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NFL DFS Week 6 Contrarian Constructions | Main Slate DraftKings & FanDuel Roster Construction

Aired Sun Oct 18, 2026 Hosts NFL DFS Week 6 Contrarian Constructions: Matthew Belman & Ryan Davenport Runtime 57:54 Chapters 15 Views 1,164

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Sunday, October 18 NFL slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

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The Short Version

Matthew Belman and Ryan Davenport break down the ten-game slate with cheap quarterbacks opening salary for expensive running backs. Tanner McKee ($4,000) gets agreement as a way to fit studs, while Josh Allen leads the expensive options. Bijan Robinson is the preferred running back, with Kenneth Walker III and Derrick Henry offering lower-owned alternatives. Henry draws substantial tournament exposure, and the discussion stresses that even narrowly outscoring Bijan can create an advantage over the field.

Puka Nacua ($8,100) leads the receivers, while Rome Odunze ($4,900) gets a play-of-the-day call for his routes, matchup and Caleb Williams returning. Bears game stacks and Saints stacks offer different constructions. Ladd McConkey is another strong salary play. Germie Bernard and Xavier Worthy remain usable, but alternatives make their ownership less appealing. Tight end is thin below the expensive options, and the Eagles get a strong defensive endorsement against Carolina.

FadesJaylen WarrenZay Flowers

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
PAY UP Preferred expensive quarterback for his rushing upside, with no requirement to pair him with a receiver. 3:12
Matthew Stafford + Puka Nacua + Davante Adams IN PLAY The double stack gets a strong endorsement, especially on FanDuel. 4:42
The hosts were split between his cheap dome matchup against Indianapolis and concerns about his ability, rushing production and receiving options, with Watson later preferred. 6:56
VALUE At $4,000 on DraftKings and $6,000 on FanDuel, he opens salary for studs and can be played with a pass catcher or alone. 8:19
The hosts were split between an unpopular featured-back opportunity and doubts about his ability, with interest dependent on low ownership. 8:49
The hosts were split, with limited interest at $4,900 in 150-lineup builds if New England forces passing volume and an opposing view that he belongs far down the list. 11:50
Bryce Young + Chuba Hubbard + Tetairoa McMillan + Jalen Coker Carolina's concentrated offense and a possible comfortable win were discussed, but Saints stacks were preferred and enthusiasm for Carolina was split. 12:41
PAY UP Preferred expensive running back because of his upside and a favorable matchup against Chicago's depleted defensive front. 13:29
PAY UP An expensive option suitable for any format, with a strong chance at multiple touchdowns in the matchup. 13:56
LEVERAGE A lower-owned pivot from Bijan with slate-leading upside and additional receiving opportunity while Kansas City is missing receivers. 13:56
OVERWEIGHT Substantial exposure in 150 lineups was explicitly described after boosting him, with low ownership and a depleted Cleveland front supporting the call. 17:42
Deshaun Watson + KC Concepcion Jr. or Denzel Boston IN PLAY Cheap receiving partners and Judkins being out support tournament stacks, though the construction was not preferred for one lineup. 21:40
Kirk Cousins + Brock Bowers IN PLAY Bowers was identified as the preferred stacking partner for a cheaper route into the Buffalo game. 24:44
Kirk Cousins + Ashton Jeanty IN PLAY The hosts disagreed about the pairing, with support based on Jeanty's catches and scenarios where passing and rushing touchdowns both accumulate. 25:05
Floated as an interesting pivot from popular Kyren Williams without a firm commitment. 25:58
UNDERWEIGHT Still considered a fine play, but ownership pushes interest toward Jeanty and other alternatives, with Puka preferred from the Rams. 26:28
Liked as an alternative to Kyren, with little expected DraftKings ownership but substantially more FanDuel attention at $6,600. 26:28
Josh Allen Stacks + Ashton Jeanty BRING-BACK Jeanty gets a strong endorsement as the opposing piece in Allen builds at $6,500 on DraftKings and $7,600 on FanDuel. 26:50
His expected workload drew support, but the hosts differed on prioritizing him versus spending up at running back. 27:18
FADE Not being played at $7,000 with Rico Dowdle returning, despite praise for his performance and talent. 27:51
His $4,000 salary and possible rushing and receiving work were discussed, but McLaughlin was preferred because he had already been with Cleveland. 28:45
VALUE Judkins being out creates a possible starting role and receiving work, with stronger agreement on his $4,300 FanDuel price than his $4,900 DraftKings price. 30:04
Interest remained at $6,000, but TreVeyon Henderson being active reduced enthusiasm and Braelon Allen was preferred on the other side. 31:46
Sean Tucker being out improves his goal-line opportunity, but the discussion stopped short of an endorsement and favored Braelon Allen instead. 33:26
The hosts were split between his cheap salary and expected carries, especially on FanDuel, and a flat rejection. 34:12
PAY UP Still considered underpriced at $8,100 and the preferred expensive receiver despite the possibility of a comfortable Rams win. 34:59
Included among Carolina's concentrated offensive options earlier, but later explicitly rejected in the receiver discussion without a shared final endorsement. 37:06
FADE Explicitly ruled out during the receiver discussion. 37:06
The hosts were split between liking his talent and price and preferring Braelon Allen because Christian Gonzalez makes the receiving matchup difficult. 37:32
Caleb Williams + Bears Receivers + Bijan Robinson IN PLAY The game stack was endorsed for the matchup and cheap Chicago receivers, with Bijan included and Puka likely excluded from that construction. 40:40
VALUE At $4,900, his full route participation, dome matchup and Caleb Williams returning drove a strong endorsement and the closing play-of-the-day call. 42:08
VALUE Preferred slightly to Denzel Boston at $4,200 because of his cheaper price and deliberate short-pass involvement. 43:46
VALUE His $5,300 price, removal from the injury report and expected passing volume against Kansas City made him a strong salary play. 44:11
UNDERWEIGHT Still being played, but lower-owned Cleveland and Indianapolis alternatives prompted scaling back and leaving him out of some additional lineups. 46:26
UNDERWEIGHT The hosts differed on how much to reduce exposure at roughly 21% ownership, but both acknowledged alternatives while retaining some interest in his value. 47:15
ONE-OFF Preferred among Buffalo's receivers if DJ Moore is out, though the distribution of targets remained uncertain. 47:39
UNDERWEIGHT Still liked and considered too cheap, especially in Buffalo game builds, but probably excluded if playing only one lineup because of competing expensive options. 48:46
OVERWEIGHT Liked more than the field because of lower ownership and his importance to Arizona keeping pace, though not a priority for a single lineup. 49:38
UNDERWEIGHT Interest was restricted to Bills stacks or stacks of that game. 50:49
UNDERWEIGHT An ownership-based tournament fade was discussed because another huge fourth quarter or shootout would be needed, rather than an unconditional all-format rejection. 50:49
Tyler Shough + Chris Olave + Juwan Johnson + Malik Nabers IN PLAY The Saints stack with Nabers on the other side gets an endorsement as a different construction that leaves room for studs. 51:44
UNDERWEIGHT The hosts differed in enthusiasm, with the narrower recommendation limiting him to Bears stacks because his upside had not translated into production. 52:09
Floated as a minimum-price tight end on a team expected to throw, without a strong endorsement. 52:33
Chiefs DST PAY UP Named the preferred defense despite discomfort with spending up and an otherwise flexible approach to the position. 53:15
Eagles DST ONE-OFF Strongly endorsed at $3,000 because the healthy defense can pressure Bryce Young behind Carolina's depleted offensive line. 54:09
Panthers DST CHALK Expected to be very popular at $2,500 because the salary was set with Jalen Hurts expected to play. 54:39
Titans DST ONE-OFF A cheap tournament option at $2,300 on DraftKings and $3,100 on FanDuel, with disagreement about how much Tyler Warren's absence helps. 55:24

