Colts vs Chiefs – SNF Sunday Sweatdown | NFL Week 2 | DFS Picks, Plays & Process

Bryce with his defense. All right. Panthers D. See, I do like this actually set up here because most people going to Bryce were going to Bryce to unlock Bijan, right? Or not most people, right? But people were playing Bijan going in right-hand. We knew Bijan obviously looked like an amazing play on paper here. Yeah, I mean, what's your thought on this build? I think it's pretty sharp overall.

I mean, yeah, in a contest like this where you have to beat one hundred and $72,000. Oh, home run. Yeah. And we had to beat one hundred $72,000 people. I mean, yeah, it's not bad. You got the coker in there. He still has he still has CD land. And you get Aaron Jones that kind of single bullet, by the way, single bullet. No way. Single bullet in the twenty dollar Milly Maker. Let's go. I hope he wins.

There's a guy in third place. The guy in third place has seventy PMR left. Troy Jones. Birdie. Purdy, Mayer. Oh, he went to the double Mayer-Schultz team with Davante Adams. That was a great call by Belman. Davante Adams Smith. Ja'Marr Chase. So I actually want to talk about this build here, Ham, because guess what? So right here. This is good for people in the chat. What do we know? Right. Schultz, Mayer. And then what's his face? Looked really good from the tight end.

Schultz, Mayer. Who was the Andrews? Right. We knew they were all salary saving value options. Right. So people could have played them together. But why were people playing together? What were they doing? They were what? Spending up at running back. Right. Going to Bichon. They were playing Henry and Henry was kind of the second guy in instead of the first guy in. Right. So what does this bill do? It flips the bill. Right.

Because look at the spend up wide receiver CD lamb, Ja'Marr Chase, Devante Smith. It avoids that entire four to $5,000 range of wide receivers where people were topping out in that $6,000 range of wide receivers. Right. The Garrett Wilson of the world, the Christian Watson of the world. And spending their salary at running back. So I think this is a really, really sharp build. Obviously it's part of a portfolio here, but any, any talking points to that? I think this is really sharp.

This is, this is how Tambo right. And Black will talk about, especially on leverage lane and on the evergreen shows that they do here on Sunday mornings too, right. That they, They talk about it. It's not getting off the wall. It's not coming up and playing the the zero point one percent on players and hope you land on the right one on a thirteen game slate. Right. It's how do you know the field going in is going to build?

How do you exploit that build with not getting crazy? Right. And I think this is a perfect example. It's clear that people were spending down at wide receiver and spending up by running back. So now you take the. Aaron Jones, who, quote, unquote, people said it was chalk, but twenty percent. I mean, it is what it is. Right. He's running back one with no Jordan Mason there against the Chicago Bears defense. Now, he obviously didn't crush, but he didn't kill you.

And he was enough, though, you know. Right. Right. Well, he was $5,100 because, you know, people were playing to spend up $6,000. To $8,000 running backs, right? The McCaffrey's of the world. So he's not a McCaffrey. He's on Purdy. He's on the Purdy side as naked because you don't know, right? You don't know if it's kill. You don't know if it's Mike Evans. You don't know who he's throwing to.

So I do think this is a pretty sharp build and the way you set it up makes a lot of sense here where it flips kind of the script going in. So any, any thoughts on that? Yeah, no. And they talked about it too. It was like the. No. Wow. Oh, fumble ruski. Oh my gosh. These donkey Chargers. Um, I mean, they went double tight, right, where a lot of people were paying for three running backs.

Now you just get one spin-up running back, didn't have the best day, but got in the box and had, what, seven yards for the king? Probably one of the better running back performances today, you know, with a couple games pending. But love it, like you said, got the big boy right receivers, Ja'Marr Chase, did Ja'Marr Chase-type things today. And Joe Burrow didn't have, like, the best of the day. So, yeah, like this build. And, you know, he's live for a Milly.

Yeah, no, I definitely think it's a really good build. Anyone in the chat have a contest they want us to pull up here? Stakes don't matter here. I mean, I got five dollars sitting on DraftKings balance, so I don't really care what's going on here. Not that I keep money in there anyways, but any contest. Let's pull up the $555 here. Ham, one second. Let me pull up the $555 Milly Maker here. Ship It Games.

I don't know if I have a link to that one, but I can pull it up here. Look at that, Bryce Young again. Who's that, Igbuka? No, Hurst, huh? What is it, Ted Hurst? Yeah. Yeah. Bryce Young, Chubb Hubbard, Chet McMillan. So this is another. Look at this. This is a perfect example of a nice build right here again. Obviously, sharp build, right? You'd expect nothing less in this kind of contest.

But value running backs when everybody was spending up and spending up at wide receiver, right? Ja'Marr Chase, $7,600. JSN. No way JSN could do it again. Right. Arizona has no one to keep up with him. He can't do it. $8,100. Right. A hundred dollars more than Christian McCaffrey, a hundred dollars less than Bijan Robinson, right? Panthers defense. When you're not playing Bijan, you're playing JSN in the flex. Why not throw in the Panthers defense and just go in on your stack, right?

So I think this is a really sharp build again here. And the biggest thing that I kind of take away here is, Not just not. I know there's a million shows out there, Ham, that talks about play this guy, play that guy. At the end of the day, nobody knows shit. We just know how to build lineups against what the field is projected to do. Right. Projected ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. You see what kind of pieces fit together. You know, people wanted to play Bijan.

OK, click him in. See what that looks like. OK, click Aaron Jones. And was that allow? Well, it allows another spend up flex. Most people are clicking Derek Henry. So there's your three running backs. And.

Of punting tight end in the valley wide receiver so I think that's the biggest thing that I see that was a sharp move and you see a lot of the top one percent lineups obviously have done that right flip the build uh when everyone's spending up a wide receiver or spending drop touchdown there um when everyone's spending up at running back right spinning up at receiver I think uh was really sharp there um did you get into any spend up spend up wide receiver builds I mean, I have a couple of them sprinkled in.

I mean, I did the five dollar on FanDuel. So, yeah, I mean, I got some JSN. I mean, I got them all. I did not. I did not think Ja'Marr Chase was going to have a very good day. Belman was all over and put him in his core. So, you know, hats off to Belman. I did like JSN. That kind of, you know, JSN can break a slate. I mean, he's not breaking a slate. He's having a very good day. They don't have many dudes to throw to.

Cups, Walsh, Shahid didn't have any catches there. And their first game. So, yeah, so I think I did love the spend-up running back because I didn't like anybody down low. I mean, Aaron Jones had a better day than I thought he would. But, yeah, I mean, obviously spend-up wide receiver was where to go today. Yeah, I mean, it's not even being results oriented, right?

