UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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Valentina had to vacate her belt due to injury. So that's the fight that we have right there. For the vacated belt all right I say we go bottom to top as always no time to waste this isn't the official bout order like this uh jacoby smith fight isn't first it's been changed around a bit but again the bout order does not matter when it comes to DFS first fight of the night uh First fight going based on the stone.

The highest priced and biggest favorite, Jacoby Smith, minus $1,000. Taking on Bruce Whitehead, plus six sixty one minus fourteen hundred for this fight to finish. Smith minus seven fifty inside the distance. Whitehead plus seven fifty. I do not see any. Actually, I take that back. Minus one sixty is Smith in round one. I think it's the same story as usual.

Nine to eight hundred is a big price tag, especially when there is appealing options for cheaper that I think have similar upside. So I'll probably be underweight Smith, zero whitehead. And that's how I plan on attacking the first fight. What about you? Yeah, I put it as a four star because I didn't know his salary when I was doing that.

But yeah, $9,800 is probably going to end up pricing him out of a lot of my lineups just because I like ninety two and up on a card where I just don't like a lot of underdogs. I think it's going to be hard to get to Smith and he's probably going to be priced out of the optimal lineup, even if he puts up one hundred and ten points. But yeah. I think it's still Smith or pass.

I mean, Whitehead's going to need to knock Smith out with a flash KO or maybe just grab a neck and choke him out at some point. But I don't see how Whitehead's going to win minutes against a guy like Smith, just super athletic, explosive, powerful. And a great wrestler. I think Smith is going to do what he wants in this fight. Probably go in, try and get a knockout. If he doesn't look for takedowns.

And then I think he finishes them with either ground and pound or, um, or, or a choke, but either way, I think Smith dominates the fight. I just don't like the $9,800. So probably passing and hoping Smith scores a hundred and five. Yeah, that's what I'll be hoping to. You can see Anthony Wint, five hundred less. Pinas, four hundred less. I could plug any Smith lineup in, drop to those two, even in a vacuum.

And I think there is upside that they could outscore Smith. But also just easier to leave three hundred dollars when you play Wint instead of Smith. You don't have to make it just a one V one pivot is something I'm fine doing in chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ teams, though. Next fight on the card. Retirement fight for the good old Court McGee. He's taking on Eric Nolan. Minus two twenty five. Nolan plus one eighty nine is Court McGee.

Minus one forty five for this fight to finish. Nolan minus one oh five inside the distance court plus five seventy five. So you can see on Tuesday it was Eric Nolan at minus two sixty five. Now it's minus two twenty five. Eric Nolan did open minus three fifty as well. So. Money has continued to pour in on the Court McGee side. We need dogs on this card. I know it's his retirement fight.

I know he's forty one years old, but if he doesn't get chinned, I think this could be a competitive fight. Court Strong can use this clinch. His savviness is Veteran ability can probably get takedowns in this fight if he needs it. At $7,200, any win I would take. He's taking money. This fight's expected to finish. I am going to have some Court McGee.

Now, I think I'm going to have some Eric Nolan as well for the simple fact that I think he's going to be very low ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗. Maybe Court McGee's just so done and gets chin right away, but Nolan has power and he's minus one Oh five inside the distance plus two thirty five in round one at ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. Those are pretty good props as a way to get different in that IK range.

So it doesn't sound too appealing, but I think this is going to be a fight I'll be overweight on to start the night. Yeah, unfortunately, I'm going to be the same. Court McGee is one of my favorite underdog picks on the card just because it is his retirement fight in his hometown. I feel like the UFC was like, yo, here's the roster. Pick out somebody you could beat and ride off into the sunset. And he picks Eric Nolan. I think he's got a chance against Nolan.

I mean, Nolan's a lot younger. He's going to be faster. He'll be the better striker at range, more durable, have more knockout power. But if he doesn't knock out court, I don't know how Nolan would make the optimal lineup. So you're really playing for first round knockouts for on the Nolan side. But he's going to be a lot lower on than all those other $9,000 guys that we're going to get to. So I think he definitely makes sense for ownership reasons.

But court shouldn't just stand at range and strike with this guy. He should be pushing a heavy pace. I think he can strike with volume as long as he's getting on the inside. I think he can work takedowns. Nolan was taken down like seventeen times in his last UFC fight. So I definitely think Court McGee can go in there and get three to six takedowns. Enough top control time. I think he can work when he's in top control as well.

And even at forty two years old, I think he can go a hard fifteen minutes, maybe even harder than Eric Nolan. So, yeah, give me Court McGee. I'll be overweight to him. And then I'll probably be around the field on Nolan just because I don't want to get burned there. I think he could be a sneaky way to the optimal lineup if court just does get knocked out right away. Yeah, I mean, plus two thirty five. That's his round one prop.

That's twenty nine point nine percent. He could come in fifteen percent on this card, half of his round one prop. So just that alone. And then, yeah, taking on a guy that's retiring, forty one years old, definitely will have the power advantage. I think all of those makes for a strong case to play some Eric Nolan at low ownership as a pivot in the upper tier range.

But yeah, I don't think you should plug in Jacoby Smith, take Smith out, go Nolan and leave eight hundred in a vacuum. That's not the way I would do it. But When I'm playing Marcus McGee, when I'm playing the main event, if I'm playing King Green and just getting chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗, chalky, chalky, I think that's where Eric Nolan makes some sense in GPPsGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗. Next fight on the card, mid-tier fights. Ismail Nerdyov, minus-one-thirty-five, taking on Marvin Vittori, plus-one-fifteen. Plus-one-fifty for this fight to finish.

