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PGA Round 4 Showdown – BMW Championship | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 08/22/26

Aired Sat Aug 22, 2026 Hosts Matt Gannon Views 438

From the archive. This breakdown is for the Saturday, August 22 PGA slate. Salaries, weather and picks were for that day.

The Short Version

Matt Gannon prioritizes golfers already inside roughly the top fifteen to twenty for BMW Championship Round 4 Showdown, targeting finishing-position points rather than chasing players far down the board. Scottie Scheffler is the strongest individual call after two good rounds, with putting improvement and additional ball-striking upside available. No meaningful weather advantage is expected, so lineup decisions center on current position, recent performance and the potential for one strong putting round.

Justin Thomas earns strong support because his ball striking and around-the-green play have outpaced his putting, while Patrick Cantlay is the preferred chaser with another low round anticipated. Russell Henley’s approach play supports continued interest. J.J. Spaun and Alex Smalley offer room for better ball striking, Aaron Rai can recover around the greens, and Akshay Bhatia is a bounce-back option after unusually poor driving accuracy despite strong play elsewhere.

Plays Mentioned

PlayCallThe TakeAt
CORE Strong ball striking and around-the-green gains support chasing an aggressive low round if his putting rebounds. 6:05
CORE Five and a half strokes gained on approach through three rounds support another strong approach round and an emphatic endorsement. 6:05
He receives positive chasing interest because neutral ball striking leaves room to improve alongside strong short-game performance. 6:26
CORE He is the preferred chaser because strong ball striking and reduced pressure support another four- or five-under round with a high finish available. 6:46
He is a tentative lower-board option whose neutral ball striking could improve through approach play while his short game is already working. 7:04
Good ball striking and putting make him an option if his normally adequate around-the-green game rebounds. 7:04
He is a bounce-back option because field-worst driving accuracy is viewed as unrepresentative while the rest of his game is strong. 8:11
CORE The final standout pick has played two strong rounds and can improve his putting while still gaining more off the tee and on approach. 8:36

DFS Terms Used on This Show

OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 3:13 Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗▶ Said at 3:59

Full Transcript

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0:04

Let's go. Clear for lift off. Welcome to the final showdown stream of the PGA Tour season. Again, thank you for all the support, just the fun vibes all year dealing with me four days a week. Four days a week. I know sometimes I ramble a little bit and say some things that are a bit outlandish, but here we are. We made it all year long and hopefully you guys catch something along the way. Drop me a comment, your best catch of the year.

1:00

I would love to know. Also, I don't know if you know, I am in Canada currently. I've been in Canada all week. It's been a bit of a mess streaming the golf. I texted my buddy, not sure if you know him, Tyler Tambolini, Tambo, on whatever day, Thursday. I was like, you guys don't have PGA Tour Live up here. How do you do it? How do you do it? I'm not sure how I would survive without PGA Tour Live.

1:25

And I found a way to do some little bootleg action and get as many shots in as I can. But the streaming was a bit of a mess this week. Nonetheless, here to deliver the content. And again, thank you to Ship It Nation. Thank you to everyone involved. Hoop, Tambo, and I know we got some news that has dropped over the last few weeks. Hopefully, Ship It Nation and I could announce something pretty special in the next few weeks.

1:48

We're going to be in the works soon, so stay tuned for something potentially cool for Hopefully you guys enjoyed all the boots content, all the showdown content, and we're looking to do it bigger and better in twenty twenty seven. So let's not waste any more time. I know this is going to be a quicker show.

2:06

So I'm going to drag out the intro a little longer because only fifty guys in this field and I don't want to go through my entire slate plan because I'm going to leave some for the. For everyone else. So let's share the screen. Let's talk who did what and how they did it. So looking at the five, well, I think it was five, one, two, three, four, five, sixty-fives today. Wyndham Clark spiked the putter. Rory McIlroy spiked with the putter.

2:26

Alex Noren was driving accuracy and putter. Sepp Strzok did the thing that we were looking for from Sepp. I was like, can Sepp find some fairways? Sepp found some fairways. He also spiked on approach. And Nikolaj Horgard was total driving that got him to the top. We didn't have any crazy low rounds, five sixty-fives, but I This is now three straight days of different kind of styles that have gotten to the top.

2:48

So I guess Bell Reeve is a golf course where you can just do it in multiple different ways. Just be the best total golfer. Also, Wyndham Clark, five-stroke lead going into that final round. You can see these guys spiking with the putter. Rory was short game. Rory, nice little stat line this week. Nice little bounce back. And hopefully you guys got on Rory from the Monday show. But kind of what I'm looking for in round four is obviously round four showdown is different.

3:13

I'm buying those golfers who are within the top. Let me resort this within the top twenty or so. I don't want too much chase action because I feel like a lot of these guys are semi checked out if they don't really have something to play, play for. And even those guys that are down the board that do have something to play for to get in the next week. That's a lot of pressure and that's a lot of OwnershipOwnership is the percentage of lineups in a contest that include a given player. Projected ownership is an estimate made before lock; actual ownership is posted once the contest locks.Ownership isn't something to avoid; it's something to build around. The goal is understanding how the field is likely to build, then finding your edge relative to that.Full explanation ↗. So I'm not buying that.

3:36

I'm buying these guys who are in the top fifteen, top twenty already to post around in round four and cash those top ten, those top five placement points for showdown in round four. Looking at the slate plan, sorry, the wave splits slate plan, the wave split for round three, nothing special. And I told you guys, don't worry about the wave split at all because there's only five guys in the field. The weather looked the same.

