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Buccaneers vs Bears NFL DFS Showdown | SNF Week 9 Sunday Sweatdown | Picks, Plays & Process

Aired Sun Nov 8, 2026 Runtime 55:27 Chapters 12 Views 1,904

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Sunday, November 8 NFL slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

The Short Version

Ham and Nades break down Tampa Bay at Chicago, with both offenses built around the run and ownership leaning heavily toward the Bears. D'Andre Swift leads the captain discussion with Kyle Monangai out and little competition for touches. Bucky Irving ($9,800) offers captain leverage against Bears-heavy builds, with initial skepticism softening by the end. Competitive-game constructions can use more Tampa Bay exposure rather than following popular Chicago-heavy combinations.

Colston Loveland combines recent production, Cole Kmet’s absence and a favorable matchup. Cade Otton at $4,000 supplies affordable checkdowns and red zone involvement, while Kalif Raymond and Ted Hurst III offer cheaper receiver options. Baker Mayfield remains a clear disagreement, with increased passing volume weighed against injury and supporting-cast concerns. Chase McLaughlin and Buccaneers DST offer alternatives to popular Chicago special teams, with Bears DST an underweight target.

FadesRoschon JohnsonSean TuckerDavid Sills VKameron JohnsonJahdae WalkerZavion Thomas

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
CAPTAIN The leading captain choice benefits from Kyle Monangai being out, a dominant backfield share and involvement in the receiving game. 21:21
CAPTAIN A second-tier captain option behind the running backs because Chicago schemes gadget touches for him, although receiver preferences split over ownership. 23:27
CAPTAIN A second-tier captain option behind Swift and Irving, with a favorable tight end matchup and stronger receiving props than the other pass catchers discussed. 23:27
CAPTAIN A lower-priority contrarian captain at $12,600 if healthy, with explosive upside if Chicago forces Tampa Bay to throw more. 24:31
CAPTAIN A large-field captain alternative through extensive route participation, downfield ability and red zone work, although preference splits against Burden and Loveland. 26:02
A good $10,800 flex option who distributes targets, while captain interest splits because his expected 20 to 25 percent captain ownership is steep. 30:08
LEVERAGE A split $9,600 flex call: overweight exposure fits increased passing volume with Egbuka back, while the opposing view stays underweight over injury and receiver concerns. 30:53
FADE Cannot get to him at $4,400 because his limited playing time leaves too little opportunity to justify the salary. 33:11
FADE Excluded with the other backup running backs as the usable backfield pool narrows to Swift, Irving and Gainwell. 33:11
VALUE At $4,800, receiving work in a trailing script makes him a cheaper alternative to Cairo Santos and Bears DST. 34:22
His $6,400 salary looks excessive, and Egbuka is the preferred Tampa Bay receiver. 35:13
LEVERAGE At $3,800, recent quiet games have pushed attention away despite route participation similar to Burden, making him a less popular Chicago receiver option. 36:27
VALUE A $3,400 receiver option whose earlier snap participation suggests he can retain a role, with Egbuka drawing defensive attention away. 38:23
FADE Not part of the receiver pool, with Egbuka’s return also expected to cut his snaps. 38:23
FADE Not part of the receiver pool despite the possibility of incidental production. 38:23
FADE Not part of the receiver pool despite the possibility of incidental production. 38:23
FADE Not part of the receiver pool despite the possibility of incidental production. 38:23
VALUE At $4,000, heavy participation, checkdown opportunities and red zone involvement make him an appealing affordable flex against Chicago’s tight end vulnerability. 40:57
LEVERAGE Only a thin $2,400 tournament consideration because almost nobody is expected to play him, with just 12 routes in the previous game limiting confidence. 42:05
A viable kicker in a potentially lower-scoring, run-heavy game, although $5,400 is expensive and McLaughlin gets the ownership-based preference. 44:38
LEVERAGE Preferred at ownership for $5,000 because Tampa Bay could stall in the red zone while attention goes to Santos and Bears DST. 45:04
Buccaneers DST LEVERAGE At $3,600, lower ownership and a $1,600 discount from Bears DST make the improving defense an appealing alternative. 47:13
CAPTAIN A leading leverage captain against Bears-heavy builds, with initial opposition softening by the close; captain exposure is preferred over his popular $9,800 flex slot. 49:15
Bears DST An explicit underweight target at $5,200 and roughly 20 to 25 percent ownership, with skill players preferred in that salary range. 49:40

DFS Terms Used on This Show

SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate▶ Said at 1:06 Roster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction▶ Said at 3:05 ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections▶ Said at 3:05 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership▶ Said at 3:05 Defense vs Position (DvP)In NFL DFS, DvP groups production allowed to quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers or tight ends. Running back production includes rushing and receiving, while quarterback production can include rushing as well as passing.Before comparing ranks, check which end means the easiest matchup and whether the table reports totals, points per game or production per opportunity.Read the full definition of Defense vs Position▶ Said at 3:05 Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry▶ Said at 8:17 GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP▶ Said at 8:17 Twenty-MaxA twenty-max contest lets each user enter up to 20 lineups. It sits between small-field formats like three-max and the largest 150-entry tournaments.Plan all 20 lineups before building any of them. Decide your stacks and exposure limits first, so the set works as a portfolio rather than 20 separate guesses.Read the full definition of Twenty-Max▶ Said at 8:17 Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown▶ Said at 9:40 Optimal LineupAn optimal lineup is a legal roster that maximizes fantasy points under the salary cap and roster rules. After games, it uses actual scores; before games, a projected optimal uses estimated scores and any lineup restrictions you set.When reviewing an optimal, replace its most surprising scorer with a realistic pregame alternative. Check whether the remaining construction still offered a credible path to winning your contest.Read the full definition of Optimal Lineup▶ Said at 10:13 LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage▶ Said at 23:00 Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game▶ Said at 23:27 ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk▶ Said at 23:27 ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian▶ Said at 24:40 Flex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL▶ Said at 25:11 Game ScriptGame script is how a game's score and time remaining influence its pace, play choices and player opportunities. In football, teams protecting a lead often run more, while teams chasing a deficit often pass more.Before locking a lineup, ask who keeps playing if your expected script reverses. Check passing-down roles and backup rotations instead of assuming a team's leading rusher handles every situation.Read the full definition of Game Script▶ Said at 32:10 Fantasy PointsFantasy points are the score a DFS contest assigns to a player or team defense by converting real sports statistics and results through its scoring rules. Your lineup's total determines your contest ranking.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points▶ Said at 46:48 UnderweightYou are underweight in DFS when a player, team stack or lineup combination appears in a smaller percentage of your entries than in the contest field's entries.Compare the same contest, format and roster slot. Use projected ownership before lock, then check actual ownership afterward to see whether your intended underweight stance held.Read the full definition of Underweight▶ Said at 49:15 Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back▶ Said at 51:27 Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up▶ Said at 52:10

Full Transcript

10,160 words 48 min read 12 sections
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0:08

Systems go. Clear or left out. What is going on Shiva Nation YouTube station back Sunday night football and sweat down as we sweat out these four afternoon games not the same sweat as we had last week but hey, you don't have a million, a million sweat every single every week but I saw who is up there title had some good teams up there and we got another member up there in top A bunch of close calls again.

