MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Friday, 09/18/26

First game up on the slate is Nades as Milwaukee Brewers taking on the Orioles. Dustin May taking on Mari Povich and crew for that Orioles. Pete Alonzo handing out beers, hitting bombs, doing it all in New York. But talk to me a little bit about this game. You got Milwaukee facing on the Orioles back in Camden Yards. Yeah, so a lot of good offensive spots today.

The first thing for me in this game is going to be Dustin May in play against Baltimore. You know, they're OK and they've got upside with their power, but they're also a team to pick on. They strike out a lot. I think he's in play at $7,500. Then there's good pitching on this slate, but also bats that we want. So I think May is really the only option.

Piece of this game I'm looking hard at how about you um is there anything offensively that's really standing out I guess you know Milwaukee against Povich they don't hit a lot of home runs but on the road good spot for them it's not like Povich is a guy we're afraid to pick on there's just so many other offensive spots I like how do you see this game Yeah, I don't love it. I don't like Cannon Yards for righties, right? I think that's where righties go to die.

And, you know, you have Pete Alonzo, you have Jackson Shurio, some of the better hitters. Obviously, you got some good lefties as well, but I don't think I'm going to get there. I got May coming in as our fourth highest ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ pitcher. And I don't love, not that he's chalk, but a chalkier May, I don't necessarily love. He is coming off a twenty seven point performance. When they put up three touchdowns in their last game, won twenty to nothing.

But, you know, you're going to need you're going to need a cheap pitcher. And Matt, we're going to talk about a cheap pitcher that you and I both know and love as we get on into this show. But I don't love this game from either side. Obviously, the Brewers can do it by Dinkin and Duncan. And if they put up twenty runs again, you're going to want to need them. But yeah, I don't love this game. You like me a little bit.

So, yeah, we'll just leave it at that. What do you mean by that cheap pitcher we both know and love? Don't, don't do it. No later. No, I was making, I was just making sure. Yeah. He's on the slate. We're going to get to him. I wouldn't say, I wouldn't say we love him. We both know him though. How about that? Okay. That's fair. Yeah. Let me just see. Yeah. I don't love anything. How are the Brewers versus left-handed pitching? Let me ask you that.

I mean, they got guys like, You know, this is a good spot for Milwaukee. On a lot of slates, they would stand out more to me. I do think that they fall through the cracks a little bit just because of Seattle, obviously going to get a ton of love, as they should. Dodgers will get love. Cleveland, who I like a lot. I mean, there's good spots on this slate. So, I don't think – Go ahead, sorry. No, no, no.

I was going to go to the next game, but go ahead. I was pretty much done anyways. All right. Yeah, segue into the Cleveland Guardians, who slowly overtook first place the other day, six to three with your boy Parker Messick on the hill. Now they get this Oakland Athletics team coming into town, Maton Barnett. Taking on Joey Cantillo. Guardians going to be going to be playoff baseball in Cleveland this year, Matt. Excited to see that.

This Athletics lineup looks like they got Shagling Lears back, which is nice. The Law Dogs batting third. Henry Bolte has been surprisingly good. Zach Giloff. This lineup isn't as bad as it's been in the past, but it's still not very good. Taking on this Guardians team. I think Jose Ramirez is going to get a lot of ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ tonight. But talk to me a little bit about this game. This new look Guardians team taking on the Athletics. Yeah, I like Cleveland a lot here.

Good spot for them coming off a big series win against the White Sox. I hate that Jose Ramirez, if he's going to be really chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗, that is no bueno to me because he's at like one home run in the past few months. That handmade bone injury has really zapped his power. He still runs, and he looks better right now than he has in a while. So I like him in stacks, but as a one-off, I'm out there.

But I like Cleveland in a stack for sure. They've been good to me when I played them. I like them here. They're in a really good spot. They need wins. They're tied with the White Sox right now in the central. The White Sox have the tiebreaker, though. So they've got to sweep this series.

You never expect that in baseball, but they need a sweep in order to kind of maintain and overpass the White Sox and be a game ahead of them, in my opinion. So hopefully they take care of business here. I like their offense. On the other side, I think Cantillo is in play here. He looked good coming out of the pen last time out, a bunch of Ks.

