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CFB DFS Week 11 Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Aired Fri Nov 13, 2026 Hosts CFB DFS Week 11 Saturday Slate: Bill Runtime 1:37:45 Chapters 17 Views 1,405

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Saturday, November 14 CFB slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

The Short Version

Bill, Kenny and Ian break down Saturday's Week 11 slate, with Cincinnati-Iowa State the favorite game to stack and expensive running backs driving roster construction. Aiden Flora ($8,500) projects as major chalk in a strong matchup, while DeSean Bishop ($8,700) gets a workload boost with Daune Morris unavailable. Cole Tabb offers a lower-owned alternative in the same salary range, and Malachi Henry provides receiving value with J.V. Gibson out.

Carlos Hernandez ($8,200) has enough target volume and ceiling to justify sacrificing a second expensive running back, although fitting the Wake Forest-SMU game is difficult. Arizona State supplies an affordable stack through Jake Fette, Cardae Mack and Reed Harris. Lee Beebe Jr. and Walker Lyons stand out as salary relief. Miami double stacks remain viable without Malachi Toney, while the Michigan-Oregon game draws little interest outside Jamari Johnson.

FadesKendrick RaphaelRyan Coleman-WilliamsRico ScottVanderbiltTexas A&MMissouriRaiden Vines-BrightChase HinshawBrandon Smith

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
VALUE At $4,200, his probable status and expanded opportunity without J.V. Gibson provide inexpensive access to the Cincinnati passing game. 5:02
CHALK His versatile usage and Iowa State's shootout potential make him a candidate to be the highest-owned player on the slate. 6:18
ONE-OFF He can be played without an Iowa State receiver or paired only with a Cincinnati opponent because the receiving distribution remains muddled. 7:06
LEVERAGE An elite matchup against poor tackling and potential for increased receiving work make him appealing below the ownership of nearby expensive running backs. 7:55
Cincinnati-Iowa State Game Stack TOP STACK The favorite game environment supports playing three pieces from each side, including both quarterbacks and both running backs. 8:48
The $5,300 salary and Miami's relative vulnerability through the air make him interesting, but the passing distribution and confidence in his ability remain concerns. 10:44
VALUE At $4,300, his 12-target performance without Malachi Toney makes him a strong inexpensive receiving option. 12:26
His workload and receiving upside keep him viable at $9,200, but the difficult matchup produces different views on using him versus other expensive backs. 16:15
Darian Mensah Double Stack IN PLAY A Miami double stack is in play, with Cooper Barkate and Elijah Lofton supplying established production and Isaiah Upshaw offering another pairing option. 17:13
LEVERAGE His snap volume and opportunities make him a preferred contrarian Miami receiver after the production went to other pass catchers last week. 17:13
Mark Fletcher Jr. + Darian Mensah UNDERWEIGHT Avoid pairing Fletcher with Mensah in the proposed rushing-touchdown build, using Fletcher with Elijah Lofton instead. 17:40
CHALK At $7,500 with a clean skill-position injury report, he could be the slate's most popular quarterback. 19:51
Carlos Hernandez PAY UP His potential for a 50-point game against SMU justifies sacrificing a second expensive running back to fit his $8,200 salary. 23:12
Gio Lopez + Ty Clark III + Carlos Hernandez IN PLAY The three-player Wake Forest combination is viable even in single-entry or qualifier builds, with Clark's workload potentially increasing in a competitive game. 23:38
ONE-OFF He can be played without an SMU receiver because the passing production is spread around and the receivers now cost more. 24:27
FADE The salary requires production his committee workload does not support, with cheaper backups preferred for a speculative shot. 24:27
ONE-OFF Playing him without Jeremiah Smith is acceptable to preserve salary for running backs, with a double stack also available. 31:41
ONE-OFF The increased receiving workload, including nine targets and seven catches last week, creates interest alongside his rushing role. 32:03
Keelon Russell + Lotzeir Brooks IN PLAY The pairing is reserved for a few 150-max lineups, while Russell is otherwise preferred without a receiver because touchdowns are spread around. 38:53
FADE The proposed Alabama exposure passes on him in favor of Russell alone or occasional pairings with Lotzeir Brooks. 38:53
FADE The proposed Alabama exposure passes on him despite his playing time, with Lotzeir Brooks the only receiver retained for occasional stacks. 38:53
Vanderbilt FADE There is no interest in the offense, with other expensive options preferred over Junior Sherrill. 39:15
Texas A&M FADE The offense is rejected because the quarterback and skill players are unreliable and Mario Craver continues getting hurt. 44:09
PAY UP At $8,700, the projected 30-touch workload and touchdown opportunity make him an expensive running back to fit into cash builds. 45:59
Missouri FADE The offense is avoided against Georgia's surging defense, with little expectation of a productive scoring environment. 50:11
The $6,600 salary could be badly underpriced if his workload returns, but his limited snaps after injury prevent a firm endorsement. 55:26
LEVERAGE His renewed rushing production and expected low ownership make him appealing without a receiver in a game where he should play throughout. 59:41
VALUE At $3,700, his expanding receiving role and team-leading targets provide useful savings with another BYU receiver doubtful. 1:01:18
DJ Lagway + Walker Lyons IN PLAY The cross-game pairing offers Lagway's rushing upside and Lyons' inexpensive receiving role without paying for a full game stack. 1:01:18
LEVERAGE His potential for 30 touches and contributions as a runner, receiver and passer make him appealing if more expensive backs suppress his ownership. 1:02:57
FADE His disappearing offensive role removes the interest in using him. 1:04:02
LEVERAGE His return to rushing and Arizona State's road defensive struggles create a possible lower-owned quarterback option at $7,200. 1:04:02
FADE The $5,600 salary is rejected for a receiver with only one catch despite the possibility of additional playing time. 1:05:34
VALUE At $6,000, he is substantially cheaper than other leading receivers, although Arizona State's wildcat packages have reduced his recent targets. 1:06:21
Jake Fette + Cardae Mack + Reed Harris TOP STACK The affordable three-player Arizona State combination is strongly endorsed, with multiple ways for its players to contribute offensively. 1:06:21
USC's vulnerability to tight ends and his recent targets are noted, but there is explicitly no recommendation to play him. 1:14:48
Indiana Stack + Mark Bowman BRING-BACK Use Bowman as the USC opponent with an Indiana build containing Lee Beebe Jr. or Josh Hoover rather than playing him independently. 1:15:39
Josh Hoover + Lee Beebe Jr. + Charlie Becker IN PLAY An Indiana onslaught is worth including in some higher-stakes builds in case the offense breaks out after its bye. 1:16:17
VALUE At $5,100, he is an elite salary-saving option with Turbo Richard unavailable and Indiana likely to emphasize the ground game. 1:16:40
ONE-OFF He is the preferred Oregon receiving piece at $4,100 after nine targets, while the other receivers are expensive and have uncertain snap distributions. 1:20:41
FADE The poor game environment prevents taking a shot this week despite interest in his talent and recent production. 1:22:16
His expanded rushing and receiving role makes $6,700 reasonable, but efficiency and ceiling concerns limit enthusiasm. 1:22:16
VALUE At $3,000, his season-high 53 snaps and outside-receiver matchup provide a potential inexpensive late-game option. 1:27:59
Goal-line usage and a depleted backfield create interest, but the discussion questions whether punting running back can supply enough raw points. 1:28:50
The $6,600 salary and improving rushing production are acceptable, but the game draws limited enthusiasm and no strong commitment. 1:29:23
Ashton Daniels + Houston Running Back For Friday's slate, this combination is tentatively preferred to Conner Weigman paired with Florida State running back Amari Thomas. 1:33:36

DFS Terms Used on This Show

SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate▶ Said at 0:41 Best BallBest ball is a draft-only fantasy format. You draft a full roster once, with no trades, waivers or start and sit decisions, and each week your highest-scoring players at each position count automatically.Draft a few extra players at thin positions like quarterback and tight end. Without waivers, a single injury can leave you with an empty slot for the rest of the season.Read the full definition of Best Ball▶ Said at 1:12 Slate SizeSlate size is the number of games or matchups included in a DFS contest's schedule. In sports built around one event, it can instead describe the number of eligible competitors; it does not mean the number of contest entries.Before building, count the credible alternatives at each position. A slate with plenty of games can still leave you with very few appealing choices at one position.Read the full definition of Slate Size▶ Said at 2:54 Team TotalIn CFB DFS, a team total estimates a college team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It describes team scoring expectations, not how much production the starters will accumulate.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total▶ Said at 4:37 OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership▶ Said at 6:18 Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack▶ Said at 7:06 GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: usually only the top 20 to 25 percent of entries get paid, and a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP▶ Said at 8:19 Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up▶ Said at 9:12 ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections▶ Said at 16:15 LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage▶ Said at 17:13 Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News▶ Said at 19:25 Target ShareIn college football, target share is the same percentage of team targets, but it is often far more concentrated: many offenses send a third or more of their throws to one receiver or tight end.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share▶ Said at 22:07 Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry▶ Said at 23:38 CeilingCeiling is the high end of a player's or lineup's realistic range of fantasy scores. It describes a big performance that could happen when things go well, not the expected score or an absolute maximum.Describe what must happen for each player to have a huge game. Then check whether those conditions help or hurt the other players in your lineup.Read the full definition of Ceiling▶ Said at 24:19 Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game▶ Said at 25:48 Flex and UTILFlex and UTIL (utility) are roster slots that accept players from multiple eligible positions. Eligibility depends on the sport and contest; in single-game formats, these labels commonly identify the regular-scoring slots alongside a Captain or MVP.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL▶ Said at 26:40 Bring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back▶ Said at 27:43 One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off▶ Said at 27:43 150-MaxA 150-max DFS contest allows you to submit up to 150 entries into that contest, paying the entry fee for each. Max entering means using every allowed entry, whether the contest limit is 150 or a smaller number.Multiply the entry fee by your planned entry count before building. If you cannot justify additional lineups on their own merits, leave the remaining entries unused.Read the full definition of 150-Max▶ Said at 31:07 ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value▶ Said at 37:10 Lineup LockLineup lock is the deadline after which you cannot change your selected players. Without late swap, your entire lineup locks together; with late swap, which allows edits after the contest begins, players lock at their games' listed deadlines.After saving an edit, reopen your entered lineups and confirm the change reached every intended entry. Check the site's displayed lock times and time zone instead of relying on the television schedule.Read the full definition of Lineup Lock▶ Said at 41:31 Mini-StackIn CFB DFS, a mini-stack is a small group of players with connected scoring opportunities, often opposing skill players outside your main quarterback stack. Its value depends on each offense's pace, player roles and likely game flow.Before locking a pair, describe how both players reach big scores together. Then ask whether that outcome would make an omitted quarterback or teammate difficult to beat.Read the full definition of Mini-Stack▶ Said at 1:01:18 Pass FunnelA pass funnel is a football defense that encourages opponents to throw because passing offers a better matchup than running. It is typically stronger against the run than the pass, but extra passing does not guarantee success.Check opponent strength and passing rates when scores are close. Repeatedly facing pass-heavy offenses or teams chasing a deficit can make a defense look like a funnel without revealing a dependable matchup advantage.Read the full definition of Pass Funnel▶ Said at 1:32:57

Full Transcript

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0:10

Let's go. Clear your lift off.

0:41

What's going on everybody and happy Friday the thirteenth to all who recognize it or if you're watching this on Saturday before the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate locks congratulations on making it through Friday the thirteenth what's going on everybody my name is Bill put a dollar in front of it you'll find me on Twitter slash x here with me as always my good friends kenny and ian aka ham hock and I am Robbins what's going on guys a big Week eleven ahead Yeah, you know, college football, I can't believe we're already in Week eleven.

1:12

It's crazy to think, but we certainly still a lot to be decided this college football season. Lots of big questions, lots. Hopefully it starts getting some answers, but I can't believe this Week eleven already. That's crazy. Yeah, season's definitely flown. Best BallBest ball is a draft-only fantasy format. You draft a full roster once, with no trades, waivers or start and sit decisions, and each week your highest-scoring players at each position count automatically.Draft a few extra players at thin positions like quarterback and tight end. Without waivers, a single injury can leave you with an empty slot for the rest of the season.Read the full definition of Best Ball playoffs start this Week, so looking forward to that and on on top of sweating DFS lineup so ready to get into it should be a fun Week.

1:39

Yeah, and also worth noting today that we will be talking about none of our favorite teams, which, looking at the last few weeks, probably good for our mental health. We can move on from what's happened. You know, we got the Gophers on the night slate, Florida on the FanDuel slate. I didn't even look to see what Nebraska's doing this Week. My apologies. We're going on the road to Rutgers as two touchdown favorites. Ooh, tough, tough.