Not to say that you couldn't, right, devote some of your portfolio to spend up wide receivers when you know three running backs and three spend up running backs all looked really good in that $6,000 to $8,000 range, right? To up to $8,200 to be John Robinson. Right. So I just think it was a really sharp move. To also kind of in your portfolio, flip the build, right. And spend up at receiver, use a receiver in the flex.

And then that's how, how you could play. Right. Cause how many Dalton Schultz teams had Bijan Robinson tied to him? I'd be willing to bet a ton, you know, Yeah. Dalton Schultz, I mean, he had a heck of a game, had a heck of a catch there late. I mean, Tarver for one-forty is insane. Yeah. Dalton Schultz will never sniff twenty-nine DraftKings points ever in his life the rest of the season. Yeah. The rest of his career, probably. The Bucs. Are they about to lose?

Yeah, I mean, there are twenty-two seconds left coming down to the wire here. Deami Brown, right? All hail Deami Brown. Not Antonio Williams. Deami Brown season. Who's in at court? Is it Mariota season? Who just scored? A fullback? Yeah. Nate Adkins. See, this is the – you can't stack the fucking Broncos, man. You just have no clue. It's Nick's roulette out there. I mean, it's Bo Nick's naked season because, like, who are you going to stack this dude with? Nate Adkins? Yeah.

Hold on, who's in at quarterback? Is it Mari Gota? Yes, Schultz in garbage time. Yeah, that's – I mean, that's part of the game we play, right? We don't know. Oh, it's over. Deshaun Watson season. Deshaun Watson takes out the Survivor donkeys. That's back-to-back weeks. Wasn't last year like Survivor lasted way until the end, right? Yeah. Where there was a lot of guys left, there wasn't a lot of upsets. This year it's back-to-back, right? Two thirty-percent owned favorites got beat, right? Last week was the Chargers.

This week was what, the Bucs? Yep. Who'd you pick? Who'd you take in Survivor? Niners. Niners is a good pick. That's a really good pick. Who else? Anyone in the chat in the Survivor Streets? All right, Ham, I'm going to pull up my showdown stuff and just start looking over some things here. Let's take a look. I want to take a look at the thirty three dollar contest.

The contest that I have, I had a sweat, but I don't know how much anymore now with Jason scored twice. This is one of my favorite contests on the board right here. This thirty three dollar five max. I max it out every week. One sixty five to max. It's usually like $20,000, $25,000, something like that. The first. Well, thirty five percent, actually. Who? Bucks were thirty five percent. The Chargers at eight percent. Gosh, that'd be nice. Okay, right here.

So this is my team. This was my team right here, Ham, up on the screen. Herbert, hell, you're still live. You're going to cash for sure. Yeah, I mean, McCaffrey getting vultured there hurts me bad because it's him versus like JSN right now, kind of at this point. Yeah, but, I mean, you need Trey Harris to score a touchdown, get another fifty-three yarder, get you a bonus. Trey or Quentin, I mean. But really, Trey, nobody else has him.

Talk a little bit about this build, like how you got on it. I mean, obviously, it makes a lot of sense with Chase and Schultz and then the two routes. I actually love that team, man. Like, that's a really good team. You got Aaron Rodgers, Dusty Aaron, who can't move against that defense. I mean, obviously, lights out, but. Yeah, so I just thought it was funny, right? Like Trey Tucker last week, right? What was Trey Tucker projected to be on last week?

I mean, what did he come in at, like, twenty-some percent, thirty percent? I was going to say fifteen, but don't know for sure. Yeah, and now nobody wanted to play Trey Tucker. Nobody wanted to play Michael Mayer. And now it's a matchup against the Chargers where you expect the Raiders to be trailing, right? At least the script would indicate that. Herbert with a banged-up Ladd-McConkie, right? Obviously, Ladd ended up playing there.

But, I mean, Quentin Johnson, Trey Harris are still involved in the office. So, I just thought – I mean, nobody was talking about Herbert this week. Nobody was on this game at all. And I was like, it's a game in the afternoon. It's going to be up against the Dallas – it's going to be up against the Dallas-Washington game. I knew I wanted to play McGaffrey. I knew I wanted to play Bijan as my two sped-up running backs because most teams had – Henry, right?

At least at one of the spots there. So I like that. I was pro wide receiver in the flag. So like seventy some seventy five percent of my teams this week were wide receiver in the flags because I knew everybody wanted to play three running backs. Right. Not that three running backs wasn't a strong build. Oh, let's go. McCaffrey, what do you just get? Caffrey just got some points. You got a touchdown. Looks good. Oh, yeah, he did. Too ruddy. He should have three.

Fuck you, Juszczyk. I'll take him as I get him, baby. Let's go, CMC. Yeah, he's going to be put on ice now. Gosh, Mike Evans pushed out at the one. Oh, that's brutal. Oh, brutal, brutal. But, yeah, I thought it was a pretty sharp build going in. I mean, some of my other teams looking at here. So, like, here was a Knicks version, Knicks, Ingram, Waddell.

Um, with Parker Washington as the run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ skinny stack of McCaffrey and Douglas with them Barkley and Eagles defense when everybody was playing Henry and, uh, Ravens defense, obviously Barkley going out, getting injured. There was, it was hurtful Eagles defense didn't, but from a, from a game script going in, um, I liked how this lineup kind of come together and, and shook out, um, thought this was pretty nice. Um, Other team here, obviously Jordan Love team, surprise, surprise. Threw him in there, Watson Golden.

Ran it back with Garrett Wilson, just seemed pretty – Pretty safe there. Still Wilson offense. I like the Bijan-Tet McMillan mini stack there when most people are going Jalen Coker. Obviously, right, week one over reaction. Coker's obviously a stud, but why can't it be Tet? So I like that little skinny stack there. And then just taking the Javonte play. So... Like that. Um, and then here's my Purdy version. Cause I was heavy in CMC, right on my other teams.

I did go Purdy to Debo, uh, with, with Mike Evans and then, uh, Malik Washington, right? Cause everybody wants, if they were going, they were going to HN or, um, Douglas. So I figured why throwing some Malik Washington in there, he's still technically wide receiver one in that offense. And then this was the, uh, this was the Henry Bijan version. So I just kind of rotated guys around, um, the running backs, right.

Running backs were kind of my, my starting point, just like everyone else this week. So, um, that's kind of where I went. And then I did have a Wentz team in there, um, as a game stackGame StackIn the NFL, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, one or two of his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗. So I knew if I was going into that Chicago game, I wanted it to be all the way in.

