Shows / MMA/ Thursday, November 12, 2026
From the archive. This breakdown is for the Thursday, November 12 MMA slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.
Zach Trivett and Kyle Marley break down UFC 334’s 13-fight DraftKings slate, featuring two five-round title fights and ten bouts expected to finish. Uros Medic ($8,400) is a priority favorite, with a first-round knockout prediction and enough upside to replace expensive options. Terrance McKinney vs Jim Miller draws near-full fight exposure, with McKinney preferred to win early and Miller targeted overweight because a victory should produce an optimal-caliber score.
Josh Hokit and Amanda Nunes anchor an aggressive underdog approach, although the show is unmistakably split on both title fights. Hokit exposure ranges from a proposed 40% cap to more than 70%, while Ciryl Gane offers direct leverage. Chris Duncan vs Drew Dober is another major target, with Dober preferred for the savings. Juan Diaz and Bia Mesquita draw tentative overweight interest, while Bilal Hasan’s $9,800 salary makes cheaper favorites more attractive.
| Play | Call | The Take | At |
|---|---|---|---|
| CORE | A lineup-building priority with a wrestling path to victory, but the show is split between more than 70% exposure and a proposed 40% cap because of ownership concerns. | 2:26 | |
| FADE | Excluded regardless of lineup count because his low pace and limited scoring ceiling are insufficient for this slate. | 4:22 | |
| The show is split, with his early knockout upside preferred on one side and Elder's cheaper wrestling path preferred on the other. | 6:36 | ||
| VALUE | The $200 discount supports extra exposure if he wrestles, although the show is split and his striking-only ceiling is limited. | 6:36 | |
| UNDERWEIGHT | Only limited exposure is contemplated if she fills the final lineup spot, with Nunes and Hokit preferred among underdogs. | 9:25 | |
| OVERWEIGHT | Tentative overweight target alongside Bia Mesquita because lower ownership allows exposure within otherwise chalky lineups. | 11:12 | |
| OVERWEIGHT | Tentative overweight target alongside Juan Diaz, with grappling offering a path to a strong score even in a decision. | 11:12 | |
| A favorable matchup is acknowledged, but cheaper Diaz and Mesquita lineups are preferred and his scoring ceiling may be insufficient at $9,300. | 12:07 | ||
| CORE | A major hand-built lineup priority alongside Hokit, but the show is split because Harrison's top control could decide the fight. | 12:32 | |
| FADE | Costa or pass because Gordon faces a difficult speed matchup and his takedown attempts could expose him to submissions. | 13:20 |
Systems go. Clear to lift off. Hey, what is up, everybody? Welcome back to UFC three thirty four MMA show with my man Big Marley. I'm a little under the weather, as you can hear. So not going to try and preserve my voice a little bit. I will say it's going to be tough to do so because we have a sick, sick card. Madison Square Garden, five p.m. Eastern, thirteen fights, eleven of the thirteen expected to finish. Actually, I don't know.
I can't see a finish odds for this Juan Diaz fight. I think this, I saw a couple of books saying plus one fifty. So maybe ten of the thirteen expected to finish. But regardless, two five rounders, a lot of violence expected, a lot of big names. I cannot wait this Saturday. How are we doing, Big Marley? Good. Yeah, I'm excited for this card. So I do hope I have a sweat going into the main event.
Otherwise, it's just so hard to stay up that late. But I think this is a good two championship fights that I'm looking forward to. My new guy, Hockett, man, I'm looking forward to that fight. And then my all-time favorite woman fighter, Amanda Nunez, coming back to fight the new most dominant fighter in the whole world. So I'm excited.
Yeah, I knew there was no doubt in my mind you would have Hokit with all the stars and Cyril gone with just one of them. We'll get there when we get there. Definitely big Marley as a fan. I have a big bet, I guess I'll say right now. I mean, big, solid bet. Medich over Holland. I hit at minus one forty eight yesterday. Now seeing that minus one sixty six at some books, I still think it's a little soft or light.
Minus one fifty five on DraftKings still so. That's my spot. I will be up for this whole card. I'll be dialed. Wife's going to be with some friends. So it's me and the little man. And yeah, we'll be watching UFC. I'll be live batting it. I'm going to be locked in from start to finish. No doubt about that. I got to watch and stay up for these. These are great fights. Yeah.
Anything that DFS wise in terms of what you're seeing Roster ConstructionRoster construction is how you organize a DFS lineup within its salary cap and roster rules. It includes where you spend or save, which positions you prioritize, and how your players fit together.Build two versions around your biggest spending decision, then compare every player who changes. Revisit the comparison when injury news changes the available value.Read the full definition of Roster Construction or any broad SlateIn MMA DFS, a slate usually covers the eligible bouts from one fight card. It can include preliminary bouts as well as the main card, so the headline fights are not your only possible source of fighters.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate overview before we go fight by fight? Oh man, just my five stars is what I want to be heavy on. I was kind of build around Hokit and those fights. Uh, but yeah, I guess, I mean, I do actually, my, I have two bets so far. I've, uh, Hokit at plus one, eight and Nunez at plus one, fifty four.
So I guess I am kind of invested all the way through this card. And, uh, Hopefully I'll be able to stay up and watch it play out. But no, I think it's just the five-star fights are the clear favorites. Also the Hokie fight, it was a five-star for me, but I just realized, man, I'm not going to play any gun. So it's going to be four-star and it's all Hokie for me. Oh, look at that. Look at that.
Let me refresh real quick because we do have pricing. It's still not up there, but the Juan Diaz-Altang Hayley fight, that is what we're going to start it off with, is priced at $9,000 and $7,200. And Juan Diaz is a minus four twenty five favorite. Altang Hayley plus three twenty five plus one fifty for this fight to finish. So one of the three expect to go the distance. Diaz plus one sixty inside the distance. Elotang Haley plus nine hundred.
We did have Juan Diaz open minus four fifty shortly after was minus two seventy five. And from there, he's taken a good amount of money. All I know just from looking at the inside, the distance numbers is it's Diaz or pass. We need upside on this card, even from the dogs, in my opinion, especially if you're on Nunez and Hokit. You're really saying you need upside from these dogs. So I don't see that with Elotang Haley, which makes it favored or pass.
