MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 09/15/26

I know we have Sean Minaya ahead right now. I think it's probably going to be Logan Gilbert when it's all said and done. Maybe Minaya. I do think it's one of those two. And deGrom probably is the top three, but. Let's go, actually, yeah, let's go all the way. Usually I cut it off at $1,000, but because Sean Minaya will be one of the chalkiest on the slate, I want to include him in this loaded upper tier.

So take it away at pitching, seven point $5,000 to $10,000 on DraftKings. Yeah, I mean, we'll start with Gilbert. I mean, it's pretty easy. I mean, we got a guy who's had two games in a row with ten plus strikeouts. I like the fact, too, that he's also on the road.

He's been pitching better on the road, but he gets this Angeles team that's got nothing but strikeouts in that lineup with netto thirty two percent trout twenty seven and then the middle part I mean the lowest uh strikeout bat is meckler at nineteen everybody else is uh in the high twenties low thirties so I mean there's definitely some strikeout uh opportunities here for Gilbert and I understand why he's a little bit chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ but I I'm not too thrilled on Logan Gilbert performance as far as him giving up earned runs for me just to catch up.

Oh, he's SP one today and he should be the chalkiest because I truthfully like to grab a little bit more just because I don't feel like to grab. Has been giving up as many runs recent times. So, sure, Gilbert got the better matchup right now against the Angeles. So I'd kind of put them, like, right kind of even just because Angeles, Royals. You know, like, you know, it's a – the matchup is just way better with the Angeles. Can't spit it out.

I was already trying to think what I was going to say next.

But either way, so title for me – I just want to grom because of the fact that I look at his game log he's what in his last seven or eight starts yeah one bad game he gave up eight earned runs everything else it's like one earned run zero earned runs I mean his his strikeouts are there uh recent time so I mean for me I think de grom is my favorite just because of what we're going to be looking at as far as ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ so and especially then I'm looking at I get a twelve hundred dollar discount and de grom at $8,800 Like on FanDuel, they're literally a hundred apart.

So I think that makes a big difference for me. So on FanDuel, Gilbert is by far the SP one, but for me over on DK, I think I just go flat out to Grom just because I like the way he's been pitching a little bit better. So, I mean, Gilbert has been prone to give up some power too, especially the right side and the Angels definitely have some power.

So for me, I think the Grom for me is the guy that, that I'm looking at now, the wild card, my favorite pivot of the bunch is, is going to be Hurter Brown. I think Hurter Brown has looked really good here in recent times. That's when I was saying Royals. But Brown for me is a guy I like too, title. So Brown and deGrom, I think I have ahead of Gilbert on DK. Just because Brown's look really good in his recent times.

His pitch count's been up there about a hundred each time. He's got seven, seven, ten Ks his last three starts.

He's his issue was his control so I think brown for me has looked pretty good and with his control he's had zero walks two walks one walk so I'm satisfied with that so I think brown for me kind of moves up a little bit ahead of Gilbert especially in the tournament with tournaments I mean if I'm playing cash yeah I'd go to graham and Gilbert without even question but I think you can throw in brown and feel pretty good about it especially with Gilbert going to be so chalky.

And then moving on down, Waka, I'm not really interested in. Fried against Minnesota is tough because he just hasn't been getting the pitch count lately. I mean, he's at eighty, seventy two, sixty three pitches. That to me is too risky for me. So I let other people play him. I'm not even interested in Max Fried. So I'd pass on him. Gossman against the Braves. Man, I just think that's pretty tough.

I think that I'd rather play some of the Braves, to be honest with you, than Minaya against the Orioles. I mean, sure, the Orioles do strike out quite a bit, but man, I'm not sure if I really like Sean Minaya all that much. So, I mean, I'd play him if I'm looking for some salary, maybe to try to get some Padre bats out there in Coors Field. I think, you know, you'd probably, almost every Coors Field is probably going to have a Minaya in the lineup.

So, because there really isn't much else unless you really want to go down to like Pallante, who has really no strikeout capabilities. I can't really go any lower than that, to be honest with you. I mean, man, I'd have to get the whiskey bottle out and the bong to play anybody else. Below that. So for me, it's a pretty easy title. I mean, there really isn't much to choose from, to be honest with you.

I mean, Gilbert, Brown, and then adding deGrom made it a little easier. Gilbert really would be, you know, pretty, I think Gilbert had been seventy percent today if it wasn't for deGrom getting added. But I do like deGrom more. Maybe he won't get his plate as much just because he came kind of late into the day. Uh, so maybe, uh, maybe we're getting a little bit of a discount, but I don't know, man.

I just, I just don't like the way Gilbert for me to, you know, be sure that he's, you know, the SP one, just the way his recent times have been. He just, he's been getting beat up a little too much for me. So with the discount, I get on the ground, the ownership discount, I just put the ground ahead of him.