So triple stack and Wentz, um, with Addison Jefferson and hawkinson when most people were punting tight end using double tight end to unlock Trey McBride as a wide receiver spend up tootin and Jags defense I thought was a nice little correlationCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗ there and then obviously the Bijan play so overall I thought it built my portfolio pretty solid in terms of the five teams um and I mean we got one that's that's in in decent position here so what uh you in any contest on DraftKings here ham Not today.

FanDuel only for me today. FanDuel only. Sorry, I don't have that website, so I can't pull up any contests there. Let's – where's that guy in the chat that had a sweat in the mini-macs? You think he's got another sweat here? Let's pull up the mini-macs. Do they have, like, an eight-eight-eight? They have a five-fifty-five milli. Try the $3,300 and see – The $3,100 right here. Yeah. See if anyone's in that. We're going to get to a Sunday night football here in a second.

We're just kind of sweating down a little bit. We don't want to start talking Sunday night football too soon because inactives. I don't know what kind of news we're waiting on, but inactives will come out in about thirty minutes or so.

Um this one you want to the the luxury box yeah see if anybody from the nation's in there I mean probably kenny noelsman this is g ryzen's boy let's go noelsman's a high stakes just crusher I mean purdy mcafree I do I like that I I mean I like this the the purdy mcafree pairing And instead of playing Purdy's pass catchers, you're playing other value guys in those ranges. Obviously, this is only a three-hundred-Person field. I think it's pretty sharp. I don't know.

DK Metcalf was terrible, and at seventeen percent, he's really bad. Well, I mean, you've got to remember, this is a three-thousand-dollar entry fee with three-hundred people. And he had... I mean, he had nine entries in it. He maxed it out. Keep scrolling down if you don't mind. What's Dallas doing? I need to get Dallas on the TV. Let's see. Seattle's in the red zone again. I don't think anyone. I wonder if Shalhoub's in. Let's look at the fifteen hundred dollar. Um, total fee.

Be a live contest. Think Shalhoub's in here? You would think. Yep. There he is. Shalhoub. Bryce Young, Tet, skinny run back with Bijan. I think that's a terrible move. Come on. Get that bonus, man. Who? Parker Washington. Oh, two yards, yeah. Dak, it's third and three right now. Seventeen, thirteen. Dak is so bad. Dak is just clueless, man. Just takes the sack. All right, let's start talking Sunday night football here, Pam. Let me go ahead and pull the Stone 2.0 point out here.

All right. So six and a half point dogs, right? Colts at the Chiefs. Is this game at Arrowhead or is it at? Is it in Indy? It's in Arrowhead, yeah. You said Colts earlier, but I believe it is in Arrowhead. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Okay. So Colts, Chiefs at Arrowhead. Obviously, the story of week one, right? Last primetime, we saw these Chiefs. It was... Kenneth Walker season now Walker nine hundred dollars more than Patrick Mahomes in the captain spot.

He projects to be the highest on captain by probably five to seven percent, something like that over Jonathan Taylor being cheaper. Obviously, he's six hundred dollars cheaper than what Jonathan Taylor is. Mahomes is the third guy. It's really a three headed race between Kenneth Walker, Jonathan Taylor, Patrick Mahomes up top. What is it? About a forty what? Forty seven and a half point total. Forty seven and a half point total, six and a half point favorites are the Chiefs. So that's hence why.

Right. Kent Walker projected to get the ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ he is up top. Almost a touchdown favorite at home here. Not really much. Not really much competition. So how do you see what's your kind of broad slate overview? And then we'll we'll talk your talk. The captain pool here. Yeah, you said it. I mean, we saw the Chiefs just six nights ago on Monday night just manhandling this Denver way. Colts can, on Sunday night, keep the game competitive, losing to the Ravens like they did.

So the Chiefs are going to get a lot of ownership, and they've got a good offense now. They've always had a good offense in the Mahomes, but Kenneth Walker kind of solidifies that offense. The Colts on the other side, we know where it's going. It's going to JT, the downs, It's going to Warren, and it's going to Pierce. So, yeah, Keenan Allen will go to the three guys, in my opinion, where it's going. So I'm excited about this game. I think we got it dialed in.

Looking forward to kind of breaking the whole thing down. I think it's a more competitive game than maybe some other thing. They see six and a half and just think they're going to run off. Yeah, we got R-D-D to Hamwich over here again. Just a terrible scene. I mean, terrible, just terrible week in and week out performance by Ham's internet here. Just absolutely horrendous. So hopefully we can get this guy in there.

I mean, hopefully we can get you a shipper over on FanDuel so you can, you can get better internet and actually speak logically here to, to the, uh, to, to the chat. Um, but yeah, um, it's definitely going to be a running back heavy slate, um, with Jonathan Taylor, Kenneth Walker going, not really having much backups on either side. Right. You got Seth, uh, Seth McGowan, Emmett Johnson, right. Those, those are really the two guys.

I mean, what did Burchard Smith get hurt last week? I think, um, So it's really, I mean, you got two workhorse guys that don't have much competition behind them. You have Patty Mahomes, who will run a little bit. And same thing with Daniels Jones, right? So you got a lot of rushing. A lot of the rushing share is done through the quarterback and the running back.

But really four guys, right, where you don't have a lot of backups, like a Blake Corum in the fold, things like that. So it's two lion's share guys with two quarterbacks with some rushing upside as well. Captain is definitely going to be heavily focused as we lost Ham here. Captain is going to be heavily focused among Patrick Mahomes and then – hold on. This guy, Ham, I mean – My, oh, my. We nilly willy. All right, you back?

Yeah, I don't know why my internet keeps going out on these NFL shows. It must be something. I don't know. But anyway, that's pathetic. Yeah, I mean, just the terrible scene. Terrible scene, chat. Rip on Ham here. I mean, someone donate to the Ham Charity Foundation here for new internet. But, Ham, basically what I was saying is we got – Three guys that are going to command the ownership up top.

It's going to be running back heavy with Kenneth Walker, Jonathan Taylor, and then Patty Mahomes. Daniel Jones is kind of getting forgotten, at least. He's got a pretty similar ceiling to these other guys. He's definitely fourth in the slate in terms of ceiling. We show it here on the screen. How do you break down the three-headed race between Walker, Jonathan Taylor, Patty Mahomes, and then any other captains that you're looking at here tonight?

And then before you do, I do see – pretty heavy lean going to five, one in favor of the Chiefs here. Um, right. We just saw five, one smash in the last primetime game. Now there's a six and a half point favorites. It's gotta be a five, one Chiefs route. There's just no way around it. Right. So it must be, you gotta find the one Colt that you gotta put in your lineup.

