a decent amount of forty Niners defense. It feels like these defenses keep like they're over there under own relative to ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections. I think most of these SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, at least that's what I've kind of I don't go back and back test and like look at all ownerships.

1:11:16

But I have looked at the defense has won a decent bit on Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown and people are hesitant to click it unless it's like a really, really obvious spot. So in the game total this big, I do think. Forty-Niners might be, yeah, fifteen percent. That sounds pretty good to me. Any Pineiro team, any Stevens team, any, I guess, Chig team, Rashad White, you can go forty-Niners defense. We saw it yesterday. Packers had a pretty good day. Cowboys almost got there as well.

1:11:43

Only takes one. People are already hitting the line, man. They like you. The bet three, six, five is up to twenty-six and a half now on Chig. We're going to have to get t-shirts too. After he wins us all the money tonight, we're going to get a getting jiggy with it. A t-shirt. I want to see what his line is by, by lock. His line's going to be back down to like, the real, the real sharp money comes in.

1:12:07

Like, all right, yeah, let's, let's pop these people piling in. Give us more, give us more, give us more. Yeah. Everyone hits the under title just piles in on the under, and then we're good. Right. At NBA. We got some NBA coming up next year. Well, when is it tomorrow? Tomorrow. Yeah. Yeah. Or one, one PM Eastern. I DraftKings put it on the early game at three Eastern. So Ria and I will be going live at one PM talking some hoops.

1:12:34

Nice. I won't be betting the under, no. No, they're getting rid of those because the NBA players definitely like to – no tinfoil hat needed for the NBA. They do it. They're caught. Yeah. They're bad, bad actors. So we got that hoop. Anything you saw for FanDuel here before we get out of here? Yes. Wild prices over there. The Cowing guy is $7,600. Short walk in $7,200. Walk in $7,200. Those are pretty wild.

1:13:04

They priced it like Mike Evans was going to be. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. And I get that but man that's well I guess when Mike Evans is in those guys are clearly Terry McLaurin at eighty four kind of sticks out a little bit. Rashad White, fifty six. Way too cheap. I mean, one of the worst prices of the year. Chig, $3,600. It's load up both sides. Double, double ship or DK. Yeah, I'll just get them both. Get them on DK.

1:13:33

Get them on FanDuel. I will say Keon Black at $3,400 on FanDuel where he's You know, just score a touchdown, probably good enough. Like definitely prefer him here opposed to DK. Where is Austin Ackler? $4,000. That's fair. Brandon Cooks, $4,400 seems cheap. Antonio Williams, fifty two. It's probably right where he should be.

1:14:00

Um but yeah like those forty Niners guys are definitely overpriced but then we got some underpriced uh dudes as well here so uh yeah they got the same digs McLaurin thing going on too right McLaurin's cheaper digs is right there so yeah yeah tough digs at $9,000 yeah tough click over on on FanDuel for sure I wonder over there, though, like Purdy and CMC, it's a little bit more like Purdy to CMC on DraftKings is fifteen hundred dollars savings.

1:14:32

Like if you go drop down from McCaffrey to Purdy over there, though, it's three hundred bucks at the MVP. So anything you saw their title, I just that's the one I thought of that stood out a little bit. Mick Nichols is still a min price over there at $1,000. I have to monitor if he's going to get called up. Luke Farrell really cheap. Again, I'm more willing to punt on FanDuel, even if you expect almost a zero on some SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate.

1:14:54

Now, today, you probably a zero. You won't won't really cut it because you do have a min price guy that if he is active, is going to have some sort of ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections. Christian Kirk is $3,000 over there. But yeah, otherwise, like I mean, Rashad White's going to be mega, mega, mega owned. He is by far the one that is most mispriced. Yeah. I think it's going to be a fun slate.

1:15:12

Like I said, it's figuring out what you're doing up top, build your lineups down from there accordingly. But even if you get comfortable with the first two spots into those lineups, there's three more to fill. And that's where I think the wheel starts spinning a little bit. So just make sure you've got your stuff accordingly in your OptimizerAn optimizer is software that builds DFS lineups within a site's salary cap and roster rules. It uses projected fantasy points, your settings and, in some tools, simulations to select combinations for a chosen goal.Build a small test batch first. Check which players and combinations repeat, and investigate why before increasing the lineup count or changing settings.Read the full definition of Optimizer, whatever it is you're using to make sure that you're actually planning it and thinking about what the rest of that looks like and then go from there.

1:15:35

But it should be uh a real potential tonight for you know outright shippers uniques real low chops things like that if it goes the other way so be it but I think there's definitely the opportunity at least so all right anything else from you guys anything else you want to talk about before we get out of here congrats to the winners yeah I mean tom brady's gray rick I only talked about the the tough beat yesterday but yeah a lot of great wins in the community so hey and if you're dust like me so got tonight That's what I'm saying.

1:16:03

My goal is to just win something big before week seven for the first time forever, maybe. So it's like, I've been very close. This is my best week one to six ever while still losing, but still got tonight. So I can't wait. I like it. Let's get it done. All right. Appreciate you guys. Thanks so much for watching for title, for hoop, for myself, ToeTagginTambo. Good luck in your contest tonight. Let's ship it.

Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 5:17Community Wins and Golden Shipper Ticket Giveaway
  3. 13:22Commanders vs 49ers Game Overview and Injury News
  4. 18:52Captain Picks and Ownership Strategy
  5. 31:42Winning Lineups and Roster Construction Lessons
  6. 37:08Contrarian Captains and Tightening Your Player Pool
  7. 44:40Quarterbacks: Brock Purdy and Jayden Daniels
  8. 47:16Running Backs and Salary-Saving Options
  9. 54:58Adjusting Projections in Your Optimizer
  10. 57:06Wide Receivers and Injury-Dependent Value
  11. 1:03:41Tight Ends: George Kittle and Chig Okonkwo
  12. 1:05:33Building Around Your Captain and Mixing Flex Options
  13. 1:10:08Kickers and Defenses
  14. 1:12:49FanDuel Pricing and Value Plays
  15. 1:15:11Final Lineup-Building Thoughts

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