Yeah, the A's lineup looks a little bit better, and I think you can play pieces of this lineup. But Cantillo at .CM, I think he looks comparable to May, quite frankly. Big strikeout upside in this matchup. But on the same token, I do think one-offs of, you mentioned them, Langeliers, Galoff are in play. Langoliers mostly. But I'm not full stacking the A's here. So it's Cantillo, the Guardians, one-offs on the A's. Yeah, it'd be Guardians or Bucs for me.

I don't love Cantillo, but don't necessarily love this Oakland offense. And then the thing with Cleveland that I don't love is it's just an ownership thing for me, Matt. I think they're going to come in the second-highest-owned team behind the aforementioned Mariners. So I certainly understand your take. Don't hate them, but don't necessarily love them either. Moving on to the next game. Got the Red Sox. Ranger Suarez taking on this Rays team in Tampa. Ian Seymour on the bump.

Little AL East showdown at the Trop tonight. Interested to get your take on these two South Paula. Ranger Suarez, $8,100. Matt, that's cheap, in my opinion, not very expensive, but interested to get your take. Talk to me. He's coming off a really good start, too. Two of them. Yeah. I'm still not playing him at $8,100. Like it's the same. I always chuckle now when I see Suarez because of your. I don't even know what they're called.

They're like wild assumptions based on like one thing I've said. They're not even take sometimes. I mean, I don't really feel that type of way about Suarez either way. He is cheap to your point, but I hate the matchup. So. I guess if you like him more than May and Cantillo, I get it. I mean, in general, I think he's a better pitcher than those guys, but the matchup's just brutal. So I'm probably out on both sides of Suarez and Tampa.

And then Seymour, he's been good. I don't mind him here. I mean, if you can't get up to Glass now and Cease, the two top dogs obviously on this slate, It's tough to play both of them together, especially with Cease being over . I think the next two guys are Seymour and Cavalli. So I don't like him as much as Glasnow and Cease, and I don't know if I want to spend . But I think he's in play.

And then Bolton kind of reminds me of the A's. I don't want to stack them, but I could play Trevor Story as a one-off. You know, other guys in their lineup have power and they run a little bit. So I don't mind them as one offs, but I'm not stacking Bolton. It's this is really just Seymour or probably nothing for me from this game. Yeah. All right. I can I can get on that. Yeah. I mean, Rangel Suarez, $8,100 bucks.

I like the price. Like you said, don't love the matchup. Probably won't get there. And, yeah, if you don't have any interest in the Red Sox, neither do I. Seymour's got some pretty good K stuff on the season at home. But, yeah, I'm out on the offense. He's probably out on the pitching as well on this one. Moving on to the next game. Got the Phillips taking on the Mets. Mets been swinging a hot bat.

Talk to me a little bit about this game. We got the journeyman, Jose. I'll let you say his name. Orquita taking on Zach Thornton for this Mets team. I don't love Orquita, but talk to me a little bit about this game. Phillies at the Mets. Yeah, I think this game is, man, on a lot of slates, I think I'd be more interested. I mean, Thornton. We prefer lefties against the Phillips. Thornton's only $7,300.

He's just a guy on this slate for me. Philly doesn't stand out as a stack, though. I mean, Thornton's not a gas can. You know, Philly is an offense that on any slate, if they score a ton and hit a bunch of home runs, I'm not surprised. But this isn't the slate. I'm going all out on them. And then the Mets, man, is he starting this game? It looks like now it's Tim Miza starting with Rikidi coming in after that. Yeah, so.

It's a bullpen game, which I don't like. I don't like targeting, but. I don't either. The Phillips just got Rikidi from the White Sox. I don't think he pitches that much here, especially if he's struggling. So, you know, the Mets have been good in the second half. They're kind of like the Phillips right now. You could stack them on any slate, and it wouldn't be shocking if they went off. But nothing about this spot screams I need to play them, if that makes sense.

It does. I think the Mets are swinging a hot bat. Like you said, getting to, I'll call them. I don't, I don't like her kitty. I don't know enough about my Zanita. Check that out. I like this Mets team as like a sneaky, like if you're not playing a Mariners type team, Matt Carlson, what, what binge Benji did still spaces left and right. Yeah. Bichette stinks, but I would put him in the stack. Obviously, Soto and Lindor can double dong.

