CFB DFS – WEEK 4 | Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Starting off, we have Texas and Tennessee. A tough road matchup for Texas. They have obviously beat Ohio State. They're ranked number one. They have the target on their back. On the Texas side, we have Arch at sub $9,000, which at first glance looks pretty good. Georgia Tech ran the ball OK on Tennessee. One interesting thing that could change how we're approaching this game. Hollywood Smothers is questionable and he hasn't been practicing, so he's not trending in the right direction.

The props already have Relique Brown above Smothers and at $5,900 with the usage. I kind of like Brown even in a split, but if Smothers is out, that just elevates him even more at a cheap price. And then, I mean, we don't need to talk much about the wide receivers, Cam Coleman, Ryan Wingo, Emmitt Mosley, all house names. The one thing I will mention is that Mosley leads the team in targets.

So we're getting a discount on a guy who's getting looks from Arch. On the Tennessee side, Faison Brandon, kind of looking as advertised. He's kind of in that mid-range position. Um, barely eight years old. He just turned like two or three months ago. Uh, and now he's facing off in his toughest college matchup yet. Like him at home better than on the road in Austin. Uh, it's Deshaun Bishop in the running room, uh, four touchdowns through three games already. Dwayne, or Dwayne Morris will work in.

And then the wide receivers, uh, Mike Matthews is a guy who aggravated me in the college football playoff a couple of years ago. A lot of coach speak. I fell for the trap. Uh, People don't forget. But now he's getting six targets a game. Staley's a slot. We have proof of concept with him. Rodarius Jackson a guy who's just getting a bigger role, and he's in the three Ks. If you do need to look down that far, he's definitely on my radar.

Maybe not a top $3,000 option, but his role is improving. He's a four-star recruit. Now he's just getting more time. So, Kenny, looking at this Texas-Tennessee matchup, news is going to have a big impact, first of all. And second, Tennessee's got a decent team total for a team against Texas. Yeah, I actually think this game is super sneaky to start off the slate.

I mean, obviously with the injury news with Smothers, like Malik Brown will be a top player running back, and I'm kind of starting to lean that Smothers is going to be out. I think that Arch is going to go super overlooked on the slate. It's Texas' first game on the road. I could definitely see them needing to lean on him more if Tennessee puts up a fight, and I tend to think they will at home.

Know bishop I know last year I um I won a GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ with bishop and he was playing against alabama and they were in a trailing game script the whole time and it just leaned on him more granted this is a different team different year but I'm not afraid to play him even as a underdog I think he's a pretty pretty uh well worth the price tag um I definitely like game stacksGame StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ of this.

I don't know how much I'll be one-offing guys other than the running backs. The receivers and stuff, I think I want to just pair them with their quarterbacks. I think this game is super sneaky overall. It's definitely a big SEC game. I'm definitely interested. Yeah, I mean, I agree with your sentiments right there. I do think this game will be overlooked. I think there are a lot of playable pieces. Bishop got that clearance for the injury.

He's going to be a guy probably going to lean on him a little bit more, but this game could pop off in the fifties and, you know, even more, you know, Tennessee tends to run the higher pace offense. We don't know how, how Faison Brandon is going to be, but we'll see. Arch definitely has a ceiling game here. Raleigh Brown does intrigue me as a little one-off.

If we do get where the Smothers is out, which it looks like it will be, then Raleigh Brown at his salary could be one of those one-off type plays, just for a pure volume perspective. But I definitely would be agreeing with Hamwich here as more of like a game situation that could really hit if you're building a bunch of lineups. Really good game. Really big-time game for the playoffs.

Yeah, and I think a game that, you know, you see – Somebody going against Texas and you're like, oh, it's a tough matchup. But I think both of these teams can put up points. So, yeah, the overlook factor. Anytime we can find leverageLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ with two solid offenses, it's a good thing in DFS.

And if you have questions in the chat, go ahead and get them in at any point, whether it's about the game we're talking about or any other game that we have or haven't gone over yet. We're happy to answer anything you have. Moving on to the Big Twelve Colorado and Baylor. A bigger spread Baylor, a bigger favorite at home. On the Colorado side, Juju Lewis has been kind of underwhelming, but the entire team was Cheeks. I mean, just getting blown out by Northwestern.

I don't care if it's at home on the road. Dion lets some players go. Most of Julian Lewis's production this year has come against Weber State. So at $6,200. I'm kind of on the fence just because I like the matchup. I just don't know that I like the team right now. The running back room is a little bit different, though. Damien Henderson doubtful. Uh, Jaquil Smith is upgraded to probable, so it's a little bit different than it was even twenty-four hours ago.

Uh, but if for whatever reason Smith can't go, it really, really increases, uh, the playability of DeKalen Taylor, like a Welch, uh, turns into a two Person running back room instead of a three or four. Uh, but if Smith goes, it does muddy the waters a little bit. And then in this receiving room, it's pretty much DeAndre Moore and Joseph Williams. For their target share, $4,900 and $5,300 seems like a deal.

So those are guys I'd definitely be looking at, especially if you're stacking Baylor and you need a run backBring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗. Those wide receivers look nice. And speaking of DJ Lagway is on track to play and Northwestern just put forty one points on Colorado. I don't care if he's a statue in the backfield. I don't care if he runs for fifty yards, whatever. I think three hundred yard bonus is on the table. Touchdown upside is definitely there.

Especially when you got a wide receiver room with Gavin Freeman in it. The dude's got forty targets already this season through three games, including seventeen when Lagway last played. Speaking of when Lagway last played, Lewis Brown and Jaden Porter both had nine targets in that game. Now you could argue that Auburn's a better team than Colorado. Baylor may not have to throw as much.

But if they and whether they whether they need to or not, I think those three guys are going to be the first three looks for Lagway. And Freeman is $5,500. It's one of the more egregious misprices this entire season so far, maybe the most unpriced receiver of the season so far. And then the running backs, Dawson Pendergrass is getting pretty good usage. But Caden Knighton is getting good usage, too. So Pendergrass, it's because they're running the ball more than forty times a game so far.

So I think that puts them both on the table. Pendergrass is the lead guy. But if Knighton's going to get ten to twelve touches at $4,800, It doesn't look too bad. Ian, we'll throw it to you. I know you have some connections with fanhood to DJ Lagway previously, so you know the player. What are you looking at in this Colorado-Baylor game? Yeah, you know, Colorado side has some value pieces, really, just some one-off spots.

You know, DeAndre Moore, the running back situation is kind of muddled. Receiver could be something. Scudero's out, so there are some targets to go around. Baylor perspective, you mentioned it. You said Lagway, you know, he was hurt since the Auburn game hasn't played. He's coming back for this one. They have a thirty two and a half point team total. And Lagway is going to if they're going to give him the ball to throw it around, that's what he's going to do.

He's going to be much of a threat to to do anything else but could sling it. So I would look at it like we looked at the Auburn game. We had a lot of past attempts where you targeted. You mentioned those top three receivers that he targeted. And, you know, Gavin Freeman just stands out. That's a great play, . In a slate where there are plenty of fairly priced receivers, he's just underpriced.

Top receiver, figure you're going to throw the ball over forty times, he's going to get double-digit targets. It's a really good game environment for that. All the numbers really line up for that point. Lag was probably a little bit overpriced for the slate to play him in one of those. But really some good one-off pieces if you're looking at filling out a single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ or a cash lineupCash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Full explanation ↗ with this, starting with Freeman, aren't overlooked at. But it's a condensed receiver room.

I think that's always nice to see when we're looking at that from a Baylor perspective, because Lagway can get the ball downfield. Yeah, I've thought about Lagway more and more, and he definitely feels overpriced looking at it. And he hasn't done much with his legs.