2:03

With a bunch of defensive players out, so it should be interesting. All right. So let's talk Ship It Nation. Here we go. All right there. I got it. And I want to bring this up specifically to Because we got Belkey with a comment in the chat. Let's have another Week like last weekend. Last weekend, the college football streets, Ship It Nation crushed. It was a great Week for Ship It Nation. Had some big winners. Almost took down the five, five, five.

2:30

Ian, I know you were sniffing that as well. But we still had multiple ships, a couple of five-digit hits. Just an awesome Week at the Nation. You'll see a couple of them if you follow us on Twitter. And if you want to get involved, man, just – Twelve dollars a month. If you want Sabre with it, it's nineteen dollars a month for college football right now. Test the waters. We still got a few big weeks left. Plus, we have the college football playoffs.

2:54

So there's going to be some Slate SizeSlate size is the number of games or matchups included in a DFS contest's schedule. In sports built around one event, it can instead describe the number of eligible competitors; it does not mean the number of contest entries.Before building, count the credible alternatives at each position. A slate with plenty of games can still leave you with very few appealing choices at one position.Read the full definition of Slate Size in December and January as well. Or if you want to try every sport. I mean, it's not that much to get everything you need. Get access to all of the sports. SaberSim, the Discord, which is super important. The trade deadline for the NFL was super fun in Discord. I mean, even aside from Dailey Fantasy Sports, it's a great community.

3:14

But obviously for the DFS side too, we have a lot of good discussions, not just about plays, but about process, about education. And especially the tilt once we get past Locke, which is, I mean, misery loves company, right? If you have those guys that are breaking your lineups, you know you're not alone. So let's get to the stone this Week. Ship It Nation members may have noticed a new and improved stone page. Actually, I saw this for the first time today.

3:48

So you look at the stone. Oh, I want to know about the guys in the Baylor-BYU game. Click it. It just takes you right there. Oh, I forgot how much Donovan Aluba did. I stumbled over his last name. If I could talk. Oh, click his name, takes you right there. He's $5,700. Great. And then obviously we still have the PDF download. You can download it into an Excel sheet. But the new feature and you can see it scrolling along with me.

4:14

As we go. So you'll notice that throughout the show if you have eyes on it. If you're just listening in, that's great too. Either way, hit that like button. If you're listening to us in podcast form, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, iHeart, wherever you find us. We appreciate those five-star reviews and recommendations as well. But let's get into college football with what looks like a banger of a game. Big boy total, Cincinnati at Ohio Staten.

4:37

Based on my numbers, the total has gone down a couple points throughout the Week, but it's still in the upper fifties. Both teams with an applied Team TotalIn CFB DFS, a team total estimates a college team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It describes team scoring expectations, not how much production the starters will accumulate.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total over twenty seven and a half on the Cincinnati side. J.C. French just feels underpriced in a matchup against Iowa Staten, who if you watch Iowa Staten this year, you know, they give up points. A cold tab. $8,100 been banged up, but it looks like he's probable and just been mashing lately.

5:02

And I don't see any different here with with this matchup. It's not a super difficult travel. I'm not worried about the cold because they both live in the cold. And he's just a stellar play, even at $8,100 and honestly may go overlooked just by the nature of the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. J.V. Gibson is out. Malachi Henry. Coming off of a solid game. And he is also upgraded to probable. So he's in a great spot for some value at $4,200.

5:29

We think he's going to go now, but if he wouldn't, obviously even more value in this wide receiver room. There is typically concern when your number one receiver goes down. Is that going to impact the passing game overall? Malachi Henry's game last Week kind of eased that a little bit. And then on the Iowa Staten side, you want a cheaper quarterback in a good spot. Jalen Rainer, $7,300.

5:52

It's just the quarterback, quarterbacks this Week, there's a lot of mid-tier and cheap options that are going to bounce, not bounce, but jump out at you. Floor at $8,500 CMC two point. Oh, he's kind of living up to that name. He's always live for explosion. And then the wider receivers are interesting. Cody Jackson out. Light has shown some upside. Hayes is obviously still out there. Kenny, we'll start with you with this one. How are you looking at this game?

6:18

A massive point total. A lot of different ways you can build both sides of the ball. Yeah, probably getting my favorite game of the slate to start off. We've seen both of these teams getting some absolute shootouts, especially Iowa Staten. I mean, I know they've had at least two games where both teams have scored forty points. And that's, I mean, part of the reason why Aiden Flores is the highest, probably going to be the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership player on the slate this Week.

6:44

He's just in a really, really good spot. He's used in a variety of different ways. I don't really need to say a ton, but him and Rainer in great spots. With Cody Jackson being out this Week, this receiver room's still going to be muddled, but one guy I kind of looked at was Malcolm Watkins. He's a true freshman. His snaps have started to pick up the last two weeks, and he plays the same position as Cody Jackson.

7:06

Um, if you wanted, if you needed a cheap punt in a Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack, I don't mind taking a shot on him. Um, that's, that's like a one-fifty type build onslaught, but he's, uh, he's somebody I kind of looked at that's, um, unique. If you wanted to take a stand, you can play Rainer by himself for sure. Or you can play Rainer with just a Cincinnati guy if you wanted to. And Rainer and totally fine together this Week.

7:30

Um, the Cincinnati side, um, I can't believe I'm saying this because I've kind of been out on cold tab from a volume perspective all year. But I think that he's in just such an elite spot this Week. He was getting I think an uptick in volume to where I wouldn't surprise me if he got twenty touches. He averages over nine yards a touch. I mean, that's pushing two hundred scrimmage yards if he gets that kind of upside.

7:55

Iowa Staten has the worst tackle grade on the slate. And in the nation on PFF, I mean, they're like ten points below Florida Atlantic. So I mean, that just screams cold tab with Gibson being out French love throw into these running backs. He threw a touchdown to pay or tab and Perry a couple of weeks ago. I think whole tab is just in an elite spot and he's not going to Garner much ownership with floor around him.

8:19

There's a couple other papers we'll talk about in the case that are going to get more ownership than tab. It's an elite spot in an elite game for in my opinion, especially in GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: usually only the top 20 to 25 percent of entries get paid, and a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP. Henry, I think, is really great. Fenner plays the slot specifically, so I don't think he gets an uptick as much from Gibson being out as Henry would. Gavin Grover played all the tight end snaps for the first time this year. That's really, really deep dart throws.

8:48

You can onslaught like I don't mind playing three from each side in this game and you still have a lot of salary even if you play both these quarterbacks and both these running backs to do other stuff. But yeah, what a banger to start out the slate for sure. Yeah, you said a lot of great things there. I really agree with you. This Iowa Staten game has been producing points like crazy. They're really susceptible on the ground.

9:12

I'm really interesting to see what happens with Cincinnati on the receiver side. JC French is a guy that can run the ball. I know Tab's volume has been down. He's been so explosive. I feel the same way about him. He's going to get overlooked because of what you said. You know, there's just a lot of guys in the in the $8,000 Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up range at running back that are that are solid volume wise that we might not see, including Flora on the other side.

9:33

So I'm just curious if French does open up with his legs a little bit more and runs the ball. And then, you know, Henry stepping in, you know, led the team in catches last Week after Gibson, who was that definite one, a alpha getting hurt, makes a really nice spot to get some salary there at receiver. The other side floor is in the smash spot. He's been really good all year.

9:58

You know, just touchdown volume, everything in the team total is in the thirties. It's hard to ignore Rainer. It's been up and down, but stats wise, he's a dual threat. He puts up points and, and, Both these teams have shown have, have had massive games scored against them and they both exploded for massive games offensively as well. So it's going to be really interesting set up with the first game on the slate here. Yeah.

10:20

And I mentioned Iowa state being good at giving up points. Cincinnati is also very good at giving up points. So it's setting up for a shootout and I mean, We've definitely seen some of these games set up really well and then not come to fruition. However, with these two teams, it does seem less Likely than normal. As we move on to the next game, get your questions in the chat. Questions, comments, concerns, compliments, qualms, emphasis on the compliments.

10:44

But we'll take questions as well, I suppose. Looking at Duke at Miami. Big spread Miami at home, even without their star player, like that they're the better football team here. I need you to get you guys to talk me off of Walker. You get at $5,300. I'm not in love with him. I need to put that out there right there. But when you attack Miami, it's usually through the air.

11:06

I think I don't think Walker gets that great at football, to be completely honest. And maybe it's just because he hasn't had the chance with Nate Sheppard being the best running one of the best running backs in the nation, just eating such a heavy workload. Again, I just want to attack Miami through the air. The problem is, like, I would want to play Egett naked or, like, double stack, I think.

11:27

Just this passing game, if you do pull the trigger, the wide receiver room is like old SMU, but the C-minus version. It just, you don't know who's going to get the targets. They might all get four targets and three catches in this game. You just got to find the touchdowns. But Sheppard, even at $9,200 with his volume, is still playable. On the Miami side, Malachi Toney's obviously out. You know, other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how is the play sort of situation?

11:53

Mensah, still a good QB. And he still has a solid wide receiver core. So even at $9,500, I mean, I don't love the price tag, just the nature of this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, but I still think it's gettable, especially he's got cheap wide receivers to outside a barcade who warrants his price. Elijah Lofton had twelve targets, one hundred and ten yards. And one touchdown last Week. One. I don't understand the argument that he got the second touchdown. I don't think it was close.

12:26

It wasn't the officials either. It's the rule. Don't hate the officials. Hate the rule. But anyway, Elijah Lofton at .å››ty-three hundred is a banger of a play this Week. Upshaw has upside for sure just because he's going to be on the field. It's really Bar-Kate and Lofton. Or... Do we just see them feed Fletcher and Mallory the entire game? That is entirely possible as well. It hasn't been Miami's M.O. They typically throw the ball quite a bit.

12:50

Even when they got these big leads, they were throwing to Tony in the second half. Now, was that to get Tony to the Heisman ceremony? Are they going to shift there? All discussions that are warranted and an internal debate that a lot of us are going to have to have, Ian. It's really, I mean, it's really the Miami side and Sheppard if you break it down simply, but what are you looking at in this?

13:11

Yeah, well, you said it like one of the Heisman thing. So were they trying to push Tony to the Heisman maybe, but now they try to push Mensah to the Heisman. Maybe that as well. Could be. Shepard, he's tough. You know how many touchdowns Sheppard has had in the last two weeks? Count them. You almost need two full hands to count. Eight touchdowns in the last two weeks. This is on top of when he was warranted as a ten-k price tag.

13:37

The problem is now they're big, big underdogs. So it's a much tougher spot, obviously, against Miami. Will he get his? Maybe. How is Miami going to bounce back off that big loss last Week? Was it a big loss? It was probably a more meaningful win for Notre Dame than a big loss for Miami. They just lose the undefeated tag. So what the refocus is, but I look for a couple storylines here in this game as a refocusing point.

14:00

On the tour of the transfer portal, Darian Mensah, Cooper Barnett, they were at Duke last year. They were the ACC champs for Duke last year. Now they are, of course, a lot higher paid on the other side of the sideline here. And then also, It's always interesting when Miami plays Duke now because Manny Diaz is the coach of Duke, former coach of Miami.

14:19

There's just a lot of connection between the two programs right now that we see, especially with Benza and Barca, Manny Diaz. Just all of that kind of intertwined, connected, makes it a little bit like You know, you expect Miami's best effort. You expect Cristobal to have their best effort in a response just to cement their spot at the top of the ACC. And, you know, maybe get Mensah back in that Heisman conversation. But, yeah, you said it with Lofton and Barcade.

14:46

Barcade is one of the, you know, top kind of mid-tier Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up options at receiver. Lofton is in a great spot. I mean, he was really good as a freshman. And now we saw that step up without Tony. I have... No reason to believe that it won't be the same way. It was one, a one B with bar Kate and Lofton towards the end of the games. They were trying to come back and Lofton, such a good athlete at tight end. Really good.

15:06

They haven't really been a running team like they were last year. It's been kind of, playing the ball through Mensah arm, and it goes to Barkate, obviously, with his connection there. And it goes, that last Week showed it went through a lot through Lofton. I'm going to lay off the Duke side. You know, as good as Sheppard is, I think there's just better game scenarios at payoff spots for running backs.

15:26

It's, you know, maybe if you're building out one fifty, of course, Sheppard is good enough that he could explode. And he's one of the best players in college football. And he's just been an absolute terror. So we'll see what happens there. But I don't mind. You know, it's expensive to get to Stacky Miami. But Mensah, even at $9,500, I don't mind that.

15:46

I can see him really putting up a big, big, big time cricket number in this kind of response, rebuild, you know, revenge game, whatever you want to call it, and going through Arcaden often. Yeah, this game, I mean, this is a game that I definitely want to think through some more. I mean, you guys have definitely got me thinking.