1:06

We're going to show off a new tool with our partnership, DFS OS over here with their new sweat station. Absolutely sick tool that they have built. And we're going to use it every week going forward right here on the show. But Ham, I'll bring you in, man. Wild SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate going on today so far. But, yeah, I mean, it was kind of you need the three studs that went drop forty balls on the slate without them.

1:30

You're probably not winning anything in CD land, Puka Nacua and Kenneth Walker. But how are you doing, man? Happy Sunday. Excited to break down this fun one. Bears and Burks tonight with Agbuka coming back. Yeah, it should be a good one to break down. But, yeah, you had to have Puka. His touchdown catch was obviously incredible. I mean, Lamb, we talked a little bit pre-show. Once Pickens was out, you know, Lamb shot up the board.

1:57

And then Kenneth Chalker III, man, just absolutely dismantled the Jets. And I'll say this, Nades. Geno Smith is not a starting quarterback of the National Football League. He is just garbage, in my humble opinion. And I guess everybody thinks that. That's why he's been on four or five teams in his career. And I also said it before the show, and this guy's in fourth in the shipping game, so that's awesome. Hey, Golden Duke, man, the pack.

2:24

The pack may be the best team in the NFL. That was a pick six right there. Pick six. Buddy just dropped a pick six. May just stared his guy down and fucking our DB just dropped a pick six.

2:37

They're punting again yeah um yeah Matthew Golden making christian gonzalez look like a donkey out there that's why cornerback wide receiver matchups don't mean I say it all the time everyone gets worried about oh this guy what about this guy what about that guy like obviously christian gonzalez one of the best quarterbacks in the league but Matthew Golden didn't give a and he's got a hundred and fifty yards of touchdown and whatever seven catches something like that um with no offense no offensive line and Jordan Love is still giving the ball so That's why that shit just doesn't matter.

3:05

It's all baked into ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections. It's all baked into OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. Everybody sees that, right? Everybody puts too much stake in the DVD. Defense vs Position (DvP)In NFL DFS, DvP groups production allowed to quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers or tight ends. Running back production includes rushing and receiving, while quarterback production can include rushing as well as passing.Before comparing ranks, check which end means the easiest matchup and whether the table reports totals, points per game or production per opportunity.Read the full definition of Defense vs Position can be kind of a starting point, right, to give you an idea. But then at the end of the day, I mean, it comes down to Roster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction. It comes down to ownership. It comes down to game theory and all of that. That means more than any wide receiver cornerback because guess what? Like Tambo says it all the time, right?

3:29

Offense coordinator, coordinators, coaches, these guys know what – the other team has right to match up with so they they can scheme it the same way as the defense can scheme it right and they know where the ball is going so they can move these guys around things like that so that stuff is far overblown in my opinion overall but yeah pretty pretty wild start here to the to the Sunday main slate here early games kind of there was a lot of chalk bust and then there was a lot of of just three main performances right there yeah I mean it was just it

4:09

Was a pretty wild pretty wild slate here so I'm gonna go ahead and pull up our uh sweat station here um over at DFS os so if you're not uh familiar with DFS os we are partnered with them you can go to DFS os and use code ship it you get the all access plan which is usually sixty bucks a month for thirty bucks a month. So fifty percent off right now. We use it for slate review. The contest vault is absolutely elite.

4:32

We talk about it a lot on Takedown Breakdown here. If you haven't saw our Takedown Breakdown show, check it out. Tambo and I and Bauman, we walk through it and go through it here.

4:42

But their brand new tool that they came out with is a live sweat station that I was showing some screenshots of

4:51

Last week when our guy real won the twenty dollar milli maker um so we actually just go ahead and click right into the twenty dollar milli maker here you can sweat as other people right now I I'm sweating as myself obviously I only have two lineups in this contest here but um if you don't want to sweat as yourself you can sweat as pretty much anyone in here so like if we want to sweat as hoop I can look at suede's hoop right here you can see um where his teams are things like that you can go to pretty much anyone on here um so aj superman right now is currently in first with two

5:26

Entries overall on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate so shout out to aj superman out there uh two entries um currently sitting at about a four percent chance to win the twenty dollar milli maker obviously um but the nice thing is here you can see anyone who's still going is highlighted in green. Anyone who's not is kind of just this this. Kind of grayed out version here. Over on the right-hand side, you can see who to root for, who to root against right here.

5:52

So like you see Jordan James, these guys over here, who to root for, Cardinals defense. Obviously, they got the Cardinals defense here, Saubert, things like that. So it's really, really sweet tool here. You can click through. You can click through users and see right here how many entrants these guys had. So right here, look at this.

6:09

Of um the rois obviously when you don't have a ton of entrance right your roi numbers are going to be up there but the guys in first second the way up the board right now in the milli maker are all less than max entrance um that just shows you kind of slate it's been today overall so um any initial thoughts here from the sweat station ham um before we kind of click through and see what the chat's got if they got any contest they want to they want to sweat out here Yeah, I know.

6:36

I've been playing with it last Thursday and then some today, like you said, just looking to see where you're at, who you got left. You know, I like to look at Tambo, yourself, Hebrew, Hoop, all the people here and some of the people in the chat as well. So it's pretty cool to see, and I'm glad Newens is here. Newens, I don't know if you listened this morning.

6:54

He thought I was going to get fired because I was pooping on Danny Pennies after my boy Tambo – I'm in the core. And you did not need Danny pennies. You never have. You never will, except maybe once in your life. But, yeah, there it is. So, no, that was some good stuff this morning. But, yeah, this is cool. Like, when it gets down to, like, the nitty-gritty, it's going to be really fun to see who's up there, especially if you've got to sweat.

7:24

That would be cool to kind of see it in there late. I like this too, right? You can kind of see the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership and the Delta lines here too. Obviously you want to be on the top side of this, right? Of their chance to be optimal, right? Compared to what their ownership is. So, I mean, just so much stuff in here. You can see by the players, right?

7:43

What their ownership was, what their optimal percentage is, how much you had versus the field, et cetera. Like it's just, there's so much data in here. And I've kind of leveraged AI to use this more into kind of like a review process. Right. And study portfolios and things like that. But the sweat station is pretty, pretty elite here. Want to see a bunch of great checkout rune man, rune man. Let's check what contest. What contest? So they don't have every contest yet.

8:17

This is the first main slate. They only have eleven main classics right now. They have the three dollar Twenty-MaxA twenty-max contest lets each user enter up to 20 lineups. It sits between small-field formats like three-max and the largest 150-entry tournaments.Plan all 20 lineups before building any of them. Decide your stacks and exposure limits first, so the set works as a portfolio rather than 20 separate guesses.Read the full definition of Twenty-Max, the twenty dollar Milly Maker, the wildcat, the mega, the five dollar and the mini max and then the hundred dollar Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry. And then they got all the live final. So you can just filter to the different contests as well. Check it out. So if we take a look over at the hundred dollar Milly Maker here. It's the. That's an option.