Um I there is like just the GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ player in me like Lagway like he got

Hurt when he was scrambling in that first game and he was clearly hindered by that um there might be a little bit of sneaky rushing upside with him I mean it's it's been there before but he's typically a statue it wouldn't shock me if he had an okay russian performance um these baylor running backs this has been super inefficient and I'm not super interested but you know here's your clip Gavin Freeman this is probably the uh best play of the season so far like if he's sub-fifty percent ownedOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ in large field GPP he will be under owned um he's just an extremely solid play especially for a ppr scoring system like

He's he's gonna catch a lot of passes um I really don't mind funneling in these other two receivers I I don't think I um you know that being said what I said about Lagway with his running I think I'm gonna force the double stack um with freeman and one of these guys um single injury I don't mind the skinny just with Lagway freeman um but large field I think double stacking is where you're gonna get the ultimate ceiling out of Lagway um and I guess you know if you're double stacking you maybe want to run back The receivers, I think the top two receivers are really, really solid.

I think one of them has a good chance to have a good game. The running back room, I was super intrigued by when Jaquel Smith was questionable. But one thing about it, there is some uptick in volume because Damian Henderson is out. Basically, as far as the rushing goes, it's been a split between Welch, Smith and Henderson. And Taylor the fourth leading carry. He catches more passes. So there is maybe some hidden upside for Welch and Smith still.

I mean, they're both averaging over five yards of carry. They have similar profiles as Welch has gotten the touchdowns. So I really don't I don't mind taking some shots on a Colorado team that actually does like to run the ball.

Um with like a Welch or Smith um but yeah that's kind of how I'm playing that this game is like super interesting to me as well um you can play it on the Baylor side in any format and get different with how you play Baylor it's really easy to so um yeah super interesting here as well yeah and one thing I'll add about getting different with Baylor it's a team with a thirty two and a half point team total one of the higher ones on the slate some really juicy but high on guys there's no reason you can't play Gavin Freeman with Pendergrass or Knighton or stack a legway running back Freeman legway, running back wide receiver, just looking at their pace, their tops.

And they're tied with Oklahoma and pace, Oklahoma state, not Oklahoma, Oklahoma state and pace to start the season. They ran the ball forty five times against Auburn and threw it fifty four. They ran ninety nine plays in that game. And even when they beat Prairie View by forty one points, they ran eighty four plays and threw the ball forty three times. So You know, this offense is built to score. It's built for DFS.

So yeah, if you want to eat the Freeman chocolate, like you said, it's probably the best chocolate of the year to eat. But that doesn't mean you have to fall in line with the rest of your lineup with these guys. All right. ACC, Wake Forest at Louisville. Decent spread, a two score spread. Louisville, a bigger favorite at home. High implied team total. Almost it's very similar to the game we just talked about in terms of the spread in total.

On the Wake Forest side, Gio Lopez does have that dual threat ability, six to eight hundred, kind of in that okay price range. I know like looking at Gio and these running backs, SMU moved the ball on Louisville, but obviously like Kendrick Raphael had to see it like a spike game. He finally got unleashed. So I don't know how much you factor that in when you're talking about a team like Wake Forest.

But then you have Carlos Hernandez, who I guess DraftKings is just going to refuse to price him up, too. He was producing even in double coverage last week. He's a punt returner. He had one one called back and he had another big return that. So he's got that touchdown upside there, too. I just don't think $6,000 is enough. But kind of like the Colorado side in the last game, Hernandez works great as a run backBring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ if you want to stack these Louisville guys.

Lincoln Kienholz, though, finally priced where he should be. I think you can still give him a look just with the way he's been playing this year. And at last check, Keewon Brown was questionable. It does look like both Browns will be out on the field. In that $6,000 range, it's a price down for Isaac. So that I mean, that looks all right. And then Trey Richardson and Lagway McCoy are the top two guys in this receiver room.

I mean, you could throw Skinner in there, too, at the tight end position. But it's really Richardson and McCoy, and they're, again, priced fairly, but, you know, Ian, this implied team total, you know, it's got to give some interest to the Louisville side, right? Oh, yeah, definitely.

You know, thirty-five and a half points, they've been such a good play, you know, you can trust Braum's offense, and You know, the thing that has been the theme for me this year is the offense just runs through Lincoln Dean Holtz. And he's finally priced right at a point at $9,000 where you got to think about, is he a plug and play for a cash signal entry type lineup?

Don't think he is definitely viable at that spot just because he does run the ball double digit times. You know, he's got, he's thrown a couple in touchdowns.

He's just done a really good job this year playing the quarterback position at Louisville, just dual threat, putting up numbers really high floor they have a ceiling game as well really really interested maybe you know trying to figure out a way to be able to plug him in to that cash lineupCash GameA cash game is a contest that pays a large share of the field, usually close to half, the same flat prize. Fifty-fifties, double-ups and head-to-heads are the common cash games.Treat cash games as the steady base of your bankroll. Use one safe core across your cash entries on a slate, and save riskier ideas for tournaments.Full explanation ↗ if if the salary is there it allows it and his receivers are pretty condensed as you said running backs a little harder to measure you know they've been doing a really good job spreading around there's three guys you can trust carrying the ball both browns plus keen holds so that's uh That makes it a little bit harder than running back room.

Kenny kind of talk about his way to attack it from that with that team total. But Wake Forest you also you talked about Carlos Fernandez, absolutely Gio Lopez, absolutely. They had really good DFS season so far. There's no reason to think that they can't keep it tight and put up some numbers again this week. Can you guys hear me? Yep. Okay, so I'm having some audio issues over here.

Anyways, I didn't hear anything really much of what you guys said, but the main thing I really wanted to touch on on the Louisville side, I think Isaac Brown is a really, really good GPV play this week. Kwon Brown obviously had the bigger game last week, but Isaac Brown is completely off the injury report.

He definitely has the ability to rip a couple long ones, and there's a lot of running back chalk in the six Ks to where I think it's just going to beat these guys down significantly. We've seen Louisville over the years, especially in a blowout, just feed two running backs and not throw the ball. I could definitely see that being a situation here. That being said, I do really like Lawayne McCoy, his price, and then Keane Holtz's price up, but fine.

And then the Wake Forest side, Hernandez, for me, I don't mind some Gio Lopez, but Hernandez is a really good football player, and he's underpriced. If it wasn't for Freeman... He'd be really ringing the bell. But his ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ should stay in check just because of all the plays right in that range for the receivers. So I don't know if I duped up on what you guys were saying, but that's my thoughts. No, no, it's perfect. You added the Isaac Brown note.

Obviously, the three of us, Carlos Hernandez, just like Freeman, is one of those guys that jumps off the page when you see his price. So yeah, definitely some goodness on both sides of this game. I just want to bring Zim up What's going on, Zim? Glad to see you here. Turns out I may be going to that Bills-Vikings Monday night game. Just wanted to let you know since you're here. Maybe the Bills' first loss of the season. Just throwing that out there.

That's too much NFL talk for a college football show. Illinois at Ohio State. Still a big spread even though we're in conference play. Caden Houser at the bottom of the barrel in terms of pricing. . . . And then you got the running backs who are running backs are never going to get a ton of love against Ohio State. Khalil Valentine, Aiden Lafrey in a split, both pricing the high fives.

One guy who, man, I'd really love to play, but his price is going to second guess just a little bit is Colin Dixon. Just been an absolute stud so far this year, like far and away the number one for Illinois. You know, you get a discount with Hudson Clement. He just hasn't put up the numbers. So you got to make a decision there, this matchup, that price, you know, Colin Dixon was $6,000.

I think you'd throw them in the same boat as, as like a Carlos Fernandez, even in this matchup on the Ohio state side, Julian saying. Ninety two hundreds, just a lot, especially when you have keen holes at $9,000 the game before Bo Jackson, decent spot. Jeremiah Smith bounce back spot, right? He disappointed everybody last year, not everybody last week, but you know, Twenty five to thirty percent of the field in most cases. McEwen is getting looks in his head. The Hail Mary catch.