Yeah, and I do want to circle back a little bit where I'm not as certain it's going to be Gilbert one, Minaya two, deGrom three. I wouldn't be surprised if Minaya is the chalkiest. And honestly, deGrom, I guess I wouldn't be as shocked either. Like you said, deGrom has been really, really good as of late. People are going to see that. And you get the discount on...

On DraftKings, eight point $8,000 to $10,000 twelve hundred on the course field slate does go a long way. So I think it's going to be pretty close in ownership when it comes to these three guys. And then after that, Hurter Brown, I think is going to be the one he would be my I like him and Max Fried as pivots. Fried is most definitely tougher to do because of the pitch count worries, but good strikeout stuff, good matchup.

And I mean, just looking at the projection and the ownership around the other top tier guys on a slate that I don't like pitching much and I'm struggling to get to other guys. I think I need another pivot besides Hurter Brown, who's going to get some ownership. And Max Fried is that one for me. I don't hate Grossman if Roth gave the green light or thinks it would be fine, but there is potential for delay early in that game. So that does cause me some concern.

We had Andrew Martinez ask about Sandoval, Patrick Sandoval taking on Texas. Any thoughts there? Other side of the drum? I worry about Sandoval. His control has just been awful lately, especially the last thirty days. I mean, he's going to see a bunch of righties who are pretty patient from the Rangers. I mean, Foscue at nine percent. We got Seager ten percent, John thirteen and a half. We got Langford, Duran, they're all over ten percent.

So, I mean, he's going to have to work a little bit here. I mean, he's against righties. He does have a Fairly decent K percentage at twenty percent. But he's been getting beat up a little bit here in recent times. Right. He's too. I mean, he's got eleven percent barrel up rate in the last thirty days, over seventy eight at bats, which is fairly decent over a thirty eight day span. And he's got a four ten Woba.

So his ground balls are are down a little bit, too. Normally he's at like a fifty two percent rate and he's at like thirty eight percent. So he's trending. He's trending downward. As the season goes on, I don't really like that in pitchers, but we are pretty thin today. He'd probably be the only guy I'd call a pivot off Minaya, but I don't like it. There's too many red flags for me.

He's the kind of play, like, you think you're overthinking it, and then when you play him, and then he's getting beat up, and he gives up, you know, a few walks and gets beat up. You're like, God damn, I knew that. Like, why would I even do that? You know, that's like that kind of thing, you know. So, like, I'm trying not to in my, you know, days. Even in football, like, you always play that guy. You're like, what? How the fuck did I play him, man?

Like, I got sucked into somebody believing, you know, and it's just like, nah. So I just, I'm not a fan of Sandoval today. But I do like the matchup he's got with deGrom. I do like pitchers dueling against each other. So if that means anything. Any thought on Blade Tidwell or Ryan Johnson or like a Zach Allen? Any full punts to go like a Gilbert full punt that's low ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗, then play Coors Field bats or deGrom punt with Coors bats? Is there anyone down there?

They're all showing super, super low ownership. Or is it just giving up too much? Yeah, I think you're giving up too much. If you're going to do that, just play a Pallante. Maybe you can get that quality start. I mean, well, on FanDuel. But, you know, maybe you can eat up some innings and some outs with Pallante. It's just not a strikeout matchup.

So I think he'd be the safest just because he's got a good matchup against the Giants, which, you know, we know that they suck. But just everywhere else, it's just – I just think the percentages of you hitting that play are way too low for me to get too excited about it. Maybe if you're one-fifting, you could include a few of them guys, but I wouldn't get too silly with it. All right, makes sense. Yeah, I really like Hurter Brown. He'd be arguably first.

DeGrom and Hurter Brown, one A, one B, just add ownership. Again, he'll be the fourth highest owned. He's not going to be low owned by any means, but I do think he is a pretty solid pivot in the upper tier with as much ownership as almost anyone. Yeah, we just talked about that, Williams. Not too much interest, but if I had to go down there, he would be the guy, Ryan Johnson, for me.

All right, let's get out of our Partner Optimizer SaberSim. Let's first go and share our home screen over here at Shippenation. Usually there's an easy switch, not today. But as you can see, obviously it's NFL season heading into week two. Hope you guys and gals had a good week one. If not, obviously MLB going on today. We have college football going on. We have NFL going on. PGA this Thursday as well. NASCAR Sundays, MMA Saturdays.

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If you take top three, you do get entered into that. If you just click the Ship It Gamel banner, you can get all the details for that. But awesome stuff. Giving away so much money, cash and prizes. Again, you do have to be an NFL only member or an all access member. Yeah. A starter, you get more than the core member. So you can see a hundred liners for core, five hundred for starter. You get late swap.