8:44

Twenty dollar one max. OK, we can pull up DraftKings and take a look at that. I miss Locke and played all the late games. Yeah, sometimes that happens. But yeah, I mean, this side is just absolutely elite. So right here you can see, right, like you can click look. Jay Romero right now currently sits in fourth in the hundred dollar single entry. Got about a thirty percent chance to win because he's got Stevenson, Golden, Watkins still going.

9:12

And he's really kind of rooting against these guys down here. CMC, the forty Niners and JSN really. And he's got all these unknown dudes with guys like Matthews Golden and Watkins who really nobody played. Golden just straight nuking the slate. So I'm glad to see someone has capitalized on that. But, yeah, just, I mean, pretty sick tool here overall. You click on it, right, leads by this. They have – this is who the leader has. This is who you have, et cetera.

9:40

So, I mean, it's pretty sweet overall, this live sweat station here. Yeah. But more so the value here is like slate review and the contest vault, things like that. This is just kind of an added bonus. It's really nice for Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown here, Ham, because you can instantly click through. So if you go to like showdown, and if we just go back to the Jacksonville Baltimore showdown, which was on Thursday, we can click into it here. You can easily see – you can easily see how many dupes.

10:13

So right here, you see a unique, right? You can click in, you can look at the users, you can see pretty much everything you want. So showdowns, it's really nice too. You can see Optimal LineupAn optimal lineup is a legal roster that maximizes fantasy points under the salary cap and roster rules. After games, it uses actual scores; before games, a projected optimal uses estimated scores and any lineup restrictions you set.When reviewing an optimal, replace its most surprising scorer with a realistic pregame alternative. Check whether the remaining construction still offered a credible path to winning your contest.Read the full definition of Optimal Lineup guys up here, obviously the slate's over. So it'll update, but this does update.

10:31

Um rather frequently throughout the slates and throughout the games um and gives you a quick idea so showdown I like it a lot because you can click in you can see how many how many dupes your lineup is obviously you can see this line up here was chopped twenty two ways um that took eleventh things like that so um any any anything to chime in there yeah the only thing I can you can we look at the uh can we look at the mega just to kind of see where that's at Yeah, so let's pull up the mega here.

11:04

Hey, real quick, can't you see, like, I know it's in the top right-hand box, but can't you see, like, who all is percentage to win, or is that the only place you can see it? I thought you could pull it up on its own. Yeah, I mean, I haven't really dove into this too much here, but you can see it over here, right? Most Likely to win right now. Guy in first right now still has CMC going.

11:26

Really is fading Golden, but the next Golden team is... I mean, where's Golden? Like if I look at the next Golden team, so you can just go like this too. If I look at the next Golden team and pulls it. So the next guy with Golden is the Colts, the closest guy in twenty fourth. So you can also see that, too. So you can also filter if I just go type in.

11:51

So, like, when you – Yeah, so say you're sweating, right, you're Alex. You're Alex right now, and you know you're sweating Golden, Dell. These guys are your most – you're sweating kind of all of these dudes right here, right? So you can type them in. You can type in Golden. You can type in Caffrey. Yeah. And you can see the next closest teams around you that still have guys going.

12:16

So the Colts has McCaffrey and Golden and Stevenson running right now on twenty fourth. But as you see over here on the right hand side, he's less than two and a half percent to win right now, just based on the way that the parts shake out. Um, Marley, who's in first of the hundred dollar single entry. Let's pull it up. So you just, so to get back, right. You just go back here in the live. You can switch to a contest.

12:45

They do have the a hundred dollar single entry in here. So if you click in it right here, respect my Ravens, respect my Ravens currently right now. Um, yeah, it was someone in here is respect my Ravens in here. I thought he was saying the same Person as well. So when the hundred dollar, but I don't see that either. Yeah. I, yeah, I didn't, I didn't know, but yeah, right here. So yeah, I mean, pretty, pretty sick tool here.

13:17

Um, but if there ain't anything else we want to sweat out in the chat, um, Oh, fourth in the Mills, um, ship it.

13:27

Oh so this is a shipping member right yeah that's the only thing you can't see the logos here but the nice thing is if I'm in this contest I can go right here and I can click open on DraftKings and then go like this and you can pull it up too and sweat it on DraftKings and take a look um and you can see so right here respect my Ravens um Ship It Nation member Currently right now in first in the hundred dollar single entry and up there in the twenty dollar million maker.

13:56

So right now in this contest. Runner up. So he's fading Stevenson. He's fading Stevenson, Boston, these guys over here. Boston's already gone. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So, Stevenson really the main thing that he's fading here overall. But does have – I mean, he's not the favorite to win the contest, obviously, because he doesn't have really anyone else going right now. So he kind of pulled the reel from last week, right, sitting up top, sweating out these afternoon games.

14:32

So hopefully he can hold on there, but still should be a really good day overall for respect to my Ravens there. Pam, anything else before we jump over and showcase the stone here and start talking about this Sunday night football game? Yeah, I don't think so. We'll break the game down, and if something pops in the next thirty, forty-five minutes, we'll take a look again. But, yeah, let's get into the game. Awesome. Let's do it. Jump over here. Start talking this game.

15:01

So obviously the Burks and the Bears, Tampa in Chicago, right? This game's in Chicago, right? I believe. Yep, it is. Yeah, so game's in Chicago. Chicago's on a short week after playing Monday night with that doozy against Seattle there. Chicago's favored by six at home. The total is up to forty seven and a half. I think it opened at like forty six, forty six and a half, something like that. So the total has been going up injuries in this one. Menungai is questionable.

15:33

Doesn't look like he's probably going to play. And then Agbuka is questionable, but he is Likely to play from the last I saw. And we can actually go over here if we go over back to DFS OS. And if I just go to news here and type in, let's go to Agbuka. So the latest on Igbuka, six hours ago, eight hours ago, expected to play in week nine. So Igbuka should be good to go.

15:59

If we go to – who was the other guy on Chicago? Menungai? Menungai, and then Malik Muhammad's a good corner. Yeah.

16:10

Yeah my nun guy won't play in week nine so there you go that's that's another thing you can use dfsls for as well is the news on this live updates live time with all the beat reporters all all the mainstream media that that do report this stuff so that that's another um and a benefit there too um to get the news that's what I use for news because it uh live tracks everything right there but that's kind of the broad SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate there in terms of the the injuries um overall but uh What's your kind of broad slate overview before we jump in and start talking the meat and potatoes here?

16:44

Yeah. One other injury that I want to talk about is Tristan Wurst for the Bucs. Like he is – he didn't practice on Thursday. That was limited on Friday. That's pretty big because he's a really good offensive lineman. And just going into the game itself is like you know what the Bucs are right now. Last two weeks I think they've rushed it for over five hundred yards. First team in fifty two years not to complete a pass in their win last week.