My boy, Mark Vientos, my home run call from last week. Hey, he didn't go over two with two strikeouts against Carlos Rendon. I think he got a walk in there. So I like Mark Vientos against that lefty. I like this Mets team, Matt, in a five-plus team. GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗, if you're playing five-plus, give me one of the Mets. No good? I respect it. Okay. All right, moving on to the next game. Got the Tigers. Got the White Sox. David Sandlin taking on Andrew Sears.

This Tigers team, obviously huge disappointment this year, Matt. They've basically given up on the season. Now going into the White Sox. We need them to lose. The White Sox, that is, for your Cleveland Guardians. But talk to me a little bit about this game. AL Central matchup. Tigers at the White Sox. Yeah, this game is interesting to me from both sides. Definitely prefer the White Sox against righties. But Sears isn't good. So I think the White Sox are sneaky on this slate, if nothing else.

Like, they don't stand out in a major way at all. But, you know, they're fighting for their playoff lives. Sears isn't good. So I don't hate them here. Detroit looks better on paper.

Sandlin and the White Sox bullpen I'm totally fine picking on yeah the Tigers are in a good spot here um they haven't been like amazing lately but I like the top of this lineup I don't think they get played a lot um are you in on Detroit here I am out on Detroit okay why uh I just don't like them. I don't know. I feel like they've given up on the season. I mean, I don't have any.

I mean, honestly, I ask why, like you need to have an answer for why you're not playing every team on this slate, but I get it. You don't play a ton of lineups and there's a lot of teams and play on this slate. So you're just, yeah, they just don't stick out to me. Yeah. I mean, I get it. And, hey, this may or may not be one of your takes, but it's in my head.

You don't take the White Sox versus lefties, so I'm not taking the White Sox either. That's exactly what I'm talking about. Like, yeah, I love those. You said it one time. It's just that they're better against righties. It's just that they're better against righties. But Sears is so bad. He's not so bad. He's bad enough. Like, I'll tell you what. His last start was against the Rockies, and he got hit around pretty hard at home.

So – Kind of tells you all you need to know, right? Yeah, I'm just looking at his game. They're cheap, too. I'll say this about the White Sox. Tommy Pham, one of my all-time faves, $2,000. Randall Gritchick, he's been good, $3,400. Murakami homered off- And against a lefty. Both against a lefty. Sorry to put you off, yeah. No, exactly. And I think Gritchick is going to stay in the game anyways. He's been playing full-time recently. Murakami homered off a lefty yesterday.

I don't hate the White Sox at all. So, yeah, fam's going to get played. It looks like a corner ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. I mean, obviously, $2,000, you can just fit in a bunch of a bunch of those guys. And I didn't build any teams over on DraftKings. But I mean, could you or could you and or would you like, would you play those cheap White Sox guys to jam in the two studs at pitcher?

Is that something like you would do or no, not really? I mean, you need more than just – yeah, Pham is going to get pinch hit for when they bring in a righty, but he could do damage against Sears on his own, and he's going to hit second probably. Yeah, he's second confirmed. Okay. So, yeah, I mean, you're playing him for the whenever two at-bats he gets against Sears at $2,000. I still think he's more than viable. I don't love guys like that as one-offs.

But fam has enough power I don't hate it um and if I'm stacking the white socks he obviously helps do I want to play the cheap the thing is with the white socks like fam and gritchick are cheap well doyle's cheap too but that's three outfield spots and then like I mean you're not getting any of the other guys you really want like Vargas you know, the guys that can really do the damage, but I don't hate it. No, that's a good point.

You can fit one of them, honestly, you know, with, if you play Teal with the three outfielders and then like Vargas, I mean, I don't hate that. I think they're probably better builds, but that is, you know, all the White Sox outfielders have power speed upside. So that wouldn't be shocking to me. No. We haven't gotten all these pictures, but Jake has a question. Cease and Seymour or Glasnow and Cavalli? Give me Glasnow and Cavalli. Give me Glasnow and Cavalli.

I think it's slightly higher on, but I don't care. I like that combo better. Yeah, all right. Good stuff on the Tigers and White Sox. Next game is the aforementioned Dylan Cease, our number one ranked pitcher over in the pitching rankings at shipitnation.com. Taking on this Rangers team, former Vanderbilt legend Kumar Rocker, who's been getting rocked around. By the way, fun fact, do you know who Kumar Rocker dad is? Do I know? No. Who is it? Tracy Rocker, former NFL great.