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We also do have the Stone, two point oh, and the Slate Station, which breaks down everything on the Slate's core reports on there as well. All right, let's get to seven oh seven Eastern. The first game, your Detroit Tigers taking on the Toronto Blue Jays. Spencer Miles, Drew Anderson on the mound. Take it away in this one, G_Rizen. What are you looking at? Yeah, everybody left the Tigers to die, but all of a sudden they've been looking fairly decent here.

In recent times, I think it's five or six in a row, I believe, at this point. But, I mean, I've been playing the Blue Jays all year. Drew Anderson isn't really anybody that I want to use as far as DFS goes. But, I mean, he's a heavy ground ball type pitcher. I just don't see any reason for me to try to jam in any Blue Jays. Maybe... You know, if you wanted a cheap bat, like Bratt Bateman, if you wanted to go something like that.

But I'm not really a fan here of attacking Mr. Anderson. And then the Tigers against Fisher, I just don't have it really up there as high as some others that I like. I mean, I'd probably not even have the Tigers in my top ten today in the upper half of the stacks. But they have been hitting a little bit. I mean, Riley Green's been looking pretty decent.

But I don't really want to fool with the Blue Jays bullpen or the Blue Jays here at this point. I just pass. Even though the game total is at eight and a half. But we do have that Coors Field game. Literally, I was just kind of checking it out. Almost every game is eight or eight and a half except that Coors game. So, you know, you're just kind of looking. It's all kind of bunched up.

But, yeah, I got a few offenses I think can keep up with the Coors game. And neither one of these two are it. That's fair. I think the Tigers are a little interesting. You want lefties against against miles. We're showing. Yeah. Is it miles opening? And then let me look at this quick. Yeah, it's Braden Fisher. I don't know why we're showing my – Fisher and then Miles. Fisher, then Miles, and both of them. And then Miles takes over.

I was going to say, this Fisher guy gets beat up by lefties quite a bit, but they're only going to see like one at bat. I mean, they're relatively cheap, and they're super low on. So if you're going to Minaya and a deGrom or a Gilbert, if you're Coors Field, something like that, I don't hate throwing in, I guess, either side just to be contrarianContrarianA contrarian play or lineup is one built around choices most of the field will not make, such as low-owned players, unpopular teams or an unusual salary structure.Pick one or two contrarian spots per lineup and ground each in a real reason. The rest of the roster can look like the field.Full explanation ↗. But, yeah, it's not a spot I want a full five-man stack very much.

I got a four point one team total where you're looking at like the Blue Jays got a four seven team total. You know, you may I just don't I mean, I don't necessarily agree with that. I just think they're kind of picking on Anderson. But I think it's more equal. And I just I wouldn't play the Blue Jays being being a team. That's what I think they're like in the top five or six for, you know, total runs today. Team total like they're they're up there.

But I just I wouldn't have them rank that high myself. Yeah, that makes sense. Next game on the slate, the Mets and the O's. Shane Baz, Sean Minaya on the mound. I actually don't hate some of the O's, again, especially more in chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ stuff. But Minaya is going to be the first or second chalkiest pitcher on the slate. And he does get hit a little bit against righties. So very tough on lefties.

But like Pete Alonzo, Encarnacion, Mayo, if you really want to go down dumpster dive, if Carlos Narvaez, min price, $2,000 catchers in the lineup. I think you can do worse than a mini-stack O's on the right side. Mets, I really have not played the Mets much this year. I don't think today's the day I want to do it. You?

You know, I haven't been playing the Mets either, but I was just taking a peek a little bit here earlier today when I was just doing some of the research, and the Mets have been grading out pretty good in the last couple weeks. They're up there in the top of slugging of all of baseball here in the last few weeks, so...

Uh I mean you know just going off of that baz hasn't uh been really that great here in recent times so I I think especially the lefties have really gotten to him he's got almost an eleven and a half uh percent walk rate is his woba is like three fourteen his ground ball percentage is really low at thirty percent he's at forty percent fly ball rate he's been getting barreled up so I mean there is kind of a lot to like when you look at it and then you just look oh Mets and you're like ah But, you know, I do think the Mets are interesting.

I'd call them a sneakier stack today, especially because they've been hitting well. Baz hasn't really been pitching well. And I do like some of the lefties of the Mets. All right. There you go. I mean, I think Juan Soto is good, obviously, but he's six point $1,000. I mean, you can come on and say that every single day. You like the Mets a little more than I do.

I think the O's are a little interesting just for a lot of leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ off of a chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ pitcher. Solid price tags. You do want the righties for the O's. Our next game on the slate, the most concerning for weather right now. It feels like bats, he thinks, will be fine. Both might end up being fine as well. But monitor it in Wrigley, the Cubs and the Braves. Martin Perez and Kevin Grossman on the mound.

I respect Martin Perez in real life enough where he keeps the ball on the ground, doesn't walk many guys, especially the left side. If you play or pick on him, you want more righties. But again, he keeps the ball on the ground, not really where I want to go. And then on the brave side against Grossman, Another one I respect, I guess more fly ball risk. He definitely gives up some home runs. Olsen, Harris, Acuña, Drake, like the top of the order.