Diaz will be LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage, but competing in a very strong range. So how much do you think you'll have of him? Yeah, I'm definitely cool with some Diaz exposure. I really just think he's the better fighter all around. Haley has a little bit of power. He's good with TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns. He can grind out some top control time, but he's just not a high volume or high paced fighter to be able to put up a big score.
So he's going to be a full X out for me, no matter how many lineups I end up making. But Diaz at $9,200, I think he fits in well just with those other guys in the range. I think he's right there with Costa and Mosquito, I'm fine with all of them. I don't really have a big preference in that range. It's kind of going to come down to the underdogs for me and then whatever fits in that $9,000 range.
If I can even get there. Cause I like a Medich as well. He's a little bit of cheaper and some other fights that we'll get to as well. But this one's going to be Diaz for me, Diaz or pass for me. And it's just going to decide if I can get there based on price or not. Yeah, you and I are the same. Diaz overpass. Good money line for his price. Again, $9,000 $7,200 plus one sixty inside the distance is fine.
Seeing some books like plus four ten plus four hundred for on one. That is not as good. What would you set out his takedown prop at Big Marley? Diaz is he's plus three twenty five by KO plus four fifty by submission. One and a half.
Probably just because haley's a wrestler as well and I think he could beat him on the feet if he wants to it's kind of do whatever you want diaz like he's he should be the one dictating where this fight takes place he's just the higher volume fighter the better boxer I think the more dangerous grappler uh so yeah it's just all about what he wants to do in my opinion Yeah.
So if Diaz is round one prop plus four hundred, if that's what it is, twenty percent is that probability. I'm probably capping him at twenty percent, maybe coming in at thirteen percent. That could be even with the field. I like he's not going to get much OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership first fight of the night. So I'm fine with him. Don't love him. Alta Haley is a pass. All right, let's keep it moving to the closest line and price fight on the card.
Samuel Sanchez, minus one, nineteen of Evan Elder, minus one, one, minus one, forty five for this fight to finish. Sanchez plus one, forty inside the distance. Elder plus three, ten. Similar thing for me. We need upside. And I think one who has plus one, forty inside the distance prop and Sanchez has more likelihood of I'm scoring a hundred plus and I think elder at plus three, ten run. One props also show that Sanchez plus three fifty elder plus seven fifty. Give me the guy that has more upside.
I believe that Sanchez. So kind of Sanchez or pass. It looks like you see it a little differently. Um, I do like this fight. I'm going to be getting both sides of it. I just imagine I'll be more on the elder side because he is two hundred dollars cheaper. And I think he is just a more well-rounded fighter. I like Sanchez is striking more. I think he's the more dangerous striker, more likely to get a hundred plus from a Round One FinishA round one finish is an MMA victory in the opening round by knockout, technical knockout (a stoppage because a fighter cannot safely continue), or submission (a forced surrender). In DFS, it earns an early-win scoring bonus.Compare first-round win odds with overall win odds, then ask how your fighter would score if the opponent survives. A strong favorite is not automatically a strong early-finish pick.Read the full definition of Round One Finish.
But since he is the better striker, I feel like Elder should be looking to wrestle in this matchup. And if he looks to wrestle, I think he could score decent as well at $1,000. So I'm cool with either one of these guys. But just if I was Elder's coach, I would not want to be standing, especially early in this fight. So I'd be looking at as much wrestling as I could.
And I feel like I would set his TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns prop at like two and a half, but I don't know how much you can really bake in a knockout happening before that two and a half. So I don't know what his actual prop would be, but I'd imagine one and a half to two and a half range. And I think elder can stand with Sanchez and kind of point fight his way through this fight.
I just don't see a big ceiling for him if he is to be striking. Um, so yeah, it's, it's like wrestler first early knockout equity. Yeah, I mean, it's crazy again. Even looking at like a comparable book, my bookie Bovada, we have Sanchez or they have Sanchez with a slightly better round one prop than Juan Diaz. What are your thoughts on that? Interesting. That's really interesting when he's minus one nineteen on the money line compared to minus four twenty five.
But that really is is front loaded to his early start is what books are saying. Yeah, I feel like it's just more like his style. He is kind of an aggressive striker, whereas I don't really see that same thing from the Diaz side. And Diaz has lots of ways he could win his fight. So I guess it makes a little bit of sense just based on Sanchez needs to go out there, guns a-blazin'. Yeah, and that makes me like Sanchez for DFS.
Again, in a range as well, I don't think the mid-tier is that strong. I'll be a lot of Stars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs. Wonderboy, Radke, I don't like the fight. Big Marley doesn't either, it looks like, number two. I do like Medich Holland, and I don't like Kaio Bagari. Which we're seeing that Big Marley has a two as well. So this would be my second favorite by default in the mid-tier. All right, next fight on the card, Bia Mosquita, minus-two-forty-six. Macy Chiesa, plus-two-oh-four.
Minus-two-twenty-five for this fight to finish. Bia, minus-one-forty-five inside the distance. Macy, plus-four-fifty. I'll let you start. Yeah, Bia, minus-one-fifteen by submission. Crazy. Yeah, I think this is probably going to be a pass for me because I just have a hard time getting to Macy over like a Nunez or Hokit. But I do think Macy's live to win the fight just by stuffing TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns, keeping the fight on the outside, and just – striking her way to a victory.
Her ceiling would be to get a TKO, but I just wouldn't really want to rely on that. So I'm not going to get too much chase on if she happens to fall into the last spot of a lineup, then so be it. But Mosquita is the one who should be looking to grapple in this fight. She's a really good grappler. I think she's a pretty solid wrestler. And Chiesan can definitely fall into being taken down and stuck on her back.
So I think it's a good fight for Mosquita. And I do think even in the decision, she has a hundred point upside. So she's my preferred play, but just not much of a different, or I guess I don't really have a big lean on her or Diaz.