3:59

Looking at the weather for tomorrow, Sunday, it's more of the same. A wind less than ten miles an hour all day with gusts over ten. It's the same. No wave flip tomorrow. I'm not going to really be looking at anything in terms of weather tomorrow. In terms of contest selection, I'm loving this PGA Tour Showdown, four-day long drive. A hundred dollar Single-EntryA single-entry contest allows each user exactly one lineup. It can be a cash game or a tournament.In single-entry, one or two contrarian decisions are usually enough. Pair a strong, popular core with a lower-owned piece instead of fading everything the field likes.Full explanation ↗, only forty-four entrants, and it pays up the top ten.

4:20

You're getting better than ten percent at tenth place, so not the craziest in terms of of the entrance getting paid, but for the structure, it's solid, it's stern. You can definitely beat for you through other golfers. So I love other, maybe golfers, who knows, maybe PGA players are playing in this other players. So I love this contest for tomorrow. And then in terms of the site, since there's gonna be no more golf content next week, um, You can still use that code boots.

4:45

You can still use that code boots. Cause look what we have. We've NFL college football, NBA, PGA, MLB, MMA, NASCAR, and more use that code boots. All access, everything. You can get everything for a free week one and then ten percent off lifetime. So please use code. Help support me. Help get me back to the States because I'm stuck in Canada. I'm just kidding. I'm not stuck in Canada. I can survive without PGA Tour Live. I don't know what I would do.

5:14

I don't know what I would do here. Code boots, Ship It Nation. Go check out all the other talented content creators, streamers, and all of the amazing stuff on this website. Code boots. Now the time we're looking for. We're looking for the golfers. Who are we taking inside this top-fifteen, top-twenty or so? Who could potentially spike on the greens? Justin Thomas. We liked him yesterday, didn't quite have it today, but this ball striking, I cannot Just not mention his ball striking.

5:41

Two strokes ball striking, another stroke and a half around the greens, and he's losing two and a half strokes on the greens. Is Justin Thomas a golfer who gains strokes on the greens every week? No. But he can surely have one pot putting day. I like Justin Thomas is one of those golfers who needs like an elite finish, but he's an elite golfer. I'm okay with chasing that. And a fearless Justin Thomas, a guy who can just shoot at flags, fire at flags.

6:05

That's what I want. So Justin Thomas, love him. Russell Henley gaining strokes on approach. We knew he would bounce back in that regard. He's getting five and a half through three rounds. He can have a plus seven and a half approach week. And in terms of him to getting to that, he has to have that round four tomorrow. So he's perfectly in position to have that plus seven approach week. And he's showing it. He's foreshadowing it. So Russell Henley, For sure.

6:26

JJ Spahn popped earlier in the week, but kind of buried it a little bit. I don't love that it's all short game, but I don't mind that the ball striking is around a zero. That tells me that he's got good things there, but it also tells me that he has got room to pop. So I'm liking JJ Spahn from a little chasing position for sure. And then the top chaser...

6:46

I would probably go with Patrick Cantlay because Patrick Cantlay hitting the ball this well with nothing to play for. Not nothing to play for. Patrick Cantlay back during a solo T-two. He knows he's not going to win here. He knows he's not going to win, but that means he's got no pressure. He's going to shoot another five-under round tomorrow, four-under round tomorrow, and host a great round. So I love Patrick Cantlay.

7:04

Down the board a little bit, I mean, you're going to have to go with some of these golfers. I don't mind Alex Smalley. He's not having the best ball striking week, but like JJ Spahn, it's around a zero, and the approach is where Alex Smalley pops. If he could turn that zero into a plus two, he's got the short game already, so I don't mind Smalley there. Then one more guy down the board, Aaron Rye. He's hitting it well, and he's putting well.

7:27

I'm not worried about the around the green too much, and Aaron Rye has fine short game. I mean, he can easily bounce back in that regard in one round. One more golfer before we get to the one golfer we were on. Like I said, I do not want to give out too many names because they're in the slate plan. There's only sixty golfers here. We're going to go with Akshay Bhatia.

7:46

We talked about him yesterday, but I just don't see the driving accuracy continuing to be this bad. He's too accurate of a driver at the core. It's got to bounce back in some regards. So Akshay Bhatia, like we're buying him at a low in terms of the driving accuracy. He's almost dead last in the field. But I mean, it's got a bounce back. It has to, that was round three and a few in the he's actually last in driving accuracy. He cannot get worse than last guys.

8:11

So he's doing everything else. Great. So I think Akshay Bhatia is a bounce, is a bounce back, a nice bullet for tomorrow, but as always the one golfer that we're on, we're doing it. We're finishing it off with a bang, Scotty Schepler in that chasing position. Great two rounds in round two and three. I just simply don't think he gets shut out. He's playing good enough golf. Everything's fine, but the putter and he's got room to grow off the tee.

8:36

He's got room to grow on approach and we know he can get hot on the greens for one round. So Scottie Scheffler is the one golfer, the final one golfer we are on. Let me know who your one golfer is. And as always, we did it every single pod this year. The final song of the day. OG Loco, Bi of Mice and Men, some pure crunkcore from not sure what year, but guys, thank you so much for tuning in.

9:01

It's been a pleasure talking to you guys, meeting some new faces and friends, and hopefully you guys enjoyed. I wish this could have been a longer pod, but short field. Um, yeah, so I will be around. You guys know where to find me. Please give me a shout. Good, good, good news. Bad news. Hit me up on Twitter. Hit me up anywhere and I'll see you guys soon. As always, let's ship it. Peace out.

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