But it's a ten-game slate with twenty teams. I'm not sure this is the one I want to go to, but I don't know. I guess now that I'm saying it, pricing is fine. All the hitter rankings are in the top seventy in the first four spots. So if I'm playing the Braves, I'm just going to go one through four or one through five or something like that and give me the power and the best ones.

Do you do you think you'll have them in your top five or any Braves for you? No, I mean, I don't want to fool with, uh, Martin Perez with the Cubs. I mean, Cubs had been really good. I mean, obviously PCA is fun to watch what, what he's doing, but Perez just doesn't seem to get hit very hard. And I sure the hell don't want to fool with that Braves bullpen and Grossman. I mean, maybe power hunting with some lefties. Maybe we could do that.

I mean, I don't mind that at all. I mean, his last three days, he has been getting beat up a little bit by righties, but, um, I mean, maybe you could look at, like, Olson, if you wanted to go there. Baldwin, like you said, maybe the top part of that lineup. I don't love it. I got some other teams that I'd much rather prefer than them.

But, I mean, I'd have them ranked, like, ahead of the Tigers, but I don't have the Braves ranked all that high. Fair enough. I do like one through four the more I talked about it. And again, they're, I guess, relatively expensive. That's where you can play a Sean Mania chalk and then go with the Braves instead of the Padres. Oh, easy way to get different. Then you can play chalk at SB too. So I don't mind it one bit. Again, appreciate everyone hanging out.

Over a hundred watching live. I know many watch on playback. All we ask is a like button and a subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. It's Tuesday during NFL season, so that means nothing else in town besides baseball. Contests are good. And Dana White Contender Series for any of my true MMA grinders out there. Baseball is all hands on deck and all of our content is up here. MLB at Chippenation.com. Projections, ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗, FanDuel, DraftKings, The Stone.

The Stone 2.0 point oh allows you to virtual hand build, plug things in. And then the Slate Station again has the breakdown of the slate. Core reports, hitter rankings, stack rankings, pitcher rankings, everything you need. All right, let's get to maybe the second chalkiest team on the slate. Second highest run total in the Yankees taking on the Twins. Max Fried and Bailey Ober on the mound. Yeah, Yankees are getting some ownership. Top half of the order, relatively expensive. The bottom half, cheap.

But again, with ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗, I'll let you talk about it first. Bailey Ober is someone you can pick on, though. Hell yeah, we're going to pick on some Bailey Ober. This guy is just not very good. I mean, he's a soft tossing righty.

So I mean to me I mean his walk percentage has been has been pretty bad here in the last thirty days the left he's at thirteen percent I mean he's his fly ball percentage has been a little bit higher here so I mean we I definitely like the power the Yankees are bringing from the left side. And then they get to throw Aaron Judge back in the middle of that here over the last week. So Rice, Bellinger, Garcia, Jones, McMahon, I mean, they all got power.

So and then that bullpen, definitely want to attack that. So definitely checking a couple of the boxes. So the Yankees for me are a team I think I don't mind wanting to put up against like that Coors Field in the Padre game. I put the Yankees in that bucket where I think they could definitely – get the job done for us here today. I got maybe three or four teams that I think potentially could keep up with the Padres. So they're definitely one of them.

I like stacking up the Yankees. I'm all about it. That's one I definitely, I do prefer that one actually over the course field game. All right. I like it. And you'll definitely get an ownership discount. I like the Yankees quite a bit too. If this ownership stays true, I'm fine. Obviously in baseball, it's a little bit chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗, but nothing like the Padres. And we had like five pitchers that I'd be fine playing with. Enough low on secondary stacks. One through nine in play.

Position eligibility lines up as well. I like it a lot. No interest in the Twins for me. Next game, Giants, Cardinals, Blake, Tidwell, Andre Pallante. Neither guy getting much ownership. I will say, if you just look at our, again, everything that you need on the stone is right here. Pitcher rankings are in the bottom. And Andre Pallante, number five in our pitcher rankings, is pretty good when you're looking at five percent and only eight Ks.

That kind of just limits my interest in the Giants naturally. And it's, yeah, no Rafi Devers in the lineup with this confirmed Giants team. That is a bad lineup. I think Pallante could be fine. Cardinals, I like Burleson. He's a complete monster. I like him. I don't know how much one through nine interest I have or even five-man stacking, but power hunting as many sacks I think is fine. What do you think? Yeah, I'm not, I don't like fooling with Puente.

He's got such a heavy ground ball lean, but you're right, man. After looking at that San Fran lineup without Devers in it, it's like, who in the hell are these dudes, man? Like, Not too much there, really. So maybe – would you maybe circle back and play a little bit of Pallante at $1,000? Or still not enough upside? I think he becomes more of a pivot for me off of Minaya. You know, I feel a little better about it.