It's just the same, same kind of style for me as in I feel like they both have about a to a hundred and ten point ceiling so
I would really in a perfect world make a Diaz lineup and then I would just duplicate it with Mosquito but I also think that you could throw them both into lineups if you're able to afford it underdog was think diaz will be a decent bit lower own uh diaz again plus one sixty inside the distance be a minus one forty five round one prop be a plus two hundred plus four hundred for diaz diaz one hundred more at $9,200 so I do expect diaz to be a bit lower owned in a vacuum I still like bia more when you're minus one fifteen inside the distance macy's rocking Let me see what it was.
Sixty-two percent takedown defense. Was taken down six times. Control for seven and a half minutes. Last fight against Aileen Perez. Just feels Clash of Styles. Give me the wrestler. The favorite. $9,100. But still, when you're comparing her to Ciro Gan, Kayla Harrison, Terrence McKinney, that's really all I got to say right there. There's absolute killers with big boy upside on this card. So, yeah, I'm fine with Bia.
I don't know actually who I prefer more, Bia more than Diaz in a vacuum, but due to the OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership discount, maybe Diaz. Probably be overweight to both, though. Can play him in ChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Read the full definition of Chalk lineups and still play the main events. Don't see myself playing much Macy myself. All right, we'll keep it rolling. Next fight on the card. Let me make sure I'm going in. All right, Mel Costa taking on Jared Gordon. Mel, minus four-fifteen. Gordon, plus three-fifteen.
Minus one-seventy for this fight to finish. Mel, minus one-forty-five inside the distance. Gordon, plus seven-fifty. Mel in round one, plus two-twenty-five. So, there we go. We go from $9,200, $9,100, now to $9,300. It's very similar, I think. Going to be pretty LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. Plus-two-twenty-five in round one's not great. Bia's a little better. Minus-one-forty-five inside the distance. The same as Bia. Bia is two-hundred cheaper. I think Bia wrestles a little bit more.
So how much metal do you think you're getting? Um, so he's the same boat as Diaz and be it to me and except he's more expensive. So I would just imagine that I get those a little bit more of those two because they are cheaper and any lineup I can make with Costa, I can make with them and kind of want to make with them as well. I do want to have a tighter Player PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool, uh, personally on this card.
So I, I feel like most of my coastal lineups I can make a duplicate with Diaz and a duplicate with Bia hopefully because I am going to be so heavy on Hokit mainly but I'm going to have a ton of Nunez as well so that's just how my hand building is going to start for the most part probably going to have a lot of holding hands as well but The ones where I'm leaving salary, maybe I'll have Duplicate LineupsDuplicate lineups are entries in the same DFS contest with identical player selections and scoring assignments, including any multiplier positions. In standard cash-prize tournaments, these entries tie and share the combined prizes for the places they occupy.Use the actual prize table to calculate your payout in a first-place tie with two, five or ten entries. Compare those outcomes before choosing between similarly strong builds.Read the full definition of Duplicate Lineups that way.
So I don't know how much Costa I'll get just based on all of that, but I think it's a great matchup for him. Gordon is a high-paced really fighter in general, but a pretty good wrestler and a forward-pushing striker. And I just think this is a bad matchup for him with a much faster Costa. Who could beat him on the feet just point-wise or knock him out to just being so much faster.
And I think if Gordon is looking to wrestle, he's just going to end up falling into, into getting choked out. Really. I think a guillotine would happen within one of his first two or three TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns. So I like it's coaster pass for me. I usually do like Gordon, especially if he's going to be six, but on this card, I don't like Gordon.
I actually might even like, macy more than gordon uh but ideally I'm not really getting too much of either one of them so favorite or pass if I can afford it yeah gordon usually is a guy like high-paced wrestler when he wins he scores well I just it's a really tough matchup for him uh mel or costa open minus Yeah, that's a huge line movement on the money line. Gordon plus seven fifty inside the distance. Not good. So I don't like Gordon.
I prefer Gordon. Oh, man. Probably even Alitang Haley and Macy. The thing with Costa is all set or seven UFC wins. Let me just make sure. Three, six. Yeah, seven. Only one has scored above like one or two or excuse me, one hundred one oh three one oh one. But then there's a one fifteen. I don't think one or three is enough on this card at $9,300 one fifteen. Maybe that's what you need. So he just doesn't wrestle a ton.
He's not the highest. Pace Stryker, maybe Gordon makes him be one. And I don't think Costa wrestles much in this matchup. So I probably will have more Bia, maybe even more Diaz because any Mel team can go down to Diaz. But I don't think I'm going to have a ton of this fight hoping Costa wins a second or third round knockout and is an optimal. All right. Sorry if you can hear my dogs barking. Let's get to the next fight. Dante Johnson minus one sixty eight.
Cesar Almeida plus one forty eight minus two seventy five. This fight to finish. Johnson plus one twenty inside the distance. Almeida plus one eighty five minus two seventy five inside the distance is pretty good. Big Marley. Yet you have it a three star. So what's your reasoning? Just hard to feel good about either side of this fight. Almeida is the better striker. He's a good kickboxer, going to be good at range, probably just a better point fighter the longer this fight goes.
But Johnson is more of a powerhouse striker where he could just knock out Almeida on the feet, or he could turn into a wrestler and just dominate this fight on the ground if he's able to land those TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns. I do think the takedowns will be tough to come by, but once he gets them, I feel like he could do work with them or he could just land a big shot and knock them out. So I'm cool with either side.
I do prefer Johnson over Almeida, but Almeida is an underdog that I think is live in this fight. And I like him more than the two that we've mentioned that we don't like so far on this card. And I think his ceiling would be to get a knockout, but even in a decision, I feel like he could flirt with a ten X. I don't know if ten X is going to cut it though.
I'm on, because of everything we said with the underdogs and the lack thereof so far, I'm definitely Almeida over Johnson. Johnson's not a pass. Plus-one-twenty's fine. The longer it goes, maybe he can wrestle. I think he's pretty LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage. He's plus-three-hundred in round one, which is not great. But looking at his price, at least $8,700, you do get a decent break off of these guys. So I'm indifferent to Johnson, but I would have it like four-star Almeida.