Tracy Rocker. Look him up. Auburn University, played in the NFL. But in any event, Dylan Cease taking on Kumar. Kumar Rocker been bad, and I think he's been pretty bad recently as well. Been bad most of the season. Might have had one or two good starts along the way, but talk to me about this game. Any offenses? I'll stick by my guns and say never the Blue Jays, even against Kumar, but give me some Cease. Talk to me this game.

Yeah, I mean, I'm definitely not playing the Rangers against Cease. Cease is the top dog today, but... Honestly, the matchup isn't quite as good for Glasnow, and Glasnow's cheaper, but, man. Ooh, you got Glasnow higher. Nah, you can't, just because, like, Glasnow has only been back for a little while and hasn't been nearly as clean as Cease has this year. I mean, Cease is going to win the AL Cy Young. He's been just amazing this season.

It's still a good matchup and a good pitcher's park. So I got Cease number one, but I do think that this is a prime upside Glasnow spot, and I wouldn't be shocked if Glasnow outscores him. I mean, yeah, Cease is awesome. I like the Blue Jays more than you. I mean, not a great hitter's park, but Rocker always someone you can pick on. I don't know if I like them enough to actually play them, though.

Uh mr klein says cecil finished second in the al cy young who's gonna win it Schlittler I mean I don't know is that the odds I haven't even looked at the odds in a little bit well if there was only an app where I could look that up right do it pull it up can you Oh, yeah. Oh, gosh. Cam Schlittler is like negative. Negative $50,000. Yeah. Wow. So, yeah, I mean, he's been.

I know he's been awesome as fast as he starts. So, yeah, I get it. I mean, he's even he's even a bigger favorite than Jacob Misiorowski. Well, because Sanchez second, I know. Not Christopher. So. Chris Sayle, okay. Yeah, I mean, Misiorowski will probably win it, but he hasn't been as clean in the second half, you know? Yeah. MVP, Yordong is going to win MVP? That's wild. Probably. His numbers are really good. Yeah, what, he had forty-five bombs the other day? His second half hasn't been great either.

Um, Yeah, this Blue Jays team, man, they're tough, tough to stack. I can't do it. You've got Glass now ahead of Cease, huh? I wouldn't say that. I wouldn't be surprised if – I mean, the thing – yeah, I mean, honestly, ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ I'm showing, I think Glass is going to be higher on, and I'm seeing spots project him higher. So I don't think that's a crazy take at all. The spot is amazing for Glass now. Sam Fran's rolling out a triple-A lineup. I mean, yeah.

Glad I couldn't be in a better spot here. All right. All right. Next game up on the slate is the game everybody's going to be talking about. It's the Mariners. They get their turn in Colorado to take on Gabriel Hughes, who last time out, though, Matt, I think it was those New York Yankees that he was going up against, and he held his own in – in Yankee Stadium, but now he comes back home to take on this Mariners team.

Talk to me a little bit about this game. You got the Mariners going into Colorado to take on the Rockies. We also have Bryan Woo on the hill for the Mariners. So talk to me if you got any love for Wu or either one of these offenses. Yeah, three-pronger for me for sure here. Let's go. Bottom one of the year, maybe. Yeah, there might be more on the slate going forward, but this is the most prime example of one for me.

First off, Seattle's offense, top stack on the slate, in my opinion, pretty clearly, not close. Only reason you're not playing them is because of ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. Yeah, I mean, Hughes is not as bad as some of the other Rockies pitchers, but he's not good. Wasn't even supposed to be starting today. Seattle isn't priced like they should be, even though they're more expensive than they usually are. I mean, they're getting the biggest ballpark shift you can get.

They got cheap guys all up and down their lineup. They were good to me when they were in Sacramento in that ballpark. I expect similar performances here. The whole lineup's in play. You get into this Rockies bullpen, massive upside for the Mariners. Like, yeah, I recognize their floor is low because their offense – For the names in it, just kind of seems to never click. And they strike out a lot. So that leaves you with a low floor. But I'm going to win tournaments.

And, yeah, you are fighting ownership. But I don't think they're crazy high-owned. And I think there are ways to get different around them, like playing Bryan Woo. I mean, I'm a Wu guy. Obviously, I prefer him at home. But he's cheap and in a really good matchup against a Rockies lineup that isn't good and strikes out a lot. That said, the Rockies offense also has upside in power. And Wu, when he's bad, he gets blown up. So, you know, like I like Wu.