If this game blows out, probably see Chris Henry. Nate Roberts has a prop at $3,700. That's usually a good sign. But how do you approach this game, Kenny, when you have it's really Ohio State's first like outside of Texas, obviously. But Illinois is not a bad football team. But, you know, the spread shows like this game is probably not going to be close. I think Illinois can push them. But how does that factor in the DFS for you?

Yeah, you talked about twenty five to thirty percent of the field being disappointed. It was fifty percent of my profile that was disappointed last week. I was really high on him and it did not pan out. It was actually really frustrating Ohio State last week. They had four rushing touchdowns from between Bo Jackson, two for Jacobs Jackson, one for Isaiah West. And then they obviously have that. It was just about to be twenty one to seven.

And then we get a turnover and a Hail Mary. And all of a sudden it's like then Jeremiah Smith was on the bench. But this week I'm saying is I think he's the highest priced player on the slate. And I'm done trying to mess with that. Like I've seen I've seen it get there. But I mean, pairing up saying and Smith, it's just so much salary.

I'd almost rather just play the Smith because I want to double say and I just and I None of these other guys really interest me, especially when all these rushing touchdowns are getting cut by these running backs. And then that's why Bo Jackson can't get there. He's probably got enough volume and is involved enough with his salary to work out. And the projection is always going to look okay. But the vultures are just so frustrating with this staying team.

That being said, I think Jeremiah Smith might be the only one I play, even in large field. I'm just over it with Ohio State. Those are famous last words, but that's how I'm playing it this week. Then the Illinois side, Houser is cheap enough. I'm just not really interested besides Dixon. I'm really not even interested in him because I prefer to stack him, but the volume can't really ignore the amount of targets he's getting.

That's kind of where I'm going to wrap up. Illinois but yeah I'm I don't know I don't yeah I'm not super impressed with ohio state yet I wouldn't shock me if they laid another egg Yeah, it's like you said it with Bo Jackson. He's such a good spot. His progression is going to be there. But they seem to really like Jacobs Jackson, another former Gator there. And he's just been involved from the start.

So this is looking like a lot more of a split, at least a semi split than it was last year. So it's hard to rely on Bo Jackson. You know, you probably count on his numbers, but his touchdown like to have his touchdown upside and It's pretty fairly priced, so it's hard to project that. And when I look at Jeremiah Smith, I'm building out any kind of hand build or anything like that.

And it kind of comes to the question, especially on a slate like this, which we'll get to with some of the salary ranges, is do you play Jeremiah Smith or do you play like a Lincoln Kienholz or one of those higher priced quarterbacks? And it's kind of like a dependable volume.

If I'm going to choose between if I got to play Jeremiah Smith, it means I really either got to really pay down second quarterback or and then sacrifice another receiver or playing him in a super flex spot instead of a quarterback and who would I rather have at that spot and that's kind of how I look at it when I'm trying to do a hand build now it's just that eight nine price tag makes it really hard to project when he just doesn't get the ball in his hands you know less than half the time of a running back or a quarterback so it's hate to say it because he probably is pound for pound best player in the country, but DK is doing a good job with the pricing, making you think about that.

I don't know. I'm not going to talk too much about you guys. You guys said everything already about it. Yeah. You know, game flow. It's just Ohio state having a four to four team, totally really hard team to play.

One thing to add that I have to add real quick is like, I think if Ohio state's beating Illinois, twenty eight to nothing at half this week, I would think Jeremiah Smith would play in the third quarter as compared to last week when, you know, their opponent was a Mac opponent. So I guess that is one like a little more positive for Jeremiah Smith this week. Yeah.

One of those situations that could follow the exact same game script, but the playing time would differ because you want to put this team away a little bit more than you do at Kent state. To be honest, the twos could have started the game against Kent state and Ohio state still to one. So, Definitely a different sort of approach, but yeah, these guys are just expensive. Staying in the Big Ten, UCLA triple time zone travel going across to Maryland. Still a favorite, though.

One thing we saw last week is USC's offense made the time zone travel just fine, but their defense fell flat against Rutgers, and then Spafford did the same thing to Duke, and Spafford didn't get off the plane. I don't know that Duke is a point better team than Spafford. I still thought they would have won, but it definitely seemed like there were some impacts for those teams traveling.

So definitely keep in mind on the UCLA side, Nico Yamaliava is in a decent spot at this price. $7,500 is kind of right in that middle range. I think he's still got the upside there. This offense has run through Wayne Knight, though. I mean, there hasn't been a ton of volume, but even at $8,400, the touchdowns are there, whether on the ground or through the air. And Anthony Woods, even at $6,000 gets enough work that he might, might give him a look.

The wide receiver room, Mikey Matthews, isn't going to go. So it's pretty much Brian Rowe and Samaj Morgan. And they're cheap. It's just a matter of how much of this is going to go through the running game and how valuable are those guys, even at their cheap prices. On the Maryland side, Malik Washington, again, fairly priced, solid matchup, I mean, if we care, Cardell Williams is on the injury report, but it doesn't really make a difference to me.

But in terms of the injury report, this is where I tweeted this out that we have an injury report that looks like a CVS receipt, and it's the Maryland running back room. DeJuan Williams, DJ Samuels, Harry Dalton, Therese Worthy, John Boley, Solomon Foy, all out. That leaves Iverson Howard as RB one pretty clearly. And then Liam Wilson and Gianni Davis is the only other two running backs with a carry this week or this year on the active roster right now.

And then in the wide receiver room, we have Chris Durr and Naeem Abdul-Rahim Gladding that are the two guys. Like you get a discount with Gladding. I actually kind of like him at $5,300 rather than having to pay up for a receiver. But Chris Durr has been just like a stat monster this year. So tight game, high game total. A lot of fairly priced guys. This is kind of a dream for all formats, Ian.

Yeah, no, this is a really good game in all formats. You know, I'll talk about that kind of cash in the lineup type of mindset. So if you're looking for any one-off plays, then this game correlates a lot better with each other. If you're trying to look at it, UCLA being a run team, Maryland figure it could be a passing team. Luke Washington can sling it. Nico is more of that dual threat guy.

And I just think that UCLA is going to run the offense through Wayne Knight. Came over with Chesney from James Madison. Leads the team in touchdowns. You know, it's definitely, it's a time, you know, he's got much more of the bulk of the backfield, but Woods does get his, does get his players running. Nico runs the ball a lot, but everything does go through night. He's projected to touch the ball between twenty and thirty times. Has a lot of equity there.

Eight-four is probably a fair price for him. Definitely a look if you're looking for that cash line. And this is what I was saying about Jeremiah Smith. It's like when you come down to it, do you want to play eight-four away night, eight-nine Jeremiah Smith? I would want to have the guy that's touching the ball double the amount that we could project, which would be Wayne Knight here. So definitely a one-off play there.

It's going to stay away from the UCLA receiving room, unless I'm game stackingGame StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ in GPPGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗. You mentioned Iverson Howard. Maryland's running backs, even when we know that there's been a one, has been really iffy. Don't know how much to trust them. But either of those were receiver plays. Really good player one-offs. You're playing Malik, you stack them, double stack them. Condensed target rooms. We know where it's going. Both pretty fairly priced.

You said probably the discount is where you want to have, but Durr's been so good. Just a really, really good game environment that you could, if you just need like a one spot, just, you know, look to that game, try to fill it in, whatever fits your salary. If you're looking to try to get a game pop off, this might go underlooked. Yeah, I really like this game as well.

I guess kind of starting with the Maryland side, like just kind of tinker around with builds. Like Malik Washington, I think it's cheap enough to like you can skinny stack him with Durr. But I kind of prefer a double stack. I'll probably have more double stacks than like singles. Like I wouldn't run a Washington and Fleming, I don't think. One thing I kind of like for just and this isn't large field because I don't know if there's enough ceiling for it.

But if you're playing a qualifier or you're playing a single entrySingle-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗ like higher stakes, Malik Washington with three receivers is I think it's super live here. Like the running back room depleted. I don't think Howard all that great. Another note for Dorian Fleming, Preston Howard, a tight end for Maryland. I think he got hurt last week, but he's out this week. And Fleming played all the tight end snaps. I think he's super viable.