Nerdyov plus-two-fifty inside the distance. Vittori plus-four-hundred. I'll throw it to you in this one. What do you think in this mid-tier fight? I really don't like this fight very much. I think if it goes the distance, we're probably not going to have to even worry who wins because I don't think we're going to have a high score on either side. I do think Vittori would be the one that's more likely to strike with high volume and land takedowns.

So I ended up picking him as my pick to win just because he was the underdog. And I think those are his paths to victory. But Vittori just looks so washed. Nordea, I think, is the better striker. He does have more power. I think if it's an at-range striking match, he probably picks him apart for fifteen minutes, but still has to eat volume in the process. And you never know what the judges are going to think.

But I just don't think that's going to make the optimal lineup, no matter who gets their hand raised. So what I want to do is just act like this fight isn't there and hope that the winner scores. Seventy points in the decision. I was going back and forth on this one just as my who's going to win the fight. I do think Nortia deserves to be the favorite at this point, but I just don't trust him enough.

And if the Tory, I mean, he's only thirty three years old. If he can. If he can do what he used to do, he should be able to beat Nordea, but he just looks so washed. What would you set Vittori's wrestling prop at, or his takedown prop? Zero point five. Yeah, this fight's so tough to get to. I mean, the mid-tier is not strong, so I guess that's a case to be made if you want to play it.

I'll probably be avoiding a lot of the mid-tier. This fight will be low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗. But when you dive in, Vittori, his last ten fights have all gone the distance, and six of those ten were five-round fights. Nerdyov, his first six UFC fights have all gone the distance. You're getting two guys. I mean, if you watch any Vittori fights, the dude's got a block for a head. It is very hard to knock out Marvin Vittori.

So I just think it's hard for me to see this fight being optimal without a finish. It's expected to go the distance. You're parlaying.

A closely lined fight which is $8,300 $7,900 the closest line fight you're probably getting the winner right and it's scoring enough on a fourteen fight card to be optimal I just think that's too many things so ten lineups or less I would have none the more lineups you get you can throw it in in contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ teams but definitely not my favorite way to get different on this card one of my least favorite fights which is definitely Big Marley's one of his least favorite fights, too.

He only has two two-star fights, and that is that Vittori one, and that is also this next fight. Alexander Hernandez, minus .-. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . No, I really don't want to fight. I mean, play this fight either. I think that RDA is probably washed at this point as well. He's pushing forty two. But I think skill wise, I mean, in his prime, Hernandez wouldn't even be able to touch a prime RDA.

So I think that if the skills are still there, if RDA doesn't get knocked out, I think he could wrestle with Hernandez. I think he could strike with Hernandez and turn this into a close fight. So he is a live underdog. I have him at three stars for that reason. Just any live underdog I'm willing to play this week. And then Hernandez, $9,100. I just don't think he's going to score much minute to minute.

But he does have knockout power if he knocks out RDA in the first round. He could definitely flirt with the optimal lineup. And he's similar to Eric Nolan, where those are the two guys that I think get overlooked and everyone else goes. Ninety $2,000. Are $9,200 and up. So Hernandez first round knockout, Nolan first round knockout. If you have them both in your on your team, if that happens, you're you're kind of.

You're passing up a lot of the field and just hoping that those other guys don't quite score as much, just hoping that the card ends and it's kind of crappy. But I think for ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ reasons, you could play Hernandez. But Mike, in a couple of lineups, I just want to not play this this fight and hope that Hernandez wins and score seventy points.

Yeah in a vacuum this fight's tougher to get to I mean it was minus two fifty five hernandez on Tuesday now it's minus two eighty five rda is my preferred play because we need dogs on this card and like you said and if he's not fully fully washed like he can wrestle he can strike he is not in his proper weight class but the skills are definitely there and it's not like hernandez is a great minute winner And the same thing.

Yeah, I was going to compare Alexander Hernandez and Eric Nolan to round one prop for Hernandez plus two ten. That's thirty two percent. He very well could be half of that at sixteen percent own. So in chalk, your teams, when you're building McGee and the main event and stuff like that, I think Hernandez is a way you can get different. Man, I don't love it, though. Initially, when I was writing everything up, I liked Nolan more than Hernandez. But now money's came against Nolan.

Hernandez has taken money. It's only a one hundred dollar difference and a slightly better run one prop to Hernandez than Nolan. So I might have to flip that and slightly prefer Hernandez. But they're very similar plays, just ways to get different and chalkier teams hunting for first round upside. But, yeah, we need dogs. $7,100 RDA is my preferred play. Let's get to another mid-tier fight. Heavyweights. Johnny Walker taking on Mick Parkin. Walker minus one twenty five.

Parkin plus one oh five minus one sixty for this fight to finish. Both guys plus one ninety inside the distance on Tuesday. Minus one forty five. Johnny Walker Thursday minus one twenty five. So Parkin has taken some money is six hundred cheaper. And I see you have more stars on the parking side. So you think he wins? How do you think this fight goes? Yeah, I am picking Parker to win.

I just think he could definitely be the better minute winner, really, wherever the fight goes. I think he could be the one that dictates where the fight goes. You really got to watch for the explosiveness from Walker. Walker could definitely knock out Parker in any round, but really early in the fight is where it would be most likely. If that happens, he's probably on the optimal lineup. So Walker's definitely in play as well. I just like other favorites more.

And on a card where I'm looking for underdogs, Parkin, a guy who I think can win all three rounds. If he wrestles, I think he can win all three rounds clearly because I don't think Walker's going to have anything for him. Coming up to heavyweight as well. And then I think Parkin's the better minute winner on the feet too. I trust him more over fifteen minutes than I do Walker.