DFS Terms Used on This Show

ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian▶ Said at 0:09 ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections▶ Said at 2:23 SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate▶ Said at 3:12 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership▶ Said at 5:05 LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage▶ Said at 8:49 Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up▶ Said at 13:29 GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP▶ Said at 15:48 Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News▶ Said at 36:08 CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation▶ Said at 37:32 Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack▶ Said at 40:16

Full Transcript

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0:09

Let's go. Clear for lift off. What is going on, Ship It Nation YouTube station? We are back with another edition of the ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian Construction Show. It's your boy Ham, fresh off a plane from Aruba, back to do this show with Matt. And Matt, before I pass it over to you, I've got to say, it's a great day to be on Rocky Top. Tell those Bammers to hit the road. Jack, we're not playing with those Crimson Tide anymore, but Matt, how's your Week going?

1:03

I know you had a rough night last night there in Cleveland with your Guardians, but man, what's going on? How was your Week? Week was pretty good, man. Can't wait to catch up with you and find out about your trip. Yeah, I was on Tennessee yesterday, so that was a nice win for you, for them, for me. So, yeah, I really liked them in that spot yesterday, and they came through. So, congrats.

1:27

We got a fully jam-packed NFL Sunday today with, man, it seems like injuries kind of all over. Still some unknowns. Judkins is out, which I'm not shocked, but I wasn't expecting it. So, yeah. Yeah, we'll have to see where this show takes us. I'm excited to break it down with you, man. Yeah, you too. Real quick, before we get going, we got a question from Joseph. AJ Brown or Michael Wilson for you before we get into it? Give me Wilson.

1:59

I feel safer with him, but I wouldn't go either way. Yeah, we're going to go position by position. The boys this morning went game by game. We're going to break it all down. Ten games going on. You got the Foster Moreau versus B. Shaw Tootin game going on right now. Jalen Noel looking like prime Nico Collins out there. So, yeah, watching that game in the background. Got inactives coming out.

2:23

I saw it in the chat, and then obviously Matt just alluded to it. Quenshawn Junkins is out today. So some big stuff to talk about. Seven games in the morning, three games in the afternoon, no major weather to report. I got the Stone 2.0-point-oh pulled up. Matt, let's just get right into it. Quarterback position. I got it filtered over here by DraftKings ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections. And to me, Matt, it's going to be focused on three players today.

2:45

Josh Allen, Matthews Stafford, and Caleb Williams, who makes his return at only $6,200 bucks. To me, those are going to be the three most popular guys. How are you handling this quarterback position today? So I think all of them are fine in their own right. I think of the three that you just mentioned, Allen is my favorite, but I'm a big fan of spending down today on quarterback. So we'll talk about some guys that are cheap that I like.

3:12

It's mostly because of the amount of love I have for the other expensive guys on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate that I want to jam in. But I think there's some viable cheap options today. So I'm excited to break those guys down. Up top, if I have to pick one, it's Josh Allen. I mean, his rushing upside right now is unmatched by any quarterback ever. So if he continues that, it's hard not to have high interest in him every Week.

3:37

You don't even really need a running mate with him. DJ Moore looks like the top guy if he's in, but I don't think you have to play him. So I think it's Allen for me up top, but I'm really interested in spending down. How about you? Yeah, no, to me, I mean, I'm interested in spending, I'm playing more of my action on FanDuel today where Allen is, $9,500 bucks. But it's a three man race for me, really.

3:59

Like I did one fifty in the fifteen dollar and I got some of those other guys. But it's Allen, it's Stafford and it's Williams for me. I really like Caleb Williams coming back. We saw his, you know, assuming his hammy is fully healthy, which I would imagine it is. We saw in the first game, not only did they put up fifty nine points, he ran two in. I just happened to be listening to the halftime show.

4:18

They say he was running like at twenty two miles an hour. So he has rushing upside. I love this matchup in a dome. I love his receivers today, but it's I mean, I mean, you can't fault Alan. He's Superman, right? I mean, he had one hundred yards rushing, obviously over one hundred yards passing. How many touchdowns did he have? Three or four on Monday night. You just saw it there. He just he's incredible. But he is $9,500. And then Matthews Stafford.

4:42

We'll get into the receivers, but the Matthews Stafford doubles, especially on FanDuel with Puka, Davante Adams are dynamite right now. So for me, it's those guys. And then I do have a guy that, and maybe you'll say, and maybe you'll not, but who's kind of, I'll call him your tier two. I mean, Drake Mays, I think been the top quarterback and back-to-back slate. He's all the way up to $6,600 now.

5:05

So I don't think he's going to get a lot of love, but who's kind of your tier two or sort of maybe some of the cheaper guys that you're looking at? So I would fully expect you to be on Drake May after he's been really good for you at low OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership the past two weeks. I mean, from your sake, like why fix what stopped broken? I haven't been playing him, so I don't think I'm going to hop on now at this tag in this spot.

5:26

But his upside, I mean, he's clearly shown he can get there in any type of game environment with his rushing ability. So I get that. For me, the guy I like, and he's got cheap weapons to pair, or you can just play him with one. It's Tanner McKee for the Eagles. I just think he's too cheap at $4,000. You see when he's been brought in, they've thrown a ton.

5:48

I expect that to continue here with Damian Pierce, who I also like foreshadowing as their main running back option. So whether it's Smith, Wicks, Lemon, Goedert, who I like a lot, easy targets to pair with him. And he's cheap enough where you can play him by himself. So he's the main guy. The other guy that I like, this is ugly. I feel like I'm speaking your love language with this one. Cam Ward. Oh, gosh. Let's move on to running back. Cam Ward.

6:20

Yeah. So he's super cheap. He's another guy that has rushing upside. Awful Colts defense. You get him away from Tennessee where there's a lot of negative energy. Fans are kind of all over him. Get him into a dome, good weather. Again, easy targets to pair with Wandale and Carnell if you want. And I think that game has points. So, yeah, I like Cam Ward here. Yeah, you know, P. Joe, DJ, and Stoner, man, I thought about it.

6:51

Like, I thought about Shaven coming in with the stash today just for you, but I chose not to do it.

6:56

Cam Ward, the only – I mean – Cam Ward is not a fantasy relevant quarterback I would push back a little bit too on I think you said he had rushing upside I I just haven't seen it I don't know what his stats are on the season I'm trying to pull him up but I think he had two rushing downs like last Week or the Week before uh he has two rushing touchdowns yeah I mean he had two yards last Week the guy's just not an NFL quarterback and in three years he'll be in the ufl or somewhere else maybe maybe in two he's I don't like Cam Ward, but I've heard several folks in the industry mention Cam Ward.

7:29

I just don't know who you're going to pair him with. Like, I get it, Tate's good, and we've been on Tate, but Tate, Wondell Robinson, I mean, A.O. Manner, sorry, and he doesn't have a tight end. Man, I can't do it. Okay, what do you think about Tanner McKee? Yeah, yeah, yeah, $4,000. I mean, yeah, $4,000, Tanner McKee, absolutely. I mean, you can just jam a lot of the studs in.