Caesar two-star johnson just because $7,300 or $7,500 goes a long way he has power plus one eighty inside the distance is good he can get a knockout into any point of this fight so almeida mainly my preferred play $7,500 is a solid price tag right in the range of nunez and hokit uh I think like I'll just say it. I think Cyril Ghosn wins. I think Kayla Harrison wins if that is the case.
More than likely, you're going to need some other dogs in these fights. Almeida is one of my favorites after that. Great to see you, YSN. Always appreciate your support. Appreciate everyone hanging out. Many watch on playback. Whenever you watch or find time, the hour that you do, subscribe button helps us out a ton over here. All right, baby. Anytime you see Terrence McKinney's name, you know, it's a great fight.
Terrence McKinney minus two Oh two Jim Miller plus one seventy five minus fourteen hundred for this fight to finish McKinney minus one seventy five inside the distance. Jim Miller plus one seventy five McKinney round one minus one thirty opens plus one twenty five. Now minus one thirty McKinney on the money line open minus two fifty now minus two oh two. I will say books continue to get it wrong.
Like there's no way you should open up a Terrence McKinney fight minus two fifty for Terrence McKinney on the money line. But plus one twenty five on round one. Like, that just doesn't make any sense. So now the money line has went forty cents against him, almost fifty cents. But his round one prop has taken about fifty cents. Fifty-five cents. It literally shows books are clueless still.
So, yeah, I mean, I guess if there was ever a fight McKinney wins in round two or three, it's this one. Since he's going against old man, forty-two-year-old Jim Miller, who also doesn't have as much cardio, but... It's still really hard to trust McKinney if it gets outside of round one. But, yeah, I'm super pumped for this fight. Don't get any food. Do not get any. Do anything when this fight's about to come on because it will not last long, more than likely.
How do you see it going? Are you going to have a hundred percent DFS? Yeah, same as every other McKinney fight. I'm not going to force a hundred percent, but I would like to be as close to a hundred as possible. I think there's ways that this doesn't end up on Optimal LineupAn optimal lineup is a legal roster that maximizes fantasy points under the salary cap and roster rules. After games, it uses actual scores; before games, a projected optimal uses estimated scores and any lineup restrictions you set.When reviewing an optimal, replace its most surprising scorer with a realistic pregame alternative. Check whether the remaining construction still offered a credible path to winning your contest.Read the full definition of Optimal Lineup, even with a McKinney first round win.
So, I mean, I'm just going to be super heavy on it, but yeah, McKinney dominates round one, but Miller never even gets off or McKinney McKinney blows his load and Miller teaches him a vet lesson. Either way, I do expect a big score. If Miller wins, I have a hard time seeing him not on the optimal lineup. And if he wasn't, it would be because Hoke and Nunes won and scored more points. And you just didn't need them, I feel like.
But I still would want to be overweight to Miller with my preferred play. Being McKinney and I have him winning in round one, uh, I'm just not in the business of picking guy, picking many guys older than me. Uh, but Miller, Miller, I feel like I was growing up as a kid watching Miller as a man. So it's just, he's an old. Yeah, I will say he's still a gamer though.
He's still a dog, but I do agree with you at the end of the day, I gotta be on Terrence McKinney. Um, Minus one eighty five. It was on Tuesday. So I mentioned minus two fifty at open when I put these odds up on Monday, actually minus one eighty five. Now minus two or two. So a little buyback on the McKinney side. Let's fight open minus $1,000 to finish now minus fourteen hundred. Under one and a half, minus three-fifty. Like, it's going to score.
Like you said, it's really hard for me to see Jim Miller winning, not being optimal. Even if Nunez Hokit wins, I think you're probably – then I'd guess the optimals, Jim Miller, Josh Hokit, Amanda Nunez, and then I would say, I guess, Hassan – uh, be a mosquito and Mel costs or something like that. Like it would be, it'd be a Stars and ScrubsStars and scrubs is a DFS lineup structure where you spend heavily on several expensive players and fill other roster spots with low-salary players. The cheap players free up salary for the stars; they are not necessarily bad players.Compare the points you gain by upgrading to a star with the points you sacrifice at the cheap spot. Check whether both players still fit your lineup's scoring scenario.Read the full definition of Stars and Scrubs bill. Cause I think Jim Miller and almost any win is scoring well. And then the McKinney stuff. Yeah.
The reason not to have a hundred percent is the round one. You think McKinney gets a submission in a minute, nine seconds, or he gets a knockout in a minute, five seconds. He gets a hundred, five, a hundred, five is good, but there are guys plenty in the upper tier guys and girls that can outscore one Oh five. So that's the reason not to go a hundred percent on this fight. Next fight on the card, Chris Duncan minus one ninety two.
Drew Dover plus one sixty seven minus three fifty for this fight to finish. Duncan plus one twenty five inside the distance. Dover plus one forty. Man, this fight was OK. So it was minus four hundred to finish on Monday. Now minus three fifty. So some money coming in on the over. Both guys, though, good inside the distance prop for their price. What do you think you're doing? I'm going to load up on it. Really like this fight.
I think it's going to be a fun one from a watching perspective. I think it'll be a high scoring DFS fight. And I could just see it going either way. So I like Dober to be the better striker. I like him to be more dangerous, just have the better boxing, more one shot knockout power. And I do think Duncan is hittable. But Duncan is an aggressive wild man who's a good striker, could get a knockout of his own.
But I would lean him to be the wrestler in this matchup. And I think he could put up a big score even in a decision matchup. But I think he's also alive for a submission or a knockout. So I just think we're going to get a fun fight. Big score could be an early knockout from Dober and he comes close to breaking the SlateIn MMA DFS, a slate usually covers the eligible bouts from one fight card. It can include preliminary bouts as well as the main card, so the headline fights are not your only possible source of fighters.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate or Duncan has lots of ways to score well. So I don't have a big preference on this one.
I just want to load up on it. And I think if my plan right now for MME, I'm going to put uh, $49,000 men just hoping that any Duncan lineup that doesn't have Dober just gets duplicated. And I have that same lineup with Dober, but I don't really want to go too much more than like a thousand on the table. I just think that's a perfect fight to leave a thousand right there. Hey, I don't hate that mindset at all.