I don't think Parkin is really live that much to knock out Walker or maybe he's live for submission, but I just don't think he has as much finish equity. But he's definitely live to win minutes in this fight. And if he can avoid that early knockout, I think he does win minutes. And I like him to get his hand raised. So Parkin, I actually think him and Court McGee might be my only two underdogs I'm picking on the card.

But those are the two I'll be overweight on for sure, just for that reason. How many wins do you think Parkin gets and isn't optimal? And isn't optimal? Man, I'm worried that this fight is just really boring at distance. Johnny Walker has definitely changed his fighting style, and to be honest, smart of him to do that. It's a bigger cage, and I'm worried that the leg kicks early limit Parkin's movement and then doesn't really force him to shoot.

Johnny's not going to overextend, and then we just get a staring match for fifteen minutes, which we've seen Johnny Walker fight. What odds are you putting that at? If Parkin wins a fight like that, it's not going to score enough. Yeah, I mean, I definitely think Parkin could win and score fifty five points on this card, though. I'm still willing to risk it just because I need underdogs on this card. So, yeah, I think even if he gets his hand raised, it's definitely not a lock.

You're probably not done. But I think he could score anywhere from like sixty to ninety. And on this card, I'm willing to take that range for sure. Yeah, I mean, seven, eight hundred. I prefer Park in two for that six hundred savings. We need dogs on this card. Yeah, both are plus one ninety to finish. Like you said, I would think Johnny Walker would had a better inside the distance prop as well. But they're given Park in a decent bit of equity for submission.

Plus six hundred in this one. Fourteen percent. He gets a submission. He gets a submission. He's obviously wrestling, which only increases his upside. So. Parking my preferred play. I will play some Johnny Walker. I actually think he got more appealing once Marcus McGee got a new opponent because now McGee's ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ is going to be a lot higher and that's going to take away from the Walker Parking fight, especially on the Walker side. So I don't mind leaving a hundred playing Walker over McGee.

If he outscores him in a vacuum, that is definitely a way you can get different as well. But the mid-tier is weak. There's three mid-tier fights. It's Marcus McGee who's clearly the best now as a big favorite. Then it's Walker Parkin minus one sixty to finish. And then Nerdy of Vittoria, which we talked about, which we did not like at all. So there's definitely going to be plenty of lineups where I'm just avoiding that whole mid tier.

And that would be a way to get different. Not playing this fight or Marcus McGee puts you on a different roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Full explanation ↗. So yeah. I I'm indifferent to this fight. Something's telling me that these two will be staring at each other for four, fifteen minutes, but still favored to finish. They're still big boys, still have good inside the distance props. So I can't fully ignore it.

Next fight on the card, big favorite, is Anthony Wint, minus-five-fifty, taking on Lucas Armand, plus-four-fifteen, minus-six-hundred for this fight to finish. Wint, minus-three-fifty inside the distance. Armand, plus-six-hundred. And then in round one, Wint is minus-one-thirty-five I could argue wins the best play on the slate. He's $9,300. So he's not breaking the bank for three others priced above him. You can play and plug any of those people above them, including Smith and drop down to wins. He's a wrestler. He's expected to finish in round one.

Armand's not very good. I would not be surprised in the least if wins the highest score on the slate when it's all said and done. So. I would have the stars exactly the same as you. But again, Wynn could score one fifteen and still not be optimal. So you can't really lock someone at that price. Yeah, he's going to be my favorite play on the slate for sure. I think he could win really everywhere. Armand could knock him out. He could definitely win minutes at range.

But Wendt is super powerful. I think he is going to be a dangerous wrestler. And once he gets takedowns, I think he can grab the back and choke him out as well. So I think he's live for a knockout on the feet, ground and pound on the ground, and a submission. I also think he's alive to wrestle for three rounds. I don't know that he would do enough at $9,300 for that to be what we want. But I think he finishes this guy.

I don't really know that Armand even deserves to be in the UFC. So I won't be playing him and I'll I'll get as much went as I can afford. I just can't be all in because of the range that he's in. I just love that entire range. Totally agree. We see that the same. Let's keep it rolling. Next fight on the card. Marcus McGee minus four eighty. Anthony Romero plus three seventy four.

Only prop I'm seeing right now is under one or under two and a half at plus one fifty one. So what that means is this fight is going to be favored to go the distance. I'm not very familiar with Anthony Romero again. This fight was just announced yesterday. I want to say yesterday is when Sopai pulled out and then Romero stepped in. He's seven and two, twenty nine years old. Again, taking the fight on short notice against Marcus McGee, who is he's well-rounded.

He's good on the feet. He has good cardio. He has good training partners. Feels like a pretty uphill battle when it comes to Romero. But with that being said, it's not like Marcus McGee is just known to break slates and score a hundred plus. Like he can wrestle, but he wants to, prefers to stay on the feet. He doesn't overextend and just like throw every, like all of his power in his shots. So I think there's a path where McGee outlands him one thirty to five.

Fifty wins a decision but still at $8,500 is not optimal and people are going to see that money line at minus four eighty at $8,500 and like it's clearly a cash play he's in play for tournaments and he's solid but $8,500 you still need to score like eighty seven might not be enough so I got to see what projected ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ is going to come in at if it's forty plus which I assume it's going to Maybe I'd just go, I'll go underway to this fight in general.