16:05

I'm not gonna lie, Bill, I thought you were kind of trolling it when you brought up Walker Eget, but I do kind of get where you're coming from. You do make some good points.

16:15

I guess for me on the duke side like duke has been kicking the out of teams these last couple games and it's not like these are you know top teams in the acc but I mean when you're winning when you're blowing out other p four teams I think that counts for a lot and I think this team's probably playing a little better um nate shepherd of been back and forth on him but I just think and we haven't really seen it the last Week two weeks because we haven't needed it but the receiving upside that he provides to I I still think he's fine at $9,200 this game has enough total and duke's ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections

16:48

Enough points that like I I think he is viable and I think he's probably a pretty good gpv play he's kind of in a cold tab place where the guys around them are going to have more OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership I mean both of them will carry some but um I think that's kind of a sneaky spot the receiver room You know, I guess, you know, you talk about Perry Walker. Solomon had an okay game last Week. Hasley's kind of been consistent. But overall, it's just Nate Sheppard.

17:13

And the Miami side, I think I'm going to play very specifically. Like, it's going to be a Mensah double. I probably honestly probably have all three of them kind of prefer Upshaw just with the LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. He was out there the most snaps. He had enough heart. He just didn't capitalize like parkade and Lofton did. But what I'm kind of interested in to see, I mean, obviously there's a case for men. They can throw the ball, do whatever.

17:40

It might be regular season mark fletcher time here a little bit like I'm going to definitely play some I'm not going to play him with any mensa I don't mind like a fletcher and Lofton like just as like that's where all the touchdowns go or something but I'm going to play Miami to like either they're going to throw for five touchdowns or fletcher's going to fall in the end zone like three times and Lofton gets one or something like that's where mensa and the whole passing game kind of fails besides these cheap guys but The more I think about this game, it's pretty interesting.

18:11

I wish Duke had a better quarterback than Walker Egan, dang it. But I wish he does. Yeah, certainly. Duke goes as their running game goes, and Miami gets got by the passing game. So it's kind of a clash of how you want to attack that by way of do you trust one side or the other. I'm going to trust the team that's undefeated in the conference. But this game does have conference championship implications.

18:36

Duke's a two-loss team right now in the ACC. I mean, if Miami loses to Boston College or Virginia Tech, this would give Duke the tiebreaker. But we can stop talking about fairy tales and move on to one that has much higher implications when it comes to the ACC championship. Michael Miller in the chat saying, let's get it. Now, there is a disconnect between some of our Discord names and some of the names on YouTube. But I believe Mr.

19:01

Miller had a huge Week last Week, if I'm making the right connection. It's a very common name. But I believe that's the Mikhael Miller that had a big Week in the college football streets at Ship It Nation last weekend. Massive weekend, man. Shout out there. Shout out there. Massive. Yeah. Yeah, for sure. It was awesome. Awesome seeing that. Wake at SMU. I mean, not much to talk about with this game. Gio Lopez is back.

19:25

I mean, I say that a little bit tongue-in-cheek because they played Mary Mac. He didn't need to play. Although, we did talk to our resident Wake fan, Monday Dynamo, in – in our meeting this Week. And he mentioned that Lopez might be wearing a brace. So how much is he going to run? We'll figure. I don't know. But anyway, Lopez is going to play. Everybody's going to play. The Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News's clean in terms of the skill players.

19:51

And he's $7,500 might be the most popular quarterback on the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate this Week because of it. Ty Clark, Deuce Lawrence. This is another discussion topic because the last really big game Clark had was also one of the last competitive games Wake played against Louisville. So do they use him more in this one as well? That's going to be more of a gut feel.

20:17

You can look at the box scores and say, yeah, they did use him more when the game was competitive. I like that route. Certainly a way to play this. Obviously, Carlos Hernandez in a smash spot. Can you pay the $8,200 for him? That's going to be one of the debates I'm personally having after that. Like Jack Foley deserves the $6,000 price tag. Shanks makes both very, very involved, but nothing is consistent as Hernandez and the price is reflecting that.

20:44

So if you want savings in the wide receiver room, there's just a lot more risk involved with that. On the SMU side, the favorites at home. Kevin Jennings, $9,000, a warranted price coming off of a big game. Honestly, like in cash, I think he's live to get your floor easily. Just how much upside do you think he has? The biggest discussion is, is this Wake team for real?

21:13

You play the teams on your schedule and they've been beating the piss out of those teams. But like I said, SMU is the most competitive game since they've had, they've had since the Miami Louisville stretch. So Jennings is still in a good spot. It's just a price thing in terms of running back. One of the more frustrating running back rooms in college football, Kendrick Raphael, I mean, might get a workhorse load. He might not early in the game.

21:42

Christian Rhodes and Jermecho Green were both in. So it wasn't even like garbage time run. And you're getting those guys at a fraction of the price of Raphael. So It's do you touch this running back? Do you go with one of the backups? I'll let you guys break that down a little bit if you have thoughts on it. And then they finally priced up these wide receivers. Ymir Knight is $6,900. Nice. Yannick Smith is $5,600. Even Jalen Cooper in the upper $4,000.

22:07

So we're not getting that three and $4,000 value. That's just an instant click across the industry. It'll temper their OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. But these guys are still in good spots with a thirty one point implied Team TotalIn CFB DFS, a team total estimates a college team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It describes team scoring expectations, not how much production the starters will accumulate.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total. They still spread the ball around a little bit. But Yannick Smith is on the field a ton. Knight and Smith still both eat up a big portion of the Target ShareIn college football, target share is the same percentage of team targets, but it is often far more concentrated: many offenses send a third or more of their throws to one receiver or tight end.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share. And I mean, Jalen Hale and Randy Pittman score touchdowns.

22:31

So if you want to throw a dart at a thirty five, $3,700 receiver, do it on one of these teams with a high team total. Right. So, Kenny, how are you approaching this game? As much as there was to love in that first game, there's a lot to love in this game, too. And what's crazy about that is I don't think this game is going to stay as big of ownership as that just because of like it.

22:51

Like this game is like probably right neck and neck with that first game, but it is hard to build. Like if you like the way the slates coming together as a whole, it's hard to fit this game in. And it kind of starts with like Carlos Hernandez, because if you Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up for Flora, maybe pay up for another $1,000 running back, it's pretty hard to get to Hernandez as well.

23:12

That being said, Hernandez is the one player on this slate that scares me that we haven't really got to see him be fully unleashed since September. If Carlos Hernandez has a fifty point game, that would not shock me one bit. I'm not scared of SMU's defense. And so I'm almost to the point where, Bill, you talked about your debate to where I am going to sacrifice a second running back spot to get Hernandez in my lineups.

23:38

I think that, like, I honestly don't hate, like, in a Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry, like, higher stakes or, like, a qualifier lineup. You just play Lopez, Ty Clark, and Hernandez. Ty Clark, in their last competitive game in September against Louisville, did have twenty-one carries. His volumes, like him and Deuce, have been a split, and especially in these blowouts, these other guys have gotten involved. But one good spot to get unique on the Wake side is include or play.

24:01

I think you could play Ty Clark and Carlos Hernandez and leave Lopez out. There's some question marks with the brace. That being said, I love Lopez. He's a great play. But it's going to be interesting to see here where Hernandez comes in. I think he could stay under a twenty percent, which I think is a huge discount in this game environment.

24:19

The SMU side, you kind of touched on it, Bill, but Kevin Jennings felt like he had a CeilingCeiling is the high end of a player's or lineup's realistic range of fantasy scores. It describes a big performance that could happen when things go well, not the expected score or an absolute maximum.Describe what must happen for each player to have a huge game. Then check whether those conditions help or hurt the other players in your lineup.Read the full definition of Ceiling game last Week and he had thirty three points.

24:27

He didn't I don't think he had any rushing touchdowns um it was a lot passing so I mean there might be a little bit there but he's a lot harder to pair than he was this entire season now these guys are kind of almost priced appropriately um I think you can play kevin Jennings by himself you could do maybe a kevin Jennings Hernandez stack or something like that um if it's you know like I said it's hard onslaught this game with these prices um yeah the running back room I'm out on with smu like I've been Kind of to the point where it's like I'd rather take a shot on roads or green and try to get fifteen out of them than hope for thirty out of Raphael.

25:00

Like I just don't even see three X out of him at that price tag. And yeah, the receiver room. Last Week I won a Friday night seat and I had Cooper in my lineup. He was the only SMU guy I played and like Knight had a monster game. Smith had an OK game and Cooper got a really late touchdown. I honestly, I'm probably, if I'm playing SMU receivers, I'm probably leaving Ymir Knight out.

25:25

He sees the field a lot less than these two because specifically a slot receiver and Oldstrom and Pittman see the field there a fair amount. Like Oldstrom sees the field more than pretty much Knight, Hale or Pittman, I guess. But yeah, this game overall is really awesome, but it's kind of hard to fit. So I think it should like really stay in check ownership wise.

25:48

I don't, uh, Yeah, I don't know, like in a Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game, is it like just Gio or are you forcing Hernandez? Or is it like what's the like comforting cash play that fit in with like a Flora? Yeah, if you're paying up for running back, that's kind of the sacrifice you got to make. And you said it. Are you sacrificing one of your pay up running back spots for Carlos Hernandez? It's not the craziest debate to have.

26:11

You know, Carlos Hernandez is a guy, it's a double digit target guy. He's got multiple touchdown upside guy. He's a go-to guy. This game is a massive game. Both on paper in college football and on the slate. Gio Lopez is so affordable. He's going to be one of the more popular running quarterbacks, which is reasonable. SMU's defense is nothing to write home about. Lopez is in that mid-range of very affordable quarterbacks. But you said Carlos Hernandez is a big debate.

26:40

If you build and you get to a Flex and UTILFlex and UTIL (utility) are roster slots that accept players from multiple eligible positions. Eligibility depends on the sport and contest; in single-game formats, these labels commonly identify the regular-scoring slots alongside a Captain or MVP.Before lock, identify affordable replacements for your latest starter. An open FLEX or UTIL slot helps only if suitable unlocked players remain within your budget.Read the full definition of Flex and UTIL and you have $1,000 and you're deciding between, you know, do I want to try to sacrifice somewhere else to pay up for one of those eight, five, eight, seven, like a four, eight, five or somebody else in that eight $1,000 range? Or am I content with Hernandez? I think you're totally fine. Hernandez versus because his volume is going to be there. Do you force them in? That's the decision you have to make.

27:02

This is where it comes down to how do you want to build it out? How do you want to play your pay-ups? You decide who your pay-ups are, or you decide who your pay-downs are, and then you kind of mix and match your pay-ups, or do you decide who your pay-ups are and mix and match your pay-downs? That's kind of where this slate has taken us this Week.

27:21

And there's really a lot of good plays at both running back and receiver in that $1,000 range and up. And you just got to mix and match and decide. I don't know if I'm going to force Hernandez in. I would love to be able to play Hernandez. But forcing him in is all going to be dependent on the rest of my lineup because of just the way that this is saying.

27:43

And you mentioned about playing Jennings naked at this point because the SMU running backs or SMU receivers are finally priced up that we don't have to force them in. We could definitely play them as One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off. I mean, there's been really good games from both Smith and Knight. And... Especially if you're playing geo and you want to have a Bring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Read the full definition of Bring-Back in the game, you know, any one of those receivers is good or you play the Jennings running back with Carlos Hernandez is also fine.

28:07

I think this slate more than others that I can remember is unique to a point where we have passing quarterbacks that I feel comfortable playing naked because of the way that the ball is get spread out. You know, Gio Lopez is more of a dual threat, but I wouldn't mind playing him naked just because it's hard to afford him and Hernandez. You know, Jennings, because he spreads the ball out, he still has that three-hundred-yard passing.

28:32

You see me even Mensah the game previously. I don't mind playing a lot of these quarterbacks naked just because they could pretty much share up the volume and spread the ball out. And, you know, they could throw for four touchdowns to four different guys. None of us would be surprised with that case. So you like playing them naked if they spread it? Thank you for telling me that one. I don't hear it from high schoolers enough.

28:59

I still, yeah, I've been called a middle schooler plenty enough. I haven't even upgraded to high school yet. There you go. And Rafael, I just want to follow up as far as if you're looking to play, because he's been in such a cash lock and load play. His volume has definitely decreased as the rest of that running back room has gotten healthy. You know, we like him.

29:15

If he was in this five or six Ks and he's got fifteen to twenty touches a game, we like him. But when he's up in that upper $7,000, $8,000 range, you're comparing him to guys like Flora and Bishop and some of these $8,000 and Sheppard. He just doesn't get the volume to compare to those guys. It's just a different tier.