7:54

He doesn't have to get, what, twelve to fifteen, somewhere in that range. He's got a full complement of receivers, like you said, with Goedert, with Smith. You know, does he find Lemon a little bit more? Does he find Wicks a little bit more? I'm against you a little bit as well, as far as Damian Pierce is not an NFL caliber running back. And so, do they have to drop – Tanner McKee back, you know, thirty, forty times.

8:19

But yeah, Tanner McKee, $4,000 on DK, $6,000 on FanDuel. I'm in on Tanner McKee. That's I like that call, actually. There's there's one that I like that I want to run past you. OK. $5,600. With a receiver I really like, with a tight end I really like, Tyler Shuck going against this Giants team. No pass rush to speak of. I'm interested to see if Abdul Carter is in as an act has come out.

8:49

How do you feel about $5,600 Tyler Shuck? So first off, I want to answer Nades real quick because he's saying they couldn't run the ball with Barkley. Why do we think Pierce can succeed here? Who's weak? Because I don't think anyone does think Pierce can succeed here, and that's why I kind of like him because he's going to be LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage, and I think he's going to be the featured back.

9:06

But if you tell me he's going to be popular, then I'd be all the way off. I like this shot call a lot. I think this game is another one that could have points. And he's another guy that has rushing upside with clear targets to bear with him. Obviously, you don't love that Olave missed a lot this Week, but he's playing. He's fine. We see that a lot with these NFL guys. So, yeah, I like that call.

9:27

It was an illness, too, which, you know, like we talked about previously, it wasn't one of those soft tissues thing. You know, they had the runs running through that locker room last Sunday, so maybe it was the remnants of that. But Olave, man, I like Olave. We'll get to him. But I like Tyler Shuck in this contest. Not so much James Winston. I mean, they want to activate four running backs and do all that nonsense.

9:51

They want to boomer ball that running into the line about a hundred times. But yeah, give me some Tyler Shuck. Any other quarterbacks? I don't see anything. I've seen some Daniels Jones love at $5,200. That's dirt cheap going up against his Titans team. But any other quarterbacks that you want to talk about or we can move on? Yeah, I mean, talk to the cheap guys.

10:15

And just to hit on Nate's point real quick, I got your point on Pierce, too, for sure. Like, he's not very good. And even at, like, you know, eight percent ownership, I could understand why you would just be like, I'm out on that guy. Because to your point about Cam Ward, like these guys that just aren't very good, it's easy to get off them. So that makes sense. As far as other quarterbacks go.

10:38

I mean, in tournaments, it's hard to rule out a lot of guys. I saw someone mention Deshaun Watson earlier. I don't hate that. He's had some good moments against Baltimore. I'm not scared of that defense. Another guy with cheap weapons to pair with him. So, yeah, I mean, no one else I love. How about you? Yeah, the only other guy that I would mention, and once again, this is like a one-fifty type play.

11:08

He's all the way down here at the bottom, too. It's Geno Smith against his Patriots team. They do get Christian Gonzalez back, but he is $4,900. He should have a full complement of receivers in terms of they have Garrett Wilson. They had getting Omar Cooper back. Sadiq is going to be active today, I believe. The only guy they're missing is Adonai Mitchell.

11:28

So in like one-fifty type builds, if you think Dre's going to push that pace and Geno's going to have to go back there and chuck it, I don't hate him because I do love Garrett Wilson in any matchup, love the price on him as well. So Geno Smith, it's gross. It's a one-fifty type play, but I would have a little bit of interest in him if you were playing one-fifty. Any thoughts on that?

11:50

Yeah, I'm out on Geno, but I mean – It kind of goes to my point of in tournaments, I think you can look at basically any quarterback on the board just because you're looking for outlier scenarios anyways. Just for me, he'd be far down on the list for me. What about a Carolina stack through a Tyler Shuck stack? The Carolina guys are popping in the Sims. I don't know if you're a Simmer or not, but Carolina's looking good in the Sims.

12:14

I don't really like Carolina, but interested to get your take on Bryce Young and crew versus the Tyler Shuck stack. Yeah, I prefer Shuck as well, but I mean, that's just my opinion. Doesn't, you know, I value it, but. Carolina coming off a bye. Philly's a tough team to gauge for me right now because I kind of feel like a dead man walking, but they got a lot of backups in, so maybe they play up today.

12:41

But maybe Carolina just – I certainly see the scenario where Philly just – or, excuse me, Carolina just rolls, and you don't even need much from Philly running it back because, yeah, I think Carolina's another team with Bryce, Hubbard, Tett and Coker, like, pretty easy four guys. Like, those are the top four pretty clearly to me. Yeah, all right, good deal.

13:05

All right, let's move on to the running back position, if nothing else, where, to me, running back position, we talked about it last Sunday, Matt, and we're going to talk about it again this Week. Running back is absolutely loaded. You got every big boy on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate outside of, obviously, Jameerah Gibbs. You got Bijan on the slate, JT, Kenneth Walker, Kyron, James Cook. The list goes on and on. Very – I'll call it top-heavy, if you will.

13:29

I love the top-end backs like everybody else, but how are you sifting through these running backs today? Yes, part of the reason I like the spending down at quarterback is because I love the Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up running back options. I mean, they all look good to me. I think Bijan looks the best because good spot. It's Bijan, and he's still probably too cheap for his upside, and he'll probably be more expensive continuously as we go throughout the season.

13:56

I would say after that, Jonathan Taylor at $1,000. He seems like the cog in the machine type that you can just play in any type of format. Solid price point. Two touchdowns seems very, very possible to Likely here in this matchup. I like Kenneth Walker and Derek Henry as pivots off of Bijan. Walker is going to be like half as owned as Bijan. Henry is going to be like half as owned as Walker.

14:25

And I like Walker because they're coming off a bye playing another team that looks like they're dead in the Chargers. So a lot to like about Walker. He's expensive, but there are tons of scenarios where this slate plays out and he outscores every other running back on this slate. And then Henry, even more of an OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership play.

14:44

Like I'm not prioritizing yeah no Warren definitely helps taylor here too for sure um not prioritizing henry but they're gonna be the Ravens are gonna be super LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage with lamar out and I have a feeling they want to give it to their former offensive coordinator and current Browns head coach todd munkin so it doesn't mean it's going to play out and again I'm not like playing him because of that but I think at like two percent ownership, Henry's got a role on this slate.

15:17

Yeah, let's just let's just keep it on Henry because we're aligned there. I love the big dog today. Twenty five touches last Sunday night. Twenty four rushes. One one catch in which he scored on as well. So twenty five touches for the big dog last Week. You alluded to it. Nobody's playing Derek Henry versus a Browns defense that just got gashed by some guy named Braylon Allen. No Mike Hall, no Mason Graham, a beat up Carlson Schlesinger, a quarterback named Tyler Huntley.

15:48

Man, Derrick Henry is like the ultimate GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP play today. I love that call. $8,200. He's not going to get on $9,100 on DraftKings. The big dog. Phenomenal spot. But let's go to my favorite running back. You alluded to it. B. John Robinson against this Bears team. Missing two starters on the defensive line, Josh Sweat, can't get off those pads, and some other guy that is out for injury. Their defense is beat up up front.

16:14

They do get Kyler Gordon back in the secondary. So, for me, it's ground and pound with the Robinson brothers, Bijan, Brian Robinson Jr., Jr. I think – I mean, obviously not playing Brian Robinson Jr., Jr. As much as Bijan, but Bijan is in a dynamite spot to me. I think he runs – rampant today. I think him and Brian account for over two hundred yards. We'll probably push three hundred total yards as well. I love B. John Robinson against his Bears D. Kenneth Walker, you alluded to it.