I like big Marley. Like he has logic behind what he's doing right there. You could see like twelve hundred, fifteen hundred. That does kind of feel like a lot like I can see McKinney going down to Jim Miller and stuff. But what you're also saying, you are sacrificing being able to get up to a ball, Hassan, which I don't love. Doesn't look like you love it, but it comes down to he's $9,800.
But if we know that Jim Miller, Hokit, and Amanda Nunez are all scoring one Oh five, well, I'd have a son is a four or five star because a, he'll be low ish owned and then you'll have all the money to get it. So it's really just the nature of the card.
What favorites do, what underdogs do, but yeah, because big Marley likes Hokit and Nunez, uh, one can't like he's gonna leave money on this card because if you jam those two in you don't want to just zero out everything else so yeah kind of your takes on the fight um and the upside you see on the card should dictate that I do think this is a card you can definitely leave some money with plenty of live underdogs a lot of closely lined fights throughout the card Great fight, though.
I like both sides. I'll lean over just because he's $1,000 cheaper. But yeah, no other reason besides that. Both have a lot of upside. Do you think Duncan wrestles? I'll mention that like right from the get go. Yeah, well, I don't know. I think he'll kind of oblige a firefight. Just see how it plays out those first few seconds. And then after that, I think he would look to rest. All right. Keep it rolling. Next fight on the card.
Steven Wonderboy Thompson taking on Charles Radke. Wonderboy minus-one-fifty-one. Radke plus-one-thirty-one. This is one of three fights expected to go the distance. Plus-one-ten to finish. Radke, the underdog, plus-two-twenty-five inside the distance. Wonderboy plus-three-twenty-five. You say you're not in the business taking fighters older than you or forty-two. I'm still in the business of taking Steven Wonderboy Thompson. On the money line, the dude's style is elite. With that being said, DFS, if I need upside... Steven Wonderboy is not the guy to get upside.
So it's Radke or pass, but I do not like Radke much at all. I got this fight as a pass. And I think Wonderboy wins the decision. What do you got? Yeah, this is my least favorite fight on the entire card. Wonderboy, one of the most technical kickboxers we've ever seen in the UFC. I do think even at forty two, he's going to have the striking edge here.
But his DFS ceiling is going to have to come through a knockout because I don't think he's going to have that same volume upside that he used to have, like in the who was it? I'd have to go through his fights, but he's had some really high-volume striking matches. Jeff Neal is the one I was thinking of.
I just don't think that's in play anymore at forty-two years old, so he's going to have to get a kick-to-the-head knockout for him to score well, and I just don't really like that. I think that Radke could hang. I don't think he could win a striking match, but I think he could hang long enough to land TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns to be able to grind out a decision. I just don't think he does a whole lot with those takedowns either to be able to score well.
For me, it is dog or pass, but I just like other dogs on the card so much more. I like Dober more. I like Miller more. I like Almeida more. And of course, I like the two the two big ones more as well. So for me, it's it's just going to be a full pass, I think. But I'll keep Radke in my Player PoolA player pool is the set of players you consider using in your DFS lineups for a slate, the games or events included in a contest. The term can also mean everyone available to select in that contest.Keep a replacement beside each uncertain player, noting the salary and position you need. Recheck those alternatives when news changes so your shortlist still produces usable lineups.Read the full definition of Player Pool and probably X out Thompson. What about Radke versus Sanchez versus Elder?
I like both of those guys more than Radke. Yeah, I think Radke's one of the worst plays as well. This whole fight in general. I think Thompson's a worse play than Radke due to upside, but I think both. Are very bad. All right, let's keep it rolling. Next fight on the card, kind of already hinted at it, but Billy Hassan minus eleven hundred. Luis Grule plus seven oh nine. This fight is minus seven hundred to finish.
Hassan minus four seventy five inside the distance. Grule plus seven seventy five. Hassan round one plus one hundred. He's in a tier of his own in terms of everything. Money line in a tier of his own. Pricing, he's $9,800. The next highest is $9,300. So yeah, I... I think it just comes down to $9,800 really hard on the SlateIn MMA DFS, a slate usually covers the eligible bouts from one fight card. It can include preliminary bouts as well as the main card, so the headline fights are not your only possible source of fighters.Before building, open the contest details and check the included events, scoring period and lock rules. Do not assume two sites offer identical slates just because both call them the main slate.Read the full definition of Slate where there's a lot of cheaper fighters with big boy upside.
And then even if Hassan scores one twenty five can be priced out. But I guess the hardest thing for me is when playing him, you're kind of just going down the same route as everyone else. Everyone's going to have at least one of Hokit or Nunez. And then they're going to either have the other one or they're going to have the favorite there. They're then going to go to Jim Miller or McKinney, probably Holland or Euros.
It just feels tough to get different within those builds. So McKinney can outscore him in a vacuum. Ciro can outscore in a vacuum. Kayla, Bia, Mel Costa. Like I just I can't get there or get much at $9,800. So and I'm definitely not playing Luis Grule on this slate. What are you doing in this one? Yeah, favorite or pass. But yeah, I just don't really like to get to the favorite for the reasons that you mentioned.
I think that if I'm using Hoke and I'm using Nunez and I'm using Hassan, it's going to lead me to a lot of the same lineups as everybody else. So I would rather just go down from Hassan to Costa or Diaz or Nunez. Mosquito and leave that salary on the table just to get a little bit different that way. Because $9,800 is a lot to pay. And I think any of those fighters could outscore him.
I would also expect McKinney to outscore him. Duncan to outscore him. Medich could outscore him as well. But Hassan looks like the real deal, man. I think Grule is a pretty good striker, but Hassan is just so much faster and more technical. And he's got the better angles he's throwing at. He's also the better wrestler, too. So I think sky's the limit for Hassan. But $9,800, that might be my limit right there. So it's going to be favorite or pass.
But I prefer the pass. You think he wrestles at all?