I'm a Wu guy. I think I'm just a fan of his stuff. So I'm more on his side here. But I'd be foolish to not recognize that Rockies upside in his floor here. He's been, I mean, I'll say dynamite. It's probably not the right word, but he's been pretty good. Let's use those words. Five out of his last six starts, with one-twenty-five, another twenty-five, and one-thirty-eight. So he's been rocking and rolling.

He's been pitching better, but yeah, about a month before that, is when he was getting lit up. $8,500, he's cheap. He's probably going to be, yeah, relatively unownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗. I think he'll be higher than, you know, four percent owned, but closer to ten to fifteen probably. Someone was asking about the weather. I'm assuming that's this game. Is there any weather in Denver? Oh, yeah, here we go. I mean, I'm not worried about it. What? The weather? Oh, my God. What?

Oh, man. Get him a T-shirt. Get my boy Weatherman Matt a T-shirt. Come on, man. That's good stuff. Not worried about it. Not worried about the weather here. Obviously, something to monitor. Looks like there's rain in the area, but just keep it in the back of your mind for now. I wouldn't be building my lineups around it or not building them with the Mariners because of it, I should say. All right, thanks, Kevin. We appreciate that update there as well. Mariners lineup is not out yet.

I just saw. Let me just hit refresh. No, I thought I saw it come out as we were talking. Yeah, Mariners lineup is out. Let's see. J.P. Crawford, Rosarena, Canzone, Raleigh, J-Rod Batten, Fifth, Naylor, Young, Montes, and Brock.

Rodent real quick on this Mariners team it looks like everybody that we have uh listed here are you playing can you play one through nine here for the Mariners or are you cutting it off oh yeah no you can definitely one through nine okay who are your favorite sorry real quick uh who are who would be your favorite Rockies like if you had to pick like a two as a five two one or something is their lineup dropped yet uh yeah it's out oh yeah I see it um I mean, I don't think you need to get too crazy with them just because I don't think they're owned.

So Goodman, obviously the top, he's always, you know, the top guys, one through five would be my favorites. Yeah. Okay. Awesome. Next stuff up, Peter Lambert taking on Tyler Molle. Braves, this Astros lineup just dropped. Let's see if there's any. Any surprises? No. Yordong's in there. Pena, Jeremy Pena, Paredes. Yeah, it's the normal lineup in there. Christian Walker, he cost us, what, three hundred $300,000 the other night by striking out every time at the plate.

But anyway, Matt Braves, my Atlanta Braves need these games. Right. Philly's creeping on a come up, taking on this Astros team. Talk to me. Yeah, I can play the Braves here. I mean, I'm not playing Lambert. The Braves are a team you know I like to play, and I play them against better pitchers than Lambert. They don't really stand out on this slate, but that might be a good thing because I like offenses like the Braves when they're not, like, standing out on paper.

Yeah, I'm in on the Braves here more than I thought I would be. The other side of it, Mally's been good, so I'm not really looking to play Malloy here, but Houston, nah. I'm out on Houston. I'm not stacking Houston. Not that like, again, their offense is good enough and it's baseball. I wouldn't be shocked if they went off, but I respect Molly enough. I don't need to play that. How expensive is Molly? I mean, somebody said, I don't hate him.

Honestly. He's been really freaking good. I mean, he's cheap too. $7,700 cheap for the break. Yeah. And like, I've played him a bunch when he's been good. So, yeah, I mean, I don't love it. It's a tough matchup, but I think you could do worse. Do you have any Astro that you like as a one-off maybe? I mean, your dog's too expensive in my opinion, but any of those other guys stick out to you?

Is it just a full pass on the Strohs? I'm good on the Strohs. Next up on the slate, got the Nationals headed into St. Louis to take on this Cardinals team. Newly paid, newly minted, Cade Cavalli and all forty eight million of his guaranteed dollars going in to the Arch, the Arch City to take on. This Cardinals team, I'm not going to pronounce this guy's name, but Cooper, whatever his last name is, was balling his first game out.

Then he had his welcome to the MLB moment last time, Matt. But his stuff looks pretty good. Southpaw for the Cardinals. He's the long reliever tonight, I believe. But talk to me a little bit about this game. You got any Cardinals? You got any Nationals? Or you like either one of these pitchers? Man, I think that both pitchers are in play for me here. Cavalli.