16:43

He's just a man-child. To me, people are playing and rightfully so. They're playing Xavier Worthy. They're playing Travis Kelley. To me, without Rice and Thornton, Matt, Kenneth Walker Like, reception's floor goes up like a catch or two. And we've seen what he's done this year. We've seen how much they want to just jam him in there. I love Kenneth Walker III as well, just with you. How about playing Walker and Henry together? I mean, you're going to be on an island.

17:15

Yeah, you're going to be on an island there, and then – I don't hate it. I mean, you got three games. I was looking at some stuff this morning. Go ahead. No, just because we're talking about Henry and I wanted to go back because I mentioned Watson in passing and we talked about quarterbacks. And I do think that with Judkins out, he's even more in play because – They're going to be relying on Jaleel McLaughlin and Audrick Estime, who signed like five days ago.

17:42

So the ball is going to be in Watson hands for a lot of this game. Doesn't mean that he's guaranteed to be good, but it's really all you can ask for. He's under $5,000. We like Henry a lot. Like it kind of matches up. You know what I'm saying? Yeah. Yeah, I got, you know, I always like to boost these running backs. I boosted the big dog like twenty five percent of my one fifty. So I'm heavily invested on the big dog.

18:07

I love him today. But, yeah, so Walker, Walker and Walker and Henry. I mean, you said it last Week, Matt, it's like if you do that, you got to hope B. John just has like. What, fifteen to twenty? And Henry and Walker have, what, twenty-five to thirty to feel good about it? Because he can't just match them, can he? Wait, repeat that, sorry. Like, in order for Walker or Henry to matter, they're going to have to outscore Bijan by how many points?

18:46

I mean, I think if they just outscore him, you're in amazing shape. If they just outscore him. Yeah, because the more they... I guess the best way I can answer that is certainly the more they outscore him, the better. Clearly, in any spot. But here, I don't think you're playing them because you think Bijan stinks or has a bad game. I think you're playing them because you think they slightly outscore Bijan. Now...

19:17

The other part of that question, though, is they are priced close enough where if Bijan offscores them at all, you want Bijan. There's no margin for error there. You know what I'm saying? Yeah. I guess there are builds, certainly, where if Bijan scores one point more than Walker, but you can't get to that two hundred, it could work out. But that's such a thin line. You know what I mean? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, I was kind of alluded to it. Like, they are so closely priced together.

19:47

Like, even if Bijan gets twenty-two and Henry gets twenty-five, like, is that separating enough? I mean, obviously, it's separating three points. Like, is that enough? When you say enough, what do you mean? Like, because, like... Yeah, what do you mean by that? Oh, well, just like B. John. If Henry gets thirty and B. John gets you fifteen, then more than Likely it's going to be tough for B. John teams to catch up to you. Right. But even still, yeah, I agree.

20:17

But even still, if he has twenty two and Bijan has like if he has twenty five and Bijan has twenty two, you gain three points on a lot of the field. And yeah, I'll take that. You know what I mean? Like, I guess my response to that, because would you alternatively like rather play Bijan if he scores three points less? Or are you talking like maybe you'd just rather get out of the high price range altogether?

20:41

Well, I just think that the floor there with Bijan is so much greater. Like, I'm fine. Like, I think... Okay, I see what you're saying. What would I tell you? Okay, I get your point. Like, why even, you know, get different if you like Bijan that much for the chance that he outscores him by, like, two? Like, you're basically saying, like, is it even possible, really, where, like, they outscore him by enough where it matters that much? I get your point.

21:10

Yeah. Yeah. Richard says Bijan needs thirty five to matter. Like, I mean, can he go for Jameer Gibbs? Absolutely. Like he could he could certainly nuke the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. We just had an Odell Beckham catch, Matt. It was pretty sick. I don't know if you're watching, but. So it's a reaction, though. Yeah. I thought there was a bug in your room. No, no. And Sean mentioned it. You said something. I just want to go back a little bit to quarterback.

21:40

You said you don't respect or something along those lines the Baltimore defense and you like Watson. To me, what's there to like about Watson? And why don't you like the Baltimore defense? Well, Watson got cheap weapons in Concepcion and Boston. No Judkins means that he's the ball's going to be in his hands. And we just like Baltimore's defense isn't scary. I don't think they're bad, but you can move the ball on them. And if you can punch in a couple, he's also running a lot more.

22:11

Yeah. Yeah. Like I might be going from cam or to Watson. Yeah. He's got the second most rushing attempts by QB. Like they trust Watson and yeah, he hasn't had a game yet where he's put it all together, but yeah, his best, the best game he played for Cleveland before this year was the second half against Baltimore a couple of years ago in Baltimore, where he led them back in a comeback and the vibes are high for him. I mean, the vibes are high in Cleveland right now.

22:42

I'm with it. I can, I can totally get on board with Watson, um, over, over Cam Ward, um, And listen, he – and, you know, Jerry Judy, I think, had eight targets last Week. I know Concepcion was because Concepcion went out. But, I mean, even Jerry Judy, in my mind, like he's not great by any stretch, but he's not like terrible. He's awful. I mean, yeah, like I like him better than – As a Browns fan, he's awful. But, yes, to your point, like, yeah.

23:09

He's better than – He's a serviceable – He's a totally serviceable NFL wide receiver. Yeah. He just should be a lot better. Yeah. Yeah, I have all these memories, and I don't have anything to back it up, of like, seventeen to fourteen, just dog pound games with Baltimore, like the most hate, you know, Cleveland and Baltimore like hate each other, but could it be like thirty-five to thirty-one? Absolutely. Yeah. Yeah. There have been some of those games in this.

23:38

Certainly, most Browns games in general are like the lower scoring, like you said, the AFC North. But there have been a couple games in this matchup, particularly, where the scores have gotten high. And it goes back to just wanting outlier results, right? Like, if I were playing one lineup, I wouldn't play it. But... We talked about cam. I talked about Cam Ward, Tanner McKee. I mean, Watson at least belongs in that group.

24:01

And his weapon was with fan into, I know you like fan in like that's, he's got good weapons right now. Yeah. Oh my gosh. Like the Sean Watson, they're the same price, right? $4,900 and forty eight. I mean, to me, it's a no brainer. Like man, forty nine hundreds are really good price. Um, I don't know how much I have of him on fan. Don't even know how much. Oh, you know, one other quarterback I didn't mention.

24:24

I know because when we do this, we're kind of talking about him in clumps. Kirk Cousins. People like that game a lot. You know, Kubiak system. You know, I kind of, I figured you'd be on board with that just because of that game environment, right? Like if you can't get up to Allen, certainly you want Allen, but he's $3,000 cheaper or whatever. So yeah. Yeah.

24:44

The thing about him is like, you have to stack with Brock in my opinion, like Trey Tucker just like, I mean, he could go off and he's, but he's scary. I heard the boys talking about this morning where Sheets Adam and Tucker went off for forty three last year. Like to me, you're going to need like, who do you stack them with? Right. I don't think you can stack Cousins with Jeanty, but yeah, don't don't think that can. Oh, you do.

25:05

OK. Yeah. Just because can Jeanty catches balls out of the backfield and like, I mean, outside of to your point, Bowers and Jeanty, like, who do you really want? Certainly you can take shots on Tucker in tournaments, but you don't feel good about it. And like, There are definitely scenarios where even if Gentee doesn't score with a passing touchdown, Cousins throws two or three, and Gentee rushes a couple with some catches. So, yeah, I see it. Yeah, all right.