I'm debating playing a little Anthony Romero too, just for this sheer leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ he gets from McGee. And he has somewhat of a floor, I guess, if this fight's not supposed to finish, which it's not, thirty-eight and a loss at $6,700. Like, give me him over a lot of these Bruce Whiteheads, Lucas Armand, um... Davis and Figueredo, like these dudes probably aren't going to score anything. So, yeah, I'm really curious to hear your take on this.

I haven't done enough digging in on Romero, but I don't love McGee at probably what's going to be ownership. And that price tag from Romero and the leverage, I guess, has me considering it a bit. Yeah, I mean, I don't hate the idea of using Romero just for that reason. If he does win, nobody's going to be on him, and you're going to kill off the highest owned guy on the entire card.

So if I was playing multiple lineupsMulti-EntryMulti-entry means entering more than one lineup into the same contest. A contest's entry limit, such as 3, 20 or 150, sets how many lineups one user can submit.Set your total spend for the slate first, then divide it into entries. Multi-entry should spread a fixed budget across more outcomes, not raise how much you put at risk.Full explanation ↗, if I was doing like twenty or more, I'd be interested in a little bit of Romero. But I think the way I would just rather go is hope that McGee is fifty percent on and just not use them and hope that he does score under ten X. He scored. Sixty one and seventy one in his two decision wins in the UFC.

Neither of those are going to cut it at $8,500 and especially at fifty percent ownership or whatever he might be on this card. And I think Romero had some pretty good hands. I like this striking. I think he can hang on the feet. I think his best chance to win would be to hurt McGee and then just put on the pressure. Get the TKO.

But after the first round, especially taking this fight on three days notice, McGee is just too well-rounded, too much of an experienced vet. Fought the highest competition where this is going to be Romero's toughest fight to date by far. I just think over three rounds, McGee will be too much for him, and he'll probably get two or three of those rounds from the judges. I just don't know that that's going to cut it, especially if he's not looking to wrestle much.

And he's not a guy that I really look at as a high-paced wrestler. He might land one or two, maybe three in this fight. I just don't think he's going to keep going for it.

Especially if he's doing well on the feet so I'm definitely fine using mcgee because of all that value but at the same time the entire field is going to do it as well so my favorite way if I'm making one lineup is just to not use this fight and I hope he wins score Yeah, we see it similar. I'll be waiting for inside the distance props and round one props. But I doubt that really changes my opinion too much. And it's not going to change the field.

They're going to play an $8,500 fighter. That's minus four eighty on this card. There's no doubt about that. So probably underweight in tournaments. Fourteen fights. We still need upside. And I think there is upside in that mid-tier. Natalia Silva is only two hundred more. Gadier is only three hundred more. Rodriguez is only one hundred more. We talked about the Walker Parkin fight expected to finish. There's definitely outs where McGee scores eighty and is nowhere near the optimal. All right.

Again, appreciate everyone hanging out pretty much halfway through the fights. All we ask is the like button and subscribe button. It helps us out a ton. And it's a four p.m. Eastern start time in Salt Lake this week. So I didn't mention that from the top. All right, next fight on the card. Damien Pinas, minus-five-seventy-five. Andre Pouli of plus-four-thirty-one. Minus... Let me see if this actually loads quick. Come on, fight odds. Minus three fifty for this fight to finish.

Pinas minus two forty five inside the distance. Pooley of plus six seventy five. Pinas in round one plus one fifteen. He's definitely taking money. He was plus one twenty five in round one at open now plus one fifteen. He was minus two twenty five inside the distance now minus two forty five. This fight was minus three twenty five to finish now minus three fifty. But we have took a little money since open peanuts open minus eight hundred.

And then thirty minutes later was minus five hundred. And the line has stayed around there. Since then. So, I mean, this Pinas dude, all of his wins in round one, he absolutely has dynamite in his hands and Pulyov is never someone that I look to play. Ten and five is a pro. The dude runs around the cage. I don't think Pinas is going to worry about any power coming his way. So I think he just stalks them and puts them out cold.

You'll just probably want it to be in round one at this price. So that's how I see it. Yeah, if we're turning knockouts off, then Puliayev has a chance. I think he could strike with Pinas for fifteen minutes. Maybe he can even tire him out, get a late knockout, something like that. But Pinas just has crazy explosiveness and power, and I think he is going to be hunting for that early knockout. It's going to be hard for Puliayev to avoid it.

I like Pinas to get that knockout. It's just when you're playing in the range that he's playing with, I would rather have went for a hundred less. If I can afford both, then great. Let me just do that. But there's also other guys that I want in that range, too. So I just got to spread out my $9,000 ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. I'll get some peanuts. But since I like went more, I put this as a four star rather than a five.

But I do like him to get a first round knockout. Yeah, I will say, we always talk about leaving money and leaving a hundred in this. I actually think more lineups that have Pinas and leave zero dollars will be less duped than Wint leaving one hundred. I do think Wint will be a decent bit higher on than Pinas. I think that is the correct call because he's a little higher or pretty much the same money line, but better inside the distance.

He has wrestling upside, but I do not mind if you play Pinas over Wint. Wince and leave the zero dollars what do we got uh some some fights announced now costager gordon sanchez elder moreno charles johnson I mean these kind of look like cheeks I'm not gonna lie what what are we doing Speaking of something that wasn't cheese, I wanted to ask you from the top, man, what a freaking main event we had last week. Super scary and how it ended.

But before that, man, I only what a fucking monster. And I will say Raul Rosas and all that stuff that happened in round five. I almost bet Rosas. I didn't think the number was right going into the fifth at plus six fifty. You could tell that second win and something just clicked. The dude had, like, all the cardio in the world in round five, jumping up and down and just fucking guns blazing, knew he needed the finish. And, again, I know how it ended.

