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Correlation

What Is Correlation in DFS?

Last updated September 22, 2026 by Ship It Nation

Correlation describes how two players' fantasy scores move together. Positively correlated players tend to have big games at the same time, usually because one player's success directly adds points for the other.

Why It Matters

Correlation does not raise a lineup's average score, it widens the range of outcomes. That makes a first-place finish more likely in tournaments, where only the top matters. In cash games, too much correlation makes a lineup less stable.

Go Deeper

Articles that put Correlation to work.

Example

Say you roster a quarterback and his top receiver. When the quarterback throws a 40-yard touchdown to that receiver, both players score on the same play, so your lineup collects points in two spots. If you had paired the quarterback with a receiver from another game, that touchdown would only help one spot.

Pro tip

When you build a tournament lineup, ask which of your players need the same thing to happen. The more of them that do, the higher your lineup's ceiling.

Heard on the Shows

This term has come up on 18 shows. Each line jumps to that moment of the video.

SAT 10/10 · NFL “Because there's stacking and correlation and more of it in football and NFL DFS, it's like, okay, if people are landing here, that means they probably aren't getting to this, and they can't get to this, or they wouldn't be able to do that.” 21:52 ▶ FRI 10/9 · CFB “Yeah for sure I um I guess kind of starting with the ucf side I really don't have a ton of interest I mean just they've been really tough to pay derry obviously had a great game last week um we'll kind of touch on some stuff later...” 14:28 ▶ MON 10/5 · NFL “Disregard the name the names here it's more of the roster construction it right if people are spending up a wide receiver where were they going they were going to Ja'Marr Chase and going to Parker Washington and those get those guys...” 11:06 ▶ SAT 10/3 · NFL “But one of the reasons why we didn't see as many Darnold lineups up at the top is because the Darnold lineups just had a harder time getting as many spots in the lineup correct because you really only had the one super correlated piece...” 20:18 ▶

Common Questions

Does correlation matter in cash games?

Somewhat, but less. Heavy correlation widens a lineup's range of outcomes, which helps you win a tournament but raises the chance of a low score. Many cash lineups use light correlation, such as a quarterback and one receiver, rather than a full stack.

Which players are most correlated in DFS?

It depends on the sport. A quarterback and his pass catchers in football, consecutive hitters in a baseball lineup, and linemates on the same hockey line or power play unit are the strongest pairings. Basketball and golf have much weaker links.

How do you add correlation to optimizer lineups?

Use stacking rules. Most optimizers let you require a quarterback with at least one pass catcher, a minimum number of hitters from one team, or skaters from the same line. Without those rules, an optimizer treats every player as independent.

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