So how are you going to navigate the five, one kind of getting more steam and more popularity than we typically see? Um, because we just saw right. Recency bias. That's what one, uh, Now the spread indicates kind of a blowout as well. So how do you see the captain position here? Yeah. Real quick before I answer that. Yeah. Chris Jones is questionable. So we're going to get enacted as about fifteen, twenty minutes. So look forward. Looking forward to that.

But yeah, to me, it's it's a it's a balanced game. You said it. Kenneth Walker is going to be the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗. He's going to be popular, rightfully so. We saw it. Derek Henry did this Colts team last week. And we saw what Kenneth Walker did to a much better defense in the Broncos. So he's going to get some ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. Mahomes is going to be up there as well. And then Jonathan Taylor is the most expensive captain at, at $16,500.

Those are going to be the best three, three captains that I like Nades and interested to get your take on this would kind of be, um, Rashi Rice at $14,100. Only had two targets last week, but we know what he can do. He's kind of like a goal line gadget guy inside the team. I'll throw him a little slip screen. He can get busy. So I love Rice up top in the captain's position.

Obviously with Mahomes going to be in the flex as well. Then two guys. On the other side, Alec Pierce. Alec Pierce could take the top off of defense nades. He went full, full, full all week long. So he should be back to a hundred percent. I like his deep playability. And then Josh Downs ran thirty two routes on thirty four dropbacks last week for Daniels Jones at nine nine. I think Josh Downs, if you think the game is close, get him in your captain spot.

Then after that, that's really my five captains. I don't think I'm going dimes in the in the captain spot. I should say five, but it should be six. So it's the top four, Taylor, Walker, Mahomes. Then I'm going to go Rice, Pierce, and Downs. That's kind of the next three for me. Yeah. The only quarterback I'd play up top, I think, is Dimes. Really? Yeah. And the reason being is I think, number one, it's the opposite side of Mahomes. Number two, it's the opposite.

If Dimes is doing it, that means Jonathan Taylor isn't. So from a leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ standpoint – I think Dimes is pretty interesting here. He can spread it out to all these guys. Downs, Pierce, Keenan Allen was heavily involved last week. You still have Tyler Warren. They like to run Mo Alec Cox out there still. So you just – there's a lot of guys he can spread it out to. The Chiefs are a lot more condensed, in my opinion here, than what the Colts potentially can be.

Yeah, Xavier Worley, Thornton, Kelley, Noah Gray, those guys can get in there. But it's really Mahomes, Rice. And Kenneth Walker is kind of – and Kelley, right? Those four kind of really soak up majority of the usage within the Chiefs offense here. So, for me, if I'm playing a quarterback up top, which I don't love quarterbacks up top here. I'm more on the running backs and the wide receivers up top here tonight.

But I do think Daniels Jones, just with his rushing upside alone, he's probably going to have to scramble around a little bit here. I want to see what his rushing prop is. Let me pull up his – Daniel Jones rushing prop here because I think – I'm kind of talking myself into some more Daniels Jones here. I think he's a pretty interesting option up top because of what it does. It leverages Kenneth Walker. It leverages Jonathan Taylor. It leveraged Patrick Mahomes.

It's the three highest owned captains on the slate. Daniel Jones has a ceiling. So I think he's interesting. I think Kenneth Walker is a great play. If picking my favorite overall captain, it'd probably be Kenneth Walker just because It's hard to argue his lion's share, right? We haven't really seen a bell call back since Kenneth Walker came over the Chiefs here. Colts just got gashed on the ground, right? It's just hard to get away from Kenneth Walker there. Jonathan Taylor, I think, is interesting.

We're showing some positive leverage here on Jonathan Taylor up top. I'd prefer to play Jonathan Taylor up top or not play him at all. Eleven K in the flex is a pretty hefty price point. I mean, he's eighteen hundred dollars more. Than Daniels Jones in the flex. I'd much rather have Daniels Jones over Jonathan Taylor in the flex. So if I'm playing Jonathan Taylor, it's up top or nothing. It's kind of how I see it.

If I'm playing Kenneth Walker up top, I think pairing him with the Chiefs defense and taking a shot at a $4,200 Chiefs defense over the kickers in that range, I think it's kind of interesting there. So I do like that little slice and dice. And then I'm with you, Alec Pierce. I like up top at $11,400. People forget about this guy. He's been a field stretcher. He's had tons of upside when Daniels Jones has been under center.

Josh Downs, I understand he was heavily involved, but from an upside standpoint, I'm more on team Alec Pierce than Josh Downs if playing one up top. So I do prefer Alec Pierce up top as the wide receiver. And then I think Rice and Worthy both are interested up top. So I guess ranking my captain pool, I would go – Rashee Rice, number one. Kenneth Walker, two. Daniel Jones, three. Pierce, four. Jonathan Taylor, five. And then Xavier Worthy would be six.

Going to take an underweight approach on Patrick Mahomes, especially up top. I love Patrick Mahomes in the flex. I love Daniels Jones in the flex. Higher quarterbacks myself than the running backs in the flex at these price points. But any additional takes from the captain pool here? Yeah, nothing for me. I'm not as high on Worthy as you, but it sounds like – and I might have missed it. Did you say anything about Josh Downs and the captain you win or out on that?

Yeah, I prefer Pierce personally just because I think Pierce Scales more. I think Pierce can go three for one, twenty, and two, whereas Downs is more the possession guy, I think, him and Keenan. Downs can obviously do it, but I think Pierce has more of a – more of a ceiling. Um, in my opinion, I know he's more expensive, but I also think that helps keep his ownership.

I mean, I think you're going to get Pierce at half the ownership of Josh Downs in the same situation. So I just rather play the lower own guy, um, who has shown to, to be able to do it, especially with Danny Jones in our center. So that's my kind of reasoning between those two. Um, but I don't hate, uh, I don't hate Josh Downs. You have to expect, right, the Colts are going to be playing from behind here. Spread would indicate that.

They're going to have to air it out. I mean, at $9,900 and the captain, when you have a lot of studs to pay for, you have Tyler Warren, you have Donathan Taylor, you have Daniels Jones. Obviously, you have Rice, Mahomes and Kenneth Walker. Those guys are all super expensive. Right. So maybe going down a little bit at the captain from a price standpoint. I do prefer Josh Downs to Tyler Warren than the captain spot.

I know our guy asked about Tyler Warren here. I'm typically not. Team tight end in the captain. I ran a bunch of back testing stuff looking at looking through our partnership over at DFS OS and running kind of top one percent lineups and stuff and tight end captain hits at like a seven percent rate. I typically don't like playing at a ton. Especially in this spot here.