I think Webb is going to be super overlooked. But I don't mind lining up Malik with Durr and two of these cheaper guys, especially in a smaller field, GPP.

Uh the ucla side like Wayne Knight yeah absolutely like Wayne Knight I've kind of been off of because he's felt overpriced because the volume hasn't really been there last week he finally got like really enough volume to justify it he's been getting on touchdowns which not to say that he can't keep doing it but it's not something you can really quantify um that being said I really like him this week I think he's going to be kind of under owned and it's super gettable if you were playing like some maryland like the maryland stacks cheap um and you can play some Wayne Knight.

I like Nico a lot, like standalone. I don't, I, I don't mind him and Wayne Knight together. I don't think it's anything I'm going to like force. Um, I don't know if I necessarily love that, um, though in large field. And then these two top two receivers, like, I don't really want to play him as one-offs, but Nico lineups and Malik Washington lineups, I think they're both pretty solid, but yeah, this has a ton of goodness.

And I, I like, I, I don't know. It might be one of my favorite spots, the Maryland passing here. An underdog at home. This has got to be UCLA's first time off the West Coast, isn't it? I know they played Cal, San Diego State. Even if they're on the road, they're on the West Coast. Ryan Brown...

Yeah ryan brown last week like if you were playing around brown double on the late slate you had a pretty solid lineup so I think it's a super super good spot and it's like it's kind of clear clear cut what I think I want to do here yeah and this is so this is a good point um there is rain projected right now uh but weather obviously there's been so much variance and volatility with weather We'll have clear forecasts.

And then with the heat and humidity in some spots, we get pop-up storms. This one's looking like it's a little bit more sure. So that's a good time to talk about what we do in the Discord at Ship It Nation too. We have a weather report every Saturday morning and weather talk right up until lock.

We have a stage an hour before lock where we have the community come in and we chat weather, we chat our approaches and things of that nature. So yeah, weather can play a big factor. Not as much as it used to the lightning rules, make it a little bit different to where if there's going to be significant rain, it usually comes with lightning and it'll hit a delay. So, uh, but yeah, definitely something we watch right up until lock. And then man, we talking about practice.

We got Iverson. We like him in a game. We don't like him in a practice Oracle with the dynamite drop in, in the chat. All right. Moving on Notre Dame and produce speaking to Ryan Brown. This is a twenty seven and a half point spread, but I do want to point out in South Bend, obviously different teams last year. This game was fifty six to thirty.

And so just because you see a fifteen and a half point team total for Purdie doesn't mean that they can't put up points. C.J. Carr, probably a little bit underpriced at $8,400, but it's looking at it. It's just hard with the entire slate looking the way it is. I certainly think the ceiling is still there. The floor is still there. It's just a matter of lineup construction.

Um, and then the running back room is interesting because Nolan James kind of took over last week and all of the props are favoring him this week, which, you know, you follow that he's cheaper. If he's RB one, a, you love that in this matchup. Uh, one thing I will point out, I didn't, I didn't watch most of this game, uh, but I played any as Williams last week.

So I went back and looked at the play by play, uh, Aeneas Williams had an unsportsmanlike conduct, like with four or five minutes left in the second quarter and didn't play again until the fourth quarter. So I don't know if that's the reason he didn't play. It certainly correlates. If not, it's a very interesting coincidence. That's not to say that he's going to come back and be the one or James is going to come back and be the one.

But just all the things you consider when you're looking at this type of running back room, I honestly think we could see all four of these guys with Young and Walton added in there. And then the wide receivers, Jordan Faison at six one, still leading the team in targets, still has the higher props, but Micah Gilbert, man, $4,100. He's underpriced. Just another one of those guys that he's not priced with the usage that he's getting.

He had eight catches on nine targets last week, one hundred and seventy yards. Notre Dame wide receivers always scare me, but man, this this price is one that jumps out and then on the Purdie side. Brian Brown, sub $5,000. I mean, last year he had two hundred and fifty yards and a touchdown. And that's close to enough at this price. If he gets a little bit of ground game going with it. And I think he could get more Fama. Egypt boys look really this year.

$6,800 against Notre Dame in a negative matchup. It just makes it a tougher click. I love him. He's the one that got away, in my opinion, in Minnesota. And then the wide receivers just seem a little bit too expensive. But if you're, I mean, it's still a super cheap stack if you're going to stack them with Ryan Brown and Asado Seaman, Xavier Townsend. Chauncey Magwood has gotten an increase recently, so he looks okay.

But how do you, like, how do you look at this game without fully knowing the running back room, Kenny, and having a cheap wide receiver team that's historically spread the ball around at receiver? Are they different this year? Are we going to see the usage go to Faison and Gilbert? Yeah. I don't know. I mean, history would say, like, I mean, we've played these Notre Dame receivers, like, usually, I mean, I will say Faison almost kind of an anomaly.

Usually all these Notre Dame receivers are priced around where Gilbert is, and it's hard to pick which one because they're usually such a big rotation. I mean, last week, Faison and Gilbert definitely dominated the receiver snaps.

Um I think Gilbert's a great play don't get me wrong but it's not the like lock and load play that like a freeman or Charles fernandez would be I know it's different price ranges but um like if I'm gonna eat chalk I prefer eating it there um I think phase on for that reason is kind of solid um and then with these running backs so there's you know what you talked about Bill and then on the depth chart this week it does have like nolan james one a and neos Williams one b And as I've kind of thought about it, like Aeneas Williams, true freshman year, he was like the pass down back, even with Price and Love there.

And then last year he wasn't involved at all. Maybe it's, I mean, Notre Dame wasn't necessarily blowing away Michigan State last week, but it could be maybe a little more game script dependent. Um, like, like if this was more competitive and Notre Dame wanted to run the ball, control the ball, like it'd be a more Nolan James. If it's a, you know, tighter game or Notre Dame is paying for fine, maybe Aeneas Williams. That's not like fact.

That's just kind of me talking out loud about the situation. Um, you know, that being said, I don't mind either of them this week. That, but if they're going to pull a ton of ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗, I'm not super interested in it really, but you see this forty three point Notre Dame total. So that kind of leads me to like CJ Carr.

Um, I don't think he's going to get the ownership and he's got some clear pairing options and really the best way to get different with Notre Dame is just play Ryan Brown and we'll see him or Townsend stack and then play like double run backBring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗ running Brown to these Notre Dame pieces.

I think that like that would really unlock the Notre Dame ceiling to where like, I don't know, I guess the biggest thing I'm worried about Notre Dame flattening out like to where they all get a piece, but they're cheap enough. So it's not like an Ohio state situation where, You know, maybe flat is okay for like a Gilbert. It's $4,100.

But yeah, it's it's this Notre Dame spot scares me because there's a lot of ownership, but I don't feel good about any of it. It's it's a tough spot for me. Yeah, I'm like wondering with Notre Dame, like, are we are we relying too much on what we thought was going to be the case coming in?

I know we're all victim to it, but we just assume that Aeneas Williams was going to be the number one running back because he was the guy behind Bryson Love all the last two years. So are we just sticking to that and saying, well, of course he's going to just be the number one again? Maybe not. Maybe we just need to evolve with it and say, all right, maybe James is the guy to take over now.

With that being said, he's going to probably be the chalkChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ running back. He's going to get a lot of ownership. He's going to be a cash lock and load play for a lot of people, rightfully so. Gilbert was all for one, just opens up the lineup so much. I really do like the Brown side. I think if you play Brown at quarterback, he's the quarterback. He's going to touch the ball every time they're on offense. He's just going to play with the ball.

He runs a little bit. They're trying to pass from behind. I know they don't have a high projected team total, but at four-nine, that opens up a lot of path to do a lot of things. It just makes him as a play really intriguing if you're trying to build out with some higher-priced skill guys this week. So I would definitely not discredit him or not consider him if you're trying to build out something where you have some more expensive players.