29:32

Yeah, and the eye test is just frustrating with Raphael when you look up in the first quarter and he's got the third most carries on the team. And what just looking at the Virginia Tech game quickly, he did have the most carries with fifteen. But when Christian Rhodes is running for thirteen a carry and Jermichael Green is running for six and a half a carry, we got like Kendrick Raphael players got lucky that he scored a touchdown.

29:55

And that's typically how it's been for him this year to a couple of touchdown bailouts. But, yeah, usually we're frustrated by the receivers this year. I think I've been more frustrated by the running back situation with SMU. All right.

30:09

More college football playoff and conference championship applications because ohio state's got their back against the wall right now and they have northwestern coming to town a team that almost took down indiana this year of course so did the gophers so I don't really know where you would put that on your power rankings uh on the northwestern side we're getting nico marcio again I don't care uh tough matchups across the board for all of these guys like in like I still think Joseph Hyman's live to have three carries for a hundred and twenty yards and three touchdowns.

30:41

Like, I think that's always a possibility. So if you want to throw an extreme dart, that could be sub one OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership. Maybe that's where you take your shot. Luke Denneke is one guy that I will bring up because before he got hurt, he was torching Indiana and Indiana's defense is the reason their record is where it's at. It's not their offense. So I know Ohio State's a tough matchup, but I really do think Denneke has some upside here at just $3,700.

31:07

If you want to get way different, I'm talking in your 150-MaxA 150-max DFS contest allows you to submit up to 150 entries into that contest, paying the entry fee for each. Max entering means using every allowed entry, whether the contest limit is 150 or a smaller number.Multiply the entry fee by your planned entry count before building. If you cannot justify additional lineups on their own merits, leave the remaining entries unused.Read the full definition of 150-Max lineups more Likely on the Ohio Staten side. Luke Fahey for $6,400 is looking pretty good. Bill, did Bill crash out? Yeah, he's frozen. He'll probably come back here. Yeah, you could start, you want to talk about the Ohio Staten side? No, well, yeah, yeah, sure can. Yeah, I guess he was talking about Fahey, like it's $6,400 this Week.

31:41

Like that's kind of like I think he's well him and maybe another day we'll talk about later is kind of like the pay down guy. I don't know like what you talked about earlier with the, you know, you don't have to pair him. I don't know if you have to like force Jeremiah with him if you want to Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up for a running back. I think you can play him by himself, or you could play a double with McEwen. McEwen got double digit targets last Week.

32:03

Granted, there was a lot of garbage time come back, but I definitely have some interest in Ohio Staten, especially the passing. And then Bo Jackson last Week, he had two touchdowns early. He ended up with, I think he had nine targets, seven catches. So I'm super interested in the volume uptick that he's having. And Northwestern side, we don't have it. I don't really have any interest there at all. I guess not a ton to add on that side of the ball.

32:34

Yeah, just without Aiden Chiles, it's just a downgrade without Chiles. He was so good for that offense. He just made so many things go and click for Chip Kelly's offense in Northwestern that it really, it just is really a bummer. I wish that, You just hate to see quarterbacks like that who have been through the grinder and had really good years just get hurt and completely stall out Northwestern's promising season that they had.

33:01

Same could kind of be said for Ohio Staten, although you kind of have a little bit more expectation for them when their quarterback goes down. But, no, Fahey has certainly got better. It was a really weird game. It'll go up early like that, and then it'll completely collapse. I'm just curious as to what we're going to see from Jeremiah Smith as the season goes on. With the playoff hopes kind of done, he's got the ring.

33:24

He has so much that he's accomplished in his career. He put himself back in the game last Week to get that touchdown. So is it going to be him just trying to light up the board and get records after record and just rack up receiving yards? Or is he going to try to shelter himself to potentially be the number one pick in the draft? Yeah.

33:42

Based on last Week's performance and pushing himself back in the game I think it's going to be the former and I think he's going to really try to you know do as much as he can personally for himself the final half of the final quarter of the college football season and give himself a chance to win that heisman cement his legacy as arguably the greatest college wide receiver ever which makes him playable again you got to make a decision just like you do with Carlos Hernandez, who we just talked about.

34:12

I don't know if you get there, maybe in some MME builds. And, you know, he's just, he's priced down on point and they're going to pass the ball. Ball's going to be in his hand. You know, he's, he's put up some yards, so it's not totally disgusting. Like I say, he's my favorite One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off cash option. I probably would not consider him in that, in that spot.

34:34

So I really only think I consider Bo Jackson, Jeremiah Smith, and any kind of, Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry hand builds in this game, but not too much else to talk about. They're kind of a disappointing game that had some luster a couple of weeks ago that just kind of fizzles into the, to the noon SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. Bill, we got you back. Sweet. Yeah, I'm here. Were you both able to give your breakdowns of that game? I don't know when I cut out.

34:58

I tell you what though, it popped up and just said, you're not on the internet. I'm like, well, thanks. And then I get back and says, Hey, maybe you should plug into the internet instead of using wifi. It's more reliable. I'm like, well, that, What I would plug into is the reason it went to end. I don't know. Just bitter. Just bitter. But we're here. I'm sure you guys carry the load of that game.

35:17

And honestly, maybe we'll get some feedback that you guys should do it without Bill next time. That two minutes was way better. There wasn't near as much to talk about in this game. This was a slog. We got a couple of those coming up. Yeah, maybe that's what happened. My computer got bored of hearing me talk about it. So I was like, nah, I'm going to peace out quick. All right, so we can move on. This game, I mean, Alabama's got their path carved out.

35:43

They control their own destiny, whatever you want to say it. And Keelan Russell at $8,300 when we're talking about these other guys that are more expensive, just jumps out as an awesome play against Vanderbilt. Again, it's just a matter of where you want to spend your salary this Week. He's done very well against inferior teams, and I would consider Vanderbilt to be an inferior team. The running back room. If you guys have thoughts on it, take it away.

36:06

But I still just don't want to touch it, even though they're cheap. Maybe one of these guys will pop and you'll get something. And the wide receivers are also interesting. Ryan Coleman-Williams was back to a . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Didn't really pay off. And you're still getting cheaper guys, Enrico Scott and Lazier Brooks, who are going to be on the field. On the Vanderbilt side, I really don't know. Maybe Sherrill. But again, there's so many guys we've talked about that are kind of in his same range.

36:46

I want to Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up above $7,000 for those guys. There's guys I want to pay down, you know, in the $5,000, $4,000 range, whatever, more than I want to pay right in the middle for Sherrill. Maybe he gets some LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage that way. Ian, how are you looking at this Alabama-Vanderbilt game? Nothing really screams cash Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry to me. Large field GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: usually only the top 20 to 25 percent of entries get paid, and a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP is kind of what I'm looking at for the most part. Yeah, I agree with you there.

37:10

And if I do that, I'm going to look to maybe double stack Keelan Russell on that side and try to hopefully guess the right pair. He's got four pretty good receivers. He's a really good quarterback. I've been on the Keeneland Russell fan train for all season, and he'll continue to get better. He's got reliable targets. I don't think there's necessarily a ValueValue is the fantasy production you expect from a player relative to his salary. A value play offers more production or upside than his price suggests, whether he is cheap or expensive. It is often measured in points per dollar, written as fantasy points per $1,000 of salary: a $5,000 player projected for 20 points is a 4x value, also called the salary multiplier.Identify why the salary looks wrong: workload, matchup, scoring ability or a pricing error. Then check whether that reason still holds when you submit your lineup.Read the full definition of Value play that's going to really enhance your Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game.

37:36

I wish that somebody would take, whether it's Brown or Crowell, now healthy. It's just a mess in the running back. And you mentioned Cheryl. He's got, you know, seven to eight catch floor, but I think at some point last Week he had like seven catches for like twenty yards or something like that. I can't imagine they're going to move the ball that much. It's just a weird spot. I don't know. This game is just weird.

38:01

Alabama's had all these high emotional games and have these big wins, especially last Week coming on the road to LSU in the head. They just had such a big Week stretch of big games, and this seems like such a flat, come-down spot going to Nashville just in the middle of the morning. I don't know about this game. This game, even though it got up to a thirty-four-point Team TotalIn CFB DFS, a team total estimates a college team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It describes team scoring expectations, not how much production the starters will accumulate.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total, I don't want any part of it.

38:26

Yeah, the big issue like with Alabama and like stacking Keelan Russell. Last Week you threw a touchdown to Caleb Edwards, Josh Ford, and Cedarian Morgan. Josh Ford's not even on the stone. That's how small his ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections is and how small the role he has in this offense, but managed to catch the touchdown. So like, I guess for me to sum it up, I like Keelan Russell specifically by himself. The load's here, Brooks. Gosh dang it. Now this is going to be the Week.

38:53

Now that I'm not going to – like last Week I played him in a couple lineups. He was like next to nothing owned and just nothing. And like he's really the only one I'd consider. Honestly, I'll probably play him in one-fifty and just force him with Keelan Russell in a couple. But I think I'm going to pass on RCW Enrico Scott. I actually had quite a bit of interest in Treshawn Brown until I see Kroll's probable.

39:15

It'll probably be a wait and see for the eleventh Week in a row to see if something happens. Yeah, then the Vanderbilt side, I have no interest in. Junior Cheryl's fine at $7,000, but there's just so many other pay ups I prefer. I'm gonna make some decisions somewhere and I prefer so many other places other than Junior Cheryl. So not a ton to add, but yeah, it wouldn't shock me if Russell had a monster.

39:39

And Ian, you kind of talked about sleepwalking into this. If Alabama does and they get a full, Full gas Keelan Russell for a whole game. That should be pretty fine at $8,300. Yeah. And I'd have to look back, but I think Josh Ford is out. So we don't have to worry about him. Oh, yeah. Josh Ford is out. Ford is out. But what people are should be remembering him for is when he broke his arm, had surgery and then played the next Week.

40:07

That's what Josh Ford needs to be remembered for. I don't care how many touchdowns he does or doesn't score. That dude's a beast. All right. Tennessee at Texas A&M. And I actually have some news that popped up that I did not see this morning until just now. I will get to because I was looking to see if there's anything on this George McIntyre phase on Brandon situation.

40:29

It sounds like McIntyre is going to go and start, but they probably saw some packages worked in for phase on Brandon. Now, the news I found is that DeJuan Morris is not going to play again. And DeJuan Morris is not going to play after being cited for reckless driving and breaking his leg in a car accident. He doesn't go to Georgia. Holy shit. That's late breaking news. What news to break on this show? Wait, he broke his leg? I think so.

41:02

Let me see. It wasn't on the Injury NewsInjury news is information about a player's health that can change whether they compete, how much they play or how effectively they perform. In DFS, it also affects opportunities for teammates and opponents.Before an uncertain player's game locks, identify an alternative you can afford at each affected position. Check whether making that change would require another player whose game starts earlier.Read the full definition of Injury News. Okay, so this says he sustained non-life-threatening injuries. Including a broken leg, and he's resting comfortably. That sucks for him. But that all leads to Deshaun Bishop. We liked him anyway. They've been feeding him anyway. They could just run the ball forty-five times, thirty of them to Bishop, and win by two touchdowns here.

41:31

So, The quarterback situation may not even matter, but they are really cheap if we can get some clarity on exactly what that's going to look like. Obviously, we'll be doing that right up Lineup LockLineup lock is the deadline after which you cannot change your selected players. Without late swap, your entire lineup locks together; with late swap, which allows edits after the contest begins, players lock at their games' listed deadlines.After saving an edit, reopen your entered lineups and confirm the change reached every intended entry. Check the site's displayed lock times and time zone instead of relying on the television schedule.Read the full definition of Lineup Lock. And then the wide receivers, outside of Mike Mathews, who is still the clear alpha, we get cheap guys, Braylon Staley, Dasom Brom. Decent options. I don't know if you're going there. At the very least, this game is shaping up to be competitive.

41:58

On the Texas A&M side, Marcel Reed gets cheaper and cheaper. For good reason. This running back room, I think we could see any mix of these top three guys and it wouldn't surprise me between Edwards, Owens, Morrow. And then the wide receivers, Marko Cravers on the report, I believe questionable. I mean, TK Norman, Is $3,100. So if you wanted to take a shot, the only guy on the report outside of Cravers Bussey who's been out all season. So I just hate Texas A&M.

42:32

So I don't know that I can go anywhere in this one. Kenny, outside of this John Bishop, I know you mentioned McIntyre pre show. How are you looking at this Tennessee A&M game? You know, one thing I noticed, like, I remember a couple weeks ago when Tennessee was a dog to South Carolina on the road. I mean, Tennessee minus two and a half on the road. Like, what is Vegas trying to tell us here? I don't know.