I mean, I mean, you're looking at Tyler Warren being higher owned in the captain spot than Daniels Jones. So, and he's higher on the Josh Downs now Pierce. I just, I would much rather play those other pass catchers myself, but how do you see it? Yeah. I mean, I got Pierce downs rice. You got me questioning Worthy now. Why, why do you like Worthy so much? I mean, I just think everyone is so down on Xavier Worthy. I mean, this guy still has a home run play.

He's $8,100. I mean, I'd play him over Josh Downs. I probably I mean, I would I would in the captain spot myself personally. Yeah. I don't know. I just think Worthy has a lot of upside here. He looks really good on the stone. The ownership's not going there because the ownership is going to be so heavily focused on Patrick Mahomes and Kenneth Walker and then Rashee Rice that Worthy leverages all three of those guys, right?

So, from a leverage standpoint on a one-game slate, when everyone thinks they know everything, I mean, I'll take a shot on Xavier Worthy in this offense. And he can hit a home run too, you know what I mean? Like he can go sixty. Yeah, I mean, Rice is – Rice is more the possession guy and hope he gets you the eight for one ten and one, something like that, right, which would obviously play really well up top.

But Worthy could go three, four, a hundred plus and one as well, right, and at the price and the ownership discount and what it does for your overall roster with the value being super weak on this slate overall. I just like the cheaper if choosing that. So, I mean, I prefer Worthy to those ancillary coats. Now, you can make the argument that how much are the Chiefs really going to have to throw? We don't know, right?

At the end of the day, we don't know. Crazy shit happens. The Bucs just lost as heavy favorites. The Chargers lost last week as heavy favorites. I mean, at the end of the day, we don't know anything. So that's kind of how I see it. But any additional captain talks here? Yeah, no, I don't think there's going to be any wild captains come out of it. You kind of said it. I'm not a Warren or Kelley, for that matter, in the captain spot.

I don't like either tied in in the captain role. Yeah, so, I mean, the shell that we're going up against projections-wise is both running backs, but just a stone punt to make it all fit at a two hundred dollar play. See, I don't. This is kind of why I like playing Jonathan Taylor up top or not playing Jonathan Taylor, because at eleven K in the flex, I mean, he has to beat everybody. I mean, or at least come close to it.

I mean, he's the most expensive player on the slate. He's a thousand dollars more than my homes. He's eighteen hundred dollars more than Daniels Jones. And we're talking flex. Right. So he's going to be fifty percent on forty five, fifty percent on in the flex and only fifteen percent on the captain. If I get twenty percent, Jonathan Taylor, I'm overweight in the captain and I used him differently in the field. So I think I'm not completely out.

If Jonathan Taylor goes out there and gets his three touchdown game, he's probably going to play up top better anyways than he's going to be in the flex. You're not going to be mad about it, but. That's kind of how I see it. How do you see that? When these running backs kind of get this kind of priced, I know there's no really competition between him or Kenneth Walker from the backup running back standpoint.

I just think at XIK, that's kind of getting into the – especially as almost a seven-point dog here, right? Yeah. I mean, that's kind of getting into the territory of up top or nothing for me. And that's probably how I'm going to approach tonight. And I think that's going to be a contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗ take because projections-wise, they're just going to slam all these top dudes in and punt off one position.

Yeah, I mean, he's going to get twenty, you know, twenty, possibly twenty five and thirty touches if he's up there. I don't hate that. Like I played him on my team in the in the flex, but I can certainly see like, yeah, if he gets three touchdowns, you're going to need him up top anyway. So don't hate it. Taylor bust. And then if you don't go Taylor, then who are you going as your cult in the flex, though?

So I'm not going to play any five ones, I don't think, in terms of the Chiefs. I couldn't see myself play a five one in favor of the Colts. I just, I mean, when almost twenty percent of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Full explanation ↗ is going to do five one Chiefs. I mean, I think the Colts, I mean, Daniels Jones is sub $10,000 in the flex with rushing upside. So, I mean, I like Daniels Jones the most. From the. From the Colts side, I mean.

His rushing props only eight and a half, which is is a little scary there. Daniel Jones, that is his. In terms of favorites to score in this game, is this right? Ashton Doolin? Why is Ashton Doolin minus-one-eleven to score? That can't be right. There's no way that's right. No, Ashton Doolin's not even playing. He's out. Yeah. Yeah, I don't know why. I mean, this odds board is messed up.

So the only guy to favor the score in this game, from what I'm seeing any time, touchdown, I'm just looking at an action network because it kind of breaks everything down, is Jonathan Taylor, minus-one-twenty. Kenneth Walker? Kenneth Walker, minus-two-ten, yeah. So the two running backs confirm it. Yeah, that's right. In terms of flex here, Ham – Again, we touched on the quarterbacks. I'm going to be in on both of them, definitely overweight in the flex.

I'm probably going to be under on both of them, or under for sure in the captain on Patrick Mahomes. I think Daniels Jones is interesting up top just because I don't think people play him up there. $9,200, though, in the flex. I much prefer him to Jonathan Taylor, like I said. Any additional flex talk on the quarterbacks here? Yeah, I mean, I like Mahomes in the flex, especially if you have Rice up top.

I think if Rice has that ceiling game or even Worthy, for that matter, I think you're going to need Mahomes in the flex. I could see it where you don't play a Dimes in the flex. Like if you have a JT, if you think it's a low-scoring affair and for whatever reason you have a Pierce or something like that, kind of like we saw Ja'Marr Chase today. I mean, Pierce is kind of that home run hitter.

So I'd be more apt not to have Daniels Jones in there, but they obviously love me some of Holmes in the flex. Yeah, I love both of them for sure. Running backs, it's Jonathan Taylor, it's Kenneth Walker, and then it's a bunch of no-names. Emmitt Johnson is getting some ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ just because the Chiefs are seven-point favorites here. I don't love it. I mean, he's .三, so he still has – I mean, he's $3,600. The Chiefs defense is $4,200 Colts defense is $3,200.

So he's sandwiched between the defenses. I don't love it personally. Rashard Smith at four hundred dollars. I'd probably rather take a shot at him as a gadget guy. Than Emmitt Johnson for four hundred bucks instead of $3,600. But realistically, I don't like any of these shitty backup running backs in this game outside of Jonathan Taylor, Kenneth Walker. I think those two guys are better plays up top and just hope it's a Kenneth Walker day like like it was last game.

And he gets all the work, gets one hundred yards, scores sixty some DraftKings points up top. I much prefer both the running backs up top than in the flex. I think if I had to pick one, it'd be Kenneth Walker overall in the flex. But Any additional takes from running back here? Yeah, I mean, I'm fine with them in the flex because both are so loved to score a touchdown. The two biggest players for a touchdown, I'm fine with them. Emmitt Johnson, maybe.