25:33

We got stuck on kind of this top tier, but let's talk about some of this. I'll call them second tier, even though they're not really second tier running backs. Kyron Williams, James Cook, Ashton Gentry. Like, I'm with Nades. Nades put it in the chat earlier. Kyron Chark feels kind of gross, but he is only six hundred dollars against this Cardinals thing that we saw just give it up in droves last Week. How do you feel about I'll call him the second tier of running back?

25:58

Don't love kyron here at OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership I can't remember the exact stat but in games the Rams like win by multiple touchdowns he only averages like DraftKings points per game and again that stat is not exactly I don't have it in front of me but it's something to that effect so keep that in mind that ownership I far much prefer puka we'll get to him but yeah coram as a pivot is interesting Yeah, that was Tambo's leverage lane yesterday too. Yeah.

26:28

Don't get me wrong. I like Kyron. I think he's a fine play. But at ownership, I just think there are ways to get off of it. So I like Jeanty, who we just talked about at very similar price points. DeAndre Swift, who people are hesitant to go back to. And then a little bit cheaper. I mean, I don't love the spot for the Jets, but Braylon Allen is a dude, and he's going to get all the work. I love situations like that.

26:50

And then we got to talk about the Cleveland spot. Jesus, man. Yeah. Yeah. No one's playing Swift on, on, on DraftKings. He'll be, he'll be heavily owned on FanDuel where he's only $6,600 bucks cheaper on FanDuel. Than he is on DraftKings. So he'll get a lot of love on FanDuel. Certainly understand that. James Cooks going to come in no ownership. Jenty's in a smash spot. I love Jeanty as well, especially on bringbacks with Allen.

27:18

$6,500, only $7,600 on FanDuel. So yeah, so they're all in great spots. I'm a little bit lower than Allen. I get it. Like he gets all the work and he's $5,700, but To me, it's more of a Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up at running back today. Jalen Warren kind of out with Rico Dowdle back, $7,000. He's a little bit too expensive for me now. Any love for Jalen Warren today? No, but maybe that's mistaken because talk about a dude.

27:51

They're stupid if they split the work with him and Dowdle. I mean, that's just stupidity in my opinion. So I expect it a little bit, but I also won't be surprised if Warren gets a lot of the work and he's really good in that, in that however much work he gets just because he's been awesome this season. I'm not playing him, but he's been so good. I'm like, you watch him and he looks awesome. Yeah.

28:21

He's a, he's a different caliber running back than Rico Dowdle. I mean, it should be seventy five, twenty five at a minimum. At a minimum, like Warren looks like one of the best backs in football right now. And Dowdo is a guy at best. Yep. Let's go straight into the Browns. You want to talk a little bit about them? I mean, Jalil McLaughlin, $4,900. No, thank you. But maybe you can talk something into me.

28:45

Aldrich Estime, who I would say is not terrible, not great either. But at $4,000, like and he's going to get some run. He can catch his passes like we've seen in Denver and New Orleans. Like talk to me a little bit about these Browns running backs. I prefer McLaughlin because he's been there. He's got one carry this season, a twenty eight yard touchdown on Thursday night football. He's average. He averaged like over five yards of carry in Denver. Yeah. So crazy.

29:13

He played locally at Notre Dame College in Cleveland, which is now defunct. It went out of operation a couple of years ago. It's like ten minutes away from me. Like the smallest, like I think it must be D three. That's where he play. He went to at first and crazy story. Kind of excited to see him get some run because Junkins has been awful. I have a little bit of interest in McLaughlin if he's not going to get any OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. Yeah.

29:40

Cheap. I think he'd get a lot of the work and catch some passes. So I don't feel great about it, but how about in those games we just talked about where the score in this game is a little bit higher than people expect. We'll go off and get you a touchdown and some work on the ground and he's there. Yeah. Like what, what do we have him? We have him at, at nine points, eight point eight. Yeah.

30:04

I mean, I, I'm not gonna, I'm not gonna get there, but I mean, he's $4,300 bucks on Fando. Like to me, Fando is much more in play over there. Like I know you're probably not playing much Fando, but $4,300 for Jaleel McLaughlin, probably a starting running back, I think is a I'm not going to call it a great play, but I think it's a pretty good play. Yeah, I mean, that makes sense.

30:30

I mean, I do like him slightly more there, but I think he's in plan DK, too. So, yeah, I just think he's in play in general. I mean, I would imagine they kind of just signed Estime to be like a guy that they have in case he wasn't here. Nate said that they signed both of these guys. No, Jaleel's been playing. They signed Estime on Tuesday, right? Right, and Jaleel's been there. He's got one carry this season, a twenty-eight-yard touchdown.

30:56

He looked good on that carry, too, and they never gave him the rock again. And he, like I said, he averaged five yards a carry in Denver. Like, he had some moments there. So, I'm intrigued, man. Was he on the Saints practice squad or he was on the street? Jaleel? No. I'm not sure. Someone in the chat. I mean, if they sign him off the practice squad, I think they have to play him, like get him on the active roster.

31:23

But yeah, I like Jaleel McLaughlin at $4,300 bucks on FanDuel, $4,900 on DK. It just allows you to open up so much. And as Nate said, he also can catch passes. He was kind of their third down back in Denver and When you have seven running backs and a quarterback that's not any good, yeah, they had to get rid of him, I guess, in Denver. I mean, running back is loaded. Like, I hadn't even gotten to Chubb Hubbard yet.

31:46

Bucky Irvin's not getting any love. Ramondre was popping off the page yesterday until Travion Henderson. I want to talk about Ramondre a little bit. I love Ramondre today, Matt. No practice all Week for Travion. He is active, which obviously hurts a little bit. But Ramondre, he's going to get – And at $6,000 any love for Mondray Stevenson today? Yeah, certainly. I mean, Henderson in, so that makes me like him less, but it will make the field like him less.

32:17

And Henderson kind of been tracking to play anyways. I like Braylon Allen more on the other side of that game personally. And really, I think he's lower on. Yeah. Like the spot's not as good, but I think the Jets can compete here and it's all the work versus not all the work to me. So I also think, um, Braylon Allen's just the better running back. Like, I get it.

32:36

Stephens is going to be higher on for good reason because of the spot, and New England will score more here. But give me Braylon. He looked good last Week. He looked good even in that Bears game where they barely had the ball. Like, I know you like Braylon Allen, too. Like, you probably aren't as high on him today as I am. No, I do like Braylon Allen. We were on Braylon Allen against the Bears. Yeah, man. He's a dude. Like, he is good.

32:56

Like, he's not as good as Brees Hall because he's not as diverse. But as far as, like, in between the tackle runner, he's better. Oh, just looking at these inactives, and he's been hurt. Not that it means much, I don't think, but no Sean Tucker today. So it's going to be the Bucky show. It's going to be your boy revenge spot, actually, for your boy. I can't even remember his name, but what's your boy's name for the Burks? Kenny Gainwell.

33:26

Revenge narrative for Kenneth Kenny Gainwell. I don't think anyone's going to be playing at $4,400. And I was just kidding about the revenge stuff, but. No Sean Tucker. So Bucky is in line for all the goal line work. Any love for Bucky Irving today? I think you could go to Bucky, but I don't know if I want to chase that monster game. Like it feels, it feels off for us to be on him now. You know what I mean?