42:58

But, yeah, I guess what I was talking to Bill about, I think if I wanted to attack Texas A&M, it would be through the air. That being said, like, I think whoever plays quarterback is just going to hand the ball to Bishop, even more so now. I can't believe that that's crazy news. So, yeah, now it's kind of a deal where, like, Bishop and Flora are going to be neck and neck for who's going to be the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, right?

43:21

They're sandwiched next to each other. But I think what I might do, I think I'm going to play McIntyre and hope that Faison maybe gets named the starter. I'm sure that'll be a little clearer throughout the day today. But like I like face off Brandon at $4,600 if he started. So I just I kind of want to leave some flexibility to pivot to that.

43:45

And if for some reason like McIntyre started, I'd probably like move to like a Lee Beebe or like I wouldn't care there. It was just something I was kind of bouncing around. But yeah, the receivers, Mike Mathews, a little too expensive. Staley, I'm not really interested in unless Brandon plays. So, yeah, it's just pretty much day. So on this Tennessee side, that's really interesting. I mean, gosh, he's going to have a monster ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections now.

44:09

Um, and then A&M, nothing like, gosh, I bet Ruben Owens under last Week and boy, did he slap, like he had over a hundred yards rushing. He beat my under on like the first drive. So I don't know. This whole team is just a dumpster fire. And fortunately we've all kind of been on that train all year. And I guess, I don't know. I did get sucked back into Craver last Week, but, um, Now I'm officially done. I mean, he keeps getting hurt.

44:36

What can you even do? Yeah, it's hard. I will say this. Sorry, Zim. You know, if I got a chance to take a shot at the Bulldogs, I'm coming. But I don't like to do that when a guy has serious injuries in a car wreck. That feels bad for him. Hopefully he gets himself back and healthy quickly. But, yeah, I can't believe – People put themselves in these situations. It just it crushes me.

45:04

I hate to see it Yeah Vegas is telling you something with the spread and you look at the spread and you're like, how is that the spread? That usually does tell you something when that gives you pause you have to actually stop to think of pause of that and then whatever you think you Is the obvious side you tend to try to go the opposite way of it. That's just like kind of Intro to betting one-on-one, you know, Vegas has nicer houses than we all do.

45:30

That's how I would like to put it. And this line does scream something for us because Tennessee is a very good team, firmly in the college football playoff mix. Texas A&M is a very bad team this year, very disappointing, and we have no idea what direction they're going to. Don't know. Marcel Reed is terrible. So unreliable. All the scope players are unreliable. And Colin Klein leaving must have been a total disaster for them on the offensive side of the ball.

45:59

And with Tennessee, it's a one-way train through Deshaun Bishop. And he's been All-American type running back. And he's just in that conversation of Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up running back. So we want to try to fit in. He's an H-seven, deserves to be H-seven, borderline $9,000 running back, you know, He's a guy that you want to try to have a spot for in your cash Bill. He's going to touch the ball thirty times. Whether it's through the air or through the ground, he's going to touch the ball thirty times.

46:24

He's probably a favorite to score two touchdowns at this point. He's probably minus money to score two touchdowns. So that's where the offense starts and stops for Tennessee. And that's kind of where my DFS thoughts on Tennessee start and stop with Deshaun Bishop in this game. Yeah, I was just looking to see if I could find any clarity on the quarterback situation while you guys were chatting.

46:43

I found a stat that since George McIntyre took over as quarterback, both McIntyre and Brandon have thrown one passing touchdown. And then it brought me back to an Instagram post that Faison Brandon put up and tagged Hayes Fossett in, who, those of you who don't know, very involved in recruiting and transfer portal reporting. Now, that was a few weeks ago, so I wouldn't read too much into it now, but I just – I think that's where it lands me as well.

47:14

Missouri at Georgia, the aforementioned Bulldogs. Missouri is kind of a tough team to peg. You think they're good, then they're not, then they are again. Again, Austin Simmons, sometimes maybe good, sometimes maybe crap. I mean, he's going to be cheap. He's not going to be owned. Uh, but I mean, Georgia just seems to be on a war path. It's kind of the same with Jamal Roberts. Love the player. His workload is there. Could he find it for sure? But it's, it's tough.

47:44

Like Alabama is the only team that on paper ran the ball well, but a lot of that was due to a fifty-eight yard Treshawn Brown run. So I don't know. I mean, like still some upside with these receivers. I think a Luba day would be the one that I might consider just because He's $5,700. That's my biggest reasoning. He's a big body outside receiver. I don't know.

48:05

Missouri is tough in this one with a fifteen point Team TotalIn CFB DFS, a team total estimates a college team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It describes team scoring expectations, not how much production the starters will accumulate.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total on the Georgia side. I think you could go to Gunner Stockton just fine at $7,800. Obviously, a lot of these guys are going to look good with an implied team total of thirty two. But Stockton, no matter how the Target ShareIn college football, target share is the same percentage of team targets, but it is often far more concentrated: many offenses send a third or more of their throws to one receiver or tight end.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share spread out, he's going to be the one throwing him the ball most of the time. And he can run a little bit.

48:24

He hasn't done it a ton, but he can. He can run. Nate Frazier. I'm going to take this from a different show. But last Week he ran like he was making up for lost time and he looked good. He got the most snaps. Almost double the snaps of Dwight Phillips. And then Bo Walker also got in very sparingly. I did not see if it was only garbage time. Chauncey Bowens was off the report last Week, but in true Georgia fashion, he didn't see the field.

48:52

So what they're doing with the running backs, honestly, at this point, it wouldn't shock me if Bowens was RB one and Frazier played ten snaps. I don't think that's what's going to happen, but it wouldn't shock me. And then in the wide receiver room, seven guys played twenty to thirty snaps. In terms of the pass catchers. Talon Taylor had a monster game. Obviously, Craig Dandridge is still in play, but last Week he basically ran cardio.

49:17

London Humphreys is still in play, but last Week he basically ran cardio. Isaiah Canyon was back, but only got one target. So Kobe White-Helton on the field just as much. These guys, outside of Taylor and then, I mean, Dandridge is still cheap, but you're getting mid to low $3,000 guys. Lawson Lucky is at least somebody that I think has a safer target share, whether it's high or not. And he has a touchdown upside, but I think Zim said it best.

49:46

Taylor has kind of solidified himself as the number one now. And there's a reason he's $6,200. I don't know that he's quite to Zachariah Branch yet. Actually, he's too expensive to be Zachariah Branch. Zachariah Branch was $5,000 flat every single Week last year, no matter what. So, Kenny, we'll start with you here. How are you? What are you looking at in this in Missouri, Georgia? To be honest, not a whole heck of a lot.

50:11

You know, I guess Missouri side, I have really no interest in. One thing that was just kind of weird last Week, I kind of was catching that Missouri – Gosh, whoever they played and got there. Oh, Texas, Texas. But Montgomery scored a long touchdown, also had a touchdown called back. I don't know if they're getting him more involved, which just makes this whole situation kind of worse. So Missouri, I'm just all the way out on Georgia. Pretty much the same.

50:39

I'm fine with the gun show, but the running backs are muddled up. Taylor, I think you had like three for one forty and two last Week or whatever it was. Georgia through fifteen passes. I guess I would say if I'm going to attack the Missouri defense is probably more prone through the air than the ground. But I mean, Georgia, I think they want to get a lead, run the ball, control the clock, play good defense, just like the Georgia way.

51:02

So I don't have a ton of fantasy interest per usual with a Georgia game. But, yeah, just nothing, nothing for me. Yeah, I'm kind of on the same boat with you. I know it's input in there. You know, Missouri Cash Pastures laying from behind. I don't think so. I just think if you rewind Georgia's season, and it pains me to say this, it really does, but they are by far and away the clear best team in the country right now.

51:30

In a season where we have been saying who is the best team, anybody can win it, I think there's a clear separation of Georgia, the best all-around team, and it starts and stops with their defense. I mean, they lost that game unexposedly to Auburn. And then since then, they completely shut down Florida. They completely shut down Ole Miss on the road. I know they're both like one's a big rivalry game. One was a revenge spot from last year.

51:55

But coming back home, Missouri is very bad on the road. I just think Georgia is on a mission right now as the best team in the country. And they just seem to be getting better as they've been getting healthier. And they've been kind of getting clear direction in their team. It doesn't help us fantasy wise because it runs through Stockton, but I don't really know what's going on with running backs because they're pretty deep. Taylor's the number one, but they finally priced him.

52:22

I love Taylor at three, eight when he was there, but like at six in the six case, like, no, thank you. And then I don't mind Dan Ridge just because if he was priced three, nine and not $4,000, he'd be like, Oh, $3,000 receiver. But now the four Oh, it's like, Oh wait, But he's on the field and gets targets, so he's got some upside. Same thing with Lucky, and you mentioned him.

52:45

You know, if you're trying to find some value spots, now I think there are some better value spots on the board in that range, but I don't mind damage at all or Lucky for that matter. But I want nothing to do with Missouri. They can get shut out in this game, I wouldn't be surprised. They can score ten points in this game, I wouldn't be surprised.

53:02

If they win the game, I think it would be like a twenty to seventeen win and not somewhere it shoots out. Yeah. And the one the one thing I'll add one more thing about Georgia is they've just been kind of handling their business the entire season. They beat Alabama in a competitive game, rightfully so. Probably the most competitive team they'll see.

53:22

And then they get punked by Auburn and somebody went into that defensive locker room and said, you better wake up because that could happen again. And their defense has been absolutely mashing and not inferior offenses necessarily. Ole Miss's offense is still high power. So what they did against the Rebels was very impressive. And Missouri has some explosive players, but I don't think they have the offense Ole Miss does.

53:47

Again, I thought the same thing about Auburn, but I just think this is such a different spot for them now that they have lost that game. It's tough for me to go to that Mizzou side. Back to the Big Twelve, Baylor and BYU. Baylor on the road as a seven-point dog, but I will say their offense has been popping ever since Dave Aranda exited. Forty points or more in both games, or is it forty? I don't remember exactly.

54:11

But anyway, DJ Lagway is apparently a dual-threat quarterback now. I don't know where that came from, but it's almost like a weight was off his shoulders when Aranda went out. It doesn't make a whole lot of sense because this is his first year there, so it's not like he's been dealing with the coaching or whatever, maybe. Maybe just a lot of things opened up in the playbook.

54:31

In terms of the running back situation, Ryman Morris and Caden Knighton have been splitting snaps lately, but Morris has just been much more effective. And then it's still Gavin Freeman. Getting the Target ShareIn college football, target share is the same percentage of team targets, but it is often far more concentrated: many offenses send a third or more of their throws to one receiver or tight end.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share. I mean, Louis Brown and Jaden Porter are out there plenty. They're getting looks. Tony Livingston is just scoring touchdowns. Now I know Ian, you mentioned that both of them came from Florida, so they have a connection like way in Livingston.

54:54

I mean, uh, so that could be coming to fruition a little bit more rekindling old love, uh, BYU Bear Bachmeier. I mean, it was pretty bad against Utah. A couple of those picks were bad. Um, But I don't mind a bounce back here. And then LJ Martin played twenty snaps against Utah and he scored. But at $6,600, you want somebody who's going to probably be under owned when you're talking about price versus talent versus upside.

55:26

If LJ Martin gets his full amount of snaps back in this game, which I think he should get more than twenty, if not get his full workload, then then we're talking an extreme mispriced and he could break the SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. Wide receivers, though, Legend Glasser is still clearly the guy. But, man, I'd be lying if I didn't say I didn't like the looks of Kasper and Lyons. Both of those guys heavily targeted the last few games.

55:53

Kenny, you mentioned pre-show as well that Walker Lyons was in the super flex of the GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: usually only the top 20 to 25 percent of entries get paid, and a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP winning lineup, which is absolutely insane. But, Ian, we'll start with you and then we'll get to Kenny here. Baylor looks like a changed team, but it's still a pretty tough ask on the road. Yeah, I will say that Lyons was in second place in the five dollar 150-MaxA 150-max DFS contest allows you to submit up to 150 entries into that contest, paying the entry fee for each. Max entering means using every allowed entry, whether the contest limit is 150 or a smaller number.Multiply the entry fee by your planned entry count before building. If you cannot justify additional lineups on their own merits, leave the remaining entries unused.Read the full definition of 150-Max and around last Week. And Lyons was in that lineup as well. But this game really is interesting to me.

56:25

I want to start with the Baylor side. You mentioned three points in two games since Aranda got fired. And they played UCF on the road and they played Iowa Staten. We already talked about with the terrible defense, but. Fire coach, but maybe, you know, this was kind of hanging over their heads and it just it seemed to have locked the team a little bit. You got the two game bump with it. You know, maybe Lagway took a little pressure off him.