Pieces to your lineup but really interesting game uh yeah nothing much more

To add me to add there yeah just real quick on Notre Dame like I think there's a world where neither of these running backs top fifteen touches like I told granted they could get there and that but just the game script I think that's a possibility but that's all I was going to add yeah and fifteen touches they could each have two touchdowns we saw it with love and price last year so many times obviously these are two very different players but yeah nothing like over stacking a team with a fifteen and a half point team total that's but I didn't I didn't do enough digging to see what their implied team total was last year but I guarantee it wasn't close to thirty so

If it it's an or it could situation with that purdue team now to A very, very interesting game because it's a huge, huge letdown spot for Ole Miss. And that's everybody's talking about it. Everybody's taking Florida. Trinidad Chamberlain still probably underpriced. I would expect to see him in the $8,000's minimum, even in this matchup. Kewon Lacey, there's a question mark if he's going to go or not. Hasn't really played much in the second half of any game so far.

So if, Without him, we're looking at Makai Frazier, maybe with some JT Lindsey mixed in. And those guys are cheap. Even in a matchup in the Swamp, if Lacey doesn't go, those guys are going to get a little bit more interest from me. Deuce Alexander, probably priced where he should be. Just, you know, it is a tougher click at $7,600 when you got other guys in that wide receiver room who are totally capable in the $4,000's. Traylon Ray had a huge game last week.

I mean, we were begging for that from Traylon Ray when he was at West Virginia. Starting to look the part we expected in the past. But Fields and Odom, both solid plays. Odom being the cheapest is enticing, too, because he's getting more involved at the tight end position. And then Florida, Philo, fine. I actually liked him. I'm starting to like him a little bit more just where his props are coming in.

I didn't necessarily care for him at $7,900 early on, but I'm starting not Not that I'm all in on him or anything, but I'm leaning more toward him now as the week's gone on. Jaden Baugh, I don't know that I need to say much. I'm going to play him at $9,100. He's going to get the usage. He's the stud. And then Vernell Brown and Dallas Wilson are the two guys.

Eric Singleton might play in this game and a nice discount, but also his first game back. And Ian, we'll start with you, our resident Florida guy. Something you mentioned this week is the offensive coordinator coming in from Tech Faulkner and how he He knows who to get the ball to and we're starting to see that come to fruition with this Florida team. Yeah, you know when I don't want to talk too much about Florida.

I mean, you try to be as non biases that possibly can be. Obviously I've watched every snap of their games, You mentioned Buster Faulkner, he was at Georgia Tech, and they were just a fantasy out for us last few years with Hayes King and whatnot, but he feeds his guys.

When they came into the season, he brought Philo with him from Georgia Tech, Faulkner, Ronell Brown in Dallas, and Dallas Wilson, one of the two five-star receivers that they had to keep as freshmen last year going into this year. Faulkner was the most sought-after transfer running back, transfer portal running back. They made it a priority to keep him to stay. He stayed. They said they were going to feed him. They've done nothing but feed him.

And he's really shown highlight clips like crazy this year. It's been so much fun to watch. He's done just spectacular. But you watch the game, every play design, it's amazing. Go to number one, Vernal Brown. Number six, Dallas Wilson. Jade Baugh is just all around just trying to feed those guys. And he brought Eric Singleton with him, who was with him in Georgia Tech, and he unfortunately got hurt in the first game.

We haven't even got to see him, and he's got some really high upside there as well. I do think he might play, at least give it a go, but probably be on a snap count this week. I just think that you can depend on... Ten-ish targets to Fernel Brown, who's a punt-and-turner, kick-and-turner, electric. He had two punt-and-turns in a game this year for a touchdown. Dallas Wilson, big-time receiver, probably six to ten targets for him as well.

Jayden Ball is probably going to carry the ball twenty-five times. He's going to get the red zone looks. He's going to get the volume there that we hope. Philo is just going to be the point guard distributing it around. Really good spot. It's kind of an expensive, you know, I think everyone is really fairly priced there. Playing one-offs is kind of hard. You know, if Vernon Brown was in the five Ks, or Wilson, one of those five Ks, I'd say, yeah, play him.

But the six Ks, it's kind of hard not to play him without the stack. Ball is just a catch running back. You know, high floor, high ceiling. $9,000 fairly priced, make a decision. It's like him, Jeremiah Smith. He's going to touch the ball probably two or three times as many times as Jeremiah Smith is, you know, Wayne Knight really fairly priced. If you have the salary, go for it. If not, I totally understand why not, but you said it, you're going to play them.

Um, Totally agree with you on Trinidad Chambliss. This guy's the Heisman favorite. He's put up two monster games and two spotlight games already. A Sunday night game, game last week. This guy's just a magician. Semifinals last year, putting seven hundreds, just seems so crazy. Especially when his top running back might be out hurt. And come on, Lacey. So Chambliss is definitely a cash guy. Guy that I want to play. Flores' defense has been tested.

They faced FAUs, got a really high-paced offense, up and put up some garbage time points on them last week. I really like Chambliss this week. And then the deuce is really fairly priced. Caleb Odom is definitely the guy on Ole Miss that I would look at. They're a tight end, really coming on, really showed out, really the one emerging the last few weeks. Yeah, really good game. One of the more murky games of the time slot.

I'm really excited to watch this game, obviously, but good fancy pieces. I'll stop talking. Go on way too long about this game. No, I think you covered it very well. Yeah, you know, Jaden Baugh's awesome. I think he's good against any defense. You know, the Ole Miss, I think Lacey's going to be out.

Like, I don't know if you guys think – I mean – You know, just, I mean, it's surprising always to see, like, you know, after Ole Miss has that big win, and then Florida's a three-and-a-half point favorite. I don't know if Lacey's worth anything. No, this is a complete spotlight, but I do think Lacey's out. Yeah. Yeah, and I do, too. So, like, I don't know how I want to handle the running back room. It probably makes Chambliss even better, you know, putting the ball in his hands more.

But it wouldn't shock me if Lacey was out and one of these two running backs kind of got a bell cow. I mean, I know this isn't Lane Kiffin here anymore, but I'll probably take some shots on Makai Frazier coming off an injury here. But yeah, I don't know. Don't have a ton to add. It's a super good game. Yeah. I mean, just again, take the teams out of it. Look at the prices and point totals.

This is a game that you definitely want to attack. Welcome in, Hart. Gave us his warning shot in the Discord, said he was going to be on his way at lunchtime. What better way to spend your lunch than with the three of us talking college football? Oklahoma, Georgia. Oklahoma is without an O-lineman and potentially without a big D-lineman. That could have an impact on this game. John Mateer at . I've seen nothing on social media for Oklahoma other than ripping John Mateer to shreds.

Like, just the fan base is fed up with him. He hasn't really performed incredibly well. And, you know, just the game against New Mexico last week was kind of the last straw for a lot of people because they should have blown him out, and they didn't. And then Lloyd Avant, . If he was in the four Ks, maybe you look at him. But then like Satania is always going to be on my radar because he's the clear alpha.

And now that Charles Harris is out, you know, maybe that means that Georgia is going to just put more attention on Satania. But one thing I want to bring up that's kind of irking me is we've been I mean, we've been on beers for years. We've been talking about beers for as long as I can remember. And now all of a sudden, everybody wants to play beers. Everybody likes Rocky Beers now.

Uh, we knew all along and Ship It Nation, um, but $3,900 for a tight end in a game like this, where maybe that's just the only throw material can make is to his tight end. Uh, so I don't, I don't mind it, but I don't love it on the Georgia side. Like Gunner Stockton at $1,000 with his dual threat ability is going to get some looks from me for sure. I kinda, I kinda like him, uh, Nate Frazier.

He's on the report, but I believe he's expected to go. Obviously, if he doesn't, Chauncey Bowens season. It was Chauncey Bowens week last week, even with Frazier in the game. And then the wide receiver, just go get a roll of quarters from the bank and flip every single one of them. We could reorder this in just about any way, and I wouldn't argue with you. Dandridge has looked really good. So Kobe White-Helton. It's fine. Taylor Taylor is fine.