There was still a lot of time in that fight, though, and Road Sauce was putting on a pace in that fifth round. Props to him. I know he's going to get shit on a lot. He could have handled this stuff after better. But I only a lot older was in a war and winning that fight clearly. But it is a five round fight, twenty five minutes. And he came out in round five and he absolutely put it on Ioni.

So what a what a sick, sick fight from those two. Yeah. Anything you want to say about that card or that fight? Yeah, epic main event. Definitely stock up for Raul Rosas. I mean, Raoni's just a different beast. I thought he was winning the fight. It was going to be a really good night for me if Raoni got his hand raised. I still ended up breaking even on DFS with the loss, basically all in on Raoni having no Rosas.

But it could have been a good night for me, and I thought Raoni was winning, but it was not what I expected at all from the Raul Rosas side. I was expecting wrestle or bust from him, and I thought his striking looked really good. I thought his cardio looked really good. His pace looked great. So, yeah, the sky's the limit for Raul Rosas. Yeah, I mean, that left hand, he's clearly worked on his striking. The toughness he has, durability right now.

Cardio was there. Hyoni's a fucking monster. So I hope everything's well with him. Hopefully we never see him fight again after that. There's no reason to risk that at that age. But what a sick main event. That was terrifying. Scary. Super scary. Glad he's all right now. For sure. All right, let's keep it rolling. Next fight on the card. Emmanuel Rodriguez taking on Alden Correa. Rodriguez minus one forty seven. Correa plus one twenty seven minus one oh five for this fight to finish.

Rodriguez plus one sixty inside the distance. Correa plus four fifty. Interesting fight. I see you have it a four star and four stars on the Rodriguez side. So what do you see? Yeah, I think it's kind of like power versus technique. I do like Corey is striking at range. I think he's the more technical guy. I think he can keep kind of the same pace over the course of three rounds. And he's live for a decision in this one.

He's also live to knock out Rodriguez just because of Rodriguez's aggressiveness. But Rodriguez is going to be the aggressor, going to be the guy with a lot more power trying to kill Correa. I think he will have more damage throughout the fight. I actually think he's probably more alive to land takedowns as well. So I am picking Rodriguez to win. He's my preferred choice of the two. I think he's the guy with the ceiling with more first round knockout equity.

So that's kind of how I'm playing this fight is I'm targeting his first round knockout equity or I'm targeting Correa as a a live dog if I'm using either side or it's a four-star fight because I could definitely see either one of them just not making the optimal lineup in a decision. And I think a decision is pretty dang likely. Yeah, it's minus-one-twenty-five to go the distance, so slightly favored to go that way. I probably would have this fight a four-star or two.

A, I don't think ownership's going to be there too much. On the Correa side, as you can see, on Tuesday he was plus-one-forty-nine. Now he is plus-one-twenty-five, so he's taking over twenty cents. And a plus-one-twenty-five underdog at $7,600 is very good money line for his price. With Rodriguez, that usually pushes the pace. So that all benefits Correa. And on the Rodriguez side, I mean, he has to be low on Silva in the main event, one hundred more.

And now Marcus McGee, one hundred less as a big favorite. I think the McGee replacement fight only boosted my interest in Rodriguez because I think a lot of that ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ goes from Rodriguez to McGee. He's still plus one sixty to finish. He's finished all seven of his fights and his round one prop is is solid at plus three fifty. So. I think he has the finishing upside, like you mentioned.

Not a good money line, which is going to keep his ownership down, but we're hunting for upside, and he is aggressive. So Correa, due to the money line and the price, Rodriguez, due to the range and his inside-the-distance prop, is going to leave me probably overweight on this fight that I do not expect to get too much. All right, let's keep it rolling. Five fights left. Atiba, Gaudier. Ticking on Roman Kopulov. Minus two sixty is Gaudier. Plus two fifteen is Kopulov.

Minus one ninety for this fight to finish. Gaudier minus one oh five inside the distance. Kopulov plus two. Three fifty. I'm not going to lie. I was a little surprised to see this line. I guess see it continue to increase. It was minus two ten. Let's see it open minus three twenty five shortly after was already minus one ninety. And then on Tuesday it was minus two ten Gaudier and now it's minus two sixty. Line's going against me.

I think Kapilov is a monster on the feet, so I think it's competitive there. And I think if someone wrestles, I think it's Kapilov, who has shown willingness to wrestle as of late. Fourteen hundred cheaper has the wrestling advantage, probably a little striking disadvantage, but Kapilov still a monster on the feet. I prefer the underdog in this one, especially when we're hunting for underdogs. With that being said, though, Gaudier, $8,800. I don't think he's going to break ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗.

I think it's going to be in check with Natalia Silva, with Marcus McGee, with those $9,000 people, Esteban Rebovich. So he also might be a pivot. Big, scary dude. Plus two fifty in round one. Twenty eight point six percent. His his ownership probably doesn't get that high. So I guess a fight I want to be overweight on. I like Kapilov more earlier in the week. Still probably prefer him.

But seeing the line movement on Gadier and the ownership leads me to probably another overweight fight. Yeah, I'm cool with either side of this fight. It's similar to the last one where it's like power versus skill. Kapilov is going to be the highest level striker that Atiba has ever faced. But at the same time, Atiba is going to be the most powerful striker that Kapilov has ever faced.

And he might not even get a show off his skills because he might get knocked out right away. But if he doesn't get knocked out, I think that the kickboxing from Kapilov, and I do think you're right, he's more likely to mix in takedowns. I think he would be our more likely minute winner over the course of fifteen minutes.