I don't feel good about his strikeout capabilities, to be honest with you. I mean, he's not a guy that's – I mean, he's got – I mean, his last, well, thirty days got like a ten percent strikeout rate to righties. He's at eighteen and a half percent for the season. He's basically like a seventeen and a half, seventeen percent strikeout pitcher with ground ball rates, you know, to the left side. He's at fifty seven percent ground balls.

So, you know, I I think he definitely can eat some outs. But I mean, I just don't think he's got any upside, but. Today, on today's slate, I would say there isn't too many landmines where I feel like I got to have them. But really on DK, man, I think I'd just do deGrom and Gilbert because I don't really like the Padres. So I think that alone just makes me a little bit different.

So I would just eat the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ at pitching and kind of move on. And like you said, maybe we could use some Brown if you wanted to mix them up. If you got two or three teams, throw in some Brown, maybe with deGrom. You know, maybe I'd do that. I feel good about that. But, yeah, free, like I said, no pitch count, Pallante, Minaya. I'd rather play Pallante than Minaya, to be truthful with you.

I think everybody just sees Orioles and, oh, they struck out the most against lefties, and they're just automatically kind of jamming them in. But, yeah, I don't know. I just – It just seems like to me, I don't know, in my mind, it seems like chalky pitching has been kind of getting beat up more in recent times. So, you know, I don't think any of these guys here that are chalky pitchers today are like overwhelmingly, you know, that good. So especially Minaya.

So, yeah. So Pallante for me, I'd bump him up a little bit. Just seeing how bad that that lineup is, just knowing that he's going to eat out. And my mind thinks like FanDuel. So I'm already thinking he's pretty good. You know, in pretty good position to get a quality start. And I think that's something that would bump him up a little bit more on FanDuel than on DK. Yeah. On DK, you got to play two pitchers, though, and he's so low on.

So I like it. I definitely like it on DK. And a pretty big favorite is Pallante, too. So, yeah, I like it. I definitely do. You can hear that pretty loud, Urizen? What, them pounding on the wall? Yeah. No, it's bare. That's the first time I heard it.

Sorry all right yeah all right let's uh she's the she's the forever watching shit my wife is uh the man of the house she calls herself barb the builder but she's always drilling stuff in all these pictures and all this hanging things so I give my wife a big shout out but yeah and that was not the there's a there's an art to hanging shit like people like especially if you want them like all lined up and stuff I mean there's an art to it like I She's got her laser out there.

Yeah, leveler. Yeah, I hold stuff up for her when she's drilling stuff in and things. But, yeah, she's the builder. Shout out to my wife for sure. All right, let's get to this next game on the slate, the Rangers and the Red Sox. Patrick Sandoval, Jacob deGrom on the mound. I mean, I'm not picking on deGrom. I will say, though, if Sandoval is really going to be, you know, I don't necessarily believe it. I think it might be, like, . Regardless, you get some leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗.

And, man, I like this Rangers team. Look at that. No one priced above $5,000. Corey Seager at four or four is a joke. Second base, shortstop, third base, first base, outfield is the first five positions. So they're easy to stack. Good in the hitter rankings. Rangers are up there for me, G_Rizen, especially when I want to play.

Uh deGrom and Gilbert or Hunter Brown deGrom and maybe some uh Padres bats or maybe you do go mania deGrom uh Rangers

And Padres they're low enough on right now I think you can do a lot with them and they're cheap and they're easy to stack at the position so I'm on the Rangers today might be a hot take definitely looks at it or looks like it at ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ what do you think know I don't mind it as I said during the pitching Sandoval has been trending backwards here in recent times so yeah I you know especially the righties I mean they got some decent varieties with some pop especially against lefty Sandoval isn't a guy that's going to overwhelm you with his uh with his you know any of the stuff he's bringing the table and he's had just awful, been awful recently with his control.

So if he's not getting the ball over the plate and that four, ten Woba in his last thirty days or his last, you know, handful of starts, isn't going to get him anywhere. So, yeah, I'd put them on a low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗, you know, the low-owned bucket that I think can definitely – keep up with the better teams today. So yeah, I don't mind that at all. I think that's actually kind of a sneaky type play.

Now, I don't generally like looking at playing teams out there in Texas, but yeah, I think we could pick on Sandoval. I would rather pick on Sandoval than play him. As I said, I didn't like him at the top just because I think he's been trending backwards. Yeah, I like the Rangers. Everything checks the boxes for me. I hope that ownership stays true. Next game, Astros and the Royals. Michael Wacha, Hurter Brown on the mound. I like Hurter Brown, so I do not like these Orioles much.