Lost and lucky with the bigger game last week. They're all cheap. You can really stack a couple of different ways with Stockton, but not like Kenny. The Georgia side may be for GPPsGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗, but it's tough. It's tough when the rotation is so, so aggressive in terms of usage. Yeah. I'm looking at Georgia this week.

Like last week, I had a lot of interest in Frazier and, um that obviously didn't work out um you know with the Bowens vulture and then him getting hurt I'm not really interested in the running back room this week like really the only piece I'm interested in from georgia is Stockton he's cheaper than he was last week and he can't soak up all that um all that usage so that's really all I have to say about oklahoma like material is priced fairly enough I don't think I'm going to take any shots but I know I'm going to play some satagna um I mean, Cetegna isn't really the same type of receiver that Chris Marshall was, but Chris Marshall had a pretty usable fantasy game last week.

And Cetegna, he's just a guy that I think I'm just going to ride with. I think he's good in any matchup. He had a terrible game against Michigan, but Michigan has a very good secondary. Not to say that Georgia isn't good as well, but Cetegna at six, two hundred at very minimal ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ is definitely a spot. I'm going to I'm going to try again. You know, he did. He was in my lineup last week on the ninth slate, the one with GPP.

So I've got to go back. Right.

Yeah for sure absolutely and not much to add I mean this is just not as intriguing games in the mid-forties Stockton's a decent one-off if you have salary at the quarterback satania same thing you got salary at the receiver decent one-off Frazier if you get a good green light to go but there's a little you know even with these banged up if they're up a lot you can see them being a little bit just with him so Yeah, just not much more to add.

Maybe get lucky with Lawson getting a touchdown, but... Yeah, good one. I caught that. Got one for me there last week, too. Yeah, I mean, we don't need to add much. It just, I mean, this feels like a game that Oklahoma's going to win, or something stupid like that. TCU at Central Florida. Uh, another game in the forties, but at least the competitive looking one, uh, on the TCU side, Jaden Craig has looked good.

I'll be a lot of his stats have come against Grambling and Arkansas State. So not the, not the greatest opponents, but also, I mean, UCF isn't the greatest opponent, but they're better than those two teams. Uh, Jeremy Payne though at $6,300 getting nearly twenty carries and three targets per game. And now John Denman on the report. Another one of those guys I liked Payne before. I saw Denman on the report.

And now if Denman doesn't go, obviously, $6,300 for a running back, that's going to be a workhorse even more than normal. And then in the wide receiver room, been banging the drum for Ed Small since last year. And now it's coming to fruition at sub $6,000, another one of those receivers who's probably underpriced. However, Jordan Dwyer is expected to be back. So that could throw a wrench into things.

But if you remember last year when teams took away the number one, The number two, Dwyer, had a pretty significant game. So if Dwyer is perceived as the number one, maybe it bodes well for small. If it's reverse, we'll have to see what Dwyer's workload is. One thing I'll say about Ed Small playing in the slot is that he's likely to draw Braden Marshall, who gives up a passer rating of over one hundred and also a seventy seven percent catch rate.

And when you're getting a point per reception, you really like that, especially for a guy who's been the number one this year. On the UCF side, Kiwan Jenkins, I'm still not sure if he's good at football or not. I like playing him on those two-game Tuesday night Conference USA slates when he was still there, but on a twelve-game slate, even at $6,400.

I mean, his props, another one of those guys, his props came out and got me to like him a little bit more, but I don't know if I'm quite there yet. And then Duke Watson at $5,700 is interesting because he's got almost, he's averaging almost a hundred yards a game, but a hundred and twenty-seven of those yards came on two runs against Bethune-Cookman in Georgia State. Obviously, the explosiveness is there against lesser opponents.

But you look back a couple years ago when he was healthy, and he averaged nearly nine yards a carry with a much bigger sample size. So while the eleven yards a carry so far is bound to come down, I don't think it's quite as much of an anomaly with Duke Watson history. And then this wide receiver room is cheap, but not really anything else.

I still think it's Darian Wade, although Wade and Charles has the highest prop that I saw from this wide receiver room. But even at these cheap prices, this is like a last guy in. Maybe if you need a $3,300 guy, you look at Farmer. But it's just it's just a tough click with Kiwan Jenkins, that quarterback when we he's probably a better runner than he is passer in.

At first, like looking at the total, not much to love for cash, but man, Jeremy Payne of Denman is out. It starts to look a lot nicer. Payne, for sure. Payne, for sure. Max Payne there. Six-three running back volume. TCU running backs have been good to us, too. Payne's been a guy who catches the ball, runs the ball, gets targets. Quarterback's best friend type guy back there. They have a twenty-five, twenty-six point team total. Got to come from somewhere.

I definitely think he's a one-off type play. And you said it's hard. I'd love to say Dwyer's a But it's just hard in the first game back. You just don't know. And then UCF side, just with the question and quarterback, it just runs everything down. Not much interest there. But Payne, Payne looks really, really good on paper as a play. Yeah, I mean, Central Florida allowed Georgia State to rush for over two hundred yards last week. That game was actually competitive, too.

And, you know, Bill, you talked about Jeremy Payne averaging like just under twenty carries a game. If you throw out the game against I think it was Brambling. I can't remember for sure. He's like Jeremy Payne has thirty touch upside, if not more here. He's my favorite running back play on the slate, regardless of ownershipOwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗ in any format.

I, you know, just kind of as I've been thinking here with Dwyer back, it almost makes me like Jaden Craig more just because like he's got more options to stack with.

Um he's going to be unownedLeverageLeverage is the edge you gain by rostering a play the field is underweight on, compared with how often it ends up in winning lineups. When that play outscores the popular option most lineups chose instead, you gain ground on those lineups, though the rest of your roster still decides where you finish.Look for leverage on players connected to the chalk, like the other side of a popular game or a teammate who can steal the popular player's touches.Full explanation ↗ but if there's your pivot if you want to pivot off Jeremy Payne GPPsGPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool)A GPP is a tournament whose prize pool is guaranteed to pay out in full even if the contest does not fill. Payouts are steep: a small group at the top wins most of the money.Before you enter a tournament lineup, ask how it finishes first, not just how it cashes. If you cannot name that scenario, rebuild it.Full explanation ↗ um and you can play craig with totally too I don't know like the only thing that would scare me there was just the tcu team total but it kind of feels light um yeah and then the central Florida side like I really don't have much interest in anybody but Duke Watson and you know Bill talked about how efficient he's historically been When Scott Frost was in Nebraska, not to bring up too dark of times, but when he was there, he had a guy named Wandale Robinson that was a really good football player and started getting decimated by injuries at quarterback.

Wandale Robinson got the ball exclusively. Not saying that's a similar situation, but it wouldn't surprise me as the season goes on. He feels like their best player. He hasn't gotten the volume yet, but it hasn't really been a good... Game scenario. I don't know, you know, just seeing a central Florida home game. I always worry about weather. I don't know if there's anything here, but there's definitely one to watch.

Cause, um, I mean, that's not going to really affect me with the running backs at all, but it is a spot that could get sloppy if there's weather. I don't know if there is, but central Florida, typically a weather spot, but yeah, that's really all I have to say here. I, um, gosh, you'd think this total would be higher. Yeah. And, You said there's always a weather concern in Florida.

And if there's going to be coastal weather that's going to affect all of the coast, that could be a reason that this total is a little bit lower. But apparently it doesn't impact UCLA and Maryland quite as much. But yeah, the TCU side looks really interesting this week. Utah at Iowa State, sticking in the Big Twelve. Devin Dampier in a split at quarterback. Obviously he's the one A. $8,800's a fair price.