33:50

Like, yeah. Yeah. We got to just let that go. Yeah. Braylon Allen will be higher on, but I don't think it's significant. And I think he's, I think he's the better play personally. Last one that I personally want to talk about, Nate's talked about him, is Tony Pollard. I was hoping – I was looking. Tajay Spears is active. He was beat up all Week. But Pollard dirt cheap, going to get fifteen-plus carries.

34:12

$5,400, really good price on draft – or a really good price on FanDuel at $5,600. I like me some Tony Allen today on a touchdown site like FanDuel. Any love for Tony Pollard? Nah. I mean, no. Nope. All right. Any other running backs you want to touch on or can we move to wide receiver? We can move on. Let's move on to wide receivers. Once again, loaded. You talked about it. You got high-end running backs. Everybody wants to play.

34:38

You got, to me, you got high-end quarterbacks that people want to play. And then you get over to receiver where you got an $8,100 way underpriced Puka Nacua coming off. What was it? Twenty targets or so? I know we had seventeen catches, but on Monday night, the thing that the Cardinals aren't going to do that the Bills did is obviously make it a game, keep it a game. So will they keep the foot on the gas even at $8,100?

34:59

He's still way too cheap. So give me some Puka. Then other than that, it kind of falls off in terms of high-end receivers. You've got Drake London, who's still underpriced. When Michael Penix has been a quarterback, the ball's just been a magnet to him. I think he's gotten – I think it's ten-plus targets in the three games that Penix is playing. Don't quote me on that. But he's only $7,000, another guy that's way too cheap.

35:19

But talk to me about this wide receiver position, starting with Puka Nacua. Yeah, I feel like Puka is just the B genre wideouts here. It's like both of them look great. People will play a lot of them together. Playing neither of them is a way to get different. And there are a lot of good plays on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. But man, Puka looks awesome here. And I'm kind of, I'm not going to be surprised if the Rams just roll here.

35:41

But they also haven't shown me enough where I'm just automatically assuming that Arizona can't compete. Brissette has been capable of, you know, keeping his team in games. They've got good weapons. So that could be a good thing for the Rams offense. Puka is the clear number one option. You know, I think that Drake London, you mentioned him looks really, really good after that. There are a lot of like mid tier wide out plays that look good today.

36:08

Um, You know, with Tyler Warren out, Keenan Allen all of a sudden pops like Josh Downs. The Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News definitely affects how each position looks and wide receiver might be the most prominent. You know, that doesn't even speak to guys like Jeremy, Jeremy Bernard and Xavier Worthy, who look really, really good. As always, a lot of good plays here. I think that if I'm like in each range, Puka is my favorite high end guy.

36:38

In the middle, I think London and Malik Nabers are the two top guys there. And then, man. Oh, man. Between Worthy, Concepcion, Jeremy, and then the Colts guys, I think they all look good. There's a lot of good wideout plays on this slate, man. And that's not even talking about any of the Bears. Go ahead. Yeah, no. Yeah, not even. I mean, I just filtered it by DraftKings salary. I mean, they're just loaded. Like, Hook is obviously a great spot. I love Chris Alave today.

37:06

He's $7,600 bucks. Ten plus targets in every game this year, except last Week against Minnesota, still had six in a down game. And that's just a different animal. Like, it's a different animal going up against the Vikings than any other defense. Now you get the no pass splits of the Giants. So give me some Chris Alave. I'm kind of out on Tet and Zay personally. Drake London a smash. All right, let me ask you this. This is a good one.

37:32

Garrett Wilson versus Braylon Allen. Total DraftKings points today. Braylon Allen easy. I mean, whenever you're not Christian Gonzalez, Christian Gonzalez is healthy. And that has not been a good matchup for Kara Wilson. So give me Braylon. Talking about a guy that went to school in your backyard. I know. I will say though. I do think they're like more positively CorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Read the full definition of Correlation than one would think. Cause I worry that the, that the Jets just can't move the ball like they did against the Bears.

38:02

And if that's the case, it can affect both. And if they can move the ball, they both can eat because if one's doing well, it should open up the other. You know what I mean? Yeah. No, I definitely get it. Yeah. Like if they run thirty two plays again, they're both going to be right. Yeah. And it's like if Wilson can't do anything, like if Gonzalez is just locking him down and they might struggle to run because they're not worried about Wilson.

38:25

Can can I think I think gone and they don't have Carlson Davis. So I wonder if if he's going to shadow today, which is he a shadow or he has shadowed Wilson and they have been shadowing him more. So, yeah. Man, that's going to be tough for me not to. I mean, I get it. Listen, Christian's probably one of the top three, if not top one, cornerbacks out there.

38:50

I did feel silly, not going to lie, last Week when I mentioned that with Denzel Ward. Like, Wilson ate his lunch for the first drive. He got there in the first drive alone. And Ward is really, really good. Ward is good. He caught that pass. It was wet and rainy. So, yeah, I mean, that's what I'm saying. Like catch a slant or catch a little drag or something like that. I do think Gonzalez is better than Ward.

39:12

And I think Ward is like real good, like a top five corner. But I think Gonzalez might be one or two with him and Sertain, the two guys. How do you have those projected? McDuffie.

39:21

Sixteen versus – and he's he's he's I think he's twelve hundred more dollars so it's it's not a true apples to apples yeah we got we got Wilson for one point five points more projected but he's also um he's also nine hundred more dollars so so yeah so I I totally get that um Malik neighbor $6,500 like I actually don't like Malik Nabers I mean he he doesn't run a lot of routes don't play a lot of snaps but When you get twenty four targets like it's hard to ignore that.

39:54

And it only $6,500 bucks to me. That's super tough. I know you mentioned him. Davante Adams is going to come in with like a fraction of the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership is as Puka. He's still way too cheap for a guy that's going to score or potentially score a lot of touchdowns. Man, you said it like let's go to some of the cheap ones. I mean, we could we could see all day and go through every single one of these receivers. But let's talk about the Bears receivers.

40:16

You mentioned them because I'm all over the Bears today. I love the Bears receivers. I put something on X earlier in the Week about Roma dunes a, but talk to me about these Bears receivers getting Caleb Williams back. Yeah. Bears look good here. They're cheap and a really good matchup. This game looks really good for tournaments. And I do think that Game StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack might be a little less prevalent today. Cause there's so many just good individual plays.

40:40

Like, if you game stack this game, you're not playing some of like, you're getting the Bijan obviously, but you're not playing Puka most Likely. And that's going to be a little bit of a ContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Read the full definition of Contrarian take. For me, it's hard to like shift between the Bears wideouts. They all look pretty good. None of them look great because of that. Odunze feels like he always leaves a lot to be desired. So Burden my favorite. Then probably Roam.

41:09

I like Loveland still as a Contrarian option. It's impossible. You can't trust him because he hasn't done anything, but I know there's something in there, and this could easily be the game environment for it. So, yeah, long-winded way of saying they're all in play for me. Our resident Villanova fan, Josh, what's going on, Josh? Five-ten versus six-two, and Wilson kind of dynamic and shifty, so that may be something. Hopefully Wilson gives them the business and Can move him out.

41:40

Yeah, definitely bigger corner, different player, but they're both really good. Man, I love Roma Dunzay today. I mean, you're talking about a guy that's running a hundred percent of the routes, a hundred percent route participation last Week in a game. They were down $4,900. Like if you if you if you take it out and just look at all the teams, Matt, like You got guys named Carnell Tate, Quinston Johnston, Dontavian Wicks, Devon Valle.