Um he might mix in one TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns just to keep gruelette guessing but I think he just cruises in the striking and doesn't really need to yeah no I agree I don't think he definitely doesn't need to all right let's get to the next fight four fights left I mean this card is so good though there's so many good fights on this card you got to be staying up for all of them big Marley especially with the bats and your boy hokit there's no way there's no way you gotta sleep in you're right man Well, then it's free money Sunday.
You can only sleep. So, so actually football starts late for you. So then you're good. I mean, I just got better sleep in Saturday morning just to be able to stay up late or take a nap. All right. All right. Let me ask. When's the last nap you've taken? Back when I was doing this full time. So like three years ago, four years ago. My last nap was two hours ago. All right. Next fight. I'm a little sick, though, so I'm trying to sleep it off.
Next fight on the card. Eros Medich minus one sixty six. Kevin Holland plus one forty six minus five fifty for this fight to finish. Matic minus one-tenths of the distance. Howland plus one-sixty. Matic round one plus one-eighty. Howland round one plus three-hundred. That round one prop for Matic opened plus two-twenty-five, now one-eighty. That's quite a bit of line movement. Trying to see what the Howland one opened, and of course it's not opening right. Oh, plus three-twenty-five, now plus three-hundred. It's a great fight.
What I will say, though, when I was writing it up and when I saw it on Monday, I just last week, I'll give myself a little pat on the back with Johnny Walker. I definitely made a lot of cheese on it. I bet plenty. I thought the line was off. Did get a little lucky, though. Didn't look great in second round. Yeah, he's plus one ninety plus two hundred dog. Of course, you got to get lucky a little bit. This was the line I saw, though.
I thought he should be somewhere around the minus one eighty mark. I just it's one guy's career is going this way and one guy's career. Seems to be plateaued at best or going down. I think Medich is too quick on the feet. I think that left hand is going to come through. And, man, he's got dynamite in his hands. Holland just always does what the fans want. The Wonderboy fight, for example, gets a TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns, lets him back up, and has to quit after the fourth round.
If he's going to strike with Medich, I think he's going to be sleeping. So I put a healthy wager on Medich at minus one forty eight. It's moved quite a bit. Oh, minus one sixty six bet online, minus one fifty five on drafting. So didn't move much on the book I hit it with. But I'm Medich. I like both for DFS, but I want a lot of Medich for DFS. One of my OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership I plan on.
Yeah, I think Medich is going to be a tough test for Holland early in this fight. He's got aggressive, powerful, straight shots down the pipe, and I think he probably does knock out Holland, the first guy to knock him out. I also think he's a good enough striker to be able to beat him over three rounds. The grappling could be interesting, but I feel like Holland would be the better grappler, especially the longer this fight went. But it might not even get there.
I think Medich Round One FinishA round one finish is an MMA victory in the opening round by knockout, technical knockout (a stoppage because a fighter cannot safely continue), or submission (a forced surrender). In DFS, it earns an early-win scoring bonus.Compare first-round win odds with overall win odds, then ask how your fighter would score if the opponent survives. A strong favorite is not automatically a strong early-finish pick.Read the full definition of Round One Finish is my prediction. I like him, especially at $8,400. I think he could just pass all those $9,000 guys. You could even leave them out of your lineup, put Medich in instead. See, I definitely like him a lot here, but I have it as a four star just based on if Medich doesn't win. I don't know how much I really like Holland.
I think he could score well, but I also think he could score seventy in a win and we wouldn't even need him. So not a five star, but Medich is one of my favorite favorites on the card. I totally agree with your last statement there, though. Holland won, though. I mean, his props are so good. Plus one sixty inside the distance and plus three hundred in round one.
Just kind of make me think if Holland wins, he's going to score at $7,800. So while I do. Love Medich, bet a lot on him. For DFS, I still want a lot, but because I already have so much extra on that, maybe I do get just overweight Holland because I think his ownership comes in check to an extent. Again, Amanda Nunez, Hokit, Jim Miller, all cheaper.
Still going to get some for sure, but I could see Medich being a very popular play, especially if the money keeps going there, and then you get something like forty percent Uros, twenty-two percent Holland, and then it actually is the sharp DFS play.
Is howling but I have too much bias and thinking medic wins so I can only over correct to an extent great fight to target though I will definitely have a bunch uh yeah and minus five fifty inside the distance under one and a half minus one forty five you cannot complain about any of those props all right three fights left the third fight that is expected to go the distance Tyler bahio minus one sixty five usury balgory plus one forty five plus one sixty for this fight to finish so the worst on the card Balgori, plus-three-fifty inside the distance.
Kayo, plus-three-twenty-five. I said Balgori or pass because he's eight-hundred cheaper. And he's a great striker, but who wins this fight? Probably Kayo. I debated betting him, too, and I probably should have. It was minus-one-fifty-one Monday, not minus-one-sixty-five. You're just getting an elite fighter with elite fight IQ that can win in a lot of different ways. But Balgori's dangerous. That's the reason that I fought. I just was like, man, this dude... I don't know if I want to bet against Belgory either.
So that's why I didn't pull the trigger. Tyler, probably by wrestling or against the cage. Belgory, my preferred play for the savings. What do you see? Yeah, I think that this is a fun fight. Kaio, the more well-rounded fighter, I think he can strike with Belgory, but that's where he would put himself in danger. Belgory is just taller, longer, just a dangerous, solid kickboxer in general. So I think he's definitely in play at $7,700.
I just changed my stars to three and three. I don't really have a preference on this fight. I think Belgory's in play for the knockout could score big that way, but I think Baralho's in play for a wrestling-heavy game plan where he could score well. But I think since Baralho can strike with Belgor, he probably will strike long enough to not score well enough and a win here.
So I think that it's a two-star overall, not going to get too much exposure to it, but I'm fine with either side of it being the sixth spot in a hand-built lineup.
I don't know that I would X him out in my mme either I would just kind of make sure it's not giving me too much on either side I'd prefer to be like ten to twenty percent range not really much higher than that yeah ideally I'll be five to fifteen percent range I think I I don't like this fight one of my least favorite on the card Two fights left, two title fights, two five-round fights. Both will be very popular. Cannot wait for them both.