But it is a little bit of a tougher road matchup than I would have predicted at the start of the season. Wayshawn Parker frustrated a lot of people last week, myself included. But that almost makes me like him even more this week if absolutely nobody's going to play him and he's the number one running back. The coach talk this week is he was the best player away from the ball on offense against Utah State.

So the coaches are still speaking highly of him. He's still going to be on the field. And then Braden Pegan, explosive game. Do you chalk that up to it being against his former team and they want to feed him the ball? Maybe a little bit, but I think he's the clear alpha. And at $6,700, I think he's still a good option. You can look at Ricky Johnson, though, as well, who gets plenty of targets for a $4,000 price tag.

And then Noah Binet wasn't targeted at all last week. You still feel like he's all right. Or maybe Hunter Andrews is going to slowly take over as the tight end one. Uh, and then on the Iowa state side, uh, Jalen Rainer, pretty underwhelming, even at this price. Um, another guy that I like playing on those small weekday slates for sure, when he was at Arkansas state, uh, but Aiden Flora. Aiden Flores should be interesting at $5,600.

I'm not going to take credit for this nickname, but somebody told me that he is C-Mac two point oh and was drawing a lot of attention in basketball. May or may not be one of the gentlemen on the show today. So Christian McCaffrey, you're getting Christian McCaffrey at Iowa State. So obviously there's some explosiveness there. He's one of the guys at Iowa State that stuck around with the mass exodus.

So it's it's good to see that he's getting the getting the love, even with a different coaching staff. Um, and then the pass catchers, ah, they're cheap. That's about all I can say. I don't like their quarterback. I don't like the volume they've gotten so far this season. So on the Iowa state, it's pretty much flora for me. Uh, uh, what, what are you looking at here? Kenny with, um, obviously, uh, I led into the Aiden Flora, the flora stuff, but how are you looking at this game?

Especially like with Utah last week, they look pretty good. When I saw his price this week, I was like, I don't know if he's going to project that great just because I do have some respect for Utah's defense. Obviously, I was really on Utah's opponent last week. It didn't quite work out, but the opportunities were there. It just didn't come through. There's multiple plays Utah State had inside the ten that couldn't come through. I do really like Aiden Flora.

Like a bias aside, I think he's in a really good spot. Last week, he really burst on the scene. He had almost two hundred yards rushing and a punt return touchdown, which I know was against Bowling Green. But he really feels like the biggest threat in this offense. My biggest concern with Flora is that Arnold Barnes does get the work like inside the ten yard line. Like Flora feels like he's going to have to score from a ways out.

So that was kind of, you know, that's kind of like why I'm pumping the brakes a little bit.

Um I don't really have any other interest in iowa state besides him and then the Utah side I could like I guess I thought this game would be a bigger spread I know Utah's on the road but I think that like I I wasn't super high on iowa state and I think they're better than I thought they were going to be so I'm just like I'm going to kind of write out that I'm wrong and with this kind of being just a touchdown spread like Utah's kind of been able to just run over all their opponents so far this is probably the their toughest opponent

Away from home it kind of leads me like these big three for Utah like I think they're going to be under owned and I think they're in a really good like spot where they might have to compete all four quarters you know Parker obviously great bounce back slot he had like a ninety five year touchdown callback on a holding call like I mean it was that like he would have broken the slate with that play alone but I yeah these big three for Utah is where I'm kind of focusing on they definitely carry some price tags but I um I don't think I'd play all three I'd probably like and even as a

One-off I don't think I'd play parker and pegan together for their prices but it wouldn't shock me if um this game is competitive and got a little weird for sure I like another thing like bird bird is what hinders Dampier the most maybe a little more competitive game on the road Dampier gets more usage um But, yeah, this game's sneaky for sure. There is some spots, and it's pretty clear-cut who these spots are for me anyways.

Yeah, I mean, you mentioned Bird kind of cutting in with Dan Perry, and that's kind of what hesitates me, especially with Wayshawn Parker too, because all those three guys, they do have that rushing equity there within them. Sometimes it's hard to project that. Maybe it's just the case where Parker gets one taken off the board and he doesn't really get another chance because Dampier and Bird are so good at what they do.

So maybe if it happens to be that Bird takes off one day, it really cuts down on Dampier and Parker, which leads me to Pegan being that one-off play for me guy just because, you know, he's going to be the number one receiver no matter who's the quarterback, and he's going to get the looks, and he's going to get it. I think it's a fair price at six, seven.

It's a little pricey compared to some of the guys we talked to, but he's the one-off guy that I'm looking to play from this game right there at Pegan. Yeah, I know last week was a revenge game, but he was a stud at Utah State. No reason to think it won't carry over when he levels up and has played such a high level. I do agree, I think Iowa State can make it a game.

I'd much rather bet on them to cover seven and a half than I would try to play one of these guys. And Hope Rainer's always got that dual threat. He's got a lot of experience, but I don't know. It doesn't really project as well DFS-wise, especially on the slate here. Should be a good game though, interesting game. Big twelve is pretty intriguing this year.

Yeah, I would love to see Iowa State pull this one off, but probably a more interesting real life football game than DFS. Similar in the next game. We have a total less than forty points. Iowa and Michigan, I'm not really interested in touching this quarterback situation. Kamari Moulton is questionable, and so is DJ Vanami, but Ferentz says he expects them both to play, and so we'll project him that way for now.

Moulton is fine if he gets a full workload, but there's got to be some injury concerns now. I would have liked McNeil If Moulton was out and then Tony Diaz has been getting the work in the wide receiver room, thirteen and twelve targets in the first two games, only two last week. But it was an FCS opponent. And then if he's back, $4,100, definitely a price that's going to get eyes on him. Bryce Underwood on the other side, $5,900.

If you need a value quarterback, it's not the worst. Does feel like his upside is a little bit capped. But I feel like if you're playing him, you're playing him for his legs. Even though he's had a little bit of a fumbling issue already this year. The run game is really yet to get going outside of Underwood. Marshall and Hyder at those prices don't give me a ton of interest.

But then the wide receivers, again, it's weird talking about wide receivers being the best plays from Iowa and Michigan. But J.J. Buchanan is a matchup problem. And obviously everybody knows his name after that Western Michigan Hail Mary. But Andrews Marsh is still getting a ton of work on the field too.

So uh for being a sub-forty point team total there's a little bit more interest in this than you know you would initially think um and I'm gonna hand it off to you kenny I'm actually gonna pull a hoop special I need to dip out for a second yeah um so obviously not interested in game stackingGame StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ this game really the only interest I have is like one of these two michigan pass catchers are priced okay enough um They both had good games last week.

Buchanan is definitely – he's been pretty consistent this year, even with a piss-poor performance from Michigan's offense as a whole. The Iowa side, really the only interest I have in Bonamy, I think he was kind of – I mean, he's underwhelmed so far this year. He's been hurt. They've had some non-competitive games where they didn't get him as balled too much.

I think if Iowa's going to move the ball, like a good chance it's through him just because of – Michigan has some really elite corners, I feel, anyways. But yeah, really, Vonnemy, just a pivot. And he's at the exact same price as Micah Gilbert. If he had a really chalkyChalkChalk is the most popular, highly owned play on a slate. The term comes from sports betting, where the favorite is called the chalk.Don't label chalk good or bad. Ask whether each popular play deserves its ownership, then decide which chalk you'll eat and which you'll fade.Full explanation ↗ lineup, he wouldn't switch. Just a one-off. I don't mind Vonnemy. There is some injury risk, but I think that he's pretty solid for a sixteen-point Iowa total. Yeah, it's such a hard game to get one-offs.

I will say that the price of Underwood... It kind of seems intriguing. It's almost kind of like playing a service academy quarterback because you don't expect much of the pass at all. Even though he's got, like, Buchanan can be a pass catcher. Sometimes we saw that. But it's just, you know, if they get down, Underwood on such shaky ground. But he does have that rushing upside. And he's at a price where you kind of meet, like, maybe. I don't know.