42:08

Like these dudes don't hold Roma Dunzey's jockstrap. And Roma Dunzey, $4,900, like in this matchup, in this in this dome with his quarterback coming back with a dude that's I want dudes on the field. And Roma's going to be out there every snap and he's going to run every route. Roma Dunzey, man, I think I love him like I You know, I was all over Ollie Gordon, his fifty plus rushing yards. Like, give me Roma Dunzey to go over.

42:35

Give me Roma Dunzey's ladder today as well. Like, I just think he cuts up. That's way too cheap of a price. What do we have him OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership at? Eight. No, eight percent, nine percent. I think I think it comes in higher than that. But I don't know. I love Roma Dunzey today. I love it. I mean, I like that call a lot, so I'm with it. Maybe you just made it. Yeah, I'm in it. I'm in on it. A couple more.

43:05

You talked about the Browns receivers with Deshaun Watson. Concepcion took a nasty hit. He said it was legal. You know, Minka Fitzpatrick went to Alabama, so he probably plays a little dirty. I didn't actually see it, so I can't comment on it. But Concepcion said it was clean, so he's back. Boston or Concepcion today? I'm going to, I mean, I know, I think I know what you're going to say. Cause he's starting on dollars cheaper, but who you got between those two?

43:30

Oh man. I feel like I've liked Concepcion too much, but he's still going to be my answer here. Yeah. I mean, I just, I feel like they just make such a good effort. It's concerted effort to get him the ball. Boston's been so good though. Like it's really hard for me to have that strong take. So I don't have a strong take.

43:46

I don't, I mean, it's easier to play Concepcion because of the price and because he's kind of like a PPR scam guy, but yeah, The big play is clearly Boston. Yeah, he's the big play guy. You said it. They looked very good in their last home game against Pittsburgh. So I'm in on Concepcion at $4,200. One other one other receiver that I got that I got to pump up and hopefully talk you into some. It's gross, Matt.

44:11

So get a tissue ready, but not on the Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News any longer. The cheapest price he's been, Matt, in twenty plus games. We're going to ride that donkey. We're going to play $5,300 Ladd McConkey against this Chiefs team. Not on the injury report. They're going to be behind. He's going to be running the routes. You hate Ladd McConkey, but hopefully I can talk you into getting at least one share of some Ladd McConkey. I love Ladd McConkey today.

44:38

Any thoughts on Ladd McConkey? I definitely don't hate him, and I like the call. I mean, so cheap, right? Like that's about as cheap as – this might be the cheapest he'll ever be on DK. They're going to be throwing. He literally hasn't been this cheap in two years, Matt. Like he is – him and Odunze, I got to go build a team with him and Odunze because, man, Ladd McConkie. Don't forget Jaleel McLaughlin. Jaleel McLaughlin and Deshaun. Oh, baby, dog. We're going.

45:05

Well, no, not Deshaun because you got to play Cam Ward. Can't war, but yeah, I love Ladd McConkie. That's a dirt cheap price. Like you said, you're never going to get them at this cheap kind of play it before you see it type thing. I love him. Yeah. Last one. And I'll let you, and you mentioned him earlier, Jeremy Bernard. He's $4,000, Matt. And someone could put it in the chat.

45:27

I don't know if Friar Muth is active, but I mean, Jeremy Bernard, goodness gracious, like Eight targets last Week, I think, ran about eighty percent of the routes. Now you have no Roman Wilson, a beat up Friar Muth. I mean, when your boy A-Rod's talking him up. And he's dirt cheap. I mean, his price didn't come up that much. I mean, you know, can he get you fifteen? Possibly. Like, I know you like $4,000 Jeremy and Bernard.

45:53

How much do you like $4,000 Jeremy and Bernard? Enough. I mean. Man, I I'm torn because like, I do think now, especially with Tyler Warren out and the Browns guys, there are other viable plays that aren't going to get as much love. And so that makes me want to kind of scale back on Jeremy, but I do think he's the best of them. I mean, great role. We've seen the slot guy in this offense Excel. I mean, they drafted him with good equity.

46:26

So they like him. They're missing guys. But at OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, I don't love it as much as like I'm playing him. And yeah, you know, but like I'm going to make a couple of lineups after our show. And I don't think I'm going to play him in those. Not because I don't like him, but because there are other guys I now like almost as much. That'll be a lot lower owned. He's fourteen percent, which is high.

46:52

So I think that's like low, like in higher dollar stuff. He's going to be like twenty percent, you know. Yeah, and we didn't even touch on Xavier Worthy, and that's my fault, but he's $4,600 bucks. He's twenty one percent. But I feel about the same about him as I do, Jeremy. Yeah, it's like, man, like, who are they going to? They have literally nobody to throw it to. Someone's talking Royals. I'm not I'm assuming that's not the Kansas City Royals.

47:15

And it's this character for the for the Chiefs like. Does Mahomes – does Andy Reid, Mahomes, trust that guy? Why not give it to Kenneth Walker thirty times in this game and just get out of there with a dub? But, yeah, I'm lower on Worthy. Sounds like you are as well. I mean, I don't want to say I'm lower on him. I'm just kind of indifferent. Like, I'm playing him also because I think the value is there.

47:39

But I'm not going to be shocked if he duds. And I do think now there are better ways to get away from him. Yeah. All right. Any other receivers – you want to touch on? I guess the Bills guys, like depending on DJ more, which I think we haven't projected as out right now, which makes me like a key on Coleman, you know, Shakir, it's still hard to know exactly who it is, but Coleman look good. So I think he would be my favorite.

48:06

Yeah. Coleman's up there. I like, I like Shakir a little bit caught that. I think he had three for ad on Monday night. Don't really score many touchdowns and doesn't play a whole lot, but yeah, it's like you said, it's tough with those, uh, It's tough with those Bills receivers. And nobody else I want to touch on either. We can move over to tight end, which to me tight end seems a little bit harder this Week.

48:29

And the reason I say that is you have Brock Bowers at $7,500 bucks. And we talked about all the expensive guys who want to play. He's a monster. Bills give it up on defense. Like, how do you fit him in? It's tough. Trade McBride $7,200 bucks. That's getting up there in price. Then it falls off a cliff.

48:46

All the way down to $5,500 on on on Travis Kelley, who's another guy that's cheaper on FanDuel than he is on DK, which is an anomaly. But let's talk like we do. I feel like every Week. How are you playing these these top two guys? Brock Bowers and Trey McBride. Yeah, I think if I'm playing one lineup, I probably am not playing either of them, even though I do think that Bowers in particular is still too cheap. I mean, we've talked about this a bunch.

49:15

I was on him the first Week he was back at really low OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, and his price has risen, but it's going to keep rising. So I like him, especially if you're playing pieces from that game. He's clearly the top piece of Vegas. Um, you know, oddly enough, the Bills are pretty good against tight ends, but they're not good against slot receivers. And he, he's not even a tight end. Really. He plays most of his snaps out of the slot. So yeah.

49:38

And on Bowers, obviously McBride is sneaky. Cause I think he's much lower owned. And I do think there's some like, you know, incentive to get him the rock after he was pouting last Week. So people are convinced Arizona can't keep up. Well, one way they can is with Nick bride. So kind of like him more than the field. And then Kelley, I mean, we, you know, we're dropping down a tier, but you talked about who are the Chiefs going to throw to Kelley.