56:48

He's maybe a little bit less spotlight on him. Ran for one hundred and twenty yards last Week. I don't know anything through for three hundred and four touchdowns a game before. So what is Lagway? I don't maybe he's the five star that we thought he was. I don't know. He can put up numbers, though. And, you know, looks like Ryman Morris has taken over that one spot. But Freeman, clear number one.

57:12

Tony Livingston, though, this was kind of my sneaky tight end type play that we seem to come with each Week in the show. I know Kenny had his Boston College guy that came through with a couple catches last Week. Bill's always in the mood for a good tight end play here and there. Livingston has five catches the last two weeks. Three touchdowns, two for two. In the first game last Week, he had three catches, fifty yards, and a touchdown. They did transfer over together.

57:37

They played at Florida together. Now they're playing at Baylor together. Stands out to me. It's just maybe a signal of something. Some of the other receivers have kind of taken a step down. Maybe this is an upswing of a target. Definitely a touchdown upside. Hopefully, um, BYU is such a weird spot. This is a weird game, uh, for BYU. They, two of the last three weeks, two of the biggest games of the season, get the big win against Notre Dame.

58:03

Two weeks later, you got this massive loss where against Utah in the Holy war and, and they kind of on the brink of the playoffs now and season, they, you know, the big twelve is still in the mix, but if they, they trip up, then maybe not. Um, How do you respond? How do you get off the deck after a stretch like that? How much energy do they have left? Certainly put it all out there for the last thing. Arizona Staten in between in a tight game.

58:29

So they've been going heavy the last three weeks. So how much is left? And maybe LJ Martin came back a little early last Week. I don't know. We expect to have a full workload, but I think it's too risky to play it right now. Bears always going to be a mix for a Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game. Glasgow's always going to be a mix for a cash lineup. And, you know, Casper and Lyons just reliable, too. They're getting five to eight targets a game as well.

58:57

You know, I really like they're pretty condensed in their offense, which is really good for us. All in play for that. Freeman always going to be a cash type play. I kind of like this Baylor side. I don't know why. I just something standing out to me about the post that Randall firing about that Baylor side.

59:15

Yeah I I think I I guess I kind of like the baylor side more so Lagway this Week I really think he's another one of those guys that we've said over and over, but you can really play him by himself. He threw a touchdown to Taz Williams last Week. You won't see him on the stone because he barely played, but he caught a six-yard touchdown pass. So it's like one of those situations like, you know, that it's fine to play him by himself.

59:41

You know, and you guys touched on the added rushing the last since he's been fired. The first game of the season, like, when they were playing Auburn very early in that game, he sprained his ankle pretty bad and finished the game and was like a statue after that. It could be a product of maybe he's getting fully healthy off that ankle injury. That can definitely linger. I think I'm going to kind of ride with the rushing upside.

1:00:05

Like, I don't think he's going to get hardly any OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership to be trailing on the road. Not like they're trying to get looks at other guys or anything like that. Like he should get a full game. Um, all these receivers, I really don't like, I'm not too fond of Freeman fine, but he's expensive. And I would rather pay for, um, you know, like, like I'd rather pay at two hundred for Carlos Hernandez and seven to a hundred dollars Freeman.

1:00:31

Um, Riley Morris, I have a hint of interest in, but I don't think I'm going to get there just cause it's just this running back room. So annoying. Um, the BYU side, I guess the LJ Martin thing, it felt like when he was out there, they got him the ball, but he wasn't super effective. One thing I did like is that he caught his fair share of passes.

1:00:54

Um, I think that he's going to get kind of lost this Week and rightfully so like coming off the injury. I don't know if I'm going to get there. Like, it's just like, especially it's hard to look over these $1,000 running backs this weekend. Um, So probably not going to have a ton of him. At the BYU receivers, for me, it's Walker Lyons. Like, he led the team in targets last Week. I really liked him last Week.

1:01:18

I wish I would have planted my flag a little more on that. With Safa Polia doubtful again. He's been coming into this receiver role progressively over the last three weeks. And at $3,700, I think he's going to have some ownership. But I really like like a lag way Lyons Mini-StackIn CFB DFS, a mini-stack is a small group of players with connected scoring opportunities, often opposing skill players outside your main quarterback stack. Its value depends on each offense's pace, player roles and likely game flow.Before locking a pair, describe how both players reach big scores together. Then ask whether that outcome would make an omitted quarterback or teammate difficult to beat.Read the full definition of Mini-Stack here. Glasgow Casper, totally fine, too. But I just think the savings and the role change that we have with Lyons is really, really solid. Bears fine as well. I just don't know how many builds.

1:01:48

I mean, he'll be in my one fifty. I don't know if I'm going to build him in my little like Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Read the full definition of Single-Entry, higher stake group of lineups at all. I just kind of prefer Lyons here. And, you know, those early games are so much better to Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack, in my opinion. It's just almost like a One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off one off situation here for me. But yeah, finally, a game where we can talk about both sides a little bit again. Yeah.

1:02:13

And speaking of Game stacks late. I'm going to I'll get to that the next game. But I just noticed I talked about this feature off the top of the show and I haven't even been using it. I've still been scrolling. If I want to go to the next game, I just got to click it. Boom. There we are. Arizona Staten and UCF. May I interest you in stacking this one? It's got a little bit lower of a total, but it's a competitive game.

1:02:33

And the pricing is real nice because Jake Fette can throw. He can run. He can catch. And he's sub $6,000. And I think you can get to this UCF defense any way you want to. Cardi Mac's in the same boat. He's a runner. He's a pass catcher. And he can pass. The guy throwing the touchdowns to Jake Fette is Mac. And $7,500 is too cheap.

1:02:57

He's been getting a heavy workload to twenty five carries a game since taking the starting job. Nine targets across those three games. And two for three with a passing touchdown last Week. If I just blindly told you for $7,500, you're getting potential for thirty touches against a team that's giving up thirty four point six points a game. I think you'd be in right. So I'll beat the drum for Cardi Mac if he's going to see reduced OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership because of those other guys.

1:03:21

I love the LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. And we talk about UCF being in sloggy games. Just not the case over the past four or five weeks. They started the season off with some sloggy games, but that could be because maybe Pittsburgh sucks. I don't know. And then maybe the wide receiver first click in, Reed Harris. I don't know why he's $6,000.

1:03:41

But last Week on the night SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, I stacked Arizona Staten and played all three of these guys, and it almost got me to the top of the leaderboard. So I love Reed Harris. I love Mack. I love Fette. I don't even mind Miller. His role, he's like starting to get some stats in the stat book again. He's still been out on the field. He's getting more targets. UCBO is still out there, but just kind of ran cardio last Week.

1:04:02

Raden Vines Bright has just disappeared, so I'm not interested in that. It's really those three guys on the Arizona Staten side. And then on the UCF side, Alonzo Barnett was back and starting against Kansas, had a decent game, and he's already back to running again, too. So it seems like he's fully healthy. And Arizona Staten has given up some points on the road. So another lower owned leverage play here at $7,200, possibly. Duke Watson is out.

1:04:24

Landon Chambers got the snaps and the carries against Kansas, but it was also Tavion Swint's first game back. So I wouldn't be surprised to see either one of these two leading the charge. We could see a fifty fifty split, too. And like I said, on the road, Tech and Baylor, I mean, Baylor was a home game, I guess, but Tech and Baylor both steamrolled ASU on the ground.

1:04:42

But over the last three games, Colorado BYU and Kansas did virtually nothing against the Sun Devils running the ball. So it is a bit of a tougher ask. And in the pass catching room, Josh Derry, still the clear number one, absolutely monster game in Barnett first game back. Wade and Charles is doubtful. So that's one less mouth to feed too. Now, Tyron Horns, essentially wide receiver too, but it is still a decent drop off from Josh Derry. Dwayne Thomas getting more snaps.

1:05:11

Pining and Wader on the field enough. Chase Hinshaw is interesting. Chase Hinshaw has barely played at all this year. DK decided to price him at $5,600 as if he is. He's the second highest priced wide receiver on this team. Why? I don't exactly know. He did have one catch for twenty yards last Week. It was a very high IQ play getting out of bounds to stop the clock. So give him credit where credit's due.

1:05:34

But it was his first catch of the year. He was on the UFC UC fast cast podcast, which is like a flagship sort of podcast for UCF with horns this Week. Maybe he just, you can't do it at $5,600, but it also wouldn't surprise me to see him get more time on the field without waiting Charles out there. Ian, we'll start with you here.

1:05:57

I know you're you're up against the clock here, so we'll get your thoughts on this game and, you know, whatever else we can before you have to leave. But I am This game might be going overlooked because of the total, but I think there's some good plays. Yeah, I think all those guys you mentioned, Arizona Staten, definitely cash plays, pricing, volume, everything. Cardi Mack has just taken off, just taken over that number one role.

1:06:21

It's coincided with Fette taking over at quarterback. They've been super competitive. They've been scoring points. Playing really well in that. And I don't really understand the price drop in Reed Harris. He's been nothing but a stud since it. I don't know why the price drop, but at his volume, he's so much lower priced than all these other top receivers that we've talked about today. It just makes it so affordable. It's an affordable stack. Play all three together if you want.

1:06:54

Play the two skill guys without the quarterback, whatever. Combination one with Arizona Staten. Now, it is a tough, tricky travel spot. We'll have to check the weather in Florida because we always do. But UCF hasn't exactly been great lately. Early on, they were playing some sluggery games. That hasn't been the case so much anymore after they got that win with BYU. Yeah, Arizona Staten is really, really enticing because of all that. UCF, they're priced up. They're priced up to a point.

1:07:26

Arizona State's defense is nothing great. Arizona State's got definitely some vulnerabilities, but... Derry at seven, eight. I wish he was like five, eight or something like that because then he'd be overlooked. But he's just in the same price range as Carlos Hernandez and some of these other guys. And just like the way that he's running backs, I just prefer that area. Derry's great. Don't get me wrong. Derry's been great.

1:07:47

But it's just an expensive price to pay when you have a $6,000 receiver on the other side who's been bona fide number one all year. So, yeah, enticing game. I think you'll see ownership on the Arizona Staten side, but I think you get unique by playing Fette, by playing three guys, by mixing and matching, you know, throwing in Omarion Miller. But definitely, definitely, definitely looking at those guys in my cash options.

1:08:15

Yeah, I guess not to reiterate too much what you guys said. I think... So Reed Harris has kind of had a couple of down games as far as targets go. But now that they're doing like this wildcat type stuff with Cardi Mac and Fette, I think that's kind of limited as targets. That being said, DK's never the head of the curve, you know, out of nowhere.

1:08:37

But anyways, I still think he's great at $6,000, but that's where I would pump the brakes because that does look like a really enticing price.

1:08:45

But yeah, with this type of run the ball and wildcat stuff and I think that's kind of why hamari miller's maybe getting more involved because he's he's getting I mean him and Harris each had a handoff last Week like he's he's a kind of the short game area um you know in this rpo type stuff and wildcat type stuff I think that would kind of boost um his style of play and how they've been using him um used to be I was out there too like he didn't get the targets last Week but he's $3,000 flat um and still out there a ton um he's definitely worth mentioning UCF side I have a lot of interest in Barnett I don't and I think part

1:09:23

Of the reason I guess part of the reason I do is because of Duke watching out. I think he has like maybe a little more rushing upside. UCF hasn't necessarily been like any barn burners on the ground this year anyway. So I think I'm just out on the running backs. Can we go with Barnett? Mix in some dairy, but he's feels like the price is fully justified, but he doesn't feel like a guy that can get me forty or fifty.

1:09:46

And that's really what I'm looking for up top this Week. And I don't mind him in, like, Game StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Read the full definition of Game Stack, but I think that's kind of where I'll limit it, like, with him. Didn't fully realize that Charles was doubtful, but that does – Horns has definitely been getting more involved. And I guess if I had to pick a receiver, it probably would be him on this UCF side. This game is super sneaky in the afternoon. The total isn't really there, but the – It's got a wide range of outcomes.

1:10:16

Like I think if Arizona Staten gets ahead, they could really milk this clock and run the ball out with Mac, which kind of hurts the UCF side and like maybe like an Arizona Staten stack as a whole. But yeah, Carding Mac's probably the best play from this game. And also like if you play Fette, I don't think you need to force a receiver. You can play Fette and Mac. I think you could fit Fette in.

1:10:36

If you're just as like almost playing like as a One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off just because of he could catch a touchdown pass and stuff like that. Yeah, super interesting game. Would like to see a higher total, but the spreads definitely there to where we could see like some back and forth or overtime type situation. Yeah, and I might be biased to Arizona Staten now because of the success I had or because it was a really fun game to watch with their creative new packages.