This one, the fight we've been waiting for for years, Kayla Harrison, minus-one-sixty-three, Amanda Nunez, plus-one-forty-three, minus-two-fifteen for this fight to finish. Harrison plus one Oh five inside the distance. Nunez plus two sixty five. Harrison round one plus four hundred Nunez plus eight hundred. This fight did open minus two hundred to finish and some money again on the under minus two fifteen. Now you said you're on Nunez bias aside or partly biased. You can explain. You're always an honest man.
Is it a price thing or where does Nunez win this fight? I think better fighter than Harrison. Um, Harrison is the better athlete, the better judo player. Uh, and I do think if she throws Nunez down, gets in top control, she could definitely have success, but that's the only way she has success. And if Nunez beats her to the TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns, she's probably in a lot of trouble off of her back. Uh, and if she can't get the takedowns, I don't think she can even make it.
I don't think she can make it. I don't think she can make it. I don't think she can make it. I don't think she can make it. Harrison also coming off, like, neck surgery. That's not a good surgery that you want to have. And on the countdown, she said, I wouldn't have even came back if it wasn't for Nunez. So, like, sure, Nunez is driving her to come back. But what, you were going to retire because of your neck surgery?
That's not good now, fighting the most dangerous woman that's ever existed. And what happens if she starts pulling on that neck? What's going to happen? I don't know, man. I just think this should be closer to a pick-em line. And I'm on the underdog here because – Anytime Nunez has a plus next to her, I'm absolutely interested.
And the only reason I think she has a plus next to her is because not only Harrison's super dominant, but we haven't seen Nunez in three plus years. We don't really know what to expect. So the unknowns, I think, are what really put that plus next to it. But even the unknowns, I think I know she's a better striker. I know she's a good grappler. I know she can wrestle.
So I have it as a three and three because Harrison could definitely put up one hundred and twenty points. I'm going to play some Harrison. But it's really like a four and two for Nunez, if not even a five and one with my hand builds. My hand builds are a five and one. My my MMEs are probably a four and two. Hey, you're a great salesman when you you can tell you truly believe it. And I it comes down to the unknowns.
Like you said, I guess how confident are you, Big Marley, that she's been absolutely dial grinding for three years or at least for over a year? Um, or you don't think, or you don't think she has to be, I mean, how, how much has grinding as Harrison been doing with the freaking neck surgery, you know? So I don't know that she has been, I don't know that she had to have been, but I saw her walk past the camera on, um, like, uh, what's it called?
Uh, it's a video. She looked pretty freaking stacked to me. And I did watch the countdown. Um, I don't know. I thought she looked good. Yeah, I will say the reason I picked Harrison, you told me a little bit. I don't know who I'm going to be more overweight on. And I'm definitely not betting it. There's no chance. But maybe live betting again. I'm going to be locked in this whole card. But the only reason I did it is because, yeah, Harrison's judo.
If she gets on top, Harrison cuts so much weight. She is so massive for the division. And she knows everything. It's life or death. Get the fight to the ground. Stay on top and milk it out. Unless we get a Dan Mergulata or something that's standing him up when you're off your back. Like I don't really see Nunez being able to get up much. If she is, then yeah, it's her fight to lose. But definitely a great fight.
Talking about odds in this one, Kayla Harrison opened minus three hundred on Monday. Minus one eighty five today. Minus one sixty three. Money has continued to come in. On Amanda Nunez, the lady goat. What a great fight it is. I'm just so happy we get it this week. Before we even get into the main event, are you going to make a rule to have any fight on the card? Are you going to have at least one Harrison Nunez, Hokit, gone? No, no rule for me.
Me neither. Because I look at these two fights, like McKinney and Jim Miller, and because it's going to be high enough owned where if you make a rule to jam all three, if you're doing like ten teams, I guess I don't hate it. I wouldn't hate it, actually. That's one way to rotate between six fighters that you want exposure to while dialing in on something. So the more I think about it, actually, I would like that idea.
But when you're playing in the flagship stuff, You're trying to get different. So there's thirteen fights on the card. Ten of the thirteen expected to finish. You could see a lot of other random three rounders score one ten or something and then outscore these. And when that happens, you win a lot more money when it does. So that's the reason not to. I agree. I will not jam any fight either.
All right, it's the main event time, which is good because my voice is starting to, like, I'm hearing myself talk with it even more than usual, and I do not like that. So, Cyril gone, minus-one-seventy-two. Josh Hokett, plus-one-fifty-one. Minus-two-fifty for this fight to finish. Gone, plus-one-hundred inside the distance. Hokett, plus-one-hundred. Two fifty. This line opened. Zero gone. Minus two thirty. Got down to minus three twenty five a couple of days later.
Ever since then, money has started coming in on the Hokie side. And again, one that has not stopped was minus one ninety five Monday. Now is minus one seventy two. Your two underdogs are taking money again. Bias aside, not bias. You usually admit all that stuff. You are a Josh Hokie guy. Yeah. Why do you have this as a five star Hokie at one star gone? Hulk is going to dog walk him. I mean, I like gone. I think he's a really good striker.
I think if this fight were to stay at range, okay, it would probably get knocked out at some point, but I would lean gone to just cruise minute wise if that were the case. But hope it's a high volume pressure fighter too. I think he could have success on the feet. He could maybe knock out gone. But it's just a simple game plan here. You push forward, you get the TakedownsTakedowns are successful wrestling moves that bring a standing opponent to the mat and establish a controlling position. In MMA DFS, you earn fantasy points for officially credited takedowns landed, not failed attempts.Watch whether your fighter actually chooses to wrestle against similar opponents. Strong takedown statistics do not help your lineup if the fighter spends this matchup trading punches.Read the full definition of Takedowns, and you dominate this fight on the ground.
Maybe even look like a minus-four hundred favorite on the ground here. Just do what Jon Jones did. It's the same exact thing. Training with the same coaches. I think it's an easy game plan. Maybe harder said than done. But... I'm just team Josh Hokett. I think we need Hokett to be the champion. UFC needs it bad, man. And Team USA, man, always Team USA. So give me Hokett. I'm not going to have a single gone lineup this weekend. I might.