I will say, like, Caglianone is just a complete stud. Hunter Brown even gets a boost to his matchup. No Salvi Perez in the lineup for Kansas City. Let's see if we have it updated on the stone yet. Nope, not yet, but no Selby is definitely an upgrade for him. What do you think of the Astros compared to the Royals? Or what do you think of the Astros against WACA? And do you have any different takes than me on the Royals? You know, the Astros...

I could consider if I was playing a deeper pool just because that bullpen so bad with Kansas City and you know, what are we going to get out of Walker? I mean, he he doesn't get beat up all that much. I mean, it's fly ball percentages have been a little high here. Recent times have been getting barreled up a little bit more. But I mean, Waka is just somebody who's just a consistent guy, gets out. He's just not going to overwhelm you.

I mean, he seems to get the job done. Like, you know, he just is a guy that's frustrating. If you try to go against him, he just doesn't get beat up all that much. But I mean, that bullpen behind him, definitely. I mean, Waka could go five innings and then the latter half of that game could just, could definitely go nuke for Houston. Wish they had that ninth inning at bat, but. You know, picking on that Kansas City bullpen is never a bad endeavor.

I mean, Jordan Alvarez is definitely in play today, but yeah, I think the Astros, the Royals, I just, I'm not picking on Hurter Brown. I just, I'm not doing it. He's He's been really good in recent times. You know, maybe if you wanted to pick like a one-off, maybe Caglioni, maybe if you wanted to go there, maybe for some power, some Vinny. But other than that, I just, I'm not too thrilled with that. I'd rather play Hurter Brown. Fair enough.

I will say a lot of the spots we've talked about already outside the Yankees are the low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ bats on the slate. We're getting to Coors Field right now. You can see the Padres mega chalk. Rocky's going to get some ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ too. Mariner's going to get some ownership. D-back's going to get some ownership. So if you're in first place at the end of these East Coast games or whatever and you're not having like a Your team scored twelve, thirteen runs. It's not over yet.

Maybe just go to bed and hope, excuse me, hope to wake up to a lot of cheese and you don't just get pissed and you can't fall asleep at night. Just seeing your lineups continue to go down. But hopefully the Rangers or some of these other teams absolutely nuke early. Otherwise, yeah, the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ is the chalk is going to be coming late at night. And that does start with the San Diego Padres taking on Tyler Freeland. The Rockies taking on Walker Bueller.

There's not much bad to say about the Padres besides all of this ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. Maybe that's where you play Pallante, the Rangers, another low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ mini-stack. Maybe Hurter Brown and Pallante or... The full six one or six two guys like Tilde and Ryan Johnson. If you play the Padres, you have to do something to get different, not only because they're expensive, but just the ownership alone. The Rockies against Bueller, though, I think I think they're pretty interesting, especially the heart of that order.

They're getting a little ownership, but nothing crazy. They are expensive, though. So a lot of Rockies teams will have Sean Minaya, I think, with them. Yeah, I mean, there's reasons. I mean, picking on Buehler is something we've been doing here. So I think the Rockies are definitely in play. It's just, you know, the end of that Padre bullpen is pretty good. So the later the game gets, the uglier it could get.

Maybe if we can get to him early, we could definitely see the Rockies throw up some numbers. But he's been a little bit more reverse blitzy. You know, I think Goodman is somebody that I could look at. But me with the Padres, man, I just, you know, I'm looking at Freeland. I'm sitting here thinking like, all right, this guy's old. He's been out for a little while with a neck injury.

So I'm sitting there thinking, why, you know, like me, I'd been hanging it up already playing some golf title. I mean, I think Freeland like in his mid thirties or something. So. You know, for him to even come back, like, does he even give a shit? I saw his last rehab start. He went three innings. So I don't even know how long Freeland going to go. Like he could literally be a three inning, four inning type pitcher here today.

He might be in the mid fifty, sixty type pitches. And then they're going to get into that bullpen. So. Yeah, I mean, I think the Padres are definitely in play, but just knowing the ownership they're going to get, I'd either go all out on Padres or not play them at all.

And to me, I think the stance I'm making on this slate is, you know, maybe I'll just leave out this Coors Field game, try to find some other offenses, be a little chalkier on pitching, and try to build around that and hope this one game, you know, is a dud. From both sides of the plate and could definitely see myself in the green tonight. So I think that's the stance I'm taking here on this one.

So I'll let everybody else play some Padres and go against Freeland. I don't think you're going to get as much Tyler Freeland as people think. So you might only get one at bat. You might only see one at bat, maybe two for the top of the lineup. So I'm not getting overly excited about it, but for me, I mean, it's, I haven't played the Padres all year.

I think I've said a few times, like, if they're teams I don't generally play, I don't care where they're at. You know, like I just, I'll leave it alone to me. Like that's a sign I could play the other teams I generally like to play. So I'm just, I'll leave it alone. Padres haven't been a team I've been, I haven't been riding at all. Yeah, fair enough. For me, if I played one team, it would not be the Padres.