1:11:03

But, yeah, probably an overlooked game for that reason. I mean, some of these guys will Garner ownership, I'm sure. But, Ian, I know you're up against the clock. You've got to get out of here so we can handle these last few games. All right. Week eleven. Good luck, everybody. Cheers.

1:11:19

All right now seamless transition from three to two hell look at that that was quick look at that all right so moving on but I do want to bring this up too because uh for some reason daniel wants to join Ship It Nation if it's not because I'm dashingly handsome it must be because we teach process over picks it must be because we focus on education long-term success and Just to go back and mention that it's less than twenty bucks a month for college football.

1:11:48

Even if you want SaberSim, it's the best value in fantasy sports to shameless plug. Glad that came up organically. And now we move on to USC, Indiana. I'm wearing a sweatshirt. I got a Ship It Nation sweatshirt on today instead of the T-shirt. It's cold up here and I know I'm not in Indiana, but it's cold in Indiana, too. So we got these SoCal boys coming up to some frigid temperatures in a tough matchup. Both teams coming off of a bye.

1:12:14

Jada Maeva is priced like they only scored seven points at Wisconsin. That's because they did. People forget because they had the big win against Ohio Staten after that at home where they're more comfy. I mean, at $6,900 is the upside still got to be there. But man, this is a tough matchup. King Miller been the guy. But Wayman Jordan actually had more snaps against Ohio Staten. So. Is I don't know.

1:12:41

It's tough to play these guys, especially with Sean Austin and Riley Worley, both off the report. And they've both seen the field throughout the season and could eat in a little bit. And man, Trent Mosley is absolutely stellar. But again, tough matchup. $8,100. I think you can get to Indiana a little bit through the air, but I don't know if I'm paying $8,100 for Mosley.

1:13:02

I would much rather go to somebody like Bowman for $3,800 easier passes to complete playing tight end. But he's like athletic. He's kind of a wide race side and he's a wide receiver playing tight end. That's probably where I'm going. If I'm going on the USC side just for some value. Uh, on the Indiana side, there are legitimate questions, I think, revolving around this quarterback situation, whether Josh Hoover is healthy or not. I know he's been banged up. They've had the bi-Week.

1:13:31

Um, so. In terms of is it going to be Hoover? Is it going to be Wilson? Wilson led the comeback victory against, yes, I said comeback victory against Minnesota. And he just looked better than Hoover, had an absolute dime to set up the game-tying field goal. And Wilson got a little scoot to him too. So I think he is much better for this offense than Josh Hoover is, despite what their paychecks might say.

1:13:56

And if Wilson does go, it adds another layer to this running back room because with no turbo Richards, It was really looking like Lee Beebe was going to be on an island. I know Kobe Martin did see a few snaps after Richards went down against Minnesota. But at $5,100, we could get workhorse Lee Beebe. And I think his OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership is probably going to follow.

1:14:16

But if if Wilson out there, it could pull a little bit away from Beebe because Wilson has the threat to run. And then the wide receiver room remains pretty well unchanged for me. It's Charlie Becker. It's Nick Marsh in that order. They are priced like they should be. Charlie Becker should be more expensive than Marsh. Now, where that points you to, do you want the savings? I think Marsh could easily outscore Becker on any given Week. But it just, I don't know.

1:14:48

It's really expensive. I want to attack the USC defense. Davion Chandler off the report, so they could have a carousel in the slot again. One dark horse I will get you, though. USC has been giving it up to tight ends. And Brock's shot, while he only has five targets on the season, four of them are in the last three games. I'm not going to, like, push you to play him. I'm probably not even going to slightly recommend it.

1:15:12

But I have to bring it up just because of the matchup. And what I've seen tight ends do to USC so far this year. So, Kenny, honestly, a decent total in this game. What are we looking at for USC-Indiana? Yeah, I think this game's actually really sneaky, more so on the Indiana side. For USC, you kind of touched on it with Mark Bowman, and you even brought it up earlier, talking about Luke Deineke against Ohio Staten.

1:15:39

Deineke had a really good game against Indiana last I don't want to play running backs against Indiana. I know that. But really, I don't have much interest from the USC side. Like I probably will play Bowman, but I will force him to be paired with like a BB or Hoover. So regardless of who starts for Indiana tomorrow, I'm going to build with Hoover because of the two hundred. Like if you need to global swap, I would still build with Hoover.

1:16:03

I'm told like if Hoover fine, like warming up, I'm totally fine with him at $7,000. I think you could pair him with a Becker or a Marsh. I don't mind like an Indiana onslaught. Like they really needed that by Week last Week.

1:16:17

Their offense has been terrible all year, but it would not shock me if Indiana scored forty two points out of nowhere, which if that is the case, I could see a Hoover BB Becker all getting there, especially with how cheap we're getting the running game this Week. All that being said, the most Likely is that Indiana keeps the ball on the ground, pounds out this game and tries to win the game that way.

1:16:40

And that being said, Beebe's just, he's super elite at $5,100 for me. And I think Martin's really good too. I think you can play them both together. I wouldn't play both of them and Hoover. I would make like a group of zero to two of those. But I think Indiana is super sneaky. Like in some of my high stakes little build, I'm going to have some of that Indiana type onslaught in case they do nuke.

1:17:04

That being said, I'm curious to see, like obviously Becker been great. Like I think he gets ownership of BB in this role, but like, I don't know how much like ownership them together will be like. I don't think there will be played together very much. It will be a very One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off type deal, so I think if you want to play Indiana and get unique, not they're going to be will be will have a lot of ownership, but.

1:17:28

I think including Hoover and having a couple of these guys is interesting. And I haven't really watched Grant Wilson. I didn't realize he had that rushing upside. I guess, I mean, really if Grant Wilson starts, that probably leads me to more BB and less like passing sacks. But I still would probably run some out just like I'm talking about with the Indiana onslaught per se. Yeah, Wilson looked really good.

1:17:52

But I will also remind you, Raiola looked really good in relief as well. And then kind of S the bed in his next game. But we'll have to see if we get some answers on that. Yeah, and we talk about it all the time with other teams. When you have usage funnels, you can take advantage of it. And, I mean, Becker, Marsh, Beebe seems like a pretty clear usage funnel this Week.

1:18:13

Sticking with the Big Ten, Michigan and Oregon, not going to have a ton to talk about in this game, but the Team TotalIn CFB DFS, a team total estimates a college team's points, usually from the game total and point spread. It describes team scoring expectations, not how much production the starters will accumulate.Recheck team totals after major news, then ask which players actually benefit. If your projections already reflect the change, avoid adding another automatic boost.Read the full definition of Team Total of – or game total of thirty-eight and a half. There are some team totals that are almost up to this game total. Tommy Carr just absolutely Cheeks against Michigan Staten. Did show some promise in the game prior, but that was against Rutgers, so – I mean, good news for your Cornhuskers going to Piscataway this Week.

1:18:39

The Oregon defense has been good against suspect against good passing attacks. Flip that, reverse it, rewind, whatever. But I don't think Michigan's a good passing attack. Running backs, no. I mean, it was a mess. Kuzdal got more run and was more effective. Heider still got the snap count, got bailed out by a touchdown at the end. He was also in my night lineup last Week, so that touchdown did a lot for me. And Jordan Marshall virtually disappeared, so I don't want to attack that.

1:19:12

The wide receiver, it's still Buchanan and Marsh, but honestly, their targets hasn't turned into much production lately, so... Maybe Buchanan, if anybody. One guy I will mention is Travis Johnson, true freshman. Got six targets on twenty route or twenty eight snaps and ran twenty routes against Michigan Staten. It could be a sign that they're going to test out what they have in some of these younger guys. So we see Moa also getting consistent snaps, just the targets haven't come with it yet.

1:19:39

Uh, so maybe if you need a min price guy, Travis Johnson, isn't the worst, even in a really crummy looking game environment on the Oregon side, Dylan Raiola, $6,700. I mean, whatever I, I would consider this still to be a tough matchup. Um, I didn't write any notes next to Dylan Riola's name because, quite frankly, I don't think I need to. He goes as far as his receivers will take him. He's got extreme upside and an extreme floor. Again, I just don't like the matchup.

1:20:13

Jordan Davison out, so expect a big load of De'Ari Hill. Brandon Smith has seen an uptick in usage as well. De'Juan Riggs probably still even see the field. But Hill can run. He can catch the pass. And he's kind of in that mid range. That's probably going to go overlooked. He'll might be the one mid range guy that gets a few looks. Um, but again, matchup is scary. And then the wide receivers, these guys are priced up and everyone's healthy.

1:20:41

There's not a single pass catch or a single wide receiver on the report. Andrew Olesh is on the report, but that doesn't really move the meter, but this pass catching core is healthy again. Uh, Jamari Johnson the guy that jumps out to me, though, at $4,100. He had nine targets against Ohio Staten. He's still heavily used, but he's not priced like it. The rest of these guys, I just don't know, because McClellan only played seventeen snaps in his first game back.

1:21:04

Jalen Lott played forty. But with it being McClellan's second game back, that could easily flip flop in this one. So it's it's really Johnson or just stay away just because. Everybody's going to get, like, everybody's going to be out there. That was a lot of words that came out of my mouth for a game with a thirty-eight and a half point game total, but tell me if you have any thoughts on this game.

1:21:27

Yeah, I did the Hyder experiment last Week as well. Yeah, I'm out on Michigan as a whole. Like, the only one I would consider is Hyder, even after last Week's disaster. He's just, he's such a heralded recruit. Maybe it would click, but Oregon or Michigan hasn't been able to do anything and think of all the great running backs last few years and they just cannot run the ball.

1:21:49

Like, I mean, even Cuds on Marshall would like have had their moments and now, you know, but yeah, nothing with Michigan, Oregon. I'm fine with Jamari Johnson. The other receivers are too expensive for me. This running back room. So Brandon Smith, I kind of had some interest in last Week, but talked about how the game environment, like I just can't take a shot. He ended up getting three X and it's like the same scenario for me this Week is like the game environment.

1:22:16

He did get his touchdown kind of in garbage time. Um, gosh, if I could get a matchup of Brandon Smith against like Rutgers or someone or Purdie or something, like I am all in on this guy once I get that chance, but this Week I'm out on it and deer hill. Just had a really long touchdown run outside of that was not very efficient, but he has such a big role now, especially receiving that he's fine at $6,700. I do question his ceiling, though.

1:22:41

I really do. And I think you're going to need the Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up ceiling this Week big time. So really, this game. Yeah. Long would it say long winded way of saying not really interested. Yeah, that is actually a good point to bring up, too. Just with the players on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, I think you are going to need a lot of raw points. And this game just does not shape up to have that sort of potential. Yeah, Johnson really the guy. But we can move on.

1:23:12

Dang it. Hang on. Just click on the game. I did. I still did that. Well... I'm going to refresh the page and see if that helps, but because our, the window of the stone lives within the actual, like, there we go. You know, I'm going to blame my internet. There's no way it could be Ship It Nation.com. Don't you for a second, think there's a problem with our website. That one's on me. That one's on me.

1:23:43

Uh, Ole miss at Oklahoma, another low scoring, but competitive looking game. Trinidad Chambliss looked terrible against Georgia, but that'll happen. Oklahoma really hasn't faced a ton of dual threat quarterbacks sellers through for three hundred ran for ninety six and two scores. But overall, their defense has been pretty good. With that said, I think Chambliss is still in kind of a tier of his own. Hasn't run for volume as much, but still has a rushing touchdown upside.

1:24:09

The problem with it is he struggled against Georgia and Texas, did great against LSU and Mizzou. Those two games were earlier in the season. Is it a tough defense thing? Is it random? Is it? I don't know. I don't know. But $8,500 is like it's a fair price for Chambers, but it's tough to pay on this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate. So that's, again, a decision that has to be made.

1:24:33

Golden confirmed earlier this Week, early on that Lacey was going to miss again. Now, Makai Hughes is questionable as well. So what does that do to this running back room? I already had a little bit of interest in Chicago mills night, even if Hughes was going to play and start, uh, because, uh, mills night has a touchdown in every game. He has a carry, um, plus he's bigger. So you get the goal line potential and he's cheaper.

1:24:58

So regardless of Hughes, um, if I'm playing anybody at Chicago mills night from this running back room, wide receivers do say Alexander price down a little bit, probably because he just ran cardio last Week against Georgia. Um, it was a ratio of fields who actually got eight catches on six targets. And quietly gotten twenty four targets and three touchdowns over the last three games. So Fields getting that $2,100 discount from Alexander is a bit intriguing.