17:11

Now the win, the win, the rain was a big portion of that, but it was just ground and pound with Kenny, Kenny Gainwell left, Bucky Irvin right. And they did not complete a single pass, only attempted three. So we know what the Bucs want to do. We know that their defense, their much-maligned defense from earlier in the year has gotten better. Now they go on the road to take on a different beast in this Bears, Caleb Williams, Bears, Ben Johnson-led team.

17:36

The Bears looked very, very good Monday night against Seattle. Former Titans, my guy, Jeffrey Simmons, is now a Bear, and he looked very good, got a game ball for this Bears team. We know what the Bears want to do on offense. They want to just run the ball, ground and pound with Tyler Menunga, with DeAndre Swift. And obviously with Menunga out for the last several weeks, it's been a lot of DeAndre Swift.

18:00

And they'll put Roshon Johnson in there a few times a game, about twenty percent of the game. So they want to run it. And then when they don't want to run it, they got three capable receivers in Odunze, Loveland and then Luther Burton, who's obviously very, very good. So should be, it should be a good game, a close game. The bucks are, you know, I'll say they've won two in a row. And so they're, they're trending in the right direction.

18:24

So it should be a good game, but it's going to be a game of, I think nades where these two teams want to play ground and pound and not air it out as much. Yeah, we'll get into that when we start talking captains here. But, yeah, I like to agree what you said there. But who knows? On a short week here for the Bears, right, they are at home, which does help.

18:47

The Bucs, we don't know what it looks like getting Ibuka back. They haven't had Ibuka in a minute here. So I do think he – helps this offense in general when you add him in there instead of the corpse of and the dusty old Chris Godwin and Ted Hurst, Ted Johnson. I mean, when you throw like Buka in there, it does help the cause a little bit. They obviously still have Kate Otton who looks pretty good.

19:09

Bears are pretty susceptible to tight ends historically on the season so far. So, Let's jump in, talk captain here. From an OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership standpoint, Caleb Williams sits up top of the board in terms of captain. Just because, I mean, he can get there in so many different ways. But, I mean, twenty one, twenty to twenty five percent. Caleb Williams, captain on this slate here does feel good. A little steep for me.

19:35

Obviously, he's a great play, but anytime a quarterback is commanding that big of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership up there, it's hard for me. I know he can spread it out, but I'd rather take a shot on his skill position, guys, personally, myself. Outside of him, it's DeAndre Swift, then a mix of probably Loveland, Burden, Bucky Irving is kind of the next tier, if you will. So how do you see this Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown yourself take us into the captains here?

20:06

Yeah, captain for me, it's going to be – my favorite captain is going to be DeAndre Swift. I alluded to it earlier. They want to run the ball. Swift, I think, got – let me just make sure I'm giving you right statistics. I think he got twenty-seven rushing attempts last game. Wasn't very effective with only sixty-nine rushing yards. But obviously, you know, he got three rushing touchdowns. So, he was a great play last week in terms of touchdown production. So, give me some DeAndre Swift.

20:33

He's about eighty-twenty percent – eighty – A percent versus twenty percent split right now with Roshan Johnson. And so I really like DeAndre. They want to ground and pound with him. And the thing with Caleb is, is like I mentioned, like three really good pass catchers that he has. And I didn't even mention Kalief Raymond as well. So for me, he's kind of like. He can really spread it around. So I would have some interest in him, maybe number two.

20:57

And then, Nades, I'm going to be honest with you. Like, I don't really see – I don't see a path where a Buccaneers guy can be in Optimal LineupAn optimal lineup is a legal roster that maximizes fantasy points under the salary cap and roster rules. After games, it uses actual scores; before games, a projected optimal uses estimated scores and any lineup restrictions you set.When reviewing an optimal, replace its most surprising scorer with a realistic pregame alternative. Check whether the remaining construction still offered a credible path to winning your contest.Read the full definition of Optimal Lineup. Like, as the captain, I just don't think Bucky's going to be able to do what he's done in the past. This Bears rush D got a humongous upgrade with the addition of Jeffrey Simmons and Baker Mayfield. I honestly don't know how many passes he's completed in the last two games with his thumb.

21:21

But tell me a Buccaneers captain that could be in there, because for me, I sure the heck don't see one. Yeah, so we definitely differ there a little bit. My favorite overall captain I'm with you is DeAndre Swift. He's minus one eighty seven to score sixty and two and a half rushing yard prop. He's involved in the in the receiving game as well with no manung guy in there. I mean, Roshan Johnson doesn't get a ton of work. It's pretty much Swift's backfield here.

21:47

And there are six point favorites at home. I think Swift. Um, shakes up big time here. Um, so I, I love, uh, Deandre Swift here. My second favorite captain actually is going to be Bucky Irving on the other side. There's a couple of reasons why number one, it leverages off Caleb Williams. Number two, it leverages off of all the bear stuff. This SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate is going to be heavily dictated by the Bears. It's going to be full.

22:10

I mean, you're going to see probably about fifteen percent of the field play five one Bears. The other, um, seventy percent is going to be in favor of four, two or three, three Bears, um, um, focused, especially up in the captain position as well. Anything more, um, whether it's a bucks captain or a four, two bucks is going to be significantly under owned compared to the other side. I expect this game to play close.

22:33

I expected to play as a one score game personally, myself. Um, I would not be shocked to see the bucks cover here. It's Sunday night football. I, I understand it's the Bears are still on a short week. They just had a grinded out game against Seattle. Huge win for them. This could be an easy letdown spot after everyone's so high on Chicago here, right? I know their defense got a lot better, right, with Jeffrey Simmons. I know he's a stud.

23:00

But we've seen this kind of same thing play out here when the Bucs were, what, ten-point underdogs and Bucky Irving was the optimal captain out there. Bucky's just so electric. And he can get there in so many ways that I do like Bucky Irving quite a bit in the captain position. He looks really good on the stone, as you can see. Big time LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. He is the best leverage captain right now that we have in terms of optimal, in terms of our simulation data.

23:23

So I do like Bucky Irving as my second favorite captain.

23:27

Behind him, third is probably going to go – I'm probably going to go to Luther Burden and Colston Loveland is kind of three and four for me behind the two running backs I just I I don't love quarterback captains personally myself especially when it's a guy like caleb commanding so much ownership up there I think he's fine I think he's a good more of a Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game guy but in these large field stuff we've seen such a such a shift to these ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk showdown slates I I play less than max entrance especially in the top heavy stuff um that I just don't want to go in on a guy like Caleb Williams there.

24:02

I get the reasoning. I understand it, but I'd rather take his skill position guys in Loveland, Burden, and Swift being the three main ones there. Bucky, the main guy on the other side for me from the Buck side. Agbuka, I don't know. I mean, he's got upside. It's just I don't know how healthy he is personally coming back here. But at $12,600, I mean, he's kind of sandwiched between Burden, Odunze, Loveland. He's kind of right in the middle of those guys.

24:31

So, I mean, he is going to be unowned. If I had to pick a second guy on the box, it would probably be Agbuka and just take a shot that.