If I played three teams, I probably would have one Padres, which again, you're probably like, oh, I mean, that's a little over the field, thirty three percent in a five man stack. But I do. And if I was.

An MME in the largest field stuff, to be honest, I would probably be slightly overweight because it's ten games, so ownership will be spread out enough where you can play the Padres as mini-stacks or five-mans and find enough low, like, two percent, three percent-owned bats that I think are fine on the slate. And again, with pitching, it is going to be concentrated around Minaya, Gilbert, deGrom. We had a couple other pivots that you can go to for pitching.

Again, we warmed up to Pallante, Hurter Brown... Someone mentioned Shane Boz. If you are going to do Padres five-mans, I do think you should be looking at something like that. Max Fried is another one. So, yeah, I'm good with the Padres for sure. They stand out in a tier of their own without question with their run total. But ownership will reflect it. Rockies, you said you liked it. I like it. And I think you can go one through nine with this team.

I like how you can go Norby at second base or third base, Tovar at shortstop. A lot of onesies positions sprinkled throughout that lineup. Let's get to the next game. Two games left, the Mariners and the Angeles. Logan Gilbert, Ryan Johnson on the mound. Mariners going to get a little bit of ownership. They're like number four in terms of run total. Do you have interest in them? Oh, actually, hold on. Before I even say that, thank you, James. That's what I was checking when G.

Rison was talking. No judge for the Yankees. Probably brings their ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ down a little bit. Does make them cheaper, but yeah, I mean, I like Aaron Judge in my lineup when I'm stacking the Yankees. I don't mind it still. I still don't mind it. I mean, I was liking the lefties anyway, so I don't mind sticking the Yankees in.

Yeah, maybe that does make them a little cheaper, so that's still good for me, but Looking here at the Mariners, man, Johnson just has not been very good here in recent times. He's been getting barreled up quite a bit. He's been giving up runs left and right. So I think definitely here the Mariners are in play for me. I'd rank them up there with the Padres today. I think we can definitely go after – Mr. Johnson here who's not been good at all.

I mean, his his K percentages are pretty low. Eighteen percent in the season to the lefty. Sixteen percent is walking. Twelve and a half percent of the lefties been getting barreled up by both sides. Fly ball percentages a little higher to the right side at thirty eight and thirty four to the left side. Ground ball percentages are low. I mean, everything points. For the Mariners to have a pretty good outing here against Mr. Johnson.

And then we do like to pick on that bullpen too. So that does bump them up for me. As far as the Angeles go, I can't say I have them, you know, have as much interest against Gilbert, even though you're sitting here thinking, oh, man, maybe Gilbert gives up a little bit of power and we can get to him here with some of that righty power.

I mean, maybe if you wanted to use a one-off, you know, maybe Trout or Netto, maybe you could do something like that. I wouldn't mind that at all, especially if you're playing – In larger type field contest, I think that would be a decent way to go. So I don't mind maybe a couple of Angels for one off, but Mariners for me look pretty juicy. All right, I'm indifferent to the Mariners. The Yankees are similar enough ownership where I prefer them. I already talked about the Padres.

They fall down the list a little for me. And they also fall down the list because these next two teams in the last game of the night, the D-backs and the Marlins, I do prefer D-backs, again, in a very similar spot as the Mariners when you're looking at run totals and ownership. I prefer the D-backs personally, and Corbin Carroll – Just way too cheap any time. He's below $5,000. I don't know why they're not moving Lars Nupar's price.

As you can see in our hitter rankings, number one, Marte at the top, not at the casino. He's finally back on the field. Perdomo Moreno. I just think this D-backs team can roll over their lineup one through nines in play. Ownerships in check. They're one of my favorite stacks on the slate. And I also do like these Marlins a little bit. You want... I mean, Zach Gallin's just not very good, but the lefties I prefer. Is it Zach Gallin or is it Soroka?

Hold on. It's Soroka to start, and then Zach Gallin is a potential long reliever I've seen, even though Soroka – I mean, he had fifty eight pitches last time. Well, to be honest, Soroka, you prefer you want lefties against him and Zach Allen pretty much both sides of the plate. So I think the Marlins, I prefer the lefties for sure. But I don't mind if you throw in the righties as a mini stack or a part of a five man to get different.

I'm fine playing both sides this game. I think it's a solid game stackGame StackIn baseball, a game stack means rostering hitters from both offenses in one game, typically in a hitter-friendly park or against two weak starting pitchers.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗. I'm not I don't think either pitcher is very good. And the pricing on both sides is very good to allow you to spend up for either Padres mini stacks or to spend up for pitching, which we like to do. So I like this game quite a bit. What about you? Yeah, I really like the... And do you know if it's Soroka, then Gallant, too? I just want to make sure that's accurate.