So you could play Kapilov as a live dog who could win striking over fifteen and mix in a takedown or two, or you could play Atiba and hope he gets that first round knockout, scores a hundred plus and beats the $9,000 guys at at lower ownership. I'm fine playing it for either reason. I mean, either of those reasons. And then it's, again, a four-star because if Atiba wins a decision, ADA hundred dollars is just going to price him out of the optimal lineup.

So I don't want to be all in on this fight for that reason. I also think Kapilov could win a boring striking base decision and not score well. But I do think this, this could be fun fight either way. I do like it.

And I probably like it a little bit more than the last fight just because these these guys are bigger boys yeah I agree with that one more thing well I also like uh when I'm having trouble like I like all the guys $9,200 and more I don't know who I like that much more than the other I like to build lineups or how about if I can't even afford $9,200 let me go with uh hernandez nolan atiba and uh rodriguez italia silva I Something like that.

Yeah, yeah, yeah. A hundred percent. Esteban Rebovics. As good as that $9,000 is that high up $8,000 range is also very strong too. And I think that's going to be pretty contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ if you go that route. Yes.

And no, like if you then go plug in Marcus McGee and then like King green, that's not necessarily different, but because the mid tier is weak, if you're playing not like anyone above $9,300 or ninety three and above and you're fading Marcus McGee, that is a roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Full explanation ↗. You can get different.

As well so I don't hate it these guys have upside in the high aks for sure atiba I'm not gonna say as much upside as anyone but I mean the sixty second bonus is always in play anytime he fights he's a scary scary dude so definitely have some interest at and I do prefer this fight to the last fight like you mentioned mainly minus one oh five to finish versus minus one ninety is a pretty big gap Four fights left. Five-star fight.

Big Marley's second five-star fight on this card. That is Roberto Soldich, minus-two-sixty-five. Chaos Williams, plus-two-nineteen. Minus-four-hundred for this fight to finish. Soldich, minus-two-ten inside the distance. Chaos, plus-four-hundred. I'm excited to see Soldich make his UFC debut. This dude looks good. He looks powerful. He went one-and-one against Drikus in twenty-eighteen, which you like to see. Again, that was a while ago, but... Chaos is always known for his power. Now he welcomes another very powerful hitter into the UFC in Solvich. I mean, I like Solvich.

I think I'm going to play a ton at $9,200. But do not leave out Chaos Williams from your pool. If he wins, he's probably going to knock him out unconscious. And that goes a long way at $7,000. So I'm going to be overweight this fight. Don't even know if I have a preferred play. I mean, Solich, I think, wins, so probably him. But when Chaos wins, I think a good amount of the field go down and his ownership's low.

But that's probably the game theory play if you're only choosing one, like playing one lineup. So how do you see it? Yeah, well said. I just think someone's going to get knocked out in this fight. Both guys have big-time power. Both of them can have big-time aggression as well. They might just blitz and fight in a phone booth here, and one guy drops. I do like Soldich to be the more skilled fighter, though. Really... Everywhere. Uh, so I'm picking him to win.

I think the UFC wants him to win as well. So he's my preferred play of the two. Uh, but I really love his range and I don't love chaos's range. So I do think chaos makes a lot of sense, uh, game theory wise. And it also helps you get to the, the other people in the soldiers range who I like as well. So, uh, Maybe that will lead me to more chaos than I really thought it would.

But if I'm making one lineup, I figured I would be starting with Soldich, kind of seeing where it goes. But maybe I should be starting with chaos and seeing where it goes. We'll see. Once I do my lineups, I might change up the stars. But I think Soldich knocks them out probably in the first round. Yeah, I think Solich probably knocks him out too.

But like you said, when you're playing Soldich right away, it's hard to play Pinas, Wintz, Silva, Jacoby Smith, like all those guys that we've already – Gadier, all those guys we've already talked about in the upper tier. You've got to make sacrifices, whereas it's easier with Chaos. It's good fight to target. No doubt about that. Minus four hundred to finish comes in as a third best on the slate. And Anthony Wynn, Jacoby Smith, two huge favorites are the best.

So I think this is one of the best fights to target on both sides. And even Soldich doesn't break the bank. He could outscore Jacoby Smith in a vacuum. Not saying I think you need to leave the six hundred, but it is viable since he does have that upside. Let me see actually quick what Soldich in round one was. I know it was good. Shoot, that was Rebovix. I was already on to the next one. Soldich round one plus... One seventy opened plus one eighty.

So, I mean, that's pretty good. Plus one seventy is thirty seven percent, probably about where his ownership's at. I like it, but it is not going to I don't expect either to wrestle. So if this fight does get to the third round, probably Gigi's unless chaos does win. All right, three fights left. Again, appreciate everyone hanging out, many watching on playback, for watching live too. We appreciate you. Hope you have some fun plans for the weekend. A lot of sports going on.

MLB playoffs, college football, MMA, NASCAR, NFL, PGA Showdown. Great time to be a sports fan. NHL, didn't even mention that, which started two days ago. We have you covered for all the sports above. Again, all access. You can get in for monthly, for annual, different packages there. Five days for nineteen dollars if you want to try us out. Or we do have single sport packages as well for MMA. All right, I agree with what T-Bird said in the beginning. Bobby, the people's main event.

This is my main event. Esteban Rebovics, King Green, minus .-. Rebovics, plus .-. King Green, minus .-. For this fight to finish. Rebovics, minus .-. Inside the distance. King Green, plus .-. Rebovics in round one, plus .-. I think when it's all said and done, you will see King Green as one of the highest ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ lower tier fighters. And I mean, I can't blame anyone for doing that. Plus, two hundred isn't bad. He throws a lot of volume. So does Reba Vicks.