Expensive but isn't he's in great form right now I don't hate the matchup you know if you can't get up to one of the top top dogs I don't hate Cavalli uh yeah I'll probably have a little bit not prioritizing him but if he fits and I can't get up to the top guys I don't hate it and then I think it's herpy cooper herpy um yeah uh I think he's in play I mean a lefty against Washington He was really good his first outing.

He wasn't his last one. I played him his last one. He wasn't good. But I don't hate him here. And, yeah, I think it's pronounced herpy. A name you're probably real familiar with. That's a rough name. I don't think it's that. Cavalli has been a monster. Yeah, thanks to you and Nades. Cavalli won me a bunch of money earlier in the season. So, Nades, I need you to chime in. Is this where we, you know, jump on the Cavalli bandwagon or not?

But, yeah, good stuff there. Next game up on the slate. Oh, here it is. This is it. You got the Twins and Connor Prelip going into Anaheim to take on Grayson Rodriguez, Mr. Chalk himself, and this Los Angeles of Anaheim Angeles. I think that's what they're still called. But talk to me about this game. Your boy Grayson's going to come in. I think Highly Owned, Matt, projects well. But talk to me about this game. Twins at the Angeles.

Grayson, you think is really going to be high owned? Oh yeah. Oh, I'm stacking the Twins. I mean, I already was stacking the two, you know how I feel here. I mean, yeah. Damn. Okay. Titan says it's pronounced jerky. I was, but I still, I said it anyways, just so I could slide that in there. Oh man. Um, I love the Twins here. I mean, Grayson, you know, he was, he started out awful.

Then he had like a decent stretch and he's been back to being bad. The Twins, man, I just think they have upside here. They're not going to be owned. I like them a lot. Good ballpark for hitting. A lot of things about the Twins that make me like them here. I also think Grayson's in play, $6,000. You said it projects decent. I mean, you can play Grayson here. He's cheap enough, but I'm playing the Twins.

I like them quite a bit in this spot. They're one of my favorite sacks on the board. I also don't mind the Angeles. Prelip isn't great. He's been much better at home. Angels, you know, the whole lefty. I still prefer lefties. I still prefer them against lefties, excuse me. Even with Adell and Soler no longer there. I mean, non-righties is what the projected lineup is trying. Yeah, exactly. I don't think Grayson's going to be chalk, honestly. But maybe I'm wrong. Yeah, no, no, no, no, no.

I was going to, I was going to retract that. I think he'll get some ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. I mean, chalk was probably a bad word or a bad term to use. But I think he'll get what we have. Fifteen percent. Maybe, maybe that's right. We shall see. But yeah, really, it's going to be a prelip is going to be really popular. Yeah, he will be. So that makes me like the Angeles even more, actually, because I'm with you. I don't think he's a really good pitcher.

Yeah, and he's not been good on the road. Maybe a little game stackGame StackIn baseball, a game stack means rostering hitters from both offenses in one game, typically in a hitter-friendly park or against two weak starting pitchers.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ at this game. Game stack with the cheapies and get the two big boy pitchers in? Is that how you do it? I don't know. Yeah. It's not like the Twins are super expensive and neither are the Angels. So I think you could do it a bunch of different ways, but yeah, that, that seems like it could work.

You could definitely play a lot of cheap guys from this game and play the top pitchers for sure. Who are, who are your favorite Angels? Like outside of trout, obviously. Neto for sure. I mean, Neto, I prefer over trout just cause it's a short stop. Yeah. Man, some of these lineups, obviously. There's some guys on the Angeles I hate playing, though, like Jose Siri. But you've got to embrace it.

Against Prelip, you've got to embrace the whole stack because he puts a lot of guys on base. So, like, I'll play it if I'm playing them. You know, outside of, like, their top dogs, like Trout, Netto, I want the full stack. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Good stuff. Hey, if you're just now tuning in, hey, do us a quick favor. Hit that like. Hit that subscribe button. We got roughly, what, three games left. Kind of breezing through this, man. We're rocking and rolling.

If you got any questions, make sure you put them in the chat. We'll get them answered. You got Tyler Phillips and his Marlins team going into Petco to take on Nick Pivetta. Nick Pavetta's pitching again. But, yeah, I like this Padres team. Interesting to get your take. Don't love the park, obviously, but talk to me a little bit about this game.