It could be a guy that he could rush for a hundred yards and two touchdowns and kind of like playing a running back there. Yeah, just it's weird having this much interest in a game that has a thirty six and a half point team or thirty eight and a half point team total. But it's there. It's certainly there. The pricing is right. The usage is right for just a couple of guys. And you can absolutely see a path getting there.

Moving on to the last game, a lot more points. Auburn almost with an implied team total is that entire last game. Vanderbilt coming to town. Big comeback victory for Jared Curtis last week, named SEC Freeman of the Week. One of the most obscure endings to a game anyone's ever seen, and I feel like I can say that objectively. Jared Curtis looks good at .

I mean, if they're going to be in a trailing game script, and he's got weapons in that wide receiver, and we'll talk about in a second, but Auburn's Pass defense doesn't scare me a ton, especially, I mean, they still got some of that South Florida in them. I'll just say that. But Curtis looks good at this price, a nice value if you want to dip down at quarterback.

Cedric Alexander and McKylan Young, they're both involved in the passing game, so it does give me a little bit of interest. They're just not doing much on the ground, and it just seems like a broken record for Vanderbilt's offenses in the past. But then you got Junior Sherrill, who's $5,100. He had a big game last week, but even prior to he was the top target guy for Vanderbilt and one of those guys that's cheaper than that other range we're talking about.

Not quite down to Gilbert, but he's cheaper than Freeman. He's cheaper than Hernandez. So definitely a guy you can look at. And then value for Javonte Connor, the tight end in from ECU. He's been involved early as well. And you get him at a discount. So if you do want to stack Curtis, I think there are options there and it's a super cheap stack as well.

On the Auburn side, one of the fastest teams in college football in terms of pace, Byron Brown's priced up, but he's starting to look like the $8,500 to $9,000 Byron Brown again. Again, garbage time against Florida, but not to the point of Brown was out there against twos and threes necessarily. I mean, Ian, you can correct me if I'm wrong, but. No, he was not. No, he was clearly against the ones. It was just completely trailing fourth quarter game script.

Yeah, the prevent defense almost prevented them from winning one of those situations. Classic, classic. Yeah, but anyway, I think he's still got the five X ceiling at $8,500. Jeremiah Cobb, he's kind of in mass so far. But if you look at South Florida's offense last year, That's kind of how the running backs were. I mean, I still like Cobb at $6,500. He's in a decent spot. He should be the one.

He's on the field way more than these other two guys. They just didn't. They haven't really used him a ton. Bryson Washington feels like he's usurped Omar Mabson as the RB, too. But I would bet both of them still mix in. And then this wide receiver room. This is this is quite the interesting wide receiver room for. For a team with this high of a team total. Keyshawn Singleton and Chaz Nimrod both had double digit targets last week. Both scored a touchdown.

You know, coming in, I thought the third guy or maybe even top two guy would be Koger because he kind of flashed at the end of last year. I wouldn't completely write him off, but it's really been Singleton and Nimrod. And then one other guy I want to talk about is Deshaun Spencer, son of Henry, friend of Gus, colleague of Jules and Lassie. Props to anybody who gets that niche reference. But it is very fun for me.

Spencer is a true freshman, ran twenty seven routes against Florida in the slot. What it doesn't necessarily like. Obviously, he's cheap. It gives me a little bit of interest in him. But what it did was it moved Nimrod to the outside. A, that could be an explanation why Cogar's snaps were down. And B, if that happens again in this game, Nimrod moving to the outside, he and Singleton are facing one of the worst outside secondaries, at least in the SEC.

Um, they have multiple guys giving up an NFL equivalent passer rating of one thirty seven or higher. Uh, their outside corners grayed out at sixty three and fifty on PFF. So if Singleton and Nimrod are going to be on the outside, those are the stacks I'm really looking at. Uh, but obviously the values in the slot with Spencer, if he goes. Yeah, this is a super intriguing late Hammer game right here. I'll talk quickly. I'll let Kenny finish it out. But super great late Hammer game.

Both quarterbacks are really valuable in cash. Curtis is five-star freshman, first road SEC start, second road, second start. Dual threat guy, really high floor at six, six, really intrigued, played naked. You know, you play him with Cheryl, any of those guys, really, really fair price to look at. Brown, I think is fairly priced at eight, five. Like you said, he's got that high floor, high ceiling could pop off anytime. You can play him with some of the, uh, with the receivers.

You can play them out with the receivers, uh, if you're looking for one spot in your lineup with one of the receivers, one of those quarterbacks, when you're filling out a cash, it's really nice to have that. And it's really nice to have like one of these options here. I'm going to delay game really, you know, from that hand-building perspective, I really like looking at one of these quarterbacks game stackGame StackIn college football, a game stack usually combines a quarterback, his pass catchers and one or more players from the opposing offense.Target games where the spread is close as well as the total high. A high total with a lopsided spread can turn into a blowout where only one side keeps scoring.Full explanation ↗ environment, turn that over to Kenny.

Yeah, honestly, I guess, I don't know if this is going to end up being this way when it's all said and done. But Jared Curtis, I think, is my favorite quarterback play on the slate. I was thinking a trailing script with him running. I think that's really solid. And Junior Sherrill is obviously a great stacking partner. I'm intrigued by these running backs a little bit. Vanderbilt running backs have kind of spontaneously had monster games due to long runs. I'm going to look into that situation.

I don't mind them as maybe a Byron Brown run backBring-BackIn college football, a bring-back is usually a pass catcher or running back from the team facing your quarterback stack.Pick the bring-back who gains the most when his team falls behind. In football that's usually the opponent's top pass catcher, not a running back who loses carries in a comeback.Full explanation ↗. Um, you know, and then I guess going to the Auburn side, I, you know, Bill, you kind of talked about the rotation they had at South Florida with these running backs. I'm, I'm just getting vibes like off that hardcore and I'm really not interested in the Auburn running backs, um, you know, for that reason.

I mean, for really, for me with, I mean, Auburn, I think it's just like Byron Brown, those top two receivers. Um, and I don't think I'm going to one-off those receivers. I'm going to play enough Byron Brown and Jared Curtis. I'm going to force, force them to be played with one of those guys. I think, um, This is a really good late Hammer. Both sides have a ton of options. Who knows? It might not be the late Hammer.

With all these delays we've been having, we really don't know what the late Hammer is going to be. As of now, Vanderbilt-Auburn is the late Hammer. Very true. What a weird sweat last week with that South Carolina-Mississippi State game. What were we? Almost a halftime of the night's late games before we got the early night's late game. It was just That was the late, late, late Hammer, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, the Hammer got bigger, I guess. All right, that does it for the slate.

Just to peak, we do night slate too. We'll have that fully covered. Some interesting – a big game, Oregon-USC. So, like I said, now's a great time to get in and Ship It Nation. We'll have full coverage on Saturday. We have coverage tonight, Clemson and Cal. Speaking of late Hammer, the historic Atlantic Coast Conference matchup of California and Clemson. Triple time zone travel the opposite direction.

So a lot going on in Chippewa Nation, obviously NFL, MLB just getting into the playoff swing here coming up. Before we get out of here, any final thoughts on the slate? I mean, there's a lot of different ways you can approach this, a lot of points on the board. Any final thoughts before we get out of here, guys? Let's have fun. Great, great week. Great day in college football tomorrow. Let's have some fun. Yep.

Just watch for those running back injuries we touched on. That's like, I guess, I mean, that could change a lot of things tomorrow if we have some others or Lacey's out confirmed out. So that's about it. Yeah. And don't forget John Denman. I mean, it just makes pain about running back play. But another reason to join, join the nation. We have that Discord on point up to the second news.

But we'll get out of your hair for today, ending with the big guys rule number one, as we do every single week. Rule number one, college football is fun. Enjoy the sweat. Enjoy building your lineups. Just love the fact that we have college football on our TVs. We get to watch it week after week and play college football DFS. But most of all, don't take any of these days for granted. You never know when it's going to be our last.

Let's hit the college football streets hard this week and then go out and ship one for the big guy.