Maybe King Green mixes in takedowns. I don't know how much he would, but I think it'd be smart to try and mix it in. But regardless, the dude is always game. He's had big wins. Zellhuber. He was a bigger dog than this and absolutely broke the slate. So King Green's always alive to do that. With that being said, though, man, I think Riovic's ten years younger. I don't even necessarily know.

I feel like Riovic's is bigger than King Green, even though the reach and the height don't say it. But I think he's faster. I think he hits harder. I think he's more durable. I think it's just his time, ten years younger. So I think Rebovich knocks him out when it's all said and done. But, yeah, he's sixteen hundred dollars more in a loaded range, which will keep his ownership in check, which I like to see. But, yeah, I love this fight.

Real life and DFS. Yeah, great fight. It's going to be the highest paced fight on the card from really both sides. If Green wins, I think he's a lock for the optimal lineup. I would imagine he's scoring ninety plus points in any win. But yeah, I think that Rubavik is just going to be too much for him. I think that he's a guy who can match the pace from Bobby or even pick it up. And I think at this point, he's probably more powerful, more durable.

I like him to be able to keep up that pace for an entire fifteen minutes as well. But I think at some point those shots add up and I think he does knock out Bobby Green. So I like this fight, both sides of it. I even thought about making it a five star. I think it's right there between four and five. I'll be pretty heavy. Both sides of it.

But, yeah, if Green's going to be one of the most chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ underdogs, maybe that makes me like him less and Ribovic more since I am picking Ribovic to win. You did say, though, what you think, ninety five percent of King Green's wins are optimal, though, at this price. Yeah. I mean, fourteen fights, probably not one hundred percent, but I'd say pretty close to one hundred percent.

So when you put it that way, even if King Green's twenty eight, thirty percent, like he's plus two hundred on the money line, that's thirty three point three percent. That kind of shows pretty efficient if he does win thirty three percent of the time. And what, thirty percent of those are optimal. Maybe that's chalk you want to get to. And I mean, it's making me think more and more like, yeah, you know what?

On a card like this with fourteen fights, with a fadable main event, with a fadable Marcus McGee chalk. I think there's plenty of ways you can get different where you can plug in chalk.

King green to start your line is that that's what you want even eat another chalk piece or two in it and then get different with the remaining uh stuff so yeah I I'm fine eating chalk pretty much any fight if you like someone enough you can get overweight on them and then figure out roster constructionRoster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Full explanation ↗ wise not to hold hands with so many people up top so I'm gonna have a lot of king green even though he will be chalky um but I also want a good amount of reba vix and probably more overweight to the field on reva vix since he is some leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ off of King Green as well at high ownership.

All right, co-main event time. The second highest priced fighter and the second biggest favorite, Peyton Talbot, minus seven-fifty. Davison Figueredo, plus five-forty. Minus one-sixty for this fight to finish. Talbot, minus one-forty-five inside the distance. Figge, plus nine-twenty-five. Talbot in round one, plus two-fifty. I'm kind of torn on this one, man. Like I can't X Talbot out of the pool because he does have like a one thirty five piece in his bag.

I mean, if Figgy Figgy, the problem with him is he's so boring nowadays and doesn't push any pace. But Talbot on the opposite side is the opposite of boring. Like he might just not care about Figgy's power. Just walk him down, jab him to death, mix and take downs, get a knockdown here, a knockdown there. It's really tough clicking that name at $9,600 when Jacoby Smith's ninety eight. When Wentz ninety three, when Pinas is $9,400.

All these guys, Solvich, whatever, ninety two. But that being said, he's still favored to finish. He's only taken money as the week has gone on. He's high volume. There's paths if Figge's tough enough or he gets up after continuing to get knocked down where you see a big boy number. So really just in chalkier lineups for me where I'll play Talbot. But, I mean, Talbot might be fifteen percent ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ or something like that.

And if that's the case, I think he probably has a little more chance at the optimal than fifteen percent. But I don't know. Maybe I'm going crazy just trying to get contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗. $9,600 is a big boy price. I'm curious to hear your take on this one. Yeah, I definitely like Talbot. I mean, $9,600. He's got the volume to be able to score one hundred ten plus in a decision as a majority striker. So I do like him.

He's just in that range where I like all the guys. So if I can't afford them, then I have no issue going to one of those guys under him like Pinas or Wint.

Or Soldich so that's really what's going to keep me from getting too much Talbot is just not being able to afford him also liking guys that are cheaper but this is one side one fight where I only like one side of it I think it's all Peyton Talbot I don't know that Figge has any edge in this fight he's going to need a flash knockout or a flash submission to get the job done I would just bank on that not happening I think he gets dominated from start to finish and I don't know when that finish is going to come but I think It could be any round.

And if it doesn't, I think he can still flirt with one hundred ten hundred and twenty points. So I'm definitely cool with Talbot and I'd be fine if I made lineups. If I made one hundred and fifty and he gave me like thirty five, forty percent Talbot, I think I'd be cool with that as long as I liked everything else. That'd be well over the field for sure.

And like you said, it's harder to get to him when Wins and Solvich and Pinas are all less than him. But the whole field is going to see the same exact thing. That's why you're going to see Talbot lower owned than all three of those guys that we just mentioned. So, yeah, I have interest in low ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ Talbot as a way to get different. All right. Main event time. What's up, Talbot? Laris, he thinks Silva and Wang are going to go the distance.