You got Tyler Phillips, uh, $6,100 bucks taken on, um, Nick Pivetta, $8,800 for Nick Pivetta, who is, I think if I'm not mistaken, this is his third start since coming off the IL been, I'd say mediocre at best. Um, but talk to me about this game. Marlins at the Padres. Yeah, the Marlins and Pivetta are kind of nothing to me. I'm not playing Pivetta at his tag.

I don't think he's like the worst play, but I don't love it, and I don't trust it, and he's expensive. And I don't really like the Marlins in this park. And then the Padres are in a good spot against Phillips, but bad park, and they are uber pricey. They're like the most expensive stack on the board because they're coming from cores. Their tags have dropped a little bit, but not like enough.

I mean, Tatis, they got, their guys are expensive, and I'm not really paying for it in this ballpark. I do think someone like Dustin Harris, presumably hitting second, You know, he's real cheap in play for sure. He's been good. But tough for me to want to full stack the Padres here because they're uber pricey. That's it. Yeah. Our pricey. No Pivetta. I think I heard you say no Marlins as well. So we'll move on to the next game if nothing else to add there.

Yeah, I'm good on the Marlins. All right. I hate what I'm about to say here in a minute, but I'm going to let you go first. We got the Yankees. Going into Arizona, into the desert. Garrett Cole, gosh, Garrett Cole, that kind of served Garrett Cole right. If you saw him in his last start against the Mets, now he goes into the desert to take on Eduardo Rodriguez and this Diamondback team. Talk to me about this game, Yankees at the Diamondbacks.

I like offense in this game. Yeah, me too. I like the Yankees. I mean, I'd much prefer the Yankees against righties, but... Erod has been a reverse this guy for much of his career, even if like this year doesn't show that as much. I'm still going by what he's been throughout a pretty long career at this point. So I don't mind the Yankees at all. I think they have an upside here, even though Erod's been good.

He's been good enough for like if I were playing one lineup, I would struggle to stack the Yankees. But it's the same thing we talk about with the Yankees. Their upside puts them in play always. So tonight's no different. Arizona and Cole, I guess. It's kind of both sides. But for me, it's almost neither side. I'm this big of a slate. I don't really want to stack against Cole.

But I struggle to use him right now with that tag and his current form in this matchup. Just not much going for him here except for ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. So he's good enough where I could play him at low owns. But honestly, give me Wu over him at five hundred cheaper and just a better spot. And I trust Wu more right now. So, yeah, that's how I see it. Yeah, like a little devil's advocate, like Garrett Cole over his last four starts has not been very good.

And that kind of hit a – go ahead. I mean, I was going to say hit a bowling point last start, but he's been bad. So go ahead. No, I mean, he hasn't been good recently. But, like, are you still trying – like, I'm still – yeah, and he's given up a bunch of home runs. And honestly, on that game against San Diego – I stacked against him because it was like a two-game afternoon slate. Yeah. And they hit back-to-back-to-back home runs to start the game.

And then he was really good, honestly. And I kind of thought he was going to bounce back from there. He didn't. You know, yeah. I mean, if your point is that you like Arizona a lot here, I get it. They're going to be low-ownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗. But I don't know. For me, I struggle to still want to stack against Cole in this bullpen. But – He's given up seven home runs his last two games, and Arizona's going to be long. So, like, I don't think it's a bad play.

Yeah, and their best hitters are better hitters, you know, at least two of them, Carroll and Marte, and Lars Newport, if you consider him. Like, they get the splits advantage. And Moreno has just been nails this year. So like the top five of Arizona, I would struggle with like the bottom scrubs, but yeah. And that's like, honestly, why I think Cole isn't playing also because the bottom of the line is so bad and all righties. Yeah. I liked what I said.

I hate, I'm going to say this, but it's the, uh, I like the Yankees. I didn't think you were going to like the Yankees. Cause we talked about in the past about E-Rod's having a better year than, yeah, I think either one of us expected, but, uh, I like the Yankees minis. It's, it's tough because a lot of their better hitters are lefty, but, uh, I liked them at some mini stacks for sure tonight. So, um, great call by you on that one.