But, man, that's pretty thin down there at .三六百, then none of those other three. Not even Beathard Smith, I'm not going there. Yeah, I mean, I just think at four hundred bucks when you start like. I think he has a role when you're going stars and scrubs, right? When you're jamming in the Taylor, Jonathan Taylor, Kenneth Walker, Rice, Mahomes, Jones, something like that, you need to punt off a position. I would rather punt off. Chargers can never do it, man.

I'm always in a fucking position to do something, and my team just fucking shits out. I mean, it's just so annoying. It's baseball, NFL, same shit, different day. Fucking Herbert. It could be worse. Your head coach could wear his hat backwards, and then he could also kick a field goal down two touchdowns late in the third quarter. What an absolute donkey Dan Quinn is. That guy's pathetic. I mean, I heard Omari and Hampton was supposed to be like the fucking – The new Barry Sanders, right?

And, I mean, this dude can't even hold on to the fucking football at midfield when they're in field goal range. Madison Beer cursed the Chargers. The Chargers are terrible. I mean, my God, just so, so tilting. This is just tilting. It is what it is. But, hey, we get it back tonight. It's just really, really frustrating when I dodge landmines. JSN times three. No. No. Yeah, Drew Locke, three touchdowns on the road, all to JSN.

So congrats to all the JSN guys out there. Why not JSN? He's a ball player. What can you say? Yeah, I mean, they're just good at football. He's good at football. But, yeah, backup running backs are terrible here tonight. It's kind of how I see it. It's Jonathan Taylor, Kenneth Walker, far above the rest, which does help, right? Wide receivers is a different story, though, here, Ham. From the flex, you got Rashee Rice up at $9,400.

And then you got to drop off down a cliff. Alec Pierce in that kind of no man's land. $7,600. Think that keeps his ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ in check. More downs is going to be probably double what an Alec Pierce is going to be on there. So how do you see those two? How do you see the running backs or the wide receivers? Excuse me. Play out here.

It's really Rice, Pierce, Downs, Xavier Worthy as the main and then ancillary guys being Keenan Allen, Taequann Thornton. And then you just got the punts. Hope to get hope they find their way into the end zone, get one catch for fifteen yards, something like that in all these kind of wide receiver threes and fours down here. Yeah, I mean, it's Rice, right? No shock there. But I actually like the other receivers better. Josh Downs, I'm really high on Josh Downs tonight.

I think, like I said, he ran thirty two out of thirty four routes last week. Get him in space out there. Let him let him roam. Let him roam the the slot there for Indy. And Josh Downs, I really like him. Alec Pierce, like I said, more home run type from Alec Pierce. So he would be, he would be number three for me out of that. I'll call it the big three, not getting to Keenan Allen. Don't love Xavier Worthy.

You're kind of talking, talking me into him a little bit. And then if you wanted to take a flyer, especially like in the, what is it? The, the two hundred $50,000 on DK Taekwon Thornton only got one target last week, but it was a deep ball. He catches two, you know, he gets two or three opportunities, catches one or two of them, takes it to the house. He could go, two for eighty and a touchdown or two for eighty and two, something like that.

But I'm not getting to Cyrus Allen, you know, Laquan Treadwell. I don't know if these guys are dressing. Niki, whatever his name is, he played a little bit. But Josh Downs, Josh Downs, one of my favorite GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ wide receivers tonight. Yeah. So I like all, I like Worthy downs and Pierce. I like all three of those. Those are probably three of my favorite wide. Those are probably my three favorite wide receivers on the slate where she writes is great, but everybody loves him.

Um, ownership is there. I do prefer where she writes to Travis Kelley. If picking one of the two, um, I don't love Travis Kelley. I just, I think he's done at this point. I think he's washed up in it and it's done. Um, But Downs, I like Downs a lot because he's sandwiched between Alec Pierce, Keenan Allen, Tyler Warren. Warren's going to be a much higher on Downs. I like what I saw from Downs. He's more of the PPR guy.

He's kind of that Michael Pittman role, kind of took over for that Michael Pittman role in this offense. So I do like him. I prefer Downs to Keenan Allen. I'm not a Keenan Allen guy. Hopefully, twenty percent of the field plays Keenan Allen. I'll play Xavier Worthy for two hundred dollars less than him. I think this is a good buy low spot on Xavier Worthy. I'm pretty high on him.

And then the other guy that I would have interest in is Taequann Thornton in those DST ranges just because he had seventy three percent. What did he have? He's got about, I think, about, I think, about, I think, about, I think, In like Kenneth Walker, Captain Bill, playing Taequann Thornton in the flex, it's a different value play than what the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Full explanation ↗ is going to use with these tight ends, particularly guys like Noah Gray, things like that.

And I mean, if he gets stopped, well, that could help Kenneth Walker as well. Right. So Xavier Worley catches the eighty five yard bomb, steps out at the five, whatever. Right. Kenneth Walker goes out there, trots it in, does all his other stuff throughout the game. So I do like Tycoon. Tycoon Thornton is a nice value at $3,800. He's going to be pretty low. And like I said, Keenan Allen's the guy I don't like. So it's really Pierce.

I like Pierce more up top than I do in the flex just because if he gets there, I think he gets all the way there. Much prefer Downs to Pierce in the flex. So I rank the flex kind of Josh Downs. Rashee Rice, Thornton Worthy is kind of how I see it, just because those other guys I rank higher up top than I do in the flex is how I see it. But how do you rank this wide receiver?

Keenan did get six targets, as Sean Sully says. But, man, those are like six hard targets, like not getting anywhere. I mean, like for GPPs, it's Josh Downs, number one for me. Rashee Rice, Alec Pierce would be third. And then Keenan Worthy. Are on a tier of their own, and then Tyquan Thornton like in the lotto. Yeah, I do think Tyquan Thornton is a pretty – because there's no other guys in his range.

I mean, if you look at the slate, Tyquan Thornton two hundred dollars more than Emmitt Johnson, and he's got the same projected ownership. I mean, Emmitt Johnson might get eight touches in this game. If Tyquan Thornton gets a look or gets a touch, it's going to be a play that separates you in terms of fantasy points. So that's kind of how I see it, why I have some interest in him. But let's jump over, talk tight ends here.

Obviously, Tyler Warren, Travis Kelley are the two main guys. I'm team Tyler Warren over Travis Kelley, but the price is pretty nice on Travis Kelley at $6,200. Hence, the ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ is going to go there. He seems like a much, much safer click than Travis. And I mean, Worthy for sure. Keenan Allen, he's kind of in that same price point there. I prefer Josh Downs over Travis Kelley for lower ownership in the flex.