24:40

He's healthy and and they have their the Bears forced them to have to pass the ball here more than they have in the last couple weeks um where the bucks could just sit on the football and run it if that's not the case here you could see agbuka um go off and post the ceiling and we've seen him definitely showing showing the ceiling so that's kind of my main five captive pool um heavy shift to deandre swift and Bucky Irving is kind of my tier one tier two would be Luther Burden, Colston Loveland, and then tier three would be kind of Agbuka as the fifth kind of ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian guy.

25:11

Any additional thoughts from the captain, from yourself? Yeah, no, great breakdown there. Nothing else for me in terms of what you say. I think we just differ on the buck stuff. One guy that I like as like a deep field entry needs is Roma Dunze. He's only $6,800 Flex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL. Um, and the captain spot, he is, uh, what is he in the captain? He'd be. Yeah. Yeah. But, and the reason I like him is he's their home run guy.

25:42

And he's, he's just out there. He runs a route on ninety, ninety-five percent of the snaps where Luther like sixty-five to seventy. And, and he's a big play guy. And, it may be the doomsday night instead of a bird night, but burdens obviously electric and do a lot of great things with the ball in his hand, but man, he's the red zone guy. He's going to be out there a lot.

26:02

I like Roma doomsday and like a deep, I'd say like twenty Twenty-MaxA twenty-max contest lets each user enter up to 20 lineups. It sits between small-field formats like three-max and the largest 150-entry tournaments.Plan all 20 lineups before building any of them. Decide your stacks and exposure limits first, so the set works as a portfolio rather than 20 separate guesses.Read the full definition of Twenty-Max type plus captain would be Roma doomsday. Yeah, I mean, Rome forty eight and a half reception props tied with a booker there. He's plus one eighty three to score a book is plus two twenty five. So kind of right in that same range.

26:21

I mean, I prefer Loveland over Adunze there because if I'm picking a wide receiver, I think it's just Luther just because he's so – I know Room's kind of the downfield guy, but, I mean, Luther gets all the gadget plays. He's – I mean, they just scheme. He's just a complete stud in this offense. And ownership-wise, I mean, you're still – Rome is going to be around six percent. I'd rather just – play, play Loveland, but I get the reasoning and I understand it for sure.

26:49

Um, there, I, I just, I don't want to play all of these guys. I do want to trim it down some. So I'm, I'm just more siding with Luther and Loveland and Swift. Um, but I get the reasoning for it for a doomsday and I could, definitely see the case there.

27:03

But again, I'm playing this as more of a competitive game, which I do think is somewhat contrarian just because the way I see it, it's going to be so much five, one, four, two Bears, heavy stuff. I mean, you're talking right now, just looking at it about fifty percent of the field, fifty, fifty one percent of the field is either four, two or five, one bucks or bear side. So I'm just going to play it a little different. Hope this game goes well.

27:30

Goes more competitive, prime time, short week, things like that. It's the NFL at the end of the day, and that's how I see it. So, yeah, I don't hate your wrong call out there. Real quick, I would agree with what Josh said. It's like this Bears defense is not the Cowboys. So that's why I'm out on Bucky. I'm out on just Buck's offense as a whole.

27:53

But, hey, that's why they play the game, Nades, and we'll see what happens tonight for sure. Yeah, I mean, I understand that, but that's all baked in. I mean, Bucky's got a better rush prop than DeAndre Swift, like sixty four and a half best on the slate. He's plus one time to score like. Yeah, I mean, I get it. But again, I mean, I just think I don't know.

28:12

I think it's a good leverage play overall on the slate for I think the field is undervaluing, especially with so many people are so heavily shifted to the bear side. Could be wrong, and that's okay. We're going to be wrong more times than we're going to be right. But when we're right, how much money do you win? And that's kind of what I'm looking at here.

28:29

And I think Bucky's a good leverage play on the slate overall in terms of Roster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction-wise because it gets you on a different build than what the field wants to do here or what feels comfortable overall. Jumping into the flex here, we'll start with the quarterbacks here, Ham. $9,600 Baker, $10,800 for Caleb. Hard to really go wrong. Caleb, obviously, is going to be probably double the ownership of Baker in the flex and the captain position.

28:56

I mean, he's probably going to be quadruple the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership of Baker up top and the captain, but definitely Flex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL, too. I'm seeing about thirty five percent ownership on Baker in the flex right now. How do you see these two in the flex? I know Baker's still dealing with that injury. He didn't throw, obviously, last week. Just a wild game there.

29:16

Is this a buy low spot on a guy like Baker here where the spread would indicate that they're probably going to have to pass the ball more? So how do you see those two quarterbacks overall? Yeah, you make a good point. I mean, they are six-point dogs. So in theory, you think they're going to be playing from behind much of this game. And we've seen Baker – you know, go out there and sling it.

29:35

My only concern with that though, is like sling it to who, I mean, a Mecca's coming back and he's obviously a stud, but I mean, Tez Johnson, uh, uh, Chris Godwin, like who's Cameron Johnson. Like, who's he going to throw it to? I just don't know, man. It's, uh, I am heavy, heavy, like against the bucks tonight. Um, I, So I definitely have Caleb above Baker, but everybody does. That's not saying much, but I'm probably lower on Baker than maybe the field.

30:08

And then Caleb is, to me, a good flex option. He does spray it around to multiple people. He can run it. Since he's come back from his hamstring nades, I don't know the exact stats, but I know it hasn't been a lot. He hasn't been running like he has in the past, but give me some Caleb in the – Give me some Caleb in the flex. And if I'm only building one, if I'm only building one team, I'm not playing Baker.

30:32

If I'm building three, the most I'm getting a Baker is, is only one if I get that many, but I don't know. I'm just not a Baker guy tonight, Nate. Yeah, no, that's definitely, I mean, that's the, that's the popular way to go. And that's probably the, that's probably the smart way to go to be honest. But again, it's, I mean, I can play forty five percent Baker in the flex and be, be ten to twelve percent over the field.

30:53

And I mean, that I could just match the field with a guy like Caleb there and just get over leveraged on a guy like Baker here in a script where I like Swift a ton up top. So it kind of naturally plays together there. So I do like Baker here. I think they're going to be forced to throw more. He gets like Buka back with who can create explosives. And yeah, I just, I think he's pretty interesting overall.

31:21

He is sub $10,000 in the flex there, especially if you don't like Bucky for yourself. I mean, they're there unless this game is just going to be a straight blowout, which seems like kind of you're leaning more towards that. I mean, you're going to have to get some production on the buck side unless I mean, the Bears just kind of all split it and it's more of just a straight beat down.

31:45

In terms of the running backs here, obviously Swift and Bucky, I have a lot of interest in there. But Kenneth Gainwell seems to be looking pretty solid here. Spread would indicate he gets more work in the receiving game, in the passing game here overall. How do you see the backfield here? Any interest in Roshon Johnson and Kenneth Gainwell here?