And the final game on the slate is we have the San Francis Giants taking on Tyler glass. Now, uh, Yeah, Dodgers is going to get a lot of ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ against Cesar Perdomo. Glass now is going to get a ton of ownership. I was looking at that AAA lineup you talked about. They got blanked pretty good in the game one against the Cardinals, and they came back the last two. I believe they won the last two games, both in extras innings, if I'm not mistaken.

But I like Glass now in this one. Everybody likes Glass now. Talk to me a little bit about this Dodgers offense and how you're going to play them.

Yeah so it's all about the Dodgers here um glass now priority for me if I'm playing one lineup glass now is in it the Dodgers yeah I mean they look good here all of a sudden Tyler Tucker one of the hottest hitters in baseball and they're not like super expensive with otani out you prefer them against righties but I mean, Perdomo and this Giants pen in a pretty good park for hitting, good park for home runs. Yeah, guys like Will Smith stand out.

Tay Oscar. I like the Dodgers here. I don't think you have to go. Like, I'm not going to go as far as to say they're a better stack than Seattle here. But if you want to say you like them most because of ownership, I would get it. For me, they're in that second tier. I think Seattle is pretty clearly in their own tier. I'd be the Dodgers in that tier of like the Twins, the Guardians, the Braves.

But I think the Dodgers might be the most owned of that other tier. So I don't know how heavy I'm going to be on them outside of one-offs and mini-stacks. Where do you rate this Dodgers stack, like the full five-man stack versus the others, like top five? It's top five, yeah. It's top five. It's just a matter of where you want to put it in the top five. You know what I mean? Yeah. All right, that'll do it. That's all thirteen games, Matt.

We got through that in about forty-five minutes. Appreciate you tuning in. Let's give everybody – let's go top three – let's go top three pitchers. Let's go top four because I know who the top two are. So let's go top four pitchers on the slate. Well, obviously you've got to go Cease and Glasnow. I'll go Glasnow, Cease. Then after that, I'll go – It's pretty jumbled. And I would get why you would go down to like the $7,500 guys pre-lip even. I'm going to say Cavalli third.

I must say Wu fourth. I like Wu a lot. He's my guy a lot. And I'm going to ride with him tonight. Likely not in all my lineups, but I'm going to play him a little bit. And then is that all you ask for? Yeah, I think number five, you would say Tyler Molly. No, but no. For number five, no, I wouldn't play Molly over like Dustin May, who is right there for me, too. Oh, you wouldn't? Okay. No, I wouldn't.

I mean, the matchup's just tougher for Molly. I don't mind May. I think he looks pretty good in tournaments here. So, yeah, I mean, I think after the top two, it's pretty jumbled with a bunch of guys that look good, not great, with flaws. What about your boy Cooper Herpey? Yeah, I don't hate that either. I mean, he's hella cheap and, you know, don't mind the spot, but it's just there's opportunity cost there, you know? Yeah, Josh, yeah. Feltner is scratched.

Gabriel Hughes is getting the ball now for the Rockies. All right, we got your top pitchers. Let's go top stacks, not named Seattle Mariners. Seattle Mariners. Okay, we'll go three. We'll go the Twins. We'll go the Guardians. We will go the Braves. Twins, Guardian, Braves, and everyone's favorite. Ooh, I got a hundred percent profit boost, Matt. So now's the time. Now's the time more than ever. We're going to do an in-show home run parlay. I got mine.

Give me your home run call of the day. That would be Trevor story. Trevor story. All right. I'm going out West. You said you don't like, you said you like someone better, but I'm going Mike Trout to hit a bomb tonight. We're going to, let's do this. I'm going to bet. Let's see what it pays.

And when it wins, well, we're not going to do a show next week, but we're going to, we're going to do something for the, for all of all the people on the show. Hold on. Let's get a home run. Trevor Story, of all people, I like it. A hundred percent profit boost. Fifty bucks pays thirty-eight hundo. Boom, we're in. All right, that'll do it for us. Trevor Story, Mike Trout, go yard. We party.

Matt, it's been a pleasure all season long doing these MLB shows with you. Thank you for each and every one of you tuning in. We are not going anywhere. We'll be doing MLB shows next week, just no Friday show as Ham will be in Yankee Stadium enjoying some baseball. But appreciate each and every one of you tuning in. Good luck tonight in those contests. We'll see you at the top of the leaderboard. Just shipping.