I've been thinking about one hundred and fifty two, but I'm not going to have any gone. So give me a bunch of Hokett. I'll probably have like seventy plus percent Hokett. But if Hogan's not in my lineup, I'm just hoping that this fight doesn't end up on the Optimal LineupAn optimal lineup is a legal roster that maximizes fantasy points under the salary cap and roster rules. After games, it uses actual scores; before games, a projected optimal uses estimated scores and any lineup restrictions you set.When reviewing an optimal, replace its most surprising scorer with a realistic pregame alternative. Check whether the remaining construction still offered a credible path to winning your contest.Read the full definition of Optimal Lineup.
I do think Gon needs a knockout and an early knockout to be on the optimal lineup because if he's spending any time on his back, I really don't expect any, even little strikes that are going to be adding up. I don't expect any of that from him. I expect a zero off of his back, and he's got to get it back to his feet and get a knockout at some point for a big score.
And if it's after the second round, I just don't really know how he makes the optimal. And on this card, I think a second round knockout probably be tough to make it as well. So I'm just going to X them out. And I mean, if you were fighting somebody, I wouldn't be picking the other guy. You know what I mean? So I feel like Hogan's my boy. Let's go, Hogan. I'll Hogan. Yeah, I mean, I appreciate that. It's tough.
So what I plan on doing, I plan on being underweight this fight. I do know that. So Hokit is minus, or he's minus what I'm talking about. He's plus... Plus one fifty one is thirty nine point eight percent. I think I'm going to cap Hogan at forty percent. I think I'm expecting him to come in higher on than forty percent. The reason for that, I do think like almost all of his wins will be optimal and he's forty percent chance to win.
I don't think there's many paths where he loses in his optimal because that means I think he gets knocked out and there's enough underdogs on this card that are alive so I just think naturally hope it will be over owned relative to his win equity and then for gone even if I want forty percent gone twenty percent might be overweight uh in terms of fight fade I'm not sure I want forty percent gone But the higher owned Hokit is, which I do think he's maybe fifty, the more gone I want for direct LeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Read the full definition of Leverage.
And the nice thing is, because I give Hokit respect on his toughness, I think there's multiple knockdown upside for gone. Knocks him down, Hokit gets up. Knocks him down again, Hokit gets up. And it's like, yeah, that's what we want. Big boy score coming. I got a question for you. We're going into round four championship round. Who on the live betting do you think like, like who looks better? Usually it's like, all right, this guy is, is, is looking way better.
Who would that be? I'd say going into round four. Hope it's your favorite. If he's alive at that point, I think it's because he's winning. Okay. And you trust his cardio more. I think he could be slowing down, but I think if he were to be slowing down, it's probably because he's been putting on a wrestling clinic and God's probably not that fresh either. Yeah. And man, Hogan fought through looking like he was super gassed for three full rounds, at least in that last fight.
Well, that's what worries me. That's what worries me. I trust him still. All he's got to do is get one takedown, man. I feel like he can just start breathing on the ground, man. You know, God's not getting up one takedown and that round's over. Especially if he's gassed. I mean, if they're both gassed, I still think, yeah, it's probably stuck on his back. Yeah. All right, yeah, again, I'm not going to lock any of these fights.
I'm on Cyril Ghosn, I think, at distance, deep kicks, body kicks. I think all he's trained is takedown defense. Ghosn's a much bigger guy. I think he's more athletic. Okit's the man in the sense of he's fast past his career more than anybody. Whatever you want to say about him, the mic, all that, if he was just a normal, nonchalant guy, he wouldn't be fighting Cyril Ghosn for the title this week.
His talking, his everything, the eyes he's given on himself has gave him a situation where a paycheck, a presence for this weekend. So that's all I got to say about him. Marketing genius, who knows what he believes, what he doesn't. He's funny. I think his rap was hilarious. He's catchy. Um, I just don't think it's his night on Saturday. I think Ciro gone. And still, but we will see. All of our content will be up at Chippin Nation tomorrow.
ProjectionsDFS projections estimate a player's fantasy points for an upcoming slate using expected opportunities, performance and the contest's scoring rules. They describe an expected result, not a guaranteed score.Check the projection's update time and assumed role before using it. If news is already included, adjusting again for that same news can double-count its effect.Read the full definition of Projections, OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Read the full definition of Ownership, the stone, the stone, two point no Slate Station. We can get the breakdown for every single fight. The stone is always color coded. Discord, a big piece of our product as well. We would love to have you. Let me just before I throw it to Big Marley to share where you can get in again. Chippin Nation dot com. See plans and pricing.
If you just are doing MMA and no other sport, we do have single sport options for MMA monthly, annual. It only gets cheaper the longer you are with us. We also do have core one hundred and starter packages as well. Again, you save more the longer you're with us. A lot of sports going on. NFL, college football, NBA, PGA, MMA, NASCAR, NHL. So great time, a great bang for your buck. Big Marley, final thoughts before we get on out of here.
Go Hokit. Can't wait, man. I'd say I'm more pumped about this card than I have been in a while, maybe even the last Hokit card, and that was a good card for me. So hopefully I run it back here. Good luck to you, Title. Good luck to everybody listening. Good luck to Hokit. Let's get it. Top to bottom, I do think this is one of the best cards of the year. Big Marley, I need your final before we're out of here.
The odds, seventy percent, thirty, eighty, twenty, whatever it may be that you're actually going to stay up through this whole card and the Hokit fight. Uh I actually think a pretty good chance I'd say eighty plus percent um eighty to a hundred I definitely We'll call it a nightie. Call it a nightie. The odds has increased as the show went on because I can't let Big Marley sleep through this one. This is what us UFC fans wait for.
It's been a grind, like, eleven straight weeks or something. Coming up on a break pretty soon, I believe, in two weeks. But these are the cards. A lot of fight nights, apex, grinding ones. This one's easy to get up for. I can't wait. Good luck, everybody, in your contest. Hit that like, hit that subscribe on the way out. For Big Marley, I'm Title Town. Good luck. Be safe. Peace.
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