32:10

In this uh in the spot gain well sitting at $4,800 he's in that same range as those kickers and uh kind of sandwiched between the kickers and a little bit cheaper than well a little bit cheaper than the than the kickers and the Bears defense for for what it's worth as well yeah I like your call on gain well kind of like a trailing Game ScriptGame script is how a game's score and time remaining influence its pace, play choices and player opportunities. In football, teams protecting a lead often run more, while teams chasing a deficit often pass more.Before locking a lineup, ask who keeps playing if your expected script reverses. Check passing-down roles and backup rotations instead of assuming a team's leading rusher handles every situation.Read the full definition of Game Script where he gets you know the five targets the four catches for like fifty yards and maybe a touchdown or something like that so You know, I have a little bit of interest in Gainwell just from like a trailing great game script type of performance.

32:42

But, I mean, Bucky's been so good. And their offensive line is one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, Nate. So, certainly see the case, you know, for Bucky and them just wanting to jam him in there, you know, Man, I didn't realize that he had a higher rushing prop than Swift. And like I said, Swift was not very efficient running the ball last week, but they got a good offensive line as well. So I like Swift and Irving, obviously.

33:11

I'm okay with Gainwell. Like if you wanted to do like a five, one Bears or four, two Bears and him being, you know, one of the, one of the two Bears as in a trailing game script. So yes. And then I just can't get to Roshan Johnson or any other running back in this game, Sean Tucker, somebody like that. But Roshan is just not playing enough at a $4,400 bucks.

33:32

You know, I think he's going to have to do a bunch and I just don't see him playing enough to get it done. No, I agree. I don't like Roshan or Ahmed very much at all from the Bears side. It's basically three guys in the running back side. I do prefer Bucky up top if I'm playing him more so than Flex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL. Just at $9,800 in the flex, I'd probably rather take a shot on Baker Mayfield.

33:57

In that spot in the flex if picking between one of the two. And I mean, you can go like a Baker Mayfield, Kenny Gainwell then in the flex. If I'm playing Bucky, I'm playing Bucky for the two touchdowns and him kind of having the game script go the way it did when they were big underdogs to the Cowboys or a similar situation there, right? These road running backs have been a thing in these primetime SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate.

34:22

Um so if I'm playing him it's probably up top more so than than in the flex because I mean he's going to be about forty forty some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership in the flex and I I would rather just get over on him up top and and be under in the flex is kind of how I see bucky there so um I do have more interest in Gainwell than in the flex at $4,800 just because I do think it takes away from the Santos and the Bears ownership in terms of special teams.

34:47

Santos can push thirty percent. Bears defense going to push twenty to twenty five percent. And Kenny Gainwell is cheaper than both of those guys. And it kind of kind of goes against those guys as well there. So that's kind of how I see the Burks backfield. And then DeAndre Swift, I love him really anywhere I can can fit him overall. Jumping into the wide receiver position here. Obviously, Aguka coming back, $8,400. Pretty fair price point for the explosiveness that he can bring.

35:13

We don't know how healthy he is, but I'm assuming if they're rolling him out there that he's good to go. At this point here, Godwin, you got the courts of Godwin, but $6,400 for Chris Godwin feels like ludicrous to me. I mean, ludicrous. As love just keeps dropping dimes, I mean, Christian Watson and Golden are just dunking on this Patriots defense here. Pretty good to see. But how do you see this wide receiver position here? Godwin, like I said, feels expensive.

35:41

Luther Burden, Kalief Raymond look really good to me on the Bears. I know you like some Roma Dunze there, but – Six to eight hundred for Rome Flex and UTILA standard NFL FLEX accepts a running back, wide receiver or tight end. In DraftKings NFL Showdown, FLEX instead means a regular-scoring slot alongside Captain, with broader eligibility that includes quarterbacks.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL feels kind of steep, but I mean, he's, he's getting right around five to six targets a game. So how do you see this wide, wide receiver position? Definitely, definitely break it down. I think it's more interesting on the buck side overall. But, but how do you see it?

36:05

I just saw that Watson catch big cock Brock down at the half yard line, but man, I love me some of doomsday tonight. And this is where I get different. I think is I like a doomsday tonight, especially in the, in the captain and, and, or the flex. I think either one's a great play. And then give me some Chiefs Keene, Keene, Kalief Raymond at $3,800. He just hasn't gotten it done over, I'd say, the last three or four games.

36:27

But I think it was something like twelve targets or twenty one targets in the first three weeks. And he just hasn't got it done. But at $3,800 bucks, people are forgetting about him. He's running right around the same amount of routes as Luther Bird. Obviously not the same player as Luther, but. I think Luther going to come in with some heavy OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. So check me out or not, you know, heavier out of this, out of this trio.

36:47

So I actually would have Luther Burden third, just based on ownership. I would have a doomsday first and then Raymond, I mean, Luther Burden still a great play, but for me, the way I'm going to play, he's going to be my third favorite receiver. And then, yeah, it's tough for me to get to it's tough for me to get to these These receivers. But if I were going to have one, it is Emeka Abuka.

37:08

I mean, he's just a man-child from The Ohio State University and a long list of them. He is coming back off a foot and a concussion. But his last two games that he played, he had seventeen points in both games. And I think Abuka can get behind this defense and make some plays over the middle, deep. Like you said, he's a big play threat. So I like Emeka. Don't like the corpse of Chris Godwin.

37:32

And then I like all the Bears receivers, but I would have Adunze and Raymond above burdens strictly based on ownership. Yeah, so I just want to look at the snap counts real quick, dating back to when Ibuka was in there for the Tampa guys here. So if you look back when Ibuka was in there from weeks one through six, he was playing anywhere from seventy-five to ninety-some percent of the snaps.

37:58

Obviously, Ted Hurst was still playing around fifty to seventy five percent of the snaps and then Godwin was still getting his role. So Ted Johnson, I think, takes the hit in terms of snap counts. And then Davis Sills, for sure, in terms of the guy, two guys that I think take take a hit in terms of snaps. So I do have some interest in a guy like Ted Hurst still still here because.

38:23

I mean, I think the attention goes away from him now and goes to Ibuka here, which can open it up for Godwin and Hurst. I prefer Hurst. I'm just at $3,400 there personally myself. I'm with you on Raymond. I like Raymond quite a bit. Luther is great. Rome is good. I do prefer Luther to Rome. And then. I do like Agbuka quite a bit overall. Not messing with Sills, Cameron Johnson, Walker, Xavier Thompson, or Thomas, excuse me, those guys.

38:51

If they trickle in, they trickle in, but not really paying too much attention to those guys there. Tight end position, K.Dotten, $4,000 in the flex. Feels like a really good price point there. Ownership's going to follow. He feels like a Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game staple, just especially if Baker's under pressure here with the – addition of Jeffrey Simmons to this Bears defense. They got a lot of pressure on Sam Darnold last week, or I should say this week on Monday night. $4,000. He looks really good.

39:21

Kind of that middle guy that kind of just checked down safety blanket for a guy like Baker. Koston Loveland finally is looking like a breakout guy. But I do want to talk on Sam Roush. Sam Roush has a reasonable role in this offense. I think he is $2,400 did get priced up. I think he came off what is donut or whatever Monday night. Maybe he had a catch or two. But Rouser's chalked that night.