I know you're probably going to side on that as well. So it's really Tyler Warren and Noah Gray are the two guys that I have interest in here from the from the tight end position. I hate to say that my boy Jake Brenningstuhl, one catch Jake Brenningstuhl from the Chiefs. It's not listed on these projections. Nashville, great. But, yeah, man, Travis Kelley, such dust. Don't love him.

Someone said in the chat, had a bad game last week, caught one over the middle, kind of ran a while. But he's like – I don't know what he is now. He's not a very good football player, first-bout Hall of Famer, but don't like him in DFS. And Tyler Warren – Tyler Warren probably is their best weapon in terms of pass catchers, right? And so, I mean, I love Spaggs, the way he does things. I think he can shut Tyler Warren down.

So, man, he's a tough click, but he's also a game breaker too. But I'm going to be lower on Tyler Warren than maybe some. But he had a bad game last week against the Ravens. I think that trend continues tonight against this Spaggs-led defense. Come on, Herbert. Give me Johnson. There he is. Fucking missed him. Fuck you. Oh, my God, Herbert. Throw it out of bounds. God, what a shit bag. All right, back to the scheduled program here. Yeah, I'm with you there.

What was bringing Stuhl's? Route participation, targets, and stuff from last week. No, it was terrible. I mean, I was kidding. He played twenty percent and had one target. He's not he's not viable. I mean, he is. He is sixteen hundred. And people, if they're if they're going value tight end. We're going to play Noah Gray. What was Noah Gray's stats compared to him? He played. I mean, he ran. Oh, it's over. Gosh, this guy's freaking pathetic. My God.

Yeah, I'm getting so I'm so frustrated right now at my my DFS season. Not not NFL, just the year in general. I mean, I got in contention and then just nothing just goes completely opposite way. But in terms of tight end. Yeah, I mean, bringing still. Nineteen percent of the snaps. He played thirteen snaps. I don't know. What do you know? Gray played thirty eight. So, yeah, I don't I mean, bring it still is not in play. I mean, if anyone's in play, obviously.

What about when we got some questions in the chat, Pierce, Captain Jones, that's I mean, I'm not we're not giving you a whole team. So I think. Mean I don't hate that andrew Martinez um but I think the Pierce and the Thornton combination I mean I get it right because they're both home run guys I just think it's a little thin personally um having both of them in the same build.

I mean, I think you're different enough with a Pierce captain already that you don't have to go with a Thornton, but that kind of brings it up. The talking point on the slate here, Ham is the value, the value on the slate. If I go by, I mean, outside of Butker at $5,000, who do you feel comfortable with down here? I mean, Chiefs defense at $4,200. Then you got Tyquan. I mean, who's a home run play.

Yeah, he has upside, but he has his floor is zero. I mean, Colts defense, Noah Gray. I mean, I say all that to say that value on the slate is absolutely horrendous. So if we can find anyone down here, I mean, it kind of unlocks the slate. If you can find someone ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ is going to go to. I mean, the Colts defense is projected as seven point underdogs.

Well, six and a half point underdogs to be double digit ownership because there's no value on the slate and they start with ten points. And it takes one strip sack, one pick to the house. I mean, Mahomes can make mistakes. How do you approach this slate from a value perspective? Man, I'm looking at it like your guess is as good as mine. So let's look at the value. I mean, like realistically. There is no value.

The value is Noah Gray, Colts defense, Chiefs defense, and the kickers. Yep. I mean, I would put Tyquan and that backup running back in there. Because, yeah, I mean, I would say Taekwon is my favorite value at $3,800. But that's kind of why I also like the Daniels Jones captain. Right. Going back to captain. I mean, look at Daniels Jones price. Thirty $13,800. Alec Pierce. $11,400. Shit. Even Tyler Warren. $10,800.

That's why I think people go to these captains. Yeah. Does it feel great having Jonathan Taylor up top or Kenneth Walker for sure? And in my homes? Absolutely. But. I mean, if I just start clicking this in, if I just start clicking in, let's just do Patrick Mahomes, right? You go over to the flex. You click in Kenneth Walker. Let's go flex. You click in Kenneth Walker, Rashee Rice, Daniels Jones. I mean, you're down to $2,900. Right. Like you're down to $2,900.

So let's click out Daniels Jones, say the Chiefs route, throw in the Chiefs defense, throw in. Shit, Noah Gray. I mean, you're $7,800. So you're looking at like Tyler Warren. Right. So something like this, I think, is going to be a pretty. A pretty common build. But I say all that to say, I mean, the teams are just the team just looks so much better when I break it down and I look and I start like this. Right.

Like Daniels Jones, go to the wide receiver. Right. We liked Josh Downs. Tyler Warren. Then you can still play Kenneth Walker and you're at fifty nine. Five point $9,000 for your your other two flex spots. So, I mean, then you could put in like Noah Gray and then you land up in this $8,000 range. Right. The Pierce of the world. So obviously you kind of land in no man's land there.

But I mean, I guess I say all that to say that that I kind of like the cheaper captains just because when the values this week, that's where you can see. It can go one of two ways. You can take a zero from a two hundred dollar guy and just hope you get something and play the top three dogs up top, the walkers, the Patrick Mahomes and the Jonathan Taylor.

Or you can play one of these other guys and kind of round out your teams in that kicker, that defense range. And put it up against that other build, right? Do you have any thoughts on that? No, I think that's great, right? Yeah, because you're not going to want to play the cheap, you know, below three Ks, kind of low as we'll go. I think you've got to go cheap captain and build that way. I think that's a great point by you.

Once we get off this show, I'm going to start building some teams that way because, man, it's not very flattering once you get down there, as you alluded to. Yeah. I mean, I just think it's, I just think it's, you're going to, you're going to kind of walk yourself into a lot of similar teams as the rest of the fieldThe FieldThe field is everyone else entered in a contest, the group of lineups you are competing against.Before you build, picture the typical lineup in your contest. Then decide on purpose where you'll match it and where you'll step away from it.Full explanation ↗. Right. Which is fine. If you want to do that way, right. Absolutely do it. But I'm playing for first place.

I just, I just think that's why it, uh, I think it's pretty interesting there. Um, so let's round it out with kickers and defenses here. Um, You got the kickers in the flax. $5,000 for Butker is a seven-point favorite basically at home here. He's a good fantasy kicker. Spencer Schrader, seven-point dogs, well, six-and-a-half-point dogs. Typically, the underdog kicker is much lower owned, which is going to be the case here. Do you have a preference between Butker and Schrader?

They're only four hundred dollars apart, and then the defenses are way cheaper. $4,200 for the Chiefs, $3,200 for the For the Colts, we know Danny Dimes can make mistakes, which I actually think playing Danny Dimes with the Chiefs defense is a pretty interesting correlationCorrelationCorrelation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.Full explanation ↗ here tonight. Gets the ball right back to him. He has to chuck it. Maybe he relies on his feet a little bit more. I mean, I think that.