Yeah, that's what it looks like. That's what I'm seeing, too. So, I mean, yeah, sure. I like some of the Marlins against those two. Gallant sucks. Obviously, we know that. So, I definitely do think some of the Marlins are in play, but especially the lefties, like you mentioned. Maybe Stowers up top of that lineup. Conine, I don't mind. So we could leave the Marlins. But I don't have them high as ranked as I do the D-backs. I got the D-backs with the Yankees.

I would put the Yankees – The D-backs and the Mariners all in a bucket probably a little bit ahead of the Padres. And the reason I like the D-backs too, you mentioned Kettle Marte. Is that the casino you always go to that he was supposedly at? Was that the one we were at? Yeah, Talking Stock. I was there.

I saw during the summer, too, I was there with my buddy or a couple of buddies, and he was at the Kettle Marte in the offseason, was at the roulette table with his girl. He didn't really want it. Like my buddy went up to him and just said, hey, and he's just like, hey, but he didn't want to be seen. So he might be a true DJ. But, yeah, that was the one we were at. He said, that's all right. That's all right if you're a DJ.

Just don't be betting on baseball, Pete Rose. So that would be good. Hey, I saw Mark Wahlberg is going to do a documentary about Pete Rose. He's going to play Pete Rose. That would be pretty good. I can't wait for that. Hopefully they do him right and don't make him look like a total scumball. But either way, I do have some interest in the D-backs. You mentioned Nupar. I mean, he could get pinch hit for up there at the top of that lineup.

But, I mean, he's been hitting pretty well. Corbin Carroll, I think the whole lineup up and down, I think you could get after Mr. Jason Junk, who can't seem to strike anybody out here in recent times. He is a mid-ground balling type pitcher. But I mean, so if you do look at, you know, some of the statistics as far as fly balls go, all kinds of fly balls in this D-backs lineup. Marino has the lowest fly ball rate at twenty four percent.

You got Carroll at thirty three percent. Pavan Smith at thirty one. Everybody else is around the twenty eight to mid twenty six and a half percent. So definitely some fly balls in this lineup. I think they can get the junk. And like you said, you could be sitting pretty, think you're hoop going to bed at an early night and then wake up and not even be in the top half of the field after these three games here at the end.

So we're going to get into that here, too, as the season winds down, because it's warmer, obviously, at that side of the country as it starts to get a little bit chilly here at night. I know here last night in Michigan, it was down to like fifty some, forty some degrees. So, yeah.

We're getting there title it's that sweatshirt short type weather you know you you know it's the weather where you leave your house at like four o'clock because it's the hottest time of the day and then you go down the stadium you're like holy shit man I gotta go buy me a cold yeah it gets cold so I know Wrigley field you all know that rule because shit that happens all the time at Wrigley but especially we're sitting in

The shade but yeah I mean we're getting that time of year these later games are going to start meaning a little bit more But, yeah, I think overall in the slate, though, title, I mean, I'm just going to stay chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ at pitching, be a little different by not playing the Padres, load up on some Yankees, some D-backs I like, and then I also like the Mariners. And then, like you said, maybe throw a little Texas in there.

Maybe we could throw, you know, a little bit of Houston in there against, you know, that bullpen. But, yeah, I think we got a pretty interesting slate as we wind down. For sure. Good ten gamer. Again, we have to monitor cubby weather at Wrigley. I just looked because you talked about the weather starting to cool off. I looked at what it is by me. It's always in the mid-nineties or a hundred or whatever. It's the best ever.

But I looked at where I my parents are at right now and where I grew up and look at this G-Ryzen. Rain every single day oh my gosh I could not be any more happy getting out of there I mean anytime I go back it just you'd never see the sun it's always raining it is so depressing so hey props to you for being able to do it I know you got family and all that there but Yeah, there's no doubt.

When we start talking about playoff baseball and then later in September to close out the regular season, paying attention to weather like I do in April when baseball first starts is definitely a part of my process even more. That's going to do it for us, though. Again, if you do want to get over to ShipItNation.com, we do have a lot of deals. If you click Join the Nation, I think – If you've never tried us out, five days for nineteen dollars.

It's a great time to use that because you get SaberSim, you get the Discord and you can see above NFL, college football, PGA, MLB, MMA and NASCAR. That's six sports all going on right now. And you do get all six with that. Also, all access as you go up, as you get more late swap, the additional projections and ownership, being able to build more lineups with SaberSim as you increase.

Into contest sims $5,000 lineups all that good stuff the price does go up I think the starter is probably the best for most people also get DFS Mastermind on the side for free um but yeah if you want to just try this out nineteen dollars five days you cannot go wrong with that one bits so your eyes in always always fun to talk some baseball with you to talk any sport with you.

Good luck to your Tigers the rest of the way. Good luck to your Lions. Good luck to Survivor. We'll talk again in September. Again, we'll have baseball shows all the way until the end of this month, but that'll do it for us. We will be back tomorrow for G-Ryzen. I'm Title Town. Good luck. Be safe. Peace.