39:45

I don't think Rouser's going to be chalked here tonight. He's still $2,400. It still does give you a value off of guys like Khalif Raymond on the same team there. Guys like Ted Hurst. So talk to me on the tight end position here. Bucs are pretty brutal against tight ends. That is the best spot to target the Bucs so far through tonight. Eight weeks of the season.

40:09

And then same thing, tight ends against Chicago has been the single position that's been the best way to target the Chicago Bears defense. So I do like the tight ends on both sides here for sure. How do you see it? Yeah, with you there. Talk about another buck I do like tonight is Kate Otton. He is only $4,000. And, you know, Matt and I talked about him on the contrary construction.

40:31

So the last two weeks when they've been on the main SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, he went goose egg goose egg. So his price is way down there. But if and when they throw or have been throwing. He's just been out there. He's out there. Eighty eight percent of the snaps that he's running. He plays about ninety five percent of the snaps. So Kate Otton is going to be on the field and he's going to catch passes. Emeka Buka coming back helps him a healthy, healthy baker helps him.

40:57

Good weather helps him as well. So I think the arrows pointing up for K dot. And I like him. He is a red zone threat as well. Big body guy around the goal line if they get down there. So, yeah, give me some K dot in that $4,000. And then Colston Loveland donut his first game.

41:12

He slowly started to ramp up a little bit, had a touchdown against the Bears a couple of weeks ago, and he's gotten in double digits in his last three games, not twelve, nineteen and eighteen. His last three games, he's a beast. No Cole Komet. So, yeah, give me those two. And then I don't think you need to get down to the backup tight ends. That Roush guy, yeah, he does run a little bit of routes.

41:34

I don't even know who the backup tight end would be for the Bucs, maybe like a Payne Durham or somebody like that. So, yeah, I'm wheels up on Kay Dutton and Colston Love the Night, like both of them a lot. Yeah, I just want to see something real quick. If I look at this last week, week eight here from the Bears – I just want to see how many routes Sam Roush ran. So yeah, I mean, he only ran twelve routes, which is pretty gross in general there.

42:05

I mean, it is a pretty solid matchup. Again, so I mean he's pretty thin. It's ideally Loveland and Kate on, but I do have a little interest in Sam Roush just because $2,400. I don't think anybody is really going to play him and you could definitely see Caleb Williams get him the ball here. The Bears can kind of throw it to anyone there so. I do have a little interest in him, but not a great play. He's pretty thin, pretty fragile.

42:32

But I did want to just mention him a little bit. In terms of Colston Loveland, fourth best prop to score on the slate, plus-one-sixty-one. Fifty-two and a half reception prop, which is better than Rome. It's better than Agbuka. It's better than Godwin. It's better than Otton. It's better than all these guys. The only one it's not – I mean, I think it's – actually, it's the best overall on the slate. So, Colston Loveland looks like a complete smash here to me.

42:57

Cade Otton, twenty-nine and a half reception receiving yard prop. He is plus three-forty-six to score, but – I think some of that has to do with just the way the Bucs have gone the last two weeks. I don't think that's the case. I think this is going to be a different game. I don't think the Bucs are just going to be able to turn around and hand the ball off fifty times. Right.

43:15

That's why you also have seen Kenneth Gainwell rush share increase the last two weeks. I think Kenneth Gainwell is still a good play, not from his rushing upside, but from his reception and check down play.

43:25

Upside in the passing game because I do think that's kind of how the way that the bucks game goes um so I do have um interest in k dot and despite the props not being great there $4,000 is just a nice price point there um and he could play nice in like a three three build or even a four two build on the buck side and you play him over a guy like khalif Raymond oh and um go go kind of that way um there Kickers defenses here.

43:49

It's headlined by the Bears stuff, Santos and the Bears defense one and two. And then it's going to be McLaughlin and then the Burks defense here. You could see a book or Bucky busted off and then Simmons get a sack or two right in the red zone here and then have to settle for some field goals here. McLaughlin does have a decent lag. $5,000 sandwich between Santos and the Bears defense are both going to be higher on.

44:13

So how do you see this kickers and defenses range here? I actually think this is going to be a lower scoring affair tonight. I think the total is like forty six and a half or forty eight and a half. So it's up there. But I think it's going to be a lot of ground and pound, like I like I said. And and I think these kickers I think these kickers are especially going to come into play for sure. So I like both of them.

44:38

Give me give me Santos is $5,400 though. That's kind of expensive than Chase McLaughlin's $5,000. Which kicker do you like better? I like them both. But which one do you like better? I mean, at OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, I think I like McLaughlin just because I think I could see a scenario where they have less red zone. Success than a team like the Bears, just with the playmakers and the health of these two teams.

45:04

So if that's the case, and typically road dogs or the underdog kickers just get significantly less ownership, and we've seen it all the time, right? Where the favorite kicker is the guy that gets played at a much higher margin there. So if I had to pick one, I would lean with McLaughlin just because I think he's sandwiched between Santos and the Bears defense there. But I do like both of them for sure. Yeah, give me those kickers and then defense.

45:34

Man, that Bears defense, $5,200 bucks. That's just too much, isn't it? I mean, a twenty some percent on Bears defense on $5,200 in the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. I mean, I don't know. I mean. The bucks are going to come out and they're going to try and keep their game plan. That's worked the last two weeks, right? They're going to try and run the ball.

45:53

And if they have success, the opportunities are going to go now, obviously that could flip on its head in a hurry. And that's where you could see, but from an opportunity standpoint, like, I don't know. I mean, they're going to be pretty popular. I'm just never a really a defense guy. I mean, I don't know, like Burks defense at $3,800. What's your thoughts there? I mean, or $3,600. I mean, they're they're free.

46:19

Caleb Williams can run around and make mistakes. Like, I don't know. I don't love Bear. Bear's defense is probably fourth of these four, to be honest, when you account for ownership, upside, everything in that regard. I know they got Simmons in that, but I don't know. I think their ownership's a little inflated as well coming off a Monday night where they were optimal, right? They were in the winning line up there, and you kind of needed them to get to the top.

46:48

That does give me some sort of reservation there overall. Yeah, I like what you said. Like a sixteen hundred dollar discount. Like if you need that savings like this Burks defense has been very, very good. I mean, if you remember two weeks ago against this Panthers team, everybody was run to the ticket counter to place their bets on the Panthers and play the Panthers and DFS. And they they scored like twenty seven Fantasy PointsFantasy points are the score a DFS contest assigns to a player or team defense by converting real sports statistics and results through its scoring rules. Your lineup's total determines your contest ranking.Before trusting an average, check which games it includes and whether the player's role has changed. Separate repeatable opportunities from a few unusually productive games.Read the full definition of Fantasy Points.

47:13

Then last week, they obviously shut out the Falcons in the monsoon. So they're trending in the right direction. They got they got a pretty good run stuffer in the middle of themselves and be at a beta. So. I like that call by you. Give me some give me some bucks at $3,600 on a discounted ownership and a sixteen hundred dollar discount for sure.