And that is what is projected on this. So we have Silva minus two Oh five Wang Kong plus one seventy three. And this fight's minus two sixty to go the distance. Plus two hundred to finish Silva plus three hundred inside the distance. Wang plus five fifty three. I'll let you start this one, man. Like, how much is Silva going to wrestle? Is it going to be a striking match for twenty five minutes? If it is, can I mean, Wang throws volume.

Like, can we get a hundred seventy significant strikes on either side? It's this one's really tough for me to see how it plays out. And Nick, I could see this fight happening ten times and five times. It plays out fun and five. It plays out really boring. I'm all ears when it comes to this one. Yeah, I just changed it, my stars on this one, to a two-star overall. And then two stars on Silva, four stars on Wang.

Just because I think any Wang win is going to compete with the optimal, could even be a lock for the optimal. I think she has power on the feet, more power than Silva. I think she's the better boxer, just the better hands in general. And the striking could really be close. It's her hands versus Silva's speed and movement and kicks. I think the striking could really go either way. Silva could mix in takedowns.

I think she would be the better grappler of the two and it would be smart of her to do that. But I just, I mean, almost all of her wins are, aren't going to cut it at $8,700. I was thinking maybe you can use Silva as a way to get different. But are you really getting different in a main event fighter? I just don't think so. So I'm not going to play any Silva unless it was.

You know, that was, I just don't think I'm going to play any silver actually. Let me X her out and focus on these other fights instead. And just kind of hope that she wins and doesn't score enough. And that's why I have it as a two-star overall, but Kong is somebody I'm definitely not going to X out. I think she's as live as any other dog on this card. And she could knock her out in the first round too.

She's kind of got that kind of equity, but I wouldn't expect it, but she could also win a five round decision. And, As an underdog, I'm always cool with that. So I guess for me, it's going to be Kong or pass, but I'm picking Silva to win and just not score enough. Man.

I think Silva's still my preferred play, and I think part of it is, again, I think Silva only got more appealing when Marcus McGee got a new opponent because now more people, some of that Silva ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ I think goes to McGee. Wang's already going to be high on because it's a lot easier to fit the $9,000 options. So I think Wang comes in higher on than Silva in the main event.

Anytime I see that in the favorites minus two hundred, It always opens my eyes. And then with Silva, too, like you mentioned, she should try and mix in wrestling. I know that's not what she does, but Wang's just a striker. Mora almost submitted her recently. Wang also has been chin-checked as a minus-one-thousand favorite just a couple of fights ago as well, so... I just think $8,700 doesn't break the bank. Possible wrestling upside, but twenty five minutes to work. Maybe it is just a slugfest.

I think there's multiple outs. Silva can get there at thirty percent, maybe like she's not going to be low ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗, but she's going to be in check relative to main event favorites on what we've seen on many a card. So I think actually Silva is probably my preferred play. But I totally do agree with you in the sense of Wang, when she wins, a lot more likely to be optimal than all of Silva's wins definitely will not all be optimal.

But when she is, I think the ownership will be in check. I think not half the field, but Wang might be forty percent, forty percent buried. I think Silva is the leverage play and again is a minus two hundred favorite at $8,700. Thinks she's my preferred, but more than likely will probably be underweight on this one. It really all comes down to projected ownership. I think somewhere around Silva, thirty percent, Wang, thirty seven percent, I think is my initial thoughts.

Sixty seven percent of the field. Yeah, I think I would say Silva might be under thirty now just because of McGee. So she might be like twenty five to thirty range. That makes me like her even more for sure. Yeah, I think I'll be more overweight to Silva, probably underweight wing, but probably pretty close to the field on this fight in general.

It's just, man, minus two sixty to go the distance in a twenty five minute fight where you can see neither of these girls average over a takedown. None of that sounds appealing. Yeah. But again, the field's going to see that. And I do think there could be sneaky wrestling upside for Natalia Silva in this one.

At least that's what she should be doing leading up to this fight is grinding that offensive wrestling and mixing that in at least to keep Wayne guessing on the feet and the feints. So is it a great main event? No, but it's five rounds. It's a title fight. And I mean, it's the last fight of the night. So we're forced to watch it. And hopefully you have a sweat going into it, whether you're fading the fight or you're cheering for one of these girls.

Hopefully you have some sweat.

When it's all said and done but not the best DFS card not the best pay-per-view card but for the or excuse me not the best real life card not the best pay-per-view card but for DFS fourteen fights is great a fadable main event great a very chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ $8,500 favorite that we think we can maybe fade I think it's pretty good for DFS so I'm excited for it final thoughts for you big Marley Yeah, I'm going to need a sweat if I'm going to stay up for this main event, to be honest with you.

So if I don't have a sweat going, it might be bedtime after Rubavix versus Green. But hopefully there is a sweat. Good luck to you, Title. Good luck to everybody listening. Let's ship it. Yeah, a little easier for me to stay up on the West Coast when the card starts at one versus four. I would definitely be in bed if I was on the East Coast. I will be up, though, more than likely watching this whole card.

And I'm definitely excited for some fights on my screen again. Appreciate everyone hanging out. Like, button, subscribe button helps us out a ton. And again, we'd love to have you at The Nation. ShipofNation.com, bottom left, join The Nation.

Whether you want to get in for five days for nineteen dollars to get all these sports above or weekly or monthly or annual the price only gets cheaper as you go up in uh in time and then you also have single sport options as well if you just want some MMA content you can see that right here definitely do get in the Discord if you do join what's up ax great to see you it's a nice car you got right there but good luck everybody enjoy your weekend be safe we will be back next weekend for my man big Marley I'm title town good luck peace