50:03

Yep. Yeah, Cam Curl, I believe it was, and Trey McDuffie are both questionable for the Rams, so something to monitor. I know there are DBs and safeties and may not get McBride, but yeah, McBride, for those of y'all that don't remember, he was complaining about getting double teamed, and Jacobs was like, hey, man, they're double teaming you and Michael Wilson. I don't even know how it's possible to double team two dudes, so I'm not going to force it.

50:28

Then he had a Houdini catch to kind of get him there late, so... Yeah, Travis Kelley, then what about the second tier? And you talked about – or I talked about Nabers a little bit earlier getting those twenty-four targets. I mean, it's two dudes. It's Nabers and then it's Likely. And, you know, if you're banking on twenty from Isaiah Likely in the fourth quarter again, like then I say you definitely click his name.

50:49

If you're not banking on twenty points in the fourth quarter from Isaiah Likely, then for me it's an easier fade in tournaments. How are you playing this second tier starting with Dalton Kincaid over on DraftKings? I feel like I really only want Kincaid himself in Bills or stacks of that game. Likely looks like the top option there, but he's going to be really high-owned. Yeah. He's an easy favorite. I get it. Yeah.

51:16

I will say I feel kind of bad about it because last Week we didn't like him either, and he nuked. No, you actually mentioned him, and I kind of poo-pooed on him. I mean, like I said, you need a shootout for those guys to do well because – I mean, Harbaugh's going to activate four running backs. They just want to ground and pound. So, man, that's a tough click. I wrote up over on the site, I wrote up Jawan Johnson, $4,500.

51:44

You like the Saints a lot. That makes sense. Yeah, so I love me some Shuck, like Shuck, Nabers, Johnson, Alave stacks. Like, yeah, you're obviously different right there than you can jam in the studs. I'm super high on Colson Loveland as well. He's $4,300 bucks. You said he's got it in there. We're talking about like a second, third, maybe a fourth round best ball pick earlier in the year. Obviously hasn't done it yet.

52:09

And like we joke on these shows, like if you tell me the Bears score fifty nine points again, are you going to play Colston Loveland? The absolutely the answer is absolutely yes. And not put up a zero again. How are you? How are you playing Colston Loveland today? I like him in bear stacks, but that's about it. I mean, you're kind of just praying and wishing at this point, but it's tournaments and he's got upside. So that's how I feel about him.

52:33

Tight end is super thin for me today. Like there's not a lot of good names down there. You're just going to have to click and find any other tight ends that you want to talk about. One other really cheap guy I think you can look at is Charlie Kolar. You know, dirt cheap, min price. They're going to be throwing. You could do worse. I don't love the position either if you're not Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up. So we feel the same way there.

52:54

And Kohler, you know, had a, what, a twenty-yard catch on the very first play of the game last Week and then had fumble ruski, had the fumble ruski-itis and did not, I don't know if he caught another pass after that. It wasn't many because they looked super bad. All right, we're done with tight end. We're going to get on out of here with defense. Defense is tough, Matt, this Week for me. I got a couple that I like. I was on the forty-Niners last Week.

53:15

Loved them at $2,400 bucks. They cut up top defense. And I think I got another one. But talk to me about these defenses. How are you attacking these defenses? Yeah, I don't love defense on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate and mainly because my favorite one is the Chiefs. So Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up on them doesn't feel amazing, but I do like them here. So they're my top dog. I don't have a strong defensive take. It's kind of like whoever fits for me. How about you?

53:37

Give me something. Yeah, so we'll talk. I'll call them an expensive, expensive team that I like. Yeah. And you, you, you kind of alluded to it and it does scare me a little bit that they've quit, but man, this Philadelphia Eagles defense, $3,000. They are fully healthy. Jalen Carter there. Zach Bond is there. We know about that secondary with Quinn Young Mitchell. Like they're going up against the Carolina Panthers. His offensive line has been beat up.

54:09

Listen to the Carolina Panthers, like opponents, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, um, I forget who else they play, but they haven't faced a defense like this. And that's why the Panthers are getting some OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. Bryce Young's like five, ten, five, eleven at best. I just think that this Eagles defense just gets out. They just get after the quarterback. You saw it last Week in London against Jacksonville. Like, man, I love me some some Eagles today. A fully healthy Eagles defense. I love that call.

54:39

I'm about it. Can't wait to go make some lineups and use them. Yeah, them and then like the Burks are going to be super expensive. I don't love that. I'll have some. And then the Panthers are going to be super popular too, Matt. Panthers, $2,500. They got priced with Jalen Hurts in the lineup. And then, yeah, I'll see some Browns.

55:00

I'll give you one more, Matt, that's kind of gross, and I'm going to play devil's advocate as opposed to what you said and kind of Nate said earlier, but I think Tyler Warren out is very bad for the Colts as it relates to the run game, as it relates to protecting Daniels Jones. I talk about it every Week. The Titans are a bad franchise. They're a bad football team, but they are very good up front, and it starts with Jeffrey Simmons, so...

55:24

I think at $2,300, $3,100 on FanDuel that this Titans team is dangerous, especially in tournaments. I mean, maybe, but I don't think it's because Warren is out. Like, why would Warren being out, like, make them all of a sudden a good spot, a good play here? Well, I think it's just one. I mean, I think he's very good in the run game. He's obviously very good. He's definitely a cog in their machine.

55:46

Like, they're going to miss him, to your point. I just – listen, I'm kind of grasping at Trost for defense, too, so I'll take it. And maybe you're right here. Maybe, like, they were expecting him to play. I'll lean into it. Yeah, and they're $2,300 bucks, right? I'm not asking them to – True. And low on. Yeah, low on. So you stack Cam with his defense, no bringbacks, no receivers, and then you're off to the races. All right. All right, Matt. That'll do it for the show.

56:17

Appreciate each and every one of you tuning in, all the comments. It was a great show. I'm going to go ahead. My play of the day, Matt, Roma Dunze. I love Roma Dunze. He's just way too cheap. Forty to a hundred. Bet is over. Bet is ladders. And when the smoke settles and the dust clears, Matt, who is the one guy that's going to be on your roster to bring you home? That's a good question. Man.

56:42

You said the Texans defense last Week, and they were the nuts, by the way. Yeah um I don't want to say someone like too popular here so we're gonna go with Tanner McKee Tanner McKee, we just had Travis Hunter, got a touchback in the end zone. We got a ball game to go watch. We got thirty minutes to go build our lineups. That'll do it for us. Appreciate everyone you tune in. Tune in tonight at six thirty p.m.

57:08

Eastern Standard Time when my boy Nades and I take you home with the Sunday Sweat Down. For my guy Matt, I'm Ham. Good luck in those contests. We'll see you at the top of the leaderboards. Just ship it.

Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 2:38Quarterbacks: Allen, Stafford and Williams
  3. 4:51Cheap Quarterbacks and Contrarian Stacks
  4. 13:05Stud Running Backs and Pivots off Bijan
  5. 18:12How Much Do Contrarian Pivots Need to Outscore Chalk?
  6. 21:35Revisiting Deshaun Watson and Kirk Cousins
  7. 25:33Midrange Running Backs and Kyren Williams Chalk
  8. 28:36Browns Backfield Without Judkins
  9. 31:43Stevenson, Irving and Pollard
  10. 34:33Wide Receivers: Puka, London and Midrange Options
  11. 40:14Bears Receivers and Game Stacks
  12. 45:20Value Receiver Ownership and Alternatives
  13. 48:25Tight End Spend-Ups and Tournament Pivots
  14. 53:08Defense Picks and Salary Savers
  15. 56:21Final Plays of the Day

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