1:25:23

Caleb Odom, another guy who's had sporadic Target ShareIn college football, target share is the same percentage of team targets, but it is often far more concentrated: many offenses send a third or more of their throws to one receiver or tight end.Judge target share over the last three or four games, not the full season, especially after a trade, an injury or a quarterback change. The most recent role is the one you are paying for.Read the full definition of Target Share, but it includes games of eleven and nine targets in two of the last three. The only thing is he's only got eight catches in those two games. So it does give me a slight bit of pause. But again, another fifteen hundred dollar discount even from Fields and then the rest of these guys. Traylon Ray, Caleb Cunningham. They're on the field enough if you want to throw a dart.

1:25:46

But it's probably just Deuce Fields and Odom. OU has given up some big games to wide receivers, but there's not really a clear indicator to me if it's position. I mean, it's Cam Coleman, Talon Taylor, Willie Rodriguez. So wide receiver ones have had a little bit of success, but... Nothing that's going to sway me a ton. On the Oklahoma side, is Jason Witten just the greatest play caller in Oklahoma history or what? Their offense had a little spark to them.

1:26:12

But, I mean, we're back to John Mateer here. It's death taxes and sub-$7,000 John Mateer. You know, Sam Leavitt and Lincoln Keenholz had success on the ground, but that was earlier in the season. Stockton had a decent running average against Ole Miss. You know, Mateer running better the last few games, but he's got multiple passing touchdowns. That's what's been carrying him. He doesn't have a rushing touchdown yet this season, so maybe it's finally time. I don't hate that.

1:26:36

At $6,600, you don't have to pay too much to look for that upside. The opposite of upside is this running back room. Torrey Blalock's questionable. I don't know if I care. Avanza's led the charge. Would be in a split with Blalock in all likelihood if he goes. If he doesn't go, Avanza will probably be in a split with Hatton and Robinson. It's so muddled. I just don't want to touch it.

1:26:59

And then for the wide receivers, this is one of the bigger talking points on the slate, in my opinion, because it's still Satania and Beers. Maybe Beers gets a little bit more favor because he has a tight end as his play caller. Both Manny Choice and Jacobs Jordan have had a slight uptick in targets recently. Ian, I was talking to him yesterday, and he said the eye test against Florida, it seemed like Jordan was out there a ton, and he's been priced.

1:27:27

Parker Livingstone has been priced. Played fifty three offensive snaps against Florida. By far a season high. Only got three targets, but reeled all of them in. Three catches for twenty six yards. Probably doesn't sound awesome, but at min price, it probably doesn't kill a Cash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Read the full definition of Cash Game. And if he finds the end zone in that same stat line, he's at four X. When you're talking about Ole Miss, the receivers they struggle with. Ryan Wingo, Donovan Alubide. What are those guys? They're big bodied outside receivers.

1:27:59

That's what Parker Livingstone is. Honestly, Manny Choice fits that as well. So you kind of have your choice of big bodied outside receivers if you want to run with that narrative. But the snap call for Livingstone at $3,000 just jumps out to me as a potential late game Hammer min price smash. I'll let you break down what your thoughts on that are and your thoughts on this game overall. But that was one thing that jumped out to me on the slate as a whole.

1:28:31

Yeah, what I mean, the spread on total on this game, like it almost gives that a shootout vibe. But then I look at like an Oklahoma game and I'm like, gosh, just yeah, it feels like this is about the break of points for this game. That being said, could definitely be some back and forth. Yeah, but Frazier out.

1:28:50

Mills Knight's probably going to project pretty well I don't know if I have a ton of interest I almost like I don't have a ton of interest in Chambliss as it is but I probably would have some more if Frazier was out just maybe he has a bigger rushing role because they are getting pretty thin um I don't want to pair Chambliss I'm just I'm not going to play this guessing game with these guys um But really, it's just like a One-OffIn CFB DFS, a one-off is a player you roster outside a stack, often a running back or a receiver without his quarterback. A quarterback selected without his pass catchers can also function as a standalone play.Before adding a one-off, compare him with an affordable teammate of your existing stack. Decide whether his individual upside is worth passing up that extra scoring connection.Read the full definition of One-Off Chambliss or maybe Mills Knight.

1:29:15

If Frazier in, I don't have any interest in Mills Knight. I don't have a ton kind of regardless, even if Frazier out.

1:29:23

Just and you know we talked about raw points just like a few minutes ago um that's up a lot of sacrificing a running back position to punt this Week I don't know if that's going to work out very well like I think you would need out of mills night and I mean that's pushing it I think it's within the range of outcomes but that is definitely pushing it um the oklahoma side I mean, I don't know. Mateer's fine to $6,600.

1:29:50

I still prefer these top two to pair with him. So taking us had some down games. We still out there a ton. One thing I am kind of watching and gosh, I don't I don't think I'm going to do it even if so. But if Torrey Blaylock is out, he's questionable. That just opens it up a little more for a bond. He is $4,200.

1:30:09

Like honestly, if we had a Blaylock and a Fraser out, I'd probably prefer a vaunt over Mills night. I mean, Georgia ran for over three hundred yards against Ole Miss last Week. Like as bad as Oklahoma's run or running game as a whole is just one less mouth to feed. So I would have probably some interest in a GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: usually only the top 20 to 25 percent of entries get paid, and a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Read the full definition of GPP with a bond, but.

1:30:30

Yeah, for a late Hammer game and the spread and the total, I don't feel warm and fuzzy about anything here. It's fine, but I don't know. Nothing feels very good here at all. Not near as good as some of the games we've talked about. So, yeah, kind of a meh end of slight Hammer here. Yeah. Yeah, and as much as I was beating the drum for these cheap wide receivers on the Oklahoma side, you said it best. It's still Oklahoma. They win games grossly.

1:31:01

And if we do see them follow Georgia's plan of attack for beating Ole Miss, that's where the matchup certainly comes into play, even over what's happened offensively, whether it be in the running back room or with these receivers. All right. We are pushing ninety minutes. Are you up against the clock at all? Because I'm free if you want to talk Friday a little bit. Yeah, that's fine. And here's my obligatory Minnesota scroll. Get them some screen time. All right.

1:31:30

So we'll just go up, click the ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections page. You can see the team's game totals. And, you know, we'll we'll pull the curtain, show a few of these projections, but actually some Decent games, I think. Florida Staten at Pitt, higher total. Houston and Colorado, higher total. Illinois at UCLA, upset watch. So some good real-life football, I think. But what are you looking at? Because when I looked at this SlateA slate in DFS is the set of games, races, fights or tournament rounds covered by a contest. It determines which events your player selections can come from and which performances count toward your score.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate, I'm like, FSU is a completely different offense.

1:32:03

Half-third, main like most of their main skill guys are out deuce uh chroma now trey weisner's out Singleton's still out um on the pit side a running back is always out whether he's on the report or not is on the report he's questionable um but they're down to cory daly again a quarterback because it sounds like Garner's not gonna go uh illinois is healthy other than cool Valentine but Like their passing attack is insane.

1:32:32

It's just a matter of if they can penetrate UCLA. Colin Dixon's expensive, but I do like him. And then, I mean, the fact that Colorado is just a seven and a half point dog has got to be because they're at home. But I wouldn't be surprised if Houston goes in and just absolutely mashes them. What are you looking at on tonight's slate? Yeah. I mean, I guess it's probably going to start from me on this first ACC game.

1:32:57

I mean, Pitt, you know, Pass FunnelA pass funnel is a football defense that encourages opponents to throw because passing offers a better matchup than running. It is typically stronger against the run than the pass, but extra passing does not guarantee success.Check opponent strength and passing rates when scores are close. Repeatedly facing pass-heavy offenses or teams chasing a deficit can make a defense look like a funnel without revealing a dependable matchup advantage.Read the full definition of Pass Funnel Pitt, um, Florida state doesn't have any running backs. Like I think that's, I kind of like the Florida state passing game. Um, I haven't done a ton of building. Like, I don't know. Can you like really fit Daniels and the weak men tonight? Like I think daily is probably going to be like, it's going to be like a Daniels or weak men type build. Um, I almost would like to find a way to cram them both in there.

1:33:24

Florida State's defense can be beaten by anybody, and I mean anybody, so I really don't have much concern about Covey Daly starting. And then Houston, I kind of like their running backs are priced down.

1:33:36

I kind of like throwing one of these guys in the build, even maybe more so than like I'd almost rather go Ashton Daniels, Houston running back if I have to pick between these quarterbacks rather than maybe like a Houston or Wiegman quarterback and a Florida State's Amari Thomas. I think that's kind of a decision that's going to be made, but that should be an interesting slate.

1:34:04

I won a seat last Friday with the Arizona Double Stacks, so hopefully – Friday nights have been good for me this year. I don't know why. If maybe we could get that into a Saturday main one of these days, that would be nicer than the Friday night. Yeah. And in the back. I was going to say, they kind of docked contests, and I don't know if that was because of the Slate SizeSlate size is the number of games or matchups included in a DFS contest's schedule. In sports built around one event, it can instead describe the number of eligible competitors; it does not mean the number of contest entries.Before building, count the credible alternatives at each position. A slate with plenty of games can still leave you with very few appealing choices at one position.Read the full definition of Slate Size or what for sure, but it kind of sucks, but oh well.

1:34:31

Yeah, in the background here while you were chatting, I just did a quick run of like twenty lines just to see if you locked in Daniels and Weigman, and it gets you A lot of Florida Staten. Yeah. I think it's in twenty lineups. There's four Florida Staten guys in each one.

1:34:46

I was about to say, like, it makes it easier to fit these more expensive guys because you got a guy like Jason Lopez who's on the field a ton, still only priced at $3,600 with that wide receiver room in shambles going like with a great matchup. You can get Colin Dixon in a lineup with both of those quarterbacks and it's not completely gross.

1:35:04

But I do like the idea of of choosing one or the other and Yeah, maybe like just for fun, I might play Amari Thomas and Amari Thomas. Because when and when else are we going to have the opportunity to do that? Yeah, you're not wrong. It took three Florida Staten running back injuries for us to get to do that. How often is that going to happen, right? Yeah, I mean, if you told me that was Pitt, I'd like it to be more believable.

1:35:28

But yeah, I think it should be some good football tonight. And the nice thing, too, like not for necessarily injury reporting, but we have I'm going to talk about its time zone because that's where I live in the central six o'clock start, eight o'clock start, nine fifteen start. So you can get eyes on all three of these games if you want to. What a great time to watch college football.

1:35:46

But before we get out of here, any other thoughts on Saturday's slate before we close up shop? One thing I did look up while we were going, Aiden Flora and Daiso Bishop each have the same rushing prop of one hundred and twenty nine and a half. So I don't it's been a minute since I've seen. I mean, Shepard's usually kind of that high, but I mean, that's a really high, really, really high fresh prop.

1:36:12

Yeah, usually those props are reserved for Jeremiah Smith receiving and Mikhael Hawkins passing. We don't typically see those running backs. No, that's I mean, that tells you like. Like, like we said off the top of the show, this seems like a Spending UpSpending up means choosing a higher-priced player over a cheaper alternative, using more of your lineup's salary budget at that spot. You may also hear it called paying up.Build a version with your preferred expensive player and another without. Before choosing, check whether either version relies on a cheap player whose expected role still depends on unresolved injury news.Read the full definition of Spending Up running back Week outside of BB, um, where you, there's plenty of pay up options too. So where you go, if it takes you to tab Flora Bishop shepherd, there's a lot of different options.

1:36:36

Um, But that's what makes this puzzle fun to put together and kind of transitions really well into how we end every show with the big guys. Rule number one, college football is fun. Enjoy the process. Enjoy building your lineups. We have a ton of college football on TV every single day. So just be grateful that we have that and we can play DFS while we watch. And even if our lineups don't go well, we still have awesome football on our screens.

1:37:03

Most of all, don't take any day for granted. We don't know when. It's going to be our last. But with that, for my man, I am Robbins and Hamhawk, forty one. I'm dollar Bill. It'll close up the Ship It Nation College Football Show. Let's go out in the streets this weekend and ship one for the big guy.

Jump to a Game

  1. 0:00Intro
  2. 2:09Community Wins and Membership
  3. 3:35New Stone Page Features
  4. 4:29Cincinnati at Iowa State
  5. 10:46Duke at Miami
  6. 19:20Wake Forest at SMU
  7. 30:09Northwestern at Ohio State
  8. 35:38Alabama at Vanderbilt
  9. 40:14Tennessee at Texas A&M
  10. 47:14Missouri at Georgia
  11. 53:58Baylor at BYU
  12. 1:02:27Arizona State at UCF
  13. 1:11:55USC at Indiana
  14. 1:18:13Michigan at Oregon
  15. 1:23:43Ole Miss at Oklahoma
  16. 1:31:30Friday Night Slate Breakdown
  17. 1:35:46Final Thoughts and Pay-Up Running Back Strategy

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  1. 20Georgia
  2. 20Indiana
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