47:31

I mean, I just this slate is so heavily focused on the Bears side, like you're getting a $3,600 defense that starts out with ten points and has put up twenty plus on the season. Like I understand it's the Bears offense and this and that, but like the whole everyone right is so high in this Bears team. And I'm not just saying it because I'm a Packers guys. The Bears team is good.

47:50

They have a lot of skilled players, but I mean, we're playing a one-game Showdown (Captain and MVP)NFL Showdown lets you select players from one football game, including eligible quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, kickers and team defenses. Your Captain or MVP receives the contest's scoring multiplier.Compare complete lineups with different players in the multiplier slot. Leaving salary unused can reduce duplication, but do not sacrifice meaningful scoring potential just to make your lineup unusual.Read the full definition of Showdown slate on primetime after Sunday night main slate where it just feels so cut and dry. And Love just dropped another dime to Watson. Like, Love has got three touchdowns, three hundred. Is Chris Gonzalez washed? No. Like, this Packers offense when they air it out is good. I know. I was just messing with you. But, yeah, he's got it.

48:15

When Matt LaFleur sits there and thinks we got to be a running fucking football team, that's when we suck ass. I mean, they had fucking three guys on that side, and Watson and Golden tore them all up. It was two on five on that side of the field. They went stacked. Did you see that? They stacked the right side. They went two on five and broke it. But, yeah, Packers, good luck to everyone out there with the Packers stacks and the Mills.

48:47

Congratulations on your million dollars as love has got – a million points and Watson and Golden, the combo pack there is just smashing. But yeah, I think we broke down this game pretty good here. What's your, let's do your favorite overall play. And then a play that you want to be under on compared to what the field's on. And I'll, I'll do the same. And then we can, we can go from there. I'm going to go with what got me here. I'm gonna go Rome with dunes.

49:15

It's kind of like my favorite off the wall, like captain. And then I'm going to be, I'm going to be under on definitely under on Baker. I think you talked some sense into me and Bucky. I do like Bucky a little bit more than I originally said. But, yeah, well UnderweightYou are underweight in DFS when a player, team stack or lineup combination appears in a smaller percentage of your entries than in the contest field's entries.Compare the same contest, format and roster slot. Use projected ownership before lock, then check actual ownership afterward to see whether your intended underweight stance held.Read the full definition of Underweight on Baker and overweight on Adunze. All right, I'm going Bucky Irving, captain. That is my favorite at OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, my favorite captain up top.

49:40

And then I'm going to be under on – I'm going to say the Bears defense at $5,200 just doesn't doesn't find its way there. I think that's the that's the one of the four special teams guys that I'm going to spell sell the most. I mean, $5,200, twenty some percent ownership in this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. I think the game plays closer.

50:01

I think the Bucs are going to have some success, at least on the ground with Bucky and Agbuka coming back in this offense. So that's the one that I would be.

50:10

Under on who's going to be twenty I mean combined ownership the bear is going to get about twenty to twenty five percent ownership between captain and flex at $5,200 I'd rather side with some of those skill position guys in that range um overall any uh any closing thoughts here ham yeah no closing thoughts can we look at the melee real quick let's jump back over and take a look at the sweat station here now Pull up classic. The twenty dollar million or the mega?

50:42

Yeah, let's look at just look at them both. Have we got time? Yeah, we got some time here. Let's go to the twenty dollar milli maker. As it loads here. Yeah, that's a straight ass whooping on the road in New England, just fucking dropping forty ball. So right here, AJ Superman. Still up top, but he – where's this Code Wolf guy right here? This Coda Wolf. Let's see his team. Three entries. Oh, McCaff right here. That's why. Hold on. Was this not updated?

51:27

Let me refresh. Hold on. Okay, so right here is the – right here's the twenty dollar million maker I'm Jordan Love Watson Golden look at this thirty eight thirty three thirty three oh man Coleman wow this is interesting no no puka no cd lamb but obviously when Watson and Golden do that So like the three, the three one from that game, right? The love Watson, Golden pop Douglas on the Bring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back the double tight end, the punt tight ends. Gosh.

52:10

And don't just only got what five Kenneth Walker and the Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up Chiefs defense as a combo pack there. Yeah, this is a, this is a pretty sick team overall. Um, what's this guy got love Watson. Alvin Kamara. Imagine playing Alvin Kamara in twenty twenty six. Geez, Ernest Johnson. Oh, my gosh. He played that he played the Kansas City beat down, beat down script here, canine and Ernest Johnson or Emmett Johnson, whatever his name is from the Chiefs here. Oh, wow.

52:49

Yeah, let's take a look at the mega and then we'll get out of here. So Alex is still up there, but he's getting tracked down right now with Love, McCaffrey, Watson, Golden, Douglas. So the Love, Watson, Golden, Douglas stack. Shout out to Tambo for saying the three wide receivers from the same game is going to win today. When so many people were playing those value guys, right, in that $4,000 range and punching those guys.

53:28

He said – Tambo went in and said Game Stick was going to win, right, where you just use all of your wide receiver positions from the same game. Yeah. Anything else you want to hit on before we jump out of here? No, let's get out of here. Licking my wounds like everybody else that doesn't have Jordan Love. Jordan Love doubles. Last week it was Burrow doubles. This week it's Love doubles. Man.

53:59

Yeah, I mean, they got – you got to assume – I mean, I would assume Packers are going to sit those guys down now after the third here. It's forty-two to fourteen, like, I don't know. Yeah, man, we'll see. The Patriots score, like, no lead to save for me. They're only in the third quarter, so. Yeah, that's wild. Yeah, I think that does it. Good luck tonight in those contests. Hopefully this game goes better than what the field is anticipating building-wise and kind of slamming in the Bears stuff.

54:29

Won't be shocked if it goes that way. I'm not going to build that way. I'm going to build more as a competitive script and lean more into some of this Bucs stuff overall. Sounds like you kind of changed your mind a little bit as well. But good luck. Hopefully your main SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate goes well. Hopefully Sunday night goes well for you guys out there. Ham and I will be back next Sunday, same time, same place, doing the same thing here. Overall, for Ham, I'm Nades.

54:51

Good luck tonight in those contests. Hope you see those Ship It Nation logos at the top. We're out of here. Peace.

Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 4:11DFS OS Sweat Station and Live Main Slate Sweats
  3. 14:59Buccaneers vs Bears Game Overview and Injury Updates
  4. 19:14Captain Picks and Ownership Leverage
  5. 28:40Quarterbacks: Caleb Williams vs Baker Mayfield
  6. 31:45Running Backs: Swift, Irving and Gainwell
  7. 35:06Wide Receivers: Egbuka’s Return and Bears Options
  8. 38:58Tight Ends: Loveland, Otton and Roush
  9. 43:48Kickers and Defenses
  10. 49:03Favorite Plays and Underweight Targets
  11. 50:31Live Milly Maker and Mega Sweats
  12. 54:17Final Showdown Roster Construction Thoughts

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