So I'm not against the defenses here just with how weak the value is. In slates like this where the value is weak, I'm going to be over on the defenses and the kickers. I think both of them. But how do you see it here? Yeah, I don't, I mean, it's not fun in my opinion to play these defenses and kickers, but Nades, you got me onto something, man. Like you're going to have to play my opinion.

First off, I like Butker better than I like the Colts kicker, just because I think they're going to score more than they're going to have more chances to score. So I like that. Obviously like the Chiefs defense better as well. But everybody likes the Chiefs defense better and their kicker better. So I think at least one of the four are in play and going to be on the winner. Like I said, I'm going to start building some teams here when we get off this stream.

But, man, you're going to have to play one of them, I think, and hope that there's three field goals or a strip sack like you alluded to earlier. But with no value, I think you're going to have to play one of these guys that you know right out the gate they're going to get some points. Yeah, I agree. So, yeah, I do like the kickers and defenses here. I think we summarized it pretty good. Did you see inactives come out yet?

Yeah, it's coming out. Let me pull them up. Yeah, let me pull up X here. Pull it up while you're doing that. Something that's football inactives. We need to see what Chris Jones is doing. So, Chris Jones is in. Inactives week two. A bunch of, so it's Jared Wiley, backup quarterback, Chamari Conner, DB, he's out, or he's inactive. Pyburn, inactive. Pound, Simmons, both inactive, both tackles. And then Bryce and Eason, D-tackle, are inactive there. Yeah, that's big. I mean, Josh Simmons was their starting tackle.

He missed last game as well. Looks like their rookie corner from LSU, I think, Lenore, whatever, Delaney, he looks like he's in, which would be good. Yeah, he is. Shamari Connors. Let's see on the Colts. Indy, inactive. Nothing surprising there. Ashton Doolittle, New South Wales. Yeah, they're out. Nobody that's worth noting and everybody that we knew. Ashton Doolin, he's out. DJ Giddens, which doesn't really matter, but yeah. Yeah. Any final thoughts here from the showdown?

I do see that the five one lead, like I said, about fifteen, fifteen percent, twenty percent, something like that in terms of five one builds favored of the Chiefs that obviously for two Chiefs. So between five one and four two Chiefs, that's about fifty percent of the field at least. What's your thoughts on that? Yeah, I don't like a five-one. I would say more four-two, like four on Kansas City, two on the Colts, or even a three-three. But, yeah, I think the Colts keep it competitive.

But the biggest takeaway that I got from this, Nades, is I'm going to – the biggest – I'd say the cheapest guy that I like in the captain mode – I'm going to play some of him because there's not any value, and I want to jam as many of the best guys in that I can and hope that that guy that I put in the captain spot cuts up tonight.

Yeah Xavier Worthy fits that build I think um he I don't mind that um josh johns I think fits that build for you um if you wanted to a taekwon Thornton I don't love the cheap captain just because if you do it um on so like I could just start building it out here people are just gonna go down the line they're gonna click this all right and then they're gonna play whatever Daniel Jones right so your team's gonna look something like this and a kicker right like I mean, a cheap captain just leads you into a similar build.

So if I'm going cheap captain, I think I would play cheap captain with a cheap flex player and just get different that way, something like that. But I really like that mid-tier captain build is what I like. That's kind of my final thoughts from the show. I really like the Alec Pierce, the Daniels Jones, even Rashee Rice.

More, the Xavier Worthy as well, more than the Taylor, the Walker, the Mahomes up top just because of what it does for your overall roster on this slate with value being as bad as it is. It's kind of how I'm approaching it, and I'm going to be over on Daniels Jones. I'm taking a shot on the opposite side of all the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ with Mahomes and Kenneth Walker, and why not Daniels Jones in prime time here, right? I know he's on the road.

I know it's the Chiefs. I know all of this. But what's your final thoughts? Yeah, no, I liked what you said. When I said cheap captain, I mean, I'm not going down to like the Noah Graves of the world. It's like the Pierce, the down, the Worthy types and not so much. Is Stephon Diggs a ball player? Diggs is good at football, man. He's been really good so far. Yeah, surprise, Chargers, another fucking safety. Thanks, Herbert. Fuck you.

Yeah, I mean, I got a thirty ball from Trey Tucker at zero point four percent ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ as the run backBring-BackIn the NFL, a bring-back is usually a wide receiver, tight end or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗. And then Herbert, Herbert, Trey Harris and Quentin Johnson don't even score more than Trey Tucker does. Combined is brutal. We got to go. We got to go get our bags tonight. Nades, we got money today. So let's go get it. Good show. Hot take. You have a hot take. People love your hot takes before we get out of here.

My hot takes were amazing, have been for the last two weeks. But I'm going to say Josh Downs in the captain spot brings home all the cheddar. Oh, Josh Downs in the captain spot, huh? Yep. All right. I'm going to say – That's off the wall, you know, but that's – we'll see. Yeah, I mean, I don't mind that. I like that. I'm going to go – In terms of my hot take, I'm going to go. I don't think it's really a hot take.

I think it's going to be one of Rishi Rice or Daniels Jones up top. I like those two a lot. They're lower owned than the top three guys. Gets you a better roster construction, I think, especially Daniels Jones. So I'm going to be putting my bag on Daniels Jones. Feels gross to say, but. That's kind of how I'm riding that. I like the ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. I like the upside. I like how it sets up for your roster.

So I guess my overall arching kind of thoughts here is Daniels Jones is kind of my pivotal piece to tonight's roster in general appreciate everyone tuning in hit that like button hit that subscribe button helps us out a ton good luck in your final sweats here hopefully you got jsn out there um if you don't have jsn pretty gonna be pretty hard to ship anything but uh hopefully you had a profitable Sunday Me and Ham will be back next Sunday.

The boys will be back to break down Monday Night Football as well. We got another week of baseball as we round into the playoffs here. But appreciate all the interaction. Appreciate all the comments. Drop in the comments section after the video here your favorite captains, how you think the game is going to play out, and we'll take a look at those.

And if you – him what did we do last year we we gave away they got to get to school right free month right free free all access month uh which is a hundred and thirty dollar value um at Ship It Nation for a month to check us out behind the paywall get all the stone like you see here up on the screen if you guess the correct score with the winner so you do have to note the winner it's free to do so get yourself a hundred and thirty dollar value come join us But for him, I'm Nades.

Good luck tonight in those contests and hope your main slate ends well. We'll see you guys next time